HOW ELON MUSK IS AIDING THE US EMPIRE’S REGIME CHANGE OPERATION IN IRAN

JANUARY 17TH, 2023

Source

Alan Macleod

Elon Musk has announced that he is helping to smuggle hundreds of Starlink satellite communications devices into Iran. The South African-born billionaire made the admission on December 26, replying to a tweet lauding female Iranian protesters for refusing to cover their hair. “Approaching 100 Starlinks active in Iran”, he tweeted, clearly implying a political motivation to his work.

That Musk is involved in Washington’s attempts to weaken or overthrow the administration in Tehran has been clear for some months now. In September – at the height of the demonstrations following the suspicious death of 22-year-old Iranian woman Mahsa Amini – Secretary of State Anthony Blinken announced that the U.S. was “taking action” “to advance Internet freedom and the free flow of information for the Iranian people” and “to counter the Iranian government’s censorship,” to which Musk replied, “Activating Starlink…”

While this could be understood as a positive step, unfortunately, what Washington means by internet freedom and the free flow of information (as we at MintPress News have covered before) is nothing more than the liberty of the U.S. government to flood foreign countries with relentless pro-U.S. messaging.

Starlink is an internet service allowing those with terminals to directly connect to one of over 3,000 small satellites in low Earth orbit. Many of these satellites were launched by Musk’s SpaceX technologies company. Terminals are, in effect, small, portable satellite dishes that can be used by those in the near vicinity to skirt national government restrictions on communications and get online anywhere at any time.

The process of smuggling Starlinks into Iran has been far from easy – or cheap. Each terminal has cost more than $1000 to purchase and transport, as couriers have charged high premiums on the risky cargo. Nevertheless, some sources have suggested as many as 800 have made it over the border unscathed.

KEEPING UKRAINE FIGHTING

Musk’s Iran operation bears a striking resemblance to his actions earlier this year in Ukraine – another current top priority of the United States. In the aftermath of February’s Russian invasion, Musk garnered worldwide goodwill after declaring that he was “donating” thousands of Starlink terminals to Ukraine in order to keep the country online. However, these were inordinately given to the Ukrainian military and soon became the backbone of its efforts at stalling Russian advances. Ukraine’s hi-tech, Western-made weaponry relies upon online connections, the military using Starlink’s services for everything from thermal imaging, target acquisition and artillery strikes to Zoom calls.

With more than 20,000 terminals in operation, Starlink is, according to Western media, a “lifeline” and an “essential tool” without which Ukrainian resistance would have been broken. The government agrees; “SpaceX and Musk quickly react to problems and help us,” deputy prime minister Mykhailo Fedorov said recently, adding that there is “no alternative” for his forces, other than Musk’s products.

A Starlink Antenna Covered With A Camouflage Net Stands In The Location Of A Unit Of The Armed Forces Of Ukraine
A Starlink antenna covered with a camouflage net in use by Ukrainian fighters in Donetsk, December 2022. Maxym Marusenko | NurPhoto via AP

It soon transpired, however, that Musk’s donation might not have been as generous as first thought. USAID – an American government agency that has frequently functioned as a regime-change organization – had quietly paid SpaceX top dollar to send what amounted to virtually their entire inventory of Starlinks to Ukraine.

In December, Fedorov said that more than 10,000 extra terminals would shortly be heading to his country. It is not clear who will pay for these, but it is known that, two months earlier, SpaceX and the U.S. government were in negotiations about funding for additional devices to be sent to Ukraine.

MUSK AND THE MILITARY INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX

While the controversial billionaire’s role in American regime change operations and proxy wars might surprise some, the reality is that, almost from the very beginning of his career, Elon Musk has enjoyed extremely close connections to the U.S. national security state.

The Central Intelligence Agency was integral to both the birth and the growth of SpaceX. Of particular importance in the company’s story is Michael Griffin, the former president and chief operating officer of the CIA’s venture capitalist wing, In-Q-Tel. In-Q-Tel was established to identify individuals and businesses that could work with or for the CIA, with the goal of maintaining the U.S. national security state’s technological edge vis-à-vis its opponents.

Griffin was an early believer in Musk, calling him a future “Henry Ford” of the rocket industry. So strong was Griffin’s desire to get the South African on board that in early 2002 (even before SpaceX had been founded) he accompanied him on a trip to Moscow in order to purchase intercontinental ballistic missiles from Russian authorities – a fact that, in today’s geopolitical reality, beggars belief.

Musk’s attempts to buy Russian rockets failed, and for many years, it appeared likely that SpaceX would be a giant flop. In 2006, the company was in difficult financial waters and was still years away from making a successful launch. But Griffin – who by this time was head of NASA – took a huge “gamble” in his own words, his organization awarding SpaceX with a $396 million contract.

Nevertheless, even this giant cash injection was not enough to stop the company hemorrhaging money. By 2008, Musk thought it likely that both SpaceX and his electric vehicle business, Tesla, would both go under. Fortunately, SpaceX was saved again by an unexpected $1.6 billion check from NASA.

Thanks to the government’s largesse, SpaceX has grown into a behemoth, employing around 11,000 people. Yet, its ties to the U.S. national security state remain as close as ever. The corporation’s primary clients are the military and other government agencies, who have paid billions of dollars to have their spy satellites and other hi-tech equipment blasted into orbit. In 2018, for example, SpaceX won a contract to deliver a $500 million Lockheed Martin GPS system into space. Although spokesmen were keen to play up the civilian benefits of the satellite, it is clear that its primary purposes were military and surveillance.

SpaceX has also won contracts with the Air Force to deliver its command satellite into orbit, with the Space Development Agency to send tracking devices into space, and with the National Reconnaissance Office to launch its spy satellites. These satellites are used by all of the “big five” surveillance agencies, including the CIA and the NSA.

This collaboration has only been growing of late. Documents obtained by The Intercept showed that the Pentagon envisages a future in which Musk’s rockets will be used to deploy a military “quick reaction force” anywhere in the world. The Department of Defense has also partnered with SpaceX in order to explore the possibility of blasting supplies into space and back to Earth, rather than flying them through the air, thereby allowing the U.S. to act faster worldwide than ever before.

And in December, SpaceX announced a new business line called Starshield, an explicitly military hardware brand that CNBC reported would be focussed on securing big money Pentagon contracts. The brand’s new motto is “supporting national security.”

Therefore, Musk and his organization can be said to be cornerstones of both the global surveillance program that individuals like Edward Snowden warned us about, and crucial to the United States’ ability to carry out endless global warfare.

IRAN IN THE CROSSHAIRS

Ever since the revolution of 1979 that deposed the American-backed shah, Iran has been a prime target of U.S. regime change. A 2012 report from the National Endowment for Democracy explains that the U.S. is involved in a “competition” to promote color revolutions (i.e. regime change operations) in Russia, Belarus, Venezuela, Iran and other countries, while those governments seek to prevent them.

Iran has been the subject of international attention since September and the death of Mahsa Amini. Amini had been detained by Iranian authorities for not wearing a headscarf correctly. Very quickly, Western media began claiming that she had been beaten to death, an accusation that sparked nationwide protests.

Iranian authorities released footage of Amini’s collapse and medical records suggesting that she had an ongoing serious brain condition, and announced they were reviewing their policy of mandatory headcovers for women. Yet even as protests continued, they were overtaken by much more violent confrontations between authorities and Kurdish separatist movements, with Western media not caring to differentiate between them.

Twitter was crucial in drawing the world’s attention to Iran. The platform’s moderators put news of the protests on its “What’s Happening” sidebar, alerting users around the world to them. Pro-demonstration and anti-government hashtags were also boosted across Western countries to a remarkable degree. According to the Twitter Trending Archive, on September 18 alone, there were 1.6 million tweets from American users using the Farsi-language Amini hashtag (#مهسا_امینی). This total was beaten two days later when over 2 million tweets were sent using that hashtag, making it by far the most used in the United States that month.

Mahsa Amini Twitter graph
On Sep. 19, 2022 alone, US-based users supposedly generated 1.6 million tweets in Farsi with the hashtag: #مهسا_امینی (Mahsa Amini).

In Israel, however, the astroturfing was turned up to 11. In just four days between September 21 and September 24, accounts based in Israel sent over 43 million tweets about the protests – quite an achievement, given that only around 634,000 Israelis have a Twitter account – an average of 68 tweets per account.

Musk Kushner
Musk, center, stands next to the very pro-Israel Jared Kushner, left, during the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar, December 18, 2022. David Niviere | Sipa via AP Images

It is far from clear whether these huge displays of support from Western governments help or harm genuine activists in Iran. What is certain, however, is that Twitter and other big social media companies work closely with the U.S. government in order to advance attempts at regime change. Late last year, for instance, the Twitter Files revealed that the U.S. military’s Central Command (CENTCOM) had given Twitter lists of dozens of accounts it operated as part of a psychological operations program against Iran, Syria, Yemen and across the Middle East. Twitter aided them in this process, whitelisting those accounts, protecting them from scrutiny and artificially boosting their reach. Many of these accounts, The Intercept reported, accused the Iranian government of lurid crimes, including flooding Iraq with crystal meth and harvesting the organs of Afghan refugees.

This is merely the latest episode in a long history of collaboration with U.S. authorities to destabilize Iran, however. In 2009, at the behest of Washington, Twitter postponed a scheduled site maintenance which would have required taking its platform offline. It did this because the U.S.-backed leaders of a large anti-government protest were using the app to coordinate. Meanwhile, in 2020, Twitter announced that it was partnering with the FBI, and that, at the bureau’s insistence, it had removed around 130 Iranian accounts from its platform.

In addition to the cyberwar, the U.S. government is also prosecuting an economic war on the country. American sanctions have severely hurt Iran’s ability to both buy and sell goods on the open market and have harmed the value of the Iranian rial. As prices and inflation rise rapidly, ordinary people have lost their savings. Even crucial goods like medical supplies are lacking, as Washington’s maximum pressure campaign makes sure to punish businesses that trade with Iran.

Despite this, the U.S. government has been very careful to ensure that big social media companies are not affected by the sanctions and continue to operate inside Iran – a fact that suggests that Washington sees them as a crucial tool in its arsenal. Indeed, even as the State Department was announcing new rounds of sanctions, supposedly in response to Tehran’s handling of the protests, it also revealed that it was taking steps to make sure Iran was opened up as much as possible to digital communications such as WhatsApp, Facebook and Twitter.

BIG TECH AND BIG GOVERNMENT

On Iran, Silicon Valley has long collaborated with the national security state. After the Trump administration’s assassination of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani, big tech companies blocked any messages of support for the slain statesman, on the grounds that the Trump administration had declared him a terrorist. “We operate under U.S. sanctions laws, including those related to the U.S. government’s designation of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and its leadership,” a Facebook spokesperson said.

This ban stood even for individuals inside Iran itself, where Soleimani was overwhelmingly popular. A University of Maryland study found that, even before he was turned into a martyr, more than 80% of the country saw Soleimani positively or very positively, making him the most admired figure in the country. This was because Soleimani and his IRGC were crucial in crushing terrorist groups like ISIS and the al-Nusra Front – a fact that Western media once frequently acknowledged. Yet Iranians were blocked from sharing majority opinions across social media and messaging apps like WhatsApp with other Iranians – even in Farsi – because of the proximity of big tech and big government.

Another indicator of how closely the national security state works with social media is the extraordinary number of former spooks and spies now work in the upper echelons of big tech corporations. Twitter itself is swarming with feds; a June MintPress study found dozens of former FBI agents working at Twitter, most of whom held influential positions in politically sensitive fields such as security, trust and safety, and content moderation. Also present at Twitter were a considerable number of ex-officials from the CIA or the Atlantic Council. Many of them directly left their jobs in government for roles at Twitter, suggesting that either the company is actively recruiting agents, or that the national security state is infiltrating social media in order to influence it.

In Part 7 of the recently-released Twitter Files, journalist Michael Shellenberger built upon this, noting that there were so many FBI agents working at Twitter that they had their own private communications channel on Slack. The former feds even created a translation cheat sheet so that agents could turn FBI jargon into its Twitter equivalent.

The FBI was instrumental in deciding what accounts to suppress and which to promote, sending the company lists of users to ban and demanding Twitter comply with its witch hunt against what it saw as an all pervasive network of Russian disinformation. When Twitter executives replied that, after investigating the FBI’s leads, they could find little to no evidence of a Russian operation of any note, the bureau became exasperated.

Thus, current FBI agents were sending information and orders to “former” feds working at Twitter in an attempt to control online speech worldwide – something that undermines the oft-quoted line that Twitter is a private company and therefore not subject to the First Amendment. It also raises profound national security questions for every other government in the world about whether they should allow a platform that is so obviously controlled by the U.S. national security state and used as a gigantic psychological operation to be available in their countries at all.

Despite this collaboration, the Twitter Files also revealed that the FBI bemoaned Twitter’s relative lack of compliance with their dictates in comparison to other big social media networks. Yet, while Musk himself has very publicly fired thousands of employees, it appears that relatively few of the spooks have been among those losing their jobs. Indeed, when asked point blankly last month “how many former FBI agents are currently employed at Twitter?” he responded with a bizarre non-answer, simply stating, “To be clear, I am generally pro-FBI, recognizing, of course, that no organization is perfect, including [the] FBI,” thereby ducking the question.

Twitter is far from alone in bringing in armies of state officials to decide what content the world sees and does not see, however. Both Facebook and Google have done the same thing, employing dozens if not hundreds of ex-CIA agents to run their internal affairs. Meanwhile, in April, a MintPress investigation uncovered what it termed a “NATO-to-TikTok pipeline”, whereby copious numbers of individuals associated with the military alliance had mysteriously changed careers to work for the video platform.

This relationship between the government and tech is far from new. In their 2013 book, “The New Digital Age,” then Google CEO Eric Schmidt and Director of Google Ideas Jared Cohen (both of whom left top national security state jobs to work for Google), wrote about how companies like theirs were fast becoming the U.S. empire’s most potent weapon in retaining Washington’s control over the modern world. As they said, “What Lockheed Martin was to the twentieth century, technology and cyber-security companies will be to the twenty-first.” Indeed, writers like Yasha Levine have argued that Silicon Valley from its very beginning was a product of the U.S. military.

While it remains to be seen what impact sending hundreds of Starlinks into Iran will have, the intention of those involved is clear. Equally plain-to-see is that big tech is not a liberatory force in modern society but is a critical weapon in the U.S.’ regime change arsenal. And while Musk continues to present himself as a renegade outsider, he has a very long history of working closely with the security state. This Iran operation is merely the latest example.

Finis Sinarum: Why I think China Cannot Win This

November 26, 2022

America Has Infiltrated China

By Thorsten J. Pattberg

In this naturally calm and composed piece of art, I will expose the global blueprint for the defeat of China and how the Americans have already subverted Chinese top universities. This many-eyewitnesses report could knock you off your guard and make you question your—now utterly pointless—Masters in China degree, so maybe you want to find a quiet place for the next 45 minutes or so of unremitting verity and veritas.

  1. S. Since I am also creaking out critical gov-intern about the US subversion of China, this could always be my last piece, so thank you for indulging me. [Special forces raided my German place but I wasn’t there, blah!] BUY THIS BOOK!

So, this story begins in Beijing in the autumn of 2004. I was attending a dorm meeting of just eight international students in Shaoyuan, the on-campus Foreigners Building at Peking University (PKU). The host was Sergei, a 20-years healthy, strong, and charismatic Russian. Sergei means protector or guardian, and a protector of others he was.

IMAGE 1 Sergei the Russian and Shaoyuan of Peking University

Sergei announced to his guests that he was about to self-sabotage his compulsory Chinese language year or Dui Wai Hanyu—literally: Chinese for Outsiders—which meant he would henceforth NOT be eligible to enter Peking University and study International Relations.

Tens of thousands of foreign students like Sergei are expected to pass the HSK Chinese Proficiency Test at Level 6—the highest level and comparable to near-native speaker fluency—to advance to a real Chinese undergraduate degree. Peking University limits full-time preparatory language work to 2 years, in rare cases 3 years. Sergei had done one full year and passed HSK Level 4. The school extended a year on his behalf, normal procedure, but Sergei was determined to quit language school and drop out of university. He thought the compulsory language school part wasn’t academic at all, but some form of bureaucratic torture and chicanery.

It certainly was infantilizing. Grownups were put back in school classes like they were 12-year-olds. The textbooks were childish. You could just buy them in bookshops everywhere. And imbalanced. Japanese and Koreans already know Hanzi (Chinese characters), the Europeans and South Asians don‘t. Some Africans registered for visa purposes, then disappeared into the Wu Daokou underworld. There were mothers, business people, and illiterate overseas Chinese mixed in with South Asian teenagers. The teachers came from the crowds. Certainly not Peking University liao—material. If this was Higher Education in China, Sergei called it a waste of time and a scam—zaijian, goodbye!

Part I. Know Thy Place [And Your Port Of Entry]

Sergei came from a well-to-do family of Moscow state officials. His father had two other sons, one of who had also studied in China and became a scientist at Moscow State University. Sergei was the only son of his father’s second wife. We knew because his mother visited him this summer in Shaoyuan. She was astonishingly young and beautiful. She came to check on his progression, and, immediately, she found herself appalled by the sanitary situation in the student dorm. The toilets were just holes in the ground and no doors.

IMAGE 2 Squat Toilets vs Trench Toilets

Sergei was extremely well-educated, handsome, and funny. He made friends easily because everyone could see he had great charisma and leadership potential. He spoke English like Sergey Lavrov and German like Vladimir Putin. Sergei knew the canon of European literature, could talk about any topic except fashion, and seemed mature beyond his age. So, he travelled around China with his mother during the summer break, flew back to Russia, returned in time, and had made up his mind about his future career path. And that evening at his farewell party in autumn, surrounded by other foreign students, he said this to me which I could not forget. He said: “I quit, who gives a shit about Russians here. You are German, so maybe you Germans have it better. If I was American, I would be famous in China!”

Sergei. That was not his real name. I have to disguise the identities of my heroes to protect them. I met him again, six years later. He was visiting the PKU lake site, a popular day trip for tourists, pushing a baby boy in a stroller with his newlywed beautiful Caucasian wife in tow. He seemed happy. To my surprise, he had not left China or Beijing, except for family visits and on holidays of course. Instead, he moved to the other part of town and became a self-employed entrepreneur. A trader—not the international scholar he had once aspired to be. “Well, I am an international businessman now!” We exchanged a few lines about student dorms. The toilets with no toilet paper. The showers with No-pissing signs. He matured faster than anyone I knew, I thought. Now he was a family man, too. His wife, like his mother… gorgeous! “Don’t get too jealous,” he smirked. “They are hard work!” Sergei had dropped out of academia, or better: He had pulled out his head just before they could pull him in. We had nothing more in common.

Sergei proved his case. He had been realistic enough to see that Shaoyuan was an elaborate educational racket. The two years compulsory language program for future undergraduate hopefuls was indeed beyond chicanery. It was an insult. Personally, I crashed into Shaoyuan twice but did not live there. I lived in rented apartments off-campus. My Chinese degree was real.

Scholarship is serious. It leads to a cold mountain top and solitary life. You don’t work. You study. You go where no one has gone before with your brains. You know you were made for this since childhood. It is a calling.

Had they put me into a funny class with teenage Eastern Europeans, Koreans, and Japanese, and taught me school-Chinese by some job-center dudes, I would have despaired too. A university is the highest place of learning, never a school! School time is over, and you can do whatever you want in a university.

But those Shaoyuan foreigners don’t seem to know this. And how could they? This was the second intelligence test of Peking University… and they failed it! [The first intelligence test was of course that there was no application process in Russian, Korean, Italian, or Swahili language. If you had to apply in the American language in China, maybe your life is heading toward… a burger degree?]

Sergei was correct: Had he been an American, or shall we say a certain type of American, he would have been treated very differently. I am telling you now a hidden truth, a truth so brutal, unfair and seemingly evil, that you might want to pause reading now, switch the website, read Chekov’s Ward No 6, perhaps, or The Menticide Manual,… but do not read further. Especially not if you have carelessly sent your own teenage kids off to college in a foreign land.

Sergei was sent to China, a foreign country, by his calculating father, a government official, to fetch the name of Peking University; real or just imagined prestige, who cares: This was very clever.

However, it was also desperate. And for desperate people, there is a special hell reserved in a university.

If you are a Russian, or a Chinese, or a lesser European, or—Heaven forbids—some lower tier human from the Congo or Venezuela or Iraq, you are terrestrially speaking a mind slave. You probably don’t even know what you want to study until you are told and placed.

Only a solid connection to the ruling elites in the United States of America can save you from mandatory global exam plantation. If you are not connected to extremely influential Americans, or at least the European upper crust, all the higher tiers in the Human Hierarchy are going to bully you, abuse you, and torture you. They’ll tell you what to study, how long, where and how. That, my friends, is plantation work. You are not even close to any mountain!

The rulers of this planet invented all kinds of silly exams, prep courses, waiting periods, ridiculous programs, and stupefying requirements for the hoi-polloi [the too-many]. Why are Third World parents sending their teenagers abroad to foreign language plantations? Especially their daughters! The Chinese shepherds figure out in two minutes if you are a fellow shepherd person or a sheeple. And if Peking University really was your dream school, why start learning Mandarin after the event?

During the four summers that I hadn’t seen Sergei, Shaoyuan had wasted a combined 3,600 years of human life. If Sergei had been the son of a US Democrat with an American BA in Table-tennis, he would have been accommodated like a respectable human being, and Peking University 2022 would have placed him in a 1-year fast track Yenching Academy English program Master of Public Administration, next station Oxford or Brussels or the United Nations in New York. And to top it off… and this is a fact: No man who knows himself would lower himself and study years of Chinese like this. It is just a language, Heaven! You learn it on the loo! On the side! While doing astrophysics or running a business school!

The Americans would have put an “American Sergei” on CNN Cable News Network, mentioned him in the New York Times and the New Yorker, and, BAMM!… he would have become a global public intellectual, cited and referred to by millions.

Or maybe, just maybe, you are “the leading families” in some irrelevant, insignificant country, and you are desperately hoping for affirmative action or the figurative 10% Western attention span quota. There was a Thai princess at Shaoyuan once. Thailand in Asia has a population of 69 million. In comparison, England in the West has barely 53 million people. But the world is not equal, and nobody at the top of the Human Hierarchy gives a bottom burp about Thai nobility. Can we even begin to imagine man-made climate change and the sixth intellectual revolution in the US-UK planetary race if Meghan Markle and Prince Harry had attended a trench toilet at Peking University?

Of course, PKU administration immediately handed Princess Sirindhorn a Peking University Honorary Doctorate Degree [means she didn‘t have to enroll in a 5 years program like the rest of you sheeple!] and even gave her her own PKU Sirindhorn Research Center. So if Peking University can arrange all this for such irrelevant third-tier Asian-nation leaders, imagine what it can do and will arrange for the truly planetary, globalist Western master-blaster class…

Part II. The Arrival of The Meta People

I stated in another piece that Americans do not mingle with Europeans in Asia. We are not friends and not partners, not even close. We live in a masters-emissaries arrangement. The intellectual Europeans who serve the American Empire are called Transatlantiker or Trans-Atlanticists. That is an ugly word monster, so they refer to themselves as just “Westerners.” Those pro-American EU opportunists unfortunately get all the Empire’s goodies, promotions, and praise.

The minority Europeans who want to eject America from Europe are dangerous terrorists. That’s a huge problem for the entire world. See, Asians can always convert to the West. They are always given the benefit of doubt. But not so Europeans. They can only betray the Western cause and go criminally insane. Therefore, the traitors in the West are always kicked down to the bottomless pit of the global hierarchy, far below the Orientals, the fish, and the infectious diseases.

That is why the transatlantic Europeans in China insist on being equally idolized like Americans, and unitedly canonized with them as xifangren— “the people of the West.” Under no circumstance do the Polish, the Austrians, the Czech, the Finnish, the East Germans, and so on want to be separate from America as mere ouzhouren—”Europeans,” or, God help us, as dong’ouren—“the people of Eastern Europe.” Can you imagine how average the Chinese would treat them? By disguising their true identity, all those bogus Westerners hope they will be venerated just like Americans are, and treated way better and above the Asians and Orientals. And they are damn right they will, as “the united West” signal-religiously inspires fear and awe throughout the world.

***

The Western control over China is blatantly obvious. And because it is so blatant and obvious, you would be considered a baichi—an idiot—to speak about it. A baichi is a person who is oblivious to social conventions. Which makes him a tragic hero, to some. But more generally speaking, an idiot does more damage than good to a harmonious society. If the baichi does not die from immediate consequences, he transforms into a huairen or bad person. In the West we would call him a villain. All the idiot heroes who point out the obvious situation that Chinese education is already westernized will be considered terrorists as well.

