Israeli Airstrikes Contribute To Further Escalation Of Syrian Conflict

 

Voiceover by Harold Hoover

Israeli warplanes reportedly delivered airstrikes against Syrian army targets in the Qasioun Mount region near Damascus early on March 22nd. Israeli jets allegedly carried out four rounds of airstrikes. There were no reports about casualties or damage suffered by Syrian government forces.

Initially reports about the incident appeared in pro-militant social media accounts and then were widely spread by the Israeli media. If confirmed, the recent raids were the fourth round of airstrikes attributed to Israel in Syria in less than a week.

The reports about the fresh Israeli airstrikes in Syria came just a few hours after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to continue hitting targets in Syria. Netanyahu made this claim during a visit to China, adding that he had informed Putin of Israel’s intentions.

The Russian Foreign Ministry summoned Israel’s Ambassador to Moscow to protest an Israeli military strike near the Syrian city of Palmyra last Friday. This was after Israeli jets breached Syrian air space and attacked a military target near Palmyra on the night of March 17th. According to Israel’s Channel 2, the Israeli strike hit close to Russian troops. In turn, the Syrian military fired several anti-aircraft missiles at Israeli warplanes and claimed that one of them was destroyed and another one hit. The Israel Defense Forces denied these claims and said that one missile fired from the ground was intercepted by the Arrow 2 anti-ballistic missile.

Following the incident, Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman, threatened to destroy Syrian air defense systems. “The next time the Syrians use their air defense systems against our planes we will destroy them without the slightest hesitation,” Lieberman said on Israeli public radio.

At the same time, Israel continued to push the narrative that Russia and other powers must move to limit Iran’s military strength in Syria. The director-general of Israel’s Intelligence Ministry, Chagai Tzuriel, repeated this in an interview to Reuters on March 21st.

The growing Israeli propaganda and diplomatic and military efforts over the conflict in Syria came amid the intensification of military operations of the so-called moderate opposition against government forces in northern Hama and eastern Damascus. Jaish al-Islam and other groups invited to the Astana format supported the military actions of Hayat Tahir al-Sham (formerly Jabhat al-Nusra, the Syrian branch of al-Qaeda). This showed that the negotiations in Astana brokered by Ankara, Moscow, and Tehran resulted in no progress in separating “moderate rebels” from their “radical counterparts.”

Most likely, this situation is a result of the fact covered by SF in its last two videos about the geopolitical standoff in the post-ISIS Middle East – Turkey provides a general support to the Israeli efforts aimed at undermining the Assad government and limiting the Iranian influence. Turkey and Israel also share the ground in supporting so-called moderate rebels operating in western Syria.

Saudi Arabia’s Web of Hate Is Spreading One of the Worst Forms of Islam – And This Is Where It Leads

Douglas Murray

Its roots lie in the Middle East and its web of hate spreads across the globe. But it is also here in Britain – and growing.

 

Saudi Arabia's Web of Hate Is Spreading One of the Worst Forms of Islam - And This Is Where It Leads


Since Wednesday’s carnage we have learned that 52-year-old Khalid Masood is believed to have converted to one of the worst forms of ‘Islam.’

Whether during his time in prison, or the years he spent in Saudi Arabia, Masood adopted Wahhabism.

This misinterpretation of Islam grew up in the 18th century. It is a Middle Eastern movement similar to Calvinism.

A return to the strictest version of the religion. A joyless, unforgiving and hate-filled worldview. But in the 20th century this horrible worldview got lucky.

The House of Saud who ruled Saudi Arabia after its creation liked this form of Islam. And the Saudis had something the world increasingly wanted – oil.

And after the Arab oil embargo of 1973, the Saudis increasingly had the West held hostage. We needed Saudi oil, and they were happy to sell. But it was a devil’s bargain.

For the Saudis used their oil money for many things. They enriched themselves, living playboy lifestyles in London and Dubai.

But at the same time these hypocrites spread their harsh version of Islam around the globe. While rich Saudis drank, danced and smoked in Knightsbridge, the ideology they pushed taught another message.

At Wahhabi schools – known as madrasas – in the UK paid for by the Saudis, students are taught to hate the modern liberal West.

They are taught to despise and look down on us and our freedoms. The same message is taught at Wahhabi mosques across the world. The Saudis pay for the buildings and appoint the clerics.

Today across Europe there are thousands of such institutions of education and religion which exist because they are paid for by the Saudis.

In 2007 it was estimated that there were around 70 Wahhabi mosques in Britain. By 2015 the number had risen to 110.

In 2015 the flow of money to UK mosques was reported to have reached a record high. It is the same story almost everywhere in the world you go.

Wahhabism grows fast because it has deep pockets. The Saudis spend billions every year exporting this ideology.

An undercover investigation in 2007 found that Wahhabi mosques in the UK were encouraging the physical abuse of women who refused to cover their hair.

A more recent Channel 4 probe in January revealed mosques in Derby and Birmingham were preaching hardline messages.

Followers of Wahhabism include Lee Rigby murderer Michael Adebolajo, shoe bomber Richard Reid, 7/7 ringleader Mohammad Sidique Khan, and hate preacher Anjem Choudary.

There may be little we can do to stop this poison spreading around the world.
But there is a lot we can do to stop it at home.

We should have stopped the Saudis being allowed to spread their hatred here a long time ago. But a combination of greed for oil and fear of false charges of “Islamophobia” have stopped any British government to date from confronting this.

Last Wednesday we were reminded of where this disgusting ideology can lead. Perhaps now we can finally face it down. For all our sakes.

Source: The Sun, Edited by website team

25-03-2017 | 11:23

“The Syrian Revolution” Is A Big Lie, To Justify “America’s Humanitarian Massacre”

S0urce

By Kevork Almassian

fsa-alqaeda-dollars

This video by Kevork Almassian of Syrianna Analysis says it all.

The terrorists were  recruited by US NATO.

March 2011 marks the onslaught of a US-led war using terrorists as their foot-soldiers.

The unspoken objective was to destroy the secular state, create sectarian conflict  and install an Islamic proxy state.

 

سقوط أستانة في جنيف

سقوط أستانة في جنيف

مارس 25, 2017

ناصر قنديل

– لم يكن لقاء أستانة اجتماعاً تقنياً لتثبيت وقف النار بقدر ما كان فرصة قدّمتها روسيا لتركيا للتموضع وجلب مَن معها من فصائل مسلّحة تعرف موسكو تاريخاً وخلفياتها الدموية والإرهابية، إلى ضفة جديدة في الحرب محورها التخلي عن جبهة النصرة والاستعداد للانضواء في تحالف عنوانه الحرب على النصرة ونيل المقابل بدور لتركيا والفصائل في تسوية سياسية تحت سقف الدستور السوري وعباءة الرئيس السوري والجيش السوري تنتهي بدستور جديد وانتخابات، ووقف النار كان تقدمة روسية لتركيا والفصائل لتسهيل هذا التموضع، وليس قضية قائمة بذاتها ولا هدفاً بذاته.

– مهما حاولت الفصائل ومن ورائها تركيا ومن أمامها السعودية ووفد الرياض المفاوض لتبييض صورة ما يُرى، فالمشهد يجمع جبهة النصرة وعلى يمينها فيلق الرحمن الذي تديره تركيا وعلى يسارها جيش الإسلام الذي تشغله السعودية، والمشاركان في أستانة تحت عنوان فصل النصرة عن الفصائل، وذلك يعني سقوط أستانة كمسار والعودة بالحرب في سورية إلى مرحلة ما بعد سيطرة الجيش السوري وحلفائه على الأحياء الشرقية في حلب، واعتبار هجمات دمشق وريف حماة رداً على انتصار حلب.

– تركيا التي حاولت مقايضة سيرها في مسار أستانة بداية بحجز مقعد لها في التفاهم الروسي الأميركي المقبل، ولما تأخر حاولت بيعه للأميركيين بالعداء لإيران والانتظار في سورية ولما لم ينفعها دخول مدينة الباب كجواز مرور إلى منبج وفوجئت ببطاقة أميركية حمراء، عادت للمقايضة في أستانة، ثم تراجعت لأنها لم تحصُل من موسكو على موقف من الأكراد يلبي تطلعاتها باستئصالهم، هي تركيا ذاتها التي عادت الآن تقف وراء الفصائل لتوجه رسائل المشاغبة للقول لا يمكنكم تجاهلي فلا تزال هناك خيارات، والخيار الوحيد كما يبدو هو التموضع مع السعودية و«إسرائيل» للعب ورقة النصرة مرة أخرى.

– الاستقواء بالنصرة وتقويتها لتغيير قواعد الحرب والتفاوض سيف ذو حدين، فإن نجح قد يغير المعادلات مؤقتاً بتوازن سلبي يفرض زج المزيد من القوى والقدرات على سورية وحلفائها ليأخذها إلى الحسم الطويل والصعب، لكنه عندما يفشل فنتائجه ستكون مدوّية في الميدان والتفاوض، وما جرى في دمشق ويجري تباعاً في ريف حماة يقول إنها بدايات واضحة وحاسمة على مسار الفشل، والنتائج على تركيا والفصائل أبعد من الميدان والتفاوض، لأنها تعني سقوط مسار أستانة في موسكو.

– مسار أستانة روسي أصلاً، ولم يكن موضع حماس لا في دمشق ولا في طهران ولا لدى حزب الله، كما كانت الهدنة في مثل هذه الأيام العام الماضي، لكن روسيا حليف كبير ورئيسي ويهمّ الحلفاء أن تنضج خياراته بهدوء، لأنه معني بالظهور كمرجع للنزاعات الدولية يمنح الفرص للسلام والحلول السياسية. وهذه من موجبات الدولة العظمى التي لا تضرب خبط عشواء، لكن متى أقفلت أبواب الحلول فهي لا تفتحها مجدداً بل تضرب بقسوة وبدقة وبحسم، وهذا ما فعلته موسكو في حلب يوم حسمت أن طريق الحلول قد سقط بعد منحها شهوراً للتفاوض مع واشنطن وصناعة التفاهم معها. وهذا المعنى الأعمق لسقوط مسار أستانة.

– قال مصدر روسي إن الذين خرقوا وقف النار في ريف ردمشق وريف حماة سيدفعون ثمناً باهظاً لتلاعبهم وخداعهم، فكيف وهم يقاتلون مع النصرة؟

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Illegal U.S. Occupation Forces in Syria and Iraq: Pentagon Intends Establishing “Interim Zones of Stability”

Illegal U.S. Occupation Forces in Syria and Iraq: Pentagon Intends Establishing “Interim Zones of Stability”

By Stephen Lendman,

terror-usa-war-america-bombs-flag

Addressing members of America’s imperial war coalition in Washington Wednesday, Rex Tillerson said Washington intends establishing “interim zones of stability” in Syria and Iraq – without further elaboration.

US-installed Iraqi puppet leader Haider al-Abadi was pressured to let US forces operate in Iraqi territory.

He’s silent on relentless Pentagon terror-bombing, massacring Mosul civilians, ones escaping saying they fear US warplanes as much as ISIS.

Pentagon special forces and marines in Syria are “invaders,” operating illegally, Bashar al-Assad explained. They’re aiding anti-government terrorists pursue US regime change plans.

No-fly or safe zones in foreign countries are illegal without Security Council authorization – not forthcoming with near certain Russian and likely Chinese veto power. US pressure will likely get Abadi to go along. If not, expect a new puppet leader installed to replace him.

Assad rejects them, earlier saying they won’t protect civilians. Domestic safety is only possible when peace, stability and security are restored. Safe zones imposed by foreign powers are illegal and unrealistic.

Why were Syrians displaced in the first place, he asked? For two reasons, he explained:

— “terrorist acts and support from the outside,” as well as

— “the (US) embargo on Syria,” creating enormous hardships for ordinary people through much of the country.

Syrians will again be safe when terrorism is defeated, the embargo lifted, and illegal sanctions rescinded.

Longstanding US/Israeli plans call for redrawing the Middle East map, including partitioning Iraq and Syria – governments in both countries, Iran and Lebanon replaced by pro-Western puppet regimes.

Turkey wants northern Syria and Iraq annexed. Establishing safe zones in either or both countries would require thousands of troops for enforcement.

Last November, Trump endorsed the idea, deplorably saying

“(b)uild a big, beautiful safe zone, and you have whatever it is so people can live, and they’ll be happier.”

Hillary Clinton earlier urged establishing a no-fly zone, the same scheme she used to launch US-led NATO aggression on Libya.

Russia rejects what Assad and his government oppose. CENTCOM commander General Joseph Votel supports safe zones in “areas that have already been secured,” he said.

Nothing is secure in war theaters. Baghdad is repeatedly targeted by car-bombings and other terrorist attacks, taking a horrendous human toll.

Endless US imperial wars rage in Syria, Iraq, the horrendous human toll harming civilians most.

All US wars are based on Big Lies, waged for imperial conquest and dominance, unrelated to humanitarian intervention, liberating oppressed people or democracy building.

Stephen Lendman lives in Chicago

From Paris to London: Another City, Another Attack with Elements from «ISIS» Playbook

Patrick Cockburn

In the immediate aftermath of what police are describing as a terrorist incident in and around Parliament, at least three facts stand out suggesting that the attacks are similar to those carried out over the last two years by “ISIS” supporters in Paris, Nice, Brussels and Berlin.

UK's Big Ben

The similarities with the events today are in the targets of the attacks which in all cases were ordinary civilians, but the means of trying to cause mass casualties differs. In Nice, Berlin and London no fire arms were used by the attackers, while in Paris and Brussels there was a coordinated assault in which guns and explosives were employed.

In Nice on 14 July 2016 a truck killed 86 people and injured hundreds, driving at speed through crowds watching a firework display on the Promenade des Anglais until the driver was shot dead by police. “ISIS” claimed that he was answering their “calls to target citizens of coalition nations that fight ‘ISIS'”. Britain is a member of the coalition with aircraft and Special Forces troops in action against “ISIS” in Iraq and Syria.

“ISIS” claimed responsibility for a lorry which drove into a Christmas market in 19 December 2016, killing 12 and injuring dozens. As with Nice, this appears to resemble what happened on Westminster Bridge, going by first reports.

The overall location of the attacks today may be significant and would fit in with the way that “ISIS” normally operates when carrying out such atrocities. This is to act in the center of capital cities or in large provincial ones in order to ensure 24/7 publicity and maximize the effectiveness of the incident as a demonstration of “ISIS’s” continuing reach and ability to project fear far from its rapidly shrinking core areas in Syria and Iraq.

“ISIS” is sophisticated enough to know that such attacks carried out in news hubs like London or Paris will serve their purposes best. In cases of attack with a knife or a vehicle then “ISIS” would not need to provide more than motivation, though individuals seldom turn out to have acted alone. It may no longer have cells in Europe capable of obtaining fire arms or making bombs.

It could be that the attacks were carried out by another group, the most obvious candidate being one of the affiliates of al-Qaeda in Yemen. Syria or elsewhere. On 11 March 2017 Jabhat Fateh al-Sham, formerly Jabhat al-Nusra, the Syrian affiliate of al-Qaeda, carried out two bombing attacks in Damascus, killing 59 people, mostly Shia pilgrims from Iraq visiting holy sites. But the Syrian arm of al-Qaeda, while carrying out suicide bombings against targets in Syria, has previously avoided doing so abroad in order to make itself more diplomatically palatable than “ISIS”.

Could the attacks on Westminster Bridge and in Parliament be linked to the siege of Mosul where “ISIS” has lost the east of the city and half the west since an Iraqi army offensive started o n17 October? “ISIS” has traditionally tried to offset defeats on the battlefield, by terrorist attacks aimed civilians that show they are still very much a force to be feared. The same logic led to the ritual decapitation, drowning and burning of foreign journalists and domestic opponents.

The most likely speculation at this early stage is that the attacks in London are inspired or directed by “ISIS”, but there is too little evidence to make the connection with any certainty. “ISIS” often holds off claiming such atrocities for several days to increase speculation and intensify terror.

Source: Independent, Edited by website team

23-03-2017 | 11:22

Syria: the blow of the strategic confusion to Israel سورية : ضربة الإرباك الاستراتيجي لـ«إسرائيل»

Syria: the blow of the strategic confusion to Israel

مارس 24, 2017

Written by Nasser Kandil,

Any serious rational person does not need a proof to read the quality of the region’s entities, their governments, and the degree of their impact on drawing the international policies to make a conclusion, if Israel did have not a vital interest and a detailed control over the course of the war on Syria there would not be a war. Without America the Saudi desires and hatreds cannot tamper the maps of the sensitive area that affects all of the international and the regional balances. Without America the serious Ottoman dreams cannot lead to a war along with Saudi Arabia and Qatar, for which they bring ten thousands of the elements of Al-Qaeda organization and led to the change of the equations of the Middle East and the security rules in it. Without the US interest in filling the gap which will result from leaving Iraq and Afghanistan, America would not think of the war on Syria, but if the war was not an Israeli need and if Israel was not reassured that every detail can achieve its concept of the strategic security the war would not turn from a desire to a decision.

The formations of the political and the military opposition have been submitted to the Israeli checking as well as to the testing of their leaders, their official commanders, and their negotiators. The growth of the presence of extremist Islamist at their forefront the Wahhabi was to control those but under the Israeli ceiling. Moreover the Saudi progress from the security normalization to the public normalization with Israel as a precondition and the waging of Israel of the war of Yemen to destroy the ballistic missiles and the positioning in Hodeidah has been settled by Israeli request, otherwise it did not get the US approval, or else the Americans were not wait for three months to see the consequences of signing the understanding on the Iranian nuclear file. Those who want proofs have to stop in front of the meanings of the acts of the opposition formations by hitting the facilities of the electronic war in Syria and the eavesdropping centers at Israel in Daraa area on the first days of what they called “the revolution”, and to stop in front of targeting the networks of the air defense which were isolated in the mountains before what is so-called opposition, moreover to stop in front of the assassination of the leaders of the missiles warfare and their industry, and the aircraft officers who newly arrived from Russia for making courses on the new aircraft, towards the medical care and the sponsorship provided by Israel to Al-Qaeda organization and its militants, in addition to the announced statements about cooperating with it, and the boasting of the symbols of the opposition of their allied relation with Israel and their repeated visits to it.

The Israeli fiery support of the coordinated battles within the war on Syria which are waged by the formations of the armed groups under US sponsorship from the MOC in Jordan and in which Saudi Arabia and Jordan participate has formed an inherent feature of the battles of the southern of Syria between the Syrian army and the formations named opposition at their forefront Al Nusra front, towards the Israeli announcement of the intention to form a security strip on the borders of Golan handed over by Al Nusra, like the equation of Israel in the southern of Lebanon when it was unable to have control on the overall of Lebanon, but after the fall of the project of having control on Syria Israel has to anticipate for what is beyond the end of the war and to answer what is next?

The Israelis confirm at all the levels of decision and analysis that the next scene will consist of four parts; the US political involvement which started with the understanding on the Iranian nuclear file and which will continue in breaking up the crises even in a winding way, the war on terrorism as an alternative of the war on Syria according to the challenges and the surrounding changes of the war and which are taking place in America and the west, the intense Russian presence in Syria as a strategic base that has the interest and the sponsorship, and the presence of coherent Syrian military force that has tested all the kinds of fight and threats of wars and has acquired immunity and solidness with the integration of the transformation of the qualitative force of Hezbollah into new force that perfects the arts of regular and semi-regular fight and the possession of fighting expertise in coordination with the air force, the armored-clad, the formations of the armies, and the wars of the cities and the rural areas, so the outbreak of  a war that leads to disabling the settlements’ prospects is an existential catastrophe to Israel.

The Israeli experts consider that the risk of such a war has made them in 2012 demand from the Americans to accelerate the thinking of how to change the regime in Syria, but they say today that the situation which they will inherit from the failed war on Syria will make the risks of 2010 mere ordinary comparing with the risks of 2020. Russia is now drawing the borders of the map and forming a ceiling for it. The capacities of Iran have been doubled, each day it has a new weapon from the ballistic missiles, tanks, and aircraft. The Syrian army and Hezbollah are growing superpower and the first army of the ground wars in the Middle East, but according to the concept of engagement the US decision to ask for the cooperation with Russia in the war on terrorism will mean one thing no matter how long, the setting afloat of the Syrian country sooner or later as the Iranian country has been set afloat by the understanding on the Iranian nuclear file.

Israel has drawn its strategy on the basis of slowing down the US movement toward a political settlement in Syria. It sent Mohammed Bin Salman and the suicide bombers of Damascus to say to Washington that the war of the north on ISIS is something that depends of its alliances and disputes, while the war of the south is something else it is your war, and that our war on the Iranian influence must not stop under the pretext of facilitating the war of the north. In contrast Benjamin Netanyahu went to Moscow to anticipate the forthcoming Russian timing and to gain margins of the military movement in Syria according to the equation of what we do not do today, will not be done tomorrow by us, and when he presented his intentions in front of the Russian President to dismiss the military tampering inside Syria and the investment on the equation that the treating with the country of his enemy that is governed by controls remains the best for the concept of the strategic security from the tampering in chaos which grants circumstantial  profits but it grants the irregular forces strategic gains to change the situations because they do not need but only for the time and the legitimacy of move, this is granted by Israeli tampering in the southern of Syria to Hezbollah, Netanyahu did not want to negotiate with Moscow but to be sufficient that he informed it, this is Israel and it is enough to do so.

Netanyahu returned and the preparations started to target Hezbollah in the southern of Syria. There was a necessary to test the results of Moscow’s visit and the extent of the ability of the Syrian army of repeating the dealing with the entry of the Israeli jets to the Syrian airspaces by launching advanced missiles at these jets, as happened four months ago and has obliged Israel to narrow their margins by resorting to the raids from the Lebanese airspaces to the extent of sixty kilometers, and launching missiles from the occupied territories with approximately the same range. Therefore the Israeli incursion in the Syrian airspaces has been coincided with the implementation of the US aircraft a raid on the sites of Al –Qaeda organization in the western of Aleppo by using planes from the base of the King Khaled in Saudi Arabia. It is known that the path over Jordan requires notifying the Israeli media after getting the approval of the Russians to pass safely in the Syrian airspaces, and it is known also that the US-Israeli- Jordanian-Saudi cooperation does not need proofs, nothing prevents that the US raid has been timed on the Israeli time, that the Israeli jets uses the same air corridor which is followed by the US aircraft and at the same time.

The most important in the test is the results. The Israeli statements reveal that what have been fallen in the villages of Irbid are the remains of the Arrow missile which was prosecuting the Syrian missiles which targeted the participated aircraft in the raid, this confirms that the path of the Israeli jets was over Jordan not over Lebanon. What Israel has announced is that the Arrow missile has failed in dropping the Syrian missiles which reached to the airspace of Jerusalem and Jericho and have fallen there by the US Patriot network, which means that the Arrow missile on which Israel depends in the Iron dome has been stopped from service and that the Syrian missiles have been launched from the vicinity of Homs. It seems that they were four missiles, two of them have targeted the attacker jets, and two of them have prosecuted the two protection jet planes, they reached to Jerusalem airspace, which means that their range has reached to five hundred kilometers, this makes them among the most modern types, What Israel has said to reduce the fear is that they were SAM 5 missiles, it is a manipulating in the words because SS300 is of the kind of SAM 5 as well as SS400 this means that what the Israeli experts have said on the TV networks and the Israeli press that the time of the Israeli air superiority is over is the most important.

The long term conclusions are that Israel which lost the ground and the sea superiority is losing the air superiority now, and that Russia which is in the heart of the war will not grant Israel guarantees for moving in the Syrian airspaces, and the Syrian leadership has the will and the ability to confuse Israel strategically and make a country that is unable to think in a war even limited without taking the adventure in a confrontation that is out of control.

Israel recognizes all of that, so it does not mind if tomorrow some of the Arabs including Syrians and Lebanese people grant Israel a majeure force in the war and an international political influence from America to Russia that it desires but it cannot reach, as has happened after the Israeli defeat in the war of July 2006 where Fouad Al Siniora was an adjective not a person.

Those who will ask after today where is the right of response let them keep silent.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

سورية : ضربة الإرباك الاستراتيجي لـ«إسرائيل»

مارس 18, 2017

ناصر قنديل

– لا يحتاج عاقل جدّي في قراءة نوعية كيانات المنطقة وحكوماتها ودرجة تأثيرها في رسم السياسات الدولية إلى دليل ليخلص إلى الاستنتاج، أنه لو لم تكن لإسرائيل مصلحة حيوية وسيطرة تفصيلية على مجريات الحرب على سورية لما كانت الحرب. فبدون أميركا لا يمكن للرغبات والأحقاد السعودية العبث بخرائط منطقة حساسة تؤثر على التوازنات الدولية والإقليمية كلها، ومن دون أميركا لا يمكن لأحلام العثمانية الجديدة أن تفتح حرباً تجلب إليها بالتعاون مع السعودية وقطر عشرات آلاف عناصر تنظيم القاعدة، وتقلب معادلات الشرق الأوسط وقواعد الأمن فيه، ومن دون مصلحة أميركية بملء الفراغ الذي سينتج عن مغادرة العراق وأفغانستان ما كانت أميركا لتفكر بالحرب في سورية وعليها، لكن من دون أن تصير الحرب حاجة «إسرائيلية»، ومن دون أن تطمئن «إسرائيل» إلى أن التفاصيل كلها ستدار بما يحقق مفهومها لأمنها الاستراتيجي لما تحوّلت الحرب من رغبة إلى قرار.

– تشكيلات المعارضة السياسية والعسكرية خضعت للتدقيق «الإسرائيلي»، وكذلك اختيار قادتها ومسؤولي تشكيلاتها القتالية، ومفاوضيها، ونموّ حضور الإسلاميين المتطرفين، وفي طليعتهم الوهابيون، جاء بضبط هؤلاء تحت السقف «الإسرائيلي»، وتقدم سعودي من التطبيع السرّي إلى التطبيع العلني مع «إسرائيل» كشرط مسبق، وخوض «إسرائيل» حرب اليمن لتدمير الصواريخ الباليستية اليمنية والتموضع في الحديدة تمّ بطلب «إسرائيلي»، وإلا لما حاز الموافقة الأميركية وانتظر الأميركيون نتائج الحرب ثلاثة شهور لتوقيع التفاهم على الملف النووي الإيراني، ولمن يريد شواهد عليه التوقف أمام معاني قيام تشكيلات المعارضة بضرب منشآت الحرب الإلكترونية في سورية ومراكز التنصّت على «إسرائيل» في منطقة درعا في الأيام الأولى لما سمّوه «ثورة»، وأمام استهداف شبكات دفاع جوي منعزلة في الجبال من قبل ما يُسمّى بالمعارضة، وأمام اغتيال قادة حرب الصواريخ وصناعتها، وضباط الطيران الوافدين حديثاً من روسيا من دورات على الطائرات الجديدة، وصولاً للطبابة والحضانة اللتين منحتهما «إسرائيل» لتنظيم القاعدة ومسلّحيه والتصريحات المعلنة عن التعاون معه، والمجاهرة من رموز المعارضة بالعلاقة التحالفية مع «إسرائيل» وزياراتهم المكررة لها.

– الإسناد الناري «الإسرائيلي» لمعارك منسّقة ضمن الحرب على سورية تخوضها تشكيلات الجماعات المسلحة برعاية أميركية من غرفة الموك في الأردن، وتشارك فيها السعودية والأردن، شكّل سمة ملازمة لمعارك جنوب سورية بين الجيش السوري والتشكيلات المسمّاة معارضة وفي طليعتها جبهة النصرة، وصولاً للإعلان «الإسرائيلي» عن نية إقامة حزام أمني على حدود الجولان تتولاه النصرة، أسوة بمعادلة «إسرائيل» في جنوب لبنان يوم استعصت السيطرة على كل لبنان، لكن مع سقوط مشروع السيطرة على سورية صار على «إسرائيل» التحسّب لما بعد نهاية الحرب، والإجابة عن سؤال ماذا بعد؟

– يؤكد «الإسرائيليون» على مستويات القرار والتحليل كلها، أن المشهد المقبل سيتكوّن من رباعية، الانخراط الأميركي السياسي الذي بدأ من التفاهم على الملف النووي الإيراني وسيستمرّ في فكفكة الأزمات ولو متعرّجاً، والحرب على الإرهاب كبديل للحرب على سورية، بما يتماشى مع التحديات والتغييرات المحيطة بالحرب والجارية في أميركا والغرب، والحضور الروسي المكثف في سورية كقاعدة استراتيجية تحظى بالاهتمام والرعاية، ووجود قوة عسكرية سورية متماسكة اختبرت كل أنواع القتال ومخاطر الحروب، واكتسبت مناعة وصلابة بالتكامل مع تحوّل قوة حزب الله النوعية إلى قوة جديدة تتقن فنون القتال النظامي وشبه النظامي، وامتلاك خبرات القتال بالتنسيق مع سلاح الجو ومع المدرعات وتشكيلات الجيوش، وحروب المدن والأرياف، ما يجعل نشوب حرب بسبب انسداد آفاق التسوية، كارثة وجودية لـ«إسرائيل».

– يعتبر الخبراء «الإسرائيليون» أن خطر مثل هذه الحرب هو الذي جعلهم عام 2010 يطلبون من الأميركيين الإسراع بالتفكير بكيفية تغيير النظام في سورية، لكنهم يقولون اليوم إن الوضع الذي سيرثونه من الحرب الفاشلة على سورية سيجعل مخاطر 2010 مجرد نزهة أمام مخاطر 2020، فروسيا باتت هنا ترسم حدود الخريطة وتشكل سقفاً لها، وإيران تضاعفت مقدراتها ولها كل يوم سلاح جديد، من الصواريخ الباليستية والدبابات والطائرات، والجيش السوري وحزب الله قوة عظمى تتنامى، وهو جيش الحروب البرية الأول في الشرق الأوسط والسير الأميركي بمفهوم الانخراط طلباً للتعاون مع روسيا في الحرب على الإرهاب سيعني شيئاً واحداً مهما طال الزمن، تعويم الدولة السورية كما عوّم التفاهم على الملف النووي الإيراني الدولة الإيرانية، عاجلاً أم آجلاً.

– رسمت «إسرائيل» استراتيجيتها على قاعدة إبطاء الحركة الأميركية نحو تسوية سياسية في سورية، فأوفدت محمد بن سلمان ومن خلفه انتحاريي دمشق ليقول لواشنطن، حرب الشمال على داعش شيء قد تستدعي تحالفاتها وخصوماتها، لكن حرب الجنوب شيء آخر فهي حربكم وحربنا على النفوذ الإيراني يجب ألا تتوقف بداعي تسهيل حرب الشمال. وبالمقابل ذهب بنيامين نتنياهو إلى موسكو لاستباق الزمن الروسي الآتي، والحصول على هوامش حركة عسكرية في سورية، وفقاً لمعادلة ما لا نفعله اليوم لن نستطيع فعله غداً، ولمّا عرض نياته أمام الرئيس الروسي سمع دعوته لصرف النظر عن العبث العسكري داخل سورية، والاستثمار على معادلة أن التعامل مع دولة سيّدة عدوة تحكمه ضوابط تبقى أفضل لمفهوم الأمن الاستراتيجي من العبث بالفوضى التي تمنح أرباحاً ظرفية، لكنها تمنح القوى غير النظامية أرباحاً استراتيجية لتغيير الأوضاع لأنها لا تحتاج إلا للزمن وشرعية التحرك. وهذا ما يمنحه العبث «الإسرائيلي» جنوب سورية لحزب الله. لكن نتنياهو لم يكن يريد مفاوضة موسكو بل الاكتفاء باعتبار انه أعطاها علماً، وهذه «إسرائيل»، يكفي أن تفعل ذلك.

– عاد نتنياهو وبدأت التحضيرات لضربات تستهدف حزب الله جنوب سورية، وكان لا بد من اختبار نتائج زيارة موسكو، ولمدى قدرة الجيش السوري على تكرار التعامل مع دخول طائرات «إسرائيلية» الأجواء السورية، بإطلاق صواريخ متطوّرة على هذه الطائرات، كما حدث قبل أربعة شهور، وألزم إسرائيل بتضييق هوامشها باللجوء للغارات من الأجواء اللبنانية بمدى سقفه ستون كيلومتراً، وإطلاق صواريخ من الأراضي المحتلة بالمدى ذاته تقريباً، فتزامن التوغّل «الإسرائيلي» في الأجواء السورية مع قيام الطائرات الأميركية بغارة على مواقع لتنظيم القاعدة غرب حلب، مستخدمة طائرات من قاعدة الملك خالد في السعودية، ومعلوم أن المسار فوق الأردن يستدعي إعلام «الإسرائيليين»، بعد الحصول على موافقة الروس للمرور الآمن في الأجواء السورية، والمعلوم أكثر أن التعاون الأميركي «الإسرائيلي» الأردني السعودي لا يحتاج لبراهين، فلا شيء يمنع أن تكون الغارة الأميركية قد جرى توقيتها على الساعة «الإسرائيلية»، فتستخدم الطائرات «الإسرائيلية» الممر الجوي ذاته الذي تسلكه الطائرات «الأميركية» وفي التوقيت ذاته.

– المهم في الاختبار هي النتائج التي ترتّبت عليه، فالبيانات «الإسرائيلية» تكشف أن الذي سقط في قرى إربد هي بقايا صاروخ حيتس، كان يلاحق الصواريخ السورية التي استهدفت الطائرات المشاركة في الغارة، ما يؤكد أن مسار الطائرات «الإسرائيلية» كان فوق الأردن وليس فوق لبنان، والمعلن «إسرائيلياً» أن صاروخ حيتس فشل في إسقاط الصواريخ السورية التي أكملت إلى أجواء القدس وأريحا وسقطت هناك بواسطة شبكة الباتريوت الأميركية، ما يعني أن صاروخ حيتس الذي تعتمد عليه «إسرائيل» في القبة الحديدة قد أُسقط من الخدمة، وأن الصواريخ السورية وقد أطلقت من جوار حمص، ويبدو أنها كانت أربعة صواريخ، اثنان أصابا الطائرتين المغيرتين، وإثنان قاما بمطاردة طائرتي الحماية، بلغت أجواء القدس ما يعني أن مداها قارب الخمسمئة كيلومتر ما يجعلها من الأطرزة الأشدّ حداثة، وأن ما قالته «إسرائيل» تخفيفاً للذعر أنها صواريخ سام خمسة هو بنسبة معيّنة تلاعب على الكلمات فالأس أس 300 هو نوع من السام خمسة، وكذلك الأس أس 400، وهذا يعني أن ما قاله الخبراء «الإسرائيليون» على شبكات التلفزة وفي الصحافة «الإسرائيلية»، أن زمن التفوق الجوي الإسرائيلي قد انتهى هو الأهم.

– الخلاصات البعيدة المدى، أن «إسرائيل» التي فقدت التفوق البري والتفوق البحري تفقد التفوق الجوي، وأن روسيا في قلب الحرب، وقبل أن تنتهي لن تمنح «إسرائيل» ضمانات التحرك في الأجواء السورية، وأن القيادة السورية لديها الإرادة ولديها القدرة على إرباك «إسرائيل» استراتيجياً وجعلها دولة عاجزة عن التفكير بحرب ولو محدودة، من دون المخاطرة بمواجهة تخرج عن السيطرة.

– إسرائيل تعترف بكل ذلك، فلا بأس أن يخرج غداً بعض العرب، ومنهم سوريون ولبنانيون، يمنح «إسرائيل» قوة قاهرة في الحرب لا تدعيها، ونفوذاً سياسياً دولياً من أميركا إلى روسيا تشتهيه ولا تطاله، كما حدث بعد الهزيمة «الإسرائيلية» في حرب تموز 2006، ففؤاد السنيورة صفة وليس شخصاً.

– مَن سيسأل بعد اليوم عن حق الردّ القموه حجراً.

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