Zionist Circles Warn Political, Military Officials against Dangers of Air Strikes on Syria

March 20, 2017

Israeli warplane

The Zionist air strikes on Syria may endanger the occupation entity and must be reconsidered, a conclusion drawn by a number of Israeli analysts who asserted that the Syrian response during any upcoming operation might be stronger.

Despite the Zionist officials’ escalatory statements in comment on Syria striking response to the Israeli air raids on Palmyra in Homs countryside, the analysts added that the Syrian military capabilities may inflict heavier losses on the Zionist jets.

The Zionist circles also highlighted the Russian action of summoning the Zionist ambassador to inform him about Moscow’s stance which criticizes and rejects the Israeli aerial attack, stressing that this means Russia is clearly against any Zionist escalation in Syria.

Maariv newspaper also noted that the Zionist air strikes on Syria may lead a harsher consequences as the events may go off course, calling on the usurping entity’s authorities to be cautious about such actions.

The Israeli analysts pointed out that Syria President Bashar Assad is directly supported by Hezbollah, Iran and Russia and feels that he can intensify the confrontation with the Zionist entity.

Syria’s army said Friday it shot down an Israeli plane that had been carrying out pre-dawn raids on a military target near Palmyra.

“Four Israeli planes penetrated our air space at 2:40 am (0040 GMT) via Lebanese territory and hit a military target on the way to Palmyra,” the army said in a statement carried by state news agency SANA.

Source: Al-Manar Website

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Iraqi resistance movement “Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba” establishes a brigade to liberate Israeli-occupied Golan Heights

RSFP

Iraqi Resistance Movement Establishes Brigade to Liberate Golan Heights

(Excerpts from Tasnim News Agency, 8 March 2017) ~ The spokesman for Iraq’s al-Nujaba Movement, a major Shiite resistance group, announced that the movement has formed a special brigade to liberate Golan Heights from the Zionist regime of Israel.

Speaking at a press conference held at the Tasnim News Agency central office on Wednesday, Seyed Hashem al-Moussavi highlighted the involvement of al-Nujaba forces in the Syrian government’s military campaign against foreign-backed terrorists and said they will not leave Syria until “the last terrorist” leaves the Arab country.

“After recent victories (in Syria), we have established the Golan Liberation Brigade,” he said, adding that the forces are well-trained.

“If the Syrian government requests, we are ready to take actions to liberate Golan,” the spokesman underlined.

He went on to say that the Golan Liberation Brigade is comprised of highly-equipped special forces, who have not left a region unless they ended a conflict there.

The al-Nujaba Movement is an offshoot of Iraqi voluntary forces, also known as the Popular Mobilization Units or Hashid al-Shaabi, which is active both in Iraq and Syria…(…)…


RELATED:

«L’armée pour la libération du Golan» est née

Interviewé par l’agence de presse iranienne Tasnim, le commandant al-Moussavi a évoqué la lutte contre Daech en Irak, groupe terroriste qui bénéficie d’«armes américaines», de «véhicules blindés saoudiens» et de «denrées alimentaires qataries».

«Les terroristes de Daech ont l’intention de fuir de l’Irak vers la Syrie et d’y former un émirat. Mais ce que cherchent les États-Unis va au-delà de cet objectif : les Américains veulent envoyer Daech non seulement en Syrie, mais aussi au Yémen, pour ainsi étendre le terrorisme à travers toute la région. L’Afrique figure elle aussi à l’agenda des priorités des Américains et de leur œuvre d’expansion du terrorisme»

Al-Moussavi a dénoncé par ailleurs la présence des Américains à Mossoul, où «ils cherchent à voler la victoire au peuple irakien, peuple uni que Washington a tout fait pour diviser et faire disparaître».

«Nous avons bloqué les frontières syro-irakiennes et, consécutivement à notre démarche, l’aviation irakienne a lancé des raids contre les positions de Daech en Syrie. Ces deux gestes concomitants ont provoqué la panique à Riyad, qui a dépêché son ministre des Affaires étrangères à Bagdad », a-t-il poursuivi.

Le commandant al-Moussavi est revenu ensuite sur la situation en Syrie, où son mouvement maintient «depuis quatre ans sa présence».