Example. One baichi German guy at Beijing Foreign Language University pointed out that the 50,000 holders of the Chinese Government Scholarships (CSC) are NOT looked after by the Chinese side, and that the applications were pre-sorted and forwarded by Western governments. Two months later, the guy died in an accident.

Most nationals do not realize this, but the West controls education globally. Not just all the standards. Not just the Anglo-Satan BAMAMBAPhD degrees, publications, and university structures, but also international exchange, scholarship, and permissions. Chinese degrees, BenkeShuoshiBoshi, etc., on the other hand, are invalid.

An Englishman who carelessly studied in China on his own, with no UK governmental backing, is holding a worthless degree. UK universities, including Cambridge and Imperial College, prohibit their students from studying in mainland China unless they are part of their many state-supervised exchange programs. The entire West has huge barriers to its citizens learning in China unsupervised. This is also the reason why most British students miraculously end up in exchange years in pro-Western Hong Kong or Taiwan. British scholars are not free, and they are definitely not autarch. They are children of the Empire,… and suck their owners’ titinob.

***

Much of the progress in the humanities in the last 100 years still lies hidden. We see spacecraft and satellites and computers everywhere, which is the progress of engineering and the sciences, but we do not at first recognize the advancements of our cognizance.

To caricature it in the most simplistic way possible, humanity has fallen into two separate types of people, the selected meta and the rejected infra. I use these terminologies for better illustration as we go along. But think of them as a new breed of magicians or creators or enlightened beings. The meta (Greek for hidden) are the manipulators who switch everything and do what they want. The infra (Greek for subpar) is everyone else. The infra people lead banal lives and produce all the stuff for the advancement of meta. In the past, throughout human evolution, a tiny minority of elites had always been able to accumulate all the labor, resources, and technologies to cement their rule. But this time, around the turn of the third millennium, the first human beings who had experimented with it have literally spaced out into a new, Fifth Dimension—the Dimension of Differences only they can see naturally.

For everyone else in the Human Hierarchy, for the left behind humans, the infra people, the Fifth Dimension is still hidden, permanently so until they die. The old humans can be as intelligent or educated as they like, they cannot see the hidden world, only strange behaviors and unstoppable quakes to our lives. So that’s why I call it the hidden verse, here’s a sketch:

IMAGE 3 Meta and Infra

The meta elites can freely converse about their plans for us since they are the only ones who see the world of differences, distances, and all relations. They are not per se evil in the traditional, biblical sense. Rather, they need no morals and, as a matter of their trade, treat their subpar fellow beings very similar to how the old humans treated their pet dogs, mended their forests, or bred their farm animals.

I met my first one in Münster, Germany, while working in the German judiciary. He led me to two others. So, it was altogether three meta persons who I watched for years. That was all of them I knew back then. That was 27 years ago. They said that there are more, many more, that they are everywhere, but that there are national and international chapters, and they prefer to gather where there are high concentrations of their source of power: portals to the Fifth Dimension.

They seemed strangely languid and alien to me, so I called them “Meister der Rede“ —literally: the Masters of Speech. They completely messed up their environment and controlled everybody with their fancy words and superior minds. So at least it seemed to me. These three specimens alone affect the entire judiciary of North-Rhine Westphalia, Germany. And their world, the world only they could see, I called a Law, “die Lehre vom Unterschied“—literally: the Law of Difference. I was just so overwhelmed by their secret that I wanted to throw my life away and kill myself.

But I couldn’t do it. I just had to find those portals. I showed myself. The meta have unlimited access to all the world’s top universities, so they sent me to Oxford University. That is now 21 years ago. Since then, I have been tracing them down, one portal after the other, all over the world. First Oxford. Next was Paris. I followed a Chinese meta called Ji Xianlin to Beijing in China. He knew. They know. They kept him in a psychiatric ward, the meta at Peking University, and he passed away just before I got to meet him. Next was Boston. Shanghai. Teheran. Tokyo. There are several points of contact now in the world, and I have discovered their portal to the Fifth Dimension here at IAHS at Peking University, the Institute for Advanced Humanistic Studies.

***

Peking University is part of a global set of elected top universities, controlled by the great manipulators. It is NOT controlled by the Chinese government. PKU or “Beida” (for Beijing Daxue) is the mother lode of Chinese education because… who said so? Not the Chinese. Why would Shanghai people or Nanjing people or Xi’An people say, “Oh the best university is not here but 1000 miles away”? Beijing people don’t even speak their language [Beijing speaks Putonghua, a dialect]! It is insane, and humiliating to a billion people here, to say their bestest best are over there—so who is piling and pushing this monstrous global shite? It is of course the authors of the Global University Ranking racket in the West, Rothschild in the City of London, the Meta Covenant. Peking University and Tsinghua University were partly founded by missionaries. They are the heaviest infiltrated. There is a portal here. Western meta people come and go… as if this was their own house!

For the sake of argument, let us go along with their grand scheme. Idealized as the best school for the humanities in China, PKU should be able now to pick and choose the best talent from a population of 1.4 billion. That, however, amounts to statistical phantasmagoria. In real life, see, one either gets 100% accepted or 0% admission. If it were an evenly distributed statistical probability, nobody with a brain would ever plan for PKU or any other top university, because your chances to win a lottery go against 0. So, it can’t be a lottery, do you understand this?

Certain people just walk straight right in, 100% of the time. Others are rejected on the spot. The vast majority of the Chinese have absolutely no statistical chance to enter this place, ever, so a cruel game was concocted: exam farming. If the slaves underwent the most horrible path of self-mutilation and torture, they, too, could pass a nebulous, enigmatic National University Entrance Exam, then win a prize ticket for entering Peking University.

The results are horrific. Most of exam plantation’s churned-out “winners” look like freaks or abominations, with terrible eyesight, whimsical body frame, and severe mental illnesses like autism and depression. They sacrificed their childhood, never played with toys, were emotionally abused by their parents and teachers, and never experienced—I claim—happiness, love, and Self.

IMAGE 4 The Chinese Practice A LOT but who tells them to

Peking University indeed allotted quite a few places to these mutants with their tiny hands and oversized heads and absolutely no social skills. However, you will be shocked to know that for most Chinese leaders it is a walk in the park to get into Peking University. No torture camp is required. And we need to know why.

The owners and caretakers of the system do not sit their own tests. There are several other ways for them to get the positions they want. Democratic ways, even. For example, all presidents, directors, professors, researchers, and so on, are handpicked, selected, nominated by… guess by whom… their mentors and peers. Next, the entire spectrum of graduate education and research runs on nepotism, recommendation letters, and vague, flexible ideas about excellenceExcellence is deliberately kept vague, and the plantation owners change the definition at any time.

One year excellence could be enrolling more minorities, the other year it could be enrolling athletes. Money and guanxi—connections—are always excellent, see. During the last twenty years of globalism, excellence was enrolling the kids of parents who had overseas qualifications. That is also the reason why Chinese elites send their kids to Western universities where there are no entrance examinations. When they return to China, all entry barriers here have also disappeared—excellent! Western education means global. It also means: local rules do not apply.

This leaves us only with undergraduate education in China that requires the rites of mass examination, which is also mass deception. It is a silly demonstration of power, no more, but also no less. Think. You have the elites who have all the time and resources in China. They rule supreme. But the crowds got angry: Where is your legitimacy! The first Emperors set up a cruel annual slaughter-the-sheep wolf festival: The Imperial Exam System, today morphed into the Gaokao—”Important Test.”

IMAGE 5 Sheep or Sheeple No Difference Really

It is totally unnecessary. That is why in the West we don’t have it so cruel. Sure, America has SAT scores, Britain has A-Levels, Germany has the Abitur, France has the Baccalaureate, and so on. But these are just rituals of graduation for the elite class. The West has practiced social class segregation since the beginning of time. The lower half of the population doesn’t even know universities exist. They can’t see them. For the elites, however, if they have set their minds on a top university, they just go. There is no competition. And if junior doesn’t get the ubiquitous first grades he allegedly needed, no problem. In Germany, we have exactly 52 other ways to get into a university. It is just common sense. Therefore, any standardized College Entrance Exams in the West or China is superfluous.

China for some reason was historically a very autocratic and collective place. EVERYONE, even the average and low-intelligence sheeple populations, were herded to take part in mass exercises. Think. This will elevate the High Mandarins even higher. If everyone says, Oh that one at Peking U was selected from millions and millions of test-takers, he will eventually come to believe it himself. It is therefore in the interest of the Peking-U people, the Harvard-U people, the Oxford-U people, and all the U-people in the world, to have as many non-starter people as possible taking part in exam plantation rackets and, by design, collectively fail by the hundreds of millions. Because the higher the rejection rate, the bigger the egos of the [unelected] few.

Our so-called Western China Experts bought into the examination legend—hook, line and sinker. They, too, act as if they were the winners of a planetary fair competition with all the Chinese, so they stroke their Western egos. In reality, there never was such a competition for them.

They know they didn’t win any competition; they know their own students didn’t take part in such elaborated nonsense, but maybe—so the delusion—the Chinese peasants, millions upon millions, really had to be herded through the ultimate Bloodsport Kumite or something, who knows. In reality, (almost) nobody here at PKU took it. Of my hundreds of Chinese classmates during undergraduate education at Fudan University in Shanghai and Peking University in Beijing, none took the annual University Entrance Examination, or rather: Most participated but did not get the highest marks. Instead, they received school recommendation letters… schools, of course, where their parents—mayors, doctors, foremen, party officials—bore considerable influence.

Only the science majors are hard to cheat, but that is everywhere in the world the same, isn’t it? So, scientists do not rule a society. Society is ruled by humanists—politicians, lawyers, bankers, culture makers, artists, businessmen, writers, and historians. And to top it off, the ruling caste in China are intermarried and have their elite preparation schools anyway, so they don’t cross paths with the general population.

Next are the foreigners. If you are American, you just apply and walk into PKU. You have read this correctly. You just walk and bypass the 1.4 billion Chinese, pay maybe a symbolic $4000 study fee, and, voila, you are now a Peking University affiliate. This is what I mean by meta knowledge, or the hidden world.

Has Albert Einstein taken an English exam to get into Princeton University? No! Did the daughter of Xi Jinping pass an entrance exam to get into Harvard University? No! Are there even any entrance examinations at American Universities? Only for unwanted people, yes. Not for the ruling class though. Did Bill Gates need a degree for any of the things he did: Run a trillion dollars metaverse, run a trillion dollars real estate empire, run global pharmacy? Did Elon Musk pass a HSK Chinese exam to do anything he wants in China? No! “Oh, these are exceptions to the rule!” No, they are not, and You, sir, are a complete moron!

They think I am a Martian. It is hopeless. Listen, I had a friend in Aberdeen in Scotland from the oil business whose entire family went to Oxford University. His brother went, too. The professor told my friend he can’t take him on this year, because there’s a new India quota. So he was relined to Edinburgh University and told to later come back to Oxford as a postgraduate, no big deal. If you know what you want, and if there are no major catastrophes that could prevent you, then you simply go to Oxford University. Oh no, the Chinese say to me, you have to pass the Cambridge First Certificate English preparation class or the British Council IELTS mandatory language requirements. “Nonsense,” I cried. “An English person just walks in. A EU person just walks in. An American person just walks in.”

But the homework! Oh my god, the Asians have to do an insane amount of homework! I never did any homework in German school in my entire life. But the grades and marks! What about it? There is an American guy in International Relations at Peking University who doesn’t know a sentence in Chinese and doesn’t need to, because his father is a diplomat. I know plenty of visiting professors here at Peking University who do not speak Chinese fluently. The British held Hong Kong for 100 years and still, nobody bothered to speak Cantonese.

About 660,000 candidates take the HSK Chinese language exam each year, according to the Chinese government. A friend of mine from the States, an American-Chinese, does not give a sweat. He has hidden knowledge. He bypassed the entire system by simply calling up a Harvard Professor, donated $50k for a good cause, and became a Doctoral Candidate at Peking University, then went to Harvard also. What, you didn’t know this? There is a straight tunnel beneath those universities. Like the tunnels beneath Disneyland. I went to Harvard, too.

***

Comes along the University of Tübingen, the China Center, a second-class Normal University in Germany. Its students are of no significance and absolutely not selected at all. China Studies is something everybody can study in Germany, and it’s better than unemployment or the welfare check. Peking University is world-class and would never collaborate with Tübingen University, right? Wrong! First, Tübingen has clean and seated toilets. Second, a multi-million euro German industrialist sold his billion euro companies to China under the condition that Peking University accepts his million euro donations so that some German kids can study here.

IMAGE 6 What is Tübingen or How Do We All Get Into PKU

So now we have these off-the-mill German students hanging around in the EU Center at Peking University which really is the Tübingen deal. They are morons, and none of them will ever become a top scholar in the world. They attend special classes, away from real PKU students, as in: They are attending classes for special students. Retards, in other words. They get retard classes. Can you imagine this? But it is true.

The director is a meta guy, alright. Very bright, just not American but German. Anyway, he tries to find maybe one or two outstanding German characters who will see through this bullshit, break loose, and find their own ways. He did not discover a single German meta in ten years. In fact, his students are so retarded, he probably wasted his teacher life but we shall see.

There are also funny moments to take away from this, of course. The Europeans want to mimic the Americans, fair enough. They tell their piss-poor [I work for free!] graduates that, in order to hang around and work some more unpaid years at a top university, they must publish two papers and their doctoral dissertation in some prestigious American journals. If those morons had put any attention to their director and trusted supervisor, they would have noticed that he did not fulfill his own requirements—at all! Directors are made by knowing the right people, and this is how meta persons operate in this world. Then they turn around to the infra and tell them: There is the requirement circus around the corner, go queue!

It is hopeless. People don’t see it. The current German Minister of Education is Anja Maria-Antonia Karliczek. She earned an online degree from a correspondence course from the Online University of Hagen. That‘s it. She became the MINISTER FOR ALL EDUCATION IN GERMANY, and you, Great Scholars of Moo, have been lied to all your farm lives!

You won‘t believe this next one, but it is real,… it is, it is… it really is. So those Tübingen University students are not at all qualified to study at Peking University, alright? Well, now they are here. What do they do? They are doing activism, of course! Below is a recruitment advertisement for China Studies from Tübingen University. Hold your chest, this is the stuff of ridicule. The Department for China Studies is looking for… wait for it… females, morons, and the mentally ill!

IMAGE 7 Tubingen U hires females morons and the mentally ill for Taiwan Studies

It is real. Who wrote this abomination? They are preying on mentally disabled people! It gets better. If you read the area description, it is a job for “Taiwan Studies.” Wait, what? Tübingen U separates Taiwan from China? That means that Peking U is in a partnership with Tübingen U that actively hires Taiwan activists and promotes secession from Beijing. At this stage of cancer, could we please all agree that we can’t blame the Germans. The German metastasis just grows and grows… but it is the Chinese deans and dons who are the corrupt push-overs.

***

Most meta, certainly the most powerful ones, operate out of the UK and America—not Europe. Europe has bled too many of them, I think. That’s why today Europe is losing its grip on the hidden dimension. For example, since the “normal” professors in Europe are state employees—much like teachers, nurses, and mailmen—they have internalized all those infra rules and regulations intended for the slave classes.

For example, European professors seem to believe in salaried work and state pensions. It means they expect a fixed salary and retirement at age 65. What, are you coal miners and bus drivers? A human being, if he or she has meta knowledge, has no fixed salary and no retirement age. Who washed your brains?

Elite universities are life-extension facilities for the meta. I bumped into professor Hans Küng, the alternative pope, age 82, at Peking U. And with Noam Chomsky, age 82, at MIT. Most directors I met in China were in their 70s and 80s. They were sages. Henry Kissinger got another honorary professorship from PKU, age 90. He visited us again, age 95. My active director, Tu Weiming, was age 80. When all his buddies came together, they were older than Time. Ji Xianlin, the Sage of Beida, refused to rest until age 98. The great practitioners of Dao enhance their lives to 150 years.

We have thousands of European professors forced into arbitrary retirement in France and Germany who are desperate to apply for meta posts… in America or Asia. “I can work Saturdays and Sundays in China, and phone my business partners after 6 p.m.—it’s awesome!” a Swedish philanthropist, age 81, told me. “Oh, and they respect Old Age.” Europe could become the most depraved place within a century.

One Chinese teacher took me aside: “We have a saying in China: Bao ren bu zhi eren ji.” I knew that one, it literally says “The satiated don’t know the starvers’ agony.” It is never used on food. Satiated in our language is derived from Latin satia and means “enough.” “The have-enoughs look down on the having-nothing-at-alls” would be a living transliteration, I suppose. The Chinese are starved-out people, exhausted. They do not know how the hidden world works. They think they can beat the West by working twice as hard for half the wage. They repeat what their ancestors did for the last 3,000 years, even if that what total shite, got their last Dynasty collapsed, got their people enslaved by Western powers [and the Japanese, harrumph], and got their space-galactical Summer Palace burned down to the naked stone.

“But what can we do,” said one Chinese Law student. Well, it helps to disgrace your ancestors. Maybe drop the name your parents gave you and pick a neat Western one? Justin Yifu Lin? Vincent Tao? Or how about adding the suffix “-berg,” as in Zuckerberg, Goldberg, Spielberg, or Pattberg?

Warped in Mark Zuckerberg to Tsinghua University, in 2015. Tsinghua is just across the street, cross-opposite PKU. The meta CEO lectured the hungry Chinese about global success. But Mr. Zuckerberg embodied everything the Chinese students are not: He is a Berg, he attended Harvard, he dropped out, and he is American. His audiences didn’t read the situation. If they had been successful, they wouldn’t be here. And so Mr. Zuckerberg mocked them even more, with talks about meta and the metaverse. Mr. Zuckerberg laid out his and his companies’ plans for world domination, and nobody in the grand auditorium here in Tsinghua seemed to notice. [Six years later, in 2021, he officially changed the Facebook empire into Meta Group.] The audiences were ecstatic. Mr. Zuckerberg could have plainly said: “Listen, we Americans control Higher Education in China. In fact, we own Peking U with our Stanford and Harvard portals, own Tsinghua U with Schwarzman, the banks and big tech; we are building a New Humanity, but all is hidden plainly in sight under your noses, so I am telling you everything is hidden, and you think us Bergs are some magicians.”

Part III. Famebation and Chinahilation

More meta techniques. One Austrian guy from Tsinghua never studied there. Instead, he flashed his brand-new business cards with the Tsinghua U logo on them. Not fiddling about the legal edges, he set up a [fake] Tsinghua U affiliated Consulting Group, an International English school, and a Tsinghua U Technology Review. One American guy claimed he was the International Director for Baidu, the Chinese search engine.

One lady, American also, of course Harvard, used the Tsinghua brand to become the top China feminism scholar. If you are a Chinese person and you do something similar with Western names, they will delete you. But for Western people, it is a quick and easy conquest. Soon four, five, six Western papers will mention you. If the Chinese complain, hundreds of Western papers will side with the Westerners, so that in the end the Chinese names, brands, and trademarks are now Western properties, controlled by Western persons.

Strike together, not divided. There is no way the Chinese can defend this. It is a global gang-up and loot and appropriation of everything Chinese. One Italian meta guy came out of nowhere and to Peking University. He was exceptionally wealthy, ruthless, and lying like a politician. He quickly joined the meta list and they said to him “Write a book on Chairman Mao.” That book, and not the 100,000 other texts written by infra Chinese nobodies, will be made THE book on Chairman Mao. There was a sarcastic frenzy among Western China Experts. In case you don’t know this, the first Western imperialists who messed up China in the 17th century were Italian Jesuits. It was an Italian priest, Matteo Ricci, dispatched by Rome, who became the real Pope of China, the God of Chinese Science, the Founder of the Catholic Church in China, the First Translator, the First Cartographer. If you study China Studies, you will be studying Italian Ricci as the closest thing to the Founding of China. Chinese Religion basically is Matteo Ricci, and not just him, but all those Roman Jesuits. They had their part in founding Peking University, too. Sending in a new Italian meta mafioso, 400 years later, is just so brutal and genius. It is a great metaphor for the Western powers cutting up China and dividing the meat plate.

American imperialists are by far the most reckless. They don’t see the harm they inflict and they cannot be repelled. Within 6 years I stayed in Beijing (2006-2012), the Americans fabricated global experts on Chinese politics, Chinese food, Chinese family planning, and Chinese spacecraft. In my book The Xin-Civilization, I explained how a single detachment from the Harvard battalion here in Beijing—composed of journalists, scholars, and informants—was working systematically on attaching American Harvardians to Chinese intellectual property. The Americans are making sure that everything of importance that ever happens at Peking University will end up being attributed and referenced to some Harvard person.

IMAGE 8 Harvard People Attach Themselves To China Stories In The New York Times

While everything of relevancy and immediacy is picked up by US command and control centers (CC&Cs) in North America and Western Europe, the scribblers of the Empire of Lies [and Sanctions] are pumping toxic hate and nefarious falsehoods about China into the global media. About this, I have also written a protocol, Press Soldiers – How Western Journalists Subvert and Destabilize China. [GET YOUR COPY!]

The press soldiers boost the [bogus] China experts who in reality are agents of the West. Here’s on outline:

IMAGE 9 Press Soldiers Fabricate The Leaders For China

Next the press soldiers promote Chinese dissidents to real heroes, saints, and martyrs. Here’s an overview:

IMAGE 10 Press Soldiers Fabricate The Heroes For China

Let’s not give them even more attention. Instead, let’s use the worn-out image of Albert Einstein again—pars pro toto, one case stands for all cases:  Everybody in the world knows this person for a reason. He looks the part of a mad scientist. He was chosen as the front-facing public persona to represent physics, even though physics back in 1905 was a 1,000,000-people-strong science.

The celebrity propaganda is so strong that Americans today believe scientist Albert Einstein to have invented time, time travel, the universe, and atom bombs, and that he is the No. 1 American Scientist of all time. Even though he was a German with a Swiss passport who wrote in a language no real American can read. He also belonged to a certain ethnic tribe, but this aside.

Now, since you probably cannot remember I’ll help you out: You actually know everything about Albert Einstein—except his papers! Because the papers, as I said, are in German, and physics is a 1,000,000-people-strong research team, and those researchers know the research anyway, regardless of Mr. Einstein. They could tell you physics was a vegetable sitting in a wheelchair, and you would believe that as well. In China, it is exactly the same. The Chinese learn, like the rest of the world, Albert Einstein the American scientist, Albert Einstein the global brand, and Albert Einstein the public intellectual. For what? Who put this celebrity pornography into our brains?

No Chinese, and none of us humans in general, has chosen this person to represent physics or time travel or the universe or America. It was all well-crafted but a certain syndicate, and we must all learn its ways. Now look at all global public figures and you will see the pattern. It is in plain sight, even if it is hidden: The West is the inventor of ALL historical figures in the world.

Part IV. The Digital Invasion of China

 Around 2006, America launched the digital invasion of China. The Internet was always American. The World Wide Web… American. But not all websites. The global take-over was quick. Europe had fallen, online. There are no European Internet firms today. China still has them but was quickly outclassed. Beijing’s lawmakers fought back against the righteous US Empire’s tech firms, but that, as I hope we can all agree on now, amounts to human rights abuse.

IMAGE 11 Search results for Xi Jinping are all US or UK owned

At Stanford University, Yale, Durham, Princeton, the (British) University of Hong Kong, Berkeley, and hundreds of Western universities and their subsidiaries in China and everywhere in Asia (you didn’t know they run overseas operations?), groups had formed who transferred China knowledge to themselves. All Western universities built laborious websites with research topics, researchers, and biographies intended to draw Internet traffic away from China toward the West.

They called it meta coding. It means you manipulate the Internet in such a way that you become the expert on all the topics. The Internet search engines, encyclopedias, and social networks—all US global tech monopolies—would give preference to US scholars, US schools, and US sources of all knowledge available on the planet. So, nation states like China were pretty much over.

IMAGE 12 Search results for Confucius are all US or UK owned

At Peking University in 2004, we barely had a university website or Internet representation online. The Americans owned Peking University from the very first day of the Internet since all searches pointed away from China towards the United States.

You will see in the two screenshots above that, even now in 2022, all search results on the Internet for “Confucius” or the Chinese President “Xi Jinping” will send you to US-UK platforms. It is the same FOR EVERYTHING that ever existed or exists or will exist in China. China in the digital realm is completely taken hostage by a foreign force. That is a fact, and the Chinese didn’t see it coming. They thought the British would come again with opium and gunboats.

