Window for JCPOA Revival Won’t Remain Open Forever – Amir Abdollahian

March 3, 2023

By Staff, Agencies

Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian cautioned the United States that the window of opportunity for an agreement on reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal will not remain open forever, urging Washington to adopt a constructive approach to salvage the accord.

In an interview with CNN aired on Wednesday, Amir Abdollahian said Iran has informed the US through mediators that the parties to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action are “on the path to reach an accord,” but warned that this might change if the US side hangs back.

“Our relationship with the IAEA is on its correct, natural path, and we have said this to the US side through mediators that we are on the path to reach an accord but if the Iranian Parliament adopts a new law, then we’ll have to abide by the parliamentary act,” he said.

“So, the window for an accord is still open but this window will not remain open forever,” the top Iranian diplomat added.

Amir Abdollahian also made clear that the Islamic Republic of Iran has been and is the most committed of all the parties involved in the diplomatic endeavors to restore the JCPOA, which was abandoned by the United States in 2018.

“The party that left the JCPOA was [former US president Donald] Trump and the United States,” he said. “The United States should not adopt a deceptive behavior and instead should return to the JCPOA and adopt a constructive approach.”

“The US party has been sending us positive messages through diplomatic channels but in its media remarks, they made very deceptive remarks that are totally different, and really, as the Iranian foreign minister, sometimes I have serious doubts,” he added.

He also noted that even though the administration of President Ebrahim Raisi sees some flaws and shortcomings in the JCPOA, it has decided to continue with the dialogue in order to restore the multilateral accord, provided that all the parties come back to the negotiating table and do their utmost to reach an agreement.

Iran showed to the world the peaceful nature of its nuclear program by signing the JCPOA with six world states — namely the US, Germany, France, Britain, Russia and China. But, Washington’s unilateral withdrawal in May 2018 and its subsequent re-imposition of sanctions against Tehran left the future of the deal in limbo.

Elsewhere in his interview with CNN’s Christiane Amanpour, Amir Abdollahian criticized the United States for playing the blame game and accusing Iran of not having the “necessary resolve.”

“I will tell you expressively that in the past few years, we saw that the US officials were unable to make a decision because of their own internal problems and the pressures they are under. They are still unable to make a courageous decision to return to the JCPOA,” he said.

The Iranian foreign minister added that the country has shown its initiative on many occasions and “the fact is that we are still on the path of dialogue and we still want to reach an accord.”

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Mission Unaccomplished: To Overthrow the Regime in Iran

 February 28, 2023

Illustrative image prepared by Al-Manar Website on the French mission which was foiled by Iranian authorities in May 2022.

Iran had been in late 2022 the scene of protests which turned violent, allegedly over living conditions and the death of a young woman at police custody. The suspicious riots last September, led to the death or injury of tens of Iranians, including security forces, as well as the arrest of dozens others.

Amidst all this chaos, Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution in Iran Imam Sayyed Ali Khamenei said it all: Role by foreign intelligence in the riots was obvious.

As he urged the government to meet people’s livelihood demands, the insightful leader warned against repeated schemes by foreign services to destabilize the Islamic Republic.

The September riots were preceded by several protests held by members of teachers’ syndicates in Iran in May 2022. However, it became evident that the suspicious demonstrations were aimed at fomenting unrest across the Islamic Republic, but failed to do so as the Iranian intelligence announced the arrest of two French spies who were stoking the protests.

“The Special Mission” Documentary

In a documentary, Al-Manar Channel disclosed details on the activity of the two spies, Jacques Paris and Cecile Kohler, and how they were spotted and busted by the Iranian intelligence and security bodies.

The nearly 30-minute documentary, entitled “The Special Mission – Spies of France”, was aired earlier in February. It shows the chronicles of the French intelligence mission since the two spies landed in Imam Khomeni International Airport in Tehran on April 28, 2022.