«Cela fait quatre ans que la Turquie détourne les richesses de la Syrie. Et à ce qui paraît, elle ne veut à aucun prix lâcher prise. Or l’Irak est bien différent. Si la Turquie ne retire pas ses forces de Bachiqa, au nord de Mossoul, le Hezbollah aura recours à la force. Sous prétexte de vouloir éviter une guerre confessionnelle, l’armée turque occupe l’Irak et dit vouloir empêcher l’entrée du Hezbollah à Tal Afar. Mais nos forces se trouvent à un kilomètre de cette ville. L’empire néottoman d’Erdogan s’est depuis longtemps effondré», a-t-il expliqué.

Et le Golan? 

Le porte-parole du mouvement al-Nujaba a insisté sur le fait que le Hezbollah d’Irak ne quitterait pas la Syrie «tant que les Syriens y seront présents»:

«Nous nous battons pour la dignité et la souveraineté des sunnites, des chiites et des chrétiens de Syrie. La question démographique n’est pas notre affaire. Et d’ailleurs, nous ne perdons jamais de vue le pays qui est le vrai ennemi de tous les musulmans, à savoir Israël. Après nos récentes victoires à Alep et ailleurs en Syrie, le mouvement al-Nujaba a formé une armée pour la libération du Golan occupé. Nous ne permettrons pas que les pays de la région soient démembrés et deviennent géographiquement plus petits qu’Israël. Car c’est cela le but des grandes puissances».

Et le porte-parole du Hezbollah irakien d’ajouter:

«L’armée du Golan est composée de forces spéciales très bien formées et équipées, forces qui ne se sont pas engagées dans les combats. C’est une armée qui attend l’ordre de l’état-major syrien pour passer à l’acte et libérer le Golan occupé des mains de l’occupant israélien».


SOURCES: Tasnimnews, 8/3/2017 Press-TV, 8/3/2017 Submitted by Cem Ertür War Press Info Network at : https://syrianfreepress.wordpress.com/2017/03/09/harakat-hezbollah-al-nujaba/ ~

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Israeli military process in the southern of Syria and Turkish one in its northern عملية عسكرية «إسرائيلية» جنوب سورية وتركية شمالها؟

 Israeli military process in the southern of Syria and Turkish one in its northern

Written by Nasser Kandil,

مارس 5, 2017

There is a lot of talk about the safe zones in the northern of Syria and its southern, where these areas seem as “the cavalier of desert” which is made by the farmers to distract the beasts away from their corps, while the search is serious for an Israeli military process in the southern of Syria that targets sites of Hezbollah to drive it away about sixty kilometers far from the line of the separation of the forces in the Golan Heights through intense strikes and commandos processes that last for few days, and which will lead  along with the ignition of the battlefields, that Israel hopes to be limited an urgent international intervention that re-imposes the work under the agreement of separating the forces which was signed in 1974, and which was applied on Golan front, till Israel violated it in order to support the armed groups, so this led to the announcement of Syria of considering that agreement abolished and opening the front for the forces of the resistance.

In parallel with the southern scenario there is a northern one for which the Turkish army is preparing, but it did not receive the US green light yet. It is based on a wide Turkish intervention in the areas of the deployment of the Kurdish armed groups, having control on their sites and ending their presence, then announcing its readiness to participate in the war on ISIS starting from the north of Raqqa, north of Aleppo, and the north of Hasaka. The Turks make a continuations communication with the Americans to reduce the degree of the US reservation for considering the Kurdish groups a part of the US work system in the region that gets the full protection to the extent of neutrality and the willingness to overlook the process which according to the Turks it needs few weeks, but it achieves its major goals within days according to the Turkish military considerations, if the Americans whose their deployment is intersected with the Kurds stand neutrally.

In respect of the Israeli assumed scenario which aims to have control on the Syrian southern front and securing it, in preparation for the post international regional negotiation stage about the future of Syria, and in contribution to modify the balance of the forces inside Syria through targeting painful blow to Hezbollah that paves the way for the negotiation to get it out of Syria within the US terms on Russia to cooperate in the war on terrorism, the Israelis feel worried that what was said by the Secretary -General of Hezbollah in his last speech about the rules of deterrence which affect the warehouses of Ammonia and the reactor Dimona was an implicit response to this scenario, after Hezbollah has known that Israel is preparing to do something. In the light of what is known by the Israelis about the degree of the intelligence incursion of Hezbollah in the Israeli institution, they read the speech carefully to know how will Hezbollah implement its threats without igniting the front of Lebanon?. And whether it has the capacity of heavy missile bombard from outside Lebanon or probably from mysterious Lebanese –Syrian bordered areas without revealing the launching points of its missiles or implicating Lebanon in confrontation, that explain the repetitive Israeli raids, but only when Israel is infected to the extent of opening the Lebanese front and targeting goals inside Lebanon, so it will spend its surplus power in the war and thus Israel would have fallen into traps twice.

