هل يفسّر قانون الصدفة تزامن استهداف روسيا وإيران؟

سبتمبر 24, 2018

ناصر قنديل

– فيما واشنطن تغسل أيديها من دماء الضباط والجنود الروس، ودماء الجنود والضباط والمدنيين والأطفال الإيرانيين، في عمليتين مدبّرتين، كما بات واضحاً من البيانات الروسية المتتابعة والمحكومة بإصرار على التحدث عن خلفيات، ورفض الأخذ بأسباب تخفيفية لجعل العدوان مجرد حادث. وكما هو واضح من الاعتداء الذي استهدف إيران معلناً عن نفسه كعمل مدبّر ومبرمج، لنقل المعركة إلى الداخل الإيراني، كما أعلن مستشار ولي العهد الإماراتي، ينطرح سؤال محدّد يطال غرفة العمليات الأميركية التي تدير المسرحين، والرسائل التي أرادتها من عمليتين كبيرتين يصعب الصمت عليهما، واحدة تمت بتورط أيادٍ خليجية وحدها تستطيع التلاعب بالعصبية العربية في جنوب إيران، والثانية تمّت بأياد إسرائيلية وحدها تستطيع حرية التحرك في الأجواء السورية التي تديرها روسيا منذ تموضعها العسكري عام 2015، وعقدها تفاهمات ورسمها خطوط تحرك على محاور العلاقة بأميركا و»إسرائيل» وتركيا.

– أن يتخذ المهاجمون في جنوب إيران من دول مثل هولندا والدنمارك وبريطانيا مقار لقادتهم، لا يلغي كون اليد الخليجية هي المعنية بالتمويل والتحريك والمتابعة. فالمشروع لا يصلح لإزعاج إيران كمشروع أمني، ما لم يتم ربطه بإثارة العصبيات في مكوّنات الهوية الإيرانية الجامعة، وبعدما بدت العلاقات الإيرانية الكردية، محكومة بمعادلات الاحتواء والردع، والعلاقات الإيرانية التركية محكومة بعلاقات التعاون في ملفات عديدة، والعلاقات الإيرانية الباكستانية منفتحة على المزيد من التعاون والتنسيق، لم يعُد ثمة مجال لتلاعب ذي قيمة بالمكوّنات الكردية والبلوشية والتركمانية، ولا عاد الرهان على العصبية المذهبية ممكناً، بدون باكستان وتركيا، كراعيتين لأكبر مكونات قومية ذات لون مذهبي يصلح للاستعمال، فصارت العصبية العربية هي المدخل الوحيد المتاح للعب بالداخل الإيراني، وترجمة تغريدات الرئيس الأميركي حول نقل الصراع إلى داخل إيران، حيث يترجم المشغل والممول الخليجي السياسات والتوجهات الأميركية.

– في سورية تبدو «إسرائيل» آخر الملاذ الأميركي لإرباك الدور الروسي، بعدما سقط الرهان على استرجاع تركيا إلى جبهة الحرب على سورية، وبعدما بلغت العلاقات التركية الأميركية ما بلغت من تدهور في العنوان السوري وفي عناوين جديدة كثيرة. والرهان على الجماعات الإرهابية صار فوق قدرة واشنطن وقدرة هذه الجماعات معاً، بينما تحظى إسرائيل بالفرصة لخوض غمار تجربة تعديل قواعد العمل في الأجواء السورية عبر تقديم الوجود الإيراني في سورية، وحضور قوى المقاومة فيها كعامل تأزيم للعلاقة الروسية الإسرائيلية، بوضع هذه العلاقة على المحك، من بوابة تصادم يفرض الحوار والتفاوض لرسم قواعد اشتباك جديدة، راهنت واشنطن أن تتيح جعل وجود إيران وقوى المقاومة أهدافاً مشروعة متفق عليها بين موسكو وتل أبيب، تلافياً للتصادم مجدداً، طالما أن لـ»إسرائيل» أيادي فاعلة في الداخل الروسي تشبه إلى حد كبير ما لها في الداخل الأميركي وما يجعل السعي الروسي لتلافي التصادم والافتراق أعلى مرتبة من البحث عن نقاط الخلاف.

