الولايات المتحدة الأميركية… هل حان وقت التفكك والانهيار؟

د. حسن مرهج

يُخبرنا التاريخ الحديث أنّ الدول والامبراطوريات، لم تصل إلى الانهيار وتصبح عرضة للتفكك لأسباب اقتصادية بحتة، إذ دائماً ما كانت السياسة أو الحروب هي العامل الحاسم في سقوط الحكومات وانهيار الدول. وفي المثال القريب لذلك، يمكننا القول بأنّ الاضطرابات السياسية والأمنية أدّت إلى سقوط الدولة في ليبيا، وكادت سورية أن تسقط في نفس الفخ، لولا أنّ عوامل داخلية وخارجية تكاتفت لتجنّب هذا الخيار، رغم بقاء جزء من الجغرافيا السورية تحت سيطرة قوى إقليمية ودولية، وكذا العراق الغارق في جملة من الأزمات والتي من الممكن أن تؤدّي إلى تقسيمه وفق أولويات ومصالح القوى العظمى.

لكن في جانب مواز، وبإسقاط ما سبق على الولايات المتحدة الأميركية، يمكننا مقاربة الانهيار والتفكك، وفق نظرية أنّ الإمبراطوريات العملاقة تتحلل وتتفكك عادة من داخلها، وبالنظر إلى مكوّنات المشهد السياسي في أميركا، وحالة العداء المستحكم بين الحزبين الديمقراطي والجمهوري، وانعكاس ذلك على بنية المجتمع الأميركي، فقد ساهم الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب في صياغة واقع أميركي ترتكز معطياته على بدايات التفكك والانهيار، فالحالة الغير مسبوقة التي رسّخها ترامب خلال فترة رئاسته، تشير صراحة إلى وجود حالة من التمرّد الصامت داخل المجتمع الأميركي، وهذا يقودنا مباشرة إلى ما يُمكن تسميته باللبنة الأولى لتفكك الإمبراطورية الأميركية.

ويرى خبراء في الشؤون السياسية والاستراتيجية، أنّ الإمبراطوريات العملاقة تبدأ بالتفكك والانهيار نتيجة عوامل داخلية، قبل أن تتعرّض لضربات خارجية، والحقائق تؤكد بأنّ الولايات المتحدة دخلت في حقبة أزمات منهجية، حيث لم تعد الأشياء تعمل بنفس الكفاءة التي كانت تعمل بها من قبل، وهو ما ينطبق على النظام السياسي للولايات المتحدة.

في هذا الإطار يقول المحلل السياسي الروسي ألكسندر نازاروف «حتى وقت قريب، كان هناك ما يشبه الديمقراطية، التي تتحكّم فيها الأموال الكبيرة من خلال منظمتين تلعبان دور اللوبي لها، هما الحزب الجمهوري والحزب الديمقراطي، تختلف البرامج والسياسات في ما بينها اختلافات ميكروسكوبية دقيقة، وفقاً للمعايير العالمية، لكنها تخدم في نهاية المطاف نفس السادة».

ويطرح نازاروف تساؤلات تقترب كثيراً من الاحتمال القائم بتفكك الولايات المتحدة، إذ يقول ما هي الأزمة الحقيقية في الولايات المتحدة الأميركية كنظام ودولة؟ وما هي المشكلات المزعجة التي تؤرقها؟ ويشير نازاروف إلى بعض تلك التحديات والمشكلات، ومن بينها المسألة العرقية.

منذ فترة طويلة لم يمثل التنوّع العرقي والاثني القومي في الولايات المتحدة الأميركية خطراً، بل كان حاجزاً منيعاً للأزمات، أما اليوم فقد اختلفت الخريطة الديموغرافية للولايات المتحدة الأميركية، فيوجد المواطنون من ذوي الأصول الإفريقية، وازداد عدد المواطنين من أصول أميركية لاتينية، ما ينذر بأنهم سيصبحون أغلبية في المستقبل القريب. وجاءت اللحظة التي أصبحت فيها أقلية عرقية معينة، غير بيضاء، تهيمن على مساحة كبيرة من الأراضي.

والملاحظة الجديرة بالاهتمام والرصد، على هامش مؤشرات تفكك الولايات المتحدة الأميركية، أنّ النخب الأميركية تحاول بكلّ الطرق الوقوف أمام ظهور أحزاب على أساس عرقي، لكن الحزب الديمقراطي يتحوّل إلى حزب يدافع عن مصالح الأقليات، بينما يجتمع البيض في الحزب الجمهوري، الذي يتحوّل بدوره إلى حزب عنصري، معاد للأقليات، على حدّ تعبير البعض. أيّ أنّ التفسخ العرقي يتسرّب على أية حال إلى النظام السياسي الأميركي، وسوف يتحوّل مع مرور الوقت إلى صراع بين أحزاب تمثل في جوهرها صراعاً بين مجموعات عرقية مختلفة.

ومن جملة التحديات أيضاً، هو غياب الأحزاب السياسية في البلاد، التي تدافع عن مصالح الأقليات العرقية، في الوقت الذي ستصبح فيه هذه الأقليات قريباً أغلبية، بينما لا تملك اللغة الإسبانية، التي تعدّ اللغة الثانية بعد الإنجليزية، ويتحدّث بها عشرات الملايين من المواطنين الأميركيين، لا تملك وضعاً رسمياً في البلاد، وتلك مشكلة بكلّ تأكيد، والنظام السياسي الأميركي المبني على حزبين، والذي يصدر وهم الاختيار بين يمين ويسار، قد أصبح خارج إطار الزمن.

يُمكن الإضاءة على تطور غير مسبوق داخل البيت الأبيض، وتحديداً قبيل الصراع داخل حلبة الانتخابات الرئاسية الأميركية، إذ أصدر الرئيس دونالد ترامب تعليمات على شاكلة تعليمات الدول الديكتاتورية من مخلفات العالم الثالث، ويكشف عن حجم صراع من نوع آخر داخل الإمبراطورية الأميركية، وقالت صحيفة «واشنطن بوست» الأميركية، إنّ الرئيس ترامب أصدر تعليماته إلى البيت الأبيض لتحديد وإقالة المسؤولين في إدارته الذين لا يُنظر إليهم على أنهم موالون بما فيه الكفاية، وهو تصعيد يقول عنه مسؤولو الإدارة، إنه يعكس مرحلة جديدة من حملة الانتقام وإعادة الهيكلة.

اليوم قد تغيّر كلّ شيء في الولايات المتحدة، فالاقتصاد الأميركي يُعاني من أزمة، وبدأ الازدهار المبني على الديون المتفاقمة في الانخفاض للمرة الأولى، وبدأ السخط الشعبي يتصاعد تدريجياً بين النخب، ليصل السخط الى المحافظين البيض، الذين يرون أنهم يفقدون الولايات المتحدة الأميركية التي طالما كانوا يعرفونها في الماضي، القوة العظمى الأولى في العالم، صاحبة الاقتصاد الناجح، والدولة الرأسمالية التي تضمّ 80-90% من السكان البيض، والحقيقة الساطعة أن هؤلاء يريدون العودة إلى الماضي.

لم يكن النظام الأميركي نظاماً ديمقراطياً في يوم من الأيام، وإنما كان يصدر وهم الديمقراطية ومشاركة الشعب في الاختيار وإدارة البلاد، الشعب الذي يحصل كل 4 سنوات على جرعة من الأمل تكفيه لما تبقى من الزمن حتى الانتخابات المقبلة، وعليه فقد الأميركيون الإيمان بنظامهم السياسي، وهم يرون أنّ شيئاً لا يتغيّر، بصرف النظر عن تصويتهم، وبالتالي فإنّ هذه الجزئية تقودنا الى نتيجة مفادها أنّ انهيار الإمبراطورية لا يحدث بين يوم وليلة، فهو عادة ما يكون مشهداً جليلاً، وبالطبع لا تزال الولايات المتحدة الأميركية تحتفظ باحتياطي من القوة والصلابة، ولم تصل التحوّلات الديموغرافية فيها إلى حدود الخطر بعد، لكن تلك مسألة وقت لا أكثر، وانهيار العولمة والهرم الائتماني سوف يسرعان من وتيرة تلك التحوّلات، الذي يقود إلى وهن المجتمع الأميركي وانهياره وتفكك وانفصال الولايات الأميركية.

The Democratic Facade

 BY GILAD ATZMON

democracy 2.jpg

by Gilad Atzmon 

On election day, countless progressive and liberal commentators throughout the entire mainstream media were foolish enough to admit that the battle at stake wasn’t really about ‘Trump or Biden’ but about the ‘American way,’ the future, so to say, of the public discourse and public life in the USA. Progressives and liberals were confident enough to believe that with nearly 100 million ballots given in before election day, Americans had already cast an unprecedented spectacle of rejection of everything that may even mildly resemble ‘conservative values.’ They were convinced that America had made its choice already. For them, I must assume, the election was just an act of formality. The battle was basically won already.

 But then just a few hours later, it became clear that the pollsters failed them completely once again. The ‘Trumpsters’ refused to evaporate. They grew substantially and even expanded demographically into some ‘unexpected’ electoral territories traditionally associated with Democratic politics.

 The clear meaning of the election is that America, like most other Western states, is divided in the middle into two opposing societies that have very little in common.  Far more worrying is the clear fact that the two sides of the divide cannot tolerate each other. 

As much as the Left, Progressives and Liberals are convinced by the absolute validity of their way of thinking, to the point that they insist to dictate them by authoritarian and tyrannical measures, at least as many people do not buy, follow and even reject those values.   Many Americans do not accept the identiterian shift. Many Americans are not convinced at all that gender isn’t binary. I assume that most disappointing and worrying for the DNC is the fact that members of ‘diverse minorities’ as the Democrats call them, have switched sides. They became vocal Trump supporters.

Watch a Cuban fusion band sings “I will Vote for Donald Trump” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6HpwNRSE4nM

This is very easy to explain. The Democratic Party offers Blacks, Gays, Latinos and so called ‘diverse minorities’ to be marginalized forever in an amalgam of ‘Others United’.  The GOP is offering those people an immediate integration as ordinary people into the American realm. All you need to do is get yourself a red Trump baseball cap and join your next local Trump rally. It is this most basic existential togetherness that was so vivid within the Left revolutionary discourse, but only materialized into a populist sustained tsunami of political resistance within the contexts of right-wing populist politics. 

In the upside-down world in which we live. The Republican party has become the party of the American working-class people. People who are defined by their adherence to family values, the church, hard work and see themselves as the ‘Americans.’  The Democratic party that claimed to be the voice of those working people, has gradually morphed into an urban identiatrian conglomerate.  A collective of ‘as a’ people: humans who insist to identify with their biology:  ‘as a Woman,’ ‘as a Gay,’ ‘as a Trans,’ ‘as a Black,’ ‘as a Jew.’

In the upside down world in which we live, the Left ended up adopting the most embarrassing and problematic Hitlerian ideological aspect: Unlike Italian fascism that adhered to the concept of ‘socialism of the Italian people,’ or early Nazism that pushed for the idea of ‘equality of German speaking people,’ Hitler insisted upon ‘socialism of one race.’ Hitler believed that people’s politics is intrinsic to their biology. As opposed to traditional inclusive Left thinking that was class oriented, the contemporary Left pushes people to identify politically on biological terms: ‘as a woman,’ ‘as a black,’ ‘as a gay,’ ‘as a trans’ etc. The GOP on the other hand, is coming closer and closer to universal class politics.  

On the morning of the 3rd of November, the liberal press was ready to announce that the ‘as a’ philosophy had won. But as things stand right now, this  battle between the ‘as a’ people  and the ‘Americans’ may escalate into a real violent conflict as there is no one in America or anywhere else who knows how to unite the people into a simple concept of peoplehood. Again, this is hardly an American phenomenon. The exact same division and the lack of a political unifying prospect is currently apparent in every Western State.

On Thursday, Wall Street rose substantially. Naturally, many commentators believed that our oligarchs and financial tycoons were excited by Biden’s likeliness to win the American election. But it may also be possible that Wall Street was way more thrilled by the prospect of a possible civil war. When people fight each other, capitalism, mammonism and usury can be celebrated mercilessly and boundlessly. This is exactly what Wall Street is after.   

It may as well be possible that in the global universe in which we live, in a world where all existential concerns reintroduced themselves as ‘global threats’ to do with: global warming, global financial turmoil, global pandemics etc., a state of bitter civil war is exactly where global capitalism wants us the people to be. Democracy and the fantasy of political choice, as such, are just a camouflage. It is there to convey the image that the current chaos is merely our own choice or fault.  

To understand ID politics and its disastrous impact on contemporary society read Being in Time

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US elections 2020: Biden wins race for White House as Trump protests

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CNN and AP project that Joe Biden secured majority of electoral college votes as Trump rejects outcome of voting

Harris, the daughter of immigrants, will be America’s first Black woman vice president, and the first vice president of south Asian descent (AFP)

By Ali Harb in Dearborn,

MichiganPublished date: 7 November 2020 16:27 UTC

Democratic candidate Joe Biden has won the US presidential election, defeating President Donald Trump, whose first term in the White House was defined by divisive rhetoric and an erratic foreign policy.

Biden was projected by CNN and AP as the winner of Pennsylvania on Saturday, taking a majority of the electoral college votes needed to secure the presidency. 

In remarks on Friday night, Biden had predicted he would win but had not declared victory.

“The numbers tell us … it’s a clear and convincing story: We’re going to win this race,” Biden said from his home state of Delaware, adding that he and his running mate Kamala Harris were already meeting with experts as they prepared to start their administration on 20 January.

Harris, the daughter of immigrants, will be America’s first woman vice president, first Black vice president and the first vice president of south Asian descent.

“The nightmare is over,” said Abed Ayoub, legal director of the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination Committee (ADC). “For Muslims, Arabs, Black people, brown people, immigrants – it’s been a long four years.”

Ayoub told MEE that US communities of colour lived in daily fear of what Trump may do next. “This gets us back to being able to focus on the issues that matter while knowing that we have a president who views us as a part of this country.”

Trump has been casting doubt about the legitimacy of the vote and challenging the results in states that he lost, claiming baselessly that he won in places that went to Biden or where the counting was still underway.

“I WON THIS ELECTION, BY A LOT!” Trump wrote in an all-caps tweet less than an hour before the race was called for Biden.

Trump also released a statement on Friday accusing Democrats of violating the “basic principles” that only legal votes should count.

“We will pursue this process through every aspect of the law to guarantee that the American people have confidence in our government,” Trump said.

“I will never give up fighting for you and our nation.”

The president had falsely asserted on Thursday that Democrats were trying to “steal” the election with rampant voter fraud. “If you count the legal votes, I easily win,” Trump said. “If you count the illegal votes, they can try to steal the election from us.”

On Wednesday, he had declared victory in Pennsylvania with hundreds of thousands of votes still be counted and said that he had beaten Biden in Michigan, even after the major networks had called the state for the former vice president.

Early results from Tuesday’s election had shown Trump leading in several key states, but 2020 saw an unprecedented number of absentee ballots – which tended to favour Biden – because of the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic.

As absentee votes started counting, Biden gained a lead in Michigan and Wisconsin, two states that he eventually won.

The election broke modern turnout records with about 160 million people – an estimate of more than 66 percent of registered voters – participating in the process.

Biden calls for unity

Early on Thursday, the Biden campaign appeared to dismiss Trump’s protests.  “The United States government is perfectly capable of escorting trespassers out of the White House,” a campaign spokesperson said in a statement.

Earlier this week, Biden sent a message of unity to voters saying that he will govern as a president of all Americans. 

“We are campaigning as a Democrat, but I will govern as an American president the president,” Biden said on Wednesday.

“The presidency itself is not a partisan institution. It is the one office in this nation that represents everyone. It demands a duty of care for all Americans. That is precisely what I will do.”

He also called on Americans to let go of the “harsh rhetoric” and “lower the temperature” in order to remain amicable despite their differences.

But it is apparent that the transition of power will not inspire unity.

Trump is already rejecting the election result and seeking legal action to question it.

“We think there’ll be a lot of litigation because we can’t have an election stolen like this,” Trump said on Thursday.

Democrats have called questioning election results an assault on American democracy, and Biden struck a defiant tone on this front in his speech on Wednesday. “Every vote must be counted. No one’s going to take our democracy away from us – not now, not ever,” he said.

Who is Joe Biden?

Biden, 77, is a veteran US politician who served as vice president in Barack Obama’s administration. He will be the oldest president elected on his inauguration day.

He was first elected to the US Senate in the East Coast state of Delaware in 1972, after starting his political career as a member of a county council. In the Senate, he sat on and chaired various powerful committees.

Before being elected vice president, he served as the head of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations. 

He ran for president unsuccessfully in 1988 and 2008, but opted against seeking the White House in 2016.

In his personal life, Biden has endured life-defining tragedies. In 1972, he lost his wife and daughter in a car accident. His son, Beau, died of cancer in 2015.

On the campaign trail this year, he has cited his grief to express empathy with Americans dealing with the fallout of the coronavirus. He presented himself as a unifier seeking to heal the country’s divisions that came to the forefront under Trump.

Hawkish on foreign policy and centrist on domestic issues, Biden represents the old guard of the Democratic Party.

He won the party’s nomination against a surging progressive movement that stood behind Senator Bernie Sanders.

Biden lost the first three primary contests, before winning South Carolina and gaining the endorsement of virtually everyone who was seeking the nomination to eventually defeat Sanders.

The president-elect is a staunch supporter of Israel and has repeatedly described himself as a Zionist. 

This election season, he has dismissed progressives’ calls for conditioning US military aid to Israel, vowing to continue the $3.8bn-annual assistance regardless of anything that the Israeli government may do.

Still, he has condemned Israel’s plans to annex large parts of the West Bank, and in a plan presented to Arab-American communities released earlier this year, he pledged to “work to ensure that Palestinians and Israelis enjoy equal measures of freedom, security, prosperity, and democracy.”

Biden voted for the Iraq war in 2002, but he has distanced himself from that decision since then, citing his efforts to withdraw US troops from Iraq as vice president.

The president-elect has changed some of his foreign policy stances while seeking the presidency this year, including adopting a tough stance towards Saudi Arabia, committing to ending the Riyadh-led war in Yemen and reassessing relations with the kingdom.

The former vice president has also pledged to re-enter to the Iran nuclear deal if Tehran returns to full compliance with the agreement.

The multilateral pact, which was nixed by Trump in 2018, saw Iran scale back its nuclear programme in exchange for lifting sanctions against its economy.

Outreach to Arabs and Muslims

Biden’s campaign made an unprecedented outreach effort to both Arab and Muslim communities, but still faced blowback from advocates who claimed it did not do enough to address policy questions around the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.

Earlier this year, the former vice president released a plan for Muslim Americans and a seperate platform for Arab Americans, in which he vowed to reverse Trump’s “Muslim ban” on his first day in office, end the Countering Violent Extremism (CVE) programme and halt US support to the Saudi-led coalition’s war in Yemen.

Arab and Muslim voters appeared to reward those efforts, turning out in large numbers to vote for the Democratic ticket in key states, including Michigan.

Community advocates have been calling for electing Biden to defeat Trump, then holding the new president accountable.

In Dearborn, Michigan, a Detroit suburb known as the capital of Arab America, the election saw increased turnout, with voters overwhelmingly favouring Biden. The former vice president received about 30,000 votes in the city, compared with 13,000 for Trump. 

Dearborn political consultant Hussein Dabajeh told MEE that the community was energised to end Trump’s presidency.

“The community came on and said: You know what, Biden may not be the perfect candidate, but we’ve got to get Trump out of office,” Dabajeh told MEE.

He added that activism does not end with Biden’s presidency, saying that Arab Americans will hold the new president accountable to the promises he made them.

“Our community has matured in a way where we understand that it’s no longer about taking pictures with these elected officials, even if it’s president.”

Sirene Abou-Chakra, an organiser with Arab Americans for Biden, a group that pushed to get the vote out for the Democratic candidate, said community advocates will continue their activism to ensure that the new administration lives up to its “end of the bargain”.

Abou-Chakra said the Arab vote across the country, and in Michigan in particular, has proved its importance for any campaign.

For now, however, she said the news of Biden’s win has undone the anxiety that came with Trump’s victory in 2016. 

“I feel like I can exhale for the first time in four years.”

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Does the next Presidential election even matter?

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President Barack Obama and U.S. Vice President Joe Biden head toward the Capitol Platform during the 58th Presidential Inauguration in Washington, D.C., Jan. 20, 2017. More than 5,000 military members from across all branches of the armed forces of the United States, including reserve and National Guard components, provided ceremonial support and Defense Support of Civil Authorities during the inaugural period. (DoD photo by U.S. Air Force Staff Sgt. Marianique Santos)

THE SAKER • JULY 2, 2020

Just by asking the question of whether the next Presidential election matters, I am obviously suggesting that it might not. To explain my reasons for this opinion, I need to reset the upcoming election in the context of the previous one. So let’s begin here.

The 2016 election of Donald Trump

The first thing which, I believe, ought to be self-evident to all by now is that there was no secret operation by any deep state, not even a Zionist controlled one, to put Donald Trump in power. I would even argue that the election of Donald Trump was the biggest slap in the face of US deep state and of the covert transnational ruling elites this deep state serves. Ever. My evidence? Simple, look what these ruling “elites” did both before and after Trump’s election: before, they ridiculed the very idea of “President Trump” as both utterly impossible and utterly evil.

As somebody who has had years of experience reading the Soviet press or, in another style, the French press, I can honestly say that I have never seen a more ridiculously outlandish hate campaign against anybody that would come even close to the kind of total hate campaign which Trump was subjected to. Then, as soon as he was elected, the US neo-liberals (who are not liberals at all!) declared that Trump was “not their President”, that Trump was put into power by Putin and that he was a “Russian asset” (using pseudo-professional jargon is what journos typically do to conceal their abject ignorance of a complex topic) and, finally, that he was a White racist and misogynist who will deeply divide the country (thereby dividing the country themselves by making such claims).

The fact is that for the past four years the US liberals have waged a total informational war against Trump and it would be absolutely unthinkable for them to ever accept a Trump re-election, even if he wins by a landslide. For the US Dems and neo-liberals, Trump is the personification of evil, literally, and that means that “resistance” to him and everything he represents must be total. And if he is re-elected, then there is only one possible explanation: the Russians stole the election, or the Chinese did. But the notion that Trump has the support of a majority of people is literally unthinkable for these folks.

Truth be told, Trump has proven to be a fantastically incompetent President, no doubt about that. Was he even worse than Obama? Maybe, it really all depends on your scoring system. In my personal opinion, and for all his very real sins and failings, Trump, at least, did not start a major war, which Obama did, and which Hillary would have done (can’t prove this, but that is my personal belief). That by itself, and totally irrespective of anything else, makes me believe that Trump has been a “lesser evil” (even if far more ridiculous) President than Obama has been or Hillary would have been. This is what I believed four years ago and this is what I still believe: considering how dangerous for the entire planet “President Hillary” would have been, voting for Trump was not only the only logical thing to do, it was the only moral one too because giving your voice to a warmongering narcissistic hyena like Hillary is a profoundly immoral act (yes, I know, Trump is also a narcissist – most politicians are! – but at least his warmongering has been all hot air and empty threats, at least so far). However, I don’t think that this (not having started a major war) will be enough to get Trump re-elected.

Why?

Because most Americans still like wars. In fact, they absolutely love them. Unless, of course, they lose. What Americans really want is a President who can win wars, not a President who does not initiate them in the first place. This is also the most likely reason why Trump did not start any major wars: the US has not won a real war in decades and, instead, it got whipped in every conflict it started. Americans hate losing wars, and that is why Trump did not launch any wars: it would have been political suicide to start a real war against, say, the DPRK or Iran. So while I am grateful that Trump did not start any wars, I am not naive to the point of believing that he did so for pure and noble motives. Give Trump an easy victory and he will do exactly what all US Presidents have done in the past: attack, beat up the little guy, and then be considered like a “wartime President hero” by most Americans. The problem is that there are no more “little guys” left out there: only countries who can, and will, defend themselves if attacked.

The ideology of messianic imperialism which permeates the US political culture is still extremely powerful and deep seated and it will take years, probably decades, to truly flush it down to where it belongs: to the proverbial trash-heaps of history. Besides, in 2020 Americans have much bigger concerns than war vs. peace – at least that is what most of them believe. Between the Covid19 pandemic and the catastrophic collapse of the economy (of course, while the former certainly has contributed to the latter, it did not single-handedly cause it) and now the BLM insurgency, most Americans now feel personally threatened – something which no wars of the past ever did (a war against Russia very much would, but most Americans don’t realize that, since nobody explains this to them; they also tend to believe that nonsense about the US military being the best and most capable in history).

Following four years of uninterrupted flagwaving and MAGA-chanting there is, of course, a hardcore of true believers who believe that Trump is nothing short of brilliant and that he will “kick ass” everything and everybody: from the spying Russians, to the rioting Blacks, from the pandemic, to the lying media, etc. The fact that in reality Trump pitifully failed to get anything truly important done is completely lost on these folks who live in a reality they created for themselves and in which any and all facts contradicting their certitudes are simply explained away by silly stuff like “Q-anon” or “5d chess”. Others, of course, will realize that Trump “deflated” before those whom he called “the swamp” almost as soon as he got into the White House.

As for the almighty Israel Lobby, it seems to me that it squeezed all it could from Trump who, from the point of view of the Zionists, was always a “disposable President” anyway. And now that Trump has done everything Israel wanted him to do, he becomes almost useless. If anything, Pelosi, Schumer and the rest of them will try to outdo Trump’s love for everything Israeli anyway.

So how much support is there behind Trump today? I really don’t know (don’t trust the polls, which have always been deeply wrong about Trump anyway), but I think that there is definitely a constituency of truly frightened Americans who are freaking out (as they should, considering the rapid collapse of the country) and who might vote Trump just because they will feel that for all his faults, he is the only one who can save the country. Conversely, they will see Biden as a pro-BLM geriatric puppet who will hand the keys of the White House to a toxic coalition of minorities.

So what if Trump does get re-elected?

In truth, the situation is so complex and there are so many variables (including many “unknown unknowns”!) that make predictions impossible. Still, we can try to make some educated guesses, especially if based on some kind of logic such as the one which says that “past behavior is the best predictor of future behavior”. In other words, if Trump gets elected, we will get more of the same. Personally, I would characterize this “same” as a further destruction of the US from within by the Democrats and their “coalition of minorities” combined with a further destruction of the US Empire abroad by delusional Republicans.

I very much doubt that it makes any sense at all to vote for that, really. Better stay at home and do something worthwhile with your time, no?

Now what about a Biden election?

Remember that Biden is now the de-facto leader of what I would loosely call the “anti-US coalition”, that is the “coalition of minorities” which really have nothing in common except their hatred of the established order (well, and, of course, their hatred of Trump and of those who voted for him).

These minorities are very good at hating and destroying, but don’t count on them to ever come up with constructive solutions – it ain’t gonna happen. For one thing, they are probably too stupid to come up with any constructive ideas, but even more important is the fact that these folks all have a hyper-narrow agenda and, simply put, they don’t care about “constructing” anything. These folks are all about hatred and the instant gratification of their narrow, one-topic, agenda.

This also begs the question of why the Dems decided to go with Biden in spite of the fact that he is clearly an extremely weak candidate. In spite? I am not so sure at all. I think that they chose him because he is so weak: the real power behind him will be in the hands of the Schumer-Pelosi-Obama gang and of the interests these folks represent.

Unlike Trump who prostituted himself only after making it to the White House, the neo-liberal Dems have *already* prostituted themselves to everybody who wanted to give them something in return, from the Ukie Nazis to the thugs of BLM, to the powerful US homo-lobby. Don’t expect them to show any spine, or even less so, love for the USA, if they get the White House. They hate this country and most of its people and they are not shy about it.

What would happen to the US if the likes of Bloomberg or Harris took control? First, there would be the comprehensive surrender to the various minorities which put these folks in power followed by a very strong blowback from all the “deplorables” ranging from protests and civil disobedience, to local authorities refusing to take orders from the feds. Like it or not, but most Americans still love their country and loathe the kind of pseudo-liberal ideology which has been imposed upon them by the joint actions of the US deep state and the corporate world. There is even a strong probability that if Biden gets elected the USA’s disintegration would only accelerate.

On the international front, a Biden Presidency would not solve any of the problems created by Obama and Trump: by now it is way too late and the damage done to the international reputation of the United States is irreparable. If anything, the Dems will only make it worse by engaging in even more threats, sanctions and wars. Specifically, the Demolicans hate Russia, China and Iran probably even more than the Republicrats. Besides, these countries have already concluded a long time ago that the US was “not agreement capable” anyway (just look at the long list of international treaties and organization from which the US under Trump has withdrawn: what is the point of negotiating anything with a power which systematically reneges on its promises and obligations?)

The truth is that if Biden gets elected, the US will continue to fall apart internally and externally, if anything, probably even faster than under a re-elected Trump.

Which brings me to my main conclusion:

Why do we even bother having elections?

First, I don’t think that the main role of a democracy is to protect minorities from majorities. A true democracy protects the majority against the many minorities which typically have a one-issue agenda and which are typically hostile to the values of the majority. Oh sure, minority rights should be protected, the question is how exactly?

For one thing, most states have some kind of constitution/basic law which sets a number of standards which cannot be violated as long as this constitution/basic law is in force. Furthermore, in most states which call themselves democratic all citizens have the same rights and obligations, and a minority status does not give anybody any special rights or privileges. Typically, there are also fundamental international standards for human rights and fundamental national standards for civil rights. Minority rights (individual or collective), however, are not typically considered a separate category which somehow trumps or supplements adopted norms for human and civil rights (if only because it creates a special “minority” category, whereas in true “people power” all citizens are considered as one entity).

It is quite obvious that neither the Republicrats nor the Demolicans represent the interests of “we the people” and that both factions of the US plutocracy are under the total control of behind-the-scenes real powers. What happened four years ago was a colossal miscalculation of these behind-the-scenes real powers who failed to realize how hated they were and how even a guy like Trump would seem preferable to a nightmare like Hillary (as we know, had the Dems chosen Sanders or even some other halfway lame candidate, Trump would probably not have prevailed).

This is why I submit that the next election will make absolutely no difference:

  1. The US system is rigged to give all the power to minorities and to completely ignore the will of the people
  2. The choice between the Demolicans and the Republicrats is not a choice at all
  3. The systemic crisis of the US is too deep to be affected by who is in power in the White House

Simply put, and unlike the case of 2016, the outcome of the 2020 election will make no difference at all. Caring about who the next puppet in the White House will be is tantamount to voting for a new captain while the Titanic is sinking. The major difference is that the Titanic sank in very deep water whereas the “ship USA” will sink in the shallows, meaning that the US will not completely disappear: in some form or another, it will survive either as a unitary state or as a number of successor states. The Empire, however, has no chance of survival at all. Thus, anything which contributes to make the US a “normal” country and which weakens the Empire is in the interests of the people of the USA. Voting for either one of the candidates this fall will only prolong the agony of the current political regime in the USA.

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