What Is Bin Salman’s Role in Hariri’s Disengagement? From Financial to Political Liquidation

27 Jan 2022

By Ali Abadi

Did Lebanon’s former Prime Minister Saad Hariri surprise anyone by announcing the suspension of his political career? What was the motive behind it?

Had it not been for the upcoming parliamentary elections in May, perhaps there would have been no reason for [Saad] Hariri to return to Beirut and take a position like the one he announced yesterday. There is confusion and disorder surrounding the behavior of the leaders and representatives of the Future Movement in dealing with this development, which requires logistical and popular preparations and alliances without any delays. However, Hariri was late in responding to pressure from the leaders of the movement to determine the steps for dealing with the elections. And he had told key leaders in the Future Movement – according to recently published reports – that he was not interested in what was going on and that he wanted to close the offices of the movement. Hariri did not deny the authenticity of these reports.

Hariri reached a point of despair due to the enormous Saudi pressures placed on his shoulders. These pressures did not ease despite his eagerness in recent times to show solidarity with Saudi Arabia on every occasion and at every Yemeni military action against Saudi Arabia and after every Lebanese political statement criticizing the Saudi leadership. All his efforts to rectify and restore this relationship were repelled.

The repercussions of the internal Saudi conflict

There are two reasons why Hariri fell out of favor with the Saudi royals after a long embrace:

The first is Saudi Arabia’s internal dimensions, which is the main reason. The second is a Lebanese-political reasoning related to Hariri’s position on Hezbollah, as the Saudi crown prince asked him to confront the party, which the former prime minister saw as a civil war.

It is useful to dwell on the first reason, because it highlights the background that drives the relationship between the current Saudi leadership and Saad Hariri. There is no doubt that the Hariri family, starting with the late Prime Minister Rafic Hariri, gained their political role based on the support that was provided to them due to the close relationship with King Fahd bin Abdulaziz. This relationship was the result of a partnership in the business world that linked Hariri the father and King Fahd bin Abdulaziz through His favorite young son Abdulaziz. Becaause of it, the business of Saudi Oger Company in the Kingdom has grown tremendously, and its project revenues amounted to billions of dollars, which put it at the forefront of the major companies in the Arab world, according to a business website.

This relationship remained solid after the assassination of Rafic Hariri in 2005, and his son Saad assumed general political and financial responsibility. Things began to change with the second generation of the ruling Saudi family taking charge, and Saad Hariri’s relationship with Muhammad bin Nayef, the Minister of the Interior [and later the Crown Prince] was sensitive after the leakage of an audio recording of Hariri that was considered offensive to bin Nayef. Moreover, Mohammed bin Salman, who later came to the scene, viewed Hariri as someone who allied himself with a system of princes that stood in his way to power.

It goes without saying that everyone who is related to the reign of King Abdullah has become a target for the new crown prince. Towards the end of his life, Abdullah decided to direct the compass of his succession to his son, Prince Miteb, the commander of the National Guard, by appointing his half-brother, Prince Muqrin bin Abdulaziz, as deputy crown prince – the second in line after Prince Salman, the Crown Prince. The latter must have understood the significance of this step. And developments accelerated dramatically in the last months of Abdullah’s life, as the race to gain power became clear through royal appointments and decrees.

As soon as Salman reached the first place after Abdullah’s death, he reversed everything that his predecessor did and immediately dismissed Muqrin and appointed his nephew, Muhammad bin Nayef as crown prince [as a way of maneuvering within the ruling family]. He put his beloved son, Muhammad bin Salman, on the path of succession by appointing him as deputy crown prince. Then, a few months later, the dismissal of bin Nayef and the appointment of Mohammed bin Salman as crown prince followed, and a deputy crown prince has not been appointed until today. After this, there is nothing left to say about the rift in the royal family due to the conflict revolving around the center of power.

But the conflict did not end with decisions around the main posts. As soon as bin Salman, full of doubt, reached the throne, he began a campaign to strip his opponents of their sources of power and forced them to give up an essential part of their wealth and companies. Hence, Hariri paid the price in Saudi Oger, so did the sons of Bin Laden, the owners of the giant contracting company, Walid al-Ibrahim, who runs the MBC Media Group and is the brother of one of King Fahd’s wives, as well as major investor Alwaleed bin Talal, and many others.

It is important here to point out how bin Salman subjugated Saudi Oger and the Bin Laden Company. He stopped the payment of their dues to the Saudi government, using pretexts such as the existence of mismanagement and corruption in Saudi Oger and accusing the Bin Laden Company of negligence in an accident [was it just an accident?] involving a crane that fell in the Grand Mosque in Mecca on September 11, 2015, killing more than 100 people and injuring about 250 others. King Salman subsequently took strict measures against the Bin Laden Company that led to its dismantling and seizure.

It is noteworthy that all these measures were taken simultaneously and were later followed by a crackdown on a large group of princes who were detained at the Ritz Hotel in Riyadh. Bin Salman accused Hariri of disloyalty and that he was aware of an alleged move by some princes against him and did not take the initiative to tell him. Thus, Hariri’s financial liquidation was a prelude to his political liquidation in Lebanon; he was lured to Riyadh in November 2017, after staying away from it for a period of time for fear of being detained with the princes. But what he feared happened; he was then forced to read a statement of resignation from the premiership of the Lebanese government. Although the issue was ostensibly settled after the intervention of French President Emmanuel Macron in favor of releasing Hariri, who holds a French citizenship, returning him to Lebanon, and then retracting his resignation, Bin Salman did not change the way he dealt with Hariri. He summoned him again to Riyadh in October 2018 when he needed him for propaganda at the height of Bin Salman’s crisis in the case of the murder of Jamal Khashoggi.

One of the remarkable things is that Saad Hariri’s family is still in Riyadh. Despite the mediation of Mohammed bin Zayed, the crown prince of Abu Dhabi, he was unable to evacuate them to Abu Dhabi for an inexplicable reason, other than to be a political hostage.

The escalation of the conflict in Lebanon

The second reason for the distance between the two sides was Bin Salman’s insistence on putting Hariri to confront Hezbollah. The head of the Lebanese Forces, Samir Geagea, played a role in destroying Hariri’s standing with the Saudi crown prince and took his place as the preferred model in dealing with Hezbollah. The Saudi ambassador, secretly and publicly, frequented Maarab, shutting his door to Hariri. This Saudi behavior aroused the astonishment of many Lebanese Sunni leaders, who consider Saudi Arabia a political and religious mecca.

Therefore, it is its duty to support the Sunni leaders in Lebanon and not the leader of the Lebanese Forces, who risks the interests of others to benefit himself and to pit the Sunnis and the Shiites against each other, specifically when it comes to Hariri and Hezbollah.

It is not surprising that Hariri’s supporters pointed the finger directly at Mohammed bin Salman while demonstrating to denounce his temporary reluctance to work in politics. They also blamed Samir Geagea, who dreams of garnering Sunni votes and perhaps a number of their parliamentary seats in the upcoming elections by nominating those who support his political line.

Perhaps, by doing so, Hariri wanted to create a double shock: the supporters loyal to him, who had been denouncing him for some time because of criticisms over his political performance, are now sympathizing with him as a “victim of a conspiracy” internally and externally. And the message to the Saudi authority is to make it reconsider its dealings with him and give up the decision to destroy him financially and politically.

In this, Hariri is using popular support to create a strong protest wave with the aim of thwarting any attempt to create alternatives to his leadership and making the electoral battle that is to be waged without him difficult against Hezbollah under Saudi and American sponsorship [it should be noted that Hariri announced a “suspension” and not an “end” of his political role. He also linked the suspension of the participation of the leaders of the Future Movement with his so that none of those aspiring to take his place in his absence get any ideas].

Will the capitals concerned with the decision reconsider after this development, which may have several repercussions in the Lebanese political arena, especially on the side facing Hezbollah, and will this have an impact on the course of the elections and perhaps on the decision to hold them in the first place?

الإنذار الخليجيّ فقاعة وترسيم الحدود بيضة القبان

الخميس 27 كانون ثاني 2022

ناصر قنديل

ينخرط فريقان مختلفان في الترويج لخطورة الورقة الخليجيّة، ويصل البعض لاعتبارها مدخلاً لحرب مالية اقتصادية تعادل حرب تموز التي شنتها “إسرائيل” على لبنان عام 2006. ويقوم هؤلاء بربط ما يسمونه بـ “الإنذار الخليجي” بفرض الانسحاب السياسي والانتخابي على تيار المستقبل ورئيسه، للقول إن أحداثاً خطيرة تنتظر لبنان لا يعرف أحد حجم المجهول الذي تنبئ به. والفريقان المتقابلان في السياسة، والملتقيان على نظرة واحدة للورقة الخليجية التي حملها وزير خارجية الكويت، هما فريق مؤيّد للمقاومة يرى أن هناك مخططاً لتشديد الحصار على المقاومة، وأن الورقة الخليجية التي قيل إنها ورقة عربية دولية ليست لملء الوقت الضائع بل هي جزء من خطة، تتضمن في حال رفض لبنان الإذعان حصاراً مالياً واقتصادياً إضافياً قد يكون من بين بنوده وقف التحويلات المالية من الخليج الى لبنان، حيث نسبة كبيرة من الانتشار المقتدر مالياً؛ أما الفريق الآخر فهو الفريق المنخرط في المواجهة مع المقاومة ويسعى لتسويق نظرية “الإنذار الخليجيّ”، في سياق تظهير ما يصفه بنتائج سياسات حزب الله السلبية على المصلحة اللبنانية، داعياً لقبول الإملاءات التي تضمنتها الورقة الخليجية، بكل ما فيها من دعوة للاشتراك في التآمر على سلاح المقاومة.

ما يستحق الانتباه في الورقة هو تكرارها في أكثر من بند بتعابير مختلفة لما يتصل بسلاح المقاومة، والمعلوم أن هذا الأمر عنوان السياسة الأميركية تجاه لبنان، ومحور الاستهداف الإسرائيلي للبنان، والأكيد أن حركة الدول الخليجية ليست منفردة ولا تستطيع ان تكون منفردة، فهي جزء من معسكر تقوده واشنطن وتشكل “إسرائيل” عضواً بات رسمياً وعلنياً فيه، والسؤال هو هل نحن أمام معطيات تقول إن جولة مواجهة حاسمة مع المقاومة قيد التحضير، لأن سقف ما يوفره القبول او الرفض اللبناني، هو المدخل السياسي لخطوة عملية لا تستطيع ان تكون فاعلة ما لم تكن حرباً. فلنفترض بمعزل عن التوازنات الداخلية اللبنانية، أن الجواب اللبناني كان قبولاً فماذا سيقول له الخليجيّون عن خطة التنفيذ، جرّدوا الجيش اللبناني بحملة لنزع السلاح وهم يعلمون استحالة الحفاظ على وحدة الجيش لتنفيذ قرار كهذا، واستحالة قدرته الفعلية على النجاح حيث فشلت أميركا و”إسرائيل” والقاعدة وداعش؟ فهل سيقول الخليجيون وقوتهم الضاربة في السعودية هاكم عاصفة حزم كالتي تضرب في اليمن لتنجحوا كما نجحت السعودية هناك، وهم غارقون منذ سنوات لا يعرفون للخروج منها سبيلاً؟ أم سيقولون للبنان، أن الأميركي والإسرائيلي جاهزان للانخراط في هذه الحرب فتجهّزوا لملاقاتهم، وكذلك ماذا لو قال لبنان، كما سيقول فعلياً، إن المرحلة الراهنة وفقاً لاتفاق الطائف والقرارين 1559 و1701 هي مرحلة تحرير مزارع شبعا، وقد فشلت الأمم المتحدة بإقناع أميركا و”إسرائيل” بفصل مسارها عن مسار الجولان رغم التسليم الأمميّ بلبنانيتها، وأمر السلاح ليس هو الراهن، رغم كونه موضوعاً للمناقشة في جلسات الحوار الوطني تحت عنوان الاستراتيجية الدفاعية، فهل سيقرر الخليجيون عندها التصعيد المالي وصولاً لخطوة عمليّة لاحقة، ومَن سيقوم بها؟ وهل هذا هو التوجه الذي يراه الأميركيون والإسرائيليون للتعامل مع مأزقهم في مواجهة المقاومة، وأنيط بالخليج تقديم نقطة الانطلاق والغطاء السياسي؟

قلنا في هذه الزاوية مراراً، وها نحن نعيد مع وصول المبعوث الأميركي لترسيم الحدود البحرية للبنان، آموس هوكشتاين، الى بيروت، إن ما بعد سفن كسر الحصار غير ما قبلها، وإن طبيعة القرار الأميركي بالرد عليها في زمن الانسحاب من أفغانستان يعبر عن سقوط نظريات الحرب، بل عن التراجع عن سياسة الإسقاط التي كانت مقررة للبنان، فاستثناء استجرار الكهرباء من الأردن والغاز من مصر عبر سورية من العقوبات، تعبير شديد الوضوح عن قناعة أميركية إسرائيلية بخطورة الذهاب الى خيار المواجهة حتى النهاية، وإن سفن كسر الحصار قد تصبح سفن تنقيب أحاديّ عن الغاز تحميها المقاومة وتغير عبرها معادلات لبنان والمنطقة. وهذا هو المغزى الوحيد لإيفاد المستشار الخاص للرئيس جو بايدن لشؤون الطاقة للعب دور الوسيط في قضية ترسيم الحدود البحرية، في ظل مواقف إعلاميّة أميركية وإسرائيلية واضحة ومنشورة في الصحافة، تقول إن المطلوب تقديم تنازلات إسرائيلية في ملف الترسيم بحدود القبول اللبناني. وهنا يتم التداول بمقترح القبول بالخط 23 معدلاً بحيث يتضمن حقل قانا من ضمن الحصة اللبنانية، فهل يمكن لهذا التوجّه أن يكون إطاراً لسياسات مبنية على فرضية التصعيد الذي لا قيمة له ما لم تكن نهايته الحرب؟

مقالات متعلقة

مقالات متعلقة

West Asia transforms: Twenty Arab states in China’s BRI sights

‘A crisis is an opportunity riding the dangerous wind.’ So says a Chinese proverb, and nowhere is this truer than in crisis-ridden West Asia, now a major focus of Beijing’s BRI vision to bring infrastructure, connectivity and economic growth to this struggling region

January 26 2022

By Cynthia Chung

West Asia’s winds have changed. When Syria began 2022 by joining China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), it became the 20th Arab country that Beijing has factored into its grand connectivity vision for Asia, Africa and Europe.

The Arab states in China’s sights include those that have already signed deals, and others with proposals in hand: Egypt (2016), Sudan (2018), Algeria (2018), Iraq (2015), Morocco (2017), Saudi Arabia (2018), Yemen (2017), Syria (2022), Somalia (2015), Tunisia (2018), UAE (2018), Libya (2018), Lebanon (2017), Oman (2018), Mauritania (2018), Kuwait(2018), Qatar (2019), Bahrain (2018), Djibouti (2018), Comoros.

The ambitious connectivity and development projects the BRI can inject into a war-torn, exhausted West Asia have the ability to transform the areas from the Levant to the Persian Gulf into a booming world market hub.

Importantly, by connecting these states via rail, road, and water, the foreign-fueled differences that have kept nations at odds since colonial times will have to take a back seat. Once-hostile neighbors must work in tandem for mutually-beneficial economic gains and a more secure future to work.

And money talks – in a region continuously beset by war, terrorism, ruin and shortages.

Rebuilding Syria and linking the Four Seas

On 12 January this year, Syria officially joined China’s Belt and Road Initiative. The timing of this decision dovetails with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s whirlwind tour of West Asia this past spring and summer, beginning with the signing of the $400 billion Sino-Iranian 25-year Comprehensive Cooperation Plan.

In turn, President Bashar al-Assad’s re-election in May last year opened the door to a seven-year Sino-Syrian partnership in the reconstruction of Syria, to relink it to the Mediterranean and Asian markets.

The task will be extensive. The cost of Syria’s reconstruction is estimated to be between $250 and $400 billion – a massive sum, considering Syria’s 2018 total budget was just less than $9 billion.

Nonetheless, Syria has much to offer and China has never been reticent over long-term investment strategies, especially when much can be gained in stabilizing regions that include core transportation corridors.

Syria’s geographical location has been a center for trade and commerce that dates back centuries.

Today, it offers a crucial bypass from the choke points represented by the straits that separate the South China Sea from the Indian Ocean (Malacca, Sunda and Lombok), now controlled by a heavy US presence.

The location of Syria is of central importance to the trade routes through the Five Seas Vision, which was officially put forward by the Syrian president in 2004.

As Assad explained this vision: “Once the economic space between Syria, Turkey, Iraq, and Iran becomes integrated, we would link the Mediterranean, the Caspian, the Black Sea, and the Gulf … we are not only important in the Middle East … Once we link these Four Seas, we become the compulsory intersection of the whole world in investment, transport, and more.”

Photo Credit: The Cradle
Source: Schiller Institute. Proposed rail lines from Albu Kamal/Al-Qaim to Deir Ezzor onto Palmyra and Tehran to Baghdad.

The Latakia Port will be crucial to the Five Seas Vision, and will likely be the first primary focus for heavy Chinese investment, with the potential to become the Eastern Mediterranean’s largest port facility.

Iran has a lease on part of the Latakia Port and has a preferential trade agreement with Syria, while Russia has a base at the nearby Tartus Port, roughly 85km south of Latakia.

Latakia provides access to the Black Sea via Turkey’s Bosphorus (Strait of Istanbul), and access to the Red Sea via the Suez Canal. Russia has free trade facilities at the nearby Port Said in Egypt.

From there, vessels can enter the Persian Gulf, under the protection of another Russian facility at Port Sudan, through the Suez Canal.

Goods can then be shipped onto Iran, which connects to the Caspian Sea from the Chabahar Port via the International North-South Transportation Corridor (INSTC).

From the INSTC transport corridor, it is a short journey to Pakistan, India, and ultimately to China.

International North-South Transportation Corridor (INSTC), the 7,200 km multi-mode network of ship, rail, and road routes for moving freight, largely coordinated by Russia (north end) and India.

Reviving routes and expanding ports

Lebanon’s Tripoli port, 20 miles south of the Syrian-Lebanese border, will also be at the center of BRI investment, if the country’s muddled political rivalries allow for it. The port can play a vital role in the reconstruction of Syria – which Washington seeks to thwart – with plans to revive the Beirut-Tripoli railway as part of a wider network that would incorporate Lebanese and Syrian railway systems into the BRI.

China is also looking to help establish a Tripoli Special Economic Zone as a central trans-shipment hub for the eastern Mediterranean. Plans are underway for the China Harbor Engineering Company to expand the Tripoli port to accommodate the largest freighters.

China has helped to expand the Mouawad airport, about 15 miles north of Tripoli, transforming it from a predominantly military base to a thriving civilian airport.

In 2016, the year that Egypt joined China’s BRI, President Xi Jinping visited Egypt, and the two countries signed 21 partnership agreements with a total value of $15 billion.

China Harbor Engineering Company Ltd has been cooperating with Egyptian companies in the construction of new logistic and industrial areas along the Suez Canal.

In addition, the China State Construction Engineering Corporation has been working on the construction of a new administrative capital 45km east of Cairo, valued at $45 billion. These projects will work to further facilitate integration into the BRI framework.

The case of Yemen, which joined the BRI in 2017, remains a challenging one. China has done much to invest in Egypt’s Suez Canal and the Djibouti Port, which connects with the Addis Abba-Djibouti railway.

Djibouti, Ethiopia and Sudan all joined the BRI in 2018, while Somalia had been on board since 2015. China established its first overseas military base in Djibouti in 2017, giving it access to the key maritime choke point in the region. Yemen stands to gain much with its strategically placed Port Aden.

China’s ambassador to Yemen, Kang Yong, said in a March 2020 interview with Yemeni news outlet Al-Masdar that China considers all agreements signed between the two countries prior to the onset of the 2015 war as still valid, and will implement them “after the Yemeni war ends and after restoring peace and stability.”

Although both China and Russia have made the point that they will not directly intervene in regional politics, it is clear where both nations stand in their orientation, as gleaned from the rapid ascension that has been granted to Iran in recent months.

This past September, Iran was admitted as a full member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), while Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Qatar were admitted as SCO dialogue partners, joining Turkey.

Over the past year, Iran has quickly gained high regard and is now considered the third pillar to the multipolar alliance of Russia and China, increasingly referred to as RIC (Russia-Iran-China).

