U.S. Attacks Syrian Government Forces – It Now Has To Make Its Choice

By Moon Of Alabama

The Syrian army is on the way to liberate the ISIS besieged city of some 100,000 and garrison of Deir Ezzor in the east of the country. The U.S. has trained a few thousand “New Syrian Army” insurgents in Jordan and is reportedly prepared to march these and its own forces from Jordan through the east-Syrian desert all the way up to Raqqa and Deir Ezzor. About a year ago it occupied the al-Tanf (al-Tanaf) border station which consists of only a few buildings in the mid of the desert. The station between Syria and Iraq near the Jordan border triangle was previously held by a small ISIS group.

A U.S. move from the south up towards the Euphrates would cut off the Syrian government from the whole south-east of the country and from its people in Deir Ezzor. While that area is sparsely populated it also has medium size oil and gas fields and is the land connection to the Syrian allies in Iraq.

With the western part of the country relatively quiet, the Syrian government and its allies decided to finally retake the south-eastern provinces from ISIS. They want to lift the ISIS siege on Deir Ezzor and close the border between Syria and Iraq with its own forces. The move will also block any potential U.S. invasion from the south by retaking the road to al-Tanf and the Syrian-Iraqi border (red arrows). The sovereign Syrian state will not give up half of the country to an illegal occupation by ISIS or the U.S. At the same time as the eastern operations are running consolidation and clearing operations against ISIS in the middle and west of the countries will take place (green arrows).
Map by OZ_Analysis (modified by MoA)

Yesterday a small battalion size force (~2-300 men) of the regular Syrian army, Syrian National Defense Organization volunteers and Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF/PMU of the Kata’ib al-Imam Ali) marched on the road from the west towards al-Tanf. They were about 23 kilometers away from the border station when they were attack by U.S. aircraft coming in low from Jordan. The U.S. jets directly fired at the convoy, allegedly after earlier giving some “warning shots”. At least one Syrian tank and several other vehicles were destroyed. Six Syrian government forces were reported killed and more were wounded.

The U.S. command claimed that this was a “defensive” move to “protect” its soldiers at the al-Tanf station. There are U.S. and British special forces stationed near the station who lead and train the NSA contingent – all together a few 100 men.

The U.S. attack was clearly a willful, illegal attack on Syrian ground against legitimate forces of the sovereign Syrian government. (The Iraqi PMU contingent in Syria is a legitimate allied force under control of the Iraqi prime minister.) There is no clause in international law, no U.N. resolution or anything similar, that could justify such an attack. The U.S. military has no right at all to be at al-Tanf or anywhere else in Syria. There is nothing to “defend” for it. If it dislikes regular Syrian and Iraqi forces moving in their own countries  towards their own border station and retaking it, it can and should move out and go home. Moreover – the U.S. claims it is “fighting ISIS” in Syria. Why then is it attacking the Syrian government forces while these launch a large move against the very same enemy?

The coalition led by the U.S. military claimed it asked Russia to intervene and that Russia tried to deter the Syrian force to move towards al-Tanf. I am told that this claim is incorrect. Russia supports the Syrian move to the east and the retaking of the border. The move will be reinforced and continue. The revamped Syrian air defense will actively protect it. Russia will support it with its own forces if needed.

The illegitimate occupation forces, the U.S. and British forces and their proxies, will have to move out of al-Tanf or they will have to directly fight the Syrian government forces and all its allies. They have no right to be there at all. The Iraqi PMU in Syria, some of which were hurt in yesterday’s U.S. attack, are an active part of the coalition against ISIS in Iraq. If the U.S. fights it in Syria it will also have to fight it in Iraq (and elsewhere). Russia is able and willing to reinforce its own contingent in Syria to help the government to regain the Syrian east.

The U.S. has no legitimate aim in Syria. It is somewhat tolerated in the north-east where it helps Syrian-Kurdish forces to fight ISIS and to liberate Raqqa. That does not give it ANY right to occupy Syria’s east or to attack Syrian government forces. When Raqqa is done all U.S. forces in the north-east will have to again move out.