Western universities that were the beneficiaries of 400 years Western colonialism, now put up their China collections online. It was the final humiliation, I think. Before the Internet, the Chinese had to travel to the West to study China. Now, they just click away and land in the West.

You can confirm this yourself. Just use Google and search for “Chinese Classics.” The top ten results are Western authorities: WikipediaRoutledge [the publisher], GoodreadsChinese Text Project [Harvard], Amazon [the bookseller], a library in Toronto [how did this get in?], a cultural center in Sydney [probably Australia is up on Googling], Google Books [Google’ own ads, yeah!], Springer [the academic monopolist], and Princeton University. Your results will differ slightly, but please do try.

By 2012, almost every Western academic had been given a Wikipedia profile. US Wikipedia is the global Internet Encyclopedia, the first destination for research using the Internet. Suddenly, all China experts were listed in global encyclopedias, while the object of their studies, the Chinese scholars, were not. No Chinese professor had an internet persona, so they might as well have not existed at all.

The Harvard and Stanford teams at Beida worked weeks and months on profiling American-Chinese professors who had a proven US track record and US degrees, and ignored all the rest of the Chinese-Chinese talent. [Now you might say, if you know all this, why is PKU not inserting the missing Chinese professors into the global database themselves? That is impossible, but PKU and others tried, yes. Short story: Everybody who is not known in the West is immediately marked for deletion. China set up its own Internet Encyclopedia, Baike. Needless to say, having just a Chinese profile is an even greater reason for deletion in the West.]

IMAGE 13 Which Chinese Professors Do Get Mentioned and Which Do Not

Western tech firms and Western content creators elevated their own universities and research groups and favorite Western celebrities to total world domination, not just .edu landing pages, but Research databases, newssites, publishers, think tanks like the Asia Society or Foreign Policy. At the same time, they blew out the lights on unwelcome Chinese contemporaries, forever. Above is a snapshot of the Academic Committee of my former Research Institute at Peking University. These are all geniuses. This is 2022. Only the three professors who studied at Harvard got a global Internet profile from the Harvard wiki team. The other six professors, even though we sent two of them as Visiting Scholars to Harvard, were blocked or deleted as irrelevant. Their research and achievements in literature, history, and philology are then attributed to Western rivals with similar interests.

One American student googled a superb English translation of the Book of Tao by a Peking University professor canceled in the West. The American simply used it as if the words were his, set up a US Youtube channel, got boosted by US Google, and attracted tens of millions of views to Chinese Taoism. Tens of millions! [I laughed so hard. Peking University is kind of superfluous now. Kids can do it!]

Whoever said that “the test of merit was survival” had a point, but probably meant it in an organic, natural way. But nothing today is organic or natural, it is synthetic and fabricated. US tech command & control do suppress pro-China voices. [Good luck finding the opinions of Josef Gregory Mahoney or Larry Romanoff organically.] Those who side with China are not going to survive in history.

GoogleYoutubeFacebook, Wikipedia… are now all blocked in China. The Americans withdrew from China in rage and with bloody revenge fantasies, I can tell you this much. “Withdrawal” is too strong a word anyway, because GoogleMicrosoftAmazonYahooWikipedia, and all monopolies are still here, or shall we say especially here, at Peking and Tsinghua University, and in Zhongguancun, the Silicon Valley of China. They just cannot operate in the open as they wished, not with fancy billboards and tv commercials and ad campaigns. What they still do in China, however, is data mining, surveillance, and subverting the Chinese internet.

In fact, all American cartels are operating in China. I recall 2011 when US Apple opened its Apple Showcase Room inside Peking University Library. Or when US Subway Fast Food Chain opened its Sandwich store close to the Democracy Triangle. All three locations were unreal and proved to be clever US marketing. Provoke controversy and brand awareness.

IMAGE 14 Inside Peking University Apple Showcase Room and American Subway Fastfood Chain

Between 2004 and 2020, there were more US cyber-attacks on Chinese data than there were US bio-attacks on Chinese food supply chains and livestock. It was never reported. Beijing warned the United Nations that America was up to no good in the Asia Pacific. By 2016, it was too late. Way too late. China outside America is wholly embargoed. It ceases to exist. Instead, on any topic, you will be redirected to some Chinese dissidents, Western journalists, and Western books. And the Internet is all more or less anti-Chinese.

When we wanted to meet a [fake] scholar at Stanford University, Francis Fukuyama, he demanded $20k fees. Our institute booked $50k flights and accommodation for the directors, and non-professors had to self-pay. It added nothing of substance to scholarship, if you still live in the four-dimensional world. But if you see the five-dimensional world, it means EVERYTHING.

What can be done against Western world supremacy? Nothing. The meta people are going to unleash five-dimensional war and destruction. Peking and Tsinghua University are subverted. China has no counter attack. It can’t even see it. It is finished. Finis Sinarum.

The author is a German Writer and Cultural Critic. BUY HIS BOOKS!

IMAGE 15 The Portal

Western Media Smear President Xi’s ‘Aggressive China’ As CIA Front Holds Secessionist Summit in Taiwan

October 25, 2022

Source

By Finian Cunningham

Beijing might be better taking Taiwan now – once and for all – before it festers anymore under American influence.

President Xi Jinping’s re-election for a record-breaking third term as China’s leader was promptly ambushed by Western media smears.

Xi becomes the first Chinese leader since Chairman Mao to hold three terms in office after he was re-elected by delegates at the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing last weekend.

Western media rushed to predict that China would become more autocratic and repressive, without providing any substantiation for its lurid claims, and while ignoring the phenomenal economic and developmental successes of the People’s Republic under Xi during the past decade.

The U.S.-based Council on Foreign Relations cited the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace which predicted that China would become “more assertive and aggressive” in its foreign relations over the next five years.

The BBC ran a particularly scurrilous hit piece by its veteran anti-China apparatchik, Rupert Wingfield-Hayes, which alleged that President Xi’s policies are “creating the hostile world that he claims he is defending against”.

Quoting Susan Shirk, a “China expert” dredged up from the Bill Clinton administration in the 1990s, the BBC accused China of “self-encirclement”, “picking fights” with neighboring countries, “ramping up tensions with Taiwan” and “taking on America and trying to run it out of Asia”.

“It is a kind of self-encirclement that Chinese foreign policy has produced,” the so-called China expert obligingly commented for the BBC.

The negative focus on China’s government sounds absurdly misplaced coming from U.S. and British media whose own nations are assailed with political crises over governance. Polls show unprecedented numbers of American citizens losing faith in their political parties and election system. In Britain, the country is reeling from the sacking of a third prime minister in as many years.

But what’s asinine about the smears against Xi purportedly turning China into a more aggressive power is that they turn reality on its head.

This week sees the U.S.-based National Endowment for Democracy (NED) holding a summit for “world democracy” in Taiwan. The event is being attended by over 300 activists and policymakers from some 70 nations to “promote freedom” and other virtue-signaling causes.

The NED describes itself as a “non-governmental organization” even though it is bankrolled by the U.S. government and works closely with the Central Intelligence Agency. As American author, the late William Blum pointed out, the NED took over the CIA’s covert roles in the 1980s because it was more politically palatable given the agency’s notoriety for fomenting deadly coups and assassinations.

Taiwan is officially recognized under international law as an integral part of China, albeit having an estranged relationship since the founding of the People’s Republic in 1949. The One China Policy is recognized legally by the United Nations and by most governments including the United States since the late 1970s.

Washington nevertheless maintains a policy of “strategic ambiguity” whereby it proclaims to support Taiwan’s defense from China’s ambitions to incorporate the island territory under Beijing’s sovereign authority.

President Joe Biden has stretched this duplicity to breaking point by declaring on four occasions since he took office in January 2021 that the US would intervene militarily to defend Taiwan in the event of an invasion from the Chinese mainland. Despite subsequent White House denials, Biden’s utterances are a flagrant violation of the One China Policy and a brazen attack on Chinese sovereignty.

Since the strategic Pivot to Asia in 2011 taken by the Barack Obama administration, Washington has ramped up arms sales to Taiwan. The flow of arms and covert stationing of U.S. military trainers to Taiwan continued under Trump and now Biden.

The calculated signals from Washington are promoting a more secessionist political climate in Taiwan, which feels emboldened that it has America’s backing to declare independence from China. Beijing has repeatedly warned against U.S. incitement in its backyard.

When Democrat House of Representatives Leader Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan in August, the incident infuriated Beijing to mount massive military exercises in the Taiwan Strait. For a few days, it looked as if an invasion could take place.

Since President Xi was first elected in 2013, he has strongly asserted China’s historic right to rule over Taiwan, preferably by peaceful means but also through force of arms if necessary. He repeated that aim during a keynote address to the 20th Congress.

Any reasonable observer can see that Beijing’s resolve is being cynically provoked by Washington’s interference in China’s internal affairs with regard to Taiwan’s sovereign status. Arming the island to the teeth with American missiles and thumbing noses at Beijing with pro-separatist political delegations would be not tolerated in the slightest if the shoe were on the other foot. Indeed, the U.S. would have gone to war against China already in a reverse scenario.

For the Western media to make out that Xi is taking China in a more aggressive direction is a ludicrous distortion that conceals who is the real aggressor – the United States and its NATO partners who relentlessly accuse Beijing of expansionism. The only “expansionism” China is engaging in is building mutual trade and commerce with other nations through its global Belt and Road Initiative.

The National Endowment for Democracy [read “Destabilization”], the CIA’s very own Trojan horse, is this week calling on “activists” in Taiwan to overthrow autocracy. It is a veritable call to arms by the CIA conducted on Chinese sovereign territory.

Not only that, the NED summit declares that Taiwan and Ukraine are “two major frontlines of the struggle for democracy”.

NED was a major driver of the coup d’état in Ukraine in 2014 which ushered in a fascist anti-Russia regime in Kiev and which led to the current war with Russia. The Americans are blatantly using the same playbook for Taiwan.

And yet China and President Xi are being smeared as the aggressors!

Beijing might be better taking Taiwan now – once and for all – before it festers anymore under American influence.

As Russia is finding out, to its cost, delaying the disease can lead to more fatal conditions.

من رمال الصحراء إلى القوقاز العين على الصين…

محمد صادق الحسيني

كلّ الأنباء التي تلفّ الكون في هذه الأيام تشير الى حقيقة واحدة باتت أوضح من الشمس…

الأميركيّ الذي كان يوماً القطب الأوحد في العالم والآمر الناهي وشرطي الجهات الأربع في الكون غدا مأزوماً ومهزوماً في كلّ جبهاته وميادينه، ولكن بخاصة على الجبهة الأوروآسيوية، حيث المستنقع الأوكراني او الحفرة التي حفرها بنفسه ظناً منه أنه قادر على تشتيت الاتحاد الصيني الروسي الاستراتيجي الجديد من جهة وجعل أوروبا تخضع له دون شروط!

لكن هذا الأميركي المتعجرف ولشدة عناده ومكابرته، وانغماسه في المستنقع الأوكراني لم يجد خلاصاً له على ما يبدو بعد كلّ جهوده التي ذهبت هباء لهزّ عرش بوتين إلا أن يفعل خديعة تحالف الناتو المزعوم بين أصحاب التيه وأصحاب ما بعد التيه في الرمال العربية المتحركة مغرياً إياهم بأنظمة دفاع جوي حديثة تقيهم خطر إيران المزعوم ويحقق لابنه «الإسرائيلي» المدلل لعبته المفضلة وحلمه بقيادة تحالف «شرق أوسطي» ليدمج وجوده المؤقت الزائل بكيانات مصنوعة من الشمع مثله…

فيما عقل واشنطن البراغماتي، لا يزال مشدوداً نحو التهديد الصيني وكيفية ضرب البيئة الحيوية للصين وطريقها وحزامها الواحد الممتدّ من شنغهاي مروراً بالجغرافيا الحيوية لروسيا ـ آسيا الوسطى والقوقاز، ومن ثم إيران، وصولاً إلى المياه الدافئة يعني بحر الشام وخليج فارس…

لذلك لا بدّ من النظر بريبة شديدة الى خططهم وحشدهم الحقيقي هناك ودور كلّ واحد من لاعبيهم الصغار في منطقتنا وهم البيادق المتحركة بأوامر الشيطان الأكبر…

وفي هذا السياق، يفيد مصدر ديبلوماسي إقليمي مطلع، تعليقاً على الحملة الدعائية لما يُسمّى «حلفاً دفاعياً عربياً إسرائيلياً»، بما يلي:

أولا ـ ان لا وجود لهذا التحالف إلا في عقلية المسؤولين «الإسرائيليين» الأمنيين والعسكريين وأسيادهم في الدولة العميقة الأميركية وليس إدارة بايدن، وهو طرح بعيد عن الاستراتيجية الأميركية العملية.

ثانيا ـ انّ الهدف الاستراتيجي الحالي للولايات المتحدة الأميركية (ادارة بايدن)، في «الشرق الأوسط» ودول أواسط آسيا، هو استكمال الحشد الاستراتيجي ضدّ الصين الشعبية وروسيا وإيران.

ثالثا ـ انّ ادوات واشنطن لتحقيق ذلك هي التالية:

ـ نظام أردوغان، الذي يقدّم التدريب العسكري والإمداد والتزويد، لكلّ العناصر التي تخدم الاستراتيجية الأميركية في المنطقة المشار إليها أعلاه.

والذي سبق أن درّب المجموعات الإرهابية المسلحة، التي عاثت خراباً واسعاً في جمهورية كازاخستان السوڤياتية السابقة، بداية العام الحالي. وهي التي أشرفت الاستخبارات العسكرية التركية على تنفيذ عمليات تسلل وإنزال جوي لها، من خلال طائرات نقل مستأجرة ولا تحمل شارات أيّ دولة، في مطار ألماآتا (العاصمة القديمة لكازاخستان) بعد أن سيطر المخرّبون المسلحون الإرهابيون على هذا المطار في اليوم الأول من الموجة الإرهابية التي ضربت البلاد.

ـ النظام السعودي، الذي يقوم بتمويل ثمانية عشر ألف منظمة غير حكومية، في جمهوريات آسيا الوسطى السوڤياتية السابقة، وهي قوات احتياط بيد الولايات المتحدة جاهزة للاستخدام، إما في ثورات ملوّنة أو في هزات مسلحة وتخريبية، عندما يصلها أمر العمليات من واشنطن.

ـ مشيخات قطر والإمارات، بالتعاون مع حركة طالبان، من خلال إدارة المطارات الأفغانية الرئيسية الثلاثة، حيث وقعت الإمارات العربية اتفاقية خاصة بذلك، مع حكومة طالبان، بتاريخ ٢٤/٥/٢٠٢٢، وهو الأمر الذي يعني سيطرة أميركية غير مباشرة، على تلك المطارات، وما لذلك من أهمية قصوى في نقل الأفراد والمعدات الى أفغانستان، خاصة في ضوء تمركز تركي قطري «تقني» في تلك المطارات، منذ بداية العام الحالي، وذلك بناءً على اتفاقيات موقعة مع حكومة طالبان.

ـ حركة طالبان نفسها، والتي تجري معها الولايات المتحدة محادثات متواصلة تتعلق بمجموعة طلبات أميركية للحركة وعلى رأسها السماح للمسلحين الإيرانيين، سواء من «مجاهدي خلق» الإرهابية المقيمة في ألبانيا، أو غيرهم، بالعمل من الأراضي الأفغانية مقابل رفع تدريجي للتجميد الأميركي المفروض على الأموال الأفغانية.

ـ فلول تنظيم داعش، الذين نقلت منهم القيادة المركزية الأميركية، من العراق وسورية، ما يزيد على ثلاثة آلاف مسلح تمّ نشرهم في محافظة:

*بدخشان/ شمال شرق أفغانستان/ بالقرب من الحدود الصينية والطاجيكية.

*محافظتا تخار وقندوز/ في شمال أفغانستان/ والمحاذيتان لحدود طاجيكستان.

وهنا لا بدّ أن نستذكر موجة التحركات التخريبية المنظمة التي تجتاح محافظة: كاركال باكستان الأوزبيكية، منذ عدة أيام، والتي حاول فيها المشاغبون الاستيلاء على الأسلحة من المباني الحكومية الرسمية.

رابعا ـ انّ الولايات المتحدة الأميركية هي من يقف وراء الحملة الدعائية، التي يروّج لها الإعلام «الإسرائيلي» وبعض الإعلام العربي، بما في ذلك للأسف الشديد بعض وسائل إعلامنا، حول التحالف المزعوم والمشار إليه اعلاه. وذلك لحرف الأنظار عن ساحة الفعل الحقيقي الأميركي، في جمهوريات آسيا الوسطى، بهدف السيطرة عليها واستخدامها كمنصات هجومية او رؤوس جسور استراتيجية، ضدّ جمهورية الصين الشعبية من جهة الشرق، وجمهورية روسيا الاتحادية من جهة الشمال، والجمهورية الإسلامية الإيرانية في الغرب، لزعزعة تحالف الشرق الصاعد هذا…

واحلوا قومهم دار البوار

بعدنا طيّبين قولوا الله…

The High Cost of American Friendship

June 19, 2022

Source

By Eamon Mckinney

Democracy is easily defined by most, but to America it means any country that subverts its own national interests to those of the U.S.

Henry Kissinger once famously said, “To be an enemy to America can be dangerous, but to be a friend can be lethal.” The aged but far from venerable Kissinger’s words have never been truer than they are today. America has a habit of redefining words to suit its own purposes. What the word “friend” means to America is interpreted differently by other nations. Of course friend is not the only word that means something different to America than it does to everyone else. Democracy is easily defined by most, but to America it means any country that subverts its own national interests to those of the U.S. The recent Summit of the Americas held in Los Angeles hosted a number of notable Latin America statesmen. There were however many notable absentees, Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela, the latter two are undeniably democracies but by virtue of their independent government policies they were not welcome at the American-hosted summit. According to America’s twisted version of democracy, only right-wing, neo-liberal, America-friendly countries can qualify as legitimate democratic governments, and by extension “friends.”

The days when America can dictate and bully Latin American nations are over. Though not as intended by the hosts, there was much unity and friendship in evidence at the Summit. The head of Mexico’s socialist Government Manuel Lopez Obrador refused to attend in protest at the exclusion of the three absent nations, a lower-level official was sent in his stead. The heads of state of Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador also declined the invitation citing the same reason. This principled and courageous stance came with the understanding that they would be positioning themselves as American enemies, but they did it anyway. After two hundred years under the imperialist Monroe doctrine they will no longer tolerate being considered America’s backyard. The message from Latin America was clear, “we don’t need your version of friendship, and we will take our chances as your enemy.”

Although unstated, one of the main U.S. objectives at the Summit was to dissuade further Latin American engagement with China. The problem for America is that “south of the border” they prefer the Chinese version of friendship. That entails actually listening to the needs of their “friends”, something America is lamentably bad at. All the Latin countries are struggling with burdensome IMF debt and many are seriously close to default. They need investment in their economies and their infrastructure. China offers both without the internal interference in the nations’ domestic affairs. Respect for sovereignty and self-determination is what Latin Americans having been fighting for since the Spanish conquest more than 400 years ago. For the first time in centuries countries can see how that can now be achieved, and China is a big part of that scenario. America only offers co-operation on security, Latin America has security concerns but most of that concern is directed at America. The tone deaf empire needs to understand that Latin America has a new, much better friend.

The message the U.S. got from the Summit was a clear continent-wide rejection of American policies and its attempts to create an anti-China block. We can assume that American officials are getting used to such rejection by now. Attempts to create an anti-China alliance in Asia have also failed miserably, for many of the same reasons. No Asian country sees China as a threat, they see it as a regional leader whose economic miracle has concurrently raised the economies of its neighbours. The U.S. attempts to create security concerns where they don’t exist has gained zero traction among Southeast Asian nations. With the exception of the occupied nations of South Korea and Japan, China’s relationships with its Asian neighbours are excellent. “Malaysian Prime Minister Ismail Jaakob said that “When Americans come to Asia they only want to talk about security, we have no pressing security concerns, when Asian nations get together we talk about trade, any problems can be resolved through negotiation and diplomacy”. The main security concern among Asian nations is the talk of the need for an Asian NATO. The recent U.S. attempts to place missiles aimed at China in six Asian countries unsurprisingly found no takers. If America was listening (doubtful), they would have heard that it is neither needed nor wanted in a region that just wants to do business. American friendship in Asia means making any enemy of China, and none consider that worth the price.

Another of America’s enemies, Russia has defied all attempts to destroy its economy and has rebounded to have the world’s strongest currency. The transparent motivations behind the Ukraine conflict have many nations quietly cheering Russia on in their fight against the common enemy, the Empire. The sanctions designed to destroy Russia found little support outside the usual suspects in the NATO clique. With the world facing catastrophic shortages of food, energy and capital it is increasingly Russia and China that countries are turning to for help.

While America’s enemies continue to enjoy much goodwill, how are America’s friends doing? Not so good. By joining in the absurd Anti-China Covid rhetoric spurred by Trump, Australia, Canada and Britain have committed economic suicide by alienating a valuable trade partner, just to please America. American friends in Europe will suffer through horrific food and energy shortages together with rapidly increasing inflation, all largely a result of the Ukraine provocation. Not forgetting the instigation of an unnecessary and dangerous war in their neighbourhood, a war that no one but America (NATO) wanted. And of course the Ukraine itself, goaded into a disastrous war against a much stronger foe, now finds itself facing defeat and destruction. All attempts by the hapless Zelensky at a negotiated peace are blocked by the West. Not while there are some Ukrainians still alive apparently. Despite the encouraging words of his American masters, the disposable Zelensky finds himself very much alone. The once prosperous post-Soviet Ukraine has turned into a bankrupt, burned-out shell of its former self. Zelensky may well retreat to his $45mil in Miami when it is all over, but the unfortunate Ukrainian people will suffer the consequences of American friendship for generations to come.

If America has its way, its “friends” in Taiwan will soon suffer the same fate as the Ukraine. Despite all attempts to provoke China into an action that would draw International outrage, and presumably sanctions, China has demonstrated considerable restraint. It understands the game being played and absent a foolish Declaration of Independence from Taiwan, it is unlikely to be drawn in. South Korea and Japan have been occupied nations since 1944. The American presence is overwhelmingly objected to by the citizens, yet they owe fealty to America. In the event of a China conflict, their U.S. bases would likely be the first targets in any China response. Yet both nations declined American requests to host China facing missiles in their countries.

The loss of American influence has accelerated tremendously in recent months, and it came at a bad time. America needs friends more than ever now and it is finding them increasingly hard to come by. Even long time “friends” and supplicants like Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states are shunning America’s call to produce more oil. Biden couldn’t even get MBS to take his phone call. Shamelessly they also turned to Venezuela to ask for oil, unsurprisingly they found no friends or solutions there either.

Returning to Henry Kissinger, by his definition, being a friend or enemy of America can be equally dangerous. “America has no permanent friends or enemies, only interests”

Those that consider themselves American “friends” should heed his words.

But credit where it is due, the U.S. is indeed inspiring a new spirit of friendship and co-operation among the nations of the world. Economic and security blocs of like-minded countries are expanding in Central Asia, Africa, Southeast Asia and Latin America. All of these blocs are anti-imperialist in nature, and by definition anti-American. More than a century of American imperialism is coming to a rapid end.

CHRIS HEDGES: NO WAY OUT BUT WAR

MAY 23RD, 2022

By Chris Hedges

Source

PRINCETON, NEW JERSEY (Scheerpost) — The United States, as the near unanimous vote to provide nearly $40 billion in aid to Ukraine illustrates, is trapped in the death spiral of unchecked militarism. No high speed trains. No universal health care. No viable Covid relief program. No respite from 8.3 percent inflation. No infrastructure programs to repair decaying roads and bridges, which require $41.8 billion to fix the 43,586 structurally deficient bridges, on average 68 years old. No forgiveness of $1.7 trillion in student debt. No addressing income inequality. No program to feed the 17 million children who go to bed each night hungry. No rational gun control or curbing of the epidemic of nihilistic violence and mass shootings. No help for the 100,000 Americans who die each year of drug overdoses. No minimum wage of $15 an hour to counter 44 years of wage stagnation. No respite from gas prices that are projected to hit $6 a gallon.

The permanent war economy, implanted since the end of World War II, has destroyed the private economy, bankrupted the nation, and squandered trillions of dollars of taxpayer money. The monopolization of capital by the military has driven the US debt to $30 trillion, $ 6 trillion more than the US GDP of $ 24 trillion. Servicing this debt costs $300 billion a year. We spent more on the military, $ 813 billion for fiscal year 2023, than the next nine countries, including China and Russia, combined.