On 21 September, officials from Saudi Arabia and Iran met for the fourth round of talks aimed at improving relations, and although the process remains slow, it looks increasingly possible that a peaceful resolution can be reached.

Returning to Syria’s Five Seas Vision, Iraq also has a crucial role to play in this game-changing program.

The office of the Iraqi prime minister stated last May that “negotiations with Iran to build a railway between Basra and Shalamcheh have reached their final stages, and we have signed 15 agreements and memoranda of understanding with Jordan and Egypt regarding energy and transportation lines.”

China-Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan-Iran railway corridor, part of the INSTC. Iraq joined the BRI in 2015, Iran in 2018.

The railway is part of Syria’s reconstruction deal. The 30km Shalamcheh-Basra rail line will connect Iraq to China’s Belt and Road lines, as well as bring Iran closer to Syria. Basra is also linked to the International North-South Transportation Corridor (INSTC).

The Shalamcheh-Basra rail link will make it possible for Iran to send various commodities, such as consumer goods, construction materials, and minerals through the railway from Tehran to Shalamcheh and then to Basra, and finally to Al Qaim border crossing between Iraq and Syria, which was re-opened in September 2019 after being closed for eight years due to war in both countries.

Presently, there is no rail link between Al Qaim in Iraq to Syria’s rail station in Deir Ezzor, which is roughly 163km away. This should be a priority for construction. From Deir Ezzor, Syria’s existing rail line connects to Aleppo, Latakia, Tartus, and Damascus.

On 29 December, the Iranian cabinet approved the opening of the Chinese consulate in Bandar Abbas, China’s first consulate in Iran. It is expected that China will invest heavily in the Chabahar Free Trade and Industrial Zone and Bandar Abbas, Iran’s most important southern sea transportation hub.

The former Iranian ambassador to China and Switzerland, Mohammad-Hossein Malaek, told the Iranian Labour News Agency (ILNA) that Beijing is set to play a leading role in developing the Makran region, the coastal strip along Iran’s Sistan-Baluchestan province and Pakistan’s Balochistan, and where Beijing already has a 40-year, multi-billion dollar agreement with Islamabad to develop the Gwadar port.

Both Iran and Turkey have been intensely engaged with the BRI. The first freight train ran from Pakistan to Turkey through Iran on 21 December last year, after a 10-year hiatus.

This resulted in a major boost to the trading capabilities of the three founders of the Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO), created in 1985 in Tehran by the leaders of Iran, Pakistan and Turkey, and which now has 10 members.

The 6,540km journey from Islamabad to Istanbul takes ten days, less than half the time needed for the equivalent voyage of 21 days by sea. The train has the capacity to carry 80,000 tons of goods.

Islamabad-Tehran-Istanbul Rail (ITI).

Within the corridors of cooperation and connectivity

Also in December last year, Javad Hedayati, an official with Iran’s Road Maintenance and Transportation Organization, announced that Iran, Azerbaijan, and Georgia had reached an agreement on establishing a transit route connecting the Persian Gulf to the Black Sea.

This transit route could potentially link with the Islamabad-Tehran-Istanbul Rail (ITI) and further boost connectivity in the region.

The construction work of the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) gas pipeline is resuming in the Afghanistan section. The TAPI is a regional connectivity project for supplying gas from Turkmenistan to India’s Punjab to meet regional demand.

Map illustrates the planned TAPI pipeline (Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India) and railways in Afghanistan.

The pipeline is expected to carry 33 billion cubic meters of natural gas per year. The 1,814km pipeline stretches from Galkinesh, the world’s second-largest gas field, to the Indian city of Fazilka, near the Pakistan border.

This will be more than enough to supply Afghanistan’s own energy needs as it starts to rebuild and reconstruct. TAPI is expected to facilitate a unique level of trade and cooperation across the region, as well as support peace and security between the four countries: India, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Turkmenistan.

The Afghan-Uzbek rail project is another exciting proposal that has recently been under serious discussion. The project would include the construction of a 700km long Mazar-i-Sharif to Herat rail line that would pass through Shiberghan, Andkhoy, and Maimana in western Afghanistan.

If this project materializes, all Central Asian countries, including Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, would be connected to Iran’s Chabahar corridor via western Afghanistan.

The Afghan-Uzbek rail project will be one of the biggest breakthroughs in Asian transport connectivity with enormous implications for the entire region, both in terms of economic prosperity as well as political stability.

Afghanistan, Iran and Uzbekistan have already signed an agreement to develop a trans-Afghan transport corridor.

India is also seeking a railway connection with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, which would connect Chabahar as a gateway between Eurasia and the Indian Ocean.

Cooperation in the area of connectivity with these countries could also be pursued under the SCO framework.

Whether the official title of BRI is present or not, all these development corridors in transportation, industry and energy will participate in the main economic corridors under the BRI framework.

All participant countries in the BRI understand this, and they also know that cooperation is key to mutual beneficence and security.

The Six Main Economic Corridors under China’s BRI, some completed, others hindered by geopolitical conflicts, as in Myanmar, Kazakhstan, Iraq, South China Sea.

Meanwhile, Gulf States shun collaboration

Generally, western-backed Persian Gulf countries such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE have done much to sabotage this vein of progress.

Thus far, their involvement in the BRI framework has mostly consisted of exchanging oil for technological resources to diversify their economies. They have not, however, been as eager to participate in collaborative processes with other Arab countries.

Nonetheless, the tides are changing, and one cannot maintain a wealthy island philosophy among this growing framework.

The Gulf States need a market to trade in, so that they can grow and prosper. They are therefore in no position to dictate relations with their neighbors, on whom they will grow increasingly dependent for their survival.

If the Gulf countries – some now dialogue partner states of the SCO – adhere to the guidelines of that political-economic-security organization – funding and support of Islamic terrorism is expected to slowly die out.

This would be the most effective way to isolate the attempts of the west to instigate chaos and division within West Asia.

With the BRI and Eurasian Economic Union framework working in tandem, those who are willing to abide by the multipolar framework of a win-win cooperation will make the quickest ascensions.

And those who sluggishly cling to old prejudices and outdated orders will only sink into irrelevance.The views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of The Cradle.

Ukraine and Russian escalation dominance: A Fiction

January 25, 2022

Source

This is complete fiction based on the current situation.  We post it as a counterweight to the fiction produced by the western corporate media

I will try to keep it as short as possible.

Some context information and static basic assumptions:

Rules of targeting (NATO Standards) – Compiled after NATO interventions in Iraq, Yugoslavia, Libya, Syria, Afghanistan

Valid targets in 404 (Ukraine) and NATO countries:

Military – troop and materials concentrations, logistics assets, communications, ammo dumps, fuel dumps, AA assets, runways, aircraft, helicopters, drones, radars, NATO troops, NATO assets, NATO training centres and command centres etc.

Civilian dual use – factories, bridges, civilian heating oil reserves, gas reserves, electrical network, chemical factories, refineries, civil trains, whatever we don’t like, propaganda outlets (TV and radio stations, transmitter towers). (Definition of propaganda outlet – any media which is against attacker and/or is for defender).

Political – ministries, army HQ, ministers offices, politicians residences, any government structure, embassies if it is by “honest mistake”.

Cultural – National monuments we don’t like.

Civilians – any group of more than one because they are “highly likely” armed, homes and offices of politicians, Nazi groups, Oligarchs, Maidan luminaries.

Russian supply of stand-off weapons

Long range stand-off weapons, with them Russia has covered the whole European part of NATO. Zircon is probably low in numbers for now (end of 2021) and it and Kinzhal will be used against high value targets in the first salvo. (Radars, Aegis ashore, Thaad, Nuclear weapons delivery facilities, other AA, Aegis destroyers, submarines). Second salvo with greater numbers will be slower stand-off missiles.

3M22 Zircon 1000 km range (Few tens at the moment)

Kh-47M2 Kinzhal 2000 km (probably over 200, in first salvo over 50)

3M54 Kalibr up to 4500 km (over 1000 probably even more, probably more than 100 in first salvo).

Kh-55 3000 km (few thousand, just from Ukraine Russia bought back 587. They will probably send a few back for free).

Kh-101 4500 km (At least few hundred with serial production ongoing)

Intermediate range missiles. With them Russia has covered most of Ukraine, Romania, Bulgaria, Poland, Sweden, North of Norway and Baltic’s.

P-700 Granit 500 km (probably for use against NATO ships in North sea and US, Japan and S. Korean Navy in Far east)

P-800 Oniks 600-800 km – with it is covered whole of Ukraine, even Galicia, as well as complete Poland, Romania, Bulgaria, and a good part of Germany and Sweden.

Iskander-M 500 km (about 1000 rockets, in first salvo possible maximum 300. If Ukraine is target probably around 100 in first salvo, on Poland 100, 30 for Romania, on 3B 20 each) It will be used against fixed high value targets: radars, runways, bridges, fuel dumps, ammunition dumps, command posts and communication facilities.

Kh-35 Bal 300 km. It can be launched from ground launchers as well from most Russian planes and from some helicopters. It will be used for remaining troop concentration, remaining resistance points.

Short range missiles. They will be used mostly by LDNR forces at points of contact on entrenched units and on troop concentrations.

TOS1A 6 km. To break enemy lines and to stop advance columns.

TOS2 (status unknown at the moment)

9A52 Tornado 90 km

BM-21 Grad 45km

BM-27 Uragan 35 km

Start of hostilities. Russia has escalation dominance.

Wars usually start after the false flag operation or by escalating an incident. This one started one morning of 28th February at around 7 am by the Azov regiment, sending a few 120 mm mortar rounds over the front line on civilian houses. DNR forces retaliated after 8 am by sending all rounds from two launchers of Grad 122 mm rockets – 80 rounds on target which was known HQ, about 30 km from front lines. As Ukies and NATO forces have bad Karma, at that moment they had a graduation ceremony for Javelin operators. 70 Grad rockets hit ground in a circle of around 200 m. radius. Death toll was 53 soldiers, 12 NATO instructors, several colonels and two generals. There were more than 120 wounded.

In retaliation Ukraine (404) decides to attack Crimean bridge with Neptune missiles. They launch a salvo of 16 missiles from 4 launchers. Distance from the launch site to Crimean bridge is 150 km and flight time is 13 minutes. Launch was on 09.15 – 9.17 AM. During launch one Neptune malfunctioned and fell to the sea. AWACS A-50U plane on patrol over Crimea alerted Pantsir S1SM unit on alert stationed on a hill above Yurkine on Ketch strait entrance from Azov sea. For a Neptune missile from that hill, the distance of detection is 35 km. AWACS also gave coordinates of the launch site of Neptunes to the Bastion-P unit. At 9.20-9.21 Bastion launched 6 Onix missiles at the Neptune unit. Distance was 200 km and flight time 6 minutes, Two Su -30 fighters on patrol were vectored toward flying Neptunes at 20 m. above sea. At 9.24 Su fighters launched 2 AA missiles each, and at 9.25 AM 3 Neptunes were splashed down. At 9.26 first 3 Onix missiles slammed at the command unit and 2 Neptune launchers. One minute later 2 Onixes hit 1 launcher and 1 support vehicle. Last Onix could not acquire a target and had chosen a similar target 2 km in shore – vehicle on ammunition dump. One more Neptune malfunctions, probably damaged by an explosion of one destroyed by Su fighter. 11 Neptunes are now just coming above the horizon of Pantsir. It acquires the first 4 Neptunes and splashes them down. Then Pantsir acquires next 4 missiles and splashes 3; and acquires next 3 but hits only 1. Last 3 missiles are inside Kerch strait. One AA gun on a patrol boat engages with Neptunes and hits 1. Last 2 are right on the bridge. One hits the north lane of the bridge, explodes, destroys 3 cars and heavily damages that span. Another one hits the island 50 m. before the bridge and flying shrapnel destroys 1 car. Everything is finished at 9.30 AM. Results are 1 damaged span of bridge, destroyed 4 cars and 11 people dead, 1 baby alive but orphaned. On the Uki side 5 vehicles of the Neptune unit were destroyed, 12 dead and 5 wounded, several vehicles and ammunition dump destroyed 18 dead and 25 wounded.

It is late February and land is heavily overcast. There is alert in the Ukrainian Military HQ and the Government and at 10 AM they meet to decide what to do. With astonishment they watch on TV news as smoke rises from the Crimea bridge and start cheering. In the middle of cheers they receive news on Neptune crews losses as well about an explosion in an ammunition dump. After short discussions and on recommendation by NATO advisers they decide to start offensive on Donbass that night at 02.00 under code name “Зимова буря” or “Winter storm”. It will start with artillery bombardment from Mariupol and toward Lugansk as diversions. Main line of attack will be north of Donetsk on line Verhulivka – Grabove – Miusinsk – Marynivka – Russian border (about 85 km) and it will start with intensive artillery bombardment at 05.00 and main attack will start at 06.00. It consists of 1st Tank brigade with 56 T-64BM “Bulat” tanks on the left flank, 17th Tank brigade with 54 T-64BM tanks on the right flank. With them will be 10th Mountain Assault Brigade, 14th Mechanized Brigade, 80th Air Mobile Regiment and different special forces, Javelin teams, Azov regiment, 8th Special Forces Regiment, Artillery units, Army aviation, Engineering units, logistics. Each unit has several NATO advisers which have their own communication gear.

CNN news headline “Breaking News, Russia in false flag destroys Crimea bridge”

Main objective will be getting to the Russian border as fast as possible (plan is 2-3 days) and then hold it and spread along it to cut LDNR from Russia and to split LNR from DNR. As they advance additional forces will be fed into the breach. As reserve to exploit breach there are 8 Mechanized brigades as well as various support units. They are concentrated in the area around Troitske.

At the same time special units will prepare false flag chemical attack near Mariupol (at Markokhim Zavod), Avdeevka (at Brevno restaurant) and Krasnyi Liman (at Krasnolimanskiy Kombikormovoy Zavod). That attack will be organized two days after the start of the attack, when first units come close to the border.

At the same time a similar meeting was held in Moscow. After considering available intelligence reports and reports about readiness of appropriate forces and assets they decided to start several operations the next day at 06.00. First one will be “Стрижка” or “Hair cut”. It will consist of Iskander-M attack on radars, airfields, Anti-aircraft rocket systems, fuel dumps on airfields, drone command centres, command posts, Satellite stations, Cell Phone operators centres, Internet nodes, Ukraine HQ, all NATO assets and units in Ukraine. There are about 100 Iskanders in the first salvo.

Second salvo, one hour later, will consist of another 100 Iskanders and another 100 Kh-35 launched from aircraft and helicopters on remaining radars, Anti-aircraft assets which survived the first salvo, as well drone operators, communication and command centres. Additional strikes will be done as needed.

Next operation will be “Oбморок” or “Fainting” it will consist of about 200 missiles – Onix, Calibr, Kh-35, used against individuals and their assets which have organised and supported genocide on Russians i.e. CIA assets, American Embassy, Marine compound (embassy protection), NATO representatives, prominent Azov and Right sector individuals, Oligarchs, Zelenski, Ministers. This operation will start at 07.00 and will be finished when all targets on a list are hit.

Operation “Tуман” or “Fog” will use EW assets to suppress remaining electronic assets of NATO and Ukraine as well to provide targeting data to finish them off.

Operation “Забор” or “Fence” will consist of 4 Special forces teams with a task to protect Nuclear Power Plants from sabotage and selected objects and bridges. There are 4 NPP sites – Rivne, Khmelnitskiy, South Ukraine, Zaporizhzhia. First two will be approached from Belarus, the other two from Crimea. Some bridges over HPP will be secured.

Operation “Отражение” or “Reflection” will consist of Aircraft patrolling over Black sea and Norwegian sea (Mig-31K, Tu-23M3 and TU-160) with Kinzhals and Kh 101/102 in such position that they can launch missiles 2-3 minutes after receiving order and targeting information. In the first salvo they need to have at least 6 Kinzhals to be able to hit 4 DDG destroyers, aircraft carrier and missile cruiser. From that position over Black sea Kinzhals cover the Mediterranean up to Gibraltar. Flight time at average Mach 8 for 2000 km is 15 minutes. Reserve forces will be in Syria -2 Mig-31K and 2 Tu-23M3 on 5 minute alert.

In hours up to the start of the attack Uki forces had observed strict radio silence using only ground lines and couriers to dispatch orders and operational plans. NATO advisers used their satellite phones to stay in contact with NATO HQ and US Pentagon. They used encrypted channels toward US Advanced Extremely High Frequency (AEHF) satellites in geostationary orbit. Russians were able to detect those signals but not to decrypt them. Just analysing intensity and spatial distribution told them that some big operation is in preparation north of Debaltseve and north-west of Troitske. Also A-50U and IL-20M observed that a lot of Uki units are concentrated behind Troitske.

At 20.00 in Moscow, using the new Intel information, it was decided to activate operation “Молоток” or “Hammer”. Its main purpose is to allow Uki forces to enter in the territory 10-15 km then to block them and to cut the retreat route and obliterate them in place. It was assumed that the main line of attack will be between Debaltseve and Brianka as there are no big settlements which can be established as strong points. The plan is to move out personnel from first and second lines, remove civilians from small settlements on line of attack, and form blocking strong points in Horodishche and Fashchivka and line to Debaltseve and Brianka. After the attacking forces are stopped or slowed down, massive artillery, missile and frontal aviation attacks will hammer Uki forces.

Operation “Окуривание” or “Fumigation” will start at 02.00. It will consist of attack of one Iskander-M with a thermobaric warhead on each site with mercenaries preparing a false flag chemical incident. Main purpose of thermobaric warhead is to incinerate chemical weapons.

1st of March – Unraveling

Exactly at 02.00 Uki artillery started it’s bombardment of front lines in front of Novoazovsk and lines in front of Luhansk. Artillery bombardment should last up to 05.00. At 02.05 there were 3 big fireballs one over Mariupol (at Markokhim Zavod), over second one Avdeevka (at Brevno restaurant) and third one at Krasnyi Liman (at Krasnolimanskiy Kombikormovoy Zavod). Operation “Окуривание” was a complete success. Out of 125 mercenaries, only one who was AWOL to the local cathouse.

At 05.00 Intensive artillery bombardment started on the front 3 km wide between Rozsadky and Veselohorivka. It lasted 50 minutes and completely obliterated 2 lines of defence, Even most of the deep hardened bunkers were heavily damaged. Defenders lost only 2 of the pickets who were in front of the first line of trenches, all other personnel were removed before the start of the bombardment.

At 06.00 first forward units started to approach the first defenders lines. There was no fire from completely destroyed trenches and bunkers. At 06.05 first units were over the first line and reported that there was no resistance. All units on the first echelon were on the move forward. At 06.10 they lost contact with HQ but because there was no resistance they rolled forward. At 06.30 they were already 8 km along the way but had no contact with HQ. At 06.55 forward units came under fire from Horodishche and they started to bypass it. Also side units started to come under small arm fire which is mostly ignored. From behind Horodishche came strikes from multiple TOS-1A launchers on forward units of the Uki column. Effect was that everybody stopped in its tracks. At the same time death started to dance on the rear of forces with strikes from Debaltseve and Brianka. From the Russian border a flight of Su-34 attack planes sent over 30 Kh-31 Anti-radiation missiles on active radars in breach and on staging areas around Troitske. By 08.00 the attack completely stalled and degenerated into a typical Cauldron Donbass fight. Donbass forces started to pick out vehicles one by one with Coronet ATM and Krasnopol KM-1M precision artillery. Battle will be waged for two days until the last Uki soldier is dead or surrendered.

Troupe concentrations around Troitske were at 06.30 first attacked with several Kh-31 missiles on anti-aircraft radars, then three Iskander-M with thermobaric warheads on communication centres and operation HQ. After that individual units are pounded with different MLRS systems. At 09.30 most units had serious losses and started to retreat in the direction of Bakhmut- Sloviansk.

At 06.05 first Iskander-M with thermobaric warhead hit the southern part of Yavoriv Combat Training Center, at 06.06 another two hit the middle and northern parts of the compound. 10 minutes later four more Kh-65 missiles launched from Tu-22M struck on different parts of the facility. Results were known only several days later when roll-call NATO and Ukraine documents were reviewed and total loss was established of around 190 Americans, 50 British and 100 other nations instructors as well as over 500 Uki soldiers. Most of the bodies were newer recovered.

At 06.05 first Iskanders-M from the first salvo started to hit 25 different fixed radars. Another 20 hit HQ of Operational Command East, West, North and South as well different HQ of army and aviation units. Another 30 hit different communication centres, TV towers, Another Kalibr destroys most rabid TV in Kiev (according to NATO standards bombardment of TV Belgrade).