Al-Manar’s editor of Iranian affairs Hasan Haidar speaks to our website on the documentary:

French Spies

Cecile Kohler and her partner, Jacques Paris, who traveled between Iranian cities such as Tehran, Kashan, and Isfahan, were the French mission’s protagonists. The two spies of the French intelligence agency were arrested in May while visiting Iran as ordinary tourists.

Both well-prepared, Kohler and Paris appeared in the documentary confessing to carrying their mission. They revealed how they were trained at the French intelligence service’s headquarters that specializes in Asia, primarily the Islamic Republic of Iran. Kohler’s department was also dedicated to collect data on Iran’s technological, industrial, and scientific progress.

French spy Cecile Kohle appears in Al-Manar’s documentary “The Special Mission”.

Cecile Kohler is a member of the French External Security Service’s Intelligence and Operations Service (DGSE), since 2018. Similarly, Jacques Paris has been a member of DGSE since 2000. He serves as an agent in the Iran office, in a syndical and political framework, the spies said, as disclosed by the documentary.

According to Kohler, the DGSE utilized the International Labor Organization (ILO) to destabilize and exert pressure on states that oppose it. In addition, the International Organization for Education granted federal aid to any syndicate seeking to overthrow and destabilize regimes hostile to imperialism.

“We came to set the stage for the overthrow of Iran’s Islamic Republic regime. France is also interested in pursuing the nuclear program”, Kohler added in the documentary.

How It Was Going?

After members of the illicit Iranian syndicates reached out to the DGSE, the mission began in earnest. The DGSE agents started to outline the mission’s goals, which include contacting the syndical members and guiding them on how to organize the country’s so-called ‘revolution’ on the International Workers’ Day (Labor Day).

Kohler and Paris held joint meetings with the aim to “mobilize saboteurs to overthrow the government.” As was foreseeable, the Iranian intelligence service was actively monitoring their movements since the day they landed, the documentary revealed.

French spy Jacques Paris appears in the doccumentary “The Special Mission”.

The agents appointed people like Reza Shihabi, who was previously backed by French intelligence and a member of the Mojahedin-e-Khalq (MEK) terrorist organization, as well as Shaaban Mohammadi, who was in a connection with the terrorist Komala Party of Iranian Kurdistan, according to the documentary. It is worth noting that both organizations were involved in agitating several sabotage activities across the Islamic Republic.

During the meetings, illicit syndical members expressed their willingness to take up weapons and riot against the police to demand their ‘rights’. Thereupon, the agents explained to the syndicalists the Fourth International (FI) revolutionary conceptual framework and emphasized the significance of assembling all employees, young and old, to enhance the level of impact of the demands. Consequently, the French money was utilized to hire syndical figures and to subsidize the costs of demonstrations, a procedure Kohler alluded to as “purchasing demonstrations.”

After a few days, the participants present at the meeting became protest leaders. The foreign-backed Iranian opposition media hastened to assist them in broadening the scope of their demonstrations.

Scheme Foiled

However, many demonstrators were unaware of those meetings, as well as the plans and funds spent on protesting. Despite all of their efforts, they failed to parlay the demonstrations into activities that could contribute to Iran’s destabilization at the time (May 2022). As members of syndicates, they were the first to demand their rights. That is because people’s first concern was to demand their rights as citizens, the documentary “The Special Mission” revealed.

Kohler and Paris as they appeared touring Iranian cities in “The Special Mission” documentary.

Eventually, Cecile Kohler acknowledged in the documentary that the objective of the US embargo, which was endorsed by European states, is to bankrupt the Iranian government and force it to make unpalatable decisions by raising taxes and gasoline costs, increasing public anger and creating internal conflict and division. She also affirmed that the mission’s ultimate goal was to destabilize the Iranian regime, overthrow it, and bring forth a regime that advocates imperialism and fulfills the agendas of French imperialism and the US, as well. Hence, all of these efforts, as evidenced by the newly aired documentary were focused on flaring the civil war in the Islamic Republic of Iran.