We are paying a heavy social, political, and economic cost for our militarism. Washington watches passively as the U.S. rots, morally, politically, economically, and physically, while China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, India, and other countries extract themselves from the tyranny of the U.S. dollar and the international Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), a messaging network banks and other financial institutions use to send and receive information, such as money transfer instructions. Once the U.S. dollar is no longer the world’s reserve currency, once there is an alternative to SWIFT, it will precipitate an internal economic collapse. It will force the immediate contraction of the U.S. empire shuttering most of its nearly 800 overseas military installations. It will signal the death of Pax Americana.

Democrat or Republican. It does not matter. War is the raison d’état of the state. Extravagant military expenditures are justified in the name of “national security.” The nearly $40 billion allocated for Ukraine, most of it going into the hands of weapons manufacturers such as Raytheon Technologies, General Dynamics, Northrop Grumman, BAE Systems, Lockheed Martin, and Boeing, is only the beginning. Military strategists, who say the war will be long and protracted, are talking about infusions of $4 or $5 billion in military aid a month to Ukraine. We face existential threats. But these do not count. The proposed budget for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in fiscal year 2023 is $10.675 billion. The proposed budget for the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is $11.881 billion. Ukraine alone gets more than double that amount. Pandemics and the climate emergency are afterthoughts. War is all that matters. This is a recipe for collective suicide.

There were three restraints to the avarice and bloodlust of the permanent war economy that no longer exist. The first was the old liberal wing of the Democratic Party, led by politicians such as Senator George McGovern, Senator Eugene McCarthy, and Senator J. William Fulbright, who wrote The Pentagon Propaganda Machine. The self-identified progressives, a pitiful minority, in Congress today, from Barbara Lee, who was the single vote in the House and the Senate opposing a broad, open-ended authorization allowing the president to wage war in Afghanistan or anywhere else, to Ilhan Omar now dutifully line up to fund the latest proxy war. The second restraint was an independent media and academia, including journalists such as I.F Stone and Neil Sheehan along with scholars such as Seymour Melman, author of The Permanent War Economy and Pentagon Capitalism: The Political Economy of War. Third, and perhaps most important, was an organized anti-war movement, led by religious leaders such as Dorothy Day, Martin Luther King Jr. and Phil and Dan Berrigan as well as groups such as Students for a Democratic Society (SDS). They understood that unchecked militarism was a fatal disease.

None of these opposition forces, which did not reverse the permanent war economy but curbed its excesses, now exist. The two ruling parties have been bought by corporations, especially military contractors. The press is anemic and obsequious to the war industry. Propagandists for permanent war, largely from right-wing think tanks lavishly funded by the war industry, along with former military and intelligence officials, are exclusively quoted or interviewed as military experts. NBC’s “Meet the Press” aired a segment May 13 where officials from Center for a New American Security (CNAS) simulated what a war with China over Taiwan might look like. The co-founder of CNAS, Michèle Flournoy, who appeared in the “Meet the Press” war games segment and was considered by Biden to run the Pentagon, wrote in 2020 in Foreign Affairs that the U.S. needs to develop “the capability to credibly threaten to sink all of China’s military vessels, submarines and merchant ships in the South China Sea within 72 hours.”

The handful of anti-militarists and critics of empire from the left, such as Noam Chomsky, and the right, such as Ron Paul, have been declared persona non grata by a compliant media. The liberal class has retreated into boutique activism where issues of class, capitalism and militarism are jettisoned for “cancel culture,” multiculturalism and identity politics. Liberals are cheerleading the war in Ukraine. At least the inception of the war with Iraq saw them join significant street protests. Ukraine is embraced as the latest crusade for freedom and democracy against the new Hitler. There is little hope, I fear, of rolling back or restraining the disasters being orchestrated on a national and global level.  The neoconservatives and liberal interventionists chant in unison for war. Biden has appointed these war mongers, whose attitude to nuclear war is terrifyingly cavalier, to run the Pentagon, the National Security Council, and the State Department.

Since all we do is war, all proposed solutions are military. This military adventurism accelerates the decline, as the defeat in Vietnam and the squandering of $8 trillion in the futile wars in the Middle East illustrate. War and sanctions, it is believed, will cripple Russia, rich in gas and natural resources. War, or the threat of war, will curb the growing economic and military clout of China.

These are demented and dangerous fantasies, perpetrated by a ruling class that has severed itself from reality. No longer able to salvage their own society and economy, they seek to destroy those of their global competitors, especially Russia and China. Once the militarists cripple Russia, the plan goes, they will focus military aggression on the Indo-Pacific, dominating what Hillary Clinton as secretary of state, referring to the Pacific, called “the American Sea.”

You cannot talk about war without talking about markets. The U.S., whose growth rate has fallen to below 2 percent, while China’s growth rate is 8.1 percent, has turned to military aggression to bolster its sagging economy. If the U.S. can sever Russian gas supplies to Europe, it will force Europeans to buy from the United States. U.S. firms, at the same time, would be happy to replace the Chinese Communist Party, even if they must do it through the threat of war, to open unfettered access to Chinese markets. War, if it did break out with China, would devastate the Chinese, American, and global economies, destroying free trade between countries as in World War I. But that doesn’t mean it won’t happen.

Washington is desperately trying to build military and economic alliances to ward off a rising China, whose economy is expected by 2028 to overtake that of the United States, according to the UK’s Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR). The White House has said Biden’s current visit to Asia is about sending a “powerful message” to Beijing and others about what the world could look like if democracies “stand together to shape the rules of the road.” The Biden administration has invited South Korea and Japan to attend the NATO summit in Madrid.

But fewer and fewer nations, even among European allies, are willing to be dominated by the United States. Washington’s veneer of democracy and supposed respect for human rights and civil liberties is so badly tarnished as to be irrecoverable. Its economic decline, with China’s manufacturing 70 percent higher than that of the U.S., is irreversible. War is a desperate Hail Mary, one employed by dying empires throughout history with catastrophic consequences. “It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable,” Thucydides noted in the History of the Peloponnesian War.

A key component to the sustenance of the permanent war state was the creation of the All-Volunteer Force. Without conscripts, the burden of fighting wars falls to the poor, the working class, and military families. This All-Volunteer Force allows the children of the middle class, who led the Vietnam anti-war movement, to avoid service. It protects the military from internal revolts, carried out by troops during the Vietnam War, which jeopardized the cohesion of the armed forces.

The All-Volunteer Force, by limiting the pool of available troops, also makes the global ambitions of the militarists impossible. Desperate to maintain or increase troop levels in Iraq and Afghanistan, the military instituted the stop-loss policy that arbitrarily extended active-duty contracts. Its slang term was the backdoor draft. The effort to bolster the number of troops by hiring private military contractors, as well, had a negligible effect. Increased troop levels would not have won the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan but the tiny percentage of those willing to serve in the military (only 7 percent of the U.S. population are veterans) is an unacknowledged Achilles heel for the militarists.

“As a consequence, the problem of too much war and too few soldiers eludes serious scrutiny,” writes historian and retired Army Colonel Andrew Bacevich in After the Apocalypse: America’s Role in a World Transformed. “Expectations of technology bridging that gap provide an excuse to avoid asking the most fundamental questions: Does the United States possess the military wherewithal to oblige adversaries to endorse its claim of being history’s indispensable nation? And if the answer is no, as the post-9/11 wars in Afghanistan and Iraq suggest, wouldn’t it make sense for Washington to temper its ambitions accordingly?”

This question, as Bacevich points out, is “anathema.” The military strategists work from the supposition that the coming wars won’t look anything like past wars. They invest in imaginary theories of future wars that ignore the lessons of the past, ensuring more fiascos.

The political class is as self-deluded as the generals. It refuses to accept the emergence of a multi-polar world and the palpable decline of American power. It speaks in the outdated language of American exceptionalism and triumphalism, believing it has the right to impose its will as the leader of the “free world.” In his 1992 Defense Planning Guidance memorandum, U.S. Under Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz argued that the U.S. must ensure no rival superpower again arises. The U.S. should project its military strength to dominate a unipolar world in perpetuity. On February 19, 1998, on NBC’s “Today Show”, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright gave the Democratic version of this doctrine of unipolarity. “If we have to use force it is because we are Americans; we are the indispensable nation,” she said. “We stand tall, and we see further than other countries into the future.”

This demented vision of unrivaled U.S. global supremacy, not to mention unrivaled goodness and virtue, blinds the establishment Republicans and Democrats. The military strikes they casually used to assert the doctrine of unipolarity, especially in the Middle East, swiftly spawned jihadist terror and prolonged warfare. None of them saw it coming until the hijacked jets slammed into the World Trade Center twin towers. That they cling to this absurd hallucination is the triumph of hope over experience.

There is a deep loathing among the public for these elitist Ivy League architects of American imperialism. Imperialism was tolerated when it was able to project power abroad and produce rising living standards at home. It was tolerated when it restrained itself to covert interventions in countries such as Iran, Guatemala, and Indonesia. It went off the rails in Vietnam. The military defeats that followed accompanied a steady decline in living standards, wage stagnation, a crumbling infrastructure and eventually a series of economic policies and trade deals, orchestrated by the same ruling class, which deindustrialized and impoverished the country.

The establishment oligarchs, now united in the Democratic Party, distrust Donald Trump. He commits the heresy of questioning the sanctity of the American empire. Trump derided the invasion of Iraq as a “big, fat mistake.” He promised “to keep us out of endless war.” Trump was repeatedly questioned about his relationship with Vladimir Putin. Putin was “a killer,” one interviewer told him. “There are a lot of killers,” Trump retorted. “You think our country’s so innocent?” Trump dared to speak a truth that was to be forever unspoken, the militarists had sold out the American people.

Noam Chomsky took some heat for pointing out, correctly, that Trump is the “one statesman” who has laid out a “sensible” proposition to resolve the Russia-Ukraine crisis. The proposed solution included “facilitating negotiations instead of undermining them and moving toward establishing some kind of accommodation in Europe…in which there are no military alliances but just mutual accommodation.”

Trump is too unfocused and mercurial to offer serious policy solutions. He did set a timetable to withdraw from Afghanistan, but he also ratcheted up the economic war against Venezuela and reinstituted crushing sanctions against Cuba and Iran, which the Obama administration had ended. He increased the military budget. He apparently flirted with carrying out a missile strike on Mexico to “destroy the drug labs.” But he acknowledges a distaste for imperial mismanagement that resonates with the public, one that has every right to loath the smug mandarins that plunge us into one war after another. Trump lies like he breathes. But so do they.

The 57 Republicans who refused to support the $40 billion aid package to Ukraine, along with many of the 19 bills that included an earlier $13.6 billion in aid for Ukraine, come out of the kooky conspiratorial world of Trump. They, like Trump, repeat this heresy. They too are attacked and censored. But the longer Biden and the ruling class continue to pour resources into war at our expense, the more these proto fascists, already set to wipe out Democratic gains in the House and the Senate this fall, will be ascendant. Marjorie Taylor Greene, during the debate on the aid package to Ukraine, which most members were not given time to closely examine, said: “$40 billion dollars but there’s no baby formula for American mothers and babies.”

“An unknown amount of money to the CIA and Ukraine supplemental bill but there’s no formula for American babies,” she added. “Stop funding regime change and money laundering scams. A US politician covers up their crimes in countries like Ukraine.”

Democrat Jamie Raskin immediately attacked Greene for parroting the propaganda of Russian president Vladimir Putin.

Greene, like Trump, spoke a truth that resonates with a beleaguered public. The opposition to permanent war should have come from the tiny progressive wing of the Democratic Party, which unfortunately sold out to the craven Democratic Party leadership to save their political careers. Greene is demented, but Raskin and the Democrats peddle their own brand of lunacy. We are going to pay a very steep price for this burlesque.

اقتراب الطلقة الأولى في حرب إقليميّة

الثلاثاء 24 أيار 2022

 ناصر قنديل

يعرف الذين يعطون الأحداث حقها أن المبالغات العراقية واللبنانية في قدرة الانتخابات في لبنان والعراق على تشكيل منعطف مصيريّ ومفصليّ لا تعبر عن حقيقة الواقع، وأن الأحداث الجارية في العالم والمنطقة ترسم مسارات يغفل عنها الغارقون في التفاصيل والشكليات، لن يكون لبنان والعراق بمعزل عنها. فالحرب الجارية في أوكرانيا جذبت العالم كله نحو مرحلة جديدة حدد الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين عنوانها، إنهاء القطبية الأميركية الأحادية المهيمنة على العالم، وبات واضحاً أن هذا العنوان يعيد رسم التوازنات والمعادلات في منطقتنا، حيث الأميركي يعيد ترتيب أوراقه على قياس المواجهة العالمية الكبرى، التي تدق أبوابه بيدين عملاقتين روسية وصينية، ما يضعف مكانة المنطقة في حساباته من جهة، ويخلق وزناً مضافاً لصالح توازناتها الإقليمية المعاكسة لمصالح حلفاء واشنطن، ما يدفع بعضهم لترتيب أوضاعهم عبر التسويات مع القوى الصاعدة في الإقليم وفي طليعتها إيران، كما تفعل السعودية، ويدفع بعضهم الآخر الى الشعور بالذعر الذي بشروا به بعد الانسحاب الأميركي من أفغانستان، ويتصرفون بوحيه اليوم، بصورة تعبر عن عدم التوازن، والوقوع في ارتكاب الحماقات كما هو حال كيان الاحتلال.

تضيف تداعيات حرب أوكرانيا على المنطقة، الى الذعر الإسرائيلي من الانكفاء الأميركي، تصاعداً في التباينات الروسية الإسرائيلية، وتصاعداً في الأداء الروسي الضاغط على واشنطن في الكثير من الساحات، بحلفائها الأشد قرباً، ومنهم كيان الاحتلال، ما جعل ملف التصعيد الذي يحكم مسار العلاقة بين موسكو وتل أبيب مرشحاً للمزيد، أوضح بعض المتوقع منه ما قاله الملك الأردني بعد زيارته لواشنطن وهو يحمل ملف القلق من تطورات دراماتيكية في سورية، ليكشف لاحقاً عن معطيات ومؤشرات على قرار روسي بالانسحاب من جنوب سورية، وانتشار قوات إيرانيّة وحلفاء لإيران، مكان القوات الروسية المنسحبة، وخشيته من تداعيات خطيرة تنجم عن هذه الخطوة، ليس من بينها فقط قلق الملك الأردني من تحول حدود الأردن الشمالية إلى منطقة تنتشر فيها القوات الإيرانيّة، بل أكثر ما يقلق هو خطر انفجار مواجهة عن مسافة صفر بين إيران وكيان الاحتلال.

سبق تداعيات الحرب في أوكرانيا على المنطقة، تصاعد المواجهة بين محور المقاومة وكيان الاحتلال، عبرت عنه مواقف قادة محور المقاومة، سواء لجهة الرد على أي اعتداء بصورة فورية وقوية، كما قال الأمين العام لحزب الله السيد حسن نصرالله، أو لجهة ما أعلنه رئيس حركة حماس في قطاع غزة يحيي السنوار، حول نية إنهاء حصار غزة بالقوة إذا تعذّر على الوساطات الأممية والإقليمية تحقيق ذلك، وجاءت هذه المواقف على خلفية مسار تصاعديّ في المقاومة الشعبية والمسلحة التي يخوضها الفلسطينيون بوجه جيش الاحتلال. وجاءت زيارة الرئيس السوري بشار الأسد الى طهران علامة فارقة على مستوى من التعاون والتنسيق كثرت التخمينات حول ارتباطه بتحضيرات معينة ليست بعيدة عن ما لحقه من إعلان الملك الأردني حول انسحاب روسيّ من جنوب سورية، وانتشار قوات لإيران وقوى المقاومة بدلاً منها، وليست بعيدة عن معادلات محور المقاومة في مواجهة كيان الاحتلال، ومكانة سورية والجولان فيها.

يأتي اغتيال العقيد في فيلق القدس من الحرس الثوري الإيراني حسن صياد خداياري، وما تبعه من تصعيد في المواقف الإيرانيّة بوجه جيش الاحتلال ومخابراته، بعد مؤشرات تدلّ على قيام المخابرات الإسرائيلية بتنفيذ الاغتيال، وتعهد إيراني على أعلى المستويات بالرد على الاستهداف بقوة.

كل شيء يقول إن الطلقة الأولى في حرب إقليميّة تقترب، فإن لم تكن انطلاقاً من هذه الحادثة فما هو سواها؟

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Pepe Escobar : Interview with The Press Project

May 22, 2022

From a unipolar to a multipolar world.  This is my itvw with the wonderful folks at The Press Project in Greece.  In English, with Greek subtitles.

زلّة لسان

الإثنين 23 أيار 2022

بثينة شعبان 

صحيح أن العيون تتّجه إلى أوكرانيا لمعرفة نتيجة الحسم العسكري بين روسيا وحلف الناتو العدواني هناك، ولكن ما يجري بالتوازي من إعادة تشكُّلات وصياغات في عالم اليوم قد يكون هو الأهم.

لم تكن زلّة لسان الرئيس جورج بوش الابن لتحدث في ظروف أكثر مواءمة وخدمة لما تحاول الصين وروسيا أن تؤكداه، وسط أحداث متسارعة ومعقدة؛ فقد قال الرئيس بوش الابن: ” قرار رجل واحد لشن غزو وحشيّ غير مبرّر للعراق… آه… أقصد لأوكرانيا”، وضحك الجمهور، وأعاد هو: “العراق، العراق”، وسط أنباء جادة يتحدّث بها الرئيس الصيني شي جين بينغ عن شكل العالم المقبل، في كلمته المهمة في الـ 21 من نيسان/ أبريل لمنتدى بواو الآسيوي، ووسط إعلان وزارة الخارجية الروسية بعد مناقشة نسخة جديدة من مفهوم السياسة الخارجية الروسية في ضوء الحرب الغربية على روسيا باستخدام أوكرانيا.

زلّة لسان

وبدلاً من أن يستنكر القرّاء والمشاهدون كل القرارات الأحادية والحروب غير الشرعية التي شنّتها الولايات المتحدة على الشعوب الآمنة في أفغانستان والعراق وليبيا وسوريا واليمن، فقد أتت زلّة لسان جورج بوش الابن، المسؤول هو وأبوه عن مقتل الملايين من المدنيين العراقيين حصاراً وقتلاً وإرهاباً ووباءً، لتكشف ما حاول هو وإدارته والإدارات السابقة واللاحقة أن يخفوه، وبرهن (ولتبرهن) أنه يسكن في “لا وعيهم” من غزو ظالم وغير مبرر للعراق، ما زال الشعب العراقي يدفع ثمنه في كل يوم من حياة أبنائه.

كما أنّ عمليات النهب الأميركية للموارد العراقية والليبية والسورية جريمة تطال لقمة عيش جميع أبناء الشعب العربي في هذه البلدان، لأن هذا النهب الاستعماري لموارد الشعب السوري واحتلال أرضه وسرقة نفطه وقمحه قد تمثّل زلّات لسان لرؤساء ومسؤولين أميركيين في المستقبل، ولكنه (ولكنها) جريمة إبادة جماعية لما سببه (سبّبته) من آلام وموت للمدنيين المحاصرين.

ولكن العالم اليوم لم يعد بحاجة إلى الكشف عن المستور، لأنه لم يتبقَّ هناك مستور أصلاً سوى حملات التضليل الإعلامية التي يصدّرها الغرب للعالم، وينسج من خلالها أكاذيبه وأوهامه. والخطوة الأولى المجدية في عالم اليوم هي أن يتبنّى جميع الحريصين على حياة البشر إما مقاطعة هذا الإعلام الغربي المزيّف، وإما التساؤل بشأن كل سردية يتبنّاها حيال أي قضية في العالم. إنني أجد نفسي أعيد صياغة ما أقرأه من إعلام غربي حول سوريا أو فلسطين أو لبنان أو إيران أو أوكرانيا أو الصين، وأتساءل اليوم ما هي جدوى قراءة إعلام أصبحنا نعلم علم اليقين أنه مكرّس لخدمة أهداف استعمارية لمن يشنّون الحروب على دولنا ويقومون باحتلال أرضنا ودعم الإرهاب ضد شعبنا وتمويله وإرسال الإرهابيين وتسليحهم واحتلال أرض أشقائنا وأصدقائنا، ويعطّلون أيّ قرارات أمميّة تحاول أن تحقق ولو جزءاً من العدالة للشعوب المستضعفة؟؟ 

فإذا كان اجتماع وزارة الخارجية الروسية قد ناقش مهامّ السياسة الخارجية الروسية في ضوء الحقائق الجيوسياسية المتغيّرة جذرياً، فإن هذه الحقائق قد تغيّرت بالنسبة إلى العرب منذ وعد بلفور وسايكس بيكو واحتلال فلسطين من قبل عصابات الإرهاب الصهيونية، ومنذ غزو العراق وقصف ليبيا، وشنّ حرب إرهابية على مدى عقد ونيّف على سوريا، وتدمير حياة المدنيين العرب في اليمن، ومع ذلك لم يعقد العرب اجتماعاً واحداً لدراسة الوضع المستجد حيالهم، ودراسة الخطوات التي يمكن اتخاذها لحماية أنفسهم من سياسة التشظّي وتفتيت البلدان والشعوب إلى طوائف وأعراق وإثنيات على حساب اللُحمة الوطنية المنشودة، وهي سياسة فرّقْ تسُدْ الاستعمارية التي تستهدف العرب جميعاً.

إنّ النقاش الدائر في روسيا والصين يُري أن البلدين يدركان أن العالم قد تغيّر، وأن لا عودة تُرتجى إلى عالم ما قبل الـ 24 من شباط، وهو تاريخ انطلاق العملية العسكرية الروسية في أوكرانيا، ولذلك فإنهما منشغلان بوضع المرتسمات الجديدة لعالم ما بعد اليوم وعالم المستقبل. ومن يقرأ كلمة الرئيس شي جين بينغ يجد أنها تضع رؤية للتحديات التي طرأت على عالم اليوم، ومساراً للتعامل معها بجدية لضمان السير إلى الأمام رغم كل التحديات. ويؤكد خطاب بينغ أن زمن الحرب الباردة ونزعة الهيمنة وسياسة القوة ستكون جزءاً من الماضي، وقد طرح مبادرة الأمن العالمي من خلال التمسّك بمفهوم الأمن المشترك والشامل والتعاوني والمستدام، والعمل معاً على صيانة السلام والأمن في العالم، ومعارضة السعي إلى الأمن القومي على حساب الأمن القومي للغير.

في هذه المرحلة المفصلية بتشكُّل عالم جديد وسعي الأطراف في الشرق لأن تكون فاعلة في تشكيل هذا العالم، لاقتناعهم بأنّ أسس الهيمنة الغربية آيلة إلى الزوال، وأنها أصبحت مرفوضة وغير قادرة على الاستمرار، وأنها تخوض معركة منازعة أخيرة مهما بدت أنها طويلة اليوم، ولكنها ستكون الأخيرة.

في هذه المرحلة يتهدّد العرب جميعاً خطران أساسيان، إضافة إلى خطر الصهيونية الجاثمة على ضمير الأمة وأرض فلسطين والجولان، ألا وهما: الخطر العثماني الإخواني، وخطر أن لا يجد العرب لأنفسهم موطئ قدم إذا ما استمروا في حالة الفرقة والتشظّي التي يعيشونها اليوم، والتي لا يبدو أن هناك جهداً حقيقياً وواعداً للتخلص منها. فالخطر العثماني الإخواني اليوم حقيقي على سوريا والعراق وليبيا، حيث يحتل الأرض ويقيم القواعد وينشر لغته وثقافته وأكاذيبه وعملاءه من إخوان الشياطين، ويُلبس هيمنته لبوس الحرص على اللاجئين أو المسلمين أو محاربة التنظيمات الكردية، وهو لبوس لا يقل خطراً علينا جميعاً من وعد بلفور واتفاقية سايكس بيكو.

واللافت أنه بدأ بأسلوب مختلف بمحاولة تدنيس أرض الجزائر الطاهرة، من خلال اتخاذ الجزائر بوابة للدخول إلى شمال أفريقيا وأفريقيا، بعد أن فشل في أن تكون تونس منصة انطلاقه لنشر فكر الإخوان المسلمين وعقيدتهم في شمال أفريقيا. وفي هذه البلدان تتعدّد أساليبه وأدوات مكره؛ فحيث لا يستطيع (يتمكّن من) الاحتلال المباشر، قد يلجأ إلى التسلل الاقتصادي أو العقائدي كي يثبّت أقدامه في المكان، وينطلق منه لتحقيق غاياته وأهدافه التي لا تختلف بين شمال قبرص والشمال السوري والشمال العراقي والليبي والعمق الجزائري.