Together with its many subordinate NATO and Gulf allies the U.S. has the military and economic power to destroy the Syrian military. It can eliminate the Syrian government under President Assad and occupy the whole country. That would be a large war which would probably escalate into a global fight against Russia, Iran and other countries. It would necessitate a several decades long follow-up occupation for “nation building” while constantly fighting against a large al-Qaeda aligned Takfiri insurgency in Syria and all its neighboring countries (especially in Lebanon, Jordan and Turkey where U.S. friendly governments would fall). The war would cost several trillion U.S. dollars, a large number of casualties and cause decades long chaos in a geo-politically sensitive region.

The U.S. has a simple choice: Either go in with full force and bear the above consequences, or concede to the sovereign Syrian government and its allies and coordinate with them to retake the country from ISIS and al-Qaeda. This will have to be done as they, not the U.S., see it proper to do. To believe that the U.S. can take the east and convert into some peaceful vassal statelet is pure fantasy. Way too many regional forces and interests are strung against that. There is little grey between these black and white alternatives.

The only tactically thinking U.S. military and intelligence services will try to avoid to choose between these. They will use their Jihadist proxy forces in west-Syria to break their current ceasefire with the Syrian government side and launch a diversion for their moves into the Syrian east. The Syrian government would then probably have to delay its larger operations in the east.

But that would not change the strategic situation. The choice the U.S. people and their government have to make will still be the same. The point in time to finally accept it may move out a few month while the fighting escalates and causes more damage on all sides. The choice would still be the same. It is all-in or out. The best time to take it is now.

Addendum (6:00am):

There are some maps flowing around which assert that Iran is seeking a military land communication route via Iraq into Syria and beyond. They show some fantasy route up north through Iraqi and Syrian Kurdish territory as the “current route” and the roads between Damascus and Baghdad as “future route”. The claim is that military equipment moves along these roads.

It is nonsense. Iran did not and does not need such land routes for military exchanges with its allies in Syria and Lebanon. Where was that Iranian land route in 2006 when the U.S. occupied Iraq while Israel attacked Lebanon? Where was that land route when ISIS occupied half of Iraq and Syria? There was no such route and Iranian support still reached Hizbullah in 2006 and later Syria. It came by air, by ship and, most important, by other means.

By holding up such fantasy maps certain interests want to insinuate that the area is “strategically important” for the U.S. and that the U.S. must therefore occupy south-east Syria. It is true that the road network between Syria and Iraq has some economical importance. Like all roads these are used for local commerce. But history demonstrates that they are not militarily strategic asset in the sense of an essential, overarching need.

This article was first published by Moon Of Alabama

See also

Int’l coalition’s attack on Syrian military site exposes its fake claims of fighting terrorism; The attack, which took place at 16:30 pm on Thursday, left a number of people dead, in addition to causing material damage, the source said.

The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Information Clearing House.

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REPORT on U.S.-led coalition airstrike targets pro-govt convoy in Syria + Alaa Ibrahim Syrian journalist statement

REPORTS and STATEMENTS by Syrian based journalist Alaa Ibrahim on the U.S.-led coalition bombing raid against Syrian government forces fighting against Daesh (ISIS, ISIL, IS), in the south of the country.

The Israeli raid is a step backward غارة «إسرائيلية» إلى الوراء؟

The Israeli raid is a step backward

Written by Nasser Kandil,

The concerned military officers and the observers of the Israeli raids in Syria from Palmyra to the vicinity of Damascus Airport assert that there are no targets related to what the Israelis claim about missile stores and shipments to the resistance. Palmyra is an example, it is not believable the arrival of missiles across a ground road to Palmyra but only if its beginning is in Raqqa, so were the missiles which they are talking about coming from there? The military officers themselves assert that the Israeli raids have multi-goals some of them related to the future of the geography of the Syrian Desert which overlooks on all the sites targeted by the Americans and the Israelis, from Deir Al Zour to Palmyra and Al Shuairat towards Damascus Airport. The Desert is the area which the Americans want to make as an alternative shelter for ISIS after Raqqa. The American has employed the Israeli to support him in achieving this goal but the strikes have moral functions that are related to situation of the collapsed militants, and from the Israeli pure perspective these strikes have a relation to the attempt of drawing rules of engagement for after the end of the war on Syria.

