نصرالله يقطع طريق الحرب الأميركية على إيران

نصرالله يقطع طريق الحرب الأميركية على إيران

روزانا رمّال

بعد دخول حزب الله الأزمة السورية من بابها العريض والمشاركة الميدانية القتالية فيها وتحقيقه مكاسب أمنية جديّة، وبعد دخول إيران الحرب بثقل عسكري واستخباري ولوجستي جنباً الى جنب مع الجيش السوري، لم يعد ممكناً فصل خطاب امين عام حزب الله السيد حسن نصرالله عن مركزية حضوره في هذا الحلف الذي أعلن منذ اقتسام ملف قتال «الإرهاب» في ما بينه بكل الاراضي السورية ان الخطر القومي وتهديد الأمن الحيوي للمحور هو «واحد».

المقاربة الإيرانية والسورية إضافة لحزب الله في مسألة مواجهة الانتكاسات أو تقاسم الأرباح في المنطقة أصبحا وجهة متكاملة ومؤسسة لهيكل المقاومة التي يعتبرها الحلف ضرورة في ديمومة رسالته وحضوره، ففي وقت تتمسك إيران بشعار الراعي للمقاومة والمستضعفين وكل أحرار العالم أمام الطغيان المتجسّد بمنظارها أميركياً و«إسرائيلياً»، باتت مسألة الدعم المباشر مترجمة واقعاً بحضور القوى القادرة على تبيان جدوى الحلف ومغزاه.

تقود إيران في اليمن حرباً غير مباشرة مع السعودية ومن ورائها «إسرائيل»، وقد أكد امين عام حزب الله السيد حسن نصرالله بذكرى مهرجان القادة الشهداء بأنها حرب «إسرائيلية». ضمن هذا المنطلق، يُشرّع حزب الله مسألة دعمه القتال في اليمن وهو ليس قتالاً ضد مجموعات إرهابية مثل داعش أو النصرة ولا يشبه على الإطلاق مسألة قرب الحدود مع لبنان على غرار مدينة القصير السورية وضرورة استباق الحرب قبل أن تصل لبنان، بل إنها ترجمة لواجب ودور تفرضه «إسرائيل» أينما وجِدت أو وجدت خيوط مشاريعها فتخلق «المشروعية».

هذا الحديث يؤكد ان حزب الله لا ينتظر إذناً ولا تمنعه «حدود» عن المشاركة في القتال داخل فلسطين المحتلة على غرار مشاركته في الحرب السورية بثقل، وفي الحرب العراقية واليمنية على شكل خبراء ومتدرّبين، كما أكد نائب الامين العام لحزب الله الشيخ نعيم قاسم لـ«البناء» في وقت سابق.

الأكيد أن حزب الله لن يتأخّر لحظة في المشاركة في أي دور قتالي داخل فلسطين المحتلة، وأنه كان ممكناً أن يتقدم المشهد لو كانت الأمور أسهل ومفتوحة لوجستياً، ولو كان هذا الأمر حاجة لا يستطيع الفلسطينيون تحقيقها. وهنا باب آخر يستدعي استذكار دعم إيران وحزب الله للحركات المقاومة على اختلافها داخل الأراضي المحتلة وخارجها.

«التدخل» «واجب»، حيث أمكن، بالنسبة لحزب الله الذي يشكل عصب هذا المحور، لكن الأهم قدرته على أداء أدوار استثنائية تحت عنوان صفته كحركة مقاومة لا تفتحها أو تشرّعها الصفة الرسمية للدول. لهذا السبب هو يشارك في حروب في اليمن والعراق وسورية من دون أن يشكل هذا توريطاً مباشراً للبنان أو حتى لتلك الحكومات أو الجهات التي شرعت مشاركته كـ»خيار خاص».

يرفع حزب الله مسألة قتال «إسرائيل» أينما وجدت عكس ما يُشاع أو يُطلب منه حصر المهمة في الأراضي اللبنانية، وهو أمر منافٍ للواجب والمقدّسات العقائدية ولروحية الصراع مع «إسرائيل» بالنسبة له.

خطاب نصرالله في ذكرى قادة حزب الله الشهداء جاء فيه ما يقلق «إسرائيل» لدرجة «مهولة» بالشقّ المتعلق في دعوته أو نصيحته للحكومة «الإسرائيلية» بأنه لا يجب عليها فقط إخلاء خزان الأمونيا في حيفا، بل عليها تفكيك مفاعل ديمونا النووي، والسلاح النووي «الإسرائيلي» الذي يشكّل تهديداً لكل المنطقة فيتحوّل عبر معادلة حزب الله هذه تهديداً لـ«إسرائيل» وشدّد عليها بأن المقاومة تفي بما تَعِد.

لكن هذا التهديد ليس تهديداً محصوراً بحسابات الحزب مع «إسرائيل» محلياً ولم يعد يتوقف عند كلمة خارجة عن منظومة أو محور بأكمله. فكلمة نصرالله التي تأتي بمقدمة هذا المحور في حربه مع «إسرائيل» وتوحيد جبهات القتال لكل المحور منذ الحرب السورية في المنطقة كلها هي إشارة شديدة الوضوح الى استحالة اعتبار مسألة الحرب الأميركية على إيران وما تطلقه الإدارة الأميركية من تصعيد كلامي «فُهم» على أنه نيات لحرب على طهران أمراً ممكناً أو بالاستطاعة فصله عن حيثية المحور ونظرته لمسألة الحروب الأميركية «الإسرائيلية». بالتالي حيث تكون «إسرائيل» سيكون هناك حزب الله أو مَن يستدعيه ضمن «الحلف». وهو الأمر نفسه الذي تعتمده واشنطن أو تل أبيب وحلفاؤهما في أي حرب على إيران بما يعنيه استخدام قواعد أميركية في الخليج لضرب إيران أو في تركيا. وهذا كله يبيح استخدام الحلفاء القدرات العسكرية الموحّدة كافة في حروبهم وهو ما تشرّعه العلوم العسكرية والسياسية ضمن ماهية الأحلاف وأدوارها تاريخياً.