Mobile networks main towers and several land telephone exchanges. Final 15 hit Government House, Ministry of Interior, Ministry of Defence, SBU, 2 CIA safe houses and 5 runways in and around Kiev.

At 07.05 second wave of Iskanders-M have hit remaining radars, anti-aircraft units, runways, fuel dumps, ammunition dumps, military bases, remaining communication centres, After Iskanders 10 minutes later started to rain 200 Onix, Calibr and Kh-35 missiles hitting Ukies elites, which helped to organize Maidan, Azov and Praviy sector HQ and leaders. By mistake a few miss-targeted Kalibrs destroy the American embassy in Kiev. After a mistake one KGB operative is sent to Yakutsk and 6 others are reprimanded and fined 1000 Rubles. The Ministry of Defense of RF uses the following template in the Briefing for the press in accordance with NATO standards.

https://www.nato.int/koSovo/press/b990508a.htm ).

Putin apologises to Biden. (Check the apology of Clinton to Chinese). MoD RF does not need to invent any explanations, just use templates from NATO. They should prepare them in advance because all of the action should be over in 1 or 2 days. (NATO Kosovo, Libya, Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria).

Also, a missile hit a British embassy which had missed Foreign Ministry of Ukraine across the road.

Also in western part of Ukraine certain infrastructure objects were hit like some bridges, power transformers on high voltage transmission networks, even some pylons at high power lines connecting Ukraine with Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Moldova and Romania. By 11.00 west of Ukraine was without any electrical power, land lines, internet and mobile phones. (Also it is according to NATO standards, check attack on Yugoslavia). Most of the oligarchs, high officials and Ukronazi leaders were dead or wounded with the rest on the run.

Spetsnaz units for Operation “Забор” or “Fence” managed to land in each NPP and selected objects and bridges. Uki protection units gave weak resistance and by 08.00 Rosatom specialists joined Russian protection forces. They immediately started to shut down reactors except one in each NPP. Other teams took 5 bridges over Dnieper river at Nova Kahovka, Kherson, on Samara river Novoselivka, on Oskil river at Senkove and at Kupjansk.

By noon -12.00 DNR artillery starts to pound front lines. At certain front segments Uki platoons kill or detain their officers and hoist LDNR flags. Complete front line of Uki forces starts to open like a zipper.

In the afternoon Donbass forces aided with volunteers slowly start to advance and liberate its territory which is at the moment occupied by Ukies. (Mariupol and the rest of the territories of Donetsk – DNR and Lugansk – LNR). Most Ukrainian units start to retreat after receiving artillery strikes, unable to report and receive commands from upper Hqs. Any radiation from Radars and transmitters are recorded by flying A-50U planes, location relayed to Su-34 and attacked with anti radiation missiles. That provided to complete disorganization and lack of coordination of Uki forces. Units with predominant Russian speakers started to join LDNR forces. Some polite green men attached themselves to converted Uki units.

Now Russian Air Force VVS has complete air supremacy. Over Ukraine they managed to suppress planes by damaging runways. Helicopters were still able to fly but have been hunted down. Some managed to escape to Poland, Slovakia, Hungary and Romania. Now Su – 34 and Su-24 and Su-25 started systematically destroying the infrastructure of the Ukrainian Air-Force. Over 100 raids were made during the day with the loss of 2 Su-24. Su-27, Su-30 and Su-35 managed to shoot down 5 Uki planes, 6 US and NATO drones and managed to force RC-135 to land on Zaporizhzhia International Airport. They had to departure runway at high speed because the runway was already partially damaged. In one hour after landing the heavily damaged aircraft was destroyed by its crew. Later during the afternoon flight of Su-25 destroyed over 30 planes on the ground.

The HQ of Ukrainian Air Asault Forces in Zhytomir and Ozerne Air Base were heavily attacked from the beginning. After Iskander-M destroyed radar several missiles damaged the runway and taxiways stranding planes on the ground. After several Kh-31 on any radiating source Su-24 and Su-25 destroyed HQ, over 15 Aircraft and 102nd Material storage with more than 150 transport vehicles.

Ukrainian NAVY tried to go on sea. Frigate “Hetman Sahaydahniy” was hit by Onix 5 km from shore at 8.34. Missile boat “Pryluky had several officers thrown overboard when 10 km from Odessa, hoisted Russian flag and radioed to Sevastopol for help. They got help in the guise of 2 attack helicopters and a few Spetsnaz guys which repelled from heli.

When night fell there was utter devastation of the war infrastructure of Ukraine. Fixed assets as radars runways, ammo and fuel dumps destroyed, communication centres destroyed, in west Ukraine total darkness, no land lines, internet and mobile phones. NATO communication jammed or destroyed, several reconnaissance satellites overflying Ukraine blinded or jammed, 6 drones lost.

Good part of state apparatus – ministries, Hqs heavily damaged, key personnel dead, wounded or in flight.

During the night from 1st to 2nd March a lot of things started to happen. Mysterious helicopters were flying from Belarus along the west borders of Ukraine deploying Spetsnaz teams on roads and blocking them. Spetsnaz hunts for remnants of Ukronazis in western parts of Ukraine. In towns and villages of East and South Ukraine, militia units were formed. Lot of army units detained officers, killed NATO advisers, and organised defence of their positions. Some polite green men attached themselves to converted Uki units.

The Pentagon and Brussels were in shock. From the trickle of information received, picture of the catastrophe started to emerge. With most assets they have lost contact. Out of more than 8000 NATO trainers, advisers, spec forces they have had reports only from few and that was only bad news. They decided to risk some more Global Hawk drones with a planned flight from Poland over Kiev and then along the Dnieper river to Odessa and to Romania. They lost contact as drone crossed the Ukraine border.

2nd March

During night any radiation emitter that appeared on the screens of A-50U aircraft on station, depending on position and distance, was suppressed either by Iskander-M, Onix or Kh-31.

Spetsnaz teams in NPP had few skirmishes with small groups of Ukies. All reactors except one on each NPP have been shut down.

Spetsnaz teams blocking certain bridges were attacked more fiercely but were supported by Su-24 and Su-25 as well as attack helicopters and repelled all attacks during night with only light losses.

Teams on west borders started to interdict the flow of refugees and started to detain all men at 18-50 years of age. They managed to filter and arrest several Praviy sector individuals.

During the night several transport and attack helicopters with over 100 paratroopers and engineers landed on unused Lymanske airfield in Odessa region. After engineers assessed runway condition, a paratroopers brigade started to arrive in transport planes. Also by early morning S-400, S-350, Buk, Tor and Pantsir anti aircraft systems arrived and deployed.

During the night several transport and attack helicopters with paratroopers and engineers landed on unused Artsyz airfield in the Odessa region near Komsomolec. After engineers assessed runway condition, a paratroopers brigade started to arrive in transport planes. Also by early morning S-400, S-350, Buk, Tor and Pantsir anti aircraft systems arrived. By noon there were about 2000 troops at and around the airfield.

At noon Russia proclaimed the no-fly zone over Ukraine and Moldavia. Also they announced that all planes at less than 100 km to Russian, Belorusian and Ukrainian borders have to identify itself.

Military planes will be shot at.

At 07.00 amphibious landing of the 810th Naval Guards Infantry Brigade was performed on the beach south of Chornomorsk. After securing beachhead troops advanced on Chornomorsk harbour helped by the 881st Air-Assault Battalion.

People of Chornomorsk helped Russian troops by pointing out the remnants of Ukrainian forces. In Odessa People Militia of Novorossia has been formed and helped to secure city. By afternoon Odessa was secured.

During night and in the morning more People Militias were formed in Izmail, Odessa, Kherson, Mikolaiv, Nikopol, Kriviy Rog, Zaporozya, Poltava and Slovyansk.

In Harkov People Militia with help of some ex-Ukrainian units stormed some armouries and workers of the Harkov armour repair plant organized a Militia tank unit. They had to repel some hard core west Ukrainian units but after a short hard battle most of Harkov was under control of militia.

The People Assembly of Harkov invited Russian forces to help them to clean the territory of west Ukrainian forces.

By evening most of the Ukrainian forces loyal to the Kiev government on territories east of Dnieper either changed sides, surrendered or were heavily degraded. C3I Ukrainian systems suffered near complete damage and were not functioning at all. NATO instructors were deliberately targeted with heavy strikes with artillery or missiles. Any radar emission was immediately targeted and destroyed in 5-10 minutes.

CNN headline “Heroic Ukrainian soldiers are giving bloody nose to Russians”.

Surrounded Ukrainian and NATO forces near Horodishche were eliminated one precise artillery strike on tanks, APC and vehicles at a time. By late afternoon most of the Uki forces were either dead, wounded or surrendered. Only a few stubborn Ukronazi units like “Azov” refused to surrender. Azov was taken care of by TOS-1 thermobaric projectiles. By the end of the day there was only sporadic fighting and mop-up operation had started. Out of over 300 NATO advisers by end of the day only 20 survived and only because they surrendered early in the battle.

Mariupol was surrounded by DNR forces from the East and Russian forces from Crimea on the West. Resident “Azov” forces refused to surrender. Late afternoon their strong points started to be picked up by precision artillery strikes. By midnight most of the fighting stopped. People militia of Mariupol started to form and take all important buildings and positions.

West of Kiev two Russian attack helicopters intercepted two Ukrainian transport helicopters and escorted them to Sescha Air Base, Dubrovka, Russia where all passengers and crews were arrested. Ukrainian president Zelenski and 5 ministers were immediately charged with war crimes and crimes against humanity.

3rd March

Dawn was witness to a new reality in Ukraine. All bridges over Dnieper were under control of People Militia with help of Spetsnaz. On other bridges over rivers were also set up checkpoints. Most of the functionaries of the Kiev regime were arrested. Check points allowed people to pass after checking the documents. Known members of Ukraine central and local governments, Azov and Praviy sector, and other extreme organizations were arrested. Any foreigner was also detained as a potential member of NATO forces. South Ukraine -also part of Novorossia was similarly organised. Check points were organized on all bridges and all roads leading to central and west Ukraine. Militia units are sent on the borders of Novorossia towards Ukraine. In west Ukraine there were still no telephones, internet and mobile phones. Electricity was available only 4 hours a day.

NPP on territory of west Ukraine Rivne and Khmelnitskiy were under control of Russian forces which protected them from sabotage. Their reactors were shut down for safety except one reactor on each site which is idling.

In Novorossia NPP South Ukraine and Zaporizhzhia started to activate shut down reactors and the situation with electricity started to improve. Also Russia and Belarus started to supply Novorossia with electricity and gas.

Some NATO planes from Poland tried to approach the West Ukraine border. After interrogation by the Russian air controller and receiving no answer anti-aircraft radars illuminated them. After that planes returned to the west. NATO gave up on further incursions.

On the territory of Novorossia over 50000 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered, about 20000 were wounded and more than 15000 dead, mostly from the west of Ukraine. Out of about 10000 NATO soldiers, less than 1000. Most of the dead NATO soldiers were hit by thermobaric munitions so there were very few bodies to be recovered.

CNN headline “Russians barbarically massacred NATO advisers”

4th of March

By morning, shootings on the territory of Novorossia mostly stopped. Over 10000 officials of the Kiev regime were arrested, some resisted and were killed. Electricity was gradually restored on the territory, telephone and internet services also came online. Mobile services were still patchy because main exchanges were on Kiev territory.

In the west of Ukraine there is electricity for only a few hours a day. From time to time big explosions were heard when another ammunition dump was hit, or some forgotten military unit or object was hit. Small arms fire was also heard when Russian Spetsnaz units found some of the hunted war criminals. Attack helicopters were protecting units on NPP as well blocking units on border points.

The Pridniester assembly voted to join Novorossia. Each regional assembly voted to join Donbass and Lugansk and form independent Novorossia. They decided to have a referendum on forming independent Novorossia on 9th of May. Also they requested help from the Russian Federation to bootstrap the economy and help in maintaining security and order on the territory of Novorossia.

CNN headline “Russia annexes Ukraine and Moldavia”

Collective West rages and raves but does nothing except trash talk of some sanctions.

They threatened NS2, but as they retreated Ukronazis destroyed part of the gas-pipeline. Something similar happens on the gas-pipeline through Poland. Russia promises to continue supplies of gas as per contracts through Turkish stream and NS1 and NS2.

5th of March

Novorossia announces that it takes full responsibility for security on its own territory and asks Russia for help in policing borders and air space. Also announces that it will enforce a no-fly zone over west Ukraine, until a provisional government is formed on that territory.

Russian border blocking teams start to evacuate from west borders as well as Spetsnaz hunting teams. Only teams protecting NPP in west Ukraine stay until order and provisional government is established.

Protection forces are also on Dnieper on both sides of the river at bridges and HPP.

Ukronazis are arrested, dead or in the EU. NATO troops are dead, in captivity or they have heavy headaches or Havana syndrome.

CNN headline “Russian terror continues in east Ukraine”

6th of March

All Russian forces have returned from western Ukraine territory. On request of Lavov Mayor, one more reactor in each NPP. Some more technicians and engineers have reported for work in NPP. Situation with electricity is marginally improved in west Ukraine.

The International Red Cross sends delegates to help with bodies retrieval of NATO personnel.

OSCE representatives are in mental breakdown and have requested evacuation. Novorossia forces allowed evacuation of foreign nationals, without any equipment, computers or documentation. Locals employed in OSCE were detained as material witnesses.

Any relief flights due to the no-fly zone have to land in Minsk or Tiraspol for inspection and getting armed guard for protection. Also all of the runways in west Ukraine are damaged and not repaired yet. Only useful runways are in Borispil International Airport which has one runway repaired and is under control of Novorossia forces. Another one is Lymanske Airfield but it does not have much capacity.

CIA operatives in Kiev are dead or croaked. Nuland is out of cookies.

CNN headline “Russia is dismembering Ukraine”

7th of March

Several CIA trained “Guerilla” fighters came forward in Novorossia and started to show new authorities where safe houses, cashes of arms, ammunition and equipment. They also identified CIA handlers and other members of “Guerillas”.

The Temporary National Assembly of Novorossia had its first session in Poltava. It was confirmed that a referendum will be held in Novorossia territory on 9th of May. In parallel with referendum polls for delegates for the Constituent Assembly will be held. International community was invited to send observers to the referendum.

The Elected National Constituent Assembly will start work at 8th of July at Poltava.

Another decision is that the International Court for prosecution of War crimes in Ukraine will start work in Mariupol at 29th of August. It will prosecute war crimes and crimes against humanity of Ukrainian and International actors. Prosecutors will be from Novorossia and judges will be from countries which suffered similar atrocities from the USA, UK and NATO. (China, Vietnam, Iran, Somalia, Syria, Serbia, Libanon, Palestine etc).

It also asked Russia to help Novorosia protect its borders, its maritime borders as well its air space.

CNN headline “Russia establishes Kangaroo court against West”

Tuesday morning headlines (a little change of tone or not?)

January 25, 2022

A few more links here, and amongst the many similar to yesterday’s, I decided to single out some possibly different ones:

NATO member will withdraw troops in event of war with Russia – president

Russia may not be poised to invade Ukraine – Pentagon

Germany has ‘betrayed’ Ukraine – Kiev mayor

No threat of immediate Russian attack on Ukraine – EU

Oleksiy Danilov informed about the results of the NSDC meeting

Zelensky to Ukrainians: Everything under control, no reason to panic

Ukraine urges calm, saying Russian invasion not imminent

Of course, this selection is very one-sided, there are many more headlines every bit as bad the ones yesterday, so let’s not make too much of this.

Also, please remember that in 08.08.08 Saakashvili made a speech promising peace to South Ossetia just HOURS before the Georgian forces attacked!

But what this does show, is that there is a “narrative chaos“.

Actually, this is just the tip of a much bigger iceberg.  The fact is that Russia’s ultimatum has created chaos in the so-called “united West” pitting some part of the deep state elites against others.  That, by itself, is already a very good outcome.

Another good outcome is the laughable idea to send a few thousands US troops to “defend Europe” within five days.  Why is is laughable:

  • a few thousand troops make no difference
  • bringing them to the EU is not enough, you then have to prepare them and deploy them for combat; that would take much longer.
  • If a Ukie attack is limited to the LDNR, it will take about 24 hours to stop it.  It would take Russia less than a week to destroy the Ukie military.  By the time the first US jarheads land in Germany or Poland, it will all be over.
  • Finally, what does adding several thousands solider from a military which has never fought in defense of its homeland and never won a war since WWII do to “deter Russia” anyway?

Next, I strictly personal opinion about Russian forces in Cuba/Nicarague/Venezuela/etc.

As Andrei Martyanov recently commented, western military moves are all about PR.  Russian military moves are all about war.  From a PR prospective, deploying Russian missiles in Cuba or Venezuela might look like a good idea, but from a military point of view?

Does anybody remember that the USSR had several brigades defending the Soviet missiles in Cuba?  Why, because Cuba is as close to the USA as Estonia is to Russia, and that means that deploying forces right across the US border puts that force at a huge risk of US preemptive attack.

Next, while Cuba is the most stable of them all, it is a fact that thanks to decades of subversion, attacks, sabotage, coup attempts and the like, countries like Nicaragua or Venezuela are inherently unstable (again, by no fault of their own).  Placing weapons like, say, the Iskander complexes there would not only expose them to attack, but even possibly to capture.  Some will say that Russia can send forces there to defend them.  In theory – yes.  But in practice?

Such a deployment would be both risky and very very expensive.  Also, what if the US decides not to invade Cuba/Venezuela/Nicaragua but to blockade it.  Does the Russian military have the means to breach a blockade many thousands of miles away from Russia?  Nope, she does not.  Neither her Navy nor her Aerospace forces have the means to engage in a struggle for naval/air superiority against the USA in the Caribbean.

It would be much safer, quicker and cheaper to use her submarines and long range aviation to threaten both US coasts, the one in the Atlantic and the one in the Pacific with cruise and ballistic missiles, including hypersonic ones.  I won’t even mention the Poseidon underwater drones which could completely wipe out both US coasts.

Interestingly, the RAND corporation is posting articles which strongly suggest that the US and the West are deluding themselves about how war between Banderastan and Russia would look.  Check these out:

U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine: A Silver Bullet?

Ukraine Needs Help Surviving Airstrikes, Not Just Killing Tanks

Okay, RAND is RAND, so they will never challenge the official narrative about Russia as the evil aggressor, but this shows, yet again, that there is some very serious disagreements inside the US ruling elites.

I will conclude today with 4 photos under the heading “one image is worth 1000 words”:

This is the Russian minister of defense:

These are Russian soliders

This is the Ukie minister of defense:

This is, according the The Times, the soldiers civilians which will deter/defeat the Russians

Reach your own conclusions 🙂

Andrei

PS: if you understand Russian, here is some good info on the woman created above.

نقاط انسحاب الحريريّ يختتم ثلاثة عقود… نحو التصفير على الحروف

الثلاثاء 25 كانون ثاني 2022

ناصر قنديل

قبل ثلاثة عقود تماماً كان الدخول الأول للرئيس رفيق الحريري الى السراي الحكومي رئيساً للحكومة، دون أن يكون لديه تيار سياسي أو كتلة نيابية، مفتتحاً مساراً جديداً في الحياة السياسية والاقتصادية، في ظل تفاهم سوري سعودي على تمكينه من تشكيل الركن الثالث في الترويكا التي شكلت إطار النظام المنبثق من اتفاق الطائف، في ظل معادلة كان الخلل فيها قد أصاب شرعية الانتخابات النيابية بعد المقاطعة المسيحية. وكانت القيادات المسيحية الوازنة، مَن اشترك في دعم الطائف ومَن عارضه، قد بدأت الاصطفاف على الوقوف خارج النظام الجديد. وكانت السعودية غير راضية عن تمثيل الطائفة السنية السياسي بزعامات تمثل بيوتاً تاريخية في كل من بيروت وطرابلس وصيدا والبقاع تجمعها بسورية علاقات مميّزة. وصار نهوض الترويكا يعادل حصر التمثيل السني بالرئيس الحريري، وتصفير الساحة السياسية لطائفته، ومركزتها حوله، مقابل تقاسم ثنائي حركة أمل وحزب الله لتمثيل الساحة الشيعية، وإبقاء التمثيل المسيحي مفتوحاً على البيوتات السياسية بدلاً من الأحزاب التاريخية، وحتى قبيل اغتياله ومن ثم عودة القيادات المسيحية الغائبة او المغيبة الى المسرح، حاول الرئيس رفيق الحريري تقديم الغطاء السني والمسيحي معاً، لنظام الطائف.