صحيح أن العيون تتّجه إلى أوكرانيا لمعرفة نتيجة الحسم العسكري بين روسيا وحلف الناتو العدواني هناك، ولكن ما يجري بالتوازي من إعادة تشكُّلات وصياغات في عالم اليوم قد يكون هو الأهم، لأنه هو الذي يُرسي أسس العالم الجديد وشكله، وسوف تكون الغلبة، ولا شكّ، لمن يخطط ويفكّر من اليوم أو من البارحة، أين سيكون تموضعه في هذا العالم، وكيف وما هي الميزات والأدوات التي يمتلكها كي يكون رقماً صعباً في عالم يسهم في بنيانه ويشكّل جزءاً من هويته وتوجّهاته.

إن الآراء المذكورة في هذه المقالة لا تعبّر بالضرورة عن رأي الميادين وإنما تعبّر عن رأي صاحبها حصراً

Blinken Plays With Fire With Morocco and Algeria. Can Trump Stop This Crazy Arms Race and Prelude to War Though?

May 17, 2022

By Martin Jay

Source

The more the West pours money into the Ukraine, the more the UN and its member states have to bang on this drum which is really the worst setback Morocco could imagine over the incendiary subject of Western Sahara.

Lavrov’s visit to Algiers to shore up support for Ukraine war has shown how ineffective and dangerous Blinken’s moves are in the region. Some might argue he is making an already dangerous situation between Morocco and Algeria worse.

Is the Biden administration looking to start a war between Algeria and Morocco? At first glance, this may seem a little far-fetched as a scenario but it’s a valid enough question when you study the movements and statements of its diplo supremo Anthony Blinken. Just recently, the secretary of state jetted into Morocco for a few hours to pay his respects to the kingdom’s dapper foreign minister, before swiftly leaving to visit Algeria, Morocco’s arch enemy based on the latter’s support for the Polisario movement in the disputed Western Sahara. Leading up to the final days of Trump’s period in the White House, the former president signed a decree officially acknowledging (by America) Morocco’s claim that the disputed territory is a legitimate sovereign part of the kingdom. Until that point, relations between Algeria and Morocco were icy, but cooperative.

Biden has always opposed this move by Trump but is limited in what he can do to turn it around. On the one hand, Morocco has always traditionally had good relations with Washington and he doesn’t want to be the first president to jeopardise that; on the other though, his own political views are at odds with the idea of a country colonising another one regardless of the circumstances and is aligned to what many in the United Nations would prefer: some sort of democratic diligence to decide the outcome, probably a referendum.

In the summer of 2021, eight months after Biden took office, the Algerians decided that the situation needed a radical rethink, confident that a dithering Biden wasn’t going to overturn the Trump decision, neither on paper nor in gesture. The Algerians cut off one of its two gas pipelines which crossed Morocco territory before it reaches Spain causing mayhem as this pipeline effectively allowed Madrid to sell on to Morocco natural gas.

Six months later, the worst possible thing for Rabat, which was hoping to exploit the Trump decision, happened. The Ukraine war began, which for Morocco, was not good news as, quite apart from wheat imports being affected, it shifted backwards a more modern idea beginning to emerge that the Rabat elite had about occupied countries around the world. The Moroccan upper classes were beginning to think that the world was getting used to them – East Timor, Taiwan, West Bank and Gaza, Kashmir, Transnistria, Northern Cyprus – and that with the help of the U.S., the Western Sahara would slowly but surely metamorphosise into Moroccan Sahara. Perhaps it would take a generation. But it was a wait worth waiting for, the mindset in Rabat believed. Occupations hadn’t become cool as such; more that people are becoming dumber, media sloppier and the UN sensationally ineffective – an organisation most associate with sex scandals and corruption rather than being an international arbiter of disputes which it once was during the reign of Morocco’s Hassan II (who made the decision to incorporate Western Sahara into Morocco proper in 1975 when it was abandoned by its former colonial power Spain).

But the Ukraine invasion by Russia has sparked a new impetus in the UN, breathing new life into the once somnolent ‘no colonisation’ mantra. And the more the West pours money into the Ukraine in a blatant attempt to topple Putin, the more the UN and its member states have to bang on this drum which is really the worst setback Morocco could imagine over the incendiary subject of Western Sahara, or Moroccan Sahara if you like.

Biden can’t save the situation, that’s clear. But to some, it may seem that he is actually making matters worse. He wants to keep good relations with Rabat (he may even think that the king can fund his next presidential bid in 2024) but he desperately needs to find both a solution to the Trump problem and to get Algerians on board with the delusional idea that America can crack the hegemony whip and Algeria will stand to attention and show some respect. The visit at the end of March to Algiers was a clear example of how deluded the Biden administration is in this part of world and how its own meddling threatens to take the crisis between Algeria and Morocco to a new level. The visit was hilariously mistimed and misjudged in that Blinken actually believed that with an endearing speech he could actually just win over the Algerians, who would presumably just throw their relationship with Russia in the bin, give Europe more natural gas and basically stop backing the Polisario militants in Western Sahara.

If none of this were to happen but just merely a silence would follow, perhaps Biden could have salvaged some political gravitas out of it. But in the event, it had the opposite effect. The Algerians merely cranked up their relations with Russia to the next level and within merely 48 hours, there were even reports circulating on social media that Moscow would help Algeria’s support for the Polisario. The preposterous suggestion by Blinken triggered a response by the Algerians who immediately contacted Moscow and – presumably – invited Sergei Lavrov to come to Algiers on 10th May, calling for more investment from Russian companies and talking up the 3bn dollars of trade between the two countries. They also reduced their gas sent to Spain in their second pipeline by 25% as an act of solidarity with Russia, presumably.

This reaction by Moscow and Algiers puts Morocco in a very difficult position as it realises that Biden’s people do not have the diplomatic skills to find a compromise which puts the Western Sahara dossier in a place where Rabat is happy, finds a solution to cooling tensions and getting a sensible energy deal from Algeria for both Europe and Morocco. None of the above, Anthony but thanks for trying. Whether Morocco’s foreign minister Nasser Bourita likes to admit it or not, he, like most of Rabat and the Palace are all standing in line with the Gulf Arab states, waiting for 2024 when Trump comes back for the great reset. Everything that the blithering Blinken touches seems to turn toxic blinding everyone near to him. He is arguably the most dangerous man in U.S. politics who belongs to a different period in time when the U.S. really was the sole superpower and could wield such power around the world. Pity the Moroccans who are charmed by his diplomatic endearments and refinements. They will soon learn that strong words often don’t come from a strong stomach.

The Ukraine and the End of the History

April 26, 2022

Source

by Batiushka

Introduction: 1492-2022

The present conflict in the Ukraine is clearly not really about the Ukraine – that artificial collection of territories is only a tragic battlefield between the West and the Rest. The conflict is about the organised violence and extraordinary arrogance of the West, the US/UK/EU/NATO, against the rest of the world, specifically Russia, supported by China, India and indeed all other peoples. Therefore, the coming Russian victory in the special operation in the Ukraine essentially signifies the end of the West’s 500-year long domination of the planet. This is why the tiny Western world, some 15% of the planet, is so virulent in its opposition to the Russian people.

The Russian victory will undermine the remnants of illusory faith in the mythical superiority of the West and above all in the USA, fear of which long discouraged the resistance of the ‘Rest’ to the West. Neither Iran, nor even China risked challenging the USA – Russia has. The Ukraine is the USA’s ‘unsinkable’ Titanic and Russia the iceberg to sink US hubris and overreach. When the world sees the Russian victory, four continents at least, Europe and Asian China, India, Iran, Saudi Arabia, as well as Latin America and Africa, will vote for freedom from the American Empire. It is the end of Western domination, ‘the end of the history’ of ethnocentric Westerners like Francis Fukuyama. For Russia and Europe themselves we foresee five main consequences. These are:

1. America’s Withdrawal from Europe

The Russian victory will lead to the major reduction or even withdrawal of US forces which have occupied Western Europe since 1945 (the UK since 1942) and Central and Eastern Europe from 1991 onwards. In the US, isolationist sentiments are already strong after the humiliating US routs in Iraq and Afghanistan and violent internal divisions in the United States will only be reinforced. The USA will retreat to its divided island. Transatlantic unity will collapse. Then Western Europe can at last come out of its isolation at the tip of the western peninsula of the Eurasian Continent and rejoin the mainstream of a liberated Eurasia, led by the Russian Federation.

2. The End of the EU

The EU was a US concept in every respect, destined to become a USE, a United States of Europe. There are already a large number of tensions within it. Brexit, the result of English, that is, anti-British and anti-Establishment, patriotism, has taken place. The other tensions will demand solutions following the Russian victory. After that victory, room for any further EU expansion and economic colonisation of Central and Eastern Europe, including in the western Balkans, will end. The end of new colonisation after the loss of the Ukraine, rich in natural resources, will undermine the remains of the already divided EU. Ukraine was a buffer-state and resource centre for the colonial EU. Its liberation means direct EU proximity to Russia and the restoration of Russian influence. With the Russian victory, Western Europe will have to make strategic agreements with Moscow on European security, this time without US meddling.

3. The Renewal of Imperial Russia

The billions spent on bribing treasonous pro-Western puppet elites in former Soviet Republics like the Baltic States, Belarus, Moldova, Georgia, Kazakhstan and the four other Central Asian ‘stans’ will have been wasted. The myth of Western superiority on which these elites were created will give way to reality. This will put an end to their opportunities to earn dollars and make careers from Russophobia by renting out national territories for US bases, CIA torture facilities or racist germ warfare biolabs to create diseases.  Georgia was the first to understand this in early 2022, refusing to join in anti-Russian sanctions. In Moldova the deadline is approaching, as Russian troops prepare to liberate Odessa and break through the land corridor to unite Transdnistria to Russia.

4. Russian Values to Reshape Central and Eastern Europe

The strengthening of Central and Eastern European identities in nation-states like Hungary, Slovakia and Poland will lead to their rapprochement with Russia. Russia’s victory will mean an increase in sympathy for it in a number of Central and Eastern European nation states, not just in Serbia, Montenegro, North Macedonia and in Hungary, Slovakia and Poland, but also in the Baltic States, Austria, the Czech Lands, Romania, Bulgaria, Greece and Mediterranean Cyprus. Once their venal, anti-patriotic, US-appointed elites have fallen, Russian values will return to these countries as an influential force.

5. Russian Values to Reshape Western Europe

The EU, founded immediately the SU (Soviet Union) had collapsed, was from the outset an artificial construct, built on the rejection of patriotism in favour of a non-existent supranational European identity. Patriotism is an existential threat to Brussels. This is partly why as long ago as Common Market days De Gaulle, who had wanted a confederation of homelands, was overthrown in the US regime change in 1968. Then in 2016 patriots voted for Brexit against the Establishment elite and the Democrat President Obama. The EU was always about the rejection of national identities in favour of post-Christian, indeed anti-Christian, anti-national and anti-family values, mass immigration of paid slaves, the imposition of the LGBT agenda, the restriction of freedoms for anti-EU views etc. These are not Russian values.

Conclusion: Global Denazification

Just as in 1814 Russian troops liberated Paris and in 1945 Berlin, so in the 2020s Brussels will be liberated, or rather will collapse, under the pressure of Russian values. We are talking about the disintegration of the US-created European Union and also of US bases in Eastern Europe and the former eastern Soviet Union. We shall see the emergence of national centres, from Scotland to Cyprus, from Catalonia to Mongolia, from Slovakia to Central Asia. The bubble of Western, US/UK/EU, hubris is being burst by Russia’s liberation and denazification of the Ukraine. In order to preserve its identity as an imperial nation, protect the integrity of the Orthodox Faith and guarantee the peace of the whole multipolar world, Russia will spread this process of denazification to all.

كيف ستعيد أميركا تشكيل العالم بعد أوكرانيا

 السبت 2 نيسان 2022

رأي أسعد أبو خليل

ملامح مرحلة جديدة في تكوين العالم وتوزيع القوى والقوّة فيه ترتسم بسرعة. الحكومة الأميركيّة في طور تأنيب الضمير (الإمبريالي) ومراجعة الذات (الحربيّة). هي غير راضية عن شكل الكوكب. كانت تظنّ أن انهيار الاتحاد السوفياتي سيضمن لها السيطرة على الكون لأجيال وأجيال. ما مِن إمبراطوريّة تظنّ أن سيطرتها يمكن أن تزول أو أن تضمحلّ. ضمان الاستمراريّة الأبديّة للسطوة الأميركية هي الشغل الشاغل لمخطّطي البنتاغون. كان واحد من أولى أعمال وزير الدفاع الأميركي الأسبق، دونالد رامسفيلد، تشكيل لجنة من الخبراء والمؤرّخين لاستخلاص دروس عن انهيار الإمبراطوريّات في التاريخ (أتى ببرنارد لويس، المستشرق الصهيوني، من أجل أن يشاركهم انطباعاته عن الخطر الإسلامي وعن دروس انهيار الإمبراطوريّات الإسلاميّة.). كل تقارير «استراتيجيّة الأمن القومي» التي تصدر عن كل إدارة جديدة تكون مهووسة بالأخطار المحتملة من جهات محدّدة، خصوصاً الصين. لم تكن أميركا تحسب حساباً للخطر الروسي. هي اليوم في مرحلة إعادة النظر. من المرجّح أن هناك إعادة تنظيم للميزانيّة العسكريّة والاستخباراتيّة لرصد ميزانيّة أكبر لمواجهة الخطر الروسي (الكونغرس زاد على رقم الميزانية التي طلبها منه بايدن). لا تزال أميركا تستخف بالقوّة الروسيّة مقارنة بخوفها من الخطر الصيني الداهم. القوة الاقتصاديّة هي أهم عناصر القوّة في الحسبان الأميركي لأنها هي التي تؤهل لميزانيّات عسكريّة ضخمة. ميزانيّة روسيا العسكريّة لا تصل إلا إلى 8 في المئة من الميزانيّة العسكريّة الأميركيّة العملاقة. اللحاق مسألة صعبة، والحصار الاقتصادي الخانق الذي باتت أميركا تتقنه لخنق الشعوب فعّال للغاية في إضعاف القوة العسكريّة. وحدهما إيران وكوبا، أوجدتا طرقاً ووسائل للخروج من الحصار الجائر بخسائر أقلّ (نسبيّاً، لكن الـ«إيكونومست» اعترفت قبل أسابيع أن اقتصاد إيران أفضل ممّا كان وممّا تريده له أميركا).

ميشال مورو غوميز ــ كوبا

أميركا غير راضية عمّا يجري في أوروبا اليوم. هي كانت واثقة أنها حاصرت روسيا وستمنعها من ممارسة أي نفوذ خارج حدودها. حتى في داخل حدودها، هي كانت ناشطة في التجسّس وفي الاختراق عبر منظمات المجتمع المدني ومن قبل الإعلام المُسمّى «جديد» و«مستقل» (ماذا لو أطلقنا على الإعلام المُموَّل من إيران وصف «المستقل» كما تطلق وسائل إعلام «جديدة» على نفسها وصف المستقلّة فقط لأنها تتلقّى التمويل من حكومات ومؤسّسات أوروبيّة رجعيّة، لكنها تجزم أن لا أجندة عند حكومات أوروبا لأنها منزّهة). وكان أي معارض روسي، ولو لم يحظَ بشعبيّة في بلاده، يتلقّى تغطية واسعة وبطوليّة في إعلام الغرب. وكل معارض روسي يمرض، يكون هدفاً لمؤامرة من بوتين. وقبل أسابيع نشرت صحف غربيّة خبراً عن مقتل صحافيّة روسيّة كانت قد انتقدت بوتين. هكذا كانت العناوين. لكن عندما تقرأ الخبر تدرك أن الموضوع هو عنف شخصي، وأن صديقها قتلها وأنه ليس من أسباب سياسيّة لما جرى. ولنتذكّر أن يحيى شمص (المتهم بصلات مخدراتيّة) تلقّى تغطية واسعة في إعلام الغرب فقط لأنه معارض لحزب الله. فلنتوقّف لبرهة عند هذه المفارقة: تلقّى يحيى شمص تغطية في إعلام الغرب أكبر بكثير من تغطية النائب محمد رعد، الذي نال أكبر عدد أصوات في آخر انتخابات. هذا يعطينا فكرة عن معايير وحسابات الغرب (أشكّ أن واحداً من المراسلين الغربيين، أو واحدة، التقت بمحمد رعد). أميركا قلقة من التحدّي الذي لاقته من بوتين في هذه الأزمة. لم تكن تتوقّع ذلك مع أنه كانت هناك مؤشرات على نقمة روسيّة-صينيّة من سلوك الغطرسة الأميركي والذي تجلّى في الغزو الغربي لليبيا.

الحكومة الأميركية غاضبة جداً وهذا يظهر في سلوكها. حظر الإعلام الروسي وإصدار تنبيهات تويتريّة عن روابط لإعلام معاد ــــــ مع دولة ليست أميركا في حالة عداء رسمي معها ــــــ يشي بحلول مرحلة جديدة في العلاقة الدوليّة وفي إدارة الوضع الداخلي. ما إن تحرّك الجيش الروسي حتى اضمحلّ الخلاف في الداخل الأميركي وأصبح اليسار الصغير في الكونغرس الأميركي متحمّساً للحرب، ويشارك القوى المتنفّذة في الحزبيْن في عنفوان الوطنيّة والإصرار على السيطرة الأميركية الكليّة. لم تعد مساحة النقاش في الغرب كما كانت حتى في سنوات الحرب الباردة. كانت هناك إمكانيّة مناقشة فرضيّات الإدارات الأميركيّة عن الاتحاد السوفياتي، لكن هذا غائب اليوم. تجول بين الصحافة الأوروبيّة والأميركيّة ولا تجد أي مساحة نقديّة. ليس هناك من رأي معارض أو مختلف. حتى الكتّاب الذين يعارضون ــــــ أو كانوا يعارضون ــــــ توجّهات إمبراطورية الحرب سكتوا، لا بل أسهموا من خلال كتاباتهم في المجهود الحربي (هالني مثلاً كتابات ميشيل غولدبيرغ، الكاتبة في «نيويورك تايمز»، والتي عرفتها بعد 11 أيلول وكانت في موقع «صالون» من القلّة المعترضين على التعامل الأميركي مع المسلمين).


ماذا ستفعل أميركا في خلال الأزمة وبعدها. على الأرجح أن الإدارات المتعاقبة ستلجأ إلى جملة من السياسات والأعمال بما فيها:

أولا- تدعيم حلف شمال الأطلسي وزيادة الإنفاق العسكري فيه. ألمانيا باشرت بزيادة الإنفاق العسكري وسيكون مطلوباً منها الأكثر. ألمانيا أعلنت على الفور زيادة إنفاقها العسكري بنسبة 112 مليار دولار، ممّا يزيد نسبة الإنفاق من مجمل الناتج القومي إلى 2 في المئة من 1.53 في المئة والتزمت ستّ دول في حلف شمال الأطلسي بزيادة الإنفاق العسكري بنسبة 133 مليار دولار. حتى السويد الحيادية المسالمة التزمت بالزيادة. وسويسرا ضربت بحياديّتها التاريخيّة عرض الحائط كي تمتثل للمطالب الأميركيّة بالإذعان والطاعة من قبل كل دول أوروبا، في «الناتو» وفي خارجه. ونسبة الـ 2 في المئة من الناتج القومي على الإنفاق العسكري كانت قد وصلته دول اليونان وكرواتيا وبريطانيا وإستونيا ولاتفيا وبولندا ولتوانيا ورومانيا وفرنسا ــــــ وهذه النسبة كانت قيادة «الناتو» قد طلبتها. أميركا كانت في مرحلة إعداد للمعركة المقبلة. وبدلاً من تخفيض عدد أعضاء الحلف، ستصرّ أميركا على زيادة الأعضاء وقد تصرّ في مرحلة لاحقة على ضمّ أوكرانيا إلى الحلف لاستفزاز روسيا واستدراجها إلى مواجهة عسكريّة. وليس مستغرباً لو أن أميركا أصرّت على حيازة ألمانيا على السلاح النووي (تحتفظ أميركا بسلاح نووي على الأرض الألمانيّة بالرغم من معارضة الشعب هناك لذلك في السبعينيّات والثمانينيّات). وعدد الأسلحة النوويّة الأميركيّة في أوروبا غير معروف (سرّي) وهو يُقدَّر بـ 100 منتشرة في ست دول على الأقلّ. وهذا السلاح نُشر منذ الخمسينيّات ولم يؤثّر انهيار الاتحاد السوفياتي على وضعه. أي أن أميركا تستعمله ليس فقط لتخويف الاتحاد السوفياتي بل لبسط سيطرة أميركيّة تامّة على القارّة.

ما إن تحرّك الجيش الروسي حتى اضمحلّ الخلاف في الداخل الأميركي وأصبح اليسار الصغير في الكونغرس الأميركي متحمّساً للحرب


ثانيا- التفكير الجدّي في إنزال السلاح النووي التكتيكي إلى الميدان. والسلاح النووي التكتيكي هو سلاح يقضي على أحياء في مدن بدلاً من تدمير مدينة بكاملها. و«نيويورك تايمز» نشرت قبل أيّام مقالة تحاول فيها جعل فكرة استعمال النووي التكتيكي مقبولة من العامة. وقد أدلى مسؤول استخبارات سابق في أميركا برأيه، وقال: «لا يمكنك إدارة الخدّ الأيسر كل الوقت». والحديث عن السلاح النووي التكتيكي سبق هذه الأزمة. ومن المعروف أن أميركا هدّدت نظام صدّام به. ففي اللقاء الشهير قبل الحرب في 1991 بين جيمس بابكر وطارق عزيز، هدّد جيمس بابكر، في تلميح كان أقرب إلى التصريح، بأن أميركا ستردّ بصورة فظيعة إذا أصاب جنودها سلاح كيماوي عراقي (لم يكن النظام العراقي يملك سلاحاً كيماوياً كما هو معروف). وأميركا كانت على وشك استعمال النووي التكتيكي في معارك تورا بورا في أفغانستان كي تهدم الجبال فوق رؤوس المختبئين فيها عندما أصيبت بالحنق من الفشل في العثور على حليفها السابق، أسامة بن لادن. طوّرت أميركا بعدها قنبلة الـ«مواب» وهي قنبلة ذات قدرات تدميريّة هائلة لا يفوق قدرتها إلا السلاح النووي. ولم تتوقّف أميركا عن رمي الـ«مواب» على أفغانستان ــــــ التي لم تعانِ، بنظر إعلام الغرب، وإعلام التمويل الغربي إلا بعد مغادرة جيش الاحتلال الأميركي لها.

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اليوم، أميركا في موقع صعب. كيف تقترب من الصين أكثر وهي تكنّ عداءً نحو الصين يفوق عداءها نحو روسيا؟ والعلاقة بين الصين وروسيا ممتازة

ثالثا- جعل حلف شمال الأطلسي حلفاً عالمياً. لقد رُفعت مرتبة قطر في التحالف مع أميركا. في الوقت الذي كان فيه حكام العرب ينتظرون الفرصة للقاء بايدن (الذي لا يزال يرفض مهاتفة محمد بن سلمان)، دعا بايدن الأمير القطري إلى لقاء خاص وحميم في البيت الأبيض، وتمّ الإعلان عن رفع مرتبة قطر إلى «حليف أساسي من خارج الناتو». واللقاء بين بايدن والحاكم القطري سبق الحرب على أوكرانيا وهو تضمّن حديثاً عن مدّ ألمانيا وأوروبا بالغاز القطري (يبدو أن أميركا كانت مستعدّة جيداً لهذه الأزمة، قبل أشهر من التدخّل العسكري الروسي). ولقد أخذت قطر مرتبتها الجديدة على محمل الجدّ وهي تحاول جاهدة الظهور بمظهر الدولة الغربيّة في عواطفها الجيّاشة نحو الشعب الأوكراني. لم يلقَ شعب فلسطين هذه العاطفة الجيّاشة من قطر من قبل. إعلام النظام القطري لم يكن في هذه الأزمة إلا اجتراراً لإعلام حلف شمال الأطلسي، وتتعامل «الجزيرة» وغيرها مع أوكرانيا أنها هي قلب العروبة النابض.