وبعد رفع مرتبة تهديد حزب الله لمصاف الدرجة الأولى وفق التقارير الأمنية «الإسرائيلية»، وهو ما أعلنه نصرالله ليليه إيران ثم المقاومة الفلسطينية، فإن تحليل كلمة نصرالله في أجهزة الاستخبارات الأميركية و«الإسرائيلية» معاً سيأخذ بعين الاعتبار تعقيداً دقيقاً، وهو ما أخذه نصرالله على عاتقه بإعلانه استعداده لسحق قدرات «إسرائيل» النووية وغيرها بالكامل. وهو الأمر الذي «تخطّى» عملياً إشكالية ملف إيران «النووي» الذي أصبح يشكّل في هذه الحالة تلويحاً كلامياً وإعلامياً. فلم يصدر أي تهديد عن إيران باستخدام سلاح نووي ضد «إسرائيل» مثل ما ألمح أمين عام حزب الله وتناوله الخطر النووي على «إسرائيل» بشكل معاكس من جهة لبنان.

نصرالله يقطع الطريق على حرب أميركية «إسرائيلية» على إيران ويُبعد توقيت الحرب «الإسرائيلية» عن لبنان.

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Syrian Army’s Tiger Forces: History And Capabilities

The Tiger Forces are an elite unit of the Syrian Arab Army (SAA). This unit specializes in offensive operations. It is one of the main battle units of the Syrian army. Acting at the most difficult parts of the front, in fact, it has not suffered a single defeat, and it has repeatedly emerged as the winner of the fiercest battles of the conflict. The Tiger Forces belong to so-called “new divisions”, which were created during the Civil War, in the age when the Syrian Army had lost combat effectiveness, having been demoralized after several years of armed hostilities. The Tiger Forces are still playing a crucial role in the war waged by the Syrian people against international terrorism and foreign intervention.

The unit of Tigers was created by colonel Suheil al-Hassan by the order of the state leadership of Syria in the autumn 2013. According to some sources, the new assault unit was funded by Rami Makhlouf, Bashar al-Assad’s cousin and prominent investor. The main body of the Tiger Forces was formed with Alawite officers from the Fourth and Eleventh Tank Divisions of the SAA. The Air Force Intelligence Directorate has also recruited and trained civilian Alawites to join this special force.

Suheil al-Hassan is the undisputed leader of the unit. Recently, he was awarded the rank of Major General. He is 46 years old. He was born in the city of Jableh on the Mediterranean coast. Suheil al-Hassan is an Alawite, and has a wife and one son. He graduated from the Syrian Arab Air Force Academy in 1991, and served in the Syrian Air Force Defense’s Special Operations Unit and in the Air Force Intelligence Service. Successful actions by the colonel and his personal courage demonstrated in Latakia and Hama province in 2013, earned him the attention of the state military-political leadership. In the autumn of the same year, he was tasked with creating a special forces unit, intended mainly for offensive operations.

From 2013 to 2014, the Tigers distinguished themselves in the East Aleppo offensive operation, liberating the city airport and the Sheikh Najjar Industrial District. In the summer of 2014, they held a series of successful operations against militant groups of Jabhat an-Nusrah in the Hama province. In the autumn of the same year, they faced terrorists from ISIS for the first time. The Tigers successfully engaged them in the area of the Shaer gas fields in the Homs province, until the march of 2015. One of the major achievements of the Tiger Forces was the liberation of the Kuweires airport in November, 2015. A small garrison of 600 soldiers spent almost three years under complete blockade by the terrorists, repulsing daily attacks of superior numbers of enemy forces. The Tigers played a crucial role in the force grouping which liberated Aleppo in the summer and autumn of 2016. It is important to keep in mind that they had to operate during a “humanitarian pause”, when the actions of strike aviation was minimized. Despite this, they managed to liberate the city from the enemy block by block. Currently, the Tigers are executing an offensive on the ISIS stronghold in the area of the city of al-Bab in Aleppo province.

The success of the Tiger Forces is largely due to the strategic talent of Suheil al-Hassan. He has unquestioned authority with his fighters and has already become a national hero of Syria. Suheil al-Hassan has proven himself not only as a successful military commander, but also as an unlikely, yet talented diplomat. According to some sources, regardless of the sector of the front where his unit was operating, he was able to establish contacts with local clans and persuade them to bring their forces, including military units, to fight against the common enemy. It is also important to note that in the environment where the centralized combat logistics system of the Syrian Arab Army has actually been destroyed, the fighting units often have to provide themselves with the necessary resources required in their area of operations. In order to accomplish this, they try to gather support of local leaders.

Despite the fact that in the information bulletins the Tiger Force is referred to as a “division”, only about 1,000 soldiers are fighting with the unit. Therefore, in actuality, the unit is a special forces battalion. Accurate information about the structure of the Tiger Forces is unknown. It is known that they contain the Cheetah Forces, commanded by Colonel Shadi Isma’el. Cheetahs “Team 6″ took part in the liberation of Kuweires airport, and “Team 3″ participated in the encirclement of the ISIS forces in the east of Aleppo. The Tiger Forces also include the Panther Forces, commanded by Ali Shaheen. The division was involved in the Palmyra offensive (March 2016).

The Tiger Forces use the same weapons as the majority of the SAA; however, they are issued on a priority basis with the most modern weaponry being supplied by Russia. In the summer of 2016 during the offensive in Aleppo, the Tigers were fighting using Russian T-90 tanks. In a number of photos taken of the AK-74M assault rifles of the unit’s fighters, 1P87 collimator sights, which are included in the Russian “future soldier” infantry combat system “Ratnik”, are clearly identifiable. Also, during the fighting in the area of Deir Hafer Plains in Aleppo province, the Tigers used one Russian armored vehicle “Rys LMV”.

Tiger Forces are on a priority basis, provided with artillery and air support of the Syrian Arab Army, as well as of the Russian Aerospace Forces. Military commanders understand that the Tigers are always located at the most critical sectors of the front, and that the successful outcome of major operations often depends on them.

It is important to note that the Tigers have demonstrated the ability to learn various tactical innovations quite rapidly. They also successfully execute them. For example, in the Homs province they brought forward assault groups to the front line of the enemy, attacked it in a massive stroke, and then retreated quickly and without battle losses. Harassing the enemy in such a way, the Tigers succeeded not only in seizing the initiative, breaking the enemy’s offensives, but they also forced the jihadists to leave their positions. Tiger Forces were among the first government forces to use special tactics against car bombings (jihadmobils), exposing their observation posts, which were equipped with antitank weapons. It is known that the Tigers maintain active contacts with Russian military advisers. Therefore, we can be sure that the special forces will continue to improve their understanding and execution of battle tactics, including the use of new weapons.