تزامن رحيل الرئيس رفيق الحريري ودخول الرئيس سعد الحريري الى المسرح مع سقوط تدريجيّ ثم شامل، للمعادلة السورية السعودية، وصولاً لانخراط السعودية في الحرب على سورية، وتموضع الرئيس سعد الحريري في هذه الحرب. وتزامن ذلك أيضاً مع هجوم سياسي على المقاومة ترجم عسكرياً في حرب تموز 2006، وتبديلاً لأولويات السياسة في لبنان على الضفة الدولية التي نجحت واشنطن باحتكارها بعد انهيار الاتحاد السوفياتي، من الانخراط في التسويات مع خيار الممانعة، نحو محاصرة المقاومة. وجاءت حرب العراق وسلسلة الحروب التي تبعتها على لبنان وغزة وصولاً لحرب إسقاط سورية ترجمة لهذا التبدل. وتموضعت السعودية ومعها الرئيس سعد الحريري في هذا الخيار، ووضعت القيادات المسيحية العائدة للانخراط في المسرح السياسي بين خياري التحالف مع المقاومة، كما فعل التيار الوطني الحر، أو الوقوف على ضفة العداء لها كما فعلت القوات اللبنانية وفعل حزب الكتائب، ونتج عن الفشل في هذه الحروب على المقاومة، وآخرها حرب الإسقاط المالي للبنان بعد حرب الإسقاط العسكري لسورية، بدء توزيع الخسائر في صفوف حلف الحرب، وكما حمّلت أميركا حلفاءها السعوديّ والإسرائيليّ والتركيّ والقطريّ مسؤولية الفشل، فرحل بنيامين نتنياهو، وأغلقت الأبواب في واشنطن بوجه محمد بن سلمان، وتم ترحيل أمير قطر (الأب) ورئيس وزرائه، وفرضت العقوبات على أردوغان ونظامه، قامت السعودية بقيادة ولي عهدها بتحميل الحريري مسؤولية الفشل، ووضعت عليه الحرم السياسي، من احتجازه عام 2017 وصولاً لفرض إعلان انسحابه أمس.

رغم إصرار الحريري على تبني الخطاب السياسي العدائي تجاه المقاومة يسجل له أنه يُعاقب على عدم انخراطه في اللعبة الدمويّة التي طلبها منه السعوديون وارتضاها سواه. وهو بذلك كان يقيم حسابات المصلحة، كما كان يسمّيها والده، عندما رفض السير بما طلبه منه الأميركيون والفرنسيون لجهة المضي في الوقوف بوجه التمديد للرئيس أميل لحود لفتح الباب لإسقاط سورية في لبنان كسياق لترجمة القرار 1559 الذي تذكره الخليج اليوم بقيادة السعودية كعنوان لمبادرتهم نحو لبنان، فصارت دماء الرئيس رفيق الحريري وقوداً أفضل من بقائه لتطبيق بند الانسحاب السوري من لبنان الذي نص عليه القرار، وإطلاق الرهان على حرب تموز 2006 لتطبيق البند الخاص بسلاح المقاومة، وهو البند الذي رافق مسار الرئيس سعد الحريري، كطلب أميركي سعودي ضاغط في أولويات السياسة، فوجد الانسحاب من المسرح السياسي أمس، أقلّ الأثمان المتاحة، تاركاً لهم الفرصة لترجمة خيار العودة لتصفير الساحة السياسية لما قبل مجيء والده وحضوره الى المسرح، بعدما قرر الأميركيون والسعوديون السير بهذا التصفير، منذ 17 تشرين أول 2019، سعياً لتحويل لبنان الى مستنقع من الفراغ والفوضى تغرق فيه المقاومة. والمقصود من التصفير، العودة بلبنان الى ما قبل اتفاق الطائف في ظل الانهيار المالي يوم كان سعر الدولار قد ارتفع أكثر من مئة ضعف، والتفتت السياسي، والتشظي الطائفي، والفلتان الأمني، وهامشية الدولة ومؤسساتها، وفتح الباب لولادة تجمّعات صغيرة تملأ المشهد بالضجيج والصراخ، دون أن تملك حضوراً شعبياً يخولها دخول المسرح السياسي التمثيلي بقوة، على طريقة السودان والصومال، حيث يلعب المجتمع المدني دوراً، جماعة الحرية والتغيير في السودان التي تستنجد بـ «إسرائيل» لطلب وساطة أميركية وإنتاج حل سياسي في السودان، يقابلها نموذج حركات متطرفة تشبه حركة الشباب في الصومال، التي تتحالف مع تنظيم القاعدة.

الذي يغيب عن حسابات جماعة مشروع التصفير، هو أن لبنان والمقاومة فيه قد بلغا مرحلة من المنعة والقوة، رغم كل نقاط الضعف، ما يجعل توازن نقاط الضعف بالمقارنة مع كل حلفاء واشنطن في المنطقة، مشابهاً لتوازن نقاط القوة، لصالح المقاومة، وخصوصاً مع «إسرائيل» والسعودية، لتصير هي الأقدر على رسم معادلة الخروج بسلام من مشروع التصفير. وفي واشنطن حيث ثمة من لا يريد للانسحاب من أفغانستان أن يتحول الى نهج واستراتيجية ويصرّ على تقديمها كسانحة عابرة لها خصوصيتها، أملاً باسترداد مهابة تفاوضية أقوى مع روسيا والصين وإيران، هناك من يقرأ تجارب كازاخستان وأوكرانيا كتأكيدات تجعل أفغانستان سياقاً سيتكرر حكماً في العراق وسورية، وفي واشنطن حيث من لا يريد لاستثناء لبنان من عقوبات قانون قيصر في استجرار الكهرباء الأردنية والغاز المصري عبر سورية، أن يتحول الى سياسة، ويسعى لإنعاش سياسة الضغوط والابتزاز وتشجيع الحلفاء على المزيد من الضغوط، وهو ما تحاول اختباره الورقة الخليجية. هناك من يقرأ في مخاطر التردد في ترسيم الحدود البحرية للبنان، فرصة قد تكرّر تجربة سفن كسر الحصار التي فرضت الاستثناء من العقوبات، بصيغة سفن للتنقيب عن النفط والغاز تقلب الطاولة، وترسم مشهداً جديداً، لا يريده الذين يرددون اليوم أن الاتفاق النووي مع إيران أحلى الأمرين، وأن التسليم بالفشل في الحرب على اليمن يشبه مرارة التسليم بالفشل في الحرب على أفغانستان، لكن ليس أمام السعودية والإمارات بدائل أفضل مما كان متاحاً لواشنطن.

مخاض التصفير، تحدّ وفرصة!

فيديوات مرتبطة

مقالات مرتبطة

Ansarullah Includes ’Israel’ in Its List of Targets أنصار الله تضمّ «إسرائيل» إلى قائمة الأهداف

Jan 25 2022

By Hussein Ibrahim | Al-Akhbar Newspaper

Translated by al-Ahed News

Each new day reveals more about the UAE’s ambitions in Yemen, requiring the Sanaa leadership to respond with the sort of attacks carried out against Abu Dhabi and Dubai. According to the latest information coming from the ground, the objective of the UAE-backed militias was not only to establish a presence in Shabwa, but to use it as a springboard to penetrate southern Marib. The aim is to lift the siege on the last remaining areas of the governorate that are occupied.

Today, it’s also evident that the Emiratis aren’t alone in this battle. The Americans are standing with them. There was also an “Israeli” role, which is still being examined by Ansarullah. When the nature of that role is confirmed, Ansarullah will determine the appropriate response. According to the information coming out Sana’a, “Israel” will not be spared.

Elsewhere on the battlefield, the Yemeni army and the popular committees regained the initiative and altered their tactics in line with recent changes adopted by the Saudi-Emirati alliance.

Meanwhile, the Sana’a leadership is preparing for all scenarios, realizing that the Americans who are returning to the region will not refrain from using all means, including psychological dimensions, to implement the agenda they previously failed to advance. But according to assurances from Ansarullah, they won’t succeed in implementing it.

This is what the scene in Yemen looks like at the moment: The aggression exhausted all its options when it went to the limit, which involves “butchering” Yemeni civilians, to compensate for its inability to stop the strikes on Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

But scenes of the martyred children that the world saw became a burden on the aggressors, who rushed to shift blame to one another. On the other hand, the source of the UAE’s strength, which appeared during the attack of the “Giant Brigades” in Shabwa, is its weak point. The attack was carried out with massive fire cover from “Israeli” drones, especially since the region where the battles unfolded are broad areas of flat land.

The Ansarullah movement is currently working to ascertain whether “Israeli” crews or Emirati crews trained by “Israel” directly operated these drones. If the first case scenario turns out to be true Ansarullah is determined to target “Israel” directly, which is causing panic in Tel Aviv, because the “Israelis” know that whoever struck Abu Dhabi can hit Eilat.

But in either case, the “Israeli” involvement in the war, especially in command and control operations such as communications, and jamming poses a threat to the Emirates itself, whose long-cherished security that represents the pillar of its prosperity has become a hostage to the tampering of “Israeli” projects – which Abu Dhabi had sought to mitigate by sending delegates to Tehran and other concerned parties before the events in Shabwa.

Meanwhile, the pretext for the attack in Shabwa is that the directorates seized by the “Giants” belong to southern Yemen and not to the north. This is based on what the Emiratis say is a tacit agreement with Sana’a – Abu Dhabi will leave the war in exchange for Ansarullah not approaching the south.

However, the course of the Emirati actions, on the ground and politically, shows that the Emirati goal is Marib and nothing else. The fighters loyal to Abu Dhabi, who withdrew from Hodeidah weeks ago, are the same ones who fought in Shabwa. On the political front, among the objectives of the rapprochement processes launched by Abu Dhabi a few months ago (involving efforts to reestablish ties with Turkey) was to prepare for this particular battle.

It was clear that Saudi Arabia had reached a dead end in Yemen and was unable to make any difference on its own. Therefore, a global alliance was established: the Americans are the decisionmakers, leading from the shadows, there is an active “Israeli” role, and the UAE spearheading it, backed by Saudi Arabia.

Hence, despite the recent massacres, Washington hastened to recruit the world to serve the aggression and protect Abu Dhabi. This is evidence of a critical weakness in the structure of the Emirati state, which isn’t capable of withstanding successive strikes by Ansarullah, especially since the Yemeni strikes against Abu Dhabi and Dubai were more extensive than what was previously announced and included ballistic missiles and drones. The UAE’s presidential adviser, Anwar Gargash admitted as much.

The UAE, which has been thrown into a position it cannot cope with, tried to compensate by announcing the cessation of the “Giants’” attack in Shabwa, but the Ansarullah movement had absorbed the attack and established its defensive positions. It also assessed what happened and changed some tactics so as to avoid a repeat of the situation. Soon, it will return to the offensive, with a determination to complete its journey to the city of Marib, no matter the cost.

As for taking the war into the Emirates, the next blow is only a matter of time – because nothing can protect this country from such strikes that Ansarullah sees as an easy matter. Neither Abu Dhabi nor Tel Aviv, nor Washington possess the cure for this matter, as the latter is confused on how to confront it in Iraq – knowing that the drones come from over the sea and cannot be downed before they reach their Emirati targets. The most sensitive targets are spread out across the beaches, such as Burj Khalifa. This terrifies the rulers in the UAE, as it terrified the rulers of Saudi Arabia before them, despite the fact that the possibility of intercepting incoming projectiles in the Kingdom is far greater, especially in areas far from the shores.

Hence, the war has become a war of drones, where Tel Aviv and Washington excel only in the ability of their drones to launch missiles, that is, to throw them into battles similar to what happened in Shabwa. Meanwhile, the technology of drones loaded with explosives and capable of flying long distances is available to everyone.

Therefore, danger looms over the UAE, as the price of handing over state security to “Israel” will be very high, while the latter seeks to seize the security of all Gulf countries through the Emirati gate, as an alternative or partner to the Americans. This will lead to the destabilization of those countries not only through external threats, but also by provoking their people, who cannot be separated from their surroundings by superior decisions. Despite the foregoing, it is expected that arms deal between Gulf capitals and Tel Aviv will intensify, especially in the field of missile interceptors.

The UAE brought it upon itself. Ansarullah was not in the process of bringing it back into the battle it left for many reasons, including tribal factors such as the internal fabric of Yemen, especially in Marib, as well as political and military factors related to the neutralization of Riyadh’s allies.

Despite the American mobilization to support the aggression, which the Emirati ambassador in Washington, Yousef Al-Otaiba, worked on in the White House and Congress and that resulted from a call made by the US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin to the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi Mohammed bin Zayed, the mobility of the Americans is restricted; the escalation completely contradicts declarations by the Joe Biden administration about its supposed desire to stop the war and end offensive weapons deliveries to the coalition, especially after it was proven that the Ansarullah movement’s weapons are mostly manufactured locally. A confidential report by the UN Security Council, which was seen by the Los Angeles Times confirmed that the movement manufactures most of its missiles using local materials and other components that it obtains from abroad through a complex network of brokers in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. The movement also makes its own decision. Therefore, the only solution is to end the aggression and not rely on negotiations which only complicate matters.

Accordingly, in order to achieve this goal, Washington will need to negotiate with the Yemenis and no one else.

أنصار الله تضمّ «إسرائيل» إلى قائمة الأهداف

الإثنين 24 كانون الثاني 2022

حسين إبراهيم 

يوماً بعد يوم، تتكشّف المزيد من الحقائق حول الخطوات الأخيرة التي قامت بها الإمارات في اليمن، واستدعت من قيادة صنعاء ردّاً بحجم ضرْب أبو ظبي ودبي. إذ بحسب المعلومات، لم يكن هدف الميليشيات المدعومة إماراتياً، وفق ما يتمّ ترويجه، الاستقرار في شبوة فقط، وإنّما أرادت النفاذ من شبوة إلى جنوب مأرب، بهدف فكّ الحصار عن مركز المحافظة الأخيرة. كذلك، يتّضح اليوم أن الإماراتيين لم يقفوا وحدهم في هذه المعركة، بل اصطفّ جنباً إلى جنبهم الأميركيون، مع مشاركة إسرائيلية لا تزال «أنصار الله» تتفحّص طبيعتها. ومتى تتأكّد بالنسبة إلى الحركة نوعيّة تلك المشاركة، حتى تُقرّر الردّ المناسب عليها، والذي لن يوفّر الكيان العبري، وفق المعطيات الآتية من صنعاء. أمّا على أرض الميدان اليمني، فقد استعاد الجيش اليمني و»اللجان الشعبية» المبادرة، وغيّرا من تكتيكاتهما بما يتوافق مع التحوّلات الأخيرة التي سُجّلت على جبهة التحالف السعودي – الإماراتي، فيما وضعت قيادة صنعاء في حساباتها كلّ الاحتمالات، مدرِكةً أن الأميركي الذي يعود اليوم إلى المنطقة، لن يستنكف عن استخدام أيّ وسيلة، بما فيها الأثر النفسي المفترَض للمذابح المرتكَبة أخيراً، من أجل إخضاعها لأجندته التي فشل سابقاً في تسويقها، ولن يستطيع الآن إنفاذها، طِبْق تأكيدات «أنصار الله»

الصورة في اليمن الآن على الشكل الآتي: استنفد العدوان كلّ خياراته حين ذهب إلى الحدّ الأقصى، وهو «التجزير» بالمدنيين اليمنيين، تعويضاً عن العجز عن وقْف الضربات على السعودية والإمارات. لكنّ المشاهد التي رآها الرأي العام العالمي للأطفال الشهداء، صارت عبئاً على قِوى العدوان نفسها، التي سارعت إلى محاولة تقاذف المسؤولية عنها. من ناحية أخرى، مصدر «قوّة» الإمارات، والذي ظهر خلال هجوم «ألوية العمالقة» في شبوة، هو ذاته نقطة ضعفها. فالهجوم، وفق المعلومات، تمّ بتغطية نارية هائلة من مسيّرات إسرائيلية، خاصة أن المناطق التي جرت فيها المعارك مكشوفة. وتعمل حركة «أنصار الله» حالياً على التأكّد ممّا إذا كانت طواقم إسرائيلية قامت بتشغيل تلك المسيّرات بصورة مباشرة، أم طواقم إماراتية درّبتها إسرائيل. في الحالة الأولى، تُبدي الحركة عزماً على استهداف الكيان العبري بصورة مباشرة، الأمر الذي يثير ذعراً في تل أبيب، لمعرفة الإسرائيليين بأن مَن يضرب أبو ظبي يستطيع أن يضرب إيلات.

لكن في أيّ من الحالتين، يشكّل التورّط الإسرائيلي في الحرب، وخاصة في عمليات القيادة والسيطرة مثل الاتّصالات والتشويش وغيرهما، خطراً على الإمارات نفسها، التي صار أمنها الذي طالما تغنّت به، ويمثّل ركيزة ازدهارها، رهينةً لِعبث المشاريع الإسرائيلية، وهو ما كانت أبو ظبي قد سعت للتخفيف منه، من خلال إرسال الموفدين إلى طهران وجهات أخرى مَعنيّة، قبل أن يحدث ما حدث في شبوة، والذي كانت ذريعته أن المديريات التي جرت السيطرة عليها من قِبَل «العمالقة» تتبع لجنوب اليمن وليس لشماله، على أساس ما يقول الإماراتيون إنه اتّفاق ضمني مع صنعاء على خروج أبو ظبي من الحرب، مقابل عدم اقتراب «أنصار الله» من الجنوب. لكنّ مسار التحرّكات الإماراتية، ميدانياً وسياسياً، يُظهر أن الهدف الإماراتي هو مأرب وليس أيّ شيء آخر؛ فالمقاتلون الموالون لأبو ظبي، والذين انسحبوا من الحديدة قبل أسابيع، هم أنفسهم مَن قاتلوا في شبوة. أمّا على المستوى السياسي، فإن عمليات التقارب التي أطلقتها أبو ظبي قبل أشهر، وشملت خاصة تركيا، كان من ضمن أهدافها التمهيد لهذه المعركة بالذات.

ستعود «أنصار الله» قريباً إلى الهجوم مع تصميم على إكمال الطريق نحو مأرب مهما كلّف الأمر


كان واضحاً أن السعودية وصلت إلى طريق مسدود في اليمن، وباتت عاجزة بمفردها عن إحداث أيّ فرق. ولذلك، قام تحالف عالمي موازٍ، بقرارٍ وقيادةٍ (من الخلْف) أميركيَّين، وبمشاركة إسرائيلية نشطة، على أن تكون الإمارات رأس الحربة فيه، والمملكة خلفها. ومن هنا، وعلى رغم المجازر المرتكَبة أخيراً، سارعت واشنطن إلى تجنيد العالم لخدمة العدوان وحماية أبو ظبي، وهذا دليل وهْن كبير في بنية الدولة الإماراتية، التي قد لا تحتمل ضربات متلاحقة من جانب «أنصار الله»، خصوصاً أن الردّ اليمني بقصف أبو ظبي ودبي، كان أكبر مما أُعلن عنه سابقاً وشمل صواريخ باليستية ومسيّرات، وفق اعتراف المستشار الرئاسي الإماراتي، أنور قرقاش. حاولت الإمارات، التي تشعر بأنها تورّطت في ما لا قِبَل لها به، التعويض من خلال الإعلان عن وقْف هجوم «العمالقة» في شبوة، إلّا أن حركة «أنصار الله» كانت قد استوعبت الهجوم، وثبّتت مواقعها الدفاعية، كما أجرت تقييماً لما حصل وغيّرت بعض التكتيكات حتى لا يتكرّر، على أن تعود قريباً إلى الهجوم، مع تصميم على إكمال الطريق نحو مدينة مأرب، مهما كلّف الأمر.