The Israelis tried to draw an equation of violating the Syrian airspace and to devote what they are talking about as a right to pursue the weapons shipments of Hezbollah in all the Syrian territories and by the airspace, after they assigned the groups of opposition and Al Nusra to hit the Syrian air defense systems, and succeeded in dismantling half of them as the President Bahsar Al-Assad said, but a year ago they started to discover that the Russian positioning on one hand, and the rebuilding of the Syrian air defense systems on the other hand have imposed restrictions on the movement of their aircraft and on their recognition of what they supposed that it is an required right in a loose-land, but it seems that whenever the military state recovers  and restores its military force, this does not happen against the armed groups alone, but it changes the rules of engagement with Israel. Within three months the Israelis faced a Syrian missile confrontation in two sequent times that prove that the Syrian airspace became forbidden to the Israeli aircraft.

In the first time the Israelis have received the new equation and they tried to get used to it, so they resorted to missiles from their planes with a range of sixty kilometers launched from the Lebanese airspace, and ground missiles launched from the borders of Golan which reached to a parallel range, till the US presence came and intervened in an attempt to change the rules of engagement and to let the Israelis hit by proxy in Palmyra in addition to secure their crossing the Syrian airspace, so this encouraged them to bet on changing the rules of engagement and to return to before the Syrian missiles. The result was the stabilization of equation of the inviolability of the Syrian airspace with more force and bigger determination.

The Israelis committed the raid of Damascus Airport to say that the Syrian deterrence prevents them from entering the Syrian airspace, but it does not prevent behaving according to what they drew as a security range for their missiles directed from the air or the ground without the entry into the Syrian airspace. Therefore the raid against Damascus by missiles launched from the Lebanese airspace belongs to the stage before breaking the deterrence balance which was devoted by the Syrian missiles without the recognition of Syria or the resistance of the rules of engagement which the Israeli wants to impose, even from the position of the recognition of the rules of the Syrian deterrence, by making the range of sixty kilometers from the borders with Golan and Lebanon an area for the Israeli processes.

From the position of drawing rules of engagement, the equation returned with a response that ensures a new deterrence that completes the deterrence made by the missiles regarding the inviolability of the Syrian airspace, so this prevents the tampering within the range of the Israeli missiles which seems approaching.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

غارة «إسرائيلية» إلى الوراء؟

أبريل 28, 2017

ناصر قنديل

– يجزم العسكريون المعنيون والمتابعون للغارات «الإسرائيلية» في سورية من تدمر إلى محيط مطار دمشق أن لا أهداف تتصل بما يدّعيه «الإسرائيليون» من مخازن صواريخ وشحنات للمقاومة، ومثال تدمر يحكي عن نفسه، إذ كيف يمكن تصديق أكذوبة ورود الصواريخ عن طريق بري ينتهي في تدمر إلا إذا كان أوله في الرقة، فهل من هناك تأتي الصواريخ التي يتحدّثون عنها. ويجزم العسكريون أنفسهم أنّ الغارات «الإسرائيلية» التي لها أهداف متعددة منها ما يتصل بمستقبل جغرافيا البادية السورية التي تطلّ عليها جميع المواقع التي استهدفها الأميركيون و«الإسرائيليون»، من دير الزور إلى تدمر والشعيرات وصولاً لمطار دمشق، والبادية هي المنطقة التي يريدها الأميركي ملاذاً بديلاً لداعش بعد الرقة، وقد وظف «الإسرائيلي» لمعاونته في تحقيق هذا الهدف. لكن للضربات وظائف معنوية تتصل بحال المسلحين المنهارة، ومن الزاوية «الإسرائيلية» الصرفة لها صلة بمحاولة رسم قواعد اشتباك لما بعد نهاية الحرب في سورية.