Despite the fact that the Tiger Forces have successfully conducted a large number of operations, their creation is not an indication of the strength of the Syrian state, or the army, but actually a sign of weakness. In 2013, the Syrian army was torn apart by ethnic and religious tensions after the mass desertion of a large part of the personnel, and actually lost a high degree of fighting capacity. Along with the Desert Falcons, which were created as the PMC for the protection of oil and gas fields, the Tiger Forces retain a large degree of autonomy from the central authorities. The financing of such paramilitary units is carried out either by the local population or by influential individuals. This often leads to the instability of such combat units. In practice, as we know, the highest efficiency is demonstrated by units formed along ethnic and religious lines. It is obvious that such a principle of formation of these units allows them to stay motivated. This in turn, also improves the morale of the staff. For Alawites, members of the Republican Guard, Desert Falcons and Tiger Forces, a victory in the war is a survival factor of their community. That is why these units are fighting so desperately. This also applies to the Shiite units and the Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG). Naturally, there are significant disadvantages to this system. For example, sometimes such units have low mobility. They are frequently attached to their territory of traditional residence. It is known that in Aleppo, Kurdish units even refused to fight in neighboring blocks that they did not view as their historical community.

In many regards, despite the fact that the terrorists and the opposition are fighting a mixed army of allied units, in the future, after the relatively stable cessation of arms comes to pass, it will be difficult to find an equitable and stabilizing balance of power and interests, not only between the former enemies, but also between the recent allies. In such a situation, to maintain peace and ensure the country’s territorial integrity, the guarantees provided by external actors including Russia, the US, Turkey, Iran and other regional and global powers will play a critical role.

SYRIAN ARMY KILLS OVER 74 RATS IN DER’AH; SAA LIBERATES OIL FIELDS; TERRORIST CANNIBALS EAT OTHER CANNIBALS IN SLAUGHTERFEST

Ziad Fadel

DER’AH:

 74 إرهابياً بين قتيل ومصاب في عمليات للجيش بدرعا وريفهاThe Syrian Army has put the kibosh on all the dreams of the Saudi/American/Jordanian/British terrorist supporters and enablers in Jordan.  The Southern Front has been exposed as a major strategic flop.  Even the terrorists, who are being supported by the U.S. despite claims that the Americans are fighting a war against them,  are losing men and materiel at a rate which is not sustainable any longer.  Efforts to recruit more terrorists among the thousands of refugees in the camps of Jordan have met with failure as Syrians are beginning to realize the trap into which they have fallen.  With Trump now plugging the inroads to the U.S., Syrian refugees have come to the unavoidable conclusion that their fate is in their country and under the leadership of one central government.  tO help these wretches along, the SAA has killed over 74 rodents during the last 72 hours.

For the last 4 days, without even a mention in the Zionist-controlled MSM, the Syrian Army has been battering the terrorists in Der’ah with an heretofore unseen ferocity.  It’s been now 8 months since the arrival of highly advanced artillery and rocket systems from both Russia and the Islamic Republic and the SAA has absorbed these new platforms with remarkable alacrity.

 

Der’ah City:  Using those new artillery and rocket systems, the SAA demolished the Nusra/Alqaeda presence in the Al-Manshiyya Quarter destroying one T-62 tank and killing all the crew aboard it.

 

Al-Furun Neighborhood:  Yesterday, the SAA artillery and missile units destroyed another tank incinerating the crew of rats in their seats.  Another pickup with 23mm cannons was also disabled.

 

Old Customs Building:  A mortar launch pad and its crew were liquidate when an SAA missile hit the bull’s eye.

 

Al-Nu’ayma:  An entire nest of rodents was annihilated 5 kms east of the City.  The terrorist rodents announced the deaths of these:

Maalik ‘Ali Abaazeed

Muhammad Raashid Abaazeed

Anas ‘Adnaan Kulayb  

 

Syrian Perspective obtained these names also:

Ghaalib Sa’eed Ansaari

Muhammad Mushaabik Farah

Zayn ‘Abdul-Ameer Fadhl

Badr Hassan Rahhaal

Ahmad Jaabir ‘Ali Al-Bardaan

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HOMS:

We are but a few miles from Palmyra.  The SAA is moving slowly and cautiously into the areas most prized by the ISIS vultures.  We have learned that the SAA has poured large numbers of troops into the Bayaaraat area allowing the army to liberate Al-Kilaabiyya Village and all its surrounding farms.   As of today, the ISIS terrorist vermin have not been able to squeeze one single drop of oil from any of the oil fields it once controlled.  If anything will break ISIS, it is going to be its imminent bankruptcy.  Turkey is no longer able to keep a lid on its purchase of oil from the fields of Syria.  Erdoghan is approaching this problem gingerly lest he alienate, once again, his newly acquired Russian partners.  With Saudi Arabia, a bankroller for terrorism, itself on the red side of the ledger, ISIS will begin losing members at a rate far greater than what exists today.

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IDLIB:  Ziad told you that Idlib would become a self-inflicted slaughterhouse for the terrorist rodents who have congregated there.  And, so, it is taking place now.  Yesterday, reports came in of rodents in Khaan Shaykhoon,  from the various factions of the FSA, such as Jabhat Tahreer Al-Shaam, being forced to kneel down for execution at the hands of Jund Al-Aqsaa.  According to Wael, in Latakia, many were beheaded in the classic style of ISIS using dull blades to sever the head from the rest of the carcass.   The mass executions were carried out in the presence of hundreds of horrified civilians who transmitted the events to the central government.  The speeches preceding each act of savagery indicated dissatisfaction with “moderate” terrorists participating in the Astana and Geneva peace talks.

 

In another event underlining the pure amorality of the United States and its Zionist allies, Jund Al-Aqsaa advertised its slaughter of over 100 so-called members of the FSA.

“5th Infantry Division:

Saddaam Abu Ayham Al-Hamad

Abu ‘Abdullah Al-Shaykh

Ihsaan Muhammad Al-Laban

Muhammad Al-Naasser

‘Abdul-Mun’im Al-Naasser

Moussaa Al-Saalih

Sulaymaan Al-‘Abdullah

Sulaymaan Al-Khashabi

Ibraaheem Mousaa Al-Ramadhaan

Muhammad ‘Abdul-Rahmaan Al-Jaassim

Muhammad Al-Ramadhaan

Na’eem Al-Subay’iy

Khaalid Al-Subay’iy

Khaalid Nooreddeen Al-Judoo’

Khaalid ‘Abdul-Razzaaq Judoo’

‘Aamer Al-Judoo’

‘Abdul-Razzaaq Saalim Al-Jalmood

Hussayn Shihaada Al-Raheel

‘Abdul-Qahhaar Al-‘Ubayd

‘Izzeddeen Anwar Al-Rahmoon

Taariq Mustafaa Al-Judoo’

Waleed Ziyaad ‘Abdul-‘Azeez

Muhammad Fadhl Al-Judoo’

Ridhaa Al-Darweesh

Mahmoud Al-Jaraad

Yaaseen Al-Jaraad

‘Abdul-‘Aleem Hassan Al-Thalji

‘Abdul-‘Aleem ‘Abdul-Kareem Al-Hassan

Muhammad ‘Abdullah Al-Hassan

Khaalid ‘Abdullah Al-‘Ubayd

 

And the list goes on and on.

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ASTANA AND GENEVA:  The list of “opposition activists” who attended the new conference at Astana II:

1.  Nassr Al-Hareeri  – Opposition Coalition

2.  Muhammad Sabraa – Independent

3.  Muhammad Al-Shamaali  – Turkmen Coalition

4.  Fu`aad ‘Ulayku  – Kurdish Coalition

5.  Alice Mufarrij – Coordination Committee and Islamist cross-dresser

6.  ‘Abdul-Majeed Hamw – Coordination Committee

7.  Nash`at Tu’ayma – Coordinating Committee

8.  ‘Abdul-Ahad Istayfu – Coalition

9.  Khaalid Mahaameed  – Cairo Platform

10. Basma Qudhmaani – Independent and CIA agent par excellence

11. ‘Alaa` ‘Arafaat – Moscow Platform

 

Military Delegates:

12.  Faatih Hassoon – Jabhat Tahreer Homs

13.  Bashshaar Al-Zu’bi – Southern Front

14.  Mu’tassim Shamir – Yitzhak Shamir’s grandson and member of Faylaq Al-Rahmaan, Southern Front

15.  Ahmad ‘Uthmaan – Liwaa` Al-Sultaan Muraad – Northern Front

16.  Ziyaad Al-Hareeri – Southern Front

17.  Haytham Rahma – Faylaq Al-Shaam, Northern Front

18.  Khaalid Al-Naabulusi – Southern Front 

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HAMA:  LATIF MOHAMAMMED SHOWS US NORMAL LIFE IN HAMA UNDER GOVERNMENT CONTROL, SOMETHING THE LYING MEDIA WILL NOT EVEN MENTION:

 

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From Waf, Pat and Latif, Syrian children finally smiling as the rodents are being exterminated.

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TARTOUS:

One Million barrels of oil have arrived in Syria at the port of Tartous.  The petrol will be crucial to the restructuring of Syria’s energy sector and provide citizens with much-needed fuel.  

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TURKEY:

 

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An American terrorist rat teaching his Syrian rodents the techniques of terrorism somewhere in Turkey.  (Thanks, Latif)

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NEWS AND COMMENT:

Brandon’s outstanding analysis of how the CIA destroyed Michael Flynn:

More about propaganda for those who are academically interested in programmatic lying:

http://21stcenturywire.com/2017/02/12/syria-uk-academic-slams-amnesty-international-and-ngo-complex-propaganda-campaigns/

Manufacturing Dissent:  a must-see documentary for all interested in the war on the Syrian people:

More lying exposed by the wire:

http://21stcenturywire.com/2017/02/15/fake-news-week-assad-and-russia-slaughter-in-syria-deconstructing-the-medias-fake-war-crimes-narrative/

Read this interesting article about a documentary from Bolivia: (From Pat Henningsen)

http://21stcenturywire.com/2017/02/15/fake-news-week-western-msm-complicit-in-fueling-artificially-ignited-syrian-war-bolivian-filmmaker-says/

And the interview with the reporter who broke the story:

http://21stcenturywire.com/2017/02/16/ep-14-patrick-henningsen-live-witness-to-war-with-guest-carla-ortiz/

The plan to oust Assad exposed: (Sharmine sent this one)

https://twitter.com/BradRHoff?t=1&cn=ZmxleGlibGVfcmVjcw%3D%3D&refsrc=email&iid=6b366fd6a1754b38a5a92e79c88e851b&uid=1179929389&nid=244+272699403
Read more 

Sayyed Nasrallah Advises ’Israel’ to Dismantle Dimona: Ammonia Tanks Unsafe, Wait our Surprises!

Sayyed Nasrallah Advises ’Israel’ to Dismantle Dimona: Ammonia Tanks Unsafe, Wait our Surprises!

Zeinab Essa

Hizbullah Secretary General His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah delivered a speech on the anniversary of the Resistance Martyr Leaders.

As His Eminence welcomed the crowd gatherings in Baalbek, and Southern Lebanon, Sayyed Nasrallah congratulated the scarifying Iranian people and its leadership on the anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, which fulfilled the prophets’ dreams.

On the anniversary, Sayyed Nasrallah elaborated that we insist on commemorating the Leaders Martyrs Day as a sign of love, loyalty, and firm position as well as continuous Jihad.

He further said: “The real image of Hizbullah and the Islamic Resistance is that of Sayyed Abbas, Sheikh Ragheb and Haj Imad,” noting that “we insist on presenting the Martyr Leaders as models for the resistance’s generations.”

“They are the masters of victory, which had been achieved in their life by their Jihad and patience,” he added, pointing out that “we talk about the great victory on the Syrian field over the US- takfiri scheme, and our role in this victory, we talk about the role of martyrs, who are the Masters of victory.”

Sayyed Nasrallah also hailed the families of all martyrs, the wounded and the liberated prisoners.
In parallel, he hailed the real men of the Resistance fighters, the Lebanese Army and the Syrian army, who are defending us in such a cold weather.

On the “Israeli” continuous threats against Lebanon, the Resistance Leader noted that the “Israeli” leaders and military generals are recently much threatening with the 3rd Lebanese war.
“The “Israeli” army assumes that the strategic Arab surrounding isn’t that of enmity, while that of Hizbullah is a major one,” he said.

Moreover, Sayyed Nasrallah went on to say that “after the election of [US President Donald] Trump for the US presidency, the “Israeli” talk of the 3rd Lebanese war has escalated.”

“This intimidation is not new and it seems that there is a permanent “Israeli” objective to pressure the resistance community in Lebanon, and after Trump was elected US president, this intimidation has returned. Trump’s election does not scare us, even if claims that he will give Netanyahu the green light to wage a war on Lebanon turn out to be true, since the issue of war on Lebanon is not hinging on the American permission.”

However, he assured that “We’ve been hearing the talk of “Israeli” war on Lebanon since 2006.”
“Every other day we hear statements about the third Lebanon war and about the coming vengeance. The new threats are based on the election of Trump, but the policy of the new American administration in the region is not clear,” His Eminence explained.

Meanwhile, he denounced the fact that “the Arab’s cover for an “Israeli” war on Lebanon has increased. There exists some Arabs who are ready to finance an “Israeli” war on the Resistance.”
“The Arab cover that allowed “Israel” to attack Lebanon in 2006 is also still present. The issue is not about the US permission or the Arab cover but rather whether or not they will be able to achieve a victory. This is the main question.”

Acknowledging that “”Israel’s” position is evolving with respect to Hizbullah, and this year we were on the top of the threats to “Israel”,” Sayyed Nasrallah welcomed this fact as “as a sign of pride for us.”

“For “Israel”, political conditions allowing a war over Lebanon have always been there, “but the main question for them is, will they win the war? The main issue is, what the price they are willing to pay is,” he asked.

However, the Resistance Leader assured that “all of “Israel’s” rhetoric about possible war on Lebanon is part of a psychological war. The strength and firmness of the resistance and President Michel Aoun’s unwavering stance will deter “Israel” from waging any war.”

In response to the “Israeli” threats, Sayyed Nasrallah sent a sounding message: “I call upon “Israel” not only to evacuate the Ammonia tank from Haifa, but also to dismantle Dimona nuclear facility.”

He also warned the apartheid entity: “Wherever you moved the Ammonia tanks to, it’s to be targeted by the resistance.”

According to His Eminence, “We can turn the threat into an opportunity and to transform “Israel’s” nuclear weapons to a threat to “Israel”, to its existence and settlers.”
“Everyone has become to know that the air war alone does not make a victory,” he mentioned, elaborating that “they know what will happen to them and what the risks are if the missiles hit the Dimona reactor.”

Sayyed Nasrallah also reiterated that the enemy believes in the power and the ability of the resistance in Lebanon and that when it says, it does what it says.

Once again, Sayyed Nasrallah addressed the “Israelis” by saying: “On July 2006, you assumed that you have enough information on the resistance so you attacked. However we surprised you. If your battalions came to southern Lebanon, what will happen to them? We always have something to hide and you will be surprised with what we had hidden, which can alter the course of any fool war that you might wage.”

Moving to the Palestinian cause, the Resistance Leader slammed the fact that “Israel” continues the process of Judaization in a wider range, the Judaization of al-Quds, the expulsion of its inhabitants and even preventing the pray calls.

“The talk emerged of transferring the US embassy from Tel Aviv to al-Quds. The importance of this is that the US abandoned the idea of a two-state solution to anyone who believes in this path,” he said, raising the question: “Where is the Arabs’ position and their response to the aggressions of the Zionist enemy?”

According to His Eminence, “This bad situation of the Arab made Netanyahu said that he had never believed in his life that the Arab states are to be considered as an ally, not an enemy.”

“A day after meeting of Netanyahu and Trump, they announced the death of the negotiation process, and for “Israel”, there is no such thing as a Palestinian state,” Hizbullah Secretary General highlighted, pointing out that “the “Israelis” themselves are unfortunately talking about the final stages of the Palestinian cause.”In response, Sayyed Nasrallah assured the Palestinian people that the world will not remain as it is, nor will the region…”We are witnessing the final chapters of the elimination of the Palestinian cause.”

To them, His Eminence said: “Do not to surrender and continue resistance and confidence in the option of the Resistance.The most important and greatest forms of resistance in Palestine is the uprising of al-Quds and individual operations. The fall of masks and hypocrites who lied to you for decades is very important.”

On another regional level, Sayyed Nasrallah clarified that “today Bahrain is an occupied state. There are Saudi forces in Bahrain who have killed the people of Bahrain.”

Moreover, he viewed that “the execution of three Bahraini young men is a Saudi decision, and if they have some wisdom, they wouldn’t have carried out the death sentence against them.”
“He who bets that the Bahraini people is tired after six years has to see the recent scenes and acknowledge that this people will not surrender,” His Eminence vowed.

“Saudi Arabia that created Daesh is the one responsible for hundreds of thousands of martyrs killed in Iraq, Syria and Sinai and other places,” Sayyed Nasrallah continued as he expected Daesh’s defeat.

Elsewhere in his speech, Sayyed Nasrallah praised the Yemeni people for their resistance against the Saudi aggression, saying the Yemenis prevented Riyadh and its allies from achieving their goals of war.

“The Saudis and their allies imagined they could end the military campaign “in only weeks,” but they were “mistaken,” he added, unveiling that there exists confirmed data that “Israel” is a partner in the Saudi aggression on Yemen: a partner in finance and in terms of information and technology.”

His Eminence also underscored that “Every day, there are Yemenis and Saudis who are killed, and thousands of children are starved…Most Yemenis are still sacrificing and resisting the aggressions.”

Moreover, Sayyed Nasrallah predicted that “Just like we gained victory in 2000 and in the July [2006] war, we are now approaching victory over the American-Saudi-“Israeli” scheme called Daesh.”

Source: al-Ahed news 

16-02-2017 | 19:00

 

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Complete Syrian War update: February 2017

BEIRUT, LEBANON (1:50 A.M.) – Over the course of two months, the Syrian conflict has seen drastic changes at several fronts, including areas that have not seen fighting for years.

Syrian Capital:

Among the biggest changes this year is the battlefront in Damascus, which has seen the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) in control of much of the western countryside and large parts of the nearby East Ghouta region.

With a number of reconciliation agreements put together at the end of the year (e.g. Wadi Barada and Serghaya), the Syrian Arab Army managed to secure almost the entire provincial border with the Golan Heights, leaving only Beit Jinn under militant control.