The Israelis wonder by linking the previous speeches of Nasrollah with his last speech about the demise of the gradient phase in targeting the Israeli depth according to the equation “Haifa, beyond Haifa, and beyond beyond Haifa” and the possibility of going directly to the most important, farthest, and to the most harmful goals and maybe within the first day of the war, and by linking with the speech of Nasrollah about the ground war and his warning that Hezbollah would be the initiator to the next war when the front of Lebanon is opened, so the Israeli concern becomes from a scenario of starting the war in the southern of Syria through being infected by limited but effective number of heavy missiles in the deep depth from the first day and from mysterious place. Therefore, the Israelis will be forced to open the front of Lebanon, and thus it will be the start of the paradigm shift in which Hezbollah uses the elite units for the land incursion in the depth of Galilee and Golan, then Israel will enter into bigger complexities than what it planned for, and perhaps  it becomes difficult for it to end the war without serious losses and without experiencing the defeat and losing the control on the paths if the attempts of Hezbollah succeeded in hitting strategic goals in the depth, or if its fighters succeeded in the ground incursion, so who is putting an end to the threats, and who will get back those who entered lands which according to them they are occupied?

In the northern of Syria, there is the Turkish scenario around which there were fears that are no less than the Israeli fears, first what is related to the Turks through the US sticking to the relationship with the Kurdish groups, through supplying them with more weapons, towards what was announced by the Americans about providing anti-aircraft missiles to the opposition groups, which they know that the intention is the Kurdish groups and the Democratic Forces of Syria which they lead them, and that the danger of confronting the aircraft does not come neither from ISIS nor from the Syrian army but from the Turkish army, the second reason for the Turkish concern is the clever strategic movement of the Syrian army by leaving the Turks entering the northern of Al-Bab city paying high cost in confronting ISIS and getting involved in bearing the consequences of the announcement of the war on ISIS which emerged under their sponsorship till the depth of Turkey becomes a goal for it, then the Syrian army turned from the southern of Al Bab city towards the northeast towards meeting the demarcation line of the Democratic forces of Syria and the Kurdish groups beyond Tedef, and thus the Turkish progress towards Manbej and then to Raqqa is doomed with the collision with the Syrian army. The Turkish fear from further overlapping between the Syrian army and the Kurds makes the desired process a war project with the Syrian army, that they cannot bear tits consequences and Moscow will not allow it, while Washington is still refusing the complacency in the process.

Some of the followers say that the Israeli speech about the arrival of the Russian advanced superior  Yokhont missiles which are used  for precise injuries for sea and ground goals to the hand of Hezbollah  means the announcement of overlooking of the process which will turn into unbearable process, and that the Turkish speech about the keenness to have a cooperation with the Americans and the Russians in their military processes is a kind of an answer to US Russian warnings from committing any folly, but neither Hezbollah nor the resistance, nor the Syrian army, and nor the Kurds can  stop thinking and preparing for facing all the possibilities away from the analyses and their accuracy. The armies are living in alertness for the worst possibilities, rather than depending on the best analyses.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

عملية عسكرية «إسرائيلية» جنوب سورية وتركية شمالها؟

مارس 1, 2017

– ناصر قنديل

– فيما يجري الحديث كثيراً عن المناطق الآمنة جنوب سورية وشمالها، تبدو هذه المناطق أشبه بـ»خيال الصحراء» الذي يقيمه المزارعون لإلهاء الوحوش عن مزروعاتهم، وهي هيكل خشبي يلبسونه ثياب رجل، بينما البحث جارٍ جدياً، لعملية عسكرية «إسرائيلية» جنوب سورية تستهدف مواقع حزب الله لإبعاده مسافة ستين كليومتراً عن خط فصل القوات في الجولان، بضربات مكثفة وعمليات كوماندوس تستمرّ أياماً معدودة، تتيح، مع ما سيترتّب عليها من اشتعال لجبهات القتال، تتمنّى «إسرائيل» أن يكون محدوداً، تدخّلاً دولياً عاجلاً يُعيد العمل باتفاق فصل القوات الموقّع عام 1974 والمعمول به على جبهة الجولان، حتى قامت «إسرائيل» بخرقه دعماً للجماعات المسلحة وانفتاحاً عليها، وما ترتّب على ذلك من إعلان سورية اعتبارها الاتفاق ساقطاً وفتح الجبهة لقوى المقاومة.