– حاول «الإسرائيليون» رسم معادلة استباحة الأجواء السورية وتكريس ما يتحدّثون عنه كحق لهم بملاحقة شحنات سلاح حزب الله، في كلّ الأراضي السورية وعبر سلاح الجو بيدين طليقتين، بعدما كلّفوا جماعاتهم من هياكل المعارضة والنصرة بضرب منظومات الدفاع الجوي السوري، ونجحوا بتفكيك نسبة النصف منها، كما قال الرئيس بشار الأسد، لكنهم منذ سنة بدأوا يكتشفون أنّ التموضع الروسي من جهة، وإعادة بناء منظومات الدفاع الجوي السورية من جهة أخرى، قد فرضا قيوداً على حركة طيرانهم وعلى التسليم بما افترضوه قد تكرّس لهم بصفته حقاً مكتسباً في أرض سائبة. وبدأ يظهر أنه كلّما تعافت الدولة السورية واستعادت قوتها العسكرية، فذلك لا يحدث بوجه الجماعات المسلحة وحدها، بل يغيّر قواعد الاشتباك مع «إسرائيل»، وخلال ثلاثة شهور واجه «الإسرائيليون» تصدياً صاروخياً سورياً في مرتين متعاقبتين يقول إنّ الأجواء السورية صارت محرّمة على الطيران «الإسرائيلي».

– في المرة الأولى تلقى «الإسرائيليون» المعادلة الجديدة وحاولوا التأقلم معها، فلجأوا إلى صواريخ موجّهة من طائراتهم بمدى ستين كليومتراً يطلقونها من الأجواء اللبنانية، وصواريخ برية يطلقونها من حدود الجولان وتصل إلى مدى موازٍ، حتى جاء الحضور الأميركي ودخوله على الخط بمحاولة تغيير قواعد الاشتباك وإسناده لـ«الإسرائيليين» مهمة الضرب بالوكالة عنهم في تدمر، وتأمين عبورهم الأجواء السورية ما شجّعهم على العودة للرهان على تغيير القواعد والعودة لما قبل الصواريخ السورية، وكانت النتيجة تكريس معادلة حرمة الأجواء السورية عليهم بقوة أشدّ وعزم أكبر.

– يعود «الإسرائيليون» بغارة مطار دمشق ليقولوا إنّ الردع السوري يمنعهم من دخول الأجواء السورية لكنه لا يحول دون التعامل ضمن ما رسموه من مدى أمني لصواريخهم الموجّهة من الجو أو البر من دون الدخول للأجواء السورية، وبهذا المعنى تنتمي غارة مطار دمشق بواسطة صواريخ موجّهة أطلقت من فوق الأجواء اللبنانية، إلى مرحلة ما قبل محاولة كسر ميزان الردع الذي كرّسته الصواريخ السورية، من دون أن يعني هذا تسليماً من سورية والمقاومة بقواعد الاشتباك التي يريد «الإسرائيلي» فرضها، ولو من موقع التسليم بقواعد الردع السورية، بجعل مدى الستين كيلومتراً من الحدود مع الجولان ولبنان منطقة عمليات «إسرائيلية».

– من موقع رسم قواعد الاشتباك عادت المعادلة لردّ يضمن ردعاً جديداً يكمل الردع الذي صنعته الصواريخ لحرمة الأجواء السورية، فيمنع العبث ضمن مدى الصواريخ «الإسرائيلية»، ويبدو أنه آتٍ.

 

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Trump’s escalation and a united Resistance: How the US failed to deter Syria and her allies

 

April 16, 2017

By Aram Mirzaei

Trump’s escalation and a united Resistance: How the US failed to deter Syria and her allies

Just as many observers of the Syrian conflict had been thinking that the tragic crisis playing out for the past six years in the Arab country was finally about to see and end, things quickly turned around on April 4 as Syrian “opposition controlled” areas were allegedly hit by chemical weapons, a terrible crime purportedly committed by the “Assad regime”, who apparently decided to defy all logic and challenge the “International Community” to revise its decision to finally let go of the obsessive quest of regime change in Syria.

Within days, US Tomahawk missiles struck the Shayrat Airbase in the Homs governorate. The missile strikes did not result in any serious damage to the installation as the Syrian Air Force managed to restore it only a few days later. Trump and the US regime have portrayed this act of aggression as a show of force, despite them narrating it with some fantasy of Washington being the guarantor of human rights for the Syrian people.

Washington is not ready for peace, nor is it ready to admit defeat in Syria. Not only did Washington know the consequences of unilateral action against an ally of Russia’s and Iran’s, but it also knew what the result would be: continued fighting. The Syria-Russia-Iran axis had entered 2017 with a lot of confidence after the December 2016 victory of Aleppo, paving the way for a new peace process to be initiated, one that did not include Washington’s direct interference. Of course, any negotiation for peace at this moment would include the “opposition” to give major concessions rather than the government having to do so due to the waning influence of Jihadist rebels in Syria as a result of casualties sustained both during battles with government troops and as a result of infighting.