Lastly, the documentary displayed scenes of the operation in which the French spies were arrested, demonstrating the immense effort of Iran’s security and intelligence authorities to safeguard the country’s security and divert Western efforts to overthrow the republican regime.

“The Special Mission” is just an episode in a series of documentaries uncovering the Western conspiracy against Iran, with the eyes being on the next episodes that Al-Manar will air soon and will tackle other schemes against the Islamic Republic.

Report by Marwa Haidar, Documentary translated by Areej Fatima Al-Husseini.

Maha Kanso contributed to this report.

Source: Al-Manar English Website

From Russia with Love: Su-35s to Iran will strengthen defense ties

February 27 2023

Iran’s possible purchase of Russian fighter jets would further solidify the existing strategic partnership between Moscow and Tehran, and impact their global power competition with the west.

Photo Credit: The Cradle

ByYasmine Rashid

The news of a potential deal between Iran and Russia to supply Tehran with 24 Sukhoi Su-35 combat aircraft is significant and not a passing event, as tensions between the two states and western nations continue to escalate.

If Iran also sends short-range precision-guided ballistic missiles to Russia in conjunction with this agreement, those tensions will further intensify.

While there has been no official announcement yet about the deal, Iranian officials have expressed interest in acquiring the Su-30 and Su-35 fighter jets, in addition to the fifth generation Russian Su-57.

On 15 January, a member of the Iranian National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, Shahryar Heidari, confirmed that the fighter jets will arrive next March, and that Tehran requested other military equipment from Russia, including air defense systems, missile systems, and helicopters.

Farzin Nadimi, an analyst specializing in security and defense affairs related to Iran and the Persian Gulf region, tells The Cradle that the deal, “if it takes place, will lead to closer defense relations between Iran and Russia.”

‘Confrontation with the west’

This action coincides with global geopolitical shifts and a deepening of ties between Moscow and Tehran. Today, the Russian-Ukrainian war is the most prominent theater of conflict between two axes: a western one led by the US, and another opposed to western policy that includes China, Russia, Iran, and their respective allies.

According to Muhammad Saif El-Din, a researcher in Russian-Atlantic relations, this arms deal “comes within the broader confrontation with the west,” and the determination of China, Russia, India, Iran, and other countries to challenge dollar dominance through trade in local currencies:

“These factors encourage more countries to coordinate to form alliance blocs, especially in South America, the Middle East [West Asia] and Africa. The outcome of the confrontation in Ukraine will determine the shape of the crises that follow, and thus the shape of the new world order.”

It is highly likely that the Iran-Russia deal will lead to polarizing international reactions as it will be “a great boost to the Iranian Air Force,” says analyst Nadimi. This could potentially spark a “mini arms race” in the region, with the possibility of Washington delivering advanced weapons to Persian Gulf states and accelerating the delivery of F-35 aircraft to the UAE.

Nadimi believes that Arab countries in the Persian Gulf “will try to downplay the importance of the deal, but they will certainly work to strengthen their air defense relations with Israel and the United States.”

Russian reluctance?

Iranian military analyst Amin Berto believes, however, that Russia will not grant Iran fighter jets such as the Su-35, nor the S-400 missile system that “changes the rules of the game in Ukraine.” He points to an understanding between Moscow and Tel Aviv, Riyadh, and Abu Dhabi to contain the sale of qualitative weapons and technology to Iran – which is also a tacit agreement with Washington and NATO. As Berto explains to The Cradle:

“The Russians know that this step may push Israel to provide Ukraine with Israeli weapons, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE may resort to increasing oil production and reducing its price, which would be a fatal blow to the Russian economy.”

Although Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has considered sending military aid to Ukraine, columnist Stephen Cook at Foreign Policy believes that Tel Aviv is unlikely to arm Kiev, given its desire to maintain a constructive relationship with Moscow and “areas of common interest between the two sides, including Syria and security.”