أما في ما يتّصل بنقْل الحرب إلى داخل الإمارات، فإن الضربة التالية هي مسألة وقت فقط؛ ذلك أن لا شيء يمكن أن يحمي هذه الدولة من هكذا ضربات تُعتبر مسألة يسيرة بالنسبة إلى «أنصار الله»؛ فلا «دواء» لهذا الأمر لا عند أبو ظبي، ولا لدى واشنطن التي تحتار في كيفية مواجهته في العراق، ولا بحوزة تل أبيب، علماً أن الطائرات المُسيّرة تأتي من فوق البحر، ولا يمكن التقاطها قبل أن تبلغ أهدافها الإماراتية التي ينتشر الأكثر حيوية منها، مثل «برج خليفة»، بالقرب من الشواطئ، وهذا ما يرعب حكّام الإمارات، كما أرعب من قَبْلهم حكام السعودية، على رغم أن إمكانية الالتقاط والاعتراض في المملكة أكبر بكثير، وخاصة في المناطق البعيدة عن الشواطئ. إذاً، الحرب صارت حرب مسيّرات، حيث لا تتفوّق تل أبيب وواشنطن إلّا بقدرة طائراتهما على إطلاق الصواريخ، أي زجّها في المعارك كما حصل في شبوة، بينما تتوفّر تقنية المسيّرات المحمَّلة بالمتفجرات والقادرة على الطيران مسافات طويلة، للجميع. ومن هنا، يأتي الخطر على الإمارات، حيث سيكون ثمن تسليم أمن الدولة لإسرائيل باهظاً جدّاً، فيما الأخيرة تسعى للإمساك بأمن دول الخليج كافّة من البوّابة الإماراتية، كبديل أو شريك للأميركي، مع أن ذلك سيؤدي إلى زعزعة استقرار تلك الدول، ليس بفعْل الاستهداف الخارجي لها فقط، بل أيضاً من خلال استفزاز شعوبها التي لا يمكن سلخها عن محيطها بقرارات فوقية. وعلى رغم ما تَقدّم، يُتوقّع أن تتكثّف صفقات السلاح بين عواصم خليجية وتل أبيب، خاصّة في مجال الاعتراض.

جنَت على نفسها الإمارات، التي لم تكن «أنصار الله»، في الأساس، في وارد إعادتها إلى المعركة بعدما خرجت منها، لأسباب كثيرة، بينها ما هو قبَلي يتعلّق بنسيج اليمن الداخلي، وخصوصاً في مأرب، وبينها ما هو سياسي وعسكري يتّصل بتحييد حلفاء الرياض. وعلى رغم الاستنفار الأميركي لدعم العدوان، والذي عمل عليه السفير الإماراتي في واشنطن، يوسف العتيبة، في البيت الأبيض والكونغرس، وأسفر عن اتّصال أجراه وزير الدفاع الأميركي، لويد أوستن، بوليّ عهد أبو ظبي، محمد بن زايد، إلّا أن الحركة الأميركية تظلّ مقيّدة؛ ذلك أن التصعيد يتعارض تماماً مع ما أعلنته إدارة جو بايدن من رغبتها في وقف الحرب، وإنهاء دعم «التحالف» بالأسلحة الهجومية، خاصة بعدما ثبت أن سلاح حركة «أنصار الله» يُصنع في غالبيّته محلياً (يؤكد تقرير سرّي لمجلس الأمن الدولي، اطّلعت عليه صحيفة «لوس أنجلس تايمز» الأميركية، أن الحركة تَصنع معظم صواريخها باستخدام مواد محلية ومكوّنات أخرى تحصل عليها من الخارج، عبر شبكة معقّدة من الوسطاء في أوروبا والشرق الأوسط وآسيا)، كما أن قرارها ذاتي، وبالتالي فإن الحلّ الوحيد هو وضع نهاية للعدوان، وليس التفاوض الذي يمزج بين الساحات. وعليه، ستحتاج واشنطن، من أجل تحقيق هذا الهدف، إلى التفاوض مع اليمنيين وليس مع أيّ أحد آخر.

مقالات مرتبطة

Between a Rising Tide and Apartheid: Environmental Justice in Palestine

January 23, 2022

The environmental situation in Gaza is dire at the moment. (Photo: via ActiveStills.org)

By Jim Miles

A recent seminar from the group “Visualizing Palestine” served to present four graphic representations of environmental problems within Israel/Palestine.

The graphics are self-explanatory and need no review here – they are after all graphic, and speak well for themselves. The discussion talked around the graphics, what they emphasized and how they are necessary for a clear understanding of environmental issues in Palestine.

The overriding message of the environmental perspective of the discussion is that it cannot be separated from the colonial-settler geopolitical message. Colonial-settler actions are destructive and extractive for indigenous environments whether in Palestine or in other areas of European/western conquests. While not described as such, the presentation very well fits under the academic rubric of cultural geography – the effects of culture on geography and its corollary, how changes to geographical situations are used to create a dominant culture.

Cartography

One of the recurring issues was presenting maps, a graphic form that can reveal much about colonial destruction, settler extraction, and attempts to greenwash settler actions. In the public sphere aerial photography and satellite images are censored by the U.S. government [thus Google, Facebook et al] creating a situation where Palestinians “are alienated from our own cartography.” This has two main components.

First, after the nakba and the destruction of over 500 villages and towns, the Israelis researched all Arab place names to be replaced with Hebraicized and/or biblical names. Most of the villages destroyed were “completely demolished”, “completely erased” through “manipulations of the map.”

Further, more than 180 were concealed by parks and reserves, using non-native species planted on the land to conceal its original occupation. Israel has used this in a form of greenwashing, able to boast about the many trees it has planted and the forests and parks it has created, all the while eliminating any trace of “indigenous land.”

Most people probably do not see this as an environmental issue per se, but the environment cannot be separated from either the geography or the culture of a place. The land is the people. These spatial representations make the visualizing of Palestine objective and factual. The one graphic/map on hazardous waste sites fully demonstrates the “toxic occupation” of Palestinian lands.

The most compelling statement made during the discussion on cartography was “…the settler-colonial imperative is to create private land…for profit” – a strong summation.

Women and Youth

Climate change and environmental damage affect women and youth severely. Childhood diseases, due to malnutrition and poor water quality (particularly mentioned in Gaza) affects women as caregivers. Recent heat waves, the loss of electricity,and the density of refugee settlements have exacerbated women’s access to health care facilities and information.

Women working in agriculture are not considered in studies and research. After displacement due to flooding women do double the work and most of the family recovery. All this – heat, floods, poor agricultural compensation – all have the most impact on women and thus the families they support.

The discussion on youth and the environment centered on the question of why or why not Palestinian young people would participate in the “schol climate strike” actions as seen in many other countries. It comes down to the question of “Will I be alive tomorrow? What is more important, my surviving for another day, or protesting climate issues?”

The latter would induce a reaction from Israeli interests in the form of military action or settler action to protest the “violence” of the youth protests. As for recycling, systems and geographies created under occupation do not allow for an interest in recycling efforts.

Gaza

Gaza carried much of the discussion as it is an imprisonment enclave entirely controlled by Israel. It suffers from issues as indicated above, from heat and flooding, but derived in part from this, food insecurity. In addition 25 percent of good agricultural land is in the “buffer zone” declared by Israel, a de facto free fire zone for the IDF. Israel controls food imports and exports by way of the Gaza blockade. Military and foreign aid pressure is used to deliberately increase the cultural destruction of Palestine – the deliberate destruction of the emblematic olive tree is an attack on both food security and cultural identity.

The fifteen year blockade of Gaza has weakened and jeopardized Gaza’s infrastructure, in particular with water, waste water, and general pollution. Israeli water diversion and co-option of Palestinian agriculture (e.g. strawberries in northern Gaza marketed as Israeli production) seriously affects the food security of the population, now at 68 percent of the population, and only going to increase, as the “adaptive capacity” of Gaza is already exhausted; they are economically and socially/culturaly much more vulnerable to damages.

Cultural Geography

The field of cultural geography covers the various topics raised in the discussion of the environment and its impacts on Palestine. Ironically from the title, apartheid was not discussed per se, but is evident through the discussions of parks, forests, erased villages, hazardous toxic waste sites, and Gaza, and is visible on the cartographic expression of the geography.

The graphic information presented by “Visualizing Palestine” is clear, immediate and easy to understand. It is an important addition to the overall struggle for freedom from colonial-settlerism, ethnic cleansing, and the apartheid nature of the system it creates.

– Jim Miles is a Canadian educator and a regular contributor/columnist of opinion pieces and book reviews to Palestine Chronicles.  His interest in this topic stems originally from an environmental perspective, which encompasses the militarization and economic subjugation of the global community and its commodification by corporate governance and by the American government.

Assisted ‘genocide’: How allied weapons embolden Saudi crimes in Yemen

January 25, 2022

By Farah Hajj Hassan

How the Saudi coalition’s crimes began with weapons from allied nations and why they are determined to remain silent.

Assisted Assassinations: How allied weapons enable Saudi crimes in Yemen

As it turns out, the real-life monsters behind the Saudi-led coalition war on Yemen and the massacre of its people are the same champions and cheerleaders of human rights around the world oozing with hypocrisy and double standards. UNICEF has called the situation in Yemen the world’s worst humanitarian crisis, and the UK, France, Canada, and the US are among the countries responsible for making that nightmare a reality.

The US Department of State reports that human rights abuses of Saudi Arabia include, but are not limited to, “unlawful killings, executions for nonviolent offenses, torture, and cases of cruel, inhuman, or degrading treatment of prisoners, serious restrictions on free expression, the press, and the internet, severe restrictions of religious freedom,” and many many more. As of 2020, Saudi Arabia remains the world’s largest arms importer. Arms sales from the US alone amounted to $3 billion from 2015-2020, agreeing to sell $64.1 billion worth of weapons to Riyadh. 

In what universe does that sound like a government worth funding with weapons? Why then do we not hear the same cries of human rights resounding in the West? Because the west and its previous administrations have long ago sold their soul to the Saudi regime before any of their current administrations can even remember. 

A permanent [bloody] record

US President Joe Biden made foreign policy commitments to end the selling of “offensive” weapons to the kingdom and “end all support” for a war that created a humanitarian catastrophe. 

How did Biden deliver? A major arms sale two months ago, including 280 air-to-air missiles valued at $650 million.

At the time, the Pentagon’s statement said the sale would help to “improve the security of a friendly country that continues to be an important force for political and economic progress in the Middle East.”

Does the US consider economic progress to be the complete destruction and demolishment of a country along with 3,825 murdered children? 

The former administration under Donald Trump shamelessly embraced arms sales to Saudi Arabia that in no doubt helped prolong the war that has killed thousands in what is considered the Arab region’s poorest nation, further destabilizing the already volatile region. 

Unlike Biden, Trump was very public about the economic and diplomatic benefits that would follow the sale, with no regard to the thousands being killed and maimed as a result of the US-designed and manufactured weapons. 

Entesaf Organization for Women and Child Rights in Yemen reported the data, adding that more than 400,000 Yemeni children are suffering from severe malnutrition, 80,000 of whom are at risk of facing death. The number of displaced families as of November has reached 670, 343 in 15 governorates.  Where exactly does Saudi Arabia intend to implement its economic progress in Yemen to allow those families to prosper? 

Britain has been under increased scrutiny over its arms deals to Saudi Arabia and remains silent on the crimes it repeatedly commits. 

The mind-boggling hypocrisy of the west almost has no end. The frenzy that surrounds the defense of Saudi Arabia by its allies can be mirrored with the hysteric defense of “Israel” while it commits its crimes against the Palestinians on a regular basis.

In numerous TV interviews, British and American officials can be shown echoing the same formula we have heard countless times in the last twenty years. Begin with a dictator or lack thereof, blame the people for overthrowing said dictator or supporting him, blame Iran for “emboldening” and training militias, and bam! Claim your get-out-of-jail-free card in international law.

Clean smiles, dirty hands

Other Saudi allies have had their fair share of arms deals that enabled Saudi aggression.

Canada for instance has long been an arms exporter to Saudi Arabia. In 2020, Canada sent close to $2.9 billion of arms hardware to Saudi Arabia. The exports included light-armored vehicles, 31 large-caliber artillery systems, and 152 heavy machine guns

Justin Trudeau, a man who has repeatedly come out and condemned and apologized about residential schools, remains silent regarding the Yemeni children whose schools have been rendered to piles of dust.

In August, Amnesty International Canada and Project Ploughshares urged Canada to end their sales of weapons to Saudi Arabia as a report surfaced accusing the Prime Minister of violating the Arms Trade Treaty (ATT) by exporting weapons to Saudi Arabia. The report detailed evidence that weapons from Canada to the Kingdom were used in the war, including LAVs (light-armored vehicles) and sniper rifles. Under the previous Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Canada inked a $12 billion deal to ship Canadian-made LAVs to Saudi Arabia.

France and the UAE: A match made in hell

In December 2021, France signed a deal with the UAE worth $19.20 billion to supply 80 Rafale fighter planes by Dassault Aviation, the largest single purchase of the Dassault-made Rafale outside of the French Army. Human Rights Watch criticized the sale, saying the UAE has played “a prominent role” in the atrocity-ridden war on Yemen. The statement also said that Riyadh was in 2020 the largest buyer of French weapons.

In a report titled “Arms sales: France and the United Arab Emirates, partners in the crimes committed in Yemen,” numerous organizations list how France failed to respect its human rights commitments according to the UN Arms Trade Treaty which “regulates the international trade in conventional arms.” The report details that the UAE is a strategic ally of France and describes the former as a “repressive dictatorship”, where all dissenting voices risk imprisonment or torture, recalling the unjust sentences issued against 69 human rights activists in 2013 after an unfair trial. 

The investigative French website Disclose revealed that France delivered tens of thousands of arms to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar during President Francois Hollande’s reign in 2016, despite knowing that they would be used in the war on Yemen.

The website quoted “secret defense documents” that “since 2016, France has allowed the delivery of about 150,000 shells” to its two Gulf allies.

The French President met with Mohammed Bin Salman as one of the first western leaders to visit the kingdom since the murder of the Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi in 2018.

The hypocrisy with France, in particular, is that it prides itself in its secular mantra, and its policies have mostly targeted Muslims and adopted highly anti-Islamic rhetoric. Macron’s cozying up to MBS tells a different story, with the Secretary-General of Amnesty International commenting on the move by suggesting that it is part of a “rehabilitation” policy of the Saudi Prince. She expressed, “It grieves me that it is France, a country of human rights, which is used as the tool of this policy.” 

Typhoons of misery for Yemen

Over half of Saudi’s combat aircraft deployed in bombing operations in Yemen are provided by none other than the UK.

The United Kingdom signed off on arms exports worth nearly $1.9 billion to Saudi Arabia between July and September 2020 following the lifting of a ban on weapons sales to the Gulf country. “UK-made weapons have played a devastating role in the Saudi-led attacks on Yemen, and the humanitarian crisis they have created, yet the UK government has done everything it can to keep the arms sales flowing,” said Sarah Waldron, a spokesperson for the Campaign Against the Arms Trade (CAAT). 

The published value of UK arms export to the Saudi-led coalition since the beginning of the war is £6.9 billion, and CAAT estimates that the real value is over £20 billion.

Between January 2015 and December 2019, the British government approved 385 licenses for the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia. The UK Government has confirmed that the Saudi-led coalition attacked Yemen with weaponry that was manufactured in the UK, including Typhoon and Tornado fighter planes, Paveway bombs, and Brimstone and Stormshadow missiles. 

The British government has also admitted that precision-guided weapons have also been used in the war on Yemen. 

The Mwatana’s 2019 report “Day of Judgement: the role of the US and Europe in civilian death, destruction, and trauma in Yemen,” dissects the details of UK weapons and attacks on civilians in Yemen including an attack on a community college, warehouse, and multiple factories. 

Raining missiles 

Days ago, the Yemeni Armed Forces announced “carrying out a qualitative military operation, Yemen Hurricane, in response to the escalation of aggression against the country.” The operation targeted Abu Dhabi’s airport, the oil refinery in Mussafah in Abu Dhabi, and several other sites in the UAE.

Ali Al-Qahoum, a member of Ansar Allah Political Bureau, blessed the Yemeni operation in the UAE depth, saying that “this operation and others will continue as long as the aggression and siege continue with strategic goals further ahead.”

Yemeni victims of the Saudi-led war filed a complaint against Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan for financing terrorism.

The complaint was submitted on behalf of the Yemeni NGO, the Legal Center for Rights and Development, which is based in the Yemeni capital, Sanaa.

The war on Yemen in numbers

Nowhere to run

The megaphones of human rights campaigns and global petitions against the war on Yemen must be amplified, keeping in mind that the enemy is not Ansar Allah, neither is it the Palestinians, nor is it the Lebanese, or the Chinese, or the Russians. The true enemy of the West is the Axis of Resistance. Time has proven that a refusal to kneel to the demands of the West is all it takes to become an enemy. 

If the cries of the virtuous remain unheard and the coalition and governments complicit in the massacres refuse to listen, then the Yemeni people surely will be left with the only other alternative. It was, is, and will always be the only key that unlocks the shackles of oppression and brutality; Resistance. 

And one thing will certainly never change. The Saudi royals, no matter how enshrined in gold, can never cleanse themselves of the crimes they have committed against humanity, for conscience is the one thing they cannot buy. 

Yemeni Resistance Targets Saudi, Emirati Depths in Latest Retaliatory Op ’Hurricane Yemen 2’

January 24, 2022

By Staff

{And whoever retaliates after having been wronged – those have not upon them any cause [for blame]} – Holy Quran | Ash-Shura | 41

The Yemeni Armed Forces scored yet another retaliatory operation that targeted the Saudi and Emirati depths in the early hours of Monday.

In a statement, Yemeni Armed Forces Spokesman Brigadier General Yehya Saree announced details about the retaliatory operations, saying the Rocketry Force and the Propelled Air Force carried out a wide-scale retaliatory operation in response to the American-Saudi-Emirati crimes against the Yemeni people.

Today’s strike, dubbed ‘Operation Hurricane Yemen 2’, targeted the Saudi and Emirati depths, the military spokesman said.

“The al-Dhafra military airbase and other sensitive targets were hit in the Emirati enemy’s capital, Abu Dhabi, using several Zolfiqar ballistic missiles. Additionally, vital and important targets in Dubai were hit using several Sammad-3 drones,” Saree went on to say.

Meanwhile, the spokesman added that “several military bases in the Saudi depth, particularly in Sharoura area and several areas, were targeted using several Sammad-1 and Qasef-2k drones; while vital and sensitive sites in Jizan and Assir were targeted using several ballistic missiles, scoring precise achievements.”

“The Yemeni Armed Forces affirm full readiness in expanding its operations in the next phase to confront every escalation with another escalation, and renew their advice for foreign companies and investors in the UAE to leave the statelet after it turned an unsafe place,” according to Brigadier General Saree.

The spokesman finally underscored that the UAE will remain a permanent target as long as it continues its aggression and blockade against the Yemeni people.

Earlier media reports estimated that a large number of ballistic missiles and drones targeted several sites in Abu Dhabi and southern Saudi Arabia.

Al-Mayadeen network’s correspondent cited information that said more than two missiles were launched towards the United Arab Emirates.

Meanwhile, the Sanaa government slammed the Arab League’s recent statement, referring to it as paid and doesn’t reflect the Arab conscience.

Saudi Arabia and several of its allies have been attacking the Arab world’s already poorest nation since March 2015 in an unsuccessful bid to change its ruling structure in favor of its former Riyadh-aligned officials.

The war has killed tens of thousands of Yemenis and turned the entire Yemen into the scene of the world’s worst humanitarian crisis.

The Yemeni forces that feature the Yemeni army and its allied fighters from the Popular Committees have, however, vowed not to lay down their arms until the country’s complete liberation from the scourge of the invasion.

Related Videos

Related Articles

Former British MP Corbyn: Arms sales to Saudi Arabia must end now

Jan 22 2022

Net Source: Agencies

By Al Mayadeen Net 

After the Saudi-led coalition launched raids on Yemen, in a continuous act of terrorism and genocide, former British MP Jeremy Corbyn condemned the attacks and called on officials to “stop arms sales to Saudi Arabia.”

British MP Jeremy Corbyn stands in solidarity with Yemen against the Saudi-led coalition.

“Airstrikes in Yemen last night killed more than 60 victims and caused a nationwide internet blackout.

The UK government is complicit in these crimes through arming and training the Saudi-led war on Yemen. Arms sales to Saudi Arabia must end now.”

These were the words of former British MP Jeremy Corbyn in a tweet as he stood in solidarity with Yemen against the Saudi-led coalition’s murderous acts in the war-torn country. 

Earlier, Corbyn stood in solidarity with Yemen against the British government and called on Boris Johnson to “stop arming Saudi Arabia.”

Read more: US Arms in Saudi’s Pool of Blood: The Yemeni Massacre

Corbyn would stop arms sales to Saudi

Two years back, Jeremy Corbyn, the leader of the United Kingdom’s main opposition Labor Party, has stated that if his party wins the country’s upcoming election, he will stop selling arms to Saudi Arabia for use in war-torn Yemen.

“Labour will stop arms sales to Saudi Arabia for use in Yemen and work to end the war there, not actively support it as the Conservative government has done,” Corbyn said in a speech setting out his party’s foreign policy objectives before the December 12 polls.