رابعا- إيلاء الحلفاء بين الأنظمة الاستبداديّة أهميّة أكبر وتولية مصالحهم في العلاقات. أسابيع فقط من الحرب الروسية على أوكرانيا وأميركا تصلح علاقاتها مع النظام السعودي والإماراتي. النظام القطري لا يحتاج إلى عناية خاصّة لأنه مطلق الطاعة والولاء ومرتبته التحالفيّة ارتفعت في نظر واشنطن. والنظام السعودي عبّر عن امتعاضه في حديث مع «وول ستريت جورنال» عن كثرة الإشادة الأميركيّة بالحليف القطري. لكن تحفّظ الحكومة السعودية والإماراتيّة، وحتى حكومة العدوّ، عن اعتناق موقف «الناتو» بالكامل (بالنسبة إلى روسيا) أزعج الحكومة الأميركيّة. لكن بدلاً من رفع العصا بوجه الحلفاء، عمدت واشنطن إلى إرضائهم وتكرار مواقف الدعم والتعهد بالدفاع عن أمن النظام. لم تعد أميركا تتحمّل رقصات توازن بينها وبين العدوّ الروسي. وأميركا هي اليوم في حالة عداء مطلقة ضد روسيا. والحلفاء من أمثال السعودية والإمارات سيحظون بالمزيد من الدعم الأميركي، السياسي والعسكري. سنسمع عن شحنات سلاح جديدة وعن قواعد أميركية جديدة وعن وفود وزيارات كثيرة. والحاكم السعودي الشاب بات في موقع تفاوضي حول صعوده إلى العرش، وحظوظ نيله الرعاية الأميركيّة لصعوده باتت شبه محسومة. الاهتمام بطغاة الخليج كان بادياً هذا الأسبوع، حيث حرص وزير الخارجية الأميركي، أنتوني بلينكن، على ترضية محمد بن زايد ومبعوثين سعوديّين. والأكاديمي الشاب، غريغوري برو، على حق عندما علّق قائلاً إن هذا الاهتمام من قبل إدارة بايدن بالأنظمة الاستبداديّة بالخليج ينسف نظريّة هنتنغتون من أساسها.

خامسا- حظر التسليح الروسي. هناك قانون أميركي من عام 2017 يُعرف بأحرفه الأولى، قانون «كاتسا» وهو يفرض عقوبات على الدول التي تدخل في عقود مع روسيا في مجال الدفاع والاستخبارات «بصورة كبيرة». أي إن القانون ضبابي وهو كان يفترض أن يعاقب تركيا والهند لاستيرادهم شبكة «أس 400». لكن مرتبة الحلفاء أدّت إلى التساهل كما أن علاقة تركيا بروسيا وبأوكرانيا أفادت أميركا لتمرير رسائل. لكن مساعي التفاوض التركيّة قد لا تكون مُحبّذة في واشنطن لأن أميركا تريد من هذه الحرب أن تستمرّ إلى ما لا نهاية لو أمكن من أجل استنفاد طاقات وموارد روسيا. وقد كتب ديفيد شينكر (عرّاب نخبة «ثوّار» لبنان) مع زميل له من «مؤسّسة واشنطن» مقالة في «وول ستريت جورنال» يدعوان فيها إلى التشدّد في العقوبات على الحلفاء الذين يستوردون السلاح من روسيا. لن تتساهل أميركا في هذا الخصوص بعد اليوم. أي إنه من المتوقّع أن تزيد المبيعات الأميركية من الأسلحة.

اليوم، أميركا في موقع صعب. كيف تقترب من الصين أكثر وهي تكنّ عداءً نحو الصين يفوق عداءها نحو روسيا؟ والعلاقة بين الصين وروسيا ممتازة

سادسا- التعامل مع مثلّث القوة في العالم. ريتشارد نيكسون نظر إلى توزيع القوى في العالم ورأى أن العالم المثلث الأقطاب يحتّم محاولة طرف فيه جذب طرف آخر له. هذا ما حفّزه على تجاوز موانعه العقائديّة من أجل أن يبيع تايوان ويغضّ النظر عن عدائه المرضي ضدّ الشيوعية لكسب الصين إلى صف أميركا. لم تصبح الصين حليفة لكن كل ما يحتاجه المُخطّط في العلاقات الدوليّة أن يكون طرفه أقرب إلى طرفٍ ثانٍ من الطرف الثالث في المثلّث. وهذا ما حصل وأضعف الموقع السوفياتي. كان وضع الاتحاد السوفياتي سيكون أفضل بكثير لو أنه اعتنى أكثر بإصلاح العلاقة مع الصين لتفويت الفرصة على التآمر الأميركي ضدّه. اليوم، أميركا في موقع صعب. كيف تقترب من الصين أكثر وهي تكنّ عداءً نحو الصين يفوق عداءها نحو روسيا؟ والعلاقة بين الصين وروسيا ممتازة وهي أوثق بعد أزمة أوكرانيا لأن الصين تحتاج إلى تعاون روسي من أجل اجتراح سبل تجاوز العقوبات الأميركية القاسية والوحشيّة (هي وحشيّة على الشعوب قبل أن تكون ضد الأنظمة). ومهما حاولت أميركا أن تُبعد الصين عن روسيا، فليس لديها ما تعطيه للصين غير تخفيف حدّة العداء الشديد. وتخفيف حدة العداء لا يغيّر من التخطيط الاستراتيجي الأميركي الذي يتعامل مع الصين على أنه الخطر الأكبر. أميركا كان لديها الكثير لتقدّمه للصين في عام 1970: عضويّة مجلس الأمن وطرد تايوان من الأمم المتحدة بالإضافة إلى إنشاء علاقة ديبلوماسيّة، بالإضافة إلى التعامل مع الصين على أنها دولة أكبر مما كانت في حينه. ماذا تستطيع أن تقدّم أميركا للصين اليوم؟ اعتبارها دولة عظمى وهي كذلك من دون مبالغة أميركية ديبلوماسيّة.

سابعا- جرّ روسيا إلى حروب إنهاك. هناك نظريّة أن الحرب الروسية في أوكرانيا لم تكن إلا فخّاً نصبته أميركا لها. وأميركا تحمّست كثيراً لهذه الحرب وكان واضحاً أنها كانت تعدّ لها. كانت القوّات الأميركيّة قد انتشرت في أنحاء مختلفة من أوروبا خصوصاً في بولندا، بالإضافة إلى تولّي أجهزة الاستخبارات الأميركيّة مهمّة تقرير أجندة الصحف الأميركيّة. فتحتُ ثلاث صحف من باب التجربة: «نيويورك تايمز» و«واشنطن بوست» و«غارديان» البريطانيّة. نفس الأخبار والعناوين موجودة في الصحف الثلاث، ومنسوبة كلّها لمصادر عسكريّة واستخباراتيّة أميركيّة. كانت الصحف البريطانيّة تتميّز عن الصحف الأميركيّة لكن ذلك تغيّر منذ الحرب في سوريا حين تطابقت التغطية بالكامل وأصبحت الـ«غارديان» أكثر تصلّباً في الصهيونيّة وفي تأييد آلة الحرب الأميركيّة من صحف أميركا. قد تصل أوكرانيا وروسيا إلى تسوية لكن أميركا ستعطّلها. طلع المبعوث الأوكراني إلى مفاوضات تركيا بين الطرفيْن بتصريحات متفائلة لكن وزير الخارجيّة الأميركي سرعان ما أبطل مفعول التفاؤل وخفّض منسوب الترحيب بشأن التقدّم في المفاوضات. أميركا تبحث عن حرب أفغانستان جديدة كي تغرق روسيا في حرب لا تنتهي إلا بانهيار الدولة. ليس هناك من تعداد للسلاح الذي هطل على أوكرانيا، لكن تذكّر أو تذكّري أن حتى السويد والنروج شاركت في الحرب الأوكرانيّة.

ثامنا- التركيز على دول العالم النامي في الاستراتيجيّة الأميركيّة لصنع تحالف عالمي ضد أعدائها. الصحف الغربيّة ضجّت بقوّة التحالف العالمي الذي تقوده أميركا (طبعاً تحت مسميّات الحريّة ــــــ وتحالف الحريّة هذا يضمّ مستبدّين من كل حدب وصوب)، لكن الوقائع في تصويت الجمعيّة العاميّة للأمم المتحدة أثبتت عكس ذلك. كانت أميركا تريد أن تحصل على إجماع كل دول العالم لكن تحالفها كان غربيّاً صرفاً. دول كبرى في العالم النامي حاولت الحفاظ على مسافة من موقف أميركا. الهند وجنوب أفريقيا والصين وباكستان كلّها تحافظ على علاقة وديّة مع روسيا. ستضطرّ أميركا إلى إنفاق المزيد من المال وشحن المزيد من السلاح وشنّ المزيد من الحروب لجلب المزيد من دول العالم النامي إليها. لقد فضحت هذه الحرب الطابع العنصري الصارخ للتحالف الغربي ومعاييره. لم يعد ممكناً ستر طبيعة سيادة العنصريّة البيضاء في صلب التحالف الغربي. لا يمحي ذلك الترحيب بمسؤول من هذه الدولة الآسيويّة أو نشر خطاب وزير الخارجية الكيني الذي هو في الأساس أداة بيد الإدارة الأميركيّة. (واختفى وزير الخارجية الكيني عن الساحة بعد خطابه في الأمم المتحدة، والذي أرادته البروباغندا الأميركيّة أن يصبح شهيراً لأنها استعملته بصورة عنصريّة كي تُكسي عدوانيّتها بلسان فرد أفريقي).

تاسعا- الحرب الدعائيّة ستستعر أكثر من أي وقت. رأينا ذلك على مرّ الأسابيع الماضية. «واشنطن بوست» (وهي أكثر مطبوعة ملتصقة بأجهزة الاستخبارات الأميركيّة) دعت جهاراً إلى تكرار تجربة الحرب الباردة في شنّ «حرب ثقافيّة» ضد روسيا وغيرها من أعداء أميركا. لكن الصحيفة نسيت أن الحرب الثقافية الماضية تضمّنت نشر عقيدة بن لادن وصحبه حول العالم لأن تلك العقدية كانت مؤاتية ضد الشيوعيّة.

نحن في مرحلة قلقة ومضطربة من العلاقات الدوليّة. صحف الغرب (وتوابعه في بلادنا) مشغولة بالتدخّل العسكري الروسي في أوكرانيا. لكن التدخّل الأميركي في أوكرانيا لا يقلّ عن تدخّل روسيا. هل من شكّ أن ضبّاطاً أميركيّين يقودون كل العمليات العسكريّة الأوكرانيّة؟ هل من شك أن هناك شركات علاقات عامّة تكتب خطب القادة الأوكرانيّين (لقد علمنا رسميّاً أن شركة علاقات عامّة استأجرتها حكومة بايدن كي تكتب خطب سفيرة أوكرانيا في أميركا). أميركا لن تتوقّف، هي ستستمرّ لأنها في طور الانتقام من تحدّي روسيا لها. والانتقام الأميركي، كما رأينا بعد 11 أيلول، أبشع بكثير من عوائد القبائل العربيّة القديمة.

* كاتب عربي ــــ حسابه على تويتر
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Gonzalo Lira: News & Views 2022.04.04

APRIL 04, 2022

نهاية «نهاية التاريخ»: الفوضى العالمية فُرصتنا الأنسب

السبت 2 نيسان 2022

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 وليد شرارة

موقف غالبية بلدان الجنوب، وبينهم حلفاء تاريخيون للولايات المتحدة، من النزاع الدائر في أوكرانيا، ورفضهم إدانة روسيا وفرض عقوبات عليها، مؤشّر قوي جديد إلى التراجع المستمرّ والمتسارع للهيمنة الأميركية. مَن كان يتصوّر، حتى بضع سنوات خلت، أن السعودية مثلاً، التي سارت خلف واشنطن طوال عقود الحرب الباردة وبعدها، واندرجت في استراتيجيتها العامّة ليس في الشرق الأوسط وحده، بل في أميركا اللاتينية وأفريقيا أيضاً، سترفض الانحياز إليها في مواجهتها الحيوية الراهنة مع موسكو؟ أمّا الهند، التي تحوّلت منذ مطلع الألفية الثانية إلى حليف رئيس، بنظر الاستراتيجيين الأميركيين، في مقابل الصين، وشريك بارز في «كواد»، فإن موقفها من النزاع في أوكرانيا، وقرارها مضاعفة وارداتها من النفط الروسي بأربع مرّات، والدفع بالروبل وليس بالدولار، ولّد صدمة جديدة لهؤلاء الخبراء الاستراتيجيين. المقاربة التركية للنزاع في أوكرانيا، وإن كانت مختلفة عن تلك المذكورة، تتمايز بوضوح عن نظيرتها الأميركية: هي أمدّت كييف بالسلاح، خاصة بمسيّرات «بيرقدار»، لكنها رفضت فرض عقوبات على موسكو، وتلعب دوراً نشيطاً في الوساطة بين الطرفَين.

هذا بالنسبة لحلفاء واشنطن، أمّا خصومها، فإن مواقفهم تتراوح بين الدعم العلني أو الضمني لروسيا. لكلّ دولة من دول الجنوب دوافع خاصة تفسّر تموضعها خارج المعسكر الذي تقوده الولايات المتحدة في مجابهتها المحتدمة مع منافِسيها الاستراتيجيين في روسيا والصين، وفي تنمية شراكات متعدّدة الأبعاد معهما، غير أن المحصّلة النهائية لمثل هذه التموضعات والشراكات، تشكّل منعطفاً حاسماً في مسار العلاقات الدولية منذ نهاية الحرب العالمية الثانية. فعجز الإمبراطورية المنحدرة عن ضبط الحلفاء، ناهيك عن التصدّي الناجح للأعداء، يشي بتفكّك منظومة السيطرة الغربية على المعمورة، وبداية مرحلة طويلة من الصراعات الدولية والإقليمية في بقاع مختلفة منها، ستحدّد مآلاتها شكل النظام الدولي الذي سيعاد بناؤه. ولا شك في أن للفوضى العالمية الآخذة في الاتّساع، تداعيات أكيدة ووازنة على صراعنا المديد مع المشروع الاستيطاني الصهيوني.

حالة الفوضى
الصراع بين الدول الكبرى ليس صنواً للفوضى بالضرورة. ففي مرحلة ما بعد الحرب العالمية الثانية، انقسم العالم إلى معسكرَين، ضمّ كلّ منهما مجموعة من الدول والأحزاب والتنظيمات ذات الخلفيات الأيديولوجية والسياسية المتعدّدة، ما أدى إلى نشوء نظام القطبية الثنائية. كانت للقطبَين الرئيسيَن، أي الولايات المتحدة والاتحاد السوفياتي، قدرة تأثير وضبط تختلف درجاتها مع أطراف معسكرَيهما، التي تمتّع بعضها بهامش استقلالية نسبية. غير أن مَن يستعرض الحروب والنزاعات التي دارت في تلك المرحلة، سيجد أن كلّاً من القطبين امتلك إمكانية التدخّل في مسارها، و»إقناع» حليفه المحلي أو الإقليمي بالتصعيد أو بتخفيض حدّة الصراع في فترات معينة، وبـ»اقتراح» حلول لهذه الصراعات، تنسجم مع الأجندة الدولية للقطب المعنيّ. فالاتحاد السوفياتي الذي دعم الدول العربية والمقاومة الفلسطينية في صراعها مع الكيان الصهيوني، ساهم في إقناعها بأن يكون هدفها النهائي هو التسوية السلمية على قاعدة القرارات الدولية، وإن لم تكن هذه المساهمة هي العامل الوحيد الذي يفسّر قبول الأطراف الرسمية العربية والفلسطينية بهذا السقف السياسي. الأمر نفسه ينسحب، وإن بأشكال ودرجات مختلفة، على حروب ونزاعات وقعت آنذاك، وسعى كلّ من القطبَين إلى توظيفها في إطار استراتيجيته العامة، أو ضبطها لمنع اتّساعها واستعارها.

الفراغ الناجم عن تراجع الهيمنة الأميركية، وعدم وجود قوى مرشّحة للحلول مكانها، ستعمل القوى الإقليمية على تعبئته


بعد انهيار الاتحاد السوفياتي، حاولت الولايات المتحدة فرض نظام الآحادية القطبية، وشنّت لهذه الغاية حروباً عدوانية مدمرة، غير أنه بات من الواضح أنها فشلت في ذلك تماماً. ما نشهده اليوم هو مجابهة بين معسكر أطلسي بقيادة الولايات المتحدة، ومحور روسي – صيني أصبحت أوكرانيا إحدى ساحاته. لكن بقيّة العالم، أي بلدان الجنوب، وبينها قوى إقليمية وازنة، اختارت «عدم الانحياز» إلى أيّ من الطرفين. أصبح «عدم الانحياز»، ولو الظرفي، بالنسبة لهذه البلدان، أسهل ممّا كان عليه في فترة تشكّل المنظّمة التي تحمل هذا الاسم، والتي تعرّض أعضاؤها لضغوط هائلة، من قِبَل الولايات المتحدة أساساً، لحملهم على الانحياز أو إسقاط أنظمتهم الوطنية. وعلى رغم احتفاظ عدد من بلدان الجنوب بتحالفاتها الدولية، فإن هامش استقلاليتها قد اتّسع، وأضحت تعطي الأولوية لأجندتها الخاصة، حتى ولو لم تتقاطع مع أجندة الحليف الدولي. يقول فرانسيس فوكوياما، في مقابلة مع «ذي نيو ستايتسمان»، بأننا «ربّما نرى نهاية نهاية التاريخ». الفراغ الناجم عن تراجع الهيمنة الأميركية، وعدم وجود قوى دولية مرشّحة حالياً للحلول في مكانها، في منطقتنا وفي مناطق أخرى، ستعمل القوى الإقليمية على تعبئته من خلال النزاع في ما بينها أو التوصّل إلى تفاهمات وترتيبات.

أولوية فلسطين

منذ أن أدرك الحلفاء الإقليميون للولايات المتحدة قرارها «التخفّف من أعباء الشرق الأوسط»، وهو توجّه سيتعزّز في سياستها الخارجية في سياق حربها بالوكالة مع روسيا في أوكرانيا، وهم يعملون على بناء تحالف «عربي» – صهيوني في مواجهة قوى المقاومة في الإقليم، وفي القلب منها إيران. هذه هي الغاية الحقيقية لـ»اتفاقية أبراهام»، ولقمم شرم الشيخ والنقب. غير أن الإمارات، وهي الطرف الرئيس الذي اشترك في صياغة هذا المشروع أيام إدارة دونالد ترامب، شرعت من جهة أخرى في السعي لتطبيع علاقاتها مع إيران، وتطوير المصالح المشتركة معها. السعودية لم تشارك حتى الآن رسمياً في التحالف المذكور، لكن وجود البحرين تمّ بعد ضوء أخضر منها. إلّا أن ولي عهدها دعا بدوره إلى إقامة علاقات حسن جوار مع إيران.
تعلم جميع أطراف هذا التحالف هشاشته، وفي مقدّمتها الكيان الصهيوني. وتعلم قوى المقاومة ذلك، وفي طليعتها الشعب الفلسطيني، تغيُّر أولويات القوى الغربية، وانشغالها بمواجهات استراتيجية كبرى مع روسيا والصين ستزداد حدّة في المدى المنظور، وتستتبع تراجع أولوية صراعات المنطقة على أجندتها. هذا ما يثير ذعر قادة الكيان، وما يفسّر التقاط أبناء الشعب الفلسطيني وتنظيماته المقاوِمة لهذه الفرصة وتصعيد العمل المقاوم. انفجار انتفاضة شعبية عارمة ضدّ الاحتلال مدعومة بالنار، نار البنادق والصواريخ، سيفرض التراجع على العدو، وسيقلب الطاولة على مشاريع التحالفات الخيانية. الفوضى العالمية الراهنة هي السياق الأنسب لفرض أولوية فلسطين على جدول أعمال الجميع، عبر جولة جديدة من المجابهة تبني على ما حقّقته معركة «سيف القدس» المجيدة.

من ملف : نهاية «نهاية التاريخ»

Pakistan PM Names ‘Foreign Power’ That Wants Him Toppled, Summons Its Ambassador

April 1 2022

By Staff, Agencies

Pakistani PM Imran Khan ‘accidentally’ named the United States as the culprit when he claimed “a foreign country I can’t name” was eager to see him removed from his post via a no-confidence vote.

“America has – oh, not America but a foreign country I can’t name” sent the leader the message in an effort to meddle in his country’s politics, Khan said in a televised address on Thursday, after a no-confidence vote against him was rescheduled.

Khan received a briefing letter from the Pakistani ambassador to the US that included a recording of a senior official from Washington implying the relationship between the two countries would improve in Khan’s absence, local media reported on Thursday.

“They say that ‘our anger will vanish if Imran Khan loses this no-confidence vote’,” Khan said, describing the contents of the letter.

Soon after, Pakistan’s foreign office summoned the acting US charge d’affaires to lodge a strong protest over Washington’s meddling in the internal affairs of the country.

Pakistani media, citing diplomatic sources, said on Thursday that the senior US diplomat was handed over the protest note for the language used by an American official during a formal communication regarding a no-confidence motion in Pakistan’s parliament aimed at ousting Prime Minister Imran Khan.

The English-language Dawn newspaper said the US Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asian Affairs, Donald Lu, had in a meeting with Pakistan’s envoy Asad Majeed warned that there could be implications if Khan survived the opposition’s no-confidence motion on April 3rd.

A Pakistani foreign office official confirmed that a “demarche” was handed over to the acting US envoy in Islamabad, adding that Washington was told that the use of such undiplomatic language was unacceptable.

US State Department spokesperson Ned Price insisted there was “no truth” to the allegations, claiming that Washington was “closely following developments in Pakistan” but that it “respect[ed] and support[ed] Pakistan’s constitutional process and the rule of law.”

It’s not the first time Khan has accused Washington of meddling in the country’s internal affairs and trying to influence its policy decisions. He broached the issue at a Sunday rally where he sought to draw on supporters’ energy as his political opposition has attempted to oust him and reminded his supporters during Thursday’s broadcast that Pakistan had gotten nothing from supporting the US’ war on “terror” except a lot more terrorists and drone bombings.

Khan has refused to bow to American pressure and condemn Russia for sending troops into Ukraine, arguing Pakistan had nothing to gain by such a move. However, this has made him a target for the US and its allies, who are already upset that neighboring India has also refused to join their sanctions campaign against Moscow.

النتائج المرتقبة للأزمة الأوكرانية…

 الإثنين 28 آذار 2022

 زياد حافظ

العملية العسكرية الواسعة التي تقوم بها روسيا في أوكرانيا لها تداعيات مفصلية على صعيد التوازنات الدولية والإقليمية كما أنها تعيد رسم الخرائط السياسية والاقتصادية والثقافية. النتائج الأولية لتلك العملية، التي لم تنته عند إعداد هذه المقاربة تدلّ بوضوح على التغييرات التي رُصدت منذ عدّة سنوات ولكنها لم تكن ظاهرة للجميع. فالغرب في أفول متسرّع والامبراطورية الأميركية في حال تفكّك تنذر بانهيارات داخلية تضع وجود الولايات المتحدة قاب قوسين على الأقل بالنسبة للشكل التي نعرفها.

فالنتائج على الصعيد السياسة والاقتصاد، دوليا وإقليميا، انعكست على التحالفات القائمة وعلى بروز تحالفات جديدة. فعلى صعيد التحالفات القائمة نرى التصدّع داخل أوروبا الغربية بين الدول ومؤسسة الاتحاد الأوروبي، كما نرى تصدّعا بين الدول الأوروبية البارزة كألمانيا وفرنسا مثلا مع الولايات المتحدة رغم التحليلات التي تفيد أن قبضة الولايات المتحدة ازدادت بسبب العملية العسكرية الروسية وضرورة تأمين “وحدة الصف”. فهذه “الوحدة” التي كانت هشّة قبل الأزمة زادت في هشاشتها رغم المظاهر. فدول مثل المانيا وفرنسا أصبحت في واجهة المتلقي للعقوبات التي تفرضها الولايات المتحدة على روسيا سواء على الصعيد الصناعي أو الطاقة أو المال. والسردية الإعلامية ضدّ روسيا في الدول الأوروبية لن تصمد أمام الواقع الاقتصادي الجديد الذي تفرضه سياسة العقوبات التي بدأت مفاعيلها ترتدّ على الدول الأوروبية على صعيد ارتفاع أسعار السلع بشكل عام والطاقة بشكل خاص. فأوروبا تستورد حوالي الثلثين من حاجاتها الغازية والنفطية من روسيا حيث لألمانيا حصة الأسد (40 بالمائة من حاجاتها الغازية تأتي من روسيا).