– بالتوازي مع السيناريو الجنوبي، ثمّة سيناريو شمالي يستعدّ له الجيش التركي بصورة لم تلق الضوء الأخضر الأميركي بعد، يقوم على تدخّل تركي واسع في شريط انتشار الجماعات الكردية المسلحة والسيطرة على مواقعها وإنهاء تواجدها، والإعلان بعدها عن جهوزية الجيش التركي للمشاركة في الحرب على داعش انطلاقاً من شمال الرقة وشمال حلب وشمال الحسكة، ويجري الأتراك تواصلاً مستمراً مع الأميركيين لتخفيف درجة التحفظ الأميركية من اعتبار الجماعات الكرديّة جزءاً من منظومة العمل الأميركي في المنطقة تحظى بالحماية الكاملة إلى قدر من الحياد والاستعداد لغضّ النظر عن العملية، التي تحتاج بنظر الأتراك لأسابيع محدودة، وتحقّق أهدافها الكبرى خلال أيّام، وفقاً للحسابات التركية العسكرية إذا وقف الأميركيون، الذين يتداخل انتشارهم مع الأكراد، على الحياد.

– مقابل السيناريو الافتراضي «الإسرائيلي» الهادف لإمساك جبهة الجنوب السوري وتأمينها، استعداداً لمرحلة ما بعد التفاوض الدولي الإقليمي حول مستقبل سورية، وإسهاماً بتعديل توازن القوى داخل سورية عبر توجيه ضربة مؤلمة لحزب الله تفتح باب التفاوض على إخراجه من سورية ضمن الشروط الأميركيّة على روسيا للتعاون في الحرب على الإرهاب، يقلق «الإسرائيليون» من أن يكون ما قاله الأمين العام لحزب الله في خطابه الأخير عن قواعد الردع التي تطال مستودعات الأمونيا ومفاعل ديمونا رداً ضمنياً على هذا السيناريو، بعدما ظهر لحزب الله أن إسرائيل تستعدّ لعمل ما، وفي ظل ما يعرفه «الإسرائيليون» عن درجة التوغل الاستخباري لحزب الله في المؤسسة «الإسرائيلية»، ويقرأون الخطاب بتمعّن، لمعرفة كيف سيتمكن حزب الله من عدم إشعال جبهة لبنان لتنفيذ تهديدات نصرالله، وهل بات يملك قدرة قصف صاروخي ثقيل من خارج لبنان، أو الأرجح من مناطق حدودية لبنانية سورية غامضة وتبقى مبهَمة، تفسّر غارات «إسرائيلية» متكرّرة عليها، من دون الإفصاح عن نقاط إطلاق صواريخه وتوريط لبنان في المواجهة، إلا عندما تصاب «إسرائيل» بالأذى لحدّ يجبرها أن تفتح الجبهة اللبنانية وتطال أهدافاً داخل لبنان، فتطلق يديه ليرمي فائض قوته في الحرب، وتكون قد وقعت في الفخ مرتّين.

– يتساءل «الإسرائيليون» ربطاً بخطابات سابقة لنصرالله كلامه الأخير بكلامه السابق، عن زوال مرحلة التدرّج في استهداف العمق «الإسرائيلي»، وفقاً لمعادلة «حيفا وما بعد حيفا وما بعد ما بعد حيفا» واحتمال الذهاب مباشرة للأهداف الأهمّ والأبعد والأشدّ أذى، وربّما خلال اليوم الأول للحرب، كذلك كلام نصرالله عن الحرب البريّة وتحذيره من أن حزب الله قد يكون هو المبادر إليها في الحرب المقبلة، عندما تفتح جبهة لبنان، ليصير القلق «الإسرائيلي» من سيناريو فتحهم للحرب جنوب سورية وتلقيهم عدداً محدوداً، لكنه فاعل من الصواريخ الثقيلة في عمق العمق المؤذي من اليوم الأول ومن مكان غامض، فيضطر «الإسرائيليون» لفتح جبهة لبنان لتكون بداية نقلة نوعية يستخدم فيها حزب الله وحدات النخبة للتوغل البري في عمق الجليل أو الجولان، وعندها تدخل «إسرائيل» تعقيدات أكبر من حجم ما خططت له، وربما يصير صعباً عليها إنهاء الحرب من دون خسائر جسيمة، ومن دون تجرّع كأس الهزيمة، وفقدان السيطرة على المسارات إذا نجحت محاولات حزب الله بإصابة أهداف استراتيجية في العمق أو نجح مقاتلوه بالتوغل البري، فمن يضع حداً للمخاطر ومَن يسحب الذين دخلوا أراضي هي بنظرهم محتلة؟