UN condemns Saudi-led coalition attack

On Friday, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres condemned airstrikes in Yemen by the Saudi-led coalition.

According to Guterres’ Spokesperson, Stephane Dujarric, additional deadly airstrikes in Yemen have been reported, with children among those killed.

“An airstrike on telecommunications facilities in Al-Hudaydah has also significantly disrupted vital internet services across much of the country,” Dujarric said in a statement. “The Secretary-General calls for prompt, effective and transparent investigations into these incidents to ensure accountability.”

Internet blackout across Yemen

Al Mayadeen‘s correspondent reported yesterday that Yemen is suffering from a nationwide internet blackout as a result of the Saudi-led coalition targeting the telecommunications tower in Al-Hudaydah two nights ago.

NetBlocks, which monitors internet networks, showed the blackout began at around 1 am.

Cloudflare, based in San Francisco, has also shown that Yemen is experiencing a blackout.

Yemen’s Al Masirah TV said the airstrike on the telecom building led to civilian casualties and showed footage of people digging through the rubble looking for victims.

Related News

التصعيد في اليمن علامة انطلاق قطار التسويات

السبت 22 كانون ثاني 2022

 ناصر قنديل

في ربيع عام 2015 عندما كان الأميركي قد حسم أمره لجهة التوقيع على الاتفاق النووي، بدأت السعودية والإمارات حربهما على اليمن، بالتنسيق مع الأميركي ولم يكن خافياً وقوف “إسرائيل” في خلفية الحرب، باعتبار حسم أمر اليمن وتصفية المخزون الصاروخي الذي كان بحوزة أنصار الله آنذاك، وفرض السيطرة على مضيق باب المندب وساحل البحر الأحمر، والإمساك باليمن كجغرافيا ذات قيمة استراتيجية في الخليج هو تعويض خسائر السعودية والإمارات و”إسرائيل” جراء التوقيع الأميركي على الاتفاق النووي مع إيران دون انتزاع تنازلات منها في ملفي سلاح الصواريخ ودعم قوى المقاومة. وكان الرهان المؤسس على زواج تقديرات القوة العسكرية، والخلفية العنصرية لاستصغار قدرات اليمن وتهوين ما يختزنه شعبه من مؤهلات وإمكانات، إن الحرب ستحسم خلال أسابيع أو كحد أقصى خلال شهور، حتى أن الأميركيين الذين وعدوا بالحسم خلال مطلع الصيف مددوا فترة ما قبل توقيع الاتفاق النووي مرتين أملاً بأن يُنجز الحسم قبل التوقيع، الذي أنجز في منتصف شهر تموز.

  المتغيّرات التي رافقت الحرب جعلت من اليمنيين رقماً صعباً في معادلة أمن الخليج، بصورة لم تكن قائمة قبل انطلاق الحرب، فقد نجح اليمنيون بفرض حضورهم وتمكّنهم من إفشال أهداف الحرب، رغم خسائرهم الهائلة بالأرواح، وأغلبها خسائر في المدنيين، ورغم الدمار والخراب الذي أصاب عمرانهم وبناهم التحتية، بحيث لم ينجُ جسر ولا منشأة ولا مدينة ولا مرفق من هذه الضريبة الغالية. وبالتدريج بدأ اليمنيون يمسكون بزمام المبادرة الاستراتيجي، المرتكز على ثلاثية أمن البحر الأحمر، مدى الطائرات المسيّرات والصواريخ البالستية نحو مياه الخليج وممرات الطاقة والتجارة العالمية، وعمق كيان الاحتلال الإسرائيلي، وصولا لإقامة معادلة العمق بالعمق عبر النجاح بإيصال الصواريخ والطائرات المسيّرة الى مرافق حيوية في السعودية ولاحقاً في الإمارات رداً على كل استهداف نوعي للعمق اليمني.

عشيّة بدء السنة الثامنة من الحرب، يبدو المشهد شبيهاً لما كان عليه مع بدئها، سواء لجهة ما يجري على الساحة الدولية والإقليمية، أو ما يجري في مسارات الحرب نفسها من ضراوة، فالأميركي الذي خرج من الاتفاق النووي مع إيران، يفاوض اليوم للعودة، وكل الوقائع تقول بأنه بات قاب قوسين أو أدنى من توقيع وثيقة العودة للاتفاق، وهذه المرّة بتسليم مسبق واضح بالعجز عن ضم ملف الصواريخ الإيرانية وما يسمّونه بالنفوذ الإيراني الى ملفات التفاوض، وعدم ضم ملفات الإقليم للملف النووي بمقدار ما هو انتصار لإيران، فالاتفاق نفسه سيخلق مناخاً إقليمياً عنوانه نهاية الفصل الأهم من المواجهة الأميركية الإيرانية، التي تمثل نصف مضامين حروب المنطقة، ويشكل إطفاء نيرانها إيذاناً بانطلاق زمن التسويات، على الأقل من زاوية النظر الأميركية التي لا تحتمل مزيداً من الحرائق في زمن سعيها لتفادي التورط في المزيد من الحروب في زمن له عنوان واحد هو الانسحاب من أفغانستان، ومثال التفاوض حول أوكرانيا حي يُرزق.

إذا كان الوقت المتبقي لحرب اليمن لم يعُد طويلاً، وهو الوقت الفاصل عن توقيع الاتفاق النووي أو ما بعده بشهور قليلة، فإن الوقت المتبقي لتحقيق مكتسبات سعودية وإماراتية تحفظ ماء الوجه عند وقف الحرب، يضيق أكثر، ووحده يفسر هذا التصعيد الجنونيّ، لكن الوقت لا يعمل في اتجاه واحد، فاليمنيون يعتبرون أن الوقت معهم، وأن إنجاز الاتفاق النووي يفتح أمامهم المزيد من الوقت لتحقيق الإنجازات، ولذلك فهم لا يقيمون حساباً لما يجري على ساحات التفاوض، والإصرار السعودي الإماراتي على التصعيد سينتج مزيداً من التصعيد اليمني، الذي سيفرض عليهما الكثير من الخسائر، بدلاً من المكتسبات، وربما يجعل الفترة الفاصلة عن وقف الحرب أقصر.

فيديوات متعلقة

مقالات متعلقة

Raeisi: Iran, Russia Reached ‘Fundamental Agreements’ on Expanding Ties

Jan 21 2022

President Ebrahim Raisi has said that Iran and Russia reached “fundamental agreements” on expanding all-out bilateral relations to secure mutual interests.

“Undoubtedly, the development of relations with Russia will contribute to the security and prosperity of the two nations. Certainly, such security-building cooperation will be for the sake of the region,” Raisi said after arriving in Tehran from Moscow around midnight.

He said that during his Russia trip, which began on Wednesday, the two sides discussed steps to challenge the dominance of the US dollar and continue trade in their national currencies.

“Our oil minister had good agreements with Russian energy officials, the effects of which will emerge later,” he said, adding that good agreements were also reached on removing obstacles to boosting trade relations.

However, the level of trade relations is “not acceptable”, the president stated.

Officials have said the two sides seek to increase the current record $3 billion bilateral trade.

“We decided to increase the level of trade between the two countries to $10 billion in the first stage,” President Raisi said.

“In the field of agriculture, there were also good discussions that would lead to real exchanges of agricultural products,” he said.

In the field of transportation, the two sides decided to advance the North-South corridor which will facilitate transportation and greatly reduce transportation time, the president added.

In 2002, Russia, Iran, and India signed an agreement for the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC), a 7,200 km multi-mode network of ship, rail, and road route for moving freight between India, Iran, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Russia, Central Asia and Europe.

The INSTC is seen a game-changer that will shorten the distance and lower the cost of transportation from South Asia to Europe through Iran and Russia and potentially serve as an alternative to the Suez Canal for East-West trade.

Tehran and Moscow also reached agreements to expand their cooperation in the industry, defense, and aerospace sectors, President Raisi said.

On the first day of his two-day trip, which he described as a “turning point” in Iran-Russia relations, Raisi had a three-hour meeting with his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, during which the Iranian president said the Islamic Republic seeks to forge strategic relations with Moscow.

Later on Wednesday, he met with Iranians residing in Russia. On Thursday, Raisi addressed the State Duma and attended the prayers at the Moscow Grand Mosque at the invitation of Rawil Gaynutdin, chairman of the Russian Mufti Council.

‘US must be held accountable for General Suleimani assassination’

Speaking with Russia’s RT television in an exclusive interview, Raisi said the US must be held accountable for the assassination of Iran’s top anti-terror commander, Lt. Gen. Qassem Suleimani, in Iraq two years ago.

“Qassem Suleimani belonged not only to the people of Iran, but also to the Muslim community. He came to save people’s lives. He made efforts in this direction, and all people, both Muslims and non-Muslims of course, have great respect for his work,” he said.

He said people respected Gen. Suleimani because they knew he managed to save people’s lives from Daesh and other terrorist groups.

“He was able to protect and save people’s lives. Therefore, his presence in Syria and Iraq in the region was aimed at fighting terrorism,” he said.

“Therefore, Qassem Suleimani is a hero and the Americans must give answers,” Raisi said. “They say they are flag-bearers in the fight against terrorism, but why was the hero of the fight against terrorism killed?”

He pointed out that the Americans committed such a great crime and openly confessed to their crime.

“The one who commits such a great crime and confesses to it naturally should be punished in a qualified court,” the president asserted.

“The promise to protect the oppressed and punish the oppressors is, of course, a sincere promise and it will certainly be kept.”

US refusal to abide by JCPOA

Elsewhere in the interview, President Raisi said Iran takes the Vienna negotiations on restoring the 2015 agreement “very seriously”. He made clear that the hurdle to restoring the pact remains Washington’s refusal to abide by its terms.

“What we have seen so far is a violation of obligations on the part of the Americans,” he said, referring to the US withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2018 and its subsequent sanctions on Tehran in violation of the deal.

The Iranian president noted that the European parties to the treaty – France, Germany and the UK – have “also failed to fulfill their obligations” under the JCPOA through “the lack of new appropriate measures” to deal with the US violation.

“The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) stated 15 times that Iran had fulfilled its obligations, that Iran was committed to its obligations,” Raisi stated. “So, we have fulfilled our obligations, but they have violated theirs. They must fulfill their obligations. We didn’t break anything.”

“If the parties are ready to remove sanctions, the ground for reaching an agreement on nuclear issues is absolutely ready,” he added.

Source: Al-Manar English Website and Iranian media

Iran-Russia hit maximum strategy

January 21 2022

Two of the three main Eurasian powers, Iran’s Ebrahim Raisi and Russia’s Vladimir Putin meet in Russia to advance their strategic relations.Photo Credit: The Cradle

Three ain’t a crowd: The Iran-Russia summit this week, concurrent with RIC military drills in the Sea of Oman, in advance of a Xi-Putin meeting in two weeks, suggests a rapidly-advancing strategic vision for the three Eurasian powers.

By Pepe Escobar

The official visit to Russia by Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, at the invitation of Vladimir Putin, generated one of the most stunning geopolitical pics of the 21st century: Raisi performing his afternoon prayers at the Kremlin.

Arguably, more than the hours of solid discussions on geopolitical, geoeconomic, energy, trade, agriculture, transportation and aerospace dossiers, this visual will be imprinted all across the Global South as a fitting symbol of the ongoing, inexorable process of Eurasian integration.

Raisi went to Sochi and Moscow ready to offer Putin essential synergy in confronting a decaying, unipolar Empire increasingly prone to irrationalism. He made it clear at the start of his three hours of discussions with Putin: our renewed relationship should not be “short-term or positional – it will be permanent and strategic.”

Putin must have relished the torrents of meaning inbuilt in one of Raisi’s statements of fact: “We have been resisting the Americans for more than 40 years.”

Yet, much more productive, was “a document on strategic cooperation” between Iran and Russia that Raisi and his team presented to Russian officials.

Raisi emphasized this road map “can determine the prospect for at least 20 years ahead,” or at least clarify “the long-term strategic interaction between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation.”

Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian confirmed that both presidents tasked their top diplomats to work on the roadmap. This is, in fact, an update of a previous 20-year cooperation treaty signed in 2001, originally meant to last for 10 years, and then twice extended for five years.

A key item of the new 20-year strategic partnership between the two neighbors is bound to be a Eurasian-based clearing network designed to compete with SWIFT, the global messaging system between banks.

Starting with Russia, Iran and China (RIC), this mechanism has the potential to unite member-nations of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU), ASEAN, BRICS and other regional trading/security organizations. The combined geoeconomic weight of all these actors will inevitably attract many others across the Global South and even Europe.

The basis already exists. China launched its Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) in 2015, using the yuan. Russia developed its System for Transfer of Financial Messages (SPFS). To build an independent Russian-Chinese financial system by linking the two should not be a problem. The main question is to choose the standard currency – possibly the yuan.

Once the system is up and running, that’s perfect for Iran, which badly wants to increase trade with Russia but remains handicapped by US sanctions. Iran has already signed trade agreements and is involved in long-term strategic development with both Russia and China.

The new roadmap

When Amir-Abdollahian described Raisi’s visit to Russia as a “turning point in the policy of good neighborliness and looking to the East,” he was giving the short version of the roadmap followed by the new Iranian administration: “a neighbor-centered policy, an Asia-centered policy with a focus on looking to the East, and an economy-centered diplomacy.”

In contrast, the only ‘policy’ de facto deployed by the collective West against both Russia and Iran is sanctions. Nullifying these is therefore on top of the agenda for Moscow and Tehran. Iran and the EAEU already have a temporary agreement. What they need, sooner rather than later, is to become full partners in a free trade area.

While Amir-Abdollahian praised the resolution of disputes with neighbors, such as Iraq and Turkmenistan, and a reconfiguration of the diplomatic chessboard with Oman, Qatar, Kuwait, the UAE, and even Saudi Arabia, President Raisi – in addressing the Duma – chose to detail complex foreign plots to dispatch networks of Takfiri terrorists to “new missions from the Caucasus to Central Asia.”

As Raisi said, “experience has shown that only pure Islamic thought can prevent the formation of extremism and Takfiri terrorism.”

Raisi was unforgiving on the Empire: “The strategy of domination has now failed, the United States is in its weakest position, and the power of independent nations is experiencing historic growth.” And he certainly seduced the Duma with his analysis of NATO:

“NATO is engaged in penetration into the geographical spaces of various countries under the pretext of cover. Again, they threaten independent states. The spread of the Western model, opposition to independent democracies, opposition to the self-identification of peoples – this is precisely on the agenda of NATO. It is only a deception, we see the deception in their behavior, which will eventually lead to their disintegration.”

Raisi’s main theme is ‘resistance,’ and that was imprinted in all of his meetings. He duly emphasized the Afghan and Iraqi resistances: “In modern times, the concept of resistance plays a central role in deterrence equations.”

The Islamic Republic of Iran is all about that resistance: “In different historical periods of Iran’s development, whenever our nation has raised the banner of nationalism, independence, or scientific development, it has faced sanctions and pressures of the Iranian nation’s enemies,” Raisi emphasized.

On the JCPOA, with the new round of negotiations in Vienna for all practical purposes still bogged down, Raisi said, “the Islamic Republic of Iran is serious about reaching an agreement if the other parties are serious about lifting the sanctions effectively and operationally.”

University of Tehran Professor Mohammad Marandi, now in Vienna as a high-level advisor to the Iranian delegation, compares his experience with the original JCPOA negotiations in 2015, when he was an observer. Marandi notes that as far as the Americans are concerned, “it’s the same mentality. We’re the boss, we have special privileges.”

He stresses that “a deal is not imminent.” The Americans refuse to provide guarantees: “The main problem is the scope of the sanctions, they want to keep many of them in place. In fact, they don’t want the JCPOA. Basically, it’s the same attitude as during Trump.”

Marandi offers practical solutions. Remove all maximum pressure sanctions. Accept “a reasonable verification process if you have no intention of cheating Iranian people again.” Provide assurances so “Iranians know you won’t violate the deal again. Iran won’t accept threats or deadlines during negotiations.” It’s unlikely the Americans will ever accept any of the above.

The contrast between the Raisi and Rouhani administrations is stark: “In the hope of getting something from the West, the previous administration wasted serious opportunities with both China and Russia. Now it’s a completely different story,” says Marandi.

The Chinese angle is quite intriguing. Marandi notes how Amir-Abdolliahan has just returned from China; and how the only nation in West Asia that the Chinese can reliably depend on is Iran. That is inbuilt in their 20-year strategic deal, many positive facets of which should be adopted by the Russia-Iran mechanism.

The lineaments of a new world

The gist of Raisi’s exposé to the Duma is that Iran has been winning battles on two different fronts: against Salafi-jihadi terrorism and against the American campaign of maximum economic pressure.

And that places Iran in a very good position as a Russian partner, with its “extensive economic potential, especially in the fields of energy, trade, agriculture, industry and technology.”

On its geoeconomical position, Raisi noted how “the privileged geographical location of Iran, especially in the north-south corridor, can make trade from India to Russia and Europe less expensive and more prosperous.”

Way back in 2002, Russia, Iran and India signed an agreement to establish the International North-South Transportation Corridor (INSTC), a 7,200 km multi-modal ship/rail/road cargo network linking India, Iran, Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Russia and Central Asia all the way to Europe as an alternative transportation corridor to the Suez Canal. Now Putin and Raisi want maximum impetus for the INSTC.

Raisi’s visit happened just before a crucial joint drill, codenamed  ‘2022 Marine Security Belt,’ started in the Sea of Oman, actually the north of the Indian Ocean, with marine and airborne units of the Iranian, Chinese and Russian navies.

The Sea of Oman connects to the ultra-strategic Strait of Hormuz, which connects to the Persian Gulf. Pentagon denizens of the ‘Indo-Pacific’ strategy will be hardly amused.

All of the above spells out deeper interconnection. The Putin-Raisi meeting precedes by two weeks the Putin-Xi meeting at the start of the Winter Olympics in Beijing – when they are expected to take the Russia-China strategic partnership to the next level.

A new Eurasia-led order encompassing the vast majority of the world’s population is a work in fast progress. China using Eurasia as the larger stage to upgrade its global role, in parallel to the fast-evolving Sino-Russian-Iranian interaction, carries larger than life implications for the Western gatekeepers of the imperial ‘rules-based order.’

The de-Westernization of globalization, from a Chinese point of view, does involve a completely new terminology (‘community of shared destiny’). And there are hardly more glaring examples of ‘shared destiny’ than its deeper interconnection with both Russia and Iran.

One of the crucial geopolitical questions of our time is how an emergent, supposedly Chinese hegemony will articulate itself. If actions speak louder than words, then Sino-hegemony looks loose, malleable and inclusive, starkly different to the US variety. For one, it concerns the absolute majority of the Global South, which will be involved and vocal.

Iran is one of the leaders of the Global South. Russia, deeply implicated in de-Westernizing global governance, holds a unique position – diplomatically, militarily, as an energy provider – as the special conduit between East and West: the irreplaceable Eurasian bridge, and the guarantor of Global South stability.

All of that is at play now. It is no wonder that the leaders of the three main Eurasian powers are meeting and holding discussions in person, within just a matter of days.

As the Atlanticist axis drowns in hubris, arrogance, and incompetence, welcome to the lineaments of the Eurasian, post-Western world.

The views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of The Cradle.

Related Videos

Economic nuclear bomb..Iranian-Chinese strategic alliance and Western annoyance
A turning point between Russia and Iran and a strategic partnership in international files
Vienna talks.. Reality of progress and guarantees of commitment

Biden Forces Lose Dozens of Daesh / ISIS Terrorists from Syrian Prison

ISIS terroristsreleased from Ghweran prison in Hasakah Syria by US and Kurdish SDF

 MIRI WOOD

Biden military illegals lost more Daesh terrorists in a Syrian prison run by SDF terrorists, on 20 January, when free ISIS terrorists blew up to vehicles outside the al Sina’a Prison in the Ghweran neighborhood of al Hasakah.

Again, Hasakah is in Syria, which is not part of the USA.

At this writing, the Syrian Arab News Agency has reported on chaos — including shootings inside and out, Biden regime military helicopters flying about, and the Obama-created SDF terrorists criminally-imposed curfews against the indigenous Syrian population — not casualties, nor the numbers of terrorists imprisoned by other terrorists who managed to escape.

Among uncorroborated reports, 22 SDF terrorists were killed in the fighting, & ISIS/Daesh terrorists took over a part of the prison that actually houses weapons and ammunition.