– الوقائع الأميركية في المسرحين تبدو ورطة لأصحابها، حيث لم يطابق حساب الحقل حساب البيدر، فواشنطن أرادت أن تظهر العين الحمراء لكل من موسكو وطهران سعياً لتفاوض تملك فيه قرار توفير الأمن لروسيا وإيران، مقابل تنازلات أهمها يتصل بتلبية متطلبات الأمن الإسرائيلي في سورية، وتضمن بمجرد حدوثها تكريساً لمكانة أميركية مفقودة حتى اليوم في معادلات الصراع والتفاوض مع روسيا وإيران. وطالما أن واشنطن تريد اللعب وراء الكواليس تبدو موسكو وطهران مرتاحتين لجعل اللاعبين المباشرين يدفعون الثمن، فموسكو لم تمسح الضربة بجلدها وتذهب لتفاوض سري مع تل أبيب بل جعلت منها مدخلاً لمواجهة علنية، وباباً لإعادة رسم قواعد الحركة الجوية في السماء السورية، بينما طهران تفتح الباب لتحقيقات دقيقة توصلها لتحديد مسؤوليات مباشرة، وبعدها الردّ القاسي من دون عذر لمن تورّط.

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إيران تستعرض قوّتها في الخليج: نحن جاهزون

 الأخبار

إيران تستعرض قوّتها في الخليج: نحن جاهزون

نفت الخارجية الإيرانية طلب طهران عقد لقاء مع ترامب (أ ف ب )

على توقيت تصاعد المواجهة بين إيران والولايات المتحدة، واقتراب دخول الدفعة الأصعب من العقوبات الأميركية مع ضغوطها الموازية حيز التنفيذ، تستعرض طهران قدراتها العسكرية مستهدفة إيصال رسائل ردع في هذه المرحلة. وبعد الاستعراض «الحي»، قبل أيام، بعملية القصف الصاروخي على مواقع «الحزب الديموقراطي الكردستاني» داخل كردستان العراق، أكدت إيران تصديها لمحاولات الولايات المتحدة وحلفائها اختراق الداخل الإيراني عبر إشعال الجيوب الانفصالية لزيادة الضغوط على طهران. الفصل الثاني من الرسائل، وعلى مسافة أسابيع من موعد العقوبات في أربعة تشرين الثاني / نوفمبر، تتولاه القوات الإيرانية على صورة مناورات استعراضية، بدأها «الباسيج» (قوات التعبئة) في محافظة سيستان وبلشوستان جنوب شرق البلاد، حيث خاصرة رخوة أخرى، يراد لها أن تنفجر بوجه طهران على خلفيات عرقية ومذهبية.

تشارك في المناورة 600 قطعة بحرية و30 طائرة

وتأخذ المناورات الإيرانية بالتصاعد، بعد أن أعلن الجيش والحرس الثوري، عن مناورات جوية بحرية مشتركة في الخليج وبحر عمان، بمناسبة «أسبوع الدفاع المقدس». وقال ناطق باسم الجيش الإيراني، أمس، إن التدريب الجوي هدفه «تعزيز حالة الاستعداد والتأهب»، وتشارك فيه تسع مقاتلات من طراز «أف 4» وأربعة من طراز «ميراج» وست من طراز «سوخوي 22» وأربعة من طراز «توكانو» وثلاثة من طراز «ياك 12»، وثلاث مروحيات «شينوك» ومروحيتان «212». وقال الناطق باسم الحرس الثوري رمضان شريف، إن 600 قطعة بحرية متنوعة ما بين ثقيلة وخفيفة ستشارك في الاستعراض، لافتاً إلى أن المناورة ستجرى «بالقرب من مضيق هرمز، وستظهر أن القوات المسلحة… جاهزة لتنفيذ إرادة القيادة والشعب للتصدي لأي تهديد معاد في هذه المنطقة الاستراتيجية».