– في شمال سورية تحضر مقابل السيناريو التركي مخاوف لا تقلّ عن المخاوف «الإسرائيلية»، أولها ما يصل للأتراك من تمسّك أميركي بالعلاقة مع الجماعات الكردية والقيام بتوفير المزيد من السلاح لها، وصولاً لما أعلنه الأميركيون من تقديم صواريخ مضادة للطائرات لجماعات معارضة، يعلمون أن المقصود بها الجماعات الكردية وقوات سورية الديمقراطية التي يقودونها، وأن خطر مواجهتهم للطائرات لا يتأتّى من داعش ولا من الجيش السوري بل من الجيش التركي، وثاني مصادر القلق التركي ما بدا من حركة استراتيجية ذكيّة للجيش السوري بترك الأتراك يدخلون شمال مدينة الباب ويدفعون فاتورة عالية في مواجهة داعش، ويتورّطون في تحمل تبعات إعلان الحرب على التنظيم الذي ترعرع في أحضانهم ليصير عمق تركيا هدفاً له، وعندها قام الجيش السوري بالالتفاف من جنوب الباب صعوداً إلى الشمال الشرقي وصولاً لملاقاة خط التماس مع قوات سورية الديمقراطية والجماعات الكردية ما بعد تادف، بحيث صار التقدّم التركي نحو منبج فالرقة محكوماً بالتصادم مع الجيش السوري، والخوف التركيّ من مزيد من التداخل بين الجيش السوري والأكراد يجعل العملية المنشودة مشروع حرب مع الجيش السوري لا يقدرون على تحمّل تبعاتها، ولن تسمح بها موسكو، بينما واشنطن لا تزال ترفض التهاون مع العملية.

– يقول بعض المتابعين إن الكلام «الإسرائيلي» عن وصول صواريخ ياخونت الروسية المستخدمة لإصابات دقيقة لأهداف بحرية وبرية والمتطوّرة والمتفوّقة، إلى يد حزب الله، هو بمثابة الإعلان عن صرف النظر عن العملية التي ستتحول حرباً لا قدرة على تحمّل تبعاتها، وأن يكون الكلام التركي عن الحرص على التعاون مع الأميركيين والروس في عملياتهم العسكرية نوعاً من الجواب على تحذيرات أميركية وروسية من ارتكاب حماقة، لكن لا حزب الله والمقاومة ولا الجيش السوري ولا الأكراد يستطيعون التوقف عن التفكير والاستعداد لمواجهة الاحتمالات كلها، بعيداً عن التحليلات ومدى دقتها. فالجيوش تعيش باليقظة لأسوأ الاحتمالات لا بالنوم على حرير أفضل التحليلات.

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’Israeli’ Army’s Chief: Fighting over Golan Heights to Renew in Few Months

Local Editor

“Israel’s” military chief Lt. Gen. Gadi Eisenkot predicted that the fighting over control of the Occupied Syrian Golan Heights to renew in the next few months.

"Israeli" Army's Chief: Fighting over Golan Heights to Renew in Few Months


Speaking before the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Military Committee, Eisenkot admitted that Hezbollah resistance men are gaining operational experience while fighting in Syria.

He further noted that Eisenkot claimed that Hezbollah Secretary General His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s threats to fire rockets at the Haifa ammonia facility and the Dimona nuclear reactor were meant to create deterrence and maintain the status quo with Tel Aviv.

Eisenkot gave the MK his security assessment of the region, noting that at the top of “Israel” Defense Forces’ agenda for 2017 is preparedness for a possible conflict in the Gaza Strip.

“The election of Yahya Sanwar as the new leader of the organization in Gaza,” he said “shows there was no longer a distinct separation between Hamas’ military and political wing.”

At the beginning of the closed session, the “Israeli” military Chief noted the goals he had set for the army during 2016, saying that first and foremost was the military institution continued preparedness, which he was satisfied that it had managed to secure.