In the eastern part of Damascus, the Syrian Arab Army is preparing for what is expected to be the largest offensive in this region; this operation will be led by the Republican Guard forces and 4th Mechanized Division.

Southern Syria:

South of Damascus, the jihadist rebels of Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham launched a large-scale offensive in the Dara’a Governorate, targeting the Syrian Arab Army’s positions inside the Al-Manishiyah District of the provincial capital.

Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham has captured several points inside the Al-Manishiyah District; however, their offensive has somewhat stalled since their large advance on Monday.

In the Sweida Governorate, the U.S. backed rebel forces have seized several points from the Islamic State terrorists near the Jordanian border, giving them a large buffer-zone around the Tanf Crossing into Iraq.

Syrian Desert Front:

Syria’s vast desert landscape has been the scene of some of the most intense battles taking place inside the country.

The Islamic State launched a massive operation in December to seize the ancient city of Palmyra and its nearby gas fields; this offensive was eventually successful, as the Syrian Arab Army was forced to withdraw 60km west towards the T-4 Military Airport.

Making matters worse for the Syrian Army, the Islamic State launched a large offensive in the Deir Ezzor Governorate to kick off the new year.

The Islamic State would not only capture several points, but they would also besiege the Deir Ezzor Military Airport for the first time during this war.

By mid-January, the Syrian Arab Army was able to stabilize the Palmyra and Deir Ezzor fronts, paving the way for a much needed counter-attack.

The Syrian Arab Army is currently involved in an offensive to liberate the oil fields in Palmyra’s western countryside; this has taken priority over lifting the siege on the Deir Ezzor Airport.

Northern Syria: 

Without a doubt, Syria’s northern front is its most active front, with several groups fighting one another in the Aleppo and Al-Raqqa governorates.

The Turkish Armed Forces made the first move in Aleppo in January, as their soldiers and rebel allies stormed the strategic city of Al-Bab.

However, this operation for the Turkish forces has had limited success and heavy casualties as a result of the Islamic State’s heavy resistance at this important front.

At around the same time the Turkish forces launched the Al-Bab offensive, the Kurdish-led “Syrian Democratic Forces” (SDF) began a large-scale operation to liberate Al-Raqqa from the Islamic State terrorists.

Unlike the Turkish Armed Forces, the SDF has managed to liberate a large chunk of territory along the Euphrates River, almost reaching the strategic Tabaqa Military Airport before the Islamic State sent reinforcements to forestall the advance.

Opposite of the SDF and Turkish Armed Forces, the Syrian Arab Army’s “Tiger Forces” have been focusing on the Kuweries countryside, liberating several villages from the Islamic State while advancing to both Al-Bab and Deir Hafer.

 

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Sayyed Nasrallah Promises Israelis with Game Changing Surprises!

February 16, 2017

Sayyed Nasrallah speaking in the ceremony held in commemoration of Hezbollah martyred leaders

Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah threatened the Israeli enemy with game-changing surprises should it launch any stupid war against Lebanon.

In a televised speech marking the Martyred Leaders Anniversary on Thursday, Sayyed Nasrallah vowed that Hezbollah was preparing for the worst adding that the resistance’s deterrence capabilities and steadfastness of its people are stopping the Israeli enemy from launching any war since 2006 victory.

“We’re proud that the Zionist entity had put us on the top of their list of threats this year. Iran came second and the Palestinian resistance third. But it’s shameful that they didn’t consider any Arab regime as a threat,” Sayyed Nasrallah said, adding that since July 2006 war we were faced by threats of an Israeli war against Lebanon but the Israelis refrained from taking any action since then.

The S.G. reassured Lebanese that any possibility of a future Israeli war is low, especially after some people believed that a US president like Trump would encourage Israelis to attack Lebanon.

“There’re always political pretexts for a war against us, and an Arab cover is found today more than it was in 2006. The matter is that the Israeli is not sure of its victory in any future war and doesn’t need any US or Arab permission, meaning that the resistance has the required defenses and support from our people to deter it,” Sayyed Nasrallah said.

The July 2006 war, he said, has made Israelis skeptical about any decisive win, adding that all of the Israeli rhetoric about possible future war on Lebanon is part of a “psychological war.” “Our guarantee is our strength and steadfastness which are preventing the Israeli from any adventure.”

Concerning the Ammonia threat, Hezbollah’s S.G. warned the Israelis that Hezbollah can reach Ammonia tanks anywhere. “The Israelis hurried to empty out its Ammonia container [in the northern occupied city of Haifa] of its toxic content after our threat to target it, but I tell them that we’ll target it wherever it’s taken to,” His eminence said, advising the Israelis to “not only evacuate the Ammonia tank from Haifa, but also dismantle the Dimona nuclear plant” from Negev.

“The Israelis believe that we are serious with our threats and capabilities and that our actions speak,” Sayyed Nasrallah noted.

Questioning the Zionist guts to send ground troops into Lebanon in any future war, Sayyed Nasrallah said: “Aerial war alone cannot decide the fate of the battle and cannot achieve victory. Had it not been for the Syrian army’s fighting on the ground in Syria, it would not have been able to achieve decisive victory.”

His eminence reminded the Israelis of 2006 War when they thought they had enough intelligence about Hezbollah’s ammunitions and targets but were astonished with what happened back then. “In 2006 you had intelligence of our ammunition but you were astonished with what you saw after figuring out that you didn’t have enough information,” He said, promising them with surprises that would change the course of any war.

“Circumstances have changed today and the resistance won’t stand in its place to protect itself,” Sayyed Nasrallah said.

Concerning the Palestinian cause, Sayyed Nasrallah pointed that these days “we are witnessing the final chapters of liquidizing the Palestinian cause and the Arab regimes are quick to normalize ties with the Israeli enemy.”

He added that some Arab representative in Cairo were upset with the Lebanese President Michel Aoun’s speech at the Arab league. “Some Arabs were upset by President Michel Aoun when he tackled the Palestinian cause and the resistance and when he told them that the enemy has transformed the war into an Arab-Arab war.”

Sayyed Nasrallah said that in the meeting between Israeli Premier Benjamin Netanyahu and Trump, the latter dropped the US commitment to the two-state solution, which signaled the end to any ‘peaceful negotiations’ between Palestinians and Israelis. “Where is the Arabs’ position and their response to the aggressions of the Zionist enemy,” His eminence wondered, but the Arab answer, he said, is with more killings in more killings in Bahrain, Yemen and Syria, and with more conspiracies against Iran.