Cook views the proposed sale of Russian fighter jets to Iran as a move to encourage Tehran to provide more assistance in the war against Kiev – although it remains unclear whether Iran is willing to participate further in that conflict.

Growing military cooperation

On 5 February, 2023, the Wall Street Journal reported that Iran and Russia are planning to build a new factory in Russia that would produce at least 6,000 high-speed drones for use in the conflict in Ukraine. Despite this development, Cook believes that Washington and its western allies will not impose additional sanctions on Russia, saying: “What the west will do in response to the agreement is to intensify pressure on Russia by providing Ukraine with combat aircraft.”

The head of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), William Burns, has previously expressed concerns about a “a full defense partnership between Russia and Iran.” In an interview with US media outlet PBS, Burns said that Washington “bears responsibility for the rapprochement between the two countries after its freezing of the Iranian nuclear agreement and its attempt to isolate Russia.”

“The Russians are beginning to look at ways in which, technologically or technically, they can support the Iranians, which poses real threats to Iran’s own neighborhood, to many of our friends and partners in Iran’s neighborhood as well,” he said.

Meanwhile, Iranian observers speculate that Washington will likely send positive signals toward Iranian nuclear talks in order “to destabilize the relationship between Moscow and Tehran.”

Mutual and conflicting interests

Iranian-Russian military cooperation has a long history dating back to the Soviet era, and the two nations have previously concluded deals to supply the Islamic Republic with various types of military equipment, including the S-300 air defense missile system, Su-30 combat aircraft, T-90 tanks, and Caliber cruise missiles.

Despite their cooperation, the relationship between Iran and Russia has been complicated by a number of conflicting interests. For example, Russia has supported some UN sanctions against Tehran over its nuclear program, while Iran considers Israel an enemy and supports resistance formations against it. Moreover, Russia enjoys good relations with Riyadh and Abu Dhabi, which consider Tehran to be their main rival in the region.

However, in recent years, Moscow and Tehran have developed their cooperation over some key regional and international issues, including mutual political, diplomatic, and military support for Damascus in the Syrian war. The western blockade imposed by Washington and its allies against the two countries has also prompted the strengthening of economic cooperation and financial ties between them.

In terms of finance, Tehran and Moscow have linked their banking systems to circumvent US control and oversight over financial exchanges – in an attempt to mitigate the effects of the western embargo on their transactions after their separation from the global financial network “SWIFT” for bank transfers.

Additional de-dollarization policies include an agreement to transact in the Iranian rial against the Russian ruble in financial exchanges, and the decision to trade in the two national currencies on the Iranian currency exchange.

In 2021, trade volume between the Iran and Russia exceeded $4 billion. That same year, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi announced that his country’s trade with Russia would increase by 80 percent. Russia and Iran have also discussed cooperation on infrastructure projects, including railways, energy, and communications systems. In the field of agriculture, Russia exports wheat and other foodstuffs to Iran, and imports fruits and vegetables in return.

The energy sector represents an area of significant cooperation between the two states. In 2022, Russia loaned Iran $1.4 billion to build the Sirik thermal power plant. A memorandum of understanding was signed between Russian energy giant Gazprom and the National Iranian Oil Corporation last June – worth about $40 billion – to develop the Kish and Northern Pars gas fields, in addition to discussing the development of six oil fields and the establishment of gas pipelines for exports.

Last October, Tehran and Moscow signed an agreement for Iran to supply about 40 gas turbines to Russian thermal power plants. According to Russian media, this deal represents Iran’s largest technology export in modern history.

However, the future of the relationship between Russia and Iran is uncertain and difficult to predict. While their ties have strengthened, the potential for a comprehensive alliance still depends on several factors.

These include their ability to resolve their differences and effectively manage challenges in the region, particularly the ongoing Syrian conflict where their interests have slightly diverged. Despite this, it is not out of the question that a stronger alliance between the two countries could emerge, given the current trajectory of their relationship amid the escalation of global geopolitical conflict.

The views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of The Cradle.

تصاعد احتمال حرب إقليمية…

 الجمعة 24 شباط 2023

منير شفيق

تحوّل مؤتمر ميونيخ للأمن إلى منبر تحريضي لتصعيد الحرب ضدّ روسيا في أوكرانيا. فمن يستمع إلى خطاب نائبة رئيس الولايات المتحدة كامالا هاريس في المؤتمر، يلمس استمرار التصميم الأميركي على الحرب في أوكرانيا، حتى الإطاحة ببوتين وروسيا كلها، وفي آن واحد. فقد أعادت هاريس نغمة التهديد باعتبار بوتين مجرم حرب، أو مسؤولاً عن إبادة بشرية، الأمر الذي يعني إغلاق الباب في وجه السياسة والتفاوض، وتسعير الحرب حتى إنزال الهزيمة التامة بروسيا.

واتجهت الخُطب الأوروبية نحو المطالبة بالمزيد من تسليح أوكرانيا، وتشجيعها على الحرب حتى النصر. ولا يمثل الرئيس الفرنسي ماكرون تمايزاً حين يؤكد على المزيد من تسليح أوكرانيا، مع تلميح للبحث عن وساطة تفاوضية، لأنّ السياسة تُقرأ انطلاقاً مما تمارَس، وليس مما تقول.

وبهذا يمكن القول بحكم قاطع إنّ مؤتمر ميونيخ للأمن، قد تحوّل إلى مؤتمر للحرب، ويصبّ الزيت على الحرب في أوكرانيا، الأمر الذي يعني أنّ الخطر الذي يتهدّد العالم نتيجة الحرب في أوكرانيا ما زال قائماً على أوجه.

أميركا وأوروبا وحلفاء أميركا الدوليون يريدون من الحرب أن تُحسَم بالنصر ضدّ روسيا، وهو احتمال في طريقه لانتقال روسيا إلى استخدام النووي، إذا لم تستطع كسب المواجهة الميدانية من خلال الأسلحة التقليدية، دون النووية، لأنّ بوتين وهيئة الأركان الروسية، وأغلبية الشعب الروسي بالطبع، لا يمكن أن يقبلوا بالهزيمة العسكرية من خلال الأسلحة التقليدية، وحرب ممتدّة دون أن يلجأوا إلى السلاح النووي المحدود، وهم يملكونه، ويملكون السلاح النووي الشامل الذي يجعل الحرب العالمية حالة إفناء عام ليس فيها من منتصر.

والسؤال هنا إذا كان هذا هو قانون المواجهة الراهنة، فكيف يفكر قادة الغرب، وفي مقدّمتهم الإدارة الأميركية برئاسة جو بايدن، وهم يصعّدون الحرب في أوكرانيا إلى مداها الأقصى، فيما هم في الآن نفسه لا يذهبون، ولا يحتملون حرباً نووية شاملة؟ ولهذا فإنّ الإجابة عن السؤال: هو الرهان على استسلام بوتين وروسيا من خلال الحرب التقليدية. ولكن ما العمل إذا لم يحدث هذا الاستسلام، وأصبحت الحرب في عامها الثاني وَبالاً عليهم، أو تدخل النووي «الصغير» من جانب روسيا؟

الجواب: سيُضطرون إلى التراجع (الهزيمة عملياً) من خلال تدخل وسطاء أو مفاوضات، أو بغضّ النظر عن الشكل الذي يتمّ فيه التراجع.

وبالمناسبة، إذا وصلت الأمور إلى النووي الشامل فإنّ «المُخاطِر» المستعدّ للذهاب إليه، هو الذي سينتصر بعدم التراجع أولاً.

