آل سعود يُطلقون النار على رؤوسهم

سبتمبر 21, 2019

د. وفيق إبراهيم

اعتقد آل سعود أنهم قادرون على احتلال اليمن وإلحاقه بنفوذهم بحربهم الضروس التي شنّوها قبل أربع سنوات ولا تزال متواصلة.

لكن النتائج انقلبت عليهم، بصمود أسطوريّ يكشف مدى إيمان شعب يمني متواضع الإمكانات، بقدرته على القتال ضدّ الغزاة حتى بالحجارة والأسنان. فهذا شعب له هوية تاريخية يتشبت بها وينقلها سليمة إلى الأحفاد.

لذلك فإنّ آل سعود في مأزق حقيقي متعدّد الأبعاد: الأول هو انتقال حربهم إلى داخل السعودية نفسها، والثاني أن اليمنيين بدأوا يستهدفون بطائراتهم المسيرة، نقاط القوة السعوديّة الوحيدة التي تؤمن لهم هذا الانجذاب الغربي ـ الأميركي إليهم. وهي مصافي النفط والمطارات والمواقع الإداريّة والعسكريّة. والنقطة الثالثة هي انكشاف عجزهم العسكريّ ضدّ هذه الهجمات اليمنية بما يدفع إلى الاعتقاد بأن مئات مليارات الدولارات التي دفعها السعوديّون ثمناً للأسلحة الأميركية ـ الأوروبية ليست أكثر من حديد أصيب بصدأ لندرة استعماله والعناية به والتدرب عليه.

أما النقطة الرابعة، فهو الإحباط الذي تتزايد درجاته عند السعوديين خصوصاً والخليجيين عموماً من البرودة الغربية في التعامل مع قصف مصفاتي أرامكو في بقيق وصريح، وهما أكبر مصفاتين سعوديتين تورّدان الذهب الأسود.

كان آل سعود يعتقدون أن هجوماً أميركياً أوروبياً، ينطلق آلياً بمجرد حدوث استهداف يمني كبير على مراكز نفطهم التي تشكل عصب الاقتصاد الغربي بالاستهلاك المباشر أو الاستثمار في ربوعها ببيع مختلف السلع الغربية أو بالاثنين معاً.

لقد أثارت ردود فعل الرئيس الأميركي ترامب، امتعاض الخليج الذي لا يتجرأ على التعبير عن نقمته. فليس معقولاً أن يبدأ سيد البيت الأبيض باتهام إيران متحولاً بسرعة مدهشة نحو التأكيد بأن بلاده مكتفية بنفطها وغازها الصخريين وليست بحاجة للسعودية بهذا الشأن، لذلك دعاها إلى تغطية تكاليف أي تحرك عسكري أميركي في المنطقة.

وعندما لمس صمتاً خليجياً، ابتدأ بالقول إنه لا يريد حرباً مع إيران، مضيفاً بأن الحرب هي آخر الحلول وليست مستبعَدة، مُسهباً بعد يومين فقط، بأن الحرب «مستبعدة وممكنة» بأسلوب بائع أسهم في بورصة الأحياء الشعبية في نيويورك.

المهم هنا، هو معرفة ما يريده الأميركيون بشكل دقيق، فهم يبتعدون عن أي إشارة لحرب اليمن وعلاقتها بقصف المصافي السعودية.

ما يوضح أن الحاجة الأميركية لهذه الحرب لم تنتهِ بعد، وإن على السعودية مواصلة عدوانها على اليمن: وأغراضها منها، فهي منع تشكل دولة يمنية مستقلة، والسيطرة على حدودها البحرية من عمان وحتى باب المندب وصولاً إلى الحدود في أعالي البحر الأحمر مع السعودية.

وللأميركيين اهتمامات غامضة بموارد طاقة يمنيّة تقول مصادر غربية إنها موجودة بكميات وازنة، وتجمع بين النفط والغاز.

هذه أسباب أميركية تمنع السعوديين من التخلي عن عدوانهم وفي طريقة لرفع مستوى الرعب السعودي، يتعمّد الأميركيون الربط بين إيران واليمن والعراق وسورية ولبنان، مع التركيز على محورية إيران في هذا الحلف، الأمر الذي يربط آل سعود بالسياسة الأميركية المعادية لإيران.

الجمهورية الإسلامية إذاً هي هدف أميركي أساسي يريد البيت الأبيض تفجير دولتها، لكنه يصطدم بقدرتها الدفاعية والهجومية، فيعمد إلى الاستثمار بهذه القوة الإيرانية بوسيلتين: عزلها عن الجوار الخليجي، وتحويل هذا الخليج إلى سوق كبيرة لشراء السلاح الأميركي إلى جانب حصر علاقاتها الاقتصادية بالسلع الأميركية والغربية، من خلال استبعاد السلع الصينية والآسيوية عموماً.

لكن، فالخطة الأميركية تركز على الأولويات المتحكمة حالياً بالعقل الخليجي الرسمي، وهو الخوف على الأنظمة السياسية، وبما أن السلاح الخليجي الموجود لم يتمكّن من صدّ الصواريخ والمسيَّرات اليمنية. فهذا يعني عجزه عن التعامل مع المستجدّات العسكرية لهذه المرحلة، فلا بأس إذاً بشراء أسلحة حديثة للزوم قمع الداخل من جهة والخارج الإيراني ـ العراقي ـ اليمني من جهة ثانية.

ألا تفترض هذه الأهداف تغييراً كاملاً للسلاح الموجود، يؤدي إلى تقليد خليجي متسارع من الكويت وحتى عمان مروراً بالإمارات والبحرين وقطر. وقد توزع السعودية صفقات أسلحة حديثة على الأردن ومصر والسودان لضرورات التعاون.

ماذا يعني هذا التجديد؟ تستلزم الأسلحة الحديثة وقتاً طويلاً للتعامل المفيد معها، الأمر الذي يستلزم إيفاد آلاف العسكريين الخليجيين للتدرب عليها في بلاد الإنتاج، وهذا يتطلب دفع أثمان السلاح وكلفة التدريب عليها، ونفقات آلاف المستشارين الغربيين الذي يعملون في جيوش الخليج، وتسديد ثمن أسلحة الدول الصديقة، المتحالفة.

إنها إذاً عملية مرهقة، تقول مصادر عسكرية روسية، إن نفقاتها قد تزيد عن ألف مليار دولار قابلة للتصاعد، وهي كافية لإنعاش الطبقات الوسطى في الغرب الصناعي، وإعادة تجديد معامل السلاح في بلدانه.

بالمقابل ليس أكيداً قدرة الخليج على استعمال هذا السلاح الذي قد يصبح قديماً بعد نصف عقد على شرائه والتدرب عليه وفي عالم ينتج أسبوعياً، أصنافاً جديدة من الأسلحة.

هناك نقطة إضافية وهي أن السلاح يحتاج إلى عقيدة قتال، ليست موجودة في الخليج الملتزم بالسياسة الأميركية وبالتالي الإسرائيلية، فيبدو آل سعود كمن يطلقون النار على رؤوسهم في حروب لا علاقة لهم بها، لتطوير طبقات غربية على حساب شعوبهم التي تحتاج إلى تطوير فعلي يمنعه عنهم الأميركيون ومعهم آل سعود الذين يخافون من السعوديين أكثر من إيران واليمن وحزب الله.

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معادلة السيد أوقفوا حروبكم… أو «تخبزوا بالفراح»

سبتمبر 21, 2019

ناصر قنديل

– بعد توضيحات لا بد منها في ملفات شهدت بعض الاجتهادات والتساؤلات، انطلق السيد حسن نصرالله إلى رسم معادلاته الجديدة، كناطق بلسان محور المقاومة، الذي قال في وصفه أنه محور قوي وشجاع، منذ أن حسم معادلة انتهاء مرحلة التصرف كفرقاء مقاومين كل في ساحته إلى قرار التعامل كمحور موحّد في مواجهة كل حرب على أطراف المحور. والمحور الشجاع هو المحور الذي اتخذ قرار المواجهة متحسباً لمخاطر نشوب حرب، من إسقاط الطائرة الأميركية التجسسية العملاقة في الخليج، إلى عملية أفيفيم النوعية في فلسطين المحتلة، إلى عملية أرامكو التي هزت السعودية والاقتصاد العالمي. وهو المحور القوي لأنه نجح في تحقيق الأهداف وفي ردع العدو وإفهامه أن لا جدوى من مجرد التفكير بالردّ، فرسم معادلاته وقواعد اشتباكه ورسخ قانون حربه.

– في التوضيحات تناول السيد قضيتين راهنتين، الأولى مفردة المبعَدين بالتوازي مع قضية العملاء، ففكّكها مؤكداً أنها مفردة لا تعبر عن واقع، فما هو أمامنا الفارون أو الهاربون للاحتماء بكيان الاحتلال، هم عائلات العملاء، ولا خلط بين ملف العملاء وعائلاتهم، لكن كل شيء وفقاً للقانون، وكل مَن يعود يجب أن يخضع للتحقيق، ومن يثبت تورّطه بالعمالة على أي مستوى يجب أن يلقى عقاباً يتناسب مع أفعاله، ولا يجوز أن تكون الأحكام هزيلة ولا أن تسقط بمرور الزمن. وربّ ضارة نافعة أن حدث ما حدث حتى تنبّه الجميع لخطورة هذا الخلط والتهاون والتراخي. أما التوضيح الثاني فطال انتخابات كيان الاحتلال، حيث جرى تصوير كلام المقاومة عن صلة مساعي رئيس حكومة الاحتلال بنيامين نتنياهو للتصعيد بمطامعه السلطوية والانتخابية، كأنه انحياز من المقاومة لمنافسيه واعتبار إسقاطه أولوية، ودعوة غير مباشرة للناخبين العرب للمشاركة في الانتخابات تحقيقاً لهدف عنوانه، إسقاط نتنياهو. فقال السيد، الانتخابات لا تعنينا، فكلهم قتلة وكلهم صهاينة وكلهم عنصريون، وكلهم في معسكر العدو.

– انطلق السيد لرسم معادلاته، وهو يرسمها باسم قيادة محور المقاومة، من طهران إلى بغداد إلى دمشق وبيروت وغزة وصنعاء، والمعادلات الجديدة تطال كل منهج التهديد بالعقوبات والتلويح بالحرب، وعنوانها أن العقوبات لن تغيّر شيئاً في موازين القوى مهما اشتدت وزادت قسوة، وأن الرد عليها سيكون مزيداً من التصعيد في الميدان، أسوة بعمليات إسقاط الطائرة الأميركية، وعملية أفيفيم، وعملية أرامكو، لكن الواضح أن الأولوية في قراءة المحور، ليست باعتبار الساحة الأشد زجاجية التي تشكل الخاصرة الرخوة لمحور واشنطن هي ساحة الخليج، بل أكثر لأن محور المقاومة ليس معنياً بتسويات تحفظ ماء الوجه لكل من واشنطن وتل أبيب، بينما هو مستعدّ لمنح هذه الفرصة لحكومات الخليج التي تتلقى التحذير من العواقب الكارثية لاستخدامها أكياس رمل في الحرب الأميركية الصهيونية بوجه محور المقاومة وشعب اليمن، لكنها تتلقى سلّماً للنزول عن الشجرة عنوانه، وقف الحرب على اليمن، لتتفادى البقاء كيس ملاكمة يتلقى الضربات بالنيابة عن واشنطن وتل أبيب. لكن المعادلة شاملة كل الجبهات، ولكل المتورطين في الحروب الأميركية الصهيونية في واشنطن وتل أبيب كما في الخليج، أوقفوا حروبكم قبل أن تخبزوا بالفراح .

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Prof. Tim Anderson: I am proud to have stood with the Syrian people, their army and their popular leader through this long, dirty war

ST

Thursday, 19 September 2019 18:20

What are the available ways to break the economic sanctions being imposed on Syria? And what has encouraged dozens of unionists and labor organizers from Europe and North America to take part in the 3rd International Trade Union Conference held this month (8-9 September)in Syria in solidarity with it?

These two questions were answered by the Australian political economist and author Professor Tim Anderson, who participated in the two-day conference.

The professor told the Syria Times e-newspaper that there are 2 available ways to break the economic sanctions being imposed on Syria. The first one is close coordination between the regional states and peoples and their international strategic partners, while the second is the exposure of the criminality of the economic siege warfare in order to shame the collaborators and fragment the imperial alliance.

As for the second question on the participation of dozens of unionists and labor organizers from Europe and North America in this session, Prof. Anderson made it clear that there was an organized effort to help bring those 30 or 40 people to Damascus.

“International solidarity requires coordination because in the recent wars western liberalism betrayed western internationalism,” He added.

The professor explained in his two books “The Dirty War on Syria” and “Axis of Resistance: towards an independent Middle East” how western liberal imperialism harnessed some deep colonial missionary sentiments, and enrolled masses in their humanitarian wars.

“It is western liberalism, rather than western realism (or conservatism) that has driven most of the wars of the 21st century,” Prof. Anderson stressed.

He referred in his article published today on the “American Herald Tribune” website to President Bashar al-Assad’ s message to US workers.

“US “Labour Against War” organizer Yasemin Zahra asked the president if he had any messages for US workers. He replied that there should be some kind of national dialogue in the US, to show and highlight the voice of the US working class, which most often seems invisible to those outside the USA,” the professor said in his article entitled “Trade Unions Lead Breakthrough in Solidarity with Syria”.

The professor posted today on his FaceBook account the following statement:

“Despite the abuse from a small army of western war trolls, I am proud to have stood with the Syrian people, their army and their popular leader through this long, dirty war.”

Interviewed by: Basma Qaddour

MILEIKOWSKI (“NETANYAHU”) DESPERATE FOR ANY DIVERSION; TERRORISTS REDEPLOY AROUND TOWNS IN IDLIB, OSTRACIZE ONE ANOTHER

Ziad Fadel / 

Image result for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Mileikowski adopted his father’s alias, Netanyahu, and tried to dispel any suggestion that he was an illegitimate Jew by having a DNA test performed which, according to him, showed that he had a trace of Sephardic Jewish genes, which, of course, means nothing other than he has a miniscule amount of Spanish blood.  Yawn.  Desperate for any connection to Jewish tradition, he regularly appears in front of the star of David, which is nothing more than a 12th Century phenom used by Muslims and Christians as an ornament. (Photo: USA Today)

https://www.britannica.com/topic/Star-of-David

Mileikowski just announced that he is going to annex the entire Jordan Valley if elected PM of the Zionist Settler State.  He has declared that the Iranians had a secret nuclear facility at Abaadeh which he said the Iranians destroyed after learning of its disclosure.  He has sent drones into Lebanon to attack HZB, who retaliated so effectively that his vaunted Zionist trash soldiers were found by Turkish journalist to have abandoned their positions for safer grounds.  Even though HZB filmed the direct hit on a Zionist military unit and subsequent medvac exfiltration, Mileikowski tried to cover up the disaster by suggesting his troops staged the medvac in order to convince HZB not to fire any more missiles.  Oh, really?

And, then, we had the announcement by a Zionist military reporter that the Russian Air Force intercepted a wing of Zionist bombers preparing to strafe an “Iranian base” which Mileikowski suspected had fired rockets at Zionist occupation forces in Palestine.  What drama!

And, then, Mileikowski met up with Putin after Trump unceremoniously fired John Bolton, the Washington chicken hawk, who loves to send other people’s children off to war. Bolton is married with one daughter who is unlikely to join any impending war.  He, himself, openly supported the Vietnam War but, conveniently, managed to join the Maryland National Guard to avoid going there and fighting for his country.  George W. Bush did the same thing.

Image result for Hezbollah fight with Israel after downing drone

Mileikowski is going all out to present himself as the Savior of the Zionist Apartheid State.  By staying in office, he can delay going to prison.  In the meantime, he uses anti-Palestinian rhetoric to fire up his base, deploying language that would be considered unacceptable here in the United States.  Heck, Facebook just took down his site just for that reason.  That’s gotta count for something, don’t you think?

__________________________________________________

IDLIB:

  • Image result for ABu Muhammad Al-Jawlani

Trust me, he’s not smiling anymore.  According to my sources and all other sources close to the situation, Abu Muhammad Al-Jawlaani is livid.  Because of his castigating all other groups except his own, the ranks of the terrorist criminals are riddled with invective and disdain.  He has accused Al-Jabha Al-Wataniyya Li-Al-Tahreer (CIA controlled) and Al-Jaysh Al-Watani (Ankara’s boys) of failing to send in sufficient reinforcements to blunt the SAA’s assault on Khaan Shaykhoon.  He has railed against them while his mentor, sponsor and all-around pimp, Recep Tayyip Erdoghan, is fighting for his political life, just like Mileikowski.

He has ordered all terrorists to leave their positions inside towns and villages in order to redeploy in surrounding areas.  This military genius thinks that by “heading for the hills”,  of which Idlib has many, he can attack Russian, Syrian and Iranian forces more effectively.  He couldn’t be more misguided.  Now, with those criminals outside towns and villages, the Russian Air Force will have a field day bombing them into the 3rd Century where they belong.

Russia has also sent whole units of Speznaz commandos to assist the Syrian Army underlining Moscow’s determination to rid Syria of all these miscreants.  Gee, I sure hope they can make it to Germany before Mrs. Merkel gives up the ghost.

Crises – the Middle-East and a few hopefully useful pointers

The Saker

September 18, 2019

Crises – the Middle-East and a few hopefully useful pointers

[This analysis was written for the Unz Review]

The Middle-East is literally exploding: the Houthis have delivered an extremely effective blow against Saudi oil production which (so they claim) has now dropped by 50% before bouncing back; there are persistent rumors that Russian Su-35S and S-400 has threatened to shoot down Israeli aircraft attacking Syria; Lebanon has declared that it will defend itself against Israeli attacks; Hezbollah has been threatening to deliver crippling strikes on Israel and even Israeli officials; Turkey has purchased Russian air defenses and says that if the USA refuses to deliver their F-35S, then Turkey will consider Su-35s and even maybe Su-57’s.  Bibi Netanyahu tried to use Putin for his reelection campaign (well, he really is trying desperately to stay out of jail) but had to go home empty handed and, according to the JP, his mission was a failure.

Finally, and just to make sure that the crises are only limited to the Middle-East: the Polaks and the EU Court have successfully sued to try to force Russia to use the Ukie gas transit; the USA is invoking ancient treaties to threaten Venezuela; the UK is going to hell in a handbasket; Europe (well, Germany) can’t even get the Polaks to heel about North Stream 2 (well, they *are* heeling, of course, but to Uncle Shmuel, not Angela Merkel); India and Pakistan are threatening one another over Kashmir. Did I forget anything?

Oh yes, the DPRK is firing new missiles; the US wants to blame Iran for the Houthi attacks; China categorically rejects such accusations, while Russia continues to announce new revolutionary weapons built on new principles and plans to deploy the S-500 “Prometheus”, just to make sure the Empire does not get any stupid ideas about trying to strike Russia (or her allies which will begin purchasing the S-500 in 2021, according official sources).

I am sure I have forgotten plenty.  Really, the Empire is collapsing on all fronts and that, in turn, means the chances that the ignorant dimwits in the White House will do something very stupid, dramatically increase.

Yes, I know, Bolton was fired.  And I applaud that, but considering that I believe that Pompeo is even more delusional and evil than Bolton (not to mention fantastically arrogant!), that is hardly a reason to hope (I just read that Robert C. O’Brien will succeed Bolton; he used to be the Special Presidential Envoy for Hostage Affairs at the State Department; I wonder if that means even more kidnappings of Russian nationals worldwide…?).

There is so much to cover here that I will limit myself to a few points about the Middle-East which I think are important.

First, the partial destruction of the most important Saudi oil facilities is a HUGE embarrassment for the US.  Remember that the KSA is really the “center” of CENTCOM and even the reason for its existence (to “protect” Iran from the USSR and officially keep the Shah safe, but in reality this was also part of a major deal between the USA the KSA: “you accept payment only in dollars and we will protect you against everybody“).  Sure, there is a long list of western stooges to which a similar promise was made, including Saddam Hussein, Muammar Gaddafi, Manuel Noriega, Hosni Mubarak and many others; most are now dead, the rest in jail (iirc).  Now its the turn of the Saudis it seems: not only could the super-duper “better than the S-300” patriots not stop the Houthis, all of the combined might of CENTCOM failed too.

Second, I can only concur with ‘b’ at Moon of Alabama – the war is over for the KSA. Whether they realize it or not makes no difference.  Okay, it will make a difference in time, but in time only.  The Saudis and their AngloZionist patrons have three solutions:

  1. Continue pretty much like before: that is the definition of insanity if different results are expected.
  2. Escalate and strike Iran, following which the entire Middle-East will explode with dramatic consequences.
  3. Do what the US always does: declare victory and leave.

Obviously, the third option is the only sensible one, but who said that Bibi, Trump or MbS are sensible at all?  Tulsi Gabbard joined me in calling Trump somebody’s bitch, except I call him an Israeli bitch whereas Gabbard calls him a Saudi bitch.  Same difference!

There is, however, one restraining factor: if Trump ever strikes Iran he will become the “disposable President” for the Neocons: Iran will use the opportunity to strike Israel and Trump will be impeached for it (the Neocons are, after all, in total control of the DNC and many key committees in Congress).

So this will all boil down to Trump and whether he has the info and brains to realize that an attack on Iran will wreck his Presidency (which is already FUBARed enough and attacking Iran will make it official) and he will be both impeached and, obviously, never reelected.

Third, could the Houthis have done it themselves?  Absolutely yes. Iran did not have to strike directly, precisely because the Houthis were capable of doing it themselves. Check out this official exhibit of Houthi ballistic missiles and drones and see for yourself here and here.  Furthermore, the Houthis are becoming very similar to Hezbollah and they have clearly learned advanced missile and drone capabilities (from Iran, which is why the Israelis and the US are so angry).  Now I am not, repeat, NOT saying that Iran did not help or that this strike would have been as successful had Iran not provided intelligence, targeting, technical expertise, etc.  But if there is any evidence of direct Iranian involvement, let this “malevolent manatee” (which is how Fred Reed referred to Pompeo) show it to the world, and it better be better than the crap they showed for Skripal or the chemical false flags in Syria.

Fourth, what this means for the KSA and their AngloZionist patrons is that the Houthis can strike anywhere inside the KSA with total impunity.  And not only in the KSA.  Furthermore, I suspect that Iran can also hit every single oil or gas related facility in the Middle-East just like it can strike every US/CENTCOM/NATO/Israeli objective it wants.  Furthermore, in case of total war in the Middle-East, you can expect missiles raining down on US facilities not only from Yemen (Houthis) and Lebanon (Hezbollah) but also potentially from Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan.

Fifth, it really does not matter where or what the US and/or Saudis and/or Israelis fire at Iran, the response will be the same, at least according to Professor Marandi: it will be massive and the oil and gas export capability of the entire Middle-East will be threatened.  There is no safe, cheap or effective way to strike Iran.  But do the folks in DC realize that?

Next, I want to offer a few points about the alleged interception of Israeli F-35 by Russian Su-35S over Syria.

First, we really don’t have the facts, so let’s wait a little.  Most stories about this come from one Arabic online paper.  Now, in the last 24 hours there was “sort of kinda” confirmation from Russia, but not from officials, and these reports were not so much giving factual details as gloating that Netanyahu walked away from Russia with nothing.

Second, my best guess is that this story is probably based on reality.  The Israelis have been behaving as if they did not care about the Russian presence in Syria: so they engage in airstrikes exclusively for PR purposes (remember, Bibi wants to avoid jail!) and the Russians probably complained and were ignored, and now they’ve had enough.

Third, the fact that the Jerusalem Post had to published a horrified article about this event conclusively proves that those who were trying to convince us that Russia and Israel were working hand in hand and that Putin was Bibi’s best friend were, well, full of crapola and their clickbait was just that: clickbait.

Fourth, there are those technology buffs who will always try to prove that the Su-35S is vastly superior to the F-35 and that this story is very credible and those who will explain that the F-35 is vastly superior to the Su-35S and that this story is pure invention.  The truth is that it is useless and meaningless to compare two advanced aircraft “in the abstract” or declare that one is so much better than the other.  Okay, yes, the Su-35S is superior in many aspects to the F-35, but most definitely not in all possible scenarios.  In fact, we would also need to know what other aircraft were in the air at the time – including AWACs, SEAD and EW – and we would need to find out exactly what role the Russian S-400s played (if any).  Generally, I urge you not to engage in a) “bean-counting” (only looking at quantities) or in b) making direct combat aircraft comparisons.  In the latter case, we would need to know what kind (and how much) of training the pilots got, what kind of weapons they had, what kind of sensors they used and how, and more generally, exactly how the Israelis decided to structure their attack and how the Russians decided to respond.  Finally, we would have to get some detail on sensor fusing, network-centric operations, datalinks, etc.  Since we know nothing about any of that, I recommend that we don’t dwell on aircraft/radar/missile X vs aircraft/radar/missile Y.  It’s just not worth it.

Fifth, there are already rumors about this being a false flag operation of the Israelis, the British, the KSA or the US.  Well, I sure can’t prove a negative, but I see no compelling reason to make such conclusions.  First, this is really bad news for the Empire and, second, the Houthis have done similar actions many times in the past and there is no reason to suspect that they could not have done what they did.  Still, it is also undeniable that any hike in oil prices benefits a lot of people (USA shale, Russia, the KSA, etc.).  Finally, there is always and by definition the risk of the Israelis and their Neocon allies pulling off some kind of false flag to finally trigger a US attack on Iran.  All these are, however, only indirect arguments, at least so far.  The fact that a false flag is possible does not mean it actually happened, let’s never forget that and never drop to premature or unfounded conclusions.

Sixth, let’s look at the targets themselves.  We are talking about oil facilities, huge ones, which under the logic of US/NATO/Israel (aka the “Axis of Kindness”) is most definitely classified as “regime support infrastructure” or something similar.  Furthermore, even under non Axis of Kindness logic, the laws of war allow strikes on infrastructures critical to the enemy’s military effort.  So while TV stations, embassies or medical factories are NOT legal targets, critical oil facilities are.  The ONLY stipulation is that the attacking side make an honest effort in selecting targets and munitions and try to avoid avoidable casualties.  As far as I know, the Saudis have mentioned zero victims.  Yes, that is unlikely, but that is how things stand for the time being. In this case, the Houthi strike was absolutely legitimate, especially considering the kind of genocidal devastation the Axis of Kindness and the KSA have unleashed against Yemen.

Lastly, I will venture a guess as to why the US and Saudi air defense were so useless: they probably never expected an attack from Yemen, at least not such a sophisticated one.  Most of the US/KSA air defenses are deployed to defend against an attack from Iran, from the northern direction.  The fact that this strike was so successful strongly suggest that it came from the south, from Yemen.

Conclusion: (Sept 18th, 1816Z)

I was about to conclude that according to RT, the Saudi Oil Minister has declared that the KSA “don’t know yet who is responsible” and that this was good news.  Then I saw this: “Saudi Arabia accuses Iran of sponsoring oil-plant attack, says it ‘couldn’t have originated in Yemen“, also on RT.  Not good.  Not credible either.

For one thing, had it been Iran, the strike would have been far more massive and would have only been a part of a much bigger, full-scale, attack not only on Saudi oil facilities, but also on all crucial CENTCOM installations and forces.  There is no way the Iranians would have opened major hostilities (and these strikes were definitely described by the Saudis as “major”) just to wait for a massive US/KSA/Israeli retaliation.  The Iranians are most certainly not going to repeat Saddam Hussein’s crucial mistake and allow the US/CENTCOM/NATO/Israel/KSA the time needed to prepare for a massive attack on Iran.  I am monitoring various “indicators and warnings” which would suggest that the USA is up to no good, and so far I have noticed only one potentially worrying event: MSC Sealift and US transportation Command  has ordered a no-notice turbo activation of between 23 to 25 ships from the 46 ship Ready Reserve Force (RRF have to be 5-day ready).  This is an unprecedented number since 2003 and it could mean somebody just taking precautions or someone is getting twitchy. But the timing is usually September, but not in this number (more about this here).  But please keep in mind that such indicators cannot be considered in isolation from other facts. Should there be more, I will do my best to report them on the blog.

The fact that US/KSA air defenses performed so miserably does not mean that the USA is totally clueless about ‘whodunit’. There are a lot of other sensors and systems (including in space) which will detect a missile launch (especially a ballistic missile!) and there are some radar modes which allow for long-range detection but not necessarily capable of track-while-scan or of long-range engagements.  Furthermore, you can also monitor data signals and general telemetry, and since the US has immense databases with the “signature” signals from all sorts of enemy hardware, they also probably could accurately assess which type of systems were used.  Just in this case, just as in the case of MH-17, the Pentagon knows exactly ‘whodunit’.  Ditto for the Russians who have a lot of SIGINT/FISINT in the Middle-East (and in space).

But in the last days of the Empire, facts don’t really matter.  What matters is whatever is seen as politically expedient by the folks in the White House and in Israel.  My biggest hope is that Trump finds out the truth about the strikes and that he has enough brains left to understand that should he strike Iran he will lose the election and will probably even be impeached to boot.

Let’s hope that his narcissistic instincts will save our long-suffering planet!

The Saker

It’s HEZB ALLAH…& “Middle East” is Brit Empire’s Colonial Description

Source
sheeple family

Better to be silent and be thought a fool, than to speak and remove all doubt is an adage that belongs back in the conversation, as an essential antidote to the Lilliputian mind among the social media freaks stoned the synthetic power of “administrators” in cyber-groups.

Awards for stupidity and ignorance should not be given; those flouting stupidity and ignorance should be placed into remedial education.

Recently, an article on Hezb Allah was posted to such a group, a “closed” group, and one with over 10,000 members. It was almost immediately rejected, based on stupidity and ignorance, or perhaps, something a bit more nefarious.

hezb-allah-correct-name

The author re-posted, with the following preface:

This is a message to the admins in this group: I’m a Syrian by birth, Arabic is my mother language, English is another language I dare to say I know enough to write an article with it that most people would understand. This post of mine was removed because an admin said there’s no such thing as ‘Hezb Allah’, and I’m welcomed to re-post using the correct name, I beg to differ:

Hezb Allah means the Party of God – حزب الله it’s two words and not one word. Previously, even myself was using the ‘Hezbollah’ name, this I’ve started to fix in my writings all over the net, this name doesn’t have a thing related to the party and it’s humiliating by all levels. Why don’t we call things by their real names instead of finding what suits others? ‘Hezbollah’ removes the name of God from the party’s name and doesn’t have a meaning in Arabic, Saudi bots and other haters of the party are translating this name literally to Arabic to read as: Hezbola: in Arabic it’s two syllables: He Zobala: He Garbage.

So thank you for your attention but let’s try to call Hezb Allah by their real name which I also included in the quotation marks to make the pronouncing connected, and not how their enemies like to call them.

Most of us have been brainwashed since gestation; taking out the garbage from our minds, and hearts, and souls is an ongoing process. It is helpful to realize we do not know everything and need the assistance of others in this process — which requires gratitude to our teachers, and humility as students. We all have something to offer, and especially in current geopolitical times, most of us engage in both activities.

Let us use the correct English translation for Hezb Allah.

Let us also cease in perpetuating the use of “Middle East.” ME was the description that the British Empire used to denote its areas of occupation in the Levant, before leaving its various settlements with the ‘freedom and liberty’ to slaughter each other, via the military strategy of divide and conquer.

goya capricho

un


عملية أرامكو… ومقايضة ساحات الاشتباك

عملية أرامكو… ومقايضة ساحات الاشتباك

سبتمبر 17, 2019

ناصر قنديل

يكفي ما قدّمه الأميركيون والسعوديون من وصف لعملية أرامكو لمعرفة التطوّر النوعي الذي مثّلته في الاشتباك الكبير القائم بين واشنطن ومن خلفها كل جماعاتها من جهة، ومحور المقاومة من جهة مقابلة. فهي تعريض الأمن والسلم الدوليين للخطر، وتهديد للاقتصاد العالمي، ومصدر لخطر خراب خدمات أساسية في السعودية كتأمين الكهرباء والماء والغاز والمشتقات النفطية، وهي سبب لتدهور أسواق الأسهم وارتفاع أسعار النفط، ولعجز السعودية عن ضخ ما يلزم لاستقرار هذه السوق ما استدعى أوامر الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب باستخدام الاحتياطي الاستراتيجي لمنع حدوث أزمة نفطيّة.

يمكن تفهم صعوبة تقبل الأميركيين والسعوديين لكون أنصار الله قد نجحوا بتنفيذ ضربتهم النوعية، وامتلكوا جرأة الإقدام عليها. فالضربة قاسية ومؤلمة ونوعية، وقبول أن أنصار الله وراءها يضع أميركا في موقع الفشل الكبير في حماية سوق الطاقة العالمي من الاضطراب، وقبول أن مَن أفشلهم هو بعض شعب محاصر منذ سنين يعني إتهامه بتهريب الأسلحة فشلاً في الحصار، والقبول بقدرته على التصنيع، تمجيداً لمكانته ومعنوياته ومقدراته. وقبول قدرته على خرق منظومات الرادار والصواريخ والمخابرات، إعلان هزيمة مدوّية لمنظومة تكلّف مئات مليارات الدولارات، يصعقها اليمنيون بمنظومة لا تكلّف إلا آلاف الدولارات، مضافاً إليها عامل تثقيل بستة أصفار هو الإرادة. والقبول بالتالي بأن إثارة قضية الأمن السعودي مشروطة بأمن اليمن وما يعنيه من وقف للعدوان والحصار.

الهروب الأميركي نحو اتهام إيران، لن يحسّن حال المعنويات الأميركية والسعودية إلا مؤقتاً باعتبار مَن استهدف أمنهم وقام بهزه وإفشاله، دولة كبرى في المنطقة وليست حركة فتيّة محاصرة، ويجنبهم ربط وقف الاستهدافات للأمن السعودي والنفطي بوقف العدوان والحصار على اليمن، لكنه سيطرح تحديات من نوع آخر، فهو يقول إن إيران أطلقت صواريخ كروز، وهذا يعني أن الحجة القديمة عن صعوبة ملاحقة الطائرات المسيّرة بالمنظومات الدفاعية الصاروخية يفقد معناه، طالما أن هذه المنظومة مصمّمة لمواجهة صواريخ الكروز، فماذا يعني فشلها؟ وهو يقول إن إيران تستفز واشنطن لاستدراجها إلى حرب، فماذا ستفعل واشنطن؟

الحقيقة أن محور المقاومة ككل، يدرك أن واشنطن وحلفاءها اختاروا ميداناً للمواجهة يملكون التفوق فيه وهو الحرب المالية، هرباً من ميدان قالت مواجهات السنوات الماضية إن محور المقاومة يتفوّق فيه وهو ميدان المواجهة العسكرية، لذلك يجب أن يعلم الأميركيون ومَن معهم أن محور المقاومة بكل مفرداته ومكوّناته، يذهب بوعي لإشعال ميدان المواجهة العسكرية، وصولاً للحظة مقايضة ساحات الاشتباك، وقف الحرب المالية مقابل وقف الحرب العسكرية، أو دخول الحربين معاً، فيربح المحور واحدة ويخسر واحدة، لكن خسارة واشنطن للحرب العسكرية ستسقط معها أشياء كثيرة سيكون مستحيلاً بعدها الحديث عن مكان لواشنطن وجماعاتها، ولتفادي ذلك عليها أن تصل لتسوية في الإثنتين، فتتفادى واشنطن وجماعاتها كأساً مرّة في الميدان العسكري، ويتخلص المحور من كأس مرّة في الميدان المالي، والآتي أعظم حتى تختار واشنطن، من إسقاط طائرة التجسس الأميركية العملاقة إلى أفيفيم إلى أرامكو.. وما بعد ما بعد أفيفيم وأرامكو!

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