Syrian journalist, Rasha Hasan reported twenty escapees in the afternoon of 20 January; about twelve hours later, a leaked document from Iraqi Military Intelligence claimed that the intention of the vehicular detonations outside the occupied Syrian prison was to move 5,000 ISIS/Daesh takfiri into Iraq (of possibly pure coincidence, about twenty-four hours later, ISIS terrorists massacred eleven Iraqi soldiers in the Diyala governate, further to the south of the autonomous region of Iraqi Kurdistan.).

The Biden regime’s illegal forces have a long war criminal history of recycling ISIS savages from illegal prisons, from different regions of Syria, back and forth into Iraq — atrocities that are required to maintain the function of the Military Industrial Complex.

Terrorism is defined in the Code of Federal Regulations as ‘the unlawful use of force and violence against persons or property to intimidate or coerce a government, the civilian population, or any segment thereof, in furtherance of political or social objectives’ (28 C.F.R. Section 0.85). — fbi.gov

Particularly sadistic, is the fact that the Biden troops use the illicit al Yaarubiyah crossing — run by the SDF terrorists since 2013, before the Pentagon demanded a re-branding from the YPG name, in 2015, which was on the US terror list — to transport stolen Syrian oil, stolen Syrian grain, and ISIS takfiri, into the Autonomous Kurdistan Region of Iraq.

Separatist Kurds fantasy land.
Biden regime troops use illicit al Yaarubiyah crossing for oil & grain theft & transporting terrorists across the border with Iraq.
Neocon’s neocon Paul “Wolfie” Wolfowitz visiting ‘Kurdistan Regional Government’ in 2004.

Though there has not been much reporting from NATO stenographers on the recent attack and escapes, all such sources have normalized the colonialist invasion and occupation by the US, of the prison of another country. We also hyperlink the Defense One report of 24 February 2021 which arrogantly announced western supremacy news that the “US-led anti-ISIS coalition is funding a dramatic expansion of a large detention facility in northeastern Syria…”.

NATO media normalizing terrorism and justifying foreign countries running domestic prisons

This is a prison in the city of Philadelphia; can any westerner imagine it being occupied by the French military with the assistance of a gang of terrorists armed by France?

Now, further imagine that a third gang of terrorists/illegals in Philly car bombed the prison in the US, so that it looked like this, from a distance:

Biden forces bombed Syrian prison.


Excepting imperialists who lead the world in global genocide, is there a sane person who would consider this triad of war crimes and other atrocities as normal?

Updated information reports that thousands of ISIS terrorists were able to leave the Syrian prison under Biden regime and SDF occupation; let all westerners consider their reactions were this to be perpetrated against their homelands.

To our few readers who may persist in supporting either Biden or Trump, please note that this atrocity was created by both your war criminal leaders.

— Miri Wood

Related readings:

Muslim Brotherhood

The Other Side of the Story: Russia’s view on Geopolitics, War and Energy Racketeering

January 21, 2022

by Nash Landesman

The following is an exclusive interview with Russian Duma deputy, Yevgeny Fyodorov, a high-ranking conservative, nationalistic lawmaker in President Vladimir Putin’s United Russia Party. He has been Chairman of the Committee on Economic Policy of the State Duma and a member of the Advisory Council of the President of the Russian Federation. Below we discuss war with Ukraine, principles of sovereignty and geopolitics, the ongoing energy battle, the nuclear option, and the reestablishment of the Soviet sphere, all within the context of US ambition and Russian counter-strategy.

INTRO:

Atop the unipolar priority list lies the looming Russian “threat” of providing European consumers with affordable, dependable heating and cooking gas at stable long-term contract terms amidst the dead of winter. Only America and its’ “allies”/ [subordinates/collaborators] can halt this menace by supplanting cheap Russian gas piped from relatively short distances with much more expensive, technically-complex US liquid natural gas shipped from across the Atlantic, capitalizing on America’s shale revolution while stamping out Russian influence in Europe—killing two birds with one stone. (Although at least twenty-nine multibillion dollar regasification intake terminals have been built across Europe under US pressure to import its supplies, a new Russian pipeline threatens to render them sunk costs).

The Russian pipeline would “pose an existential threat to European energy security,” states one US sanctions bill, implying that the very notion of energy security outside of US/EU auspices is the threat itself. Washington is trying to block this development, using various means that now include the threat of war under any pretext.

Since Soviet times as much as 80% of Europe’s Russian gas imports traversed Ukraine— but lately those flows have since slowed to a trickle, due to Washington’s eight-year proxy war in Donbas, NATO expansion, Kiev’s tendency to syphon Russian gas and not pay its bills, and other factors. It is little wonder Moscow is scrambling to establish alternate routes avoiding third-party generated instability.

This year European gas prices rocketed to record highs, adding fuel to Russian ambitions to circumvent its’ now-hostile neighbor with its’ latest project, the recently- completed $11 billion natural gas pipeline, Nordstream 2, running under the Baltic sea direct to Germany, crucially evading land transit states subject to external control.

Nordstream 2 could be a major geopolitical boon to both Russia and Germany, helping the latter achieve the energy independence it would need to take steps to chart an independent course and/or remove US occupation troops from its territory, still present under the NATO umbrella since WWII.

Despite the pipeline’s recent completion, the European Commission has delayed (indefinitely) the certification required in order for Russia to start pumping gas. Whether Moscow will go ahead and do it anyway remains up in the air.

What is clear is that US counter-strategy is a patchwork of threats, hysterics and racketeering. As Richard Morningstar, former US diplomat and founding director of the Atlantic Council’s Global Energy Centre, bluntly put it, “I think Nord Stream 2 is really a bad idea…If you want to kill the [US-based] LNG strategy go ahead with Nord Stream [2]”.

The pipeline also undermines an interrelated, long-developing, radical globalization scheme—an internal EU gas market established under the European Energy Charter that’s designed to dismantle Gazprom by preventing Russia from owning or controlling its downstream energy assets.

Large land transit states like Ukraine help to ensure that Russia obey the rules. But after withdrawing from the aforementioned treaty in 2009, Russia has struck bilateral gas deals with states like Hungary and Belarus, enraging Washington and Brussels. Now Nordstream 2 would symbolize the ultimate affront to the internal energy market architecture as it involves Europe’s most powerful nation, Germany, with no transit states in-between.

(Berlin has been left in the cold ever since caving to pressure to phase-out its nuclear capacity and cease domestic coal production). The pertinent question is: on whose outside supplies will Berlin come to depend? Europe’s future may hang on the answer.

Ex-German chancellor Angela Merkel supported the pipeline, her foreign minister, Sigmar Gabriel, along with the Austrian Federal Chancellor, Christian Kern, complaining, “The draft bill of the US [sanctions regime] is surprisingly candid about what is actually at stake, namely selling American liquefied natural gas and ending the supply of Russian natural gas to the European market. We cannot accept the threat of illegal extraterritorial sanctions…involving Russia, such as Nord Stream 2, [which] impacts European-American relations in a new and very negative way.”

Detractors, meanwhile, insist that a pipeline avoiding Ukraine would give Russia more leverage over its weaker neighbor, despite the implied detachment, a piece of double-think requiring little to no explanation.

Nevertheless, one hard-headed member of Russia’s Duma explains what’s really going on, from Moscow’s view, and what’s truly at stake in this developing saga.

INTERVIEW:

Q: How does EU policy affect European states’ energy consumption?

Yevgeny Fyodorov

A: The alternative to our natural gas is, of course, importing US LNG, which is much more expensive. The crucial interested parties in our piped gas are Europe and especially Germany. The key question arises from the fact that the EU wants absolute control over the Nordstream 2 gas pipeline. They want to control everything. The principle of competition of nations is involved. Russia is also interested in full control over those gas supplies; it helps Russia to fulfill its obligations. We welcome no third party to play this game as an outside controller over the pipeline.

Hence the Germans’ position: they support Nordstream 2 because it provides for their gas balance and they understand that otherwise they will lack gas. Nord Stream 2 is a kind of “magic wand” for Russia because it helps Germany to get a stable gas supply and sign long-term contracts. Otherwise they will need to keep temperatures in their dwellings very low. If the EU refuses to certify Nordstream 2, Europe will freeze. It would be like shooting its’ own leg.

The position of Europe is this: give us all transport routes and gas fields—but it contradicts the Russian principle of state sovereignty. So Russia won’t agree to it. Our position is simple: we supply gas, you can either take it or not. We aren’t going to sort out your domestic problems.

Q: What are the impediments to gas flowing through the recently-completed Nordstream 2 pipeline?

A: Blocking Nordstream 2 is a result of pressure from the Americans. There we need to understand common sense. What is the Americans’ interest? It is a very basic interest. There is no economic profit in LNG supplied from the US. The interest of the US is that they are generally against German economic independence and independent resouces. Yes, we have American military troops in Germany, Germany is being controlled by the US. In case Germany becomes too independent it will simply throw away American control. This is how history works. Of course, this is why the Americans are against NS2. Not just because of the competition with their LNG, but also because of US Anti-German policy. They dislike that Germany would gain a new level of economic independence; such level which would allow Germany to get rid of American control.

It’s clear that the U.S. wouldn’t like European countries, particularly Germany, to become more powerful. So, the U.S.’s geopolitical interest consists in Germany not being able to solve its problems with gas supply beyond U.S.’s influence, without the influence from Ukraine, Poland etc… As a result Americans opposed Nord Stream 2 from the very beginning. It’s obvious. Because it’s one thing when you control a few countries and manipulate them and it’s absolutely different thing when Germany will get a regular gas supply and will be independent of the US. It’s the position of the US and it’s clear and understandable.

The position of Germany: it needs a reliable gas supply and independence. The position of Russia: to earn money for its gas supply. With every coming year, Germany will become more and more sovereign\independent and one day American troops will be withdrawn from its territory. I’m sure one day Germany will raise the question of withdrawal of American occupation troops from their land. You know, these troops were simply renamed from occupation troops into NATO’s troops. It’s in the interests of German people and at some point Germans will do it. Russia will definitely help them, not in a military way but by creating geopolitical foundation of free nations.

And now another question: the situation in the European Union. European regulations/treaties/charters/energy packages were adopted not by Germany but by the EU and which are greatly influenced by the U.S. They created the so-called energy packages … If EU countries had signed long-term contracts, there wouldn’t have been any price increase. They could have agreed on $300 per cubic meter for many years ahead. But without these contracts the price rocketed to $1000, harming Germany and other European countries.

A: How does the issue of sovereignty come into effect?

What’s the main motivation of any nation? Sovereignty and freedom. And if there are any occupation troop on their land, it’s anything but freedom. That’s why any nation will demand occupation armies to leave their country even if at present they don’t talk about it openly because of the propaganda. Germany is moving in this direction. It’s a normal process. A Unipolar world is neither normal nor legal in the historic context. Either there is one Empire, like the Roman Empire of Alexander the Great, or the world is multi-polar. There is no other option.

Today’s unipolar world is volatile. And Americans understand this. They have two options: either to create a colonial empire (but aren’t powerful enough to do it) or accept\embrace the multi-polar world model. They are guided by the rules of competition among nations according to which everyone is everyone’s enemy. That’s the way people live in the world. All the wars were caused by this. The logic is: you’re the most powerful and the rest are suppressed by you. Everyone is suppressed by you, not only major enemies like Russia, but allies as well. They are allies because American troops are on their territory but not because they love America.

Q: Why does the U.S. still insist on gas transit through Ukraine?

A: Another play is the game with Ukraine, where we still talk about keeping gas supply transiting through it. Nobody (in Russia) refuses to transit via Ukraine. But the talks and wishes are about the substantial profit Ukraine will obtain from transiting our gas over its’ territories. The Americans will continue to insist that Russia must finance its’ own war with Ukraine, until NS2 will start to function; until Russia manages to exclude Ukraine from financing its’ military actions with Russian money [via transit fees amounting to billions of dollars per year].

Frankly speaking there is a particular part of Ukraine that refused to follow the orders of the newly- emerged power in Kiev, who occupied power in 2014. The new undersea pipeline (NS2) shouldn’t involve a third party like what we have to deal with in the case of Ukraine. Our undersea pipeline is more convenient for Europe. It is clear that when the Ukraine pipeline was constructed in the middle of last century there were no underwater pipeline technologies. Now this new technology has emerged thanks to scientific progress.

Q: What are the economic implications of this energy battle?

A: Let’s look at this question from the viewpoint of science, history and geopolitics. What is the American dollar? The American dollar is a world currency. Let’s look at some figures: the American dollar turnover in the world is 40%, the euro turnover is 40% whereas the ruble turnover is only 0.18%. So, the ruble turnover is 400 times lower than that of the dollar or euro. The ruble doesn’t exist on the global scale.

Americans have built their consumption at the expense of the world dollar. Estimates show that Americans consume 4 times more than they produce on their territory. The situation in Russia is quite the opposite. Russia produces 4 times more of the global GDP than it consumes. As a result Russia is a contributor to the world economy while the US is a vermin\parasite. These are merely figures\data, nothing personal. So, the dollar is of great importance to the Americans.

The dollar requires worldwide jurisdiction – Anglo-Saxon law – because currency is worthless if it’s not supported by juridical system. Hence comes the mechanism of the world jurisdiction, the unipolar world as a vertical authority. According to Putin, “one power center means one decision-making center”. What’s Russia’s interest? To restore the ruble, which will allow Russia to immediately control 6% of the world currency turnover. And I’d like to remind you that at present we control only 0.18%. In the long run, taking into account that Russia has 1\3 of the world’s resources, we expect this figure to reach 1\3 of the world turnover. We want to have the right to print out currency.

Q: Do the aforementioned issues implicate a pivot to Asia?

A: There is a policy of reducing dependance of EU countries on Russian gas. We are ready to sell our gas to EU countries. But we see EU legislation creates harm to Europe, eg. Now the natural gas price jumped to $900 per 1000 cubic meters. But those are internal problems; they should be able to set up their legislation so that it will not harm their economy. Concerning Chinese – Russian relations and natural gas supply to China, the supply will continue to grow.

This is about geopolitical and economic profitability. There are certain issues that lead to this. Russia and China have a common goal: to establish sovereignty. I reiterate one figure for economists: in the world economy the USD and the Euro comprise 80% of the world economy. The Russian ruble comprises one twentieth of 1% of global reserves. Hundreds of times less. Naturally that is unfair and illegal. And we will carry on politics which will result in the situation where the Russian ruble will equal Russia’s economy and resource export capability. And China will be our ally.

Q: What is the general position of European states, notwithstanding EU internal market legislation?

A: Who is the enemy of American unipolar world? The enemy of any unipolar world, including the American one, is national thousand-year-old states\countries, like Germany, France, etc… because such countries don’t want to be given orders. France has been independent for more than 1000 years.

They don’t need any bosses in Brussels, let alone in Washington. So the policy of the US is to subdue them. The US has been trying to achieve this goal, firstly, by assisting in EU creation and by Mediterranean wars which led to millions of refugees who break French, German etc… national regimes. That’s the goal. Why did America bomb Libya, Syria? Why were they involved in the coup d’état in Egypt? It’s clear that they wanted to destroy national thousand-year-old states, which leads to economic destruction.

Q: What do you make of the de-Russification laws in Ukraine?

A: It is occupational tool intended to limit and prohibit the Russian language in Ukraine. The character and basic feature of Russian nation is that it is cultural people with big history. And the Russian language is a very important factor in consolidating and uniting multiple smaller nations.

In the territory of Ukraine, as Ukraine itself is not a legal state from the position of International Law. So in Ukraine outside extranational parties. First of all, the US and their allies carry out the politics to stop the process of reestablishment of the joint united Motherland within it’s 1945 borders. In turn the reestablishment process in many parts of the Soviet Union is being carried out by all interested parties.

From this fact emerges the conflict within Ukraine. This conflict could only be resolved by establishment of one single united state of Ukraine and Russia. Otherwise, it will never be resolved and will last forever. Actually, the reunion (of Ukraine and Russia) will definitely happen one day, is my strong belief. All serious leading experts understand that. The situation (between Russia and Ukraine) is still not regulated in accordance with the procedures guiding the liquidation of the Soviet Union. That is most important to understand. To say it in rough words, the situation with Ukraine and Crimea is prolonged and delayed until today. These are the roots of conflicts and arguments with Ukraine about Crimea and Donbass and Lugansk, and with Moldova, Transdniestria, Georgia, Abkhazia, etc…

Q: How does Russia view subversive actions in nearby states like Belarus, for example?

A: As an attempt to intrude by a third party into territory of an internationally recognized state entity, a joint Motherland within 1945 borders. Actually, we will react to intrusion into any other country, not only Belarus. Russia will use shield and defense tools. Defense tools we have include nuclear weapons, to protect and secure our borders and keep them safe and contain safely our nuclear weapons, and using those nuclear weapons. In other words, should America enter the territory of Belarus, our nuclear missiles are targeted at London, Washington, New York and other cities. The US will continue to manipulate Ukraine and Belorussia to oppose Russia. They will utilize the issue of unregulated state borders [see today: Kazakhstan] between these countries as a lever against its’ competitor and opponent, Russia.

Q: Do you feel that America’s missile bases in Eurasia are directed towards Russia?

A: We don’t ignore the reality that the US has installed missile bases throughout Eurasia. And the [US] State Department was saying that they will form new military nuclear bases there, including in Asian countries. Please understand this is very simple story. Russia plans to engage its nuclear weapons not against those countries where it was launched against Russia, but against the mastermind cities where the decisions were made. To be exact, it is Washington, New York, Los Angeles, Chicago and other American cities. Please fully understand, in case American nuclear weapons are launched from, eg. Taiwan, or Poland, the response will hit New York or Washington.

Q: Please elaborate on the EU’s long-unfolding internal gas market/energy treaty packages.

A: Sure. European policy was to reject long-term contracts. This policy was to start a competitive war in which, as they said, the price would be reduced as a result of competition. And here lies their error of judgment. Competition works only if there is excess supply.

But taking into consideration the post-Covid economy boost of China and Asia [among other factors], there hasn’t been any excess supply. As a result the EU failed. [higher prices, however, have increased demand for US LNG imports, perhaps implying that Russia’s plan backfired, playing into America’s hands]. Those who signed long-term contracts didn’t suffer at all. Some French companies, for instance, didn’t lose anything. They even benefited from this. So this price increase is the EU’s fault. What Russia wants is just to earn money for its produce. Russia thinks like this: if we don’t sell gas in Europe, we could sell it in China.

Q: What is the situation surrounding US negotiations with Germany regarding Russian energy?

A: Look: Who is more important: the supplier or the consumer who pays money? Surely, it’s the consumer. So, who is the main player in this situation: Germany or Russia? Germany. That’s why the U.S. opposes Nord Stream 2 by negotiating with Germany, not Russia. Germany is the main player here. So, the U.S. exerted pressure on Germany. And Germany, in its turn, tried to compensate by offering to invest in Ukrainian system, hydrogen etc… The negotiations regarding Nord Stream 2 were conducted between Germany and the U.S. but not between America and Russia.

Q: How do offhand events, like the “Russiagate” fraud, the alleged Navalny poisoning, hysteria surrounding Russian troop buildup along the Russian-Ukrainian border, etc… influence public opinion?

A: Russia is constantly blamed and there are two reasons why. Firstly, Russia doesn’t have influence on its own information sphere; it doesn’t have the necessary technology. Even Russia’s social networks, television are American. Mass media in Russia are beyond Russia’s jurisdiction. Russia doesn’t have “weapons” in the information sphere. Besides it’s very convenient to put all the blame on Russia in order to solve one’s own domestic problems. It’s common practice.

Q: Is the EU’s energy Treaty Packages/Charter unfeasible?

A: The EU’s energy packages are based on market excess supply. What I mean is they get gas supply from everywhere, from the U.S., Asia, Norway, and Russia. Europe wants to get the lowest price due to the competition between these suppliers. It only works providing there is excess supply due to different reasons, including transport logistics [plus Russia’s allegedly withholding supply from the market for leverage in Nordstrream 2 negotiations]. So it was a wrong strategy. I have only one question here: was this strategy was wrong because they are fools in Brussels or because they just played along with Americans? I think the latter. The situation got out of control: it led to price increase. Now they don’t know how to handle it.

Q: Will Russia accept the terms and conditions of these energy packages?

A: While drawing up this energy package (and it took years), they didn’t anticipate post-Covid syndrome which changed the situation globally. But Russia’s position is very simple. We support sovereignty. Historically, the concept of sovereignty in the Russian word is a priority. We respect the sovereignty of others. Russian position is simple: here is gas, you can either take it or not. We aren’t going to change your own internal regulations.