“Circumstances are going to change, nothing remains as it is, there are schemes in the region that will be foiled and in the midst of conspiracies a resistance generation is to be born and achieve decisive victory,” Sayyed Nasrallah promised.

On Bahrain, Hezbollah’s secretary general pointed that Bahrain today is a country occupied by the Saudi forces which is killing and slaughtering the Bahraini people, adding that the decision to execute the three Bahraini youth was a Saudi order. “All those who bet that Bahrainis would be exhausted shall review what happened in the past days and be reassured that the solution is rather in listening to their rightful demands.”

Tackling the Yemeni conflict, Sayyed Nasrallah said the Israeli was a partner in the aggression against Yemen in addition to the US and Emirati support but added that the “steadfastness of the Yemenis is a myth, the crisis started two years ago with the hope it would take them only weeks to finish it but they were mistaken.” He said Saudi Arabia are bringing mercenaries from some countries to fight a proxy war in its war against Yemen, but the Yemenis are steadfast and firm in their resistance.

“The people who say ‘Humiliation, how remote’ as their motto won’t be defeated,” His eminence assured.

Sayyed Nasrallah held Saudi Arabia responsible for the blood being shed in some Arab countries. “Saudi Arabia created ISIL and it bears the responsibility of hundreds of thousands of martyrs who were killed in Iraq, Syria, Sinai and other places.” But He reassured that as “we gained victory in 2000 and in the July war, we are now approaching victory over the American-Saudi-Israeli project called ISIL.”

Hezbollah martyred leaders ceremony

Hezbollah martyred leaders ceremony

His eminence began his speech with saluting participators in the ceremony entitled “Masters of Victory” that was held in the hometowns of the martyred leaders in Jibsheet (the hometown of Martyr Sheikh Ragheb Harb), Nabisheet (the hometown of Martyr Sayyed Abbas Al-Mousawi) and Teir Dibba (the hometown of Martyr Leader Haj Imad Moughniyeh).

He paid tribute to Imam Ruhollah Khomeini on the anniversary of the Islamic revolution’s victory which “fulfilled the prophets’ dreams.”

“We insist on commemorating this occasion on the same day (February 16) since 30 years, in order for our generations to take those elite leaders as their role models and establishers of today’s victories,” Sayyed Nasrallah said, adding that all people should hail those leaders who were the basis for our stability and victory, “they are indeed the Masters of our Victory.”

Sayyed Nasrallah also saluted the Lebanese army soldiers and the resistance Mujahideen who are “defending our country and borders in such a cold weather.”

Source: Al-Manar Website

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The CIA’s Blueprint for Syrian Regime Collapse: New Declassified CIA Memo

Global Research, February 16, 2017
The Libertarian Institute 14 February 2017
CIA

A newly declassified CIA document explored multiple scenarios of Syrian regime collapse at a time when Hafez al-Assad’s government was embroiled in a covert “dirty war” with Israel and the West, and in the midst of a diplomatic crisis which marked an unprecedented level of isolation for Syria.

The 24-page formerly classified memo entitled Syria: Scenarios of Dramatic Political Change was produced in July 1986, and had high level distribution within the Reagan administration and to agency directors, including presidential advisers, the National Security Council, and the US ambassador to Syria.

The memo appears in the CIA’s latest CREST release (CIA Records Search Tool) of over 900,000 recently declassified documents.

A “severely restricted” report

The memo’s cover letter, drafted by the CIA’s Director of Global Issues (the report itself was prepared by the division’s Foreign Subversion and Instability Center), introduces the purpose of presenting “a number of possible scenarios that could lead to the ouster of President Assad or other dramatic change in Syria.”

It further curiously warns that, “Because the analysis out of context is susceptible to misunderstanding, external distribution has been severely restricted.” The report’s narrowed distribution list (sent to specific named national security heads, not entire agencies) indicates that it was considered at the highest levels of the Reagan administration.

The coming sectarian war for Syria

The intelligence report’s contents contain some striking passages which seem remarkably consistent with events as they unfolded decades later at the start of the Syrian war in 2011:

Although we judge that fear of reprisals and organizational problems make a second Sunni challenge unlikely, an excessive government reaction to minor outbreaks of Sunni dissidence might trigger large-scale unrest. In most instances the regime would have the resources to crush a Sunni opposition movement, but we believe widespread violence among the populace could stimulate large numbers of Sunni officers and conscripts to desert or munity, setting the stage for civil war. [pg.2]

The “second Sunni challenge” is a reference to the Syrian government’s prior long running war against a Muslim Brotherhood insurgency which culminated in the 1982 Hama Massacre. While downplaying the nationalist and pluralistic composition of the ruling Ba’ath party, the report envisions a renewal and exploitation of sectarian fault lines pitting Syria’s Sunni population against its Alawite leadership:

Sunnis make up 60 percent of the Syrian officer corps but are concentrated in junior officer ranks; enlisted men are predominantly Sunni conscripts. We believe that a renewal of communal violence between Alawis and Sunnis could inspire Sunnis in the military to turn against the regime. [pg.12]

Regime change and the Muslim Brotherhood

The possibility of the Muslim Brotherhood spearheading another future armed insurgency leading to regime change is given extensive focus. While the document’s tone suggests this as a long term future scenario (especially considering the Brotherhood suffered overwhelming defeat and went completely underground in Syria by the mid-1980’s), it is considered one of the top three “most likely” drivers of regime change (the other scenarios include “Succession Power Struggle” and “Military Reverses Spark a Coup”).