In Iran, this act of aggression was viewed as an expected move by the American side. The Iranian political establishment and leadership had long warned that neither Clinton nor Trump were any different in their approach to the Middle East. Immediately after this attack, Iran issued harsh condemnation towards the act and reiterated its position of standing by the Syrian government’s side.

Iran recently warned that such aggression won’t go unanswered with Iranian Defence Minister Hossein Dehqan adding that “The resistance front will continue to fight resolutely against terrorists despite the will of the Americans.” Concurrently, the Iranian government has worked closely with its Russian counterpart to respond to this aggression.

What I find troubling is that much of the focus of the Russian and Iranian governments official response has been on calling for an “unbiased investigation” of the incident in Khan Sheikhoun on April 4. During the following days after the US strike on the Shayrat Airbase, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif called several times for the establishment of an international fact-finding committee to investigate the attack.

Russian President Vladimir Putin also condemned as unacceptable the “unfounded accusations” about the chemical attack, calling for an international probe. Putin “pointed out that it was unacceptable to make groundless accusations against anyone without conducting a detailed and unbiased investigation.”

Iran and Russia should by now know that it is useless to call for “unbiased investigations” in a world where Washington dominates the main international institutions charged with such investigations. Therefore, any calls for “unbiased investigations” of this incident are pointless.

Furthermore, the response towards this aggression was also relatively weak in the sense that not once did the Syrian-Iranian-Russian alliance threaten to respond militarily to this obvious act of war by Washington. This sort of restraint is not interpreted well by the West as they rather view it as a sign of weakness rather than understanding that Syria-Iran-Russia are doing their utmost to avoid a potential World War. I argue that Rogue States such as the US must be deterred from engaging in such bold acts such as the strike on Shayrat Airbase. Just as the US has “red lines”, Iran and Russia must also have red lines for what they deem as unacceptable.

On the other hand, this attack also provided the Syrian-Iranian-Russian alliance an opportunity to deepen their cooperation. Within a matter of days, communication between senior Iranian and Russian officials intensified and culminated on Friday with a joint press conference given by the three countries, showing up a unified front. With Russia’s closure of the military coordination channel devised to prevent any unwanted confrontation between Russian and US forces in Syria, chances of a Russian-Western cooperation grow dim. Russia seems to be running out of partners to cooperate with. Immediately after the US strikes, Turkish President Erdogan made headlines when he stated that Turkey would support US actions against Syria. This proved once again that Turkey is an unreliable partner and that Iran is the only country that shares Russia’s goals in Syria.

This in turn could change the Turkish stance on the diplomatic talks currently underway as Ankara could double down on its positions regarding regime change and “safe zones” in Syria. It wouldn’t come as a big surprise to me either if Turkey increased its support for the Jihadist rebels rather than pressuring them to stay committed to the ceasefire agreed upon with Russia and Iran.

It is also no secret that a potential Washington-Moscow rapprochement is viewed fearfully by Tehran who is concerned that Russia could sell out Iran in pursuit of better relations with the West. Public opinion in Iran is often very distrustful towards Russia, with some viewing Russia as an unreliable partner not being able to defend Syria from US strikes. With this in mind, Russia’s next move is very important because it will show Iran how far Moscow is ready to go to defend an ally.

On a final note, a crucial obstacle to deeper Russian-Iranian partnership has been Iran’s relationship to the Lebanese resistance movement Hezbollah and Russia’s longstanding policy of preserving a good relationship with Israel. Israel has been able to move relatively freely to violate Syrian airspace and attack the Syrian Army without Russia really responding to these actions in the past. This makes any kind of military cooperation rather limited due to Israeli diplomatic pressure. The Islamic Republic will however continue to work with Russia based on the common interests they share as these two countries share a very pragmatic relationship. A high ranking Iranian diplomat was quoted as saying

“From the very beginning, there have been disagreements between Iran and Russia regarding the Syrian crisis, and this is normal. During the meeting between Rouhani and Putin, there were again discussions regarding this issue. However, it is obvious that we will act based on our own interests and without counting and relying exclusively on Russia’s actions. We knew from the very beginning that there are disagreements between Tehran and Moscow, although, there was also a high level of mutual interests between Iran and Russia with regard to Syria.”