وتأتي المناورات في الخليج، على وقع التهديدات التي أطلقها المسؤولون الإيرانيون حول حرمان الدول الأخرى من تصدير النفط عبر إغلاق مضيق هرمز الاستراتيجي في حال مُنعت إيران من تصدير نفطها. كما في الميدان، الرسائل الإيرانية السياسية تؤكد التصعيد بوجه الضغوط الأميركية، وآخرها وصف تصريحات المندوبة الأميركية لدى الأمم المتحدة عن طلب طهران لقاء الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب، بـ«المثيرة للسخرية»، مع تأكيد الخارجية الإيرانية أن أي لقاءات لن تحصل بين الإيرانيين والأميركيين على هامش اجتماع الأمم المتحدة في نيويورك. يذكر أن اللقاء مطلب عبّر عنه ترامب في أكثر من مناسبة، وهو ما لم تستجب له طهران، إلا أن الرئيس الأميركي سيسعى إلى استثمار وجود زعماء الدول في نيويورك لزيادة الضغوط عبر ترؤسه اجتماعاً لمجلس الأمن الدولي حول إيران الأسبوع المقبل.

Ahvaz terror attack extension of anti-Iran plots by US puppets in region: Leader

Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei says the terrorist attack in the southwestern Iranian city of Ahvaz was the continuation of plots hatched by US stooges in the region to create insecurity in the country, adding that Iran’s intelligence services must swiftly find the accomplices of the “criminals” behind the attack and put them on trial.

In a message on Saturday, Ayatollah Khamenei expressed his condolences over the terrorist attack on a military parade in Ahvaz earlier in the day which killed at least 25 people and injured more than 60 others.

The Leader said the “tragic and sorrowful” incident in Ahvaz and the killing of people by mercenary terrorists once again exposed the cruelty of the enemies of the Iranian nation.

These savage mercenaries who open fire on innocent civilians, including women and children, are linked with the same liars who claim to advocate human rights, Ayatollah Khamenei added.

The Leader emphasized that the perpetrators and their cohorts could not tolerate the display of national strength in the Iranian Armed Forces.

“Their crime is the continuation of plots [hatched] by the US-led governments in the region who aim to create insecurity in our dear country,” the Leader stated.

Ayatollah Khamenei emphasized that the Iranian nation would continue down their honorable path and would “overcome all hostilities like in the past.”

Ahvaz terror attack, malicious move: Velayati

A senior adviser to the Leader also said that the “terrorist and brutal” attack in Ahvaz and the killing of defenseless Iranian people were another show of a “blind and vile measure” by criminals who have targeted Iran’s power.

Ali Akbar Velayati, the Leader’s adviser on international affairs, added that resistance of the Iranian nation and the Islamic establishment in the face of terrorist groups and extremist and Takfiri movements has led to the failure of all plots backed by the US, the Israeli regime and some of their reactionary allies in the region.

He emphasized that the Islamic Republic would give a strong response to the attack.

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Rouhani: Perpetrators of Ahvaz Crime Backed by Some Gulf States

Source

September 23, 2018

Iranian President Hasan Rouhani (archive)

President Hassan Rouhani said Sunday that Iran is clearly aware who was behind the September 22 terrorist attack in Ahvaz and will not give up the right to follow up the case.

“Those who are the so-called advocates of human rights have to be accountable for the attack,” Rouhani told reporters Sunday morning, prior to his departure to New York, where he is to attend the 73rd UN General Assembly, which officially opened on September 18.

Terrorists who perpetrated the crime in Ahvaz are backed by some Gulf States, he said, stressing that those implicated in the attack will never escape punishment.

At least 25 were killed and more than 60 were injured on Saturday in the southwestern city of Ahvaz in Khuzestan Province when several unknown gunmen opened fire aimlessly to the crowd watching a military parade staged on the occasion of the 38th anniversary of an eight-year imposed war against Iran.

Children who were to go to school were killed in the attack, President Rouhani adding, “Iran, undoubtedly, will not give up [following up] the crime.”

“The terrorists disguised as the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) and Basiji (volunteer) forces opened fire at the authorities and people from behind the stand during the parade,’ Governor of Khuzestan Gholam-Reza Shariati told reporters hours after the terrorist attack.

The self-proclaimed Saudi-affiliated Al-Ahwaz terrorist group claimed the responsibility for the attack.

On Saturday, the Iranian President said the Islamic Republic will give a “crushing” response to the slightest threat against the country.

“Those who are providing these terrorists with propaganda and intelligence support must be held accountable,” Rouhani said, according to Iranian media.

SourceIranian media

 

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Jewhadists Leading Assault on Yemen Port City Were Trained by IDF in israel (apartheid state)

Jewhadists Leading Assault on Yemen Port City Were Trained by IDF in Israel

yemen2

MINT PRESS – A new report from the Emirati news website Al-Khaleej Online has revealed that many of the mercenaries leading the assault against the Yemeni port city of Hodeida were trained in Israel by Israeli soldiers, shedding light on Israel’s covert role in the war in Yemen.

According to U.S. officials close to the House Intelligence Committee with knowledge of the operation, hundreds of mercenaries from various nationalities that fight on behalf of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in Yemen had recently received “instance combat training” at training camps in the Negev desert that were created through a secret agreement was reached between the UAE and Israel. Mercenaries at the camp were trained under the “personal supervision” of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF).

The camp’s creation was spearheaded by UAE Security Adviser Mohammed Dahlan, who has personally overseen the recent hiring of a fresh force of foreign mercenaries, the majority of whom are Colombian or Nepalese, to fight on the UAE’s behalf in Yemen.

Dahlan, a Palestinian, was a central figure in the U.S.-backed plot funded by the United Arab Emirates to arm and train militias to overthrow Hamas after they won Gaza elections in 2007. Dahlan has since lived in exile in the UAE where he has developed a close relationship to the Emirati royal family and now serves as one of their advisers. Dahlan also has close ties to Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman.

The report noted that Dahlan had personally visited the training camps in Israel on more than one occasion in order to supervise the training received by mercenaries from the IDF. Al-Khaleej’s sources also stated that Dahlan had chosen the Negev desert as the site for the camps due to the similarities the region shares with Yemen in terms of its climate, environment and tribal structure.

These mercenaries, trained at IDF-led camps in Israel and funded by the UAE, are now leading the renewed assault on the Yemeni port of Hodeida, which began earlier this week on Tuesday. The UAE/Saudi Arabia coalition had previously launched an assault in Hodeida in June but that effort failed to make headway despite the coalition’s superior firepower. The new assault was launched after the coalition recently succeeded in cutting off the main road between Hodeida and the Yemeni capital of Sana’a.

Over 90% of Yemen’s food is imported through Hodeida, prompting  the UN and several NGOs to warn that any disruption to food and fuel supplies coming through the Hodeida port “could cause starvation on an unprecedented scale” as the country’s humanitarian crisis – a direct consequence of the coalition’s actions – is now more dire than ever.

An Open Secret: Israel’s Covert Involvement in Yemen’s War

Notably, the revelation of the Israel-based UAE mercenary training camps is not the first indication of covert Israeli involvement in the Yemen conflict. Indeed, when the war first began in 2015, the coalition led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE were known to use Israeli-made weapons.

In addition, paperwork seized by the Saudi Embassy in the Yemeni capital of Sana’a that same year revealed that the U.S. was seeking to build a military base near Yemen’s Bab al-Mandab strait in order to “ensure the security of Israel,” suggesting a strong motive for the U.S.’ and Israel’s support for the coalition.

More recently, rumors about new Israel-Saudi weapons deals, including alleged plans to sell Saudi Arabia the Iron Dome missile defense system, have received press attention, suggesting that the covert sale of Israeli weapons to the Saudi-led coalition continues to the present.

Al-Khaleej Online had previously reported that Israel had covertly sold weapons and ammunition to the Saudis, including internationally prohibited weapons that have since been used in the coalition’s brutal bombing campaign in Yemen that consistently targets civilian infrastructure. Just last month, 43% of the coalition’s targets were civilian structures, despite the fact that the U.S. now directly aids the coalition in choosing its strike targets as part of an alleged effort to reduce civilian casualties in the war.