أما المؤشرات الجديدة التي راحت تصاحب خطابات مؤتمر ميونيخ للأمن، فقد جاءت كلها من جانب الإدارة الأميركية ونتنياهو. وذلك من خلال تصعيد المواجهة مع إيران ومحور المقاومة، الأمر الذي أخذ مع الردود عليه يُدخل الوضع في منطقتنا إلى احتمال اندلاع حرب إقليمية، أوسع وأخطر من الحرب في أوكرانيا. وقد جاء العدوان العسكري على حي كفرسوسة في دمشق، ليشكل خرقاً لما كان سائداً من قواعد الاشتباك، كما يعلن الدخول في مرحلة جديدة ذاهبة لطرق أبواب الحرب الإقليمية.
فعندما يصرّح نتنياهو، إثر ذلك العدوان، بأنه لن يسمح لإيران بامتلاك السلاح النووي (وليس في هذا من جديد غير ما نشأ من ظرف عام جديد)، كما لن يسمح «بالتموضع الإيراني في سورية»، فهذا يعني أنّ القصف الصهيوني في 19 شباط/ فبراير 2023 على سورية، دخل في مرحلة جديدة من استهداف المواقع والأشخاص، وهو ما سيشمل أفراداً من حزب الله كذلك. فنتنياهو أخذ يُغيّر في قواعد الاشتباك التي سادت في السابق، حيث كان القصف الصهيوني على الأرض السورية يجري تحت سقفها، وضمن قيود متفق عليها بين الكيان الصهيوني وروسيا. وهذا يفسّر شدة ردّ الفعل الروسي في التعليق على العدوان الذي تعرّض له حي كفرسوسة في دمشق، والقلعة وحي المزرعة أيضاً.
هذا التصعيد جاء بعد تصعيد أميركي بزيادة العقوبات على إيران، وتغيير في الموقف الأميركي في لبنان. وقد ردّ عليه السيد حسن نصر الله في خطابه الأخير في 16 شباط/ فبراير. وقد اعتبر أنّ أميركا تهدّد بضرب الساعد الذي يوجع حزب الله في لبنان، وهو انتقال بالتدخل الأميركي في لبنان، وضدّ حزب الله، إلى مستوى جديد يحمل تغييراً نوعياً، يختلف عن قواعد المواجهة السابقة في لبنان (للتدخل الأميركي) حتى الآن.
طبعاً هذا التطوّر في الاستراتيجية الأميركية ارتبط بزيارة وزير الخارجية الأميركي إلى فلسطين، ولقائه بالرئيس محمود عباس، وطلبه منه أن تقوم سلطة رام الله بالسيطرة على الضفة الغربية، وأساساً على مخيم جنين ومدينة نابلس، لحساب الاحتلال الصهيوني، فضلاً عما يقوم به من استيطان، واقتحامات للمسجد الأقصى، وتهويد للقدس.
فأميركا هنا تخطت سياستها السابقة في الضفة الغربية، باتجاه إحداث فتنة فلسطينية داخلية، تتهدّد الوضع الفلسطيني القائم كله. فالمشروع الأميركي هنا، يلتقي من حيث التوقيت والجوهر والهدف، مع التصعيد الذي استهدف إيران وحزب الله، والذي أخذ يضع المنطقة على حدود حرب إقليمية شاملة.
وهنا تدخل أيضاً المواجهة بالمُسيّرات التي جرت في كلّ من أصفهان ومياه الخليج، حيث استهدف الكيان الصهيوني مواقع في إيران، في حين هاجمت طائرة مُسيّرة سفينة «كابمو سكوير» النفطية التي يملكها متموّل «إسرائيلي» في الخليج، الأمر الذي يصبّ في الأجواء نفسها التي راحت تتجه نحو الحرب الإقليمية.
ويبرز السؤال: كيف تفتح أميركا جبهة إيران ـ محور المقاومة باتجاه حرب إقليمية، في الوقت الذي تتخذ فيه الحرب في أوكرانيا، أولوية لها في هذه المرحلة؟ قد يقفز أول ما يقفز إلى الذهن الجواب: ما يواجهه الكيان الصهيوني من تراجع وضغوط، لأنّ الأرض الفلسطينية حيث المواجهة فيها، في غير مصلحة أميركا والكيان الصهيوني، مما يجعل الانتقال إلى إيران ومحور المقاومة يصيب عصفورين في آن، وذلك في جعلها حرباً إقليمية، هروباً من أن تكون حرباً فلسطينية فقط. وبهذا تحقق الهدف الصهيوني فلسطينياً، كما الهدف الأميركي ـ الصهيوني ضدّ إيران وسورية ولبنان. وقد عبّرت أميركا عن شديد غضبها من إيران حول المُسيّرات الإيرانية التي اشترتها روسيا من إيران، ولو قبل حرب أوكرانيا، لأنّ هذه المُسيّرات أثرت نسبياً في مجريات الحرب، فأعلنت إدارة بايدن عن زيادة العقوبات ضد إيران بسببها.
وبكلمة، بغضّ النظر عن أنّ الأولوية الاستراتيجية الأميركية تتركز على الحرب في أوكرانيا، إلّا أنّ الوقائع والمؤشرات آنفة الذكر، تشير إلى أنّ أميركا تتبنّى سياسات، في هذه المرحلة، تطرق أبواب اندلاع حرب إقليمية. فما دام الواقع أهمّ مما يُعتبر منطقياً أو قانوناً في إدارة الصراع، فإنّ المؤشرات الواقعية التي أخذت تبرز، تقول إنّ ثمة توجهاً قوياً في احتمال اندلاع الحرب الإقليمية، مما يجعل الاستعداد لها وكسبها، هو ما يجب أن يكون الشغل الشاغل، خصوصاً فلسطينياً، لما يعنيه ذلك من تقرير لمصير القضية الفلسطينية، ومصير منطقتنا، لعشرات السنين المقبلة.

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“Spider web speech 2”: Israeli media on Sayyed Nasrallah’s speech إعلام إسرائيلي: السيد نصر الله يشخّص الانقسام الإسرائيلي.. إنه خطاب “بيت العنكبوت 2”

Feb 24, 2023

Source: Israeli Media

By Al Mayadeen English 

Israeli media says Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s recent speech revived the “cobweb theory” of Israeli society.

Hezbollah Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah

An article published in the Israeli newspaper Haaretz touched on the recent speech delivered by Hezbollah Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, saying that it is being described in “Israel” as “spider web speech 2.”

At the celebration of the liberation of southern Lebanon from the Israeli occupation on May 25, 2000, Sayyed Nasrallah described “Israel”  as “weaker than a spider’s web.”

The article said that a “second security development is taking place in Lebanon, of all places, an arena that was supposed to have become quiescent following the signing of the maritime border agreement with Israel last October.”

It claimed that Sayyed Nasrallah “discerns, from his viewpoint, an internal weakness in Israel against the background of the broad constitutional and political crisis, and is starting to issue threats.”

It highlighted that Sayyed Nasrallah’s words were accompanied by steps on the ground, including the alleged arrival of Iranian air defense systems to Lebanon, “which eroded the Israeli air force’s superiority in the skies,” in addition to the deployment of dozens of Hezbollah observation points along the border with occupied Palestine.

In the same context, an article published in the Israeli newspaper Maariv considered that the Hezbollah Secretary-General “pounced” on the deep crisis afflicting Israeli society.

It said that Sayyed Nasrallah’s words “threaten to expose the consensus necessary for joint service” in the occupation army, and to expose “the solidarity of the majority of the different population groups in society during any future fighting.”

The article indicated that the Lebanese leader once again revived the “cobweb theory” of Israeli society, warning that “from week to week, the crises inside Israel become more dangerous.”

In a related context, the Maariv article pointed to the state of frustration and despair that prevails in the general atmosphere in “Israel”, highlighting that “Israel” is going through “horrible days, which may lead the Zionist dream to an unprecedented rift, and perhaps even its end.”

Maariv concluded that “millions of Israelis feel that it is the end of the world.”

Read more: Enemies of ‘Israel’ happy with internal division: Israeli media

“Israeli dilemma” in facing Iranian nuclear file

On its part, the Israeli Channel 12 broadcasted an extensive report that included interviews with former Israeli occupation officers, on “the Israeli dilemma” in facing the Iranian nuclear file.

The report said that “they will not be surprised in Israel by the report and information that Iran has succeeded in enriching uranium, in small quantities, to the level of 84%, and this has been known here for a long time.”  

It claimed that the Iranians “have now reached the last red line, the ability to enrich to a level of 90% sufficient to produce enough materials for a nuclear bomb.”

The channel wondered about the capabilities of “Israel” in exchange for this Iranian step, saying, “What can we really accomplish?”

Read more: IAEA in Tehran, Iran to clear false reports over Uranium purity levels

إعلام إسرائيلي: السيد نصر الله يشخّص الانقسام الإسرائيلي.. إنه خطاب “بيت العنكبوت 2”

 الجمعة 24 شباط 2023

الاعلام الإسرائيلي يتناول الخطاب الأخير للسيد حسن نصر الله، والذي تحدث فيه عن الأزمة الداخلية الإسرائيلية والانقسامات على خلفية الأزمة التشريعية والسياسية، واصفة خطابه بـ”العدائي” و”خطاب العنكبوت 2″.

الأمين العام لحزب الله السيد حسن نصر الله

تطرقت صحيفة “هآرتس” الإسرائيلية في مقال لها، إلى الخطاب الأخير الذي ألقاه الأمين العام لحزب الله، السيد حسن نصر الله، في ذكرى الشهداء القادة، واصفةً الخطاب بـ “بيت العنكبوت 2”.

وأشارت الصحيفة إلى أنّ “السيد نصر الله يشخّص ضعفاً داخلياً في إسرائيل، على خلفية الأزمة التشريعية والسياسية الواسعة، ولذلك بدأ بالتهديد”.

وأضافت: “كلامه رافق خطوات على الأرض، ومنها وصول منظومات دفاع جوي إيرانية إلى لبنان، تُقوّض التفوق الجوي لسلاح الجو الإسرائيلي هناك؛ إضافةً إلى نشر عشرات نقاط الرصد لحزب الله على طول الحدود مع لبنان”. 

بدورها، تطرقت صحيفة “معاريف”، في مقال أيضاً للسيد نصر الله، معتبرةً أنّه “انقضّ” على الأزمة العميقة التي تعصف بالمجتمع الإسرائيلي.

وذكرت الصحيفة إنّ كلام السيد نصر الله “يهدد بتعرية الإجماع الضروري للخدمة المشتركة” في جيش الاحتلال، وتعرية “تكافل غالبية المجموعات السكانية المختلفة في المجتمع خلال أي قتال مستقبلي”.

وأشارت أيضاً إلى أن أحيى مجدداً “نظرية بيت العنكبوت للمجتمع الإسرائيلي”.

وأضافت “معاريف” أنّ “الإسرائيليين يقومون بأنفسهم بتوفير المادة للسيد نصر الله”، مشيرةً إلى أنه “من أسبوع لأسبوع تصبح الأزمات داخل إسرائيل، أخطر”. 

وكان السيد نصر الله قد وصف “إسرائيل” في احتفال تحرير الجنوب اللبناني من العدو الاسرائيلي في 25 أيار/مايو 2000، بأنها “أوهن من بيت العنكبوت”. وحُفرت هذه العبارة في الوعي الإسرائيلي، منذ وقتها إلى اليوم، لتعيد الصحافة الإسرائيلية استذكارها، بعد الخطاب الأخير في ذكرى