As the relationship between Russia and the West continues to deteriorate, ties between Iran and Russia can improve, with the Syria-Iran-Russia axis growing even more unified in their campaign to combat terrorism across Syria. In the short term, necessity trumps everything else.

Syria Allies Joint Op room: To Fiercely Respond to Any Aggression

Local Editor

Commenting on the American aggression that targeted the Shayrat airbase of the Syrian armed forces in the morning of last Friday, the leadership of the joint operation room [Russia, Iran and the allied forces] in Syria issued the following statement:

 

Syria Allies Joint Op room: To Fiercely Respond to Any Aggression


1- The American attack against Syria is a dangerous violation and bold aggression against the sovereignty of the Syrian state and its people. It is condemned and it proves once again the wrong options and calculations the US makes.

2- This attack is a notorious continuation of injustice and discrimination against Syria, in a time when it has been fighting multinational terrorism on behalf of the entire world since 6 years, sacrificing the blood of many of its people to achieve victory over those barbaric terrorists.

3- We condemn any attack on civilians whoever they are. And what happened in Khan Shaykhun is condemned as well despite our belief that it has been prepared ahead by some countries and organizations to make it a pretext for attacking Syria.

4- Those who support, train and fund the armed terrorist groups such as Daesh, al-Nusra and their Takfiri affiliates, and back those who violate the legitimate rights of the people of the region, and those who used the veto dozens of times against the Palestinian people has no right to present their selves as a human rights defender and pretend caring for the dignity of the peoples of the region especially in Syria, Iraq and Palestine.

5- The arrogant US neither waited anybody’s permission nor respected the member states of the United Nations Organization, and before the results of the investigations on the Khan Shaykhun were issued, it attacked Syria and boasted what it did.

6- We are not ignorant of what the US is seeking to achieve in North Syria and Northwest Iraq. They have to know that we are accurately observing every single step and movement they make, and that their attempt to control this spot of land makes them an illegitimate power to occupy sovereign Syrian lands.

7- The US attack on Syria surpassed all redlines in which from now on we will fiercely respond to any aggression and any redline violation whoever the perpetrator. The US knows very well how able we are to retaliate.

8- This American behavior won’t hinder our battle to get rid of terrorism, we will continue our fight by the side of the Syrian Arab Army and the friendly Syrian Armed Forces to liberate every Syrian land from the dirty occupation.

9- Russia and Iran won’t allow the US to control the world and impose the unipolar system by continuing direct aggression against the Syrian state, violating international laws and the United Nations framework, and will stand against the US powerfully no matter what.

10- In response to this criminal aggression, we, as Syria allies, will increase our support of the Syrian Arab Army and the brotherly Syrian people in various means.

09-04-2017 | 18:47

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Arab Parties Reject Intervention in Syria’s Internal Affairs, Urge Popular Front to Confront Takfiri Terrorism

ST

DAMASCUS, (ST)-Wrapping up its 61st Session in Damascus on Tuesday, the General Secretariat of Arab Parties Conference issued a final statement in which it reiterated support for Syria in fighting terrorism and resisting the war imposed on it.

The statement rejected all forms of mandate, fragmentation projects and intervention in Syria’s internal affairs.

It highly appreciated Syrian leadership’ efforts for the success of Syrian-Syrian dialogue, calling on the international community to implement UN resolutions related to counterterrorism.

The participating Arab parties also underlined the need to lift the unjust blockade imposed on the Syrian people. They called on Arab forces, parties, unions and commissions to form a ‘popular front’ to resist Takfiri terrorism and to confront extremism as well as to play a key role in resisting the US-Zionist-Wahhabi project, which used terrorism as a mean to reach its goals that pose threat to the future of countries and generations.

Resistance ‘Strategic choice’

As for resistance, the parties underscored that resistance is the strategic choice of the Arab nation to confront the US and Zionist threats and challenges.