While Israeli involvement in the war in Yemen has thus far been covert, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated last month that he would consider sending Israeli troops to Yemen to fight on behalf of the Saudi-led coalition if the Yemeni resistance gained control over the strategic Bab al-Mandab strait, which serves as a chokepoint on Saudi oil exports and other important Red Sea commerce.

Given Israel’s support for countries involved in genocidal wars in the past and its own treatment of Palestinians, it is unlikely that Israel’s government would feel constrained by any moral dilemmas if it chose to formally join the coalition’s war in Yemen despite the humanitarian crisis that war has provoked.

The humanitarian crisis in Yemen, considered the worst in the world, has brought 17.8 million Yemenis to the brink of starvation including 5.2 million children. In addition, 66,000 children in Yemen die annually from preventable diseases due to the coalition’s blockade of Yemen which has also allowed the worst cholera outbreak in history to proliferate.

Despite the huge death toll that has resulted from the coalition blockade and airstrikes, the “mastermind” of the conflict, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman, has vowed to continue to target Yemeni civilians, including women and children, in order to “leave a big impact on the consciousness of Yemenis [for] generations.”

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Saudi Arabia dictatorship trying to quash Yemen war crimes probe: HRW

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Saudi Arabia trying to quash Yemen war crimes probe: HRW

Saudi Arabia is trying shut down a UN-backed war crimes investigation in Yemen, Human Rights Watch said on Friday, calling it a “blatant attempt to avoid scrutiny” of its conduct in the country.

The group’s allegations are backed by rival resolutions on Yemen proposed at the ongoing session of the United Nations Human Rights Council in Geneva. 

A resolution led by a group of European countries and Canada calls for a one-year extension of the inquiry that last month reported evidence of possible war crimes by all sides in Yemen, including the Saudi-led coalition. 

A second text, led by Tunisia on behalf of the group of Arab states, makes no mention of extending the probe but calls for Yemen’s often-criticised National Commission of Inquiry to continue studying the conflict. 

Saudi Arabia and its ally the United Arab Emirates, which are leading a coalition fighting Houthi rebels in Yemen, are both members of the Arab group on the 47-member rights council. 

“The Saudi-led coalition’s campaign to discredit and undermine a UN investigation into abuses by all Yemen’s warring parties is yet another blatant attempt to avoid scrutiny of the coalition’s own actions in Yemen,” John Fisher, HRW’s Geneva director, said in a statement. 

“The Human Rights Council cannot afford to fail Yemeni civilians. States should renew the mandate of the (probe) or risk the Council’s credibility,” he added. 

Diplomatic haggling over the rival texts is likely to continue before the current rights council session closes next week. 

The resolution that first set up the inquiry followed a years-long diplomatic fight. At the 11th hour, Saudi diplomats threatened economic retaliation against states that voted for the project. 

The Saudi-led coalition intervened in Yemen in 2015 to support President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi’s government against Houthi rebels. 

Yemen has since descended into what the UN calls the world’s worst humanitarian crisis, with more than 10,000 people killed and millions at risk of starvation. 

The coalition has been accused of bombing multiple civilian targets, including buses and hospitals. 

Earlier this week, Save the Children warned more than five million children are at risk of famine in Yemen as the ongoing war causes food and fuel prices to soar across the country.

Disruption to supplies coming through the embattled Red Sea port of Hodeida could “cause starvation on an unprecedented scale,” the UK-based NGO said in a new report.

Save the Children said an extra one million children now risk falling into famine as prices of food and transportation rise, bringing the total to 5.2 million.

Any type of closure at the port “would put the lives of hundreds of thousands of children in immediate danger while pushing millions more into famine,” it added.

“Millions of children don’t know when or if their next meal will come,” said Helle Thorning-Schmidt, CEO of Save the Children International.

“In one hospital I visited in north Yemen, the babies were too weak to cry, their bodies exhausted by hunger. This war risks killing an entire generation of Yemen’s children who face multiple threats, from bombs to hunger to preventable diseases like cholera,” she added.

Agencies contributed to this report.

Sayyed Nasrallah Warns “Israel” of Unexpected Results in Any Coming War: Hezbollah Got Precise Advanced Missiles

Zeinab Essa

Hezbollah Secretary General His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah delivered on Thursday a speech that tackled various topics.

Addressing hundreds of thousands of believers, who poured into streets to commemorate Ashura Imam Hussein [PBUH] in Dahyieh [Southern Suburbs of Beirut], Sayyed Nasrallah renewed Hezbollah’s support to the oppressed Yemeni people.

“They [the Yemenis] suffer a continuous Karbala on daily basis . In the war on Yemen, you’ll find the injustice, desolation and thirst of Karbala, You’’ find the nation’s abandonment to Karbala as well as the scenes of strength, heroism and persistence in this battle,” His Eminence said.

In parallel, he urged every honorable person in this world to cry and end his silence in face of the heinous crime carried out by the aggression against Yemen.

“This silence encourages these murderers and criminals in the US-Saudi alliance to continue their crimes against this Yemeni people,” Sayyed Nasrallah warned.

In parallel, the Resistance Leader reiterated Hezbollah’s support to “the peaceful people of Bahrain, who faced all the betraying daggers as well as great injustice during his march towards freedom.”

“We were and will remain with the people in Bahrain in their quest for freedom and dignity. We support the Bahraini people, whose scholars and youths have been jailed and suppressed by the Bahraini regime” he added.

On another level, His Eminence stressed that “it is our duty to stand by the Islamic Republic of Iran, which will enter into a great and dangerous entitlement resembled by implementing the sanctions against it.”

“America is seeking to sanction Iran because of its adherence to Islam, independence and sovereignty, and because the Islamic Republic refuses to become a slave to the American master. It refuses to allow anyone to loot its money as the case is with other countries in the region,” he mentioned.

Sayyed Nasrallah went on to say: “Tehran contributes to the topple the schemes  of domination over the peoples of the region by supporting the Palestinian, Lebanese and the Iraqi people as well as the Syrians,  when the global war was launched on them.”

“Iran was one of the first countries to lend a helping hand to Syria and Iraq in their fight against Daesh [Arabic Acronym for the terrorist “ISIS”/ “ISIL” group],” he said.

On the internal Lebanese front, His Eminence called for the continuation of the political calm. He also urged for activating the Parliamentary work. “All sides must carry their responsibility in all files,” Hezbollah Secretary General stressed.

In response to the ongoing “Israeli” threats to Lebanon, Sayyed Nasrallah clarified that “the “Israelis” are angry because their scheme in the region has fallen after they have drawn great hopes on what is going in Syria and Iraq.”

“Their hopes have gone with the wind,” he said, pointing out that “the “Israeli” is fully aware that the axis of resistance has become stronger and that new countries and peoples have entered into confronting the apartheid Zionist entity.”

However, he called for “being always cautious because the Zionist enemy is not to be guaranteed  although it is afraid to enter into any battle in the region.”

To the “Israeli”, the Resistance Leader sent a sounding message: “The balance of power has changed. No matter how many times you bomb Syria I tell you the deal is done. The mission has been accomplished. We now have precision-guided munition and non-precision rockets and weapons. We are able to protect Lebanon. If “Israel” chooses war, the results will be beyond what they have ever imagined.”

Sayyed Nasrallah also vowed: “If “Israel” imposes a war on Lebanon, it will face a fate and a reality it has never expected on any day.”

““Israel” is fully aware that its weaknesses have been revealed to Hezbollah, and is well aware of our strengths,” he confirmed, highlighting that ““Israel” is aware that technology alone cannot be decisive in a war.”

“From 2006 up until know, have you ever heard “Israel” saying they will start a war with Lebanon and arrive to occupy Beirut? Never. They can’t claim this anymore because their army has weakened while ours, along with the resistance, have evolved.”

In addition, His Eminence addressed the “Israeli” by saying: “You know that Hezbollah became stronger.”

“The Zionist enemy used to threaten with invading Beirut in the past. However, this threatening army no longer exists. And in Lebanon, the equation has changed. God has prolonged my life, and this an evidence of your failure as you’ve failed despite your seek in the day and night to kill me,” Sayyed Nasrallah said.

Source: Al-Ahed news

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