Idlib — more than Raqqa — may be decisive Syria fault line

Idlib — more than Raqqa — may be decisive Syria fault line

EDITOR’S CHOICE | 28.03.2017

Idlib — more than Raqqa — may be decisive Syria fault line

Al-Monitor.com

“Turkey’s last-ditch efforts to harness Russian military and diplomatic heft to counter the Syrian Kurds and unravel their alliance with the United States are showing few signs of succeeding, like much else in the country’s ill-fated Syrian policy,” writes Amberin Zaman.

A Russian agreement with the Syrian Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) in the Cindires district of Afrin may foreshadow a potential showdown in Idlib, where al-Qaeda-linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and Turkish-backed Salafi groups have taken hold after their defeat in Aleppo.

The introduction of Russian forces in Afrin is reminiscent of what happened in Manbij, where a threatened Turkish assault was deterred by US forces in the north and Russian and Syrian deployments in the south.

“If anything,” Zaman continues, “both the United States and Russia are steadily deepening their ties with the Syrian Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) and its Arab allies who operate under the umbrella of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). And viewed from Ankara, they are doing so at Turkey’s expense.”

The negotiations between Russia and the Syrian Kurds over Afrin included discussion of possible coordination against Jabhat Fatah al-Sham, al-Qaeda’s Syria affiliate, formerly known as Jabhat al-Nusra, now under the umbrella of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, whose members slipped out of Aleppo with other armed groups under Turkish cover, according to Fehim Tastekin.

Tastekin writes, “YPG sources told Al-Monitor the two sides [Russia and the YPG] met at Khmeimim air base near Latakia to discuss developing a joint operation against Jabhat Fatah al-Sham (previously Jabhat al-Nusra), which has made Idlib its central base. The Kurds initially insisted that the partnership should also oppose organizations such as Ahrar al-Sham, which Turkey supports. In the end, the sources said, both parties decided not to debate which organizations they will confront and agreed that Russia will set up a base in Afrin. The Kurds said they rejected Russia’s request to have Syrian regime troops at the base and to fly the Syrian flag there.”

He adds, “Zelal Ceger, an official with the Kurdish Movement for a Democratic Society in Afrin, said that the Kurds sought an arrangement with Russia because of persistent attacks on Afrin by Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) and armed groups that Turkey supports,” which includes Salafi and Turkmen armed groups.

Ceger told Tastekin that “this war can escalate — hence our call on Russia for an alliance. There has to be coordination between Turkey and us. Russia will provide that coordination to prevent Turkish attacks against Afrin.”

Tastekin adds that YPG officials rejected a US proposal to include Syrian Kurdish forces backed by Iraqi Kurdistan President Massoud Barzani, calling it a “conspiracy” that could lead to war among the Kurds.

Zaman writes, “Turkey’s strongest card is its long border with Syria and continued influence over assorted Syrian rebel groups, which it has united under the Euphrates Shield command. Since August, Turkey and its rebel allies have cleared the Turkish border of IS forces and after a bloody and protracted offensive captured the IS-controlled town of al-Bab last month. But firmly hemmed in to the east by Russian, Syrian regime and US forces and now to the west by Russian forces in Afrin, Euphrates Shield appears to have reached the limits of its expansion.”

She adds, “The recent split in Ahrar al-Sham, one of the most powerful rebel factions in Syria, with its top leaders defecting to the Jabhat al-Nusra-dominated and al-Qaeda-linked Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, will have further weakened Turkey’s hand.”

While the United States is consumed with planning for unseating the Islamic State (IS) in Raqqa, Idlib may prove a comparable or perhaps even more explosive fault line because of the blurred lines among anti-Western Salafi groups such as Ahrar al-Sham, which is backed by Turkey, and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham.

Tamer Osman reports that Syrian “warplanes are increasingly hovering in the sky over Idlib in northern Syria and targeting several residential areas inside the city.”