The potential for revival of the Muslim Brotherhood’s “militant faction” is introduced in the following:

Although the Muslim Brotherhood’s suppression drastically reduced armed dissidence, we judge a significant potential still exists for another Sunni opposition movement. In part the Brotherhood’s role was to exploit and orchestrate opposition activity by other organized groups… These groups still exist, and under proper leadership they could coalesce into a large movement… …young professionals who formed the base of support for the militant faction of the Muslim Brotherhood; and remnants of the Brotherhood itself who could become leaders in a new Sunni opposition movement… [pp.13-14]

The Brotherhood’s role is seen as escalating the potential for initially small Sunni protest movements to morph into violent sectarian civil war:

Sunni dissidence has been minimal since Assad crushed the Muslim Brotherhood in the early 1980s, but deep-seated tensions remain–keeping alive the potential for minor incidents to grow into major flareups of communal violence… Excessive government force in quelling such disturbances might be seen by Sunnis as evidence of a government vendetta against all Sunnis, precipitating even larger protests by other Sunni groups…

Mistaking the new protests as a resurgence of the Muslim Brotherhood, the government would step up its use of force and launch violent attacks on a broad spectrum of Sunni community leaders as well as on those engaged in protests. Regime efforts to restore order would founder if government violence against protestors inspired broad-based communal violence between Alawis and Sunnis. [pp.19-20]

The CIA report describes the final phase of an evolving sectarian war which witnesses the influx of fighters and weapons from neighboring countries. Consistent with a 1983 secret report that called for a US covert operation to utilize then US-allied Iraq as a base of attack on Syria, the 1986 analysis says, “Iraq might supply them with sufficient weapons to launch a civil war”:

A general campaign of Alawi violence against Sunnis might push even moderate Sunnis to join the opposition. Remnants of the Muslim Brotherhood–some returning from exile in Iraq–could provide a core of leadership for the movement. Although the regime has the resources to crush such a venture, we believe brutal attacks on Sunni civilians might prompt large numbers of Sunni officers and conscripts to desert or stage mutinies in support of dissidents, and Iraq might supply them with sufficient weapons to launch a civil war. [pp.20-21]

A Sunni regime serving Western economic interests

While the document is primarily a theoretical exploration projecting scenarios of Syrian regime weakening and collapse (its purpose is analysis and not necessarily policy), the authors admit of its “purposefully provocative” nature (see PREFACE) and closes with a list desired outcomes. One provocative outcome describes a pliant “Sunni regime” serving US economic interests:

In our view, US interests would be best served by a Sunni regime controlled by business-oriented moderates. Business moderates would see a strong need for Western aid and investment to build Syria’s private economy, thus opening the way for stronger ties to Western governments. [pg. 24]

Ironically, the Syrian government would accuse the United States and its allies of covert subversion within Syria after a string of domestic bombings created diplomatic tensions during the mid-1980’s.

Dirty tricks and diplomacy in the 1980’s

According to Patrick Seale’s landmark book, Asad of Syria: The Struggle for the Middle East, 1986 was a year that marked Syria’s greatest isolation among world powers as multiple diplomatic crises and terror events put Syria more and more out in the cold.

The year included “the Hindawi affair”a Syrian intelligence sponsored attempt to hijack and bomb an El Al flight to Tel Avivand may or may not have involved Nezar Hindawi working as a double agent on behalf of Israel. The foiled plot brought down international condemnation on Syria and lives on as one of the more famous and bizarre terror conspiracies in history. Not only were Syria and Israel once again generally on the brink of war in 1986, but a string of “dirty tricks” tactics were being utilized by Syria and its regional enemies to shape diplomatic outcomes primarily in Lebanon and Jordan.

In March and April of 1986 (months prior to the distribution of the CIA memo), a string of still largely unexplained car bombs rocked Damascus and at least 5 towns throughout Syria, leaving over 200 civilians dead in the most significant wave of attacks since the earlier ’79-’82 war with the Muslim Brotherhood (also see BBC News recount the attacks).

Patrick Seale’s book speculates of the bombings that, “It may not have been unconnected that in late 1985 the NSC’s Colonel Oliver North and Amiram Nir, Peres’s counter-terrorism expert, set up a dirty tricks outfit to strike back at the alleged sponsors of Middle East terrorism.”*

Consistency with future WikiLeaks files

The casual reader of Syria: Scenarios of Dramatic Political Change will immediately recognize a strategic thinking on Syria that looks much the same as what is revealed in national security memos produced decades later in the run up to the current war in Syria.

When US cables or intelligence papers talk regime change in Syria they usually strategize in terms of exploiting sectarian fault lines. In a sense, this is the US national security bureaucracy’s fall-back approach to Syria.

One well-known example is contained in a December 2006 State Dept. cable sent from the US embassy in Syria (subsequently released by WikiLeaks). The cable’s stated purpose is to explore Syrian regime vulnerabilities and weaknesses to exploit (in similar fashion to the 1986 CIA memo):

PLAY ON SUNNI FEARS OF IRANIAN INFLUENCE: There are fears in Syria that the Iranians are active in both Shia proselytizing and conversion of, mostly poor, Sunnis. Though often exaggerated, such fears reflect an element of the Sunni community in Syria that is increasingly upset by and focused on the spread of Iranian influence in their country through activities ranging from mosque construction to business.

Another section of the 2006 cable explains precisely the same scenario laid out in the 1986 memo in describing the increased “possibility of a self-defeating over-reaction” on the part of the regime.:

ENCOURAGE RUMORS AND SIGNALS OF EXTERNAL PLOTTING: The regime is intensely sensitive to rumors about coup-plotting and restlessness in the security services and military. Regional allies like Egypt and Saudi Arabia should be encouraged to meet with figures like [former Vice President Abdul Halim] Khaddam and [younger brother of Hafez] Rif’at Asad as a way of sending such signals, with appropriate leaking of the meetings afterwards. This again touches on this insular regime’s paranoia and increases the possibility of a self-defeating over-reaction.

And ironically, Rif’at Asad and Khaddam are both mentioned extensively in the 1986 memo as key players during a speculative future “Succession Power Struggle.” [p.15]

An Islamic State in Damascus?

While the 1986 CIA report makes a case in its concluding paragraph for “a Sunni regime controlled by business-oriented moderates” in Syria, the authors acknowledge that the collapse of the Ba’ath state could actually usher in the worst of all possible outcomes for Washington and the region: “religious zealots” might seek to establish “an Islamic Republic”. The words take on a new and special importance now, after the rise of ISIS:

Although Syria’s secular traditions would make it extremely difficult for religious zealots to establish an Islamic Republic, should they succeed they would likely deepen hostilities with Israel and provide support and sanctuary to terrorists groups. [pg.24]

What continues to unfold in Syria has apparently surpassed even the worst case scenarios of intelligence planners in the 1980’s. Tinkering with regime change has proven itself to be the most dangerous of all games.

*Seale, Patrick. Asad of Syria : the struggle for the Middle East (Berkeley, CA : University of California Press, 1989)p.474.

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