Hezbollah Is “Israel’s” Main Concern

July 28, 2021

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By Staff

“Israel” is constantly obsessing about Hezbollah. The constant state high alert along Lebanon’s southern frontier governs and restricts the movements of the “Israeli” troops there. 

In a lengthy article, a military analyst at ‘Walla’ News website, Amir Bohbot, revealed the extent to which the “Israelis” fear any movement on the border that Tel Aviv thinks has a connection with Hezbollah.

According to Bohbot, a classified unit called the “Galanit Anemone Unit” was established a year and a half ago. It consists of officers and intelligence soldiers from the Galilee formation, soldiers from Unit 9900 of the Mock Intelligence and Unit 8200, which is the largest and most powerful intelligence-gathering unit in the Zionist entity. The unit was formed in order to focus on the confrontation with Hezbollah and what is happening on the northern front.

Below is the text of the article:

Soldiers of the Galanit Anemone team, located unknown individuals in civilian clothing moving suspiciously along the border. Combining the various intelligence capabilities from the 8200 and the 9990 units in the Intelligence Division, the Northern Command turned on the red light due to changes in the region.

The classified team in the Galilee formation operated under the command of an intelligence officer of the 91st Infantry Division, whose military career is well intertwined with the activities of Hezbollah over the past two decades, and explains some of the challenges facing the Galanit Anemone Unit.

Lieutenant Colonel T., 37, began his service as an intelligence NCO in 2003 in the Galilee. In 2005, he was in the area during an attempted kidnapping in the town of Ghajar on the border with Lebanon, when Hezbollah fighters tried to kidnap soldiers. A year later, in the summer of 2006, when he had become the head of the research brigade in the Intelligence Division “Aman” and was in the port in Kiriya, Tel Aviv, a terrifying report arrived about the activation of the “Hannibal Procedure”.

“There was an alert, and there were reinforcements on the ground. As soon as the alert level declined, Hezbollah surprised us and kidnapped Ehud Goldwasser and Eldad Regev,” the lieutenant colonel recalled.

The shortfalls in intelligence and the delivery of information to the forces on the ground are engraved in Lt. Col. T.’s head and accompany him in his daily operational activities. In 2014, he became the intelligence officer of the 769th Brigade under the command of Brigadier General Dan Goldbus, when the first explosive device was detonated against an “Israeli” army force.

At that time, an assessment began to form that Hezbollah had tunnels deep in the ground and in the rocks below the border. Eventually, Lt. Col. T. became the operations commander for locating and destroying the tunnels in Galilee. In 2018, he closed the circle and was appointed head of the Lebanese branch of the research division and played a significant role in the psychological warfare against Hezbollah operatives on the border seeking revenge for killing Hezbollah operatives in Syria, including the attempted attack on the Gladiola outpost in the Shebaa Farms [Mount Dov] in 2020.

About a year and a half ago, under strict conditions of secrecy, a classified team called “Kalanit Hagalil” was established under his command. The team combined soldiers and intelligence officers from the Galilee formation, with soldiers from the 9900 unit for visual intelligence and the 8200 unit, which is designated as the largest and most powerful intelligence-gathering unit in “Israel”.

“They all sit together around the same table and do multidisciplinary intelligence. Their first organized work was the exposure of the tunnels on the Lebanese border,” Lt. Col. T. explained, emphasizing that blending their expertise produces valuable and very significant intelligence for the Northern Command.

The idea was born in the sharp mind of Brigadier General Y., who was formerly the Galilee Squad Intelligence commander and now commander of Unit 8200. He is now nicknamed “Y. Hezbollah” due to his extensive knowledge of the organization’s secrets.

He was the one who initially put forward an assessment that wasn’t based on actual intelligence about Hezbollah digging tunnels. A commander of an area parallel to his in Unit 8200 and Lt. Col. T. cooperated. In the planning stages, an objective was set for the special team to gather information on routines in real-time and war requirements in the field of warning, pursue and track operatives, take over an area [control], produce information on enemy plans, produce targets, and monitor Hezbollah’s activities along the border. The idea was approved and supported by the current “Aman” chief, Major General Tamir Heiman.

“As soon as the 8200 commander arrives here, to the area, and tells his people ‘you are the most important’, this expresses everything. He conveys a message to everyone. Partnership yields successes that cannot be talked about,” Lt. Col. T. explained. “We collect information about residential areas, forests, and open areas. After an attempt to target an officer and a soldier on the border with sniper fire last August, we responded by attacking targets that we had produced. This intelligence is produced by the squad. Thwarting what is happening on the border is carried out in cooperation between the Galanit Anemone, the Shin Bet, and the police.”

Meanwhile, Hezbollah continues to wage nerve-wracking psychological warfare against the army and has been moving along the border for a decade. In some cases, it puts people at points near the border on the pretext that they are environmentalists, shepherds, or hikers.

But the leader of the Galanit Anemone refers to a new phenomenon: the Radwan Unit. Hezbollah’s elite fighters are moving along the border.

In this context, he says, “The soldiers of the Galanit Anemone not only detect Hezbollah members on the line of contact but also track them down and try to find their whereabouts. It’s months-long work. They move close to the border, observe, and gather intelligence about the ‘Israeli’ side. At first, they were unknown to us”.

According to estimates by Northern Command officers, the Radwan Unit is building operational capabilities for future warfare. Lt. Col. T. asserts that in addition to the firepower built by Hezbollah, which ranged between 130,000 and 150,000 missiles, the party gathers intelligence along the borders in order to carry out its threats and incursions and attacks inside settlements and outposts along the borderline.

“When Hezbollah sets up an anti-tank missile launcher cell in the border area, we must detect it before it launches the missile,” Lt. Col. T. added, “and after we exposed Hezbollah’s tunnels and destroyed them, it tries to find other routes to infiltrate into “Israel”.”

In the past year, the efforts to infiltrate into “Israeli” territory intensified, but Lt. Col. T. and the intelligence soldiers in the Galilee formation warn that the Radwan Unit and other Hezbollah operatives will one day be able to use these infiltration methods to carry out operations.

“Hezbollah is no longer the same terrorist organization that we knew before. It is an army in every sense of the word. It is an organization that learns, draws conclusions with capabilities that would not embarrass a regular Western army and despite its size, it operates under very high and strict secrecy,” said the Galilee intelligence officer.

Soldiers and commanders of the Galanit Anemone sit in the operations room throughout the day and receive signal intelligence from Unit 8200 [phone calls and exchange of messages from the area], drone and satellite images, surveillance balloons, and other sensors, some of which belong to the 869th Field Intelligence Battalion.

Soldiers, religious and secular, including members of the Druze community who speak fluent Hebrew worked to expose the party’s movements in the region and thwart any suspicious trend during the period of tension in which Hezbollah sought revenge by killing soldiers.

“The Galanit Anemone operates in routine and emergency. In my head, I always have a picture of my childhood friend from Kiryat Shmona, Liran Saadia in the Egoz unit, who was killed in the Second Lebanon War, during a battle with a cell of saboteurs. He was hit and killed by an anti-tank missile in the town of Maroun al-Ras. We did not have information to prevent this. Our goal is to deliver intelligence information to the field.”

According to the division’s intelligence officer, they are monitoring broader activities and looking for a reference on the ground, such as a third-generation anti-tank missile unveiled by the Iranian security industry that may reach the region and pose a threat to the army and the settlements near the fence.

Scores Of ‘Israelis’ Killed, Many Others Injured in Stampede in The Occupied Territories

Scores Of ‘Israelis’ Killed, Many Others Injured in Stampede in The Occupied Territories

30/04/2021

By Staff, Agencies

At least 45 ‘Israeli’ settlers were killed and scores of others injured, many critically, in a stampede during a Jewish bonfire festival held in the north of the ‘Israeli’-occupied Palestinian territories.

Tens of thousands were attending the annual Lag B’Omer Jewish festival at, what has been identified as, the tomb of Rabbi Shimon Bar Yochai, a religious figure, in a town named as ‘Meron’ in the occupied territories.

Initial reports citing Magen David Adom of the Zionist regime’s emergency services’ organization, suggested that 24 of those injured were in critical condition. Six helicopters were sent over to address the situation

Zionist Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu described the incident as a “heavy disaster.”

Later reports put the number of the injured at 400.

A Zionist police official said “dozens of participants in a concert had ‘slipped,’ falling on those below them in the stands and causing a crushing domino effect.” The incident took place at around 1 a.m. on Friday at a bonfire lighting ceremony.

Other reports said the crush was caused after “a section of stadium seating had collapsed at the event site,” and many were killed as a result of asphyxiation after it was set off.

Others were killed being trampled upon during the stampede.

The Zionist military said a roof had collapsed at the site of the incident.

Footage recorded before the crush showed the thousands-strong participants dancing, reveling, and jumping on stands at, what the newspaper identified as, a “makeshift arena.”

A makeshift hospital is reportedly being set up in the area to address the situation.

The event was held without any regard for standing health precautions against the spread of the new coronavirus, including respect for social distancing rules and prohibition of mass gatherings.

Pictures provided both during the celebration and in the immediate aftermath of the stampede, meanwhile, showed many attending the site without facemasks.

“Israeli” Tanks Are No Match for Hezbollah’s Hybrid Warfare

“Israeli” Tanks Are No Match for Hezbollah’s Hybrid Warfare

By Staff, The National Interest  

The exercises last month by the “Israeli” entity’s 188th Barak [“Lightning”] Armored Brigade on the occupied Golan Heights, illustrated the wide spectrum of threats the “Israel” Occupation Forces [IOF] must prepare for: the maneuvers included conventional mechanized operations, counter-guerrilla tactics against an irregular army like Hezbollah, and destroying tunnels.

The IOF would love nothing better than to fight an old-fashioned tank battle, at which it is famously proficient. But twenty-first-century warfare is more about guerrillas and tunnels, and these are the bane of high-tech, mechanized armies.

The “Israeli” Army has had to cope with Palestinian Resistance movement Hamas infiltration tunnels dug from Gaza into the southern “Israeli” entity. Last year, the “Israelis” discovered what they alleged were several Hezbollah tunnels between southern Lebanon and the northern parts of the “Israeli” entity, stoking fears of a surprise Hezbollah operations to seize al-Jaleel [Galilee].

The problem is that tanks can’t get inside a tunnel, but a Hezbollah fighter with an anti-tank missile can pop out of one and destroy a $5 million Merkava tank. Haunting the “Israeli” Armored Corps is the debacle of the 2006 “Israel”-Lebanon War, when Hezbollah used a sprawling network of tunnels in southern Lebanon to ambush and knock out numerous “Israeli” armored vehicles.

The “Israeli” armor commanders seemed grimly determined to avoid a repeat of 2006.  “We understood there was a need for change,” Lt. Col. Yoav Schneider, commander of the “Israeli” entity’s 82nd Tank Battalion said.

If tunnels were the only threat faced by “Israel”, that would be challenging enough. But the IOF also has to prepare for a conflict with Hezbollah, a formidable practitioner of “hybrid warfare” that combines the well-trained soldiers and advanced weapons of a conventional army with the flexibility and elusiveness of guerrillas. Battling Hezbollah could encompass everything from stopping a surprise Hezbollah attack to seize “Israeli” towns, to crossing into well-fortified southern Lebanon to destroy Hezbollah rocket operations.

An advance into Lebanon will not be the timid, clumsy offensive of 2006.

The threat of advanced anti-tank weapons, such as the deadly laser-guided Russian Kornet employed by Hezbollah in 2006, had led some critics to question whether tanks are still useful. Combat in the rough terrain that guerrillas will operate from, such as hills or the numerous villages that dot Lebanon and Syria, is challenging for armored vehicles.

And there yet still more challenges the IOF must train for. And the worst part is that the “Israelis” can never be sure which threat will emerge next. This array of threats would tax even a superpower, let alone a nation of fewer than nine million people.

Israeli Military Analyst: Hezbollah Elite Forces Deployed in Lebanon’s Border Towns to Invade Galilee and Occupy Settlements upon Command

February 13, 2021

The Israeli Military Analyst, Alon Ben David, considered that Hezbollah elite troops are deployed in the Lebanese border towns with the occupied Palestinian territories to invade Galilee and occupy a number of settlements for a number of days upon the command of the Resistance leadership, adding that period of calm which had prevailed in the area had ended.

Ben David pointed out that Hezbollah has been preparing to engage in short wars with the Israeli occupation army in case the latter responded to the inevitable military operation of the Resistance in retaliation for the Zionist crime of killing one of its fighters in an air raid on Syria in 2020.

In this regard, the Zionist analyst also indicated that the recent drills of the Israeli army on the northern border, Lightning Storm, simulate a military escalation that slides into an all-out war after Hezbollah supposedly snipes a Zionist soldier.

Meanwhile, Ben David also noted that the Israeli intelligence checks Hezbollah fighters are not present in the posts that the air force intends to strike in Syria in order to avoid any military confrontation with the Resistance Party.

Source: Al-Manar Eglish Website

Political Jesus

PEPE ESCOBAR • DECEMBER 23, 2020

Hieronymus Bosch, The Adoration of the Magi: detail featuring the splendid African Balthasar and, partially naked, at the entrance of the hut, the Anti-Christ.

Let’s hit the road in the search for the real Jesus.

Galilee, Year 27: baptized by an itinerant preacher, John the Baptist. That’s when the story really begins. We know virtually nothing of his life till then.

Galilee is ruled by shabby client kings of the Roman empire – first Herod, then his son Herod Antipas. Jesus only enters imperial jurisdiction later, when he moves to Judaea, a Roman province since Year 6.

Galilee is all about agricultural and fishing land, surrounded by way more sophisticated Greeks and Phoenicians. Jesus grows up in a context of simple peasant life; increasing taxes; population explosion; and then non-stop fragmentation of peasant land, causing the proverbial pressures on traditional family life.

Social oppression inevitably had to engender resistance – in the form of budding peasant unrest. Talk about quite fertile ground for the proliferation of charismatic spiritual leaders.

Yet who was Jesus The Man, really? A Jewish holy man? A prophet? A magician? A miracle man? A peasant leader? A revolutionary? Prefiguring Walt Withman, he did “contain multitudes”. He was indeed all things to all men.

What we seem to know for sure is that he had charisma in spades – and exuded natural authority.

The Synoptic Gospels point to problems with Mom and his brothers. Yet he never abandoned his followers – those twelve specials, all from very humble backgrounds, except Matthew (a tax collector).

He lived on the (dusty) road – full time, and that was not exactly comfortable. He was at ease with everyone – prostitutes included.

As a preacher, he was a master of P.R. He talked in parables – easily grasped by small agricultural communities. That’s where he felt really at home.

So Jesus was a rural, not urban, phenomenon. He specially appealed to those who were ill – mentally and physically. He built up a solid reputation as a healer: all those miracle cures – especially exorcisms. And the whole lot interpreted as a sign of holiness.

Jesus was a Palestinian Jew. His followers were overwhelmingly Jews – those peasants destabilized by heavy taxation of their lands and ingloriously clashing with the corruption of Herod’s political machine.

Jesus focused on the imminence of God’s kingdom. But what did he really mean? The Gospels don’t make it easier. Much of his preaching is inclusive. Yet sometimes he would refer to a “Last Judgment” in which the wicked will be punished and the good will be rewarded.

Essentially, he was a millenarian prophet. But as much as he was striving for moral renewal, he was delivering a social message – where the “kingdom” to come represented the Triumph of the Outcast. What that really mean, in practice, was possibly a renewal of family and village community life.

Whatever he was really up to, the Powers That Be feared Jesus. After all he was way too popular. And even if he did not advise armed resistance, Power could not but be very worried by a charismatic leader with miraculous attributes dazzling the crowds.

Jesus may have sensed he was a target. And that’s what may have provoked the move to Judaea – possibly in Year 30. And then to Jerusalem.

Jerusalem may have been the Holy Grail. The apex of his mission – as he finally sensed he was ready to confront the powers behind the Temple.

He made a Jerusalem entrance that was nothing short of epic, riding a donkey – as if fulfilling a prophecy (Zechariah) that “a king” would enter Jerusalem on a donkey. In Matthew, the crowds actually call him “Son of David”.

Jerusalem was buzzing with people getting together for Passover. And last but not least, Roman governor Pontius Pilate and his troops were also in town, freshly arrived from Caesarea – the Roman HQ in the province – and obsessed with maintaining order.

Enter Caiaphas, the high priest: a canny, vastly experienced political operator, who managed for years to get the support of the Jews while placating his Roman overlords.

Now imagine the scene – worthy of a Scorsese epic: an outsider, itinerant preacher from Galilee, arriving in the mean streets with his posse, all speaking in weird accents, with the crowds shouting he may be the Messiah.

And then, the ultimate set piece: he enters the Temple, by himself, and overthrows the tables of the moneylenders. What did he really want?

That’s Political Jesus 1 and 2.

1. To graphically stress the end of the old order – Temple included – and the coming of the “new kingdom”.

2. To express – politically – the growing popular revolt against the ruling elite.

And by a simple twist of fate, that’s when he sealed his destiny.

Blowback was instantaneous. The Jewish priests had to be placated. They feared Roman retaliation. And then Caiaphas saw his opening, telling them – according to the Gospel by John – “it is better for one man to die for the people”.

And that’s how Jesus the Outsider was used as only a pawn in their game to maintain order in Jerusalem.

He was now free to enter History as a larger than life Martyr, Savior, and Myth.

‘Thinking Machiavelli, Acting Mussolini’

By Alastair Crooke
Source: Strategic Culture

Earlier this month, the Lebanese al-Manar TV aired footage of Israeli bases in Upper Galilee, which were filmed by a Hizbullah drone. An Israeli base in Brannite and a command centre in Rowaysat al-Alam in northern Israel can be seen in the footage. According to Southfront, whose military expertise is highly regarded, Hizbullah now operates a variety of drones, some with combat capabilities. Reports suggest that Hizbullah has established a formidable stealth drone and smart cruise missile force (with support from Iran). The Russia-linked, military site, Southfront, concludes that today, the movement is better trained and equipped than many armies around the world.

Israel is convinced that, for the first time, that the ‘next war’ will not be limited to Lebanese territory; that its own borders will be violated; and that offensive combat forces will enter settlements and homes and clash with Israeli troops.

This is giant ‘chess’ – where a combination of armed drones, suicide drones and ‘smart’ missiles likely will predominate (rather than tanks, as in the 2006 war). In its evolving thesis of a new war with Hizbullah, Israel believes that all its airfields will be bombed with precision missiles. (And is therefore trying to get from the U.S., a few squadrons of the new generation F-35B jets that do not need long runways, so as to try to secure its air superiority in the face of a possible swarm drone or missile attack on its air defences).

This represents just one component to Iran’s transmutation of any Israeli or American ‘military’ option against Iran into a suicide ‘Red Pill’ for whomsoever might launch it. Quietly, while all the world was focussed on the ‘Big One’ (putative nuclear weapons), over the last four years, Iran has built a conventional ‘swarm’ and ‘smart’ (and virtually undetectable by radar) ‘ant’s hive’ of ‘micro’ weapons circling across the region – from Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq to Yemen.

Although it is still to sink-in to European and American thinking (obsessed with the possibly now passé framework of the ‘Big One’ – the JCPOA), Iran quietly has inverted the calculus. It possesses the leverage now. And it has other trade options (through looking East) opening to it. Israel and its Gulf State ‘allies’, by contrast are on the defensive.

So what is next? An Iranian law has come into force setting a 60-day deadline for the U.S. to lift sanctions. If the U.S. doesn’t do so, the law states that Iran must raise uranium enrichment levels to 20% and limit UN inspectors’ access to its nuclear sites. The bottom line for Israel is that this new paradigm demands swift, confidential talks with America.

Some in Israel clearly ‘get it’: In one of the split-screen realities, it is all about nukes (on which U.S. politics is focused), but featuring on another screen is Iran’s Red Pill deterrence against the U.S. putting the military option back on the table.

However, as Professor Michael Brenner has observed, “foreign policy has got short shrift over the last two years” in the U.S. (Iran and the JCPOA being the one exception): “Even on that [latter] issue, there is scant dissent from the twin propositions that Iran is a hostile state that threatens our vital interests and that the Islamic state’s disappearance would remove a serious anathema. So pervasive is this consensus that the foreign affairs community has developed something that approximates herd immunity to critical thinking. Political élites, think tankers, and consultancy gurus all sing in chorus from the same hymnal. Such differences as exist are barely noticeable variations on the fundamentally same threat assessments or on tactics for countering those alleged threats. Strategy is nowhere to be seen”.

Today, we are all too highly susceptible, to “techno-chauvinist” perspectives. Because we are incessantly told technology – whether military, or via algorithmic control – is the irresistible driver of change. Consequently, we now simply cannot imagine a future in which the solution to our problems is not more and more technology (or more and better weapons). Clearly, step-evolutions in weaponry can become a strategic game-changer (it just has); yet the best lesson history can offer is that the future is determined by cultural and social dynamics, as much as it is shaped by technology alone

And just as America experiences its cultural Blue versus Red ‘war’, so the Middle East has its’ own cultural wars, which are being exacerbated and made more intractable by that Washington ‘tin ear’ to critical thought, and which insists to define the world around it as a Manichean struggle between the forces of light and of darkness; of freedom versus despotism; of justice versus oppression and cruelty.

Washington truly stares at its own image in the mirror, and throws this wide shawl across the rest of the world. Its’ own Presidential election is no longer purely political, but it too now is configured more as a ‘crusade’ against cosmic evil – a devil, or demiurge (Trump). The salience of this for the Middle East is that, what America defines as ‘evil and malign’, may be no more other societies’ cultural wars (little different to America’s own), playing out.

Here is the point: technology – whether military or financial – is often not the determinant. The Iranian nation has been placed under huge stresses, yet it has found the inner resources to build a solution (its smart weapon deterrence). It has demonstrated societal and cultural energy. This matters.

Jacques Barzun, the philosopher of history, asks the question: “What makes a nation?” He answers his own question. “A large part of the answer to that question is: common historical memories. When the nation’s history is poorly taught in schools; ignored by the young, and proudly rejected by qualified elders, awareness of tradition consists only in wanting to destroy it”.

The December issue of The Atlantic magazine has an interview with Professor Peter Turchin, who is actually a zoologist. He spent his early career analyzing population dynamics. Why does a particular species of beetle inhabit a certain forest, or why does it disappear from that same forest? He developed some general principles for such things, and wondered if they apply to humans, too.

One recurring pattern, Turchin noticed is something he calls ‘élite overproduction’. This happens when a society’s ruling class grows faster than the number of rulers it needs. (For Turchin, “élite” seems to mean not just political leaders, but all those managing companies, universities, and other large social institutions, as well as those at the top of the economic food chain.) As The Atlantic describes it:

“One way for a ruling class to grow is biologically—think of Saudi Arabia, where princes and princesses are born faster than royal roles can be created for them. In the United States, élites overproduce themselves through economic and educational upward mobility: More and more people get rich, and more and more get educated. Neither of these sounds bad on its own. Don’t we want everyone to be rich and educated? The problems begin when money and Harvard degrees become like royal titles in Saudi Arabia. If lots of people have them, but only some have real power, the ones who don’t have power eventually turn on the ones who do …”.

The final trigger of impending collapse, Turchin says, tends to be state insolvency. At some point rising insecurity becomes expensive. The élites have to pacify unhappy citizens with handouts and freebies—and when these run out, they have to police dissent and oppress people. Eventually the state exhausts all short-term solutions, and what was heretofore a coherent civilization disintegrates.

Turchin’s article was intended – and did – resonate as a description of the U.S. in its current state. Yet it describes much of the Middle East to a ‘T’ – particularly in the context of weak oil prices. The region is an economic disaster. And no, Turchin’s observations apply not just to the region’s autocrats, but in certain important respects – i.e. in social poverty and inequality – they apply to Israel, as much as to anyone else.

Cultural ‘war’ is as much about whether a civilisational ‘life’ is ebbing, or is both vital and fertile.

In the wake of the Iranian Revolution; 9/11, and the ‘Arab Spring’, Robert Worth notes in a long essay in the NYT Magazine, key Gulf leaders such as Mohammad bin Zayed (MbZ), shifted from an initial openness to political Islam, to a recognition that the path of the Muslim Brotherhood, and that of his own path to feudal power, simply “were incompatible”.

MbZ incrementally turned implacably hostile to the MB, to Iran, and was wary, even, of the Wahhabi establishment in Saudi Arabia. By 2013, MbZ was deeply worried about the future. The Arab Spring uprisings had toppled several autocrats, and political Islamists were rising to fill the vacuum. Worth expands:

“It was a recipe for apocalyptic violence; and regional powers were doing little to stop it. Turkey was vehemently cheering its own favoured Islamists on and backing some of them with weapons. So was Qatar, the U.A.E.’s oil-rich neighbour in the Persian Gulf. The Saudis were ambivalent, hampered by an elderly and ailing monarch.”

“He would soon enlist as an ally Mohammed bin Salman, the young Saudi crown prince known as MbS, who in many ways is MbZ’s protégé. Together, they helped the Egyptian military depose that country’s elected Islamist president in 2013. In Libya in 2015, MbZ stepped into the civil war, defying a United Nations embargo and American diplomats. He fought the Shabab militia in Somalia, leveraging his country’s commercial ports to become a power broker in the Horn of Africa. He joined the Saudi war in Yemen to battle the Iran-backed Houthi militia. In 2017, he broke an old tradition by orchestrating an aggressive embargo against his Persian Gulf neighbour Qatar. All of this was aimed at thwarting what he saw as a looming Islamist menace.”

Of course, all this, and the Sandhurst-trained monarch’s model ‘Spartan’ army, made him a star in Washington (although he subsequently fell-out with Obama, over the latter’s support for Morsi – and later, over Obama’s JCPOA, which MbZ opposed).

What then was the Gulf and Sunni riposte to this impending cultural war catastrophe? MbZ actualised an ambitious dream: that of “building a state that would show up the entire Islamist movement by succeeding where it had failed. Instead of an illiberal democracy — like Turkey’s — he would build its opposite, a socially liberal autocracy, much as Lee Kuan Yew did in Singapore in the 1960s and 1970s.” The future was a binary choice: repression or catastrophe. He chose repression: “It is ‘culture war’” he said.

This was a coherent, if tiny, civilisation disintegrating. A Gulf cultural tradition was being eviscerated in order to shield it against the Islamist and Iranian ‘virus’’. Even Worth, who visited the region often, described the inhabitants as ‘rootless individuals’, wandering the caverns beneath the hyper-capitalist, glass towers. Energy fades, civilisation gently dies.

But for the Israeli commentator, Zvi Barel, MbZ’s normalisation with Israel is simply the inevitable continuation – a further weave into the fabric of MbZ’s worldview: “His hatred for the Muslim Brotherhood equals only to his fear of Iran, in which he sees a clear and immediate threat to the Emirates in particular – and to Sunni Islam in general”.

In the Middle East, the Shi’a – widely – are enjoying a renaissance, just at the moment when the Sunni ‘old’ establishment is convulsed with fear at being overwhelmed by the region’s Shi’a. Cultural virility can trump repression, as Iran is showing. And the correct response to a cultural resurgence is almost never a ‘military option’. Iran’s readiness to face-off over the JCPOA makes a western course-correction urgent. Will that happen? In Washington, almost certainly not: We shall just have to shuffle unsteadily and nervously along the cliff edge of Israeli and U.S. demands for ‘forever-containment’ – awaiting events.

Hezbollah’s Surface-to-surface Firepower Capability Greater Than That Of 95% Of World’s Militaries – JP

Hezbollah’s Surface-to-surface Firepower Capability Greater Than That Of 95% Of World’s Militaries – JP

By Staff, The ‘Jerusalem’ Post

In yet another show of how the Zionist entity is focused on Hezbollah’s growing military might, the ‘Israeli’ daily, The ‘Jerusalem’ Post highlighted in one of its opinion pieces the resistance group’s updated capabilities, considering it is now greater than that of 95% of the world’s militaries.

The Post considered that Hezbollah makes no effort to hide its intention to kill and maim ‘Israeli’ settlers. “One way it plans to do this is through cross-border ground raids in the next war with ‘Israel.’ Hezbollah has repeatedly declared its intention of sending its elite Radwan Force death squads into the Galilee region, with the mission of attacking ‘civilians.’”

The article’s author, Eli Bar-On, added that Hezbollah’s intentions regarding its massive projectile arsenal are no different. He claimed that the resistance group’s arsenal has grown to 170,000 rockets and missiles since the July 2006 aggression, according to some estimates.

“It includes unguided short-range projectiles, long-range rockets, and missiles with ranges of more than 300 km., as well as hundreds of attack drones,” the former Eli Bar-On instructor at the ‘Israeli’ military college went on to say.

He then cited Hezbollah Secretary General His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s repeated warnings to use the long-range missiles to strike the Zionist entity’s nuclear power reactor in Dimona.

The author claimed that Hezbollah is also engaged in an effort to build precision-guided munitions [PGMs], which he referred to as a top-priority conventional threat to ‘Israel.’

Meanwhile, Zionist military experts suggest that Hezbollah has succeeded in its efforts, at least to some extent, and Hezbollah is now in possession of a few dozen precision-guided missiles. Such a capability will allow Hezbollah to conduct pinpoint strikes in any future conflict with the Zionist entity and target its top strategic assets.

Hezbollah can fire up to 4,000 projectiles a day, compared to a total of fewer than 4,000 rockets fired throughout the entirety of the 34-day conflict in 2006, according to the daily. “Its surface-to-surface firepower capability is greater than that of 95% of the world’s militaries.”

According to Bar-On, Sayyed Nasrallah in 2016 “declared that he has his own version of an “atomic bomb,” in the form of a missile strike on Haifa’s ammonium storage site” – which has since been emptied – that would result in the deaths of tens of thousands of Zionist settlers.

Consequently, in any future war, the Zionist military, he said, will have no choice but to operate deep in Lebanon – both through airstrikes and a ground campaign – to neutralize Hezbollah’s capabilities.

Hezbollah Special Forces to Infiltrate, Take Control of Several ‘Israeli’ Settlements – INSS Study

Hezbollah Special Forces to Infiltrate, Take Control of Several ‘Israeli’ Settlements - INSS Study

By Staff

A 73-page study by the ‘Israeli’ entity’s Institute for National Security Studies [INSS] exposed the weakness the Zionist military would show in any future war with Hezbollah.

With the northern front being the most difficult and main challenge for the ‘Israeli’ entity, and today’s estimations hinting that neither Hezbollah nor Iran are interested in a battle with ‘Israel’, readiness for a possible escalation or war breakout is required, as a result of the transformations or the wrong estimations in this regard.

According to the study, ‘Israel’ will face in the future war new and more difficult challenges than the ones it faced before amid the new threats that will affect a war’s characteristics, if it happened.

Supposing that the war will take place on two fronts at one, the military and civilian fronts, the latter will be hit with a higher average of missiles, in comparison with the previous conflicts, especially in the first stage of war. At the same time, the number of launched missiles will cover a wider range than that in previous conflicts with Hezbollah and Hamas. Relatively, the civilian front will be endangered on different levels, which impedes the ‘security’ Zionist settlers currently feel.

Meanwhile, the head of institute declared that “the situation is alarming for the ‘Israeli’ society. He explained that the lack of the spirit of common destiny, common goal, solidarity, and readiness to bear the burdens during the Coronavirus crisis raise major concerns regarding the results of war.”

Brigadier General Udi Dekel warned of several related scenarios, including attacks targeting the internal ‘Israeli’ front using thousands of missiles, dozens of which are precision-guided ones. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles [UAVs] are also set to be deployed simultaneously from different fronts.

Additionally, several Special Units from Hezbollah forces will infiltrate to the occupied territories and take control of the border settlements, vital facilities along the Lebanese border, as well as the occupied Golan, the study noted, warning that severe damage will be caused to strategic targets within the Zionist entity.

The study came up with a conclusion that the battle will be fought on different fronts in Lebanon, Syria, west Iraq and the possible involvement of Hamas and the Islamic Jihad in Gaza.

The study’s conductors pointed that the scenario of the sudden attack, when the ‘Israeli’ ‘defense’ systems are not ready, may harm the military capability. This will reflect in a spontaneous response, readiness of the aerial forces, and mobilization of reserve forces.

In any scenario, the study added, ‘Israel’s’ enemy will focus on causing damage inside the civilian front, and breaking the Zionist entity’s economy.

Despite High Alert, Weapons Theft at A Large ‘Israeli’ Base Near the Border with Lebanon

Despite High Alert, Weapons Theft at A Large ‘Israeli’ Base Near the Border with Lebanon

By Staff, Agencies

Despite the ‘Israeli’ entity’s high alert as it is expecting a possible retaliation from Hezbollah for the assassination of one of its fighter in Syria, ‘Israeli’ media announced that unidentified persons entered the 769th Central Brigade in Galilee, northern occupied Palestine, near the border with Lebanon, and seized many weapons after entering the armory.

Among the missing 23 rifles were throwing grenades, and 15 M-16 rifles.

A gap was found in the wall surrounding the base. Meanwhile, the Zionist military is examining all investigative bodies, including the possibility of helping those it described as “thieves” from inside the base.

It is noteworthy that the 769th Brigade is the regional brigade in the Galilee formation. It is responsible for the ongoing security in the eastern sector of the border between the occupied Palestinian territories and Lebanon.

The Zionist military is currently investigating the circumstances of the incident.

“Israelis” Await Hezbollah’s Response in the North

“Israelis” Await Hezbollah’s Response in the North

Translated by Staff

Tal Lev-Ram, a correspondent for “Israel’s” Maariv newspaper, is forecasting a tense and heated phase for the “Israeli” military along the norther frontier in the near future. The outlook comes despite the “relative calm” on the ground and civilian life carrying on as normal.

The reporter examined recent statements by Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah regarding the open account with the enemy – the party will continue to collect from the “Israeli” army. He said that this did not surprise the “Israeli” security establishment.

Lev-Ram pointed out that the assessment confirms that Sayyed Nasrallah’s objective is a limited operation aimed at killing an “Israeli” soldier in response to the killing of a Hezbollah member in an attack attributed to “Israel” in Syria about a month ago.

He added that there are those in the occupation army who don’t believe that the high level of tension that may last for a long time warrants imposing restrictions on civilian routines in the north, whether on the settlers living in the region or on visitors to the occupied Galilee and Golan.

According to the reporter, the assessment of the occupation army “indicates that Hezbollah will continue its attempts to carry out an operation along the border, as it tried the last two times using precise tools and snipers so that the operation does not get out of control.” 

“Nevertheless, the army takes into account the possibility of an anti-armor missile being launched by Hezbollah at its forces, and that is why its officials on the ground strictly prevent and limit entry to threatened areas in Lebanon and avoid committing tactical mistakes in the area where Hezbollah continues to search for a target.”

In light of the tense situation in the region and Hezbollah’s assertion that it will continue attempting to carry out an operation against “Israeli” forces, the state of high alert may  spill over into the Jewish holiday season, which starts on September 18 and continues until the end of the month and includes the Jewish New Year and the Day of Atonement.

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السؤال المقلق: ردّ المقاومة سيكون متناسباً أو غير متناسب… وأين؟

د. عصام نعمان

المشهد الإقليمي بالغ التأزم بدلالة هذه المعطيات:

»إسرائيل» قصفت بصواريخها موقعاً عسكرياً قرب دمشق ذهب ضحيته شهيدٌ لحزب الله.

سبق لقائد المقاومة السيد حسن نصرالله أن أعلن قبل أشهر تصميم المقاومة على الردّ في حال خرقت «إسرائيل» قواعد الاشتباك وتسبّبت في استشهاد مجاهدين لحزب الله سواء في لبنان أو سورية أو أيّ مكان آخر.

نصرالله أكّد انّ الردّ «لن يكون بالضرورة في مزارع شبعا المحتلة إنما في لبنان».

تجدّد الجدل بعد العدوان الإسرائيلي الأخير حول عبارة «الردّ سيكون في لبنان». بعض الخبراء العسكريين قال إنه سيكون حصراً داخل الأراضي اللبنانية. بعضهم الآخر استبعد ذلك وشدّد على أنه سيكون من لبنان وفي أي مكان تحتله «إسرائيل» في لبنان او سورية او فلسطين.

أعقب العدوان تحرّش مقاتلات أميركية بطائرة ركاب مدنية إيرانية فوق منطقة التنف السورية المحتلة فاضطرت الى الهبوط سريعاً إلى مستوى أدنى ما ألحق أضراراً بدنية بركابها قبل هبوطها بأمان في مطار بيروت الدولي.

إيران استهجنت التحرّش العدواني الأميركي وتوعّدت بالرد في المكان والزمان المناسبين، كما صدر عن قيادة محور المقاومة تهديد بالردّ على أيّ اعتداء يستهدف أحد أطرافه.

توقعت القيادة السياسية والعسكرية الإسرائيلية وتحسّبت لردٍّ أكيد من حزب الله فنشرت قوات برية إضافية على طول الحدود مع لبنان، وأخلت دونما ضجة بعض المستوطنات الحدودية، وقلّصت المجال الجوي في شمال الكيان الى 6 كيلومترات بدعوى تسهيل كشف التهديدات المرتقبة ضدّها من لبنان.

رئيس الحكومة نتنياهو أمر وزراءه بعدم التعليق على مسألة العدوان وكيف يمكن أن يكون شكل الردّ من حزب الله وذلك منعاً لأي إحراج لأطراف الصراع!

الولايات المتحدة حركت حاملة طائراتها ايزنهاور مع 12 مدمّرة الى المياه اليونانية بدعوى إجراء تدريبات مع القوات الجوية اليونانية بعدما ألغت مناورة «النجم الساطع» المقرّرة مع البحرية المصرية. كما حركت حاملة الطائرات نيميتز الى شرق المتوسط، بحسب ما سرّبته «إسرائيل».

رئيس هيئة أركان الجيوش الأميركية الجنرال مارك ميلي سارع الى «إسرائيل» للاجتماع الى نتنياهو وقادته العسكريين في قاعدة نفاتيم الجوية لتدارس «خطر إيران والوضع المتأزم في الإقليم».

في ضوء هذا الوضع المتأزم ينهض سؤال متعدّد الأبعاد ومقلق لجميع أطراف الصراع في غرب آسيا: أين سيكون ردّ حزب الله؟ وهل سيكون ردّه متناسباً مع حجم الاعتداء الإسرائيلي الأخير قرب دمشق أم غير متناسب بالضرورة؟ وهل يمكن أن يعقب ردّ حزب الله ردٌّ إسرائيلي بدعم أميركي قد يتطوّر الى حرب واسعة؟ وفي حالةٍ كهذه، ماذا يمكن أن تكون التداعيات؟

الجواب عن هذا السؤال المتعدد الأبعاد ولّد بدوره اجتهادات وأسئلة متعددة من خبراء عسكريين ومراقبين عديدين متابعين.

في موضوع المكان المستهدف بالردّ رأى بعضُ الخبراء والمراقبين انه سيكون في منطقة الجليل المحتلة حيث لـ «إسرائيل» مستوطنات عدة وقواعد عسكرية ومرافق اقتصادية يسهل على المقاومة استهدافها من لبنان مع التحوّط لردة فعل العدو. البعض الآخر لم يستبعد أن يكون منطلق ردّ المقاومة من سورية حيث لحزب الله وجود وقدرات، وان يكون الموقع المستهدف في الجولان السوري المحتلّ حيث للعدو مستوطنات ومرافق مهمة أيضاً. ويتساءل هؤلاء: لماذا لا يكون ردّ المقاومة من سورية وفي سورية (المحتلة) ما دام العدو قد هاجم موقعاً في سورية يحتضن مجاهدين لحزب الله؟

في موضوع هل سيكون ردّ المقاومة متناسباً أو غير متناسب مع حجم الاعتداء الإسرائيلي الأخير قرب دمشق، انقسم الخبراء والمراقبون بين فريقٍ رجّح ان يكون الردّ متناسباً لحرص حزب الله على إلزام «إسرائيل» احترام قواعد الاشتباك، وفريق يدعو الى ان يكون غير متناسب، وحجته انه آن الأوان، إزاء تكرار الاعتداءات الإسرائيلية من جهة، وضرورة التحذير من مغبة التمادي في هذه السلوكية العدوانية من جهة أخرى، لتسديد ضربة غير متناسبة للعدو لحمله على الاتعاظ والانكفاء.

في موضوع هل يمكن أن يعقب ردّ حزب الله غير المتناسب على «إسرائيل» ردٌ من العدو مدعوم أميركياً قد يتطوّر الى حرب واسعة، يرجّح بعض الخبراء والمراقبين ان يبقى الردّ الإسرائيلي متناسباً وإن على قدْرٍ من الشدْة وذلك لانشغال «إسرائيل»، حكومةً وجمهوراً، بأزمات وتحدّيات كثيرة ليس أقلها استشراء جائحة كورونا، وازدياد إغلاق القطاعات الاقتصاديّة، وتزايد نسبة البطالة الى معدلات غير مسبوقة، واتساع رقعة التظاهرات ضد حكومة نتنياهو بسبب تفاقم الضائقة المعيشية. البعض الآخر لا يستبعد البتّة أن يتطور الردّ الإسرائيلي، عمداً او نتيجةً لتفاعلات غير منظورة، الى حرب واسعة يبتغيها كلٌ من نتنياهو وترامب بفعل الشبق المستبّد بهما للبقاء في السلطة، ولظنّهما أن حرباً واسعة ستؤدي في نهاية المطاف الى تدمير إيران، وبالتالي تغيير وجهة استطلاعات الرأي في أميركا المائلة حاليّاً لمصلحة جو بايدن، وتفادي إدانة نتنياهو بالرشوة وخيانة الأمانة في المحاكم الإسرائيلية.

هذا الفريق من الخبراء والمراقبين يلتقي مع فريق من أهل الرأي يعتقد أن ردّ المقاومة على العدو لا يجب أن يكون غير متناسب فحسب، بل يقتضي اغتنام الفرصة ايضاً اذا ما ركب العدو الصهيوأميركي رأسه ووسّع رقعة الحرب للردّ عليه بقسوة على مستوى الإقليم برمته وبجبهة موحّدة تضمّ جميع أطراف محور المقاومة وتستهدفه بحربٍ متعددة الجبهات والمواقع والأبعاد بغية إلحاق تدميرٍ كارثي بالكيان الصهيوني لا يقوى بعدها على النهوض.

هذا الخيار (أو وجهة النظر) يجد مسّوغاته الوازنة لدى الداعين اليه عند استشراف تداعيات الحرب الواسعة التي يمكن أن تقع. ذلك أنهم يعتقدون أن الدمار الذي سيلحق بـ «إسرائيل»، سكاناً وعمراناً وصناعةً ومرافقَ ومستوطنات ومواصلات وموانئ سيكون كارثياً وبحجمٍ يفوق بأضعاف ما سيلحق بلبنان وسورية وإيران وقطاع غزة والضفة الغربية من أضرار لدرجة قد يحمل قادة العدو على تفاديه بالإحجام عن اعتماد خيار توسيع رقعة الحرب.

متى تدقّ ساعة القرار؟ الكلّ في حال انتظار.

وزير سابق

The Story of Daher Al-Umar Undermines Israel’s Own Origin Story

Daher Al-Umar Feature photo

Akka, Haifa, Tabaria, are all cities with a rich Arab history which Daher made into thriving towns, and yet little memory of him existents thanks to enormous efforts put forward by the state of Israel to control the historical narrative.

December 02nd, 2019

The history of Palestine, even its very recent history, has been all but forgotten. It was pushed out by a new version of history, a narrative that is based on faith and has very little to do with history. One striking example is that of the 18th-century Palestinian leader and unifier, Daher Al-Umar. For most people, neither the man or the period in which he ruled Palestine is known.

Here is what Palestinian author Ibrahim Nasrallah writes about Daher Al-Umar:

This matchless character has long been worthy of the attention of novelists and film and television producers, who could have made him a luminous part of our popular consciousness and the ongoing struggle of the people who populated and gave life to the land of Palestine.”

 

Time to Remember

In his forward to The Lanterns of the King of Galilee, a historical novel based on the life of Daher Al-Umar published in 2011 in Arabic, and in English in 2014, Nasrallah writes, “What saddens me now is that I didn’t come to know this great man earlier in my life.” The man to which he is referring is Daher Al-Umar Al-Zaidani, also known as The King of Galilee, whose remarkable life spanned from 1689 to 1775.

Daher Al-Umar governed most of historic Palestine and shaped its economy and politics as well as the life of its inhabitants for the better part of the 18th century. He established ties – economic and political – with European empires and created a boost in the economy and lives of the people of Palestine that was unprecedented. Palestine, under Daher, was the closest thing to an independent state one could achieve in 18th century Levant.

I had only heard of Daher Al-Umar from reading Nasrallah’s book, which shows that Nasrallah is correct as he continues to say in his forward, “Unfortunately many people are ignorant of what Daher achieved toward establishing an autonomous Arab homeland in Palestine.” However, what is astonishing is that Nasrallah himself admits that he only came across the figure of Daher in 1985 while working on his epic novel, Time of White Horses, published in Arabic in 2007 and in English in 2012.

 

A Challenging Narrative

In his forward, Nasrallah doesn’t shy away from stating the obvious, that his homeland, the country which Daher unified and ruled, namely Palestine, “fell prey to the Zionist onslaught that wrested it from its owners by means of myths, tanks and collusion.”

One might add that these myths used by the ZIonists were not just any myths, but perhaps the most powerful myths the world has ever known. In fact, even referring to these stories as “myth” will surely give rise to serious opposition as we are talking about none other than the Bible itself.

The Zionists based their claims to rights over Palestine using the toughest narrative to challenge. It is not one that is tough to challenge because it is rooted in historical facts, but because it is rooted in faith. In establishing their stake to Palestine, the Zionists built a foundation on three myths that operate as three pillars: The myth of the Jewish people, the myth of the homeland and the myth of history, and all three stem from the biblical narrative.

Jewish refugee Palestine

700 Jewish refugees aboard the S.S. Parita arrive in Palestine on Aug. 22, 1939. Photo | AP

The myth of Jewish people claims that Jews are a nation like all nations, unified by a common language, history and country. This myth is in direct opposition to the way observant, orthodox Jewish people define themselves, which is as a people unified by a common faith and observance to the Almighty. This definition allows for Jewish people to be Arabs and speak Arabic, to be Polish and speak Polish or Yiddish or to be citizens of any other country in the world and still remain Jewish, as they had done for two millennia.

The myth of the homeland claims that Palestine is the homeland of the Jewish people and that it has been empty for thousands of years. This myth stands in contrast to the fact that Jews have a home and land wherever they reside, and Palestine is and always was inhabited and thriving.

The myth of that history involves the secularization of the Old Testament. It treats the Old Testament as a historical document that describes the history of the Jewish people. According to this myth, the Bible has historical value, even though centuries of research prove otherwise. Furthermore, this myth ignores the fact that the bible is not a history book but rather a book of faith with little significant historical foundation.

It is in the face of these challenging myths that opponents of Zionism and supporters of the rights of Palestinians have to struggle. It is in this context that knowing about Daher Al-Umar is so crucial, and one must ask, why and how a figure of such stature, influence and importance was erased from memory.

 

Daher’s Palestine is Nasrallah’s Palestine

Nasrallah writes that his acquaintance with Daher had given him the ability to “trace the roots that go so deep into the land of Palestine.” He continues to describe this Palestine specifically as, “Arab Palestine, the Palestine of beauty, tolerance and the willingness to embrace the other.” People who know Palestine, particularly pre-ZIonist Palestine, will agree with Nasrallah when he goes even further, calling it, “the Palestine of cultural, spiritual and human richness; the Palestine that aspires to all that is free, lovely and good.”

Daher was known for his tolerance and the good relations he forged with Christian communities, Jewish communities and the Shia community of southern Lebanon. At his invitation, Jews from Izmir had come to come to Tabaria, or Tiberias and settled there during his reign. Sadly, as a result of the 1948 Zionist destruction and forced exile, little remains of the Arab Tabaria of Daher.

Tiberias Palestine 1936

Tiberias pictured circa 1936, prior to the 1948 Nakba. Source | Kahvedjian Collection

The mosque Daher built in the city still stands. It is a monument that under any other circumstances would have been venerated, cared for and used by the faithful. According to Zochrot and to what any visitor can witness, the mosque still stands, but it was desecrated and until recently used by the city as a storage space. Now it remains closed and neglected.

Akka, Haifa, Tabaria, are all cities with a rich Arab history which Daher made into thriving towns, and yet no memory of him exists. The onslaught of Zionist erasure of the history, names and monuments on the one hand and enormous efforts put forward by the new state of Israel to push forward a historical narrative that supports Israel’s existence has been devastating and incredibly difficult to challenge.

 

Erasing Memories

All of the cities that existed in Palestine prior to 1948 and were subjected to ethnic cleansing had their streets renamed. Most, if not all, have streets named after Ben-Gurion, Weizman, Hertzel, Balfour, and other major Zionist figures. Streets have been renamed after Israeli generals like Rabin, Dayan, Bar-Lev, etc., and still others are named after military units, replacing the historical names that used to exist. This process continues to this day and can be seen clearly, particularly in Jerusalem where the “Zionization” process is in full force.

Ibrahim Nasrallah ends his forward expressing the hope that, “those who read this novel will relive all the feelings I experienced in the course of writing it, and when that happens I’m sure they’ll sense how much better they’ve become.” Having read the book, I must agree.

Feature photo | A painting of Daher Al-Umar by Ziad Daher Zaydany circa 2010

Miko Peled is an author and human rights activist born in Jerusalem. He is the author of “The General’s Son. Journey of an Israeli in Palestine,” and “Injustice, the Story of the Holy Land Foundation Five.”

The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect MintPress News editorial policy.

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Hezbollah’s Secret Plan to Invade Galilee: Israeli Media

July 2, 2019

Hezbollah missiles

Claiming that the Israeli occupation army has destroyed Hezbollah’s border tunnels, Israeli media said that the Lebanese resistance organization still plans to operate inside the Palestinian occupied territory and take control of a town or a piece of land in Galilee.

“Perhaps Hezbollah doesn’t have another strategic weapon like the tunnels, but it can be assumed it still has an extremely ambitious and detailed plan to occupy communities and military posts on Israel’s northern border,” Times of Israel reported on Sunday.

In an article titled: “Hezbollah’s secret, grandiose plan to invade Israel in the post-tunnel era,” Times of Israel’s Avi Issacharoff          said the Lebanese resistance movement’s tunnel plan was meant to shock the Zionist entity by funneling hundreds of members of the Radwan commando unit into the occupied territories to carry out various attacks.

Issacharoff noted that the activities of the Radwan unit resemble the occupation forces’ elite units “such as combat soldiers trained to use ATVs or navy commando fighters supposed to sneak into Israel in small underwater vessels.”

“In the absence of the tunnels, the mission of Radwan members will likely be to covertly get thousands of fighters into Israel at once through several points on the border while bombarding the border region, hoping that will overwhelm the IDF and allow some of the fighters to reach an Israeli border community or army post,” the Israeli writer said, referring to the occupation forces.

He added that Hezbollah plans a trick through a heavy artillery bombardment of the entire border area, plus the use of high-caliber rockets that can destroy targets such as military posts.

“The group today possesses significant firepower that could theoretically wipe out the entire Israeli frontline upon command — every post, every antenna.”

Issacharoff added that Hezbollah’s attack plan will likely involve a logistic and intelligence apparatus, including drones that would transmit real-time intelligence and could carry out “kamikaze” bombings of Israeli targets.

He said meanwhile, that a land barrier built by Israel in recent years will “make it difficult” for such an operation to be carried out, but noted that “Hezbollah decision-makers nevertheless think that at least some of the attackers will manage to penetrate into Israeli territory.”

SourceIsraeli media

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«إسرائيل» عاجزة عن خوض الحرب والضفة والجليل هدف هجوم محتمل

سبتمبر 24, 2018

محمد صادق الحسيني

تواصل الأوساط العسكرية والأمنية والصحافية الإسرائيلية البحث والنقاش حول تراجع قوة الردع الإسرائيلية، وبالتالي تراجع قدرة الجيش الإسرائيلي، بمختلف صنوف أسلحته الجوية والبحرية والبرية، عن مواجهة «الأخطار التي تهدد الدولة»، كما يسميها المحللون والباحثون الإسرائيليون. مما يعني ان «الدولة» عادت لمواجهة أخطار وجودية حقيقية، رغم ما يحاول رئيس الوزراء تسويقه من ادّعاءات أن «إسرائيل» قد حققت انتصارات هامة على صعيد تطبيع علاقاتها مع العديد من الدول العربية، خاصة الخليجية منها، وذلك لأن مصدر الأخطار التي تهدد «إسرائيل» ليس هذه الدول، وانما هي جهات أخرى يعرفها نتن ياهو تمام المعرفة.

لكنه على الرغم من ذلك يحاول باستمرار تغطية عجزه وعجز الجيش الإسرائيلي عن مواجهة أعداء «إسرائيل» الحقيقيين الذين يهدّدون وجودها فعلاً، وهم حزب الله وإيران والجيش السوري والتشكيلات العسكرية العراقية وغيرها المتعاونة مع إيران. وهي جهات مستمرة ليس في تحقيق انتصارات عسكرية هامه في كل من العراق وسورية فحسب، وانما تواصل مراكمة كميات كبيرة من الأسلحة المتطورة جداً والتي غيّرت موازين القوى بشكل كامل، رغم عدم اعتراف القيادة العسكرية للجيش «الإسرائيلي» بهذه الحقيقة بشكل واضح، ومواصلتها التركيز على بعض العمليات الجوية ضد مراكز عسكرية مختلفة في الأراضي السورية، وهي عمليات لا تعدو كونها تؤدي دور ورقة التوت في تغطية العجز الاستراتيجي للجيش الإسرائيلي.

أما عن معنى العجز الاستراتيجي فهو العجز الذي يعبّر عن نفسه بانعدام قدرة الجيش على إزالة الأخطار التي تهدّد «الدولة» على المدى البعيد، أي على المدى الاستراتيجي، حيث يتجلى ذلك في استمرار وجود وتصاعد مصادر التهديد وازدياد قوتها كماً ونوعاً بشكل لم يسبق له مثيل.

علماً انّ هناك ثلاثة ادلة موثقة على هذا العجز الشامل للجيش «الإسرائيلي»، رغم امتلاكه قوة تدميرية هائلة، قادرة على التدمير وعاجزة عن حسم نتائج الميدان، في أي حرب مقبلة يدخلها هذا الجيش.

وهذه الأدلة هي التالية :

أولاً: ما كتبه الخبير والمحلل العسكري الإسرائيلي، تامير اشيل Tamir Eshel، في نشرة ديفينس أبديت Defense – Update، التي تصدر باللغة الانجليزية، وذلك بتاريخ 8/12/2016 ، حيث كتب بأن السبب الحقيقي وراء القرار الإسرائيلي بتطوير أسلحة صاروخية عالية الدقة هو تعاظم قوة الجيش السوري وقوات حزب الله الصاروخية وحيازتها صواريخ دقيقة الإصابة تمكنها من إصابة القواعد الجوية وأهداف استراتيجية اخرى للجيش الإسرائيلي، مما سيحدّ من حركة سلاح الجو الإسرائيلي في الحرب المقبلة . ومن نافل القول طبعاً إن هذا يعني اعترافاً صريحاً باحتمال اخراج سلاح الجو الإسرائيلي من المعركة مع بداية أية حرب على الجبهة الشمالية، من خلال تدمير قواعد هذا السلاح. وبالتالي اضطرار القوات البرية الإسرائيلية، سواء في سلاح الدبابات او المشاة او المشاة المحمولة والقوات الخاصة، للقتال من دون غطاء جوي. الأمر الذي يعني حسم نتيجة الحرب، لصالح قوات الجيش العربي السوري وحلفائه، منذ اللحظة الأولى للحرب.

ثانياً: التقرير الذي أعدّه مسؤول شؤون الشكاوى في الجيش الإسرائيلي، الجنرال المتقاعد يتسحاق بريك، والذي يقع في مئتي صفحة ونشرت صحيفة هارتس الإسرائيلية، بتاريخ 17/8/2018، مقالاً حوله بقلم الصحافي عاموس هرئيل، وذلك بعد أن كان معدّ التقرير قد سلم نسخاً منه الى كل من وزير الدفاع ورئيس الاركان ورئيس لجنة الدفاع والأمن في الكنيست وعدداً آخر من المسؤولين العسكريين الإسرائيليين.

وأهم ما جاء في التقرير أنّ القوات البرية في الجيش الإسرائيلي غير جاهزة لخوض حرب برية وأن وحدات هذا السلاح تعاني من مشاكل عديدة، بنيوية ومعنوية ولوجستية، الى جانب تراجع روح الرغبة في القتال لدى الكثيرين من ضباط وجنود القوات البرية وتزايد الرغبة لديهم في الانتقال من الوحدات القتالية الى وحدات حرب السايبر أو الحرب الالكترونية. وهو ما يعني حصول نقص كبير في الوحدات القتالية في حال حصول أية حرب في المستقبل.

علماً أنّ رئيس هيئة الاركان الإسرائيلي، الجنرال غادي إيزنكوت، قد اعترف جزئياً بالمشاكل التي يعاني منها جيشه والتي تجعله غير جاهز للدخول في أية حرب جديدة على الجبهة الشمالية.

وخلاصة القول إنّ هناك جيشاً إسرائيلياً لا يقوى ولا يرغب في دخول حرب على الجبهة الشمالية بينما يستعد اعداؤه، الجيش السوري وقوات حزب الله والقوات الأخرى المدعومة من إيران، ليس فقط لصدّ أيّ هجوم ضدّهم وإنما للقيام بعمل هجومي واسع داخل الجليل الفلسطيني المحتل وصولاً الى الضفة الغربية المحتلة، حسب المعلومات المتوفرة لدى القيادة العسكرية «الإسرائيلية»، التي أجرت تدريبات عسكرية عدة لقواتها مؤخراً للتدرّب على مواجهة سيناريو كهذا، والتي كان آخرها المناورات التي أجرتها الفرقة المدرعة 36 والكتيبة رقم 13 في لواء جولاني، تساندها وحدات جوية للدعم الناري مروحيات ومقاتلات تفوق جوي لصدّ هجمات القوات الجوية المعادية المحتملة .

وقد أشرف على إجرائها كل من رئيس هيئة الاركان، الجنرال ايزينكوت، وقائد المنطقة الشمالية، الجنرال، يوفال ستريك Yoval Strick، وقائد القوات البرية، الجنرال كوبي باراك Kobi Barak، وقائد الفرقة المدرعة 36، الجنرال آفي جيل Avi Gil.

وفِي إطار محاولات إصلاح العيوب والمشاكل، التي تعاني منها صنوف قوات الجيش الإسرائيلي، ومواجهة تعاظم القوات السورية وحلفائها، خاصة القوات الصاروخية والدقة المتصاعدة لهذه الصواريخ، عمدت القيادة العسكرية الإسرائيلية الى اتخاذ قرارين استراتيجيين يعبّران عن تغييرات عميقة ستشهدها أسلحة الجيش مستقبلاً بمعنى سلاح الطيران / البحرية / القوات البرية او المشاة . وهذان القراران هما:

العمل على تغيير طبيعة ذخائر سلاح المدفعية في الجيش الإسرائيلي، بما في ذلك مدفعية الدبابات، ليصبح خمسون في المئة 50 من هذه الذخائر من النوع الذكي، أي الموجه بالأقمار الصناعية، خلال سنتين من الآن.

وقد بدأ الجيش «الإسرائيلي» بالاستخدام الفعلي لهذا النوع من قذائف المدفعية الذكية خلال المناورات التي أجراها في الأسبوع الاول من شهر آب 2018 في الجولان، حيث أطلقت وحدات الكتيبة 13 التابعة للواء جولاني، التي شاركت في المناورات الى جانب الفرقة المدرعة 36، قذائف هاون عدة شديدة الدقة، من عيار 122 ملم، تسمى بالانجليزية Precision – guided mortar shells، وهي قذائف من صناعة شركات الصناعة العسكرية الإسرائيلية.

علماً أنّ شركة الصناعات الجوية الإسرائيلية تشارك في عملية تحديث قذائف المدفعية وتحويلها قذائف ذكية، من خلال تزويد الشركات الأخرى التي تنتج القذائف، بفيوزات جمع فيوز لإضافتها الى القذائف غير الذكية والتي تعمل على توجيهها من خلال الأقمار الصناعية.

وقد قامت وزارة الدفاع الإسرائيلية بمنح شركة الصناعات الجوية الإسرائيلية عطاء لإنتاج هذه الفيوزات الالكترونية، المسماة توب غَن Top Gun، اللازمة لتحديث قذائف مدفعية الميدان من عيار 155 ملم الى قذائف ذكية. وهذا الفيوز Top Gun قطعة إلكترونية دقيقة يتم تركيبها داخل فيوز قذيفة المدفعية نفسها، حسب ما أعلن مدير عام وحدة التطوير والإنتاج في شركة الصناعات الجوية الإسرائيلية لوكالة أسوشيتدبرس، المسؤولة عن تطوير وإنتاج هذه القطعة، يعقوب غاليفات Jacob Galifat، في وقت سابق.

إعلان وزارة الدفاع الإسرائيلية عن إنشاء سلاح جديد من اسلحة الجيش، ملحق بسلاح القوات البرية، اطلق عليه اسم سلاح الصواريخ Missile Corps، حيث وقعت وزارة الدفاع الإسرائيلية عقداً تجارياً، يوم الاثنين 27/8/2018، مع شركة الصناعات الجوية الإسرائيلية، تقوم الشركة بموجبه بإنتاج صواريخ لحساب الوزارة أي لحساب الجيش يتراوح مداها بين خمسة وثلاثين ومئة وخمسين كيلومتراً 35 – 150 كم .

ومن بين أنظمة الصواريخ التي تم التعاقد على إنتاجها ما يلي :

صواريخ مداها أربعون كيلومتراً 40 كم مزوّدة برؤوس متفجّرة زنة 22 كغم، تطلق من راجمات قادرة على إطلاق ثمانية عشر صاروخاً في الدقيقة 18 صاروخاً موجهة بالأقمار الصناعية، تسمى هذه الراجمة Multiple Lounch Rocket Systems MLRS .

منظومة صواريخ رماح الموجهة، وهي نظام صاروخي مطوّر عن نظام LAR 160 الذي سنأتي على ذكره لاحقاً، أو Romach Rockets GPS- guided، مداها خمسة وثلاثون كيلومتراً 35 كم موجهة بالأقمار الصناعية، بهامش خطأ لا يتجاوز 10 م.، حسب الشركة المنتجة، مما يسمح للجيش الإسرائيلي بقصف أهداف داخل مدن العدو «دون إيقاع خسائر بين المدنيين»، حسب أقوال الجيش. وتُطلق عليها تسمية AccuLAR 122 ايضاً وذلك لتمييزها عن منظومة صواريخ LAR 160.

منظومة صواريخ بريديتور هوك Predator Hawk مدى صواريخها ثلاثمئة كيلومتر 300 كم ،

– عيار 370 ملم.

– موجهة بالأقمار الصناعية وعلى نظامي GPS و G Lonass وهو نظام روسي.

– بالإضافة الى نظام توجيه ذاتي داخل رأس الصاروخ يسمّى I nterial Navigation System INS .

يبلغ وزن الرأس المتفجر مئة وأربعين كيلوغراماً 140 كلغ .

منظومة صواريخ اكسترا EXTended Range

Artillery

ويختصر اسمها بأحرف EXTRA.

موجهة بالأقمار الصناعية.

مداها مئة وخمسون كيلومتراً 150 كلم .

عيارها ثلاثمئة وستة ميليمترات 306 ملم .

وزن الرأس المتفجر مئة وعشرين كيلوغراماً 120 كلغ .

يتم إطلاقها من راجمات طراز / Lynx / صناعة شركة الصناعات العسكرية الإسرائيلية.

علماً ان الجيش الإسرائيلي قد استخدم هذا النوع من الصواريخ للمرة الأولى ميدانياً بتاريخ 7/12/2016 عندما قصف بها مطار المزة العسكري، عند الساعة 0300 من فجر التاريخ المذكور

من الجدير بالذكر أن لدى الجيش الإسرائيلي منظومات صاروخية أخرى، قديمة نسبياً، مثل :

منظومة

LAR / 160، أي Light Artillery rocket.

– مداها 45 كلم.

– عيار 160 ملم.

دخلت الخدمة في الجيش الإسرائيلي سنة 1983 . يتم إطلاق الصواريخ من خلال راجمة تحمل خمسة وعشرين صاروخاً 25 .

ورغم ذلك لن تفلحوا…

بعدنا طيببن قولوا الله.

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Those Coming to Kill Us…

Al-Ahed News

“Those Coming to Kill Us” was the title of an article published on the website of “Israel’s” Channel 2 and authored by its analyst Shay Levy. The analyst talks about the increasing level of threat on both the northern and southern fronts.

The article reads as follows:

The last “Hebrew” calendar year was a difficult one in terms of security for “Israel”: the war in Syria which is coming to an end, in return an increased threat from Hezbollah. From the south, we came close to another military operation in Gaza, while the West Bank turned into a volcano threatening everyone with an eruption.

The countries in the region continue to arm themselves with various types of weapons. Part of which poses a threat to “Israel” and another part is not a threat at all. There are practically some countries that have secret relations with Tel Aviv, without the knowledge of its citizens. Eternal enemies have become allies in recent years, and the Americans and Russians have returned to the struggle for regional hegemony.

In short, the Middle East can be described in one word: chaos. It seems that the new “Hebrew” calendar year will be no less tense. So, it is the right time to understand exactly who is threatening us and why. In essence, what is the magnitude of the threat we face?

The threat level from Iran is high. The threat is focal and consists of: surface-to-surface missiles, sophisticated manufacturing of unmanned aerial vehicles and arms in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza as well as activities abroad with Iranian cover that would drag “Israel” into a war like the First Lebanon War.

According to an “Israeli” expert, “Tehran is strengthening its traditional capabilities.” The annual strategic assessment of the Institute for National Security Research stated that “Israel” will face a more dangerous Iran in the mid and long term.

The level of Hezbollah’s threat to “Israel” is high. The main threat lies in the infiltration of “saboteurs” cells into settlements in the Galilee and the capture of soldiers and civilians, the firing of missiles and rockets into “Israel” in addition to the planting of explosive devices and a full-scale war that could extend to the Syrian arena.

According to the strategic assessment, Hezbollah continues to pose the most serious conventional threat since it possesses rocket-propelled grenades for all ranges which are more lethal than before. It also has precision rockets, unmanned attack aerial vehicles, advanced coast-sea missiles, state-of-the-art Russian air defense and land units trained to occupy villages inside “Israeli” territory.

Although popular attention is directed southward, it is clear to everyone that Gaza is only a prelude to the real war that will erupt specifically against Hezbollah in Lebanon. Even within the “Israeli” army, officials are between careful and keen to make it clear that the next war will not be like the one that took place in 2006. They do not only mean through the Winograd Commission.

The commander of the Northern Region Major-General Yoel Strik recently said that the next war would not be the third Lebanon war, but the North’s final war. Indeed, according to various estimates, the next war in Lebanon will be more difficult: the force that will be employed by the “Israeli” army will be double, even triple the size of the previous war. Hezbollah did not rely on past glories but continued to increase its massive missiles arsenal.

The intelligence apparatus estimates that Hezbollah has acquired an additional 150,000 rockets and missiles since 2006. And it can launch hundreds of rockets into “Israeli” territory every day. In this case, the air force cannot stop the fire alone, but will call on ground forces to battle as well.

Meanwhile, the level of threat from the Gaza Strip is medium to high. The main threat could be offensive tunnels, infiltration of cells into border villages with the Gaza Strip, capturing soldiers and civilians, launching rocket-propelled grenades, roadside bombs and a full-scale military operation.

According to the research center, the probability of the situation intensifying is very high. It is true that Hamas is deterred, but it continues to build its strength. Even though both sides are not concerned with this, a confrontation may erupt due to an uncontrolled escalation of a local incident or a deep socio-economic crisis in the Strip that explodes onto “Israel”.

The threat level from Syria is average. The main threat could be through the firing of rockets and anti-tank missiles, air defenses, operations against the “Israeli” soldiers along the border and the situation deteriorating into a full-scale war.

Reports from the Directorate of Military Intelligence “Aman” confirm that the likelihood of war with Syria and Lebanon will increase dramatically after the end of the war in Syria. Even technical terms have changed from the Third Lebanon War to the “North’s War”.

On the other hand, the level of threat from the Gulf States to “Israel” is low. The main threats are represented by regular and improved armies and pro-Iran organizations. Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates have huge armies. They have invested billions of dollars and equipped into their armed forces with the best combat systems. It is true that in the past Saudi Arabia sent military forces to wage wars against “Israel”, but today the Gulf countries have a common enemy with “Israel” which is Iran.

The talk is not only centered on the nuclear threat. Iran is operating “Houthi arms” in Yemen which are fighting against the Saudis. The rockets launched by the Houthis towards ships in the Black Sea raised great concern within the “Israeli” security establishment. The Iranian threat produced a system of secret alliances that will prevent any chance of war.

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