Q: How does US and Russian geopolitical strategy differ?

A: We have a different geopolitical strategy. The U.S. strategy is to support dollar turnover in the world. The U.S. domestic economy is dependent on external dollar. Hence 800 (military) bases abroad.

The strategic historical policy of Britain and later America – the so called “gunboat policy, is creating conflict zones and supporting both conflicting parties with the aim of controlling the situation. That’s the U.S. policy. It originates from the American principle of nation building. Russia’s policy is exclusively managing our own business. We are a country of defensive\protective policy. The only exception was the USSR with its Marxist ideology of world revolutions. But it was a temporary exception and it was rejected by Russia.

Q: Do you regard ecological complaints from Poland as a part of the American scheme?

A: Sure. Poland is under U.S. control. If Americans remove this control, it will be gained by Germany. But it’s not in the U.S. interests, so they use Poland and Ukraine. They tried to control Belarus but failed. It’s a clash of strategies. The American strategy is “divide and rule.” Americans want to divide Russia in order to get supplies separately from the Siberia, Ural. But since Russia has nuclear weapons, this plan won’t work out for them.

Q: Would Russia like to restore something like the USSR?

A: The priority here consists in re-establishing legal outcomes, in restoring something that was violated illegally. If a country is divided legally, they have the right to do so. For example, the Czech Republic and Slovakia decided to split. If they did it legally, that’s not a problem. But if it’s illegal, it should be revoked. Do you feel the difference?

As for Yugoslavia one should scrutinize the legitimacy of its division. What are the relations between international and internal\domestic laws? International law doesn’t interfere with domestic laws. A country can be destroyed\divided only by its own laws. If internal Yugoslavian laws were broken while dividing Yugoslavia, then this country should be restored. For the same reason Americans insist on Serbia recognizing Kosovo. Because Americans are well aware that until Serbia recognizes Kosovo’s independence, Serbia and Kosovo can’t be considered legally divided, no matter how many American (military) bases are located in Kosovo.

Without any doubt, the Soviet Union’s dissolution was illegal. By the way, from the viewpoint of law, it wasn’t dissolved because no republic, except for the Baltic States, took the decision to leave the Soviet Union. The republics decided on the state sovereignty but any union consists of sovereign states. So, it doesn’t mean the dissolution of the union.

Q: Who controls Russia’s Central Bank?

A: You must understand how our Central Bank works. The Central Bank is the Depositary of IMF and secures and answers for worldwide USD circulation and includes part of Russian territory. So the Central Bank is part of USD circulation. The Russian Ruble is a derivative of USD and Euro circulations. The Ruble emission is carried out proportionally to part of export deals, as part of USD and Euro income as a result of such operations. So, the Central Bank policy and ruble policy does not reflect the Russian economy at all. It just shows our export potential. So we understand we need reforms to nationalize our currency exchange system and Central Bank. And reforms would create a ruble currency bulk inside Russia in correlation with exports. Similar to what the ECB and Forex are doing. We plan this reform.


Nash Landesnan has written for a number of publications. He can be contacted at NashLandesman1@gmail.com.

ماذا يريد الأميركيّون من الاتصال مع حزب الله؟

الجمعة 21 كانون ثاني 2022

 ناصر قنديل

ما كشفه رئيس المجلس التنفيذي في حزب الله السيد هاشم صفي الدين في السهرة التي جمعته بعدد من الشخصيات الإعلامية، عن محاولات أميركية حثيثة وحديثة للاتصال بحزب الله ودعوته لاختيار المستوى الذي يناسبه للتواصل، يطرح سؤالاً كبيراً حول كيفية الجمع بين وضع الأميركيين لمعركتهم بوجه حزب الله عنوان مقاربتهم للوضع في لبنان، وسعيهم لحشد كل خصوم حزب الله تحت شعار تحجيم الحزب وحلفائه انتخابياً، بل وضع شرط القطيعة مع حزب الله والعداء له لإدراج أية مجموعة معارضة او جمعية من جمعيات المجتمع المدني على لوائح المستفيدين من المساعدات الأميركيّة، من جهة، وبين سعيهم لهذا التواصل وإلحاحهم عليه واستعدادهم لقبول المستوى الذين يناسب حزب الله لتحقيقه؟

لو كانت هناك مواجهات عسكرية وأمنية بين القوات الأميركية وحزب الله، لكان هذا السعي مفهوماً على قاعدة الحاجة لمستوى من التواصل تفرضه الحروب على المتحاربين، لإخلاء الجرحى والممرات الإنسانيّة الآمنة، وفتح باب إعلان هدنة تفرضها سياقات الحروب، لكن في صراع سياسيّ قائم على استخدام كل الأسلحة التعبويّة، وصولاً لجعل عنوان السياسة الأميركية في مخاطبة اللبنانيين، “حزب الله سبب أزماتكم فقاطعوه وواجهوه”، ثم القيام بوساطات لتأمين تواصل يكسر هذه المقاطعة، فذلك ليس بالأمر العادي، لأن كل ما يمكن تصنيفه تحت عنوان الشؤون اللوجستية والتقنية التي قد يحتاج الأميركيون لها في لبنان لا تحتاج حواراً مع حزب الله ولا تواصلاً معه، فتسييرها لا يحتاج ما هو أبعد من التنسيق والتواصل مع أجهزة الدولة، وللأميركيين خطوط ساخنة وفاعلة، مع الجيش والقضاء ومصرف لبنان. وهي عناوين المحاور ذات الصلة بكل ما يمكن أن يندرج تحت عنوان لوجستي او تقني أو إداري.

لا يخفي الأميركيون أن ما يريدونه هو تواصل للحوار السياسي، فماذا يريدون أن يبحثوا مع حزب الله، بل لماذا يريدون أن يبحثوا أي شأن مع حزب الله، فهم ومَن معهم ومَن يدور في فلكهم، ومَن يسبّح بحمدهم، يقولون إن زمن حزب الله في لبنان قد انتهى أو هو قيد النهاية، وإن الأغلبية اللبنانية بوجه حزب الله قد تحققت شعبياً، وهي قيد التحقق نيابياً، وتردّد جماعة أميركا ما هو أبعد من ذلك بتسويقهم مقولة أنه إذا نجحت المفاوضات حول الملف النووي بين واشنطن وطهران بتأمين العودة للاتفاق، سيكون رأس حزب الله على طاولة التفاوض، وإذا فشلت المفاوضات، سيكون حزب الله عرضة لحصار مميت؟

السبب بساطة لأن الأميركيين يكذبون، وهم يقولون لجماعتهم عكس ما يعلمون وعكس ما يعملون. ويكفي التذكير بما قاله روبرت ماكفرلين مستشار الأمن القومي في أيام الرئيس رونالد ريغان، عن سبب عدم إبلاغ الرئيس اللبناني آنذاك، أمين الجميل، بنية واشنطن الانسحاب من لبنان ووجود مفاوضات بينها وبين سورية، والإيحاء له بالعكس بأن الأمور مع سورية ذاهبة للتصعيد، فيجيب أن تصعيد الحلفاء يحسّن شروط التفاوض، وأنه إذا قلنا لحلفائنا إننا نفاوض او ذاهبون للتفاوض لسبقونا الى دمشق، والأمر نفسه يحدث مع حزب الله. فواشنطن تدرك أن حزب الله قوة إقليمية صاعدة وليس قوة ثابتة فقط، وتعلم ان لا تفاوض على مستقبل حزب الله. وتعلم أن القوة اللبنانية التي لن تتأثر بنتائج الانتخابات النيابية، هي ثنائي حركة أمل وحزب الله الذي يمثل حزب الله ركناً رئيسياً فيه، بل إن واشنطن لا تقيم حساباً في مقاربتها لمستقبل لبنان سواء في المواجهة او في التفاوض، لغير هذه المقاومة التي تهدد أمن “إسرائيل”. وهذا هو الهم الأميركي الأول في المنطقة. والأميركي الذي يدرك أن حروبه بلغت نهاياتها في المنطقة، ويحتاج لبدء ترسيم خطواته في ترجمة هذه النهاية، للتفاوض والحوار حول المستقبل مع هذه المقاومة، ولأن الأميركي واثق من أنه “يمون” على الذين يصفهم بجماعته أو حلفائه في المنطقة واستطراداً في لبنان، فهو يسعى للوقوف على طبيعة ما يريده حزب الله للانخراط في تسويات، تطال ملفات تبدأ بوضع الجبهة الحدودية مع كيان الاحتلال في جنوب لبنان وجنوب سورية، وتمر بمستقبل ترسيم حدود النفط والغاز، ولا تنتهي بمستقبل الاستحقاق الرئاسي في لبنان، وربما يكون البحث بصيغة سياسية وطائفية جديدة للبنان في الجيب الأميركي، إذا كان التوصل لنقاط مشتركة في منتصف الطريق ممكناً.

السؤال عن سبب رفض حزب الله يجد جوابه في أن المقاومة ليس لديها ما تبحثه مع الأميركي، وأن المقاومة لا تكذب فهي تصنّف الأميركي عدواً، ولذلك لا تسمح لنفسها باللعب معه تحت الطاولة، وما تحتاجه المصلحة اللبنانية من بحث فليبحث مع الدولة اللبنانيّة. وما يريد حزب الله بحثه في مستقبل لبنان واستحقاقاته يبحثه مع الأطراف اللبنانيين. فهل يفهم خصوم حزب الله من اللبنانيين، المغرومين بأميركا، معنى هذا السلوك الأميركي؟

فيديوات متعلقة

Demonstrations in Yemen condemning the crimes of the coalition
Yemen: The Saudi coalition commits new massacres and the country has cut off the internet
The Saudi coalition forces deliberately create panic in the hearts of citizens and children
Only in Yemen, are you afraid to send your children to school and hospital, so that planes will not bomb them.

مقالات متعلقة

The (apparent) disagreement between Ze and “Biden”

January 20, 2022

As I mentioned it yesterday, Biden said something rather weird yesterday.  He said:

Quote: “Russia will be held accountable if it invades and it depends on what it does – it’s one thing if it’s a minor incursion and then we end up having to fight about what to do and what not to do, but if they actually do what they’re capable of doing with the force amassed on the border it is going to be a disaster for Russia if they further invade Ukraine,” Biden said, adding that Russia has overwhelming superiority over Ukraine

What in the world is a “minor incursion” anyway???

This was Ze’s reply:

Of course, hearing Ze refer to country 404 as a “great power” is cute and hilarious as it gets.

But the real question is this: did Biden just not understand the possible implication of what he said, is this just a case of dementia, or did he inadvertently reveal something which is being worked on behind the scenes?

By the way, in the fraternal model, which is horizontal, all countries ARE equal in rights and obligations, being equal in their nature and essence, while the Kindergarten model is highly hierarchical and absolutely implies that “some are more equal than others”.  For the true believers in this Kindergarten model any discussion of equality is a dangerous road to chaos and anarchy.  So yes, while they speak a lot about freedom, in reality they both hate and fear it like a very dangerous thing (God forbid the slaves would revolt and decide to kill the plantation owner!).

Another interesting aspect of the current crisis is this: both the US and the UK have publicly admitted that they have sent “advisors” to the Ukraine and both the US and UK have admitted sending weapons to the Ukraine.  Problem: the Minsk Agreements‘ point #10 specifically states mandates “to withdraw illegal armed groups and military equipment as well as fighters and mercenaries from the territory of Ukraine” while the additional memorandum states that “all foreign mercenaries” must be withdrawn from the conflict zone.  Now, OF COURSE, the noble defenders of democracy, freedom and peace worldwide (aka US/NATO “Axis of Kindness” forces) are not “mercenaries” (even though they are paid killers who do not defend their own country), only Russian volunteers in the LDNR are, at least that is the West’s position on this issue.  But for any mentally sane person it is pretty clear that the West is in clear violation of both the letter and spirit of the Minsk Agreements.  So what does that mean for Russia?

It means that both the Nazi-run Ukraine and the collective West don’t have (and never had) any real desire to abide by the Minsk Agreements, in spite of the fact that the latter are backed by a UNSC Resolution (making them legally binding and mandatory).  Again, under the Kindergarten worldview, even the UN is just one more “small, rowdy kid” which can be totally ignored or told to shut up and behave.

Anyway,

Tomorrow Bliken and Lavrov are supposed to meet.

Bliken would have made a terrific tailor or small shop owner.  But as a diplomat he truly sub-zero.  And that is true for ALL US diplomats and officials.  Yesterday a former Russian negotiator was describing his impression of Viki Nuland as a “dumb broad” who was completely ignorant of the world affairs she was in charge of dealing with on behalf of the USA.  Here is what Andrei Martyanov wrote about “US experts” from the USA: “bar some few exceptions, US academe, including those who specialize in Russia are not experts. They are narrative-mongers, majority of who have no serious skills, background nor experience in anything they try to “analyze” about Russia–this problem is systemic and is due to a complete corruption of the America’s education, especially history and military history and over-saturation of the American body-politic by people without any serious education or lawyers. It is literally the situation of auto-mechanic with vocational school performing an open heart surgery and thinking that he knows what he is doing. You can easily predict the result, for a patient“.  I can only fully agree with this opinion.

I think that the intense stupidity, arrogance and crass ignorance (not to mention a major delusional narcissistic and messianic sense of invulnerability) will play a key role in what happens next.  The AngloZionist propaganda machine has been spewing such a hate-filled and totally paranoid propaganda against Russia and Putin that this propaganda has become a foundational principle of the West’s foreign policy.  Even if Biden gives Putin a tiny little mini-concession (say using transponders of NATO aircraft) the Neocons and Neolibs of the War Party in Congress will absolutely crucify Biden for being “weak” and “caving in to Putin”.  Considering that Biden has been an absolutely awful president which has only failures to show for (not even a single semi-success) and that there will be a Congressional election the USA later this year, any mentally sane agreement, however unlikely, between Russia and the USA will be declared a “capitulation” which will bring all the flag-waving idiots to vote for the GOP which, right now, looks even more insane then the Dems.

Yes, a miracle can happen.  But what I am observing in the past two weeks or so, and today, are not at all signs of something reasonable being worked on but, rather, a hysterical attempt by the rulers of the Empire (and their minions in the EU) to defeat reality by pretending not to notice it.

That never works and it won’t work this time.

I hope tomorrow will prove me wrong, I REALLY do.

But in my strictly personal opinion, I don’t even see the point of Lavrov flying to Geneva.  I think Russia needs to stop talking to the West the same way she stopped talking to Ze and his bloody clowns, and only act unilaterally (towards the West, of course, not towards Zone B!).  There is nothing military or economic or political which the US/NATO/EU can do to Russia, so why not simply ignore them.

I would nicely and politely close the Russian diplomatic representations in the West, ditch idiotic or toxic organizations (like the COE or the WTO), and focus on collaborating with the sovereign nations in Zone B.

As for the West, Russia can let it self-destruct, which it is already doing at a maniacal pace anyway.

Sooner or later (probably the latter), the collapse of the West will generate new leaders who will have to rebuild the West on a new basis.  Then will be the time to talk to the West again.  But until non-entities like Blinken, Borrell, Stoltenberg or Baerbock remain in power, I see no point in talking to them.

Finally, the Communist Party in Russia has filed a law to be voted on by the Duma which asks the President to recognize the LDNR.  I think that the chances of this proposal are very high.  Interesting stuff.

Andrei

After sounding about as negative as possible yesterday, today Bliken has just suggested that his scheduled meeting with Lavrov tomorrow in Geneva will show how things really stand.

Wait!  I thought that there was nothing to discuss, but it turns out there might be??

Could Lavrov and Biden try to find a common definition of “minor” (as in “minor intrusion”)?

I don’t think so.  Here is why:

  • Russia has no need or desire for ANY type of incursion
  • Russia can totally defang the Ukronazis without moving a single solider across the border (according to specialists, this would take less than a week)
  • The Empire has waged a total but “short of kinetic” war against Russia since at least 2013 and that all happened while Russia did not move into the Ukraine.  If no incursion results in such a sustained campaign by the West against Russia, how would a “minor incursion” make things better and placate the crazies?
  • And if Russia decides that the united West is already maxed out on its anti-Russian policies, why limit yourself to a minor incursion?  If, say, Russia liberated the LDNR, the rest of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions, and all the Ukrainian coastline on the Black Sea, something the West would surely describe as a “major invasion”, would the consequences for Russia by the same as those following a “minor invasion”?  The point is that the US has expanded all of its sanction options, any further escalation would threaten the entire international economic system and strongly increase the risks of a fullscale war.

What most observers are missing is this: the current tensions are not at all about the Ukraine, or even about NATO.  They are about a new, different, new world order.  The US wants to hear nothing about it.  Neither does the EU.  The West is absolutely and categorically opposed to any new international order.  What they want is a “rules based order” in which, of course, they alone get to make all the rules.

But for countries like Russia (or China) the current world (dis)order is categorically unacceptable.

So what is really at stake are two world views:

  • Western world view: the West is the the crown of creation, the shining city on the hill, created by the Master Race before which all the “inferior” human societies need to bow and accept their dominion.  Furthermore, what is allowed for that Master Civilization is not allowed to anybody else and if/when any country begins to act in way which shows that it thinks that what is allowed to the West is also allowed to everybody else – then this country/nation needs to be taught a lesson and crushed.  You could call this model a “Kindergarten model” in which one adult teacher (the West) is tasked with supervising and educating a classroom of ignorant, immature and rowdy kids (the rest of the planet).
  • Zone B worldview: the same rules apply to everybody, there is not “exceptional country” with special rights out there.  Furthermore, all security must be collective, that is to say that if you point a gun at me and I am disarmed, not only am I threatened by you, but you also expose yourself to my desperate actions to survive, which just might include killing you before you can pull the trigger.  Finally, a legal/moral rule only deserves respect if it is equally applied to all parties (if it is not, it is, by definition, hypocritical).  You could call this model a “fraternal model” in which children from the same Father (God) act in a brotherly way towards each other because they recognize their common humanity (fraternity).

Those two models are, of course, totally and categorically mutually exclusive, hence the Zone A and Zone B we see today.

‘We’re Optimistic’ | Head of Russian Delegation in Vienna Ahead of Security Talks with US

January 20, 2022

Head of Russian delegation in Vienna on Arms Control, Konstantin Gavrilov, says Russia is hoping for a breakthrough in security talks with US amid rising tensions with Ukraine

“Israel” Is Worried After the Abu Dhabi Strike: Our Facilities Are in the Crosshairs of the Yemeni Forces

Jan 21 2021

Translated by Al-Ahed News

The repercussions of the Yemeni strike on Abu Dhabi are reverberating far beyond the Gulf. Yemeni forces struck the UAE capital in response to the escalating aggression against their defenseless population.     

According to the “Israeli” website Calcalist, the attack is a good opportunity for the Zionist entity to continue deepening its security and technological relationship with the Gulf state, and if successful, it may have a positive impact on trade relations between the two sides.

The website notes that recent years witnessed an uptick in the use of drones by a number of organizations in the region. These drones have proven effective in exploiting the weaknesses of different countries.

The site revealed that “Israel” is looking for inexpensive aerial vehicles that fly at low altitudes, and therefore pose a challenge to air defense systems, most of which are designed to intercept large aircraft or ballistic missiles.

The website concludes that the only party in the region that has a proven technological ability to deal with the threat from these aircraft is “Israel”. The site points to “Israel’s” success of intercepting drones in recent years, such as drones on the northern and southern borders of the occupied Palestinian territories, as evidence.

The portal further claims that the main motive for the UAE’s signing of the Abraham Agreement stems from security considerations, and it seems that the time has come for the Emiratis to ask Tel Aviv to take advantage of the advanced “Israeli” systems, and the matter is related to a sensitive issue that this entity must respond to.

“In addition to the possibility of establishing a strong alliance with the UAE in the wake of the attack, the attack could also be a warning signal for ‘Israel’. The drones used by the Yemeni armed forces traveled a distance of no less than 1,500 km, and the hit shows a great and daring operational ability,” the site adds.

Calcalist underscored the threat facing the Zionist entity. Given that the distance between “Israel” and certain areas in Yemen is shorter than to Abu Dhabi, this means that “Israel’s” strategic facilities are within the range of Yemeni and even Iranian suicide bombers.

Related Videos

UAE targets civilians directly, and Yemenis pledge to respond
The future of the Saudi-Iranian conflict, the Yemeni strike on the UAE, the fate of the aggression against Yemen
Yemen’s cyclone has military, security and strategic implications… and the Israeli entity is shaking

Related News

%d bloggers like this: