Sayyed Nasrallah to Israelis: It’s All Over… You Can’t Imagine Your Fate in Future War!

September 20, 2018

Marwa Haidar

Sayyed Ashura

Once again, Hezbollah Secretary General, Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah reminds the Israeli enemy that the entire balance of power between the resistance in Lebanon and the Zionist regime has changed.

This year on Ashura anniversary, Sayyed Nasrallah told the Zionists that all their attempts to prevent Hezbollah from possessing advanced and accurate missiles have been foiled, stressing that the issue “is all over” and that the Israelis themselves can’t imagine their fate if these missiles are used in any future war.

Addressing attendees of Ashura march in Beirut’s southern suburb (Dahiyeh) on Thursday, Sayyed Nasrallah voiced Hezbollah’s stances on several regional and local issues.

Path of Dignity

Sayyed Nasrallah started his speech talking about the occasion. His eminence sent condolences to Imam Mohammad Al-Mahdi (AS) on the martyrdom anniversary of Imam Hussein (AS).

Sayyed Nasrallah saluted all those who took part on the Ashura march and ceremonies in the last ten days in Dahiyeh and in other areas across Lebanon. His eminence reiterated Hezbollah and the resistance’s commitment to the path of Imam Hussein, path of dignity, stressing that all sacrifices and victories were achieved due to the commitment to this path and this school.

“Imam Hussein’s resounding saying “Never to Humiliation” will last,” Sayyed Nasrallah said.

“Today, all crowds in Lebanon’s Dahiyeh, south, Bekaa and in the entire region is an indication that Imam Hussein’s blood really defeated the sword.”

Palestine, Yemen, Bahrain

Stressing that the tenth of Muharram is the “day of stances”, Sayyed Nasrallah reiterated Hezbollah’s firm position in supporting people of Palestine, Yemen and Bahrain.

“First, we reiterate our ideological commitment to Palestine and Al-Quds. We reiterate our support to Palestinian people and their legitimate rights to confront the so-called ‘deal of century’,” Sayyed Nasrallah said, as he hailed the Return Marches at the border between Gaza and the occupied territories.

“Second, we stress our firm stand by Yemeni people who have been witnessing Karbala for nearly four years. This oppressed people have been demonstrating all forms of steadfastness, courage and patience, just like Karbala… It is all Muslims and Arabs’ duty to denounce and act in order to prevent the Saudi war in Yemen, this is moral responsibility.”

Third, we reiterate our support to peaceful people of Bahrain whose scholars and youths have been jailed and suppressed by the Bahraini regime,” Sayyed Nasrallah said, as he lashed out at Bahraini regime’s policy of naturalization of foreigners in the country in a bid to make demographic change in the Gulf island.

Iran and Lebanon

Sayed Nasrallah stressed that “it is our duty to stand by” the Islamic Republic of Iran in face of all kinds of pressures.

“Iran is being punished by the US for a clear reason: it refuses to subdue to the American master like other states. It wants to stay independent and sovereign state. We have to recall its support to the resistance in Palestine and Lebanon, its support to Iraq and Syria in face of ISIL.”

On Lebanon, Sayyed Nasrallah reiterated the call for calm and dialogue, as well as the call to hasten the formation of the new cabinet.

Future War with Zionist Entity

Turning to the struggle with the Zionist entity, Sayyed Nasrallah said that the resistance has to stay on alert, noting that the Israeli enemy has been furious because its scheme in the region has failed.

“They (Israelis) were betting on the events in Syria and Iraq. But now they know well that the axis of resistance is more powerful and that more sides joined this axis.”

“Israelis are concerned, and we have to be vigilant… We should not be at ease. The enemy fears any future confrontation in the region, especially with Lebanon. He (Israeli enemy) knows well that any future war will have massive repercussion, and that his points of weakness are known to us.”

Sayyed Nasrallah cited remarks of Israeli defense minister who talked about strategic changes that took place in the Middle East.

“Few days earlier, Israeli DM said that in the Middle East strategic changes took place, noting that the first change is that Israel’s enemies acquired accurate missiles and that the Israeli home front became the main front in any future war. The Israeli minister said that in 1973 war Israelis in Tel Aviv were at calm, they were taking coffee and reading newspapers. But he noted that now, everything has changed. I tell the Israeli minister: Yes, everything has changed.”

Sayyed Nasrallah meanwhile, pointed out to Israeli attempts to prevent Hezbollah from acquiring advanced and accurate missiles in Syria.

“They (Israelis) have been working hard to cut off the road and prevent us from possessing accurate missiles. I say whatever you do to cut off the road on us, it’s all over, we are now in possession of accurate missiles that if used in any future war you can’t expect what your fate will be.”

“The Israeli enemy knows well that technology alone can’t have the final word in the battle without the human capabilities.”

Sayyed Nasrallah furthermore hit back at Israeli remarks that the Hezbollah S.G. “threatens from a shelter,” by saying: “Allah has elongated my lifespan and you have been trying in day and night to kill me but I’m still alive. Staying alive is an indication for your failure.”

The resistance leader then concluded his speech by saying that all Hezbollah’s power and steadfastness “is from Imam Hussein (AS),” stressing that:

“All our days are Ashura and we have written ‘At Your Service O Imam Hussein’ with blood and patience.”

Source: Al-Manar Website

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نصرالله والمعادلات الجديدة

 

سبتمبر 20, 2018

ناصر قنديل

– مفتاحان رئيسيان يتيحان وحدهما قراءة وفهم كلمة الأمين العام لحزب الله السيد حسن نصرالله في ليلة العاشر من محرم، والرسائل التي أراد توجيهها، بين التصريح والتلميح، لتقع في مكانها الصحيح، الأول هو دعوته المراقبين والكتاب والباحثين إلى ملاحظة معنى نهوض حركة أممية حسينية عابرة للقارات واللغات والقوميات، تتخذ من إحياء مراسم عاشوراء منصة جامعة لها، وصارت حالة ثقافية عالمية متجددة المعاني لمشروع مقاومة ملتزم برفض الفتنة الطائفية والمذهبية، ورافض مشروع الهيمنة الأميركية، ويتخذ القدس هدفاً جامعاً، ويرى في انتصارات المقاومة أملاً وتكريساً للنهج الحسيني بلغته المعاصرة، أما المفتاح الثاني فهو وضع دور حزب الله ومقاومته في قلب قوس أزمات المنطقة كفاعل حاسم غير قابل للكسر والتطويع والتحييد، تحت عنوان مواجهة المشروع الأميركي وإسقاط العدوانية الإسرائيلية، واعتبار هذين الركنين في تحديد دور الحزب والمقاومة أصلاً في فهم نظرته للشؤون الإقليمية واللبنانية، وتفسيراً لدوره في ساحات المواجهة على مساحة المنطقة.

– هذان المفتاحان يلزمان مَن يقرأ أبعادهما في خطاب السيد نصرالله، أن يتقبل فكرة اعتبار مشروع المقاومة في طور الصعود الذي يبلغ مراحل متقدمة من إقليميته ويريد ترصيد مكاسبها وصيانتها، وفي طور التأسيس لعالميته وتثبيت مفاهيمها وأبعادها، من الثقافة إلى السياسة أسوة بما حدث في لبنان قبل أكثر من ثلاثين عاماً عندما تحوّلت ساحات عاشوراء إلى قواعد انطلاق للمقاومة. وهذا يعني أن كل مَن يفهم من جزئيات منفصلة في الخطاب دعوات التهدئة ليبني عليها استنتاجاً خاطئاً بأن تلك استجابة لتأثيرات الضغوط سيقع في الاشتباه والوهم. فالتهدئة في ساحات لا تخدم المواجهة فيها مشروع المقاومة ناتجة عن كون المقاومة لا تريد التلهي بالمواجهات الجانبية، لأن لديها الكثير لتفعله في الساحات التي تشكل ميدان ما رسمته لنفسها للمرحلة المقبلة.

– يضع السيد نصرالله إطاراً جامعاً لعدد من فقرات خطابه حول أوضاع المنطقة عنوانها ترصيد أرباح الانتصارات من سورية بتثبيت نهاية الحرب وتكريس نصر الدولة السورية برئيسها وجيشها، إلى العراق وتثبيت بنية سياسية ودستورية تقطع الطريق على أعداء مشروع المقاومة، إلى الصمود في اليمن حتى ينتزع مشروع المقاومة حق الشراكة ويكسر العنجهية السعودية المرتكزة على التشجيع الأميركي، وصولاً إلى فلسطين حيث الاستثمار على عائدات المشروع الأميركي لتصفية القضية الفلسطينية، في تنمية مشروع المقاومة وتوحيد المواقف الفلسطينية تحت عنوانه العريض القائم على لا جدوى خيار التفاوض وسقوط مشروع التسوية.

– المهمة الراهنة المفصلية في مشروع المقاومة تبدو لبنانياً وإقليمياً ودولياً، وفقاً لخطاب السيد نصرالله، هي تدمير أسطورة سلاح الجو الإسرائيلي، بصفته آخر بقايا مصادر الأوهام التي تتسبّب بالعدوانية الإسرائيلية والغطرسة الأميركية والتحاق بعض العرب بهما، ومشروع المقاومة الذي فاز بتدمير قدرة الاحتلال وفرض عليه الانسحاب، فاز بتدمير أسطورة سلاح البحر وسلاح المدرعات وسلاح نخب المشاة في حرب تموز 2006، وفاز بتدمير صورة جهازَيْ المخابرات الأميركية والإسرائيلية وحلفائهما الإقليميين والدوليين في حربي سورية والعراق بوجه التنظيمات المستولدة من رحم الفكر الوهابي، وبقي تدمير صورة سلاح الجو ممراً إلزامياً لجعل لبنان آمناً بوجه مخاطر العدوان، ومهمة راهنة لإنهاء الوضع الذي قال إنه لا يُطاق ولا يُحتمل في الاعتداءات الإسرائيلية المتكررة على سورية، وما يجب أن يفعله محور المقاومة في مواجهتها. وهذه المهمة بضرب صورة التفوّق الجوي الإسرائيلي تبدو مفصلية في خطاب السيد حول مشروع المقاومة المترابط ثقافياً ووجدانياً بالمسيرة

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Sayyed Narallah: Hezbollah to Remain in Syria, “Israeli” Attacks Are No More Tolerable

Full Video (Arabic) below

Zeinab Essa

Hezbollah Secretary General His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah delivered on Wednesday a speech in which he tackled various Lebanese, regional and international topics.

Addressing tens of thousands of mourners commemorating the 10th night of Muharram, Sayyed Nasrallah thanked the Lebanese Army and security forces and all those who contributed to providing the security environment for Ashura.

“We-in Hezbollah-look to the American administration as an enemy while some in Lebanon view it as an ally,” His Eminence stated.

Addressing America’s allies in the region, Sayyed Nasrallah asked: “Does strengthening of  US in sake of “Israel” all over the time moves in the interest of the peoples in the region?”

He further asked the Lebanese who oppose Hezbollah’s stance towards the US administration if they have any evidence to prove that it is a friend of our country.

“Is it in the interest of the Palestinian and Lebanese people as well as the region that [US President Donald] Trump recognizes Al-Quds as the capital of “Israel”? he asked,  adding: “Is it in the interests of the Lebanese people that America revoke the Palestinians their right of return and boycott the UNRWA?”

Sayyed Nasrallah went on to ask:

“Is America a friend of the Palestinian people as it fights them to deprive them of their right to have their own state? Didn’t the US bring the terrorist takfiri groups into our region to destroy it? Is this in the interest of the people in the region?”

He further slammed the US administration and particularly its National security Advisor John Bolton for threatening the International Criminal Court if it acts against the apartheid “Israeli” entity.

Meanwhile, Sayyed Nasrallah cautioned that the US administration is pushing for the naturalization of Palestinians to serve “Israel’s” interests. “Who’s in favor of a demographic change in Lebanon and Syria? We are before countries and political forces who are obstructing the return of refugees.”

“The real ruler in some Arab and Islamic countries is the American ambassador,” Hezbollah Secretary General stressed.

According to His Eminence,

“The US support has prolonged Daesh’s [Arabic Acronym for the terrorist “ISIS”/”ISIL” group] presence in some areas in northeastern Syria. Daesh militants are being transferred to Afghanistan, Pakistan, Egypt and Yemen via US helicopters.”

“The US threatens the people of the region by imposing sanctions on them,” Sayyed Nasrallah reiterated, pointing out that “Saudi Arabia started the war on Yemen and announced its objectives, with the US support and assistance.”

In parallel, Sayyed Nasrallah warned that the US is the real problem in the region. “Even “Israel” is a tool for the US schemes.”

“The US interferes in all the internal affairs of the countries, even in the affairs of world powers such as Russia and France,” he said advising all those who want to deal with the US administration as an enemy to pay attention and be cautious.

On the internal Lebanese front, His Eminence viewed that “dissociating ourselves and our country from what is happening in the region is a serious controversial issue in Lebanon.”

“The events in the region are critical for the Lebanese people,” Sayyed Nasrallah confirmed, highlighting that “Lebanon cannot be separated from what’s happening in the region.”

He also wondered: “Isn’t  the deal of the century and the way the US administration is addressing the issues of Palestine implicating Lebanon?”

“All political parties in Lebanon intervened in the Syrian crisis according to their capabilities,” he added, calling the Lebanese “before convincing yourselves, you must convince Daesh and al-Nusra that the events in Syria and Iraq are internal affairs.”

To the Lebanese, Sayyed Nasrallah said: “The fate of Lebanon is made in Lebanon and in the fields of the region.”

“Had Daesh seized control of Syria, what would have Lebanon’s fate been?” he questioned, announcing that “this year, we’ll witness the end of Daesh.”

Welcoming the Turkish-Russian agreement to create a buffer zone in Idlib, His Eminence described it as “good, reasonable and subjected to results.”

The Resistance Leader also announced that “Hezbollah will stay in Syria for the fight against terrorism as long as Damascus needs it.”

“No one can force us out of Syria… We will stay until further notice. We’ll stay there after Idlib’s agreement,” he stressed, adding, “Our presence there is tied to necessity and to the consent of the Syrian leadership.”

Sayyed Nasrallah underscored that “with the accord reached over Idlib, and if everything is done correctly, we can suppose that Syria will head towards a great calm, and in concrete terms there will no longer be front lines.”

On a related context, His Eminence confirmed that “the continuous “Israeli” aggression against Syria is being carried out under various excuses.”

““Israel” is working to prevent Syria from possessing missile capabilities that achieve a balance of deterrence,” he added, noting that “ the “Israeli” claims that Iran is arming Hezbollah in Latakia are totally baseless.”

Hezbollah Secretary General further highlighted that “a lot of “Israeli” attacks on Syria have nothing to do with arms transfers to Hezbollah. These attacks are linked to the failure of the US-Saudi scheme in the region.”

Meanwhile, Sayyed Nasrallah declared that “the “Israeli” attacks on Syria are no longer tolerable and must come to an end.”

Regarding the deadlock in the Lebanese internal front, His Eminence said that everyone is talking about the seriousness of the situation in Lebanon. “Obstruction and paralysis are engulfing the cabinet formation process and no solution is looming in the horizon,” he stated.

Hezbollah Secretary General also urged the Lebanese sides to restore to calm and to resolve the controversial issues via communication and wisdom.

“No one can eliminate anyone in Lebanon and we must preserve the atmosphere of dialogue and calm,” Sayyed Nasrallah emphasized.

On another level, Sayyed Nasrallah renewed his party’s commitment to all aspects of its electoral program, on top of which is the fight against corruption.

“Those who conspire against our region, such as “Israel” and America, and all their allies will not recognize their defeat and our victory,” he mentioned.

Moving to Hezbollah’s internal arena, His Eminence  said that Hezbollah is under pressure such as the threat of war. However, he assured that “this is closer to the psychological threat than the actual one.”

“Among these pressures are threats of death, war and financial pressure,” Sayyed Nasrallah predicted.

However, according to the Resistance Leader, the most dangerous threats are related to the psychological warfare.

“Suffering failure in the military and security war, the enemies resorted to an attempt to strike us from within. All of this propaganda aims at distorting Hezbollah’s image and credibility,” he cautioned, noting that “our confidence in ourselves, path, resistance and party must be great.”

Sayyed Nasrallah concluded by saying:

“The resistance in Lebanon is the front line for scoring victories in Lebanon and the region. Those leaders, men, officials and incumbent environment are the ones who kicked ‘Israel’ out of Lebanon and made the first Arabic historical victory.Hezbollah’s youth were the ones who took part in repelling the biggest catastrophe that would have occurred in Lebanon and the region. Weren’t for those who are being verbally attacked today, Daesh would have been in your homes and destroyed your sanctities.”

Source: Al- Ahed news

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Sayyed Nasrallah Welcomes Idlib Accord: Hezbollah to Remain in Syria

Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Nasrallah announced that this year was the year of ISIL’s end militarily in the region, saying Hezbollah will remain in Syria until further notice.

In a televised speech marking the tenth night of Muharram in Beirut’s southern suburb on Wednesday, Sayyed Nasrallah said Hezbollah will remain in Syria as long as the Syrian administration views our presence as necessary. “As long as the Syrian leadership needs us we will stay there.”

Sayyed Nasrallah delivers a televised speech on the tenth night of Muharram“No one can force us out of Syria. We will stay there until further notice.”

“We will remain there even after the Idlib accord,” his eminence said, referring to a Russian-Turkish deal on Idlib, but indicated that the quietness of the fronts and less number of threats will naturally affect the number of Hezbollah fighters present. “With the Idlib accord, if everything is done correctly, we can suppose that Syria will head towards a great calm, and in concrete terms there will no longer be front lines.”

The leader welcomed the outcome of the Iranian, Russian and Turkish diplomacy to spare Idlib a military offensive that could have led to a catastrophic humanitarian situation, saying it was a step towards political solution in Syria but urged a careful implementation of the agreement. On Monday, Russia and Turkey agreed to exclude the military solution in Idlib in favor of enforcing a new demilitarized zone in Syria’s Idlib region from which terrorists will be required to withdraw by the middle of next month.

“This year is the year of ISIL’s end militarily in the region, and this is a great and very important victory for the region and salvation from a great ordeal,” Sayyed Nasrallah said.

Sayyed Nasrallah tackled the continuous Israeli attacks on Syria, saying they have nothing to do with transfer of arms to Hezbollah. “A lot of Israeli attacks on Syria have nothing to do with arms transfers to Hezbollah and Israel is seeking to prevent Syria from obtaining missile capabilities that guarantees it a balance of terror,” Sayyed Nasrallah indicated.

The Zionist army claimed Tuesday that strikes a day earlier on Latakia targeted a Syrian facility that was about to transfer weapons to Hezbollah on behalf of Iran.

“The Israeli attacks on Syria are only connected to the Israeli-US-Saudi fiasco. Such attacks on Syria had become unbearable anymore, it must be stopped,” Hezbollah’s S.G. pointed out. “The continuous Israeli aggression against Syria is being carried out under various excuses and claims that Iran is arming Hezbollah in Latakia are totally baseless,” he added.

Hezbollah leader elaborated on US influence on some internal and regional axes, saying: “We view the US administration as an enemy, however, others in the region consider it a friend and ally. I ask the Lebanese who have different viewpoints towards the US administration, can you give us a clue on its friendship?”

“I ask US allies in the region, Is consolidating ‘Israel’ in the favor of the Arab peoples? Is America a friend of the Palestinian people as it fights them to deprive them of their right to have their own state? Is America’s boycott of UNRWA in the interest of Palestinians and Lebanese? Is [US President Donald] Trump’s recognition of Al-Quds as the Israeli capital in the favor of the Palestinian people? Is it not the US who came with Takfiri groups to the region?” Sayyed Nasrallah wondered.

He said Washington was helping the Saudi-led coalition in its war on Yemen, and warned all regional actors about the consequences of cooperating with the US in its plots against the region.

“The US is threatening the people of the region by imposing sanctions on them. The US administration had even become fed up with the International Criminal Court and threatened to take measures against it,” his eminence said, assuring that the real ruler in some Arab and Islamic countries was the US ambassador.

He also said the US was the one pushing towards naturalization in Lebanon in favor of ‘Israel’. “Who’s in favor of a demographic change in Lebanon and Syria? we are before countries and political forces who are obstructing the return of refugees.”

“Who in some Arab and Islamic countries would dare to condemn the US interference in internal affairs? Isn’t the way the US is dealing with the Palestinian cause has its effect on Lebanon?”

Supporters gather to salute their leader in the tenth night of Muharram

Sayyed Nasrallah, however, praised the Iraqi people who were able to reject the US dictations despite pressure and threats.

Relatively, his eminence said Lebanon cannot be separated from what’s happening in the region. “Dissociation is a serious controversial issue in Lebanon, as the events in the region are critical for the Lebanese people. Had ISIL controlled Syria, what would have the destiny of Lebanon, Iraq, Jordan and Gulf states been?” All Lebanese parts, he said, intervened in the Syrian crisis each according to their capabilities.

His eminence also accused the US of prolonging ISIL’s presence in some areas Northeast of Syria. “ISIL is being transferred to Afghanistan, Pakistan, Egypt and Yemen via US helicopters,” he said.

In the meantime, Sayyed Nasrallah said the case of East of Euphrates was linked to the US decision, calling on the Kurds not to bet on Washington. He addressed Kurds in Syria by saying that “Washington could abandon you at any price, I urge you to negotiate with the Syrian government.”

Turning to the stalled Cabinet formation process, the Hezbollah leader said “obstruction and paralysis” were prevailing, but assured that no one can eliminate anyone in Lebanon. He said in this context that Hezbollah will submit anti-corruption and anti-backup bills.

“Those who are conspiring on our region, like US, ‘Israel’ and who stand behind them, will not concede defeat,” Sayyed Nasrallah pointed out, uncovering that Hezbollah was exposed to threats like threats of an upcoming war, “but they are more psychological than factual.”

Hezbollah’s leader warned that what’s being written and said via social media was part of a war scheme against Hezbollah. “All of this propaganda aims at distorting Hezbollah’s image and credibility.”

However, he called on people to be wise in what they post and share on social media and to remain cautious.

At the end of his speech, the S.G. said the resistance in Lebanon was the first to make victory in Lebanon and the region. “Those leaders, men, officials and incumbent environment are the ones who kicked ‘Israel’ out of Lebanon and made the first Arabic historical victory,” his eminence added. “Hezbollah fighters are the ones who repelled the most dangerous catastrophe that could have plagued Lebanon and the region.
Addressing those who are waging a campaign against Hezbollah, Sayyed Nasrallah said: “you will eventually fail in this psychological war because we base our readiness to sacrifice on our beloved Imam Hussein (AS) who is the symbol of dignity and sacrifice.”

Source: Al-Manar English Website

 

 

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Those Coming to Kill Us…

Al-Ahed News

“Those Coming to Kill Us” was the title of an article published on the website of “Israel’s” Channel 2 and authored by its analyst Shay Levy. The analyst talks about the increasing level of threat on both the northern and southern fronts.

The article reads as follows:

The last “Hebrew” calendar year was a difficult one in terms of security for “Israel”: the war in Syria which is coming to an end, in return an increased threat from Hezbollah. From the south, we came close to another military operation in Gaza, while the West Bank turned into a volcano threatening everyone with an eruption.

The countries in the region continue to arm themselves with various types of weapons. Part of which poses a threat to “Israel” and another part is not a threat at all. There are practically some countries that have secret relations with Tel Aviv, without the knowledge of its citizens. Eternal enemies have become allies in recent years, and the Americans and Russians have returned to the struggle for regional hegemony.

In short, the Middle East can be described in one word: chaos. It seems that the new “Hebrew” calendar year will be no less tense. So, it is the right time to understand exactly who is threatening us and why. In essence, what is the magnitude of the threat we face?

The threat level from Iran is high. The threat is focal and consists of: surface-to-surface missiles, sophisticated manufacturing of unmanned aerial vehicles and arms in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza as well as activities abroad with Iranian cover that would drag “Israel” into a war like the First Lebanon War.

According to an “Israeli” expert, “Tehran is strengthening its traditional capabilities.” The annual strategic assessment of the Institute for National Security Research stated that “Israel” will face a more dangerous Iran in the mid and long term.

The level of Hezbollah’s threat to “Israel” is high. The main threat lies in the infiltration of “saboteurs” cells into settlements in the Galilee and the capture of soldiers and civilians, the firing of missiles and rockets into “Israel” in addition to the planting of explosive devices and a full-scale war that could extend to the Syrian arena.

According to the strategic assessment, Hezbollah continues to pose the most serious conventional threat since it possesses rocket-propelled grenades for all ranges which are more lethal than before. It also has precision rockets, unmanned attack aerial vehicles, advanced coast-sea missiles, state-of-the-art Russian air defense and land units trained to occupy villages inside “Israeli” territory.

Although popular attention is directed southward, it is clear to everyone that Gaza is only a prelude to the real war that will erupt specifically against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Even within the “Israeli” army, officials are between careful and keen to make it clear that the next war will not be like the one that took place in 2006. They do not only mean through the Winograd Commission.

The commander of the Northern Region Major-General Yoel Strik recently said that the next war would not be the third Lebanon war, but the North’s final war. Indeed, according to various estimates, the next war in Lebanon will be more difficult: the force that will be employed by the “Israeli” army will be double, even triple the size of the previous war. Hezbollah did not rely on past glories but continued to increase its massive missiles arsenal.

The intelligence apparatus estimates that Hezbollah has acquired an additional 150,000 rockets and missiles since 2006. And it can launch hundreds of rockets into “Israeli” territory every day. In this case, the air force cannot stop the fire alone, but will call on ground forces to battle as well.

Meanwhile, the level of threat from the Gaza Strip is medium to high. The main threat could be offensive tunnels, infiltration of cells into border villages with the Gaza Strip, capturing soldiers and civilians, launching rocket-propelled grenades, roadside bombs and a full-scale military operation.

According to the research center, the probability of the situation intensifying is very high. It is true that Hamas is deterred, but it continues to build its strength. Even though both sides are not concerned with this, a confrontation may erupt due to an uncontrolled escalation of a local incident or a deep socio-economic crisis in the Strip that explodes onto “Israel”.

The threat level from Syria is average. The main threat could be through the firing of rockets and anti-tank missiles, air defenses, operations against the “Israeli” soldiers along the border and the situation deteriorating into a full-scale war.

Reports from the Directorate of Military Intelligence “Aman” confirm that the likelihood of war with Syria and Lebanon will increase dramatically after the end of the war in Syria. Even technical terms have changed from the Third Lebanon War to the “North’s War”.

On the other hand, the level of threat from the Gulf States to “Israel” is low. The main threats are represented by regular and improved armies and pro-Iran organizations. Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates have huge armies. They have invested billions of dollars and equipped into their armed forces with the best combat systems. It is true that in the past Saudi Arabia sent military forces to wage wars against “Israel”, but today the Gulf countries have a common enemy with “Israel” which is Iran.

The talk is not only centered on the nuclear threat. Iran is operating “Houthi arms” in Yemen which are fighting against the Saudis. The rockets launched by the Houthis towards ships in the Black Sea raised great concern within the “Israeli” security establishment. The Iranian threat produced a system of secret alliances that will prevent any chance of war.

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BRILLIANT 53RD BIRTHDAY WISHES TO SYRIAN PRESIDENT DR. BASHAR AL-ASSAD, LION OF DAMASCUS AND STEADFAST PATRON OF MOUQAWAMAH

by Jonathan Azaziah

When the American regime demanded regional subservience after launching the illegal invasion of Iraq, he said we’ll keep our independence… Thanks but no thanks… And blasted the “WMD” lies too.

When the secular nationalists thought they could exploit his political inexperience and told him to clamp down on religion across the state, he went the alternative route as he saw true faith as an ideological bulwark against Western-Zionist cultural imperialism. He worked with the Patriarchs to protect Christianity and also cooperated closely with Sheikh Muhammad Said Ramadan al-Bouti (R.A.) to spread true and pure Islam among the youth whilst rebuking Wahhabi-Takfiri thought. Furthermore, he stressed the importance of Islamic-Christian unity.

When the ‘Israelis’ rampaged through the ’48 Lands, the West Bank, Al-Quds and Gaza during the Second Intifada, he called on all Arabs to scream out for Palestine and doubled down on his military support for the Palestinian Resistance.

When Lebanon came under attack by the Zionist entity in the summer of 2006, he spared no expense in providing the Lebanese Islamic Resistance of Hizbullah with anything and everything it needed to withstand and ultimately defeat the aggressors.

Then, disgusted with the response from Saudi Arabia and its GCC partners to what had befallen the Lebanese people at the hands of the Zio-Tumor, he labeled them “half-men”.

When the French colonialist ZOG led by the Zionist Jew Sarkozy came to him with an offer of full Western-NATO support pending his government drop support for Iran, Hizbullah and the Palestinian caused, he declined and tossed the frog out of his country.

When the illegitimate “Tel Aviv” regime approached him through back channels to sell his nation down the tubes and “negotiate” over the occupied Golan Heights, he upheld 10,000 years of civilization in Bilad al-Sham and delivered a message of rejection.

When the Zio-Imperialists came for Venezuela, he was at the side of El Comandante Hugo Chavez. When the Zio-Imperialists came for Libya, he didn’t let Muammar Qadhafi face the assault alone.

And when the International Jewish Imperium, with the full force of ‘Israel’, NATO and the GCC backing up the plan, brought hundreds of thousands of terrorists from all over the world to his country, giving them hundreds of billions of dollars in heavy arms and cash, training them, guiding them, providing them medical treatment and laying out their directives of regime change, destabilization and mass murder, he didn’t bow. He stood tall. Mobilized his citizenry and his armed forces. Called in his allies from Lebanon, Iraq, the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation. Mounted a counter-offensive. Resisted. Now he stands on the verge of total victory over the most vicious compilation of mercenaries in the history of 4th/5th Generation Warfare.

He could’ve lived a quiet life as an ophthalmologist at the Western Eye Hospital in London, where he was trained in the field. Instead he returned to his homeland to lead and be whatever his family and his people needed him to be so he could move the nation into the future.

That–ALL of that–is why we support Syrian President Dr. Bashar al-Assad; why we love and respect him; why we respect and salute him; and why we wish him the happiest of happy birthdays on his 53rd year on this planet. Not just a President but a leader  and a man of the people in every sense. Not just a revolutionary but a Mouqawamist with a damn high station. Not just a legend to be appreciated, cherished and safeguarded by Syrians but all Arabs, all Muslims, all Christians and all free-thinking people no matter where they come from. The most brilliant born-day wishes to you on the anniversary of your birth o’ Lion of Dimashq! O’ Patron of Mouqawamah! O’ Syrian hero! May you have 53 more and may they all be as victorious as this one!

واشنطن تصعّد لكنها تستعدّ لما بعد الخسارة

 

سبتمبر 15, 2018

ناصر قنديل

– في مناخ الرسائل العالية السقوف التي تصدر عن إدارة الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب، سواء تجاه روسيا أو تجاه إيران، وخصوصاً تجاه سورية، تبدو إدارة ترامب واثقة من خسارة الجولة وتستعدّ لما بعدها. والواضح أن الضجيج يجري على كل المحاور، لكن الاشتباك الحقيقي في سورية وعنوانه إدلب، وأول الكلام اللافت هو حديث وزير الخارجية الأميركية مايك بومبيو عن اتهام القيادة الإيرانية بأنها تبيع المسلمين بالنفط. وفي التفاصيل يقول بومبيو إن إيران تساوم على مصير المسلمين في الصين وما يتعرّضون له، لقاء بيعها للنفط بكميات ضخمة للسوق الصينية. والكلام النابع من نفاق واضح يعرفه بومبيو الذي يدرك أن قضية المسلمين الأولى منذ قرابة قرن ولا تزال هي القدس، وأنه وفقاً لمقياسه، فبماذا يبيع الحكام المسلمون الذين يسيرون وراء أميركا، قدسهم وإسلامهم ومصير المسلمين؟ لكن بومبيو يعترف بكلامه ضمناً بأن واشنطن خسرت حرب العقوبات، لجعل مبيعات إيران من النفط صفراً كما قال سابقاً، وكما أكدت مندوبة واشنطن في نيويورك نيكي هايلي قبل يومين.

– الإشارة الثانية تقدمها الوثيقة المنشورة لمعهد واشنطن المعروف بدعمه لـ«إسرائيل» وتبنيه خيارات التصعيد ضد سورية وإيران، تتناول معركة إدلب المرتقبة وتنشر لها الخرائط، ومما تقوله الوثيقة، إن الهجوم الذي تستعد له سورية وحلفاؤها سيتم حكماً، وأنه سينجح حكماً أيضاً، متوقعة أن يستهدف حركة مزدوجة من الغرب والجنوب، ليتقاطع عند معرة النعمان، ويحكم سيطرته عليها وعلى جسر الشغور، ويقطع منطقة سيطرة جبهة النصرة والجماعات المسلحة إلى نصفين، ما يجعل مفاوضة النصف المحاصر عندها والمكوّن من جماعات محسوبة على تركيا، للانسحاب نحو عفرين وجرابلس، ليبدأ الهجوم الثاني بعد مفاوضات ستضطر بنيجتها تركيا للتجاوب مع دعوتها للانسحاب إلى ما بعد مدينة إدلب، حيث سيسهل دفع جبهة النصرة نحو الشمال قرب الحدود التركية، وإحكام السيطرة السورية على مدينة إدلب وجوارها، لتكون المرحلة الثالثة هي الشريط الحدودي مع تركيا والمرتبطة بمصير مفاوضات سياسية وأمنية، وعمل عسكري سيكون ساحقاً لإنهاء جبهة النصرة، وهذا السيناريو بمعزل عن قربه من الواقع أم لا يحمل تعبيراً سياسياً واضحاً بالتسليم بالفشل المتوقع للحملة الأميركية.

– الإشارة الثالثة حملتها الملخصات التي تتداولها جماعات المعارضة السورية لما سُمّي بالأفكار الأميركية للحل السياسي التي وزعتها واشنطن على حلفائها الغربيين والخليجيين ونالت تأييدهم، وفي الوثيقة الأميركية كثير مما تتضمنه المواقف التقليدية للإدارة الأميركية حول مطالبة سورية بالابتعاد عن إيران وحزب الله، وحول التخلص من كل أنواع أسلحة الدمار الشامل، لكن التركيز في الوثيقة يتناول ما تسمّيه بالإصلاحات السياسية وسياقها، وجوهر الوارد يتوزع على محاور أبرزها أولاً، هو تمسّك باللجنة الدستورية التي تستضيفها جنيف، وما يعنيه ضمناً من قبول لمرجعية روسيا في الحل السياسي، ولكن ليس مرجعية مؤتمر سوتشي، وثانياً ربط إعادة الإعمار بالتفاهم على الدستور الجديد والانتخابات، وثالثاً ربط الانتخابات وعودة النازحين بالرعاية الأممية. وهذه العناوين التي لا يمكن قبولها بالنسبة لسورية وروسيا وإيران، تبقى ذات طابع تفاوضي، لأن الجوهري الواضح هو عدم تناول مستقبل الرئاسة السورية في أي بند من الوثيقة، رغم ورود كلام أميركي قبل أيام عن ربط إعادة الإعمار بمستقبل الرئاسة السورية، ليصير النص في الوثيقة على تعديل صلاحيات الرئيس كبند من بنود الإصلاح. وهذا يعني تسليماً ضمنياً بأن الرئيس السوري سيكون المنتصر في المواجهة القائمة، وأن التمهيد يجري للتأقلم مع هذه الحقيقة كأمر واقع بعد نهاية جولة المواجهة.

– ما يجري من العراق إلى اليمن إلى سورية إلى لبنان يقول إن محور المقاومة وروسيا يقتربون من ساعة النصر الحاسم، وأن الأميركي يستعدّ للتأقلم مع ما يستطيع ابتلاعه من النتائج، وفتح التفاوض على ما تبقى، لكنه كما نرى ونعيش هذه الأيام، تفاوض على صفيح ساخن.

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