أما على صعيد التحالفات الجديدة فنرى تقارباً لم يكن متوقّعاً بين الهند والصين وخاصة بعد التهديدات التي أطلقتها مؤخراً إدارة بايدن تجاه الهند. وفي أميركا الجنوبية هناك توجه واضح نحو تقارب مع كلّ من روسيا والصين. أما في أفريقيا، فالدول الأفريقية بدأت تقدّر النموذج الروسي الصيني في العلاقات الدولية المبني على القانون الدولي ومبدأ “رابح رابح” للجميع. تجلّى ذلك بعدم الموافقة على المشاركة في العقوبات التي تريد فرضها الولايات المتحدة والاتحاد الأوروبي على روسيا. أما التصعيد الأميركي المتمثل بمعاقبة كل من يخالف قرارها ويستمر في التعامل معها فكان الردّ الروسي ومعه دول الكتلة الاوراسية بعرض نظام مالي خارج الدولار. ما زلنا في بداية الطريق لنظام مدفوعات جديد خارج الدولار ولكن النتيجة الفورية هي تخفيف وطأة التهديدات الأميركية بعزل الدول “المتمرّدة” عن منظومة السويفت.

هنا لا بدّ لنا من الإشارة إلى أنّ المواجهة القائمة في أوكرانيا هي في الحقيقة مواجهة كونية تأخذ عدة أشكال متكاملة وليست متناقضة. فهي مواجهة بين الرأس المالية الصناعية المتحالفة مع الاشتراكية ((روسيا والصين ومن يتماهى معهما) والرأس المالية التي تتعاطى فقط في المال (الغرب). وهي أيضا بين العولمة المالية (الغرب) والعولمة المبنية على الهويات القومية والخصوصيات. وهي مواجهة بين رؤية للنظام العالمي المبني على “القيم والأحكام” (الغرب) ورؤية مبنية على القانون الدولي (روسيا، الصين ودول الجنوب الإجمالي). هي مواجهة بين الاقتصاد الفعلي الإنتاجي والاقتصاد الافتراضي المالي الريعي. هذه بعض من المواجهات في السياق الفعلي للصراع القائم والتي كل واحدة منها تستحق مقاربة منفصلة قد نقدمها في مرحلة لاحقة.

الغرب لا يعتبر روسيا منه

وفي خطاب في غاية الأهمية الذي القاه الرئيس الروسي في 16 آذار/ مارس أعلن فيه القطيعة الرسمية مع الغرب بشكل عام على الصعيد الاقتصادي والسياسي. أشار الرئيس الروسي في خطابه إلى القرصنة التي مارسها الغرب تجاه الموجودات والأصول المالية الروسية ما قطع شريان الثقة بالمؤسسات والقوانين الغربية. وشّجع المستثمرين الروس في الغرب على العودة إلى روسيا والعمل في روسيا لأن الغرب سيسرق أموالهم كما فعلت الولايات المتحدة والمملكة المتحدة بحق الأموال الإيرانية والفنزويلية والليبية ما يدلّ على الاستسهال في سرقة من يعتبرونهم دونهم حضاريا. الغرب لا يعتبر روسيا من الغرب بل جزءاً من الشرق البغيض. حروب البلوبونيز اليونانية الفارسية في العصور القديمة قبل الميلاد وحملات الفرنجة على بلاد الشرق واستعمار كل هذه الدول من قبل الغرب دلائل تؤكّد على العنصرية المتجذّرة وانعدام معايير الاخلاق عند النخب الحاكمة الغربية.

هذه القطيعة مع الغرب بشكل عام ومع أوروبا الغربية بشكل خاص تعني أن سلامة الاقتصادي الأوروبي مهدّدة بشكل بنيوي سينعكس بشكل تلقائي على الاستقرار الاجتماعي والسياسي في تلك البلدان. فإذا كان تجميد الأصول المالية والاحتياطي الروسي الموجود في الغرب مظهرا من “مظاهر القوّة” فإن ذلك يعكس أيضا سذاجة الغرب الذي وقع ضحية لتلك العنجهية. فلا يمكننا أن نقرأ ونفهم ما حصل إلاّ من منظور لاعب الشطرنج الماهر الذي يضحّي عن قصد وتعمّد لبيدق في افتتاح اللعبة ليحقق مكسباً استراتيجياً في السيطرة على وسط طاولة الشطرنج. هذا ما يُعرف ب “مناورة الملكة” أو (queen gambit). فالرئيس الروسي وفريقه خطّطا للعملية العسكرية على الأقل منذ 2014 وبالتالي كانا يدركان أن الغرب سيقدم على مصادرة الأموال كما حصل مع إيران عندما قامت الثورة الإسلامية، وكما صادرت أموال ليبيا، وفي ما بعد أموال فنزويلا ومؤخرا أموال أفغانستان. تسرّعت حكومات الغرب بوضع اليد على الأصول الروسية ولكن بالتالي قالت لمعظم العالم أن الأموال المودعة في المصارف الغربية أموال تقوم بقرصنتها متى شاءت. هذا سيسهّل إقامة منظومة مدفوعات مالية دولية جديدة خارج إطار سيطرة الغرب بشكل عام والولايات المتحدة بشكل خاص. كما تنذر بأفول الدولار الحتمي حيث الدول قد تتوقف عن طلب الدولار لتلبية حاجات التجارة الخارجية كما تمهّد لتسعير السلع الاستراتيجية بأسعار غير الدولار أو غير مستندة إلى الدولار. هذا ما قصدناه في مقال سابق أنّ الولايات المتحدة حقّقت مكاسب تكتيكية ظرفية ولكن في المقابل تكبّدت بخسارة استراتيجية قد تنذر بزوال إمبراطورتيها الافتراضية تمهيداً ربما لزوالها كدولة أو كيان سياسي. الدرس الأساسي لتلك المناورة هو اعتبار الدولار (الاحتياط النقدي المعمول به منذ السبعينات) لا قيمة له بينما الأساس هو الغاز والنفط!

في هذا السياق لا بد من الإشارة إلى التقدّم في الإجراءات بين دول آسيا الوسطى وروسيا والصين حول إنشاء نظام مدفوعات خارج إطار الدولار. ففي المؤتمر الذي عقد مؤخرا في مطلع شهر آذار/ مارس 2022 في مدينة يريفان في أرمينيا بين مسؤولين من الدول الخمسة للمجموعة الاوراسية (روسيا، بيلاروسيا، أرمينيا، كير غستان، طاجكستان) إضافة إلى دولة كازاخستان تم الاتفاق على إنشاء المؤسسات المالية للمدفوعات على أن تقدّم مسودات هيكلية والنظام الداخلي خلال شهرين. وهذا النظام قد يعتمد العملات الوطنية لدول آسيا مستندة إلى اليوان الصيني. أما على الصعيد الداخلي الروسي فالتعامل بالروبل المستند إلى الذهب سيعيد السياسات النقدية التي كانت تستند إلى نظام التبادل المرتكز على الذهب ولا يخضع لتقلّبات الأسواق المالية والمضاربة. الفكرة الأساسية هنا هي ضرورة ربط العملات بالاقتصاد العيني وليس بالاقتصاد الافتراضي الذي فرضته الولايات المتحدة على العالم خلال العقود الخمسة الماضية.

ما يعزّز التوجّه إلى إيجاد منظومة مالية مختلفة عن تلك التي تعتمد الدولار قرار الرئيس الروسي تجاه الدول “غير الصديقة” بعدم قبول دفع مستحقات مشترياتها من الغاز والنفط بعملة غير الروبل الروسي. هذا قرار كبير وإنْ كان محصوراً بالدول غير الصديقة لأنه ترجمة عملية لرفض التعامل بالدولار. والقرار الروسي يلغي تلقائياً أهداف الهجوم على الروبل بغية خلق اضطرابات داخلية لأنّ القرار يعني ارتفاع الطلب على الروبل وانخفاض الطلب على الدولار. فهذا قرار استراتيجي يعني ان المواجهة مع الدولار أصبحت مفتوحة وانّ موجة العزوف عن الدولار في التجارة العالمية (de-dollarization) يعني نهاية هيمنة الولايات المتحدة على الاقتصاد العالمي، بل أيضاً على السياسة الدولية بفقدانها سلاحها الأساسي أيّ الدولار.

القطيعة مع الغرب ليست سياسية واقتصادية فحسب بل باتت ثقافية. فالعنصرية التي طغت على السردية الغربية لأحداث أوكرانيا اسقطت جميع الأقنعة التي كان تُخفي (لمن لم يكن يريد أن يرى ذلك) ادّعاءات الغرب بـ “الديمقراطية” و “حقوق الإنسان” و “حكم القانون والمؤسسات” و “التنوير” و “الحداثة” و “معاداة العنصرية” وسائر الأوهام والأكاذيب التي تسوّقها النخب الغربية وفقاً لمصالحها الضيّقة. فحتى المواطن الأميركي صُدم من عنصرية مراسلي المحطات الأميركية التي كانت تراسل من “ارض الميدان” في تصنيف المهاجرين والنازحين الاوكرانيين كناس أصحاب العيون الزرقاء والشعر الأشقر والبشرة البيضاء! أيجوز ذلك في دول متحضّرة ليست كالعراق أو أفغانستان أو سورية!؟

لن تكون أوكرانيا كما عرفها العالم

الإجراءات الغربية تجاه روسيا لها تداعيات كبيرة على جميع الأطراف المتصارعة وعلى مجمل العالم. المتضرّر الأكبر هو أوكرانيا حيث مستقبلها أصبح فعلياً قاب قوسين. فعندما تسكت المدافع لن تكون أوكرانيا كما عرفها العالم بل ربما مجموعة من الأقاليم منها تحت السيطرة الروسية، ومنها تحت السيطرة البولونية، ومنها تحت السيطرة المجرية والرومانية. أما أوكرانيا بحدّ ذاتها فقد لا تتجاوز ما يوازي 30 بالمائة من المساحة الحالية وستكون معزولة عن البحر الأسود.

المتضرر الثاني هو أوروبا الغربية بشكل عام وألمانيا بشكل خاص. فأوروبا بحاجة إلى روسيا بينما الأخيرة ليست بحاجة إليها. ليس هناك ما يمكن أن تعطيه أوروبا الغربية لروسيا بينما تحتاج أوروبا للطاقة التي توردها إليها روسيا إضافة إلى المعادن الأساسية للصناعات الغربية وإضافة إلى الحبوب التي تنتجها روسيا وأوكرانيا. أما المانيا فتستورد حوالي 40 بالمائة من احتياجاتها من الغاز الروسي بعد أن أقفلت محطّات انتاج الطاقة النووية. فأصبح اقتصادها مرتبطا بالغاز الروسي. وتجميد خط الشمال 2 (نورستريم 2) سيجعلها تستورد طاقة من الغاز السائل بكلفة تفوق عشر أضعاف أو أكثر وبعد أن تكون بنت محطات تفريغ وتخزين الغاز المستورد من الولايات المتحدة أو قطر وإيجاد الأساطيل التي تستطيع نقل هذه الطاقة بالكميات المطلوبة. وهذا لن يحصل قبل عدة سنوات وبكلفة مرتفعة. أضافة إلى كل ذلك فالشركات اتي كانت معنية بتشغيل نورستريم 2 ستنقلب على الدولة الألمانية وتطالبها بتعويضات تقدر بأكثر من 20 مليار يورو. أما الشريك الروسي غازبروم فقد استطاع التعويض عن خسارة عدم تشغيل نورستريم 2 عبر ارتفاع أسعار الغاز في العالم. وعلى صعيد آخر فإن ارتفاع كلفة الطاقة ستؤثر بشكل مباشر على القدرة التنافسية الصناعية الألمانية وخاصة تجاه الصين والعديد من الدول النامية ما يمكن أن يدخلها في عصر ما بعد التصنيع وتصبح دولة ضعيفة وهزيلة كما أصبحت المملكة المتحدة وفرنسا والولايات المتحدة. فالاقتصاد الافتراضي الريعي لا يمكن أن يصمد أمام قوة اندفاع الاقتصاد العيني المنتج الذي تتمتع به دول كالصين والهند والبرازيل وماليزيا وحتى الجمهورية الإسلامية في إيران وغدا دول المشرق العربي والمغربي.

ارتفاع أسعار الطاقة سيؤدّي إلى ارتفاع أسعار المواد والسلع في كل أنحاء العالم وخاصة في أوروبا والولايات المتحدة. فإضافة إلى ضعف النمو في الإنتاج بسبب جائحة الكورونا جاء النقص في المواد وخاصة المواد الغذائية وأضيف إليها رفع كلفة الطاقة. فبالحد الأدنى ستدخل أوروبا الغربية مرحلة انكماش اقتصادي كبير قد يصل إلى مستوى كساد ويتلازم معه في المرحلة الاولي تضخم في الأسعار الاستهلاكية والإنتاجية مما يخلق حلقة مفرغة من انخفاض الإنتاج إلى انخفاض في الدخل إلى انخفاض في الاستهلاك إلى انخفاض في الإنتاج وكذلك دواليك. أما على صعيد الدول النامية، وخاصة في أفريقيا، فإن العقوبات المفروضة على روسيا ستخلق أزمة غذاء حيث 25 دولة تستورد حوالي ثلث حاجياتها من الحبوب من روسيا. ودولة بنين تستورد مائة بالمائة من احتياجاتها في القمح والحبوب من روسيا. وفي هذا السياق الدول العربية لن تكون بمنأى عن تداعيات الازمة الغذائية. فدول كمصر واليمن وسوريا ولبنان تستورد الحبوب من روسيا وأوكرانيا. فانقطاع التوريد من روسيا وأوكرانيا سيخلق أزمة اجتماعية إضافية على الازمات التي تمر بها كل هذه الدول وخاصة اليمن ولبنان.

لذلك يمكن القول ان العقوبات المفروضة على روسيا ستؤدّي إلى زعزعة الاستقرار في أوروبا الغربية وإلى أزمات عميقة في الاقتصاد العالمي ناهيك عن التداعيات الاجتماعيات في دول العالم الخاضع لسياسة العقوبات. وهذه الزعزعة والازمة الاقتصادية التي ستتفاقم سيكون لها ارتدادات سياسية كبيرة يكون الغرب الخاسر الأكبر. فالولايات المتحدة بدلا من أن توحد العالم ضد روسيا توحد العالم ضدّها. والتحالفات القديمة والقائمة في الغرب بدأت تشهد تصدّعات بينها ومع الولايات المتحدة.

والولايات المتحدة بنفسها ليست بمنأى عن تداعيات الفشل في المواجهة في أوكرانيا. فالتحالف الذي أوصل بايدن إلى البيت الأبيض يشهد تصدّعا لأن الرئيس الأميركي لا يميل إلى التصعيد في المواجهة التي يعرف أنها خاسرة. ويساند الرئيس الأميركي البنتاغون. لكن بالمقابل تحالف المحافظين الجدد والمتدخلين الليبراليين والاعلام وأجهزة المخابرات يريد التصعيد. وهو غاضب من بايدن. لذلك قامت صحيفة “نيويورك تايمز” بنشر خبر يؤكّد صحّة المعلومات عن حاسوب هنتر بايدن، نجل الرئيس الأميركي، المليء بمعلومات تفضح فساد عائلة بايدن في أوكرانيا. وهذا الحاسوب تمّ التستّر عنه خلال الحملة الانتخابية الرئاسية في 2020 لأنّ المعلومات قد تلغي فرص فوز بايدن في الانتخابات. والسؤال الذي يطرح لماذا أقدمت الصحيفة الأميركية على نشر هذا الخبر؟ هناك من يعتقد ان التأكيد على صحة المعلومات الفاضحة قد تشكّل إنذاراً أخيراً لبايدن ليلتزم بما هو مُقرّر. من جهة أخرى أعلنت صحيفة “الغارديان” البريطانية عن نشر كتاب في 3 أيار/ مايو بعنوان “لن يمر ذلك: ترامب، بايدن، والمعركة لمستقبل أميركا” للكاتبين الصحافيين من “نيويورك تايمز” جوناتان مارتن والكس بيرنز يشير إلى أنّ زوجة بايدن لم تكن ترغب بوجود كمالا هاريس كنائب رئيس. أيّ هناك موجة متنامية في الإعلام المهيمن يوحى بأنه فقد ثقته ببايدن. وبما أنّ وضع الحزب والإدارة حرج للغاية فاحتمالات الفوضى الداخلية كبيرة جدا مما يؤثّر على أداء الإدارة في مواجهة مختلف القضايا والأزمات التي افتعلتها.

 أما على الصعيد العربي، فبدأت تظهر تباشير المراجعات السياسية الكبرى عند حلفاء الولايات المتحدة حيث نظرية ملكية الولايات المتحدة لـ 99 بالمائة من الأوراق بدأت تترنح كيف لا نقول تسقط بشكل نهائي عند العديد من الدول وفي مقدمتها دول الخليج ومصر.

من ضمن إرهاصات في التحولات العربية “تمرّد” بعض دول الخليج على القرار الأميركي بالخروج عن قرارات أوبك + التي تضم روسيا. كما ان عدم اخذ مكالمات الرئيس الأميركي لكل من ولي عهد بلاد الحرمين وولي عهد دولة الإمارات العربية المتحدة لم يكن ممكنا تصوّرها منذ ما قبل اندلاع الأزمة الأوكرانية. أضف إلى كل ذلك تصريحات بعض المسؤولين حول تخفيف الاستثمارات في الولايات المتحدة والقبول بالتعامل بعملات غير الدولار في تسعير بعض السلع الاستراتيجية يهدّد مكانة الدولار كعملة احتياط وحيدة أو حتى رئيسية في النظام العالمي.

أنّ كلّ تلك التحوّلات المفصلية في العالم لم تكن لتحصل لولا محور المقاومة وخاصة صمود سورية واليمن وإفشال المشروع الأميركي في العراق وتنامي مقاومة الشعب الفلسطيني. فلا يعتقدّن أحد أنّ الدور العربي كان غائبا بل هو الذي أتاح الفرصة لكلّ من الصين وروسيا والجمهورية الإسلامية في إيران لبناء قدراتها بينما محور المقاومة كان يتصدّى ويُفشّل المشروع الأميركي الصهيوني. فالسيطرة على آسيا هي الشرط الضروري للسيطرة على العالم والمشرق العربي هو البوّابة لها. فمن يتحكم بتلك البوّابة يستطيع أن يسيطر على آسيا. محور المقاومة أفشل المحاولات الأميركية الصهيونية وهو الذي سيكون بيضة القبّان في التوازنات الدولية الجديدة إذا ما أحسن التعاطي مع المعطيات الجديدة على الصعيد المحّلي في كل مكوّن من مكوّنات المحور.

*باحث وكاتب اقتصادي سياسي والأمين العام السابق للمؤتمر القومي العربي وعضو الهيئة التأسيسية للمنتدى الاقتصادي والاجتماعي

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مواطن الضعف الغربيّ في المواجهة في أوكرانيا

 العميد د. أمين محمد حطيط

عندما خسر الغرب حربه الكونية على سورية وعجز عن تفكيكها لإعادة تركيبها بما يناسب المشروع الصهيوأميركي الذي يخدم نظرية الأحادية القطبية العالمية بقيادة أميركا، اتجه الى اعتماد استراتيجية بديلة تقضي بإطالة أمد الصراع في سورية لمنعها من استثمار إنجازاتها والحؤول دون عودتها الى حياتها الطبيعية من غير مسّ بوحدة أراضيها وسيادتها التامة عليها، وتوجيه ضربة استراتيجية كبرى لروسيا لمنعها من استثمار الإنجاز في سورية وحرمانها من موقعها في العلاقات الدولية والحؤول دون اكتمال ظروف تشكل نظام عالمي جديد قائم على التعددية في الأقطاب والتحالفات والتفاهمات والمجموعات الدولية الاستراتيجية.

لقد انصرف الغرب منذ العام 2019 ـ تاريخ تأكد هزيمته في سورية الى وضع الخطط الهادفة لتحقيق ما يريد في الميدان الشرق أوسطي وعلى الحدود مع روسيا لمحاصرتها ثم إسقاطها وشطبها من المعادلة الدولية وكانت استراتيجية الاحتواء والتطويق هي المسلك المفتوح أمام الغرب بقيادة أميركية لتحقيق الغرض، ولهذا كانت عملية أذربيجان ضدّ أرمينيا حليفة روسيا وكان مشروع الثورة الملونة في كازاخستان ضدّ النظام الموالي لموسكو والمنتظم معها في منظمة الأمن الجماعي، ثم كانت السلوكيات الأخطر والأدهى من حيث الاستفزاز والاستدراج في أوكرانيا التي تحوّلت بشكل واضح الى رأس رمح في الخاصرة لا بل في القلب الروسي.

فهمت روسيا مبكراً وعميقاً ما يخطط لها وقرأت جيداً أهداف الغرب بقيادة أميركية ضدّها ولم تهمل العبارات الغربية التي تتضمّن علانية او ضمناً مفهوم العداء الغربي لروسيا سواء في ذلك على صعيد الناتو أو على صعيد دول الغرب الكبرى التي جاهرت بأنّ «روسيا عدو»، لكنها التزمت في الردّ أقصى درجات ضبط النفس وابتلاع المشاعر السلبية مع الاستمرار في تطوير العلاقات الاقتصادية التي فيها مصالح للطرفين بشكل متبادل وشبه متوازن لا بل فيها أرجحية لصالح روسيا. لكنها في الوقت ذاته اتجهت الى بناء المجموعة الاستراتيجية الدولية التي تتقاطع مع أطرافها في السعي لإقامة التوازن الدولي والنظام التعددي على أنقاض النظام العالمي الأحادي الذي تعمل أميركا لإرسائه وتثبيته، فكان التطوير الهامّ للعلاقة مع الصين وايران وإقامة المثلث الاستراتيجي المناهض للهيمنة والسيطرة الغربية على العالم المثلث الذي شكل إنجازاً استراتيجياً للدول الثلاث أرفدته روسيا بإنجازها في أذربيجان وكازاخستان حيث أفشلت مهمة تطويقها من الجنوب والجنوب الغربي وراكمت به انتصاراتها الى جانب محور المقاومة في سورية.

بيد انّ الغرب بقيادة أميركية وبوقوفه على ما تقدّم، شعر باختلال في المشهد الدولي والاستراتيجي لصالح روسيا وحلفائها وقرّر جرّ روسيا الى ميدان يستنزفها فيه لسنوات تنتهي بشطب روسيا من المعادلة الدولية، ولما كان الطوق الأميركي كسر في أذربيجان وكازاخستان، وانّ الميدان السوري مهما تعاظم أمره لا يشكل مدخلاً كافياً لإدارة حرب استنزاف ضدّ روسيا حتى ولو نجح الأمر في ان تكون العمليات فيه كافية لاستنزاف سورية وفقاً للتقدير الغربي فقد وقع الاختيار على أوكرانيا لتكون ميدان الاستنزاف القاتل لروسيا، استنزاف تنفذه قوى عسكرية وشبه عسكرية وميليشيات وجماعات إرهابية لا تتضمّن مباشرة في صفوفها قطعات من الجيوش النظامية الغربية المنضوية او غير المنضوية في الـناتو، استنزاف تخدمه وتواكبه حرب شاملة يشنها الغرب على روسيا من كلّ الأبواب السياسية والاقتصادية والفكرية والاجتماعية والرياضية، حرب تشمل كلّ شيء باستثناء العمل العسكري القتالي المباشر الذي تقوم به الجيوش النظامية.

لقد رأى الغرب في ساحة المعركة في أوكرانيا منفذه الأخير لتعويض ما فاته او ما خسره او تعذر عليه تحقيقه في مواجهة أعدائه في العقود الثلاثة الماضية، وخاصة في العقد الأخير الذي تبلورت فيه أكثر وجوه خسائر الغرب وتقدّم خصومه، ولذلك كانت أميركا ملحة ومُصرّة على تفجير الوضع بوجه روسيا واستدراجها الى الميدان الأوكراني، حتى أنها وصلت الى درجة وضع الخطط التنفيذية لاجتياح إقليم الدونباس وشبه جزيرة القرم التي ضمّتها روسيا اليها قبل ٨ سنوات وصولاً الى الاستعداد للتحرّش بروسيا داخل أراضيها.

في مواجهة الإصرار الغربي قرّرت روسيا الدفاع لثني الغرب عن خطته بكلّ السبل، بدءاً بالتمسك باتفاقيتي مينسك ١ و ٢ اللتين تضمنان أمن السكان في إقليم دونباس، ثم بتحشيد ١٠٠ ألف عسكري على الحدود لإظهار القوة وحمل الخصم على التراجع، ثم كشف أسرار السلوكيات الغربية العدائية ضدّ روسيا والسكان من أصل روسي، إلا أنّ كلّ ذلك لم ينجح في ثني الغرب عن خطته العدائية وإصراره على جرّ روسيا الى حرب استنزاف وتدمير شاملة، حيث اضطرت روسيا إليها في نهاية المطاف فحرّكت قواتها غرباً تحت عنوان «عملية عسكرية خاصة» لحماية الأمن القومي الروسي وأمن الأشخاص الروس عبر الحدود،

والآن وبعد أسبوعين من انطلاق العملية التي ظنّ الغرب في البدء وبخاصة أميركا انه نجح في استدراج موسكو اليها، وانّ الفخ أطبق على الدب الروسي وفقاً لما يشتهي الغرب، بعد أسبوعين من العمليات العسكرية يتبيّن للغرب سوء تقديره ويكتشف انّ الفخ المزعوم لا فعالية له بالشكل المرتجى، لا بل انّ الآثار السلبية للمواجهة القائمة تطال الغرب عامة وأوروبا خاصة بأضرار تفوق ما كانوا يتوقعون إنزاله بروسيا، وتنكشف مواطن الضعف الغربي في أكثر من عنوان نذكر منها:

أولاً: خشية الناتو بقيادة أميركا من المواجهة العسكرية المباشرة مع الجيش الروسي ما حمل الناتو على تجنب التدخل المباشر والإعلان صباح مساء انّ أوكرانيا ليست جزءاً من الناتو الذي هو «حلف دفاعي لا يبادر الى هجوم» بزعمهم، وهم في الحقيقة يخشون مواجهة القوة النووية الثانية في العالم، وكان للإنذار الروسي بعد تجهيز قوات الردع الاستراتيجي أثره الكافي في هذا المجال،

ثانياً: الارتداد السلبي للحرب الاقتصادية علي الغرب وخاصة أوروبا في مجال الطاقة وظهور وهن الاقتصاد الأوروبي المعتمد علي الغاز والنفط الروسي ما جعل الحرب الاقتصادية ذات مفعول بالغ التأثير على أوروبا ما ينذر بسقوط الاقتصاد الأوروبي لا بل بتدميره في بضعة شهور لا تتعدّى الستة ان لم يوجد حلّ لأزمة الطاقة ولا يبدو انّ في الأفق حلاً.

ثالثاً العجز عن تنظيم مقاومة وطنية أوكرانية فاعلة والاضطرار الى الاستعانة بمرتزقة الخارج ما سيحول البوابة الشرقية لأوروبا ومن أوكرانيا بالذات الى مجمع للإرهاب العالمي ما سيرتدّ أيضاً على الامن الأوربي بوجهيه القومي والفردي وينعكس سلباً على دورة الحياة الاقتصادية والاجتماعية بشكل خاص.

رابعاً: تفلت روسيا من مكامن استهدافها بحرب الاستنزاف، ما يجعل الغرب يتحمّل من أعباء هذه الحرب مع طول المدة فوق ما يتحمّله المستهدف خاصة أننا نسجل لروسيا تعاملها الذكي مع الموضوع كما يلي:

ـ اعتمادها استراتيجية الضغط المتدرّج الصاعد بدل استراتيجية السيطرة والاحتلال،

ـ استعمالها قدراً لا يتجاوز ١/١٣ من مجمل قدراتها العسكرية بحيث تغدو العمليات العسكرية في أوكرانيا بمثابة مناورات بسيطة تسطيع القيادة إبدال القوى فيها شهرياً او مرة في الشهرين.

ـ تجنب الدخول الكثيف الى المدن وخوض حرب الشوارع.

ـ تجنب الانتشار والانفلاش العسكري الواسع الذي يتيح للإرهاب فرص الاستهداف السهل.

ـ الأداء الإنساني الراقي مع السكان المدنيين وتجنّب المسّ بهم ما يقلبهم الى خانة العداء.

ـ الاعتماد المكثف علي أسلحة عالية الدقة في تدمير الأهداف العسكرية والاستراتيجية دون المسّ بالسكان والتقيّد المتقن بقاعدة التناسب والضرورة المعتمدة في القانون الدولي الإنساني.

ـ وأخيراً عدم العمل تحت ضغط الوقت لا بل استعمال المناورة المتقلبة بين الشدة والاسترخاء وفتح الممرات الإنسانية لتحييد السكان وخدمة لاستراتيجية الضغط.

لكلّ ما تقدّم نستطيع القول بأنّ روسيا عرفت متى تطلق عمليتها لتجعلها عملاً عسكرياً استباقياً في معرض الدفاع وعرفت كيف تتملص من فخاخ العدو وعرفت كيف تناور في الميدان وعلى المسرح الاستراتيجي العام، وبالتالي عرفت كيف تستعمل أوراقها لتكتب نصرها بقدم ثابتة ونفس واثقة بقدراتها.

*أستاذ جامعي ـ باحث استراتيجي

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The American Empire self-destructs. But nobody thought that it would happen this fast

MARCH 08, 2022

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by Michael Hudson

Empires often follow the course of a Greek tragedy, bringing about precisely the fate that they sought to avoid. That certainly is the case with the American Empire as it dismantles itself in not-so-slow motion.

The basic assumption of economic and diplomatic forecasting is that every country will act in its own self-interest. Such reasoning is of no help in today’s world. Observers across the political spectrum are using phrases like “shooting themselves in their own foot” to describe U.S. diplomatic confrontation with Russia and allies alike. But nobody thought that The American Empire would self-destruct this fast.

For more than a generation the most prominent U.S. diplomats have warned about what they thought would represent the ultimate external threat: an alliance of Russia and China dominating Eurasia. America’s economic sanctions and military confrontation have driven these two countries together, and are driving other countries into their emerging Eurasian orbit.

American economic and financial power was expected to avert this fate. During the half-century since the United States went off gold in 1971, the world’s central banks have operated on the Dollar Standard, holding their international monetary reserves in the form of U.S. Treasury securities, U.S. bank deposits and U.S. stocks and bonds. The resulting Treasury-bill Standard has enabled America to finance its foreign military spending and investment takeover of other countries simply by creating dollar IOUs. U.S. balance-of-payments deficits end up in the central banks of payments-surplus countries as their reserves, while Global South debtors need dollars to pay their bondholders and conduct their foreign trade.

This monetary privilege – dollar seignorage – has enabled U.S. diplomacy to impose neoliberal policies on the rest of the world, without having to use much military force of its own except to grab Near Eastern oil.

The recent escalation of U.S. sanctions blocking Europe, Asia and other countries from trade and investment with Russia, Iran and China has imposed enormous opportunity costs – the cost of lost opportunities – on U.S. allies. And the recent confiscation of the gold and foreign reserves of Venezuela, Afghanistan and now Russia,[1] along with the targeted grabbing of bank accounts of wealthy foreigners (hoping to win their hearts and minds, enticed by the hope for the return of their sequestered accounts), has ended the idea that dollar holdings – or now also assets in sterling and euro NATO satellites of the dollar – are a safe investment haven when world economic conditions become shaky.

So I am somewhat chagrined as I watch the speed at which this U.S.-centered financialized system has de-dollarized over the span of just a year or two. The basic theme of my Super Imperialism has been how, for the past fifty years, the U.S. Treasury-bill standard has channeled foreign savings to U.S. financial markets and banks, giving Dollar Diplomacy a free ride. I thought that de-dollarization would be led by China and Russia moving to take control of their economies to avoid the kind of financial polarization that is imposing austerity on the United States.[2] But U.S. officials are forcing Russia, China and other nations not locked into the U.S. orbit to see the writing on the wall and overcome whatever hesitancy they had to de-dollarize.

I had expected that the end of the dollarized imperial economy would come about by other countries breaking away. But that is not what has happened. U.S. diplomats themselves have chosen to end international dollarization, while helping Russia build up its own means of self-reliant agricultural and industrial production. This global fracture process actually has been going on for some years, starting with the sanctions blocking America’s NATO allies and other economic satellites from trading with Russia. For Russia, these sanctions had the same effect that protective tariffs would have had.

Russia had remained too enthralled by free-market neoliberal ideology to take steps to protect its own agriculture and industry. The United States provided the help that was needed by imposing domestic self-reliance on Russia. When the Baltic states obeyed American sanctions and lost the Russian market for their cheese and other farm products, Russia quickly created its own cheese and dairy sector – while becoming the world’s leading grain exporter.

Russia is discovering (or is on the verge of discovering) that it does not need U.S. dollars as backing for the ruble’s exchange rate. Its central bank can create the rubles needed to pay domestic wages and finance capital formation. The U.S. confiscations of its dollar and euro reserves may finally lead Russia to end its adherence to neoliberal monetary philosophy, as Sergei Glaziev has long been advocating, in favor of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT).

The same dynamic of undercutting ostensible U.S aims has occurred with U.S. sanctions against the leading Russian billionaires. The neoliberal shock therapy and privatizations of the 1990s left Russian kleptocrats with only one way to cash out on the assets they had grabbed from the public domain. That was to incorporate their takings and sell their shares in London and New York. Domestic savings had been wiped out, and U.S. advisors persuaded Russia’s central bank not to create its own ruble money.

The result was that Russia’s national oil, gas and mineral patrimony was not used to finance a rationalization of Russian industry and housing. Instead of the revenue from privatization being invested to create new Russian means of protection, it was burned up on nouveau-riche acquisitions of luxury British real estate, yachts and other global flight-capital assets. But the effect of sanctions making the dollar, sterling and euro holdings of Russian billionaires hostage has been to make the City of London too risky a venue in which to hold their assets – and for the wealthy of any other nation potentially subject to U.S. sanctions. By imposing sanctions on the richest Russians closest to Putin, U.S. officials hoped to induce them to oppose his breakaway from the West, and thus to serve effectively as NATO agents-of-influence. But for Russian billionaires, their own country is starting to look safest.

For many decades now, the U.S. Federal Reserve and Treasury have fought against gold recovering its role in international reserves. But how will India and Saudi Arabia view their dollar holdings as Biden and Blinken try to strong-arm them into following the U.S. “rules-based order” instead of their own national self-interest? The recent U.S. dictates have left little alternative but to start protecting their own political autonomy by converting dollar and euro holdings into gold as an asset free from political liability of being held hostage to the increasingly costly and disruptive U.S. demands.

U.S. diplomacy has rubbed Europe’s nose in its abject subservience by telling its governments to have their companies dump their Russian assets for pennies on the dollar after Russia’s foreign reserves were blocked and the ruble’s exchange rate plunged. Blackstone, Goldman Sachs and other U.S. investors moved quickly to buy up what Shell Oil and other foreign companies were unloading.

Nobody thought that the postwar 1945-2020 world order would give way this fast. A truly new international economic order is emerging, although it is not yet clear just what form it will take. But the confrontations resulting from “prodding the Bear” with the U.S./NATO aggression against Russia has passed critical-mass level. It no longer is just about Ukraine. That is merely the trigger, a catalyst for driving much of the world away from the US/NATO orbit.

The next showdown may come within Europe itself as nationalist politicians seek to lead a break-away from the over-reaching U.S. power-grab over its European and other allies to keep them dependent on U.S.-based trade and investment. The price of their continuing obedience is to impose cost-inflation on their industry while subordinating their democratic electoral politics to America’s NATO proconsuls.

These consequences cannot really be deemed “unintended.” Too many observers have pointed out exactly what would happen – headed by President Putin and Foreign Minister Lavrov explaining just what their response would be if NATO insisted on backing them into a corner while attacking Eastern Ukrainian Russian-speakers and moving heavy weaponry to Russia’s Western border. The consequences were anticipated. The neocons in control of U.S. foreign policy simply didn’t care. Recognizing Russian concerns was deemed to make one a Putinversteher.

European officials did not feel uncomfortable in telling the world about their worries that Donald Trump was crazy and upsetting the apple cart of international diplomacy. But they seem to have been blindsided by the Biden Administration’s resurgence of visceral Russia-hatred via Secretary of State Blinken and Victoria Nuland-Kagan. Trump’s mode of expression and mannerisms may have been uncouth, but America’s neocon gang have much more globally threatening confrontation obsessions. For them, it was a question of whose reality would emerge victorious: the “reality” that they believed they could make, or economic reality outside of U.S. control.

What foreign countries have not done for themselves to replace the IMF, World Bank and other strongarms of U.S. diplomacy, American politicians are forcing them to do. Instead of European, Near Eastern and Global South countries breaking away as they calculate their own long-term economic interests, America is driving them away, as it has done with Russia and China. More politicians are seeking voter support by asking whether their countries would be better served by new monetary arrangements to replace dollarized trade, investment and even foreign debt service.

The energy and food price squeeze is hitting Global South countries especially hard, coinciding with their own Covid-19 problems and the looming dollarized debt service coming due. Something must give. How long will these countries impose austerity to pay foreign bondholders?

How will the U.S. and European economies cope in the face of their sanctions against imports of Russian gas and oil, cobalt, aluminum, palladium and other basic materials. American diplomats have made a list of raw materials that their economy desperately needs and which therefore are exempt from the trade sanctions being imposed. This provides Mr. Putin a handy list of U.S. pressure points to use in reshaping world diplomacy and helping European and other countries break away from the Iron Curtain that America has imposed to lock its satellites into dependence on high-priced U.S. supplies?

The Biden Inflation

But the final breakaway from NATO’s adventurism must come from within the United States itself. As this year’s midterm elections approach, politicians will find a fertile ground in showing U.S. voters that the price inflation led by gasoline and energy is a policy byproduct of the Biden Administration’s blocking of Russian oil and gas exports. (Bad news for owners of big SUV gas guzzlers!) Gas is needed not only for heating and energy production, but to make fertilizer, of which there already is a world shortage. This situation is exacerbated by blocking Russian and Ukrainian grain exports to the United States and Europe, causing food prices already to soar.

There already is a striking disconnect between the financial sector’s view of reality and that promoted in the mainstream NATO media. Europe’s stock markets plunged at their opening on Monday, March 7, while Brent oil soared to $130 a barrel. The BBC’s morning “Today” news broadcast featured Conservative MP Alan Duncan, an oil trader, warning that the near doubling of prices in natural gas futures threatened to bankrupt companies committed to supplying gas to Europe at the old rates. But returning to the military “Two Minutes of Hate” news, the BBC kept applauding the brave Ukrainian fighters and NATO politicians urging more military support. In New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 650 points, and gold soared to over $2,000 an ounce – reflecting the financial sector’s view of how the U.S. game is likely to play out. Nickel prices rose by even more – 40 percent.

Trying to force Russia to respond militarily and thereby look bad to the rest of the world is turning out to be a stunt aimed simply at ensuring Europe contribute more to NATO, buy more U.S. military hardware and lock itself deeper into trade and monetary dependence on the United States. The instability that this has caused is turning out to have the effect of making the United States look as threatening as Russia is claimed to be by the NATO West.

  1. Libya’s gold also disappeared after NATO’s overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi in 2011. 
  2. See most recently Radhika Desai and Michael Hudson (2021), “Beyond Dollar Creditocracy: A Geopolitical Economy,” Valdai Club Paper No. 116. Moscow: Valdai Club, 7 July, repr. in Real World Economic Review (97), https://rwer.wordpress.com/2021/09/23. 

‘Neither East nor West but the Russian Federation’? Russia considers Iran’s way

March 07, 2022

Ramin Mazaheri is the chief correspondent in Paris for PressTV and has lived in France since 2009. He has been a daily newspaper reporter in the US, and has reported from Iran, Cuba, Egypt, Tunisia, South Korea and elsewhere. He is the author of ‘Socialism’s Ignored Success: Iranian Islamic Socialism’ as well as ‘I’ll Ruin Everything You Are: Ending Western Propaganda on Red China’, which is also available in simplified and traditional Chinese.

Source

by Ramin Mazaheri

Iran hasn’t invaded a country in over 200 years, and Iranians boast of this fact often, as they should. However, if Iran invaded a country – and of course they will not – I think everyone would agree they should brace themselves for years of Iranian seriousness, self-sacrifice and determination. If the Iranian people agreed war was the only option, then woe betide the aggressor.

I hold Russia to a similar expectation.

Russia doesn’t have revolutionary zeal anymore, that’s true – so why?

Because, like Iran, they have been targeted by the West for years with campaigns based around hate, derision, insults, threats and refusals to believe in mutually-beneficial compromise much less peaceful co-existence. What the West has been waiting for (and what they often try to provoke) is one false step and – BAM!

Maybe their invasion of Ukraine is that false step?

Missing from Western media coverage is the crucial fact that there have been 14,000 deaths in Donetsk and Luhansk since 2014. There’s a reason the war has a 70% approval rating in Russia – they feel it’s already been going on for nearly a decade and that this is the only way to stop it.

Of course, the average Westerner would be apoplectic at such an analysis. The world’s foremost lovers of a free press, allegedly, are suppressing such utterances at an appalling rate. They would call me a Nazi… if only the Russians hadn’t beaten them to it; if only Russians didn’t understandably accuse far-right, Western backed paramilitaries which target ethnic Russians as being so very similar to the Russophobia of Germanic culture nearly a century ago. For Westerners Nazis relate only to Jews and not to 25 million martyred Russians but… well, addressing that enormous misunderstanding is for another column.

Back to Russia and Iran: What’s undebatable is that Russia has obviously given up waiting on Ukraine to implement the peace process. The Minsk Protocol, like the JCPOA for Iran, has thus far been empty promises, or a stalling tactic, or simply fodder to fuel Western Russophobic propaganda, or all three. “What were talks for, then?” This has been said ad nauseam in both Iran and Russia for years – now we are all nauseous at continued suffering in Ukraine.

There’s so much talk these days that “Russia is not Iran”. Really? Russia has the world’s 11th-biggest economy, while Iran is at number 17 – this is an enormous difference which renders comparisons useless?

What’s useless is reading assessments from columnists from The New York Times: calling Russia the “Upper Volta with nuclear weapons,” or saying it isn’t even a medium-size power”. Such are the unrealistic and outdated perceptions of a country which believes it is still the world’s only superpower and by a huge margin, even.

It’s also outdated to call both countries mere gas stations – these are regional economic powerhouses, and regional powerhouses now matter because the United States’ elite shot their country in the foot with Iraq, Afghanistan, the Great Recession, Quantitive Easing, Zero-Interest Rate Policies, etc.

“Russia is not Iran” in the sense that its own version of the Iranian “resistance economy” – and this is essentially what they seem poised to actually implement in response to Western sanctions – should thrive much more than Iran’s because the sanctions are so much less: Sanctions which don’t prohibit oil sales, or the ability to export oil (like insuring tankers), or all Russian banks – why couldn’t Russia work around that?

It’s not “$0 in oil sales” like the West’s failed aim for Iran, but more like “15% less in oil sales” for Russia.

If Russia is really ready to move away from dealing with the West on terms of anything other than equality then they have only one contemporary roadmap and inspiration: Iran. If Russia really does what they are warning then such a move would be another proof of the historical importance of the Iranian Islamic Revolution of 1979, whose primary motto was “Neither East nor West but the Islamic Republic”.

Iran had that prideful motto of self-determination even though – and this is definitely accurate – (1979) Iran was not (2022) Russia. The shah had kept Iran in a poor and backwards condition; when the West (and the USSR, in fact) pushed Iraq to invade Iran in 1980 Iran was absolutely nowhere ready to fight; Iran had no allies, whereas Russia has an “no limits” friendship with a mighty China. Iran had an uphill fight and they started at the very bottom – Russia has an uphill fight and they a view of the horizon isn’t far off.

The success of Iran today can’t be debated – if the West actually re-signs the JCPOA this week it will be because they totally or almost totally accepted Iran’s terms.

If the West doesn’t sign? Well, Russia can ask Iran for advice, and Iran can ask Russia to progress their friendship to one with “no limits” – i.e. put the finishing touches on the 20-year cooperation agreement which seemingly certain to get finalised. I will soon publish a comprehensive article on the “geopolitical game-changer” Chalous gas field which the two nations will exploit.

Russians can take comfort that economic sanctions of this scale can only be enacted once, and that they can do much of what the West says only they can provide if Russians simply put their mind to it. Russia can simply ask around Iran: The sanctions have been turned into a huge boon, ultimately provoking a necessary and irreplaceable windfall of Iranian know-how, capabilities and resilience.

Iran had that prideful motto and the courage to implement it, and Russia has many reasons – reasons both historical and current – to also insist that they don’t need the US, EU, China, Japan or anyone but the unity of the Russian people to build a happy, thriving and peaceful nation.

But that Russia would even embark on such a campaign of resistance and independence – it’s the Iranian example they would be following, the judgment of history will say. This is not a statement of arrogance, but simply identifying a historical trend.

Russia might even do it better than Iran? Go with God – this is always the right move.

Militarily, this war seems to have been effectively over after the first day, when Russia destroyed all of the Ukraine’s air force, navy and air defences. It seems the only way Ukraine could win is by engaging in a multi-year guerrilla war – i.e. if Russia actually occupies Ukraine. Any foreign invasion is the cardinal sin of politics – Russia has to make a very strong case that its actions were the last resort, and it is making its case to a West with totally closed ears.

Iran is used to that as well.

“Russia is not Iran”, of course, but Russia can take a similar path thanks to Iran’s pioneering.


The War on Humanity…

March 5, 2022

Eamon McKinney

The Empire doesn’t care about the Ukrainians anymore than they care about the people in their own countries. It is about maintaining control over humanity.

The current situation in Ukraine has once again invigorated the lying Western media and sent them into an anti-Russian frenzy. For the last two years the media has been enthusiastically pushing the genocidal Covid narrative on behalf of the Globalist faction. Whatever doubtful credibility they had prior to Covid they have destroyed with their relentless lies. With an astonishing lack of self-awareness they are now pushing the anti-Russian narrative like the unprincipled mindless hacks that they are. Ignoring both facts and context they are relentlessly promoting war propaganda to justify this hostility to their own beleaguered populations.

The unfortunate reality is that despite unprecedented distrust in the media that propaganda works. Anti-Russian sentiment is rising throughout the West. We have witnessed the same phenomena with the rabid anti-China narrative emanating from Western governments and their client stenographers in the media. The message is clear, unless you are a pliant puppet of the Anglo-American empire, then obviously you are evil and must be destroyed.

The truth of course is deeper, the real war the Globalists are fighting is against the citizenry of every country on earth. As the Covid atrocity is being rapidly exposed the repression of the people is the only option open to the New World Order Davos cabal. As has always been the case, a war abroad is the best excuse to impose tyranny at home. The Western Neo-liberal governments of America, Canada, Australia and most of Europe cannot afford to be removed from power. The full anger of the people will be unleashed full power against those who imposed the Genocidal Covid lie upon them. Trudeau, Macron et al will be held to account (one way or another) for their pivotal roles in this atrocity. They cannot allow that to happen, they have too much to lose.

The tragic and unnecessary conflict in the Ukraine can be viewed as the “Great Reset War”. Although targeted towards Russia for media purposes, its real objective is the further subjugation of the peoples of their own countries. The Western Neo-liberal agenda is failing on every front, economically, socially and morally. The Cabal has destroyed the once prosperous and free societies that they governed. The dystopian future that they have planned for the world is now plain for all to see. It has been on display in Canada and Australia, New Zealand and throughout Europe. It is a prospect that should alarm everybody.

“The Great Reset” is the Cabal’s way of ensuring that the same Globalists who plunged the world into chaos are still in charge after the coming inevitable collapse. The Green agenda and the 4th industrial revolution are about de-industrialising the world and destroying successful industrial competitors such as Russia and China. Not surprisingly, neither Russia or China, along with India and Iran are going along with this insidious plan. They are not alone, many countries from Africa, South America and Asia are also gravitating more towards the Russian/Chinese orbit. All have good reasons to be distrustful and angry at the Empire. The Cabal is weak and failing, it has created powerful enemies who are formidable obstacles to the New World Order and the Great reset. Expect this to embolden other countries to resist the Empire’s plans.

The Empire doesn’t care about the Ukrainians anymore than they care about the people in their own countries. It is about maintaining control over humanity. President Putin is not in essence fighting the Ukraine, he is fighting the N.W.O. And that is everyone’s fight. The battle being waged by the West is for the minds of the Western people so they can justify the imposition of further tyranny. Until recently, President Putin has demonstrated incredible restraint, despite the incessant lies and aggression he has pursued peace and diplomacy. This has not been reciprocated, it has been meet with more lies and provocations. It has been faced with only two options, capitulate or resist, he has resisted. Russia’s fight is the fight of all peoples who value freedom and resist tyranny.

We are all Russians now.

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