Tastekin writes, “The Syrian army has been clearing out IS forces from their last Aleppo stronghold. Thanks to an agreement between Turkey and Russia, Turkish-supported armed groups — which oppose the Syrian regime but were also fighting IS in Aleppo — were allowed to leave there with their weapons and families. Most of them settled in Idlib and Azaz. … Russia and Turkey disagree on what to do with these anti-Syrian (and therefore, anti-Russian) groups. Russia wants them disbanded. Turkey would like them to hold onto that area and join the pro-Turkish Free Syrian Army factions to fight the Kurds and keep them from establishing a continuous autonomous region near Turkey’s border. If Russia and the Syrian army open a front against Idlib, clashes with the Turkish-backed groups could spill over to Afrin. Although the Kurds are focused on defending Afrin, they may be amenable to a joint operation with the Russians against threats from Idlib.”

“The biggest problem,” Osman continues, “is the lives of hundreds of thousands of Syrians living in Idlib, as these will not be able to find another shelter amid the ongoing airstrikes falling on the city and its suburbs. This same scenario occurred in areas now controlled by the Syrian regime forces such as the eastern neighborhoods of Aleppo.”

Khaled al-Khateb reports from Aleppo, “Turkey has been training a police organization, the Free Syrian Police (FSP), to help out with secondary operations in Aleppo province so the Free Syrian Army (FSA) can focus on fighting and maintaining control of the areas it has captured.“

Khateb writes, “The FSA’s presence there makes residents targets for the Islamic State (IS).” He adds, “The first FSP group, stationed in Jarablus, was recruited in late 2016 from Syrian refugee camps scattered in Gaziantep and Kilis in southern Turkey, unlike the second group stationed in Azaz and nearby towns, which mostly came from Aleppo province. There has been no shortage of recruits.”

Semih Idiz explains that “there is also speculation, fueled by remarks made by Erdogan in the recent past, about a Turkish effort to turn the FSA into Syria’s new army. If this were to come about, it would mean a Sunni-dominated, anti-Kurdish and anti-Shiite army. Given the big picture as it stands today, though, such an army is highly unlikely to be formed, since it would be blocked by Russia and the United States. The bottom line in all of this is that the prospects for Ankara’s realizing its aims in Syria appear to be dimming by the day — a fact that is also being increasingly noted by Turkish analysts.”

al-monitor.com

De Mistura has instigated the escalation to adjust the balance The answer will be in the field and through negotiation in Geneva دي ميستورا حرّض على التصعيد لتعديل التوازن والجواب سيكون خلال جنيف في الميدان والتفاوض

De Mistura has instigated the escalation to adjust the balance The answer will be in the field and through negotiation in Geneva

مارس 27, 2017

Written by Nasser Kandil,

The bombing of the fighting fronts in Syria does not have mere a negotiating task, it has many equations that extend from Washington to Riyadh, Tel Aviv towards Ankara. It became a war of existence for Al Nusra front which leads the war and it is followed by the participants in the negotiation in its two parts; the security part in Astana and the political part in Geneva under the command of their masters. But it is certain that the escalation witnessed by Syria through the initiative of Al Nusra front and under the political and military coverage and partnership of the participants in Geneva for the seats of the opposition will be the first present issue in Geneva.

It is not a secret that the tripartite of the UN Envoy Steffan De Mistura for the negotiation has excluded the item of terrorism, which the Syrian official delegation has instated on its adding as an essential item, as it is not a secret that the success of the Syrian delegation under the Russian support in imposing this item, in addition to its accusing participants in Geneva of terrorism and its stipulation to resolve their fate between the two camps of terrorism and its enemies in order to join the serious negotiating track has been settled strongly, as what has been achieved in Aleppo’s battles which formed a resounding defeat to the project of the war on Syria.

De Mistura colluded as far as the balances of powers allow him to serve the group of Riyadh, he tried to act without affectation on the negotiation’s items which the UN resolution 2254 has restricted them with the Syrians, through promoting formulas for the internal part as negotiating solutions that serve the anti-Syria project, so he got the objection of Damascus of welcoming him, but De Mistura was not the only advisor of Riyadh’s group and the factions of the necessity to change the balances of powers before the new round of Geneva, because their negotiating position will be difficult. He told them that “the round will witness Russian Syrian pressures to make the representatives of Cairo and Moscow platforms include a unified delegation along with the representatives of the Kurds, and the negotiation on the item of terrorism will be harsh and exhausted and that the political ceiling which the Russians want from the negotiations is a unified government under the Syrian constitution and the Syrian President”  the advice of De Mistura was the same as the Saudi seeking and the US advice after the Syrian army and the resistance had restored Al Quseir city, where the words of the Secretary of State John Kerry from Doha  were that there is no return to negotiation before adjusting the military balance.

Damascus can get the message and it has the professionalism and the skill to send the appropriate answers as refusing welcoming De Mistura, and the completion is sequent, from the treatment of De Mistura in a dull unpleasant way in Geneva through checking his every point and comma according the UN resolution and the resolution of his mandate, mission, powers, and controls as a UN employee, towards going on in the schedule by resolving the identity of the negotiators and ensure their non-relation with terrorist identities through their  positions toward the terrorist organizations which were classified by the UN,  not according to the contradictory jurisprudences of the participant parties. There is no relation but the relation with Al Nusra front; so those who fight with it and who adopt its fighting have no place in the political solution, while those who disaffirmed of its wars and bombings deserve the negotiation alone.

In the fifth round of Geneva there will be a lot of talks, conditions, statements, and speeches, but the Syrian response in the field will be capable of changing the backgrounds and to put De Mistura and the negotiators of the nominations of the opposition in front of the deadlock and the difficult choices. As the reverse attack has succeeded in the entrances of Damascus with fast resolving, the reverse attack has started in the countryside of Hama and the forthcoming hours and days will prove the answer.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

دي ميستورا حرّض على التصعيد لتعديل التوازن والجواب سيكون خلال جنيف في الميدان والتفاوض

مارس 23, 2017

ناصر قنديل

– ليس لتفجير جبهات القتال في سورية مجرد وظيفة تفاوضية وقد وضعت لها معادلات ممتدة من واشنطن إلى الرياض وتل أبيب وصولاً إلى أنقرة، وصارت حرب وجود بالنسبة لجبهة النصرة التي تقود الحرب ويلتحق بها بإمرة أسيادهم المشاركون في التفاوض، بشقيه الأمني في أستانة والسياسي في جنيف، لكن الأكيد أن التصعيد الذي تشهده سورية بمبادرة من جبهة النصرة وبتغطية وشراكة سياسية وعسكرية من المشاركين في جنيف عن مقاعد المعارضة سيكون الحاضر الأول في جنيف.

– ليس خافياً أن ثلاثية المبعوث الأممي ستيفان دي ميستورا للتفاوض استثنت بند الإرهاب الذي أصرّ الوفد السوري الرسمي على إضافته بنداً رئيسياً، كما ليس خافياً أن نجاح الوفد السوري بدعم روسي في فرض هذا البند عطفاً على اتهامه مشاركين في جنيف بالإرهاب واشتراطه حسم مصيرهم بين معسكري الإرهاب وأعدائه للانضمام إلى المسار التفاوضي الجدي، قد تمّ بقوة ما تم إنجازه في معارك حلب التي شكلت هزيمة مدوية لمشروع الحرب على سورية.

– تواطأ دي ميستورا بقدر ما تتيح موازين القوى لتخديم جماعة الرياض، وحاول التمادي على بنود التفاوض التي حصرها القرار الأممي 2254 بالسوريين، عبر ترويج صيغ للشق الداخلي من حلول تفاوضية تخدم المشروع المعادي لسورية فاستحق رفض دمشق لاستقباله، لكن دي ميستورا لم يكن الوحيد صاحب النصيحة لجماعة الرياض والفصائل بضرورة تغيير موازين القوى قبل جولة جنيف الجديدة وإلا سيكون وضعهم التفاوضي صعباً، وهو مَن قال لهم ستشهد الجولة ضغوطاً روسية سورية لضم ممثلي منصات القاهرة وموسكو لوفد موحّد ومعهم ممثلون للأكراد، وسيكون التفاوض في بند الإرهاب قاسياً ومتعباً، وسيكون السقف السياسي الذي يريد الروس أن تخرج به المفاوضات هو حكومة موحّدة في ظل الدستور السوري والرئيس السوري ، ونصيحة دي ميستورا هي المسعى السعودي والنصيحة الأميركية ذاتهما منذ استرداد الجيش السوري والمقاومة مدينة القصير وكلمة وزير الخارجية الأميركية آنذاك جون كيري من الدوحة، لا عودة للتفاوض قبل تعديل التوازن العسكري.