Source: News Agencies, Edited by website team

23-02-2017 | 13:49

Trump and Netanyahu to “the abstention from the settlements” or “the resetting” ترامب ونتنياهو إلى الممانعة أو «التصفير»

Trump and Netanyahu to “the abstention from the settlements” or “the resetting”

Written by Nasser Kandil,

The meeting which brought together the US President Donald Trump and the Head of the government of the occupation Benjamin Netanyahu has paved the way for the speculations and the questions about the possibility to translate the escalating rhetoric on which each one depends and how to translate it. Some people wonder whether the choice is the war either on Iran or Hezbollah, but this analysis ignored the fact that this meeting has occurred after many interventions in the Middle East where the US and the Israeli armies failed, because of their inability to make blood, but the reason of the failure was not the inaction or the cowardice of the US Presidents George Bush, Bill Clinton, or Barack Obama. The armies did not get out of the battlefields and gave the banner to the intelligence to create strife but only after they exhausted all the opportunities of investing on the destructive fiery surplus power, and the capacities of intimidation, to the extent of the inability to overcome the two obstacles for which America waged the war, and has occupied Afghanistan and Iraq to besiege them, namely Iran and Syria. Israel has shared the failure with America through its two big wars against the resistance in Lebanon and Palestine in 2006 and 2008.

Trump and Netanyahu met after the strategic slogan of Israel became the restoration of the deterrence ability, and after the war became the last choice for Israel to achieve this goal,  so it hid behind a wall through which it disconnects the Palestinian areas to avoid the consequences of the Palestinian uprisings and behind the Iron Dome Weapon to avoid the rockets of the resistance movements, while Trump is preparing himself to hide behind the customs wall through which he  protects the US goods from competition, that is related which the wall which he started to build on the borders with Mexico, and behind a media dome through which he shows himself strong through the declarations and positions, and whenever his position collides with his weakness, it is substituted with more flexible and less strict position as the safe zone in Syria, the transfer of the US embassy to Jerusalem, and the seeking to blow up the nuclear agreement with Iran, so his boastings move to other places once to Europe and once to Australia and once to China.

Trump and Netanyahu stand on the top of similar pyramids in configuration and culture, while the inability to make blood unites them in the language of war. The settlement was the origin of the emergence of their entities politically and demographically, the slogan of the Promised Land is the doctrine of the American and the Zionist dreams, but they share also the contradiction between the ability to go to war and the culture of arrogance which drives for escalation, between the weakness in the fields and its effect on the growth of extremism in the positions, where the ruling institution becomes weak according to the voters and becomes in need of a populist speech to regain their loyalty, therefore, the racism  waves and the language of war spread, but when they collide with the ability they turn into negotiating  cards. The problem of the two entities is the same; it is the inability to go to war and the inability to make peace, so today each one of them is protecting by raising the cost of his partnership in the settlements through the philosophy of the abstention from the settlements and the solutions, which the forces of the resistance have resorted to when they were at the state of weakness in making wars, and when the proposed settlements were inappropriate with the minimum limits of its constants. It is an exchange of positions and roles between the forces of hegemony and the aggression and the resistance forces.

What is going on in Washington between Trump and Netanyahu is resetting the files of the settlements from all the points of the axioms and the constants in order to begin from the zero-understandings, and the seeking to get a new cost for every step in the ladder of understanding. This is what is done by Trump toward Russia, China, and Iran and this is what is done by Netanyahu toward the Palestinian cause, but both of them need the negotiations as a path for confrontation and both of them are afraid from the cost of the negotiations which reflect the balances of powers so they try to simplify them. It is the time of resetting and linking the dispute, not the time of the war or the settlements.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

 

ترامب ونتنياهو إلى الممانعة أو «التصفير»

فبراير 16, 2017

ناصر قنديل

– فتح اللقاء الذي جمع الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب برئيس حكومة الاحتلال بنيامين نتنياهو الباب للتكهنات والتساؤلات حول إمكانية ترجمة الخطاب التصعيدي الذي يلتقي عليه كلاهما، وكيفية هذه الترجمة. ويتساءل البعض عما إذا كان الخيار هو الحرب سواء نحو إيران، أو حزب الله، ويتجاهل هذا التحليل حقيقة أنّ اللقاء يجري بعدما جرت مياه كثير في أنهار الشرق الأوسط، سقطت فيها الجيوش الأميركية و«الإسرائيلية» في ضعف القدرة على بذل الدماء، ولم يكن سبب الفشل فيها التراخي والتخاذل من رئيس أميركي اسمه جورج بوش أو بيل كلينتون أو باراك أوباما. فالجيوش لم تخرج من ساحات الحرب وتسلّم الراية للمخابرات لتصنع الفتن إلا بعدما استنفدت كل فرص الاستثمار على فائض القوة التدميري والناري وإمكانيات الترهيب ووصلت إلى العجز عن تذليل العقبتين اللتين خرجت أميركا للحرب لأجلهما واحتلت أفغانستان والعراق لتطويقهما، وهما إيران وسورية. وتلاقت «إسرائيل» بالفشل مع أميركا في حربيها الكبيرتين ضد المقاومة في لبنان وفلسطين في عامي 2006 و2008.