“Resistance is an active factor to liberate occupied lands because enemy understands only the language of force,” the parties’ statement said, calling for supporting resistance, releasing prisoners from Israeli jails and stopping negotiation with the Zionist enemy.

It, in addition, called for cooperation between the Syrian and the Lebanese governments in order to confront terrorism that targets the two countries and to address the issue of the Syrian displaced people.

The statement appealed to Iraqi government to cooperate with the Syrian government to confront terrorism, condemning crimes being perpetrated by the Saudi-led aggression against the Yemeni people.

It voiced support for the peaceful movement in Bahrain that demands political rights, hoping that Egypt will play a pivotal role in enhancing Arab solidarity and joint action.

“The existence of US, British, French and Italian forces in Libya paves the way for the return of foreign colonization to it,” the parties said, calling on Libya’s neighboring countries to double their efforts in supporting Libyan political parties to reach political and economic stability in the country.

They praised Tunisian people’s support for Syria, Palestine and resistance.

The 61st session of the General Secretariat of Arab Parties Conference kicked off on Monday at al-Sham Hotel in Damascus with the participation of Arab politicians.

Basma Qaddour

نصرالله يقطع طريق الحرب الأميركية على إيران

نصرالله يقطع طريق الحرب الأميركية على إيران

روزانا رمّال

بعد دخول حزب الله الأزمة السورية من بابها العريض والمشاركة الميدانية القتالية فيها وتحقيقه مكاسب أمنية جديّة، وبعد دخول إيران الحرب بثقل عسكري واستخباري ولوجستي جنباً الى جنب مع الجيش السوري، لم يعد ممكناً فصل خطاب امين عام حزب الله السيد حسن نصرالله عن مركزية حضوره في هذا الحلف الذي أعلن منذ اقتسام ملف قتال «الإرهاب» في ما بينه بكل الاراضي السورية ان الخطر القومي وتهديد الأمن الحيوي للمحور هو «واحد».

المقاربة الإيرانية والسورية إضافة لحزب الله في مسألة مواجهة الانتكاسات أو تقاسم الأرباح في المنطقة أصبحا وجهة متكاملة ومؤسسة لهيكل المقاومة التي يعتبرها الحلف ضرورة في ديمومة رسالته وحضوره، ففي وقت تتمسك إيران بشعار الراعي للمقاومة والمستضعفين وكل أحرار العالم أمام الطغيان المتجسّد بمنظارها أميركياً و«إسرائيلياً»، باتت مسألة الدعم المباشر مترجمة واقعاً بحضور القوى القادرة على تبيان جدوى الحلف ومغزاه.

تقود إيران في اليمن حرباً غير مباشرة مع السعودية ومن ورائها «إسرائيل»، وقد أكد امين عام حزب الله السيد حسن نصرالله بذكرى مهرجان القادة الشهداء بأنها حرب «إسرائيلية». ضمن هذا المنطلق، يُشرّع حزب الله مسألة دعمه القتال في اليمن وهو ليس قتالاً ضد مجموعات إرهابية مثل داعش أو النصرة ولا يشبه على الإطلاق مسألة قرب الحدود مع لبنان على غرار مدينة القصير السورية وضرورة استباق الحرب قبل أن تصل لبنان، بل إنها ترجمة لواجب ودور تفرضه «إسرائيل» أينما وجِدت أو وجدت خيوط مشاريعها فتخلق «المشروعية».

هذا الحديث يؤكد ان حزب الله لا ينتظر إذناً ولا تمنعه «حدود» عن المشاركة في القتال داخل فلسطين المحتلة على غرار مشاركته في الحرب السورية بثقل، وفي الحرب العراقية واليمنية على شكل خبراء ومتدرّبين، كما أكد نائب الامين العام لحزب الله الشيخ نعيم قاسم لـ«البناء» في وقت سابق.

الأكيد أن حزب الله لن يتأخّر لحظة في المشاركة في أي دور قتالي داخل فلسطين المحتلة، وأنه كان ممكناً أن يتقدم المشهد لو كانت الأمور أسهل ومفتوحة لوجستياً، ولو كان هذا الأمر حاجة لا يستطيع الفلسطينيون تحقيقها. وهنا باب آخر يستدعي استذكار دعم إيران وحزب الله للحركات المقاومة على اختلافها داخل الأراضي المحتلة وخارجها.

«التدخل» «واجب»، حيث أمكن، بالنسبة لحزب الله الذي يشكل عصب هذا المحور، لكن الأهم قدرته على أداء أدوار استثنائية تحت عنوان صفته كحركة مقاومة لا تفتحها أو تشرّعها الصفة الرسمية للدول. لهذا السبب هو يشارك في حروب في اليمن والعراق وسورية من دون أن يشكل هذا توريطاً مباشراً للبنان أو حتى لتلك الحكومات أو الجهات التي شرعت مشاركته كـ»خيار خاص».

يرفع حزب الله مسألة قتال «إسرائيل» أينما وجدت عكس ما يُشاع أو يُطلب منه حصر المهمة في الأراضي اللبنانية، وهو أمر منافٍ للواجب والمقدّسات العقائدية ولروحية الصراع مع «إسرائيل» بالنسبة له.

خطاب نصرالله في ذكرى قادة حزب الله الشهداء جاء فيه ما يقلق «إسرائيل» لدرجة «مهولة» بالشقّ المتعلق في دعوته أو نصيحته للحكومة «الإسرائيلية» بأنه لا يجب عليها فقط إخلاء خزان الأمونيا في حيفا، بل عليها تفكيك مفاعل ديمونا النووي، والسلاح النووي «الإسرائيلي» الذي يشكّل تهديداً لكل المنطقة فيتحوّل عبر معادلة حزب الله هذه تهديداً لـ«إسرائيل» وشدّد عليها بأن المقاومة تفي بما تَعِد.

لكن هذا التهديد ليس تهديداً محصوراً بحسابات الحزب مع «إسرائيل» محلياً ولم يعد يتوقف عند كلمة خارجة عن منظومة أو محور بأكمله. فكلمة نصرالله التي تأتي بمقدمة هذا المحور في حربه مع «إسرائيل» وتوحيد جبهات القتال لكل المحور منذ الحرب السورية في المنطقة كلها هي إشارة شديدة الوضوح الى استحالة اعتبار مسألة الحرب الأميركية على إيران وما تطلقه الإدارة الأميركية من تصعيد كلامي «فُهم» على أنه نيات لحرب على طهران أمراً ممكناً أو بالاستطاعة فصله عن حيثية المحور ونظرته لمسألة الحروب الأميركية «الإسرائيلية». بالتالي حيث تكون «إسرائيل» سيكون هناك حزب الله أو مَن يستدعيه ضمن «الحلف». وهو الأمر نفسه الذي تعتمده واشنطن أو تل أبيب وحلفاؤهما في أي حرب على إيران بما يعنيه استخدام قواعد أميركية في الخليج لضرب إيران أو في تركيا. وهذا كله يبيح استخدام الحلفاء القدرات العسكرية الموحّدة كافة في حروبهم وهو ما تشرّعه العلوم العسكرية والسياسية ضمن ماهية الأحلاف وأدوارها تاريخياً.

وبعد رفع مرتبة تهديد حزب الله لمصاف الدرجة الأولى وفق التقارير الأمنية «الإسرائيلية»، وهو ما أعلنه نصرالله ليليه إيران ثم المقاومة الفلسطينية، فإن تحليل كلمة نصرالله في أجهزة الاستخبارات الأميركية و«الإسرائيلية» معاً سيأخذ بعين الاعتبار تعقيداً دقيقاً، وهو ما أخذه نصرالله على عاتقه بإعلانه استعداده لسحق قدرات «إسرائيل» النووية وغيرها بالكامل. وهو الأمر الذي «تخطّى» عملياً إشكالية ملف إيران «النووي» الذي أصبح يشكّل في هذه الحالة تلويحاً كلامياً وإعلامياً. فلم يصدر أي تهديد عن إيران باستخدام سلاح نووي ضد «إسرائيل» مثل ما ألمح أمين عام حزب الله وتناوله الخطر النووي على «إسرائيل» بشكل معاكس من جهة لبنان.

نصرالله يقطع الطريق على حرب أميركية «إسرائيلية» على إيران ويُبعد توقيت الحرب «الإسرائيلية» عن لبنان.

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