– دمشق ليست بعيدة عن التقاط الرسالة ولا عن حرفية ومهارة إرسال الأجوبة المناسبة، وأولها رفض استقبال دي ميستورا، والتتمة بالتتابع، من معاملة دي ميستورا بصورة باهتة وجافة في جنيف بمحاسبته على النقطة والفاصلة وفقاً للقرار الأممي وقرار تفويضه ومهمته وصلاحياته وضوابطه كموظف أممي، وسيراً بجدول الأعمال بحسم هوية المفاوضين وتأكيد عدم تشابكها بهويات إرهابية، وفقاً لمواقفها من التنظيمات الإرهابية المصنفة أممياً، وليس لاجتهادات متناقضة للأطراف المشاركة. وهنا لا توجد إلا العلاقة بجبهة النصرة، فمن يقاتل معها ومن يتبنّى قتالها لا مكان له على مائدة الحل السياسي، ومَن يتبرأ من حروبها وتفجيراتها وحده الجدير بالتفاوض.

– ستطول جولة جنيف الخامسة بكلام كثير وشروط وبيانات وخطابات، لكن الرد السوري سيكون في الميدان كفيلاً بتغيير المناخ والأجواء، ووضع دي ميستورا ومفاوضي مسميات المعارضة أمام الحائط المسدود والخيارات الصعبة، ومثلما نجح الهجوم المعاكس في مداخل دمشق بحسم سريع، فقد بدأ الهجوم المعاكس في ريف حماة والساعات والأيام المقبلة تتكفّل بالجواب.

The Christian Genocide in Syria: An Interview with Yasmine

Posted on March 23, 2017

[ Ed. note – There is a genocide of Christians taking place in Syria. The above is a photo I first posted back in 2014. It shows destruction at the Greek Catholic Church of Our Lady in the Syrian city of Yabroud, and is one of a series of photos I published at the time. The pictures were taken shortly after the city was liberated by the Syrian Arab Army and Hezbollah forces.

British reporter Robert Fisk was on hand when the city was liberated and wrote: “The Greek Catholic Church of Our Lady is a place of shame, of burnt copies of the New Testament, paintings slashed with knives – many were lying in strips of gold and red fabric beside the altar’s broken cross – and mosaics chiselled from the walls.”

Fisk also mentioned that the terrorists had “gouged out the eyes of the mosaic saints.”

You can go here to access the original post. In it I wrote the following:

What is on display in these photos is not merely abomination and sacrilege; it is loathing and hatred of the spirit of Christ; it is detestation for everything Jesus taught, malice and abhorrence at the mere mention of his name; contempt for his memory. Where does this kind of hatred of Christ come from? What accounts for it?

It’s not an easy question to answer. But clearly the hatred is there. In the same post I noted that the terrorists in Syria were being backed by “the West, Saudi Arabia, and Israel.”

Today, three years later, the terrorist proxy armies in Syria are operating under different names in some cases, but the same ideology, the same hatred of Christ, is still in evidence. And the mainstream media, as before, don’t seem terribly interested in what’s going on. Apparently the tweets of Donald Trump are considered more newsworthy than the murder of Christians in Syria. And when occasionally a news organization does report on the issue, as in the case of this AFP report filed in November of last year, the media spin given seems deliberately designed to convey the false impression that it is the “regime forces” who are intent on destroying churches, not the innocent, Western-democracy-loving “rebels.”

Of course, as the photo below would suggest, it is not, I repeat, not Syrian President Bashar Assad who is waging genocide against Christians. Assad has been president since the year 2000, and prior to the outbreak of the conflict six years ago, Syrian Christians lived in peace and prosperity, free to practice their faith. The hatred of Christ I spoke of is far more likely to be harbored by those who  are backing the terrorists, rather than those actually and genuinely fighting them.  The latter, of course, would be Syria, Russia, Iran and Hezbollah.

All of which, in a roundabout way, leads me to the following. Recently a Syrian-American writer by the name of Sarah Abed posted an interview she conducted with an Aramean Syriac Orthodox woman named “Yasmine.” The name is an alias. The city of Damascus is nicknamed the “City of Jasmine” (or Yasmine in Arabic). Abed writes:

Yasmine contacted me on Facebook recently after reading my articles and posts. We discussed the situation there and her frustration with the lies being reported. I asked if she would want to tell her story, she eagerly agreed. Shortly after our talk her Facebook account was blocked and she hasn’t been able to come back on Facebook since then. Also, oddly enough only my messages are visible from our conversation. A few days ago her friend reached out to me and asked for my email and she sent me “Memoir of a Syrian girl” detailing her experience living in Damascus before and during the war. I will be putting that in a separate article. I asked her as a Christian in Syria if she would be willing to answer some questions and she agreed.

Yasmine is an engineer who also holds an MBA degree. She was born in Al Qamishly, in the northeast of Syria, but grew up in Damascus, where she resides at this time. Below is an excerpt from her interview with Abed. The letters “KSA” in the interview refer to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. ]

***

Q: When the West’s terrorist proxies slaughter and commit genocide against the indigenous Christian population, as they did, for example, in Kessab, Syria, are they attempting to “erase history”?

A: Not only history, When Wahhabists started in KSA they destroyed everything that has relation to history, even the grave of the prophet is destroyed, they do not care for it, in Afghanistan they destroyed statues that were thousands years old, they are a destruction machine of everything that has to do with civilization.

Q: When Western terrorists occupy towns like Maloula, Syria, and destroy Christian religious icons is this an attempt to erase history?

A: They want to destroy the history and Christianity, Christians were always targeted by those radicals, it is their ideology to not accept any one who is different.

Q: When the Western terrorists target Muslim and/or Christian communities, are they, or their Imperial masters, attempting to destroy the country by creating sectarian warfare?

A: Of course, the sectarian warfare serves the agenda, it was the plan for ME to be in perpetual state of chaos, which in the days of Bush jr was called the creative chaos or constructive chaos, this chaos serves Israel.

Q: Are the imperialists attempting to create warring ethnic and/or religious enclaves?

A: Of course, it is their targeted, the religion is the opium of nations, it is the method to lead the whole destruction game

Q: Are the Empire’s divide and conquer strategies in Syria working, or does most of the Syrian population remain unified?

A: There must have been some who sympathise with Wahhabists, and these will never seize to exist unless the world fights the source of them, the sources of Wahhabist ideology are in Egypt and KSA, and unless they are totally fought, they will always have followers around the world. Another thing to be honest, A regime like Bashar Assad was able to protect us from those minority, also in the days of Hafez Assad we were protected, If you like to name him a dictator go ahead, but please do not tell me the west is protecting us. Hafez Assad was protecting us, Bashar Assad is protecting us…

Continued here

Damascus–the city of Jasmine

I had a chance to visit Damascus in 2014. It is indeed a beautiful city…

Israeli Airstrikes Contribute To Further Escalation Of Syrian Conflict

 

Voiceover by Harold Hoover

Israeli warplanes reportedly delivered airstrikes against Syrian army targets in the Qasioun Mount region near Damascus early on March 22nd. Israeli jets allegedly carried out four rounds of airstrikes. There were no reports about casualties or damage suffered by Syrian government forces.

Initially reports about the incident appeared in pro-militant social media accounts and then were widely spread by the Israeli media. If confirmed, the recent raids were the fourth round of airstrikes attributed to Israel in Syria in less than a week.

The reports about the fresh Israeli airstrikes in Syria came just a few hours after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to continue hitting targets in Syria. Netanyahu made this claim during a visit to China, adding that he had informed Putin of Israel’s intentions.