– يلتقي ترامب ونتنياهو بعدما صار شعار إسرائيل الاستراتيجي ترميم قدرة الدرع، وصارت الحرب آخر ما تفكر به «إسرائيل» لتحقيق هذه الغاية، فانكفأت خلف جدار وقبة، جدار تقطع به أوصال المناطق الفلسطينية لتجنّب تبعات الانتفاضات الفلسطينية، وقبّة صاروخية لتتفادى عبرها صواريخ حركات المقاومة، بينما يستعد ترامب للاحتماء خلف جدار وقبة، جدار جمركي يحمي البضائع الأميركية من المنافسة ويتصل بالجدار الذي بدأ ببنائه على الحدود مع المكسيك، وقبة إعلامية يصطنع بها عبر التصريحات والمواقف مظهر القوة، وكلما اصطدم موقف بحقيقة الضعف يحلّ مكانه موقف أشدّ ليونة وأقل تصلباً، كما في المنطقة الآمنة في سورية ونقل السفارة الأميركية إلى القدس والسعي لنسف الاتفاق النووي مع إيران، لتنتقل العنتريات إلى مسرح آخر مرة نحو أوروبا وأخرى نحو أستراليا وثالثة نحو الصين.

– ترامب ونتنياهو يقفان على رأس هرمين متشابهين في التكوين والثقافة. العجز عن بذل الدماء يجمعهما في لغة الحرب، والاستيطان كان أصل نشوء كيانيهما سياسياً وديمغرافياً، وشعار أرض الميعاد عقيدة الحلم الأميركي والحلم الصهيوني، لكنهما يتشاركان أيضاً في التناقض بين العجز عن الحرب وثقافة الغطرسة التي تدفع للتصعيد، بين الضعف في الميادين وتأثيره على نمو التطرف في المواقف، حيث تضعف المؤسسة الحاكمة نحو الناخبين وتحتاج خطاباً شعبوياً لكسب ودّهم، وتنطلق موجات العنصرية ولغة الحروب، لكنها عندما تصطدم بجدار القدرة تتحوّل أوراقاً تفاوضية. ومشكلة الكيانين واحدة في العجز عن صناعة الحرب والعجز عن صناعة السلام، ولهذا يحتمي كل منهما اليوم برفع سعر شراكته في التسويات، عبر فلسفة الممانعة، التي لجأت إليها قوى المقاومة يوم كانت في وضع الضعف عن صناعة الحروب وعدم ملاءمة المعروض من التسويات لثوابت الحد الأدنى لديها. هو تبادل مواقع وأدوار بين قوى الهيمنة والعدوان مع قوى المقاومة.

– ما يجري في واشنطن بين ترامب ونتنياهو هو تصفير ملفات التسويات من كل نقاط البديهيات والثوابت للانطلاق من صفر تفاهمات، والسعي لتحصيل ثمن جديد لكل خطوة في سلم التفاهم. هذا ما يفعله ترامب مع روسيا والصين، إيران، وهو ما يفعله ذاته نتنياهو تجاه القضية الفلسطينية، لكنّ كليهما يحتاج المفاوضات كمسار لتمييع المواجهة، وكليهما يخشى من المفاوضات أثمانها التي تعكس موازين القوى، فيسعى لتمييعها أيضاً. هو زمن التصفير وربط النزاع، وليس زمن الحرب ولا زمن التسوية.

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Complete Syrian War update: February 2017

BEIRUT, LEBANON (1:50 A.M.) – Over the course of two months, the Syrian conflict has seen drastic changes at several fronts, including areas that have not seen fighting for years.

Syrian Capital:

Among the biggest changes this year is the battlefront in Damascus, which has seen the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) in control of much of the western countryside and large parts of the nearby East Ghouta region.