The Russian Foreign Ministry summoned Israel’s Ambassador to Moscow to protest an Israeli military strike near the Syrian city of Palmyra last Friday. This was after Israeli jets breached Syrian air space and attacked a military target near Palmyra on the night of March 17th. According to Israel’s Channel 2, the Israeli strike hit close to Russian troops. In turn, the Syrian military fired several anti-aircraft missiles at Israeli warplanes and claimed that one of them was destroyed and another one hit. The Israel Defense Forces denied these claims and said that one missile fired from the ground was intercepted by the Arrow 2 anti-ballistic missile.

Following the incident, Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman, threatened to destroy Syrian air defense systems. “The next time the Syrians use their air defense systems against our planes we will destroy them without the slightest hesitation,” Lieberman said on Israeli public radio.

At the same time, Israel continued to push the narrative that Russia and other powers must move to limit Iran’s military strength in Syria. The director-general of Israel’s Intelligence Ministry, Chagai Tzuriel, repeated this in an interview to Reuters on March 21st.

The growing Israeli propaganda and diplomatic and military efforts over the conflict in Syria came amid the intensification of military operations of the so-called moderate opposition against government forces in northern Hama and eastern Damascus. Jaish al-Islam and other groups invited to the Astana format supported the military actions of Hayat Tahir al-Sham (formerly Jabhat al-Nusra, the Syrian branch of al-Qaeda). This showed that the negotiations in Astana brokered by Ankara, Moscow, and Tehran resulted in no progress in separating “moderate rebels” from their “radical counterparts.”

Most likely, this situation is a result of the fact covered by SF in its last two videos about the geopolitical standoff in the post-ISIS Middle East – Turkey provides a general support to the Israeli efforts aimed at undermining the Assad government and limiting the Iranian influence. Turkey and Israel also share the ground in supporting so-called moderate rebels operating in western Syria.

“The Syrian Revolution” Is A Big Lie, To Justify “America’s Humanitarian Massacre”

S0urce

By Kevork Almassian

fsa-alqaeda-dollars

This video by Kevork Almassian of Syrianna Analysis says it all.

The terrorists were  recruited by US NATO.

March 2011 marks the onslaught of a US-led war using terrorists as their foot-soldiers.

The unspoken objective was to destroy the secular state, create sectarian conflict  and install an Islamic proxy state.

 

سقوط أستانة في جنيف

سقوط أستانة في جنيف

مارس 25, 2017

ناصر قنديل

– لم يكن لقاء أستانة اجتماعاً تقنياً لتثبيت وقف النار بقدر ما كان فرصة قدّمتها روسيا لتركيا للتموضع وجلب مَن معها من فصائل مسلّحة تعرف موسكو تاريخاً وخلفياتها الدموية والإرهابية، إلى ضفة جديدة في الحرب محورها التخلي عن جبهة النصرة والاستعداد للانضواء في تحالف عنوانه الحرب على النصرة ونيل المقابل بدور لتركيا والفصائل في تسوية سياسية تحت سقف الدستور السوري وعباءة الرئيس السوري والجيش السوري تنتهي بدستور جديد وانتخابات، ووقف النار كان تقدمة روسية لتركيا والفصائل لتسهيل هذا التموضع، وليس قضية قائمة بذاتها ولا هدفاً بذاته.

– مهما حاولت الفصائل ومن ورائها تركيا ومن أمامها السعودية ووفد الرياض المفاوض لتبييض صورة ما يُرى، فالمشهد يجمع جبهة النصرة وعلى يمينها فيلق الرحمن الذي تديره تركيا وعلى يسارها جيش الإسلام الذي تشغله السعودية، والمشاركان في أستانة تحت عنوان فصل النصرة عن الفصائل، وذلك يعني سقوط أستانة كمسار والعودة بالحرب في سورية إلى مرحلة ما بعد سيطرة الجيش السوري وحلفائه على الأحياء الشرقية في حلب، واعتبار هجمات دمشق وريف حماة رداً على انتصار حلب.