With a number of reconciliation agreements put together at the end of the year (e.g. Wadi Barada and Serghaya), the Syrian Arab Army managed to secure almost the entire provincial border with the Golan Heights, leaving only Beit Jinn under militant control.

In the eastern part of Damascus, the Syrian Arab Army is preparing for what is expected to be the largest offensive in this region; this operation will be led by the Republican Guard forces and 4th Mechanized Division.

Southern Syria:

South of Damascus, the jihadist rebels of Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham launched a large-scale offensive in the Dara’a Governorate, targeting the Syrian Arab Army’s positions inside the Al-Manishiyah District of the provincial capital.

Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham has captured several points inside the Al-Manishiyah District; however, their offensive has somewhat stalled since their large advance on Monday.

In the Sweida Governorate, the U.S. backed rebel forces have seized several points from the Islamic State terrorists near the Jordanian border, giving them a large buffer-zone around the Tanf Crossing into Iraq.

Syrian Desert Front:

Syria’s vast desert landscape has been the scene of some of the most intense battles taking place inside the country.

The Islamic State launched a massive operation in December to seize the ancient city of Palmyra and its nearby gas fields; this offensive was eventually successful, as the Syrian Arab Army was forced to withdraw 60km west towards the T-4 Military Airport.

Making matters worse for the Syrian Army, the Islamic State launched a large offensive in the Deir Ezzor Governorate to kick off the new year.

The Islamic State would not only capture several points, but they would also besiege the Deir Ezzor Military Airport for the first time during this war.

By mid-January, the Syrian Arab Army was able to stabilize the Palmyra and Deir Ezzor fronts, paving the way for a much needed counter-attack.

The Syrian Arab Army is currently involved in an offensive to liberate the oil fields in Palmyra’s western countryside; this has taken priority over lifting the siege on the Deir Ezzor Airport.

Northern Syria: 

Without a doubt, Syria’s northern front is its most active front, with several groups fighting one another in the Aleppo and Al-Raqqa governorates.

The Turkish Armed Forces made the first move in Aleppo in January, as their soldiers and rebel allies stormed the strategic city of Al-Bab.

However, this operation for the Turkish forces has had limited success and heavy casualties as a result of the Islamic State’s heavy resistance at this important front.

At around the same time the Turkish forces launched the Al-Bab offensive, the Kurdish-led “Syrian Democratic Forces” (SDF) began a large-scale operation to liberate Al-Raqqa from the Islamic State terrorists.

Unlike the Turkish Armed Forces, the SDF has managed to liberate a large chunk of territory along the Euphrates River, almost reaching the strategic Tabaqa Military Airport before the Islamic State sent reinforcements to forestall the advance.

Opposite of the SDF and Turkish Armed Forces, the Syrian Arab Army’s “Tiger Forces” have been focusing on the Kuweries countryside, liberating several villages from the Islamic State while advancing to both Al-Bab and Deir Hafer.

 

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Arab students heckle Syrian speakers as ‘traitors’ at Israeli conference

 

A conference about Syria held at the Hebrew University was disrupted by Arab students who called the Syrian speakers as “traitors” to their country and spoke out against Israeli policy.

The Truman Research Institute for the Advancement of Peace at Hebrew University in Jerusalem hosted the conference. The conference included two Syrians exiles: Kurdish-Syrian journalist Sirwan Kajjo, who currently lives in the US; and Isam Zitun, who currently lives in Germany.

A student highlighted the situation in the Syrian Golan Heights which Israel has occupied for decades.

“The Golan has been occupied since 1967; you’re a traitor and a conspirator!” yelled one of the student protestors. Zitun responded by saying, “Shame on you; you live in paradise compared to Syrians.”

“The Golan is under siege by the Hezbollah and (Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s) regime. If Israel could help the people under this siege, that would be great,” Zitun continued.

The two said that they work to make Syrians’ voices heard worldwide. “Israel is a neighbor of Syria’s, and many of us think that it should be more involved, at least in terms of providing humanitarian aid to Syrians in need in south Syria,” said Kajjo, before adding, “Israel should have a better relationship with Syria in the future.”

When asked why the opposition in Syria is not more unified against Assad’s regime, Kajji said, “It makes sense for the opposition to be divided, since they come from different backgrounds.” Zitun said that “It stands to reason that the opposition be divided after everything that Assad has done over the years. There also isn’t much of a political culture in Syria. The international community needs to take responsibility.”

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