– تركيا التي حاولت مقايضة سيرها في مسار أستانة بداية بحجز مقعد لها في التفاهم الروسي الأميركي المقبل، ولما تأخر حاولت بيعه للأميركيين بالعداء لإيران والانتظار في سورية ولما لم ينفعها دخول مدينة الباب كجواز مرور إلى منبج وفوجئت ببطاقة أميركية حمراء، عادت للمقايضة في أستانة، ثم تراجعت لأنها لم تحصُل من موسكو على موقف من الأكراد يلبي تطلعاتها باستئصالهم، هي تركيا ذاتها التي عادت الآن تقف وراء الفصائل لتوجه رسائل المشاغبة للقول لا يمكنكم تجاهلي فلا تزال هناك خيارات، والخيار الوحيد كما يبدو هو التموضع مع السعودية و«إسرائيل» للعب ورقة النصرة مرة أخرى.

– الاستقواء بالنصرة وتقويتها لتغيير قواعد الحرب والتفاوض سيف ذو حدين، فإن نجح قد يغير المعادلات مؤقتاً بتوازن سلبي يفرض زج المزيد من القوى والقدرات على سورية وحلفائها ليأخذها إلى الحسم الطويل والصعب، لكنه عندما يفشل فنتائجه ستكون مدوّية في الميدان والتفاوض، وما جرى في دمشق ويجري تباعاً في ريف حماة يقول إنها بدايات واضحة وحاسمة على مسار الفشل، والنتائج على تركيا والفصائل أبعد من الميدان والتفاوض، لأنها تعني سقوط مسار أستانة في موسكو.

– مسار أستانة روسي أصلاً، ولم يكن موضع حماس لا في دمشق ولا في طهران ولا لدى حزب الله، كما كانت الهدنة في مثل هذه الأيام العام الماضي، لكن روسيا حليف كبير ورئيسي ويهمّ الحلفاء أن تنضج خياراته بهدوء، لأنه معني بالظهور كمرجع للنزاعات الدولية يمنح الفرص للسلام والحلول السياسية. وهذه من موجبات الدولة العظمى التي لا تضرب خبط عشواء، لكن متى أقفلت أبواب الحلول فهي لا تفتحها مجدداً بل تضرب بقسوة وبدقة وبحسم، وهذا ما فعلته موسكو في حلب يوم حسمت أن طريق الحلول قد سقط بعد منحها شهوراً للتفاوض مع واشنطن وصناعة التفاهم معها. وهذا المعنى الأعمق لسقوط مسار أستانة.

– قال مصدر روسي إن الذين خرقوا وقف النار في ريف ردمشق وريف حماة سيدفعون ثمناً باهظاً لتلاعبهم وخداعهم، فكيف وهم يقاتلون مع النصرة؟

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Zionist Circles Warn Political, Military Officials against Dangers of Air Strikes on Syria

March 20, 2017

Israeli warplane

The Zionist air strikes on Syria may endanger the occupation entity and must be reconsidered, a conclusion drawn by a number of Israeli analysts who asserted that the Syrian response during any upcoming operation might be stronger.

Despite the Zionist officials’ escalatory statements in comment on Syria striking response to the Israeli air raids on Palmyra in Homs countryside, the analysts added that the Syrian military capabilities may inflict heavier losses on the Zionist jets.

The Zionist circles also highlighted the Russian action of summoning the Zionist ambassador to inform him about Moscow’s stance which criticizes and rejects the Israeli aerial attack, stressing that this means Russia is clearly against any Zionist escalation in Syria.

Maariv newspaper also noted that the Zionist air strikes on Syria may lead a harsher consequences as the events may go off course, calling on the usurping entity’s authorities to be cautious about such actions.

The Israeli analysts pointed out that Syria President Bashar Assad is directly supported by Hezbollah, Iran and Russia and feels that he can intensify the confrontation with the Zionist entity.

Syria’s army said Friday it shot down an Israeli plane that had been carrying out pre-dawn raids on a military target near Palmyra.

“Four Israeli planes penetrated our air space at 2:40 am (0040 GMT) via Lebanese territory and hit a military target on the way to Palmyra,” the army said in a statement carried by state news agency SANA.

Source: Al-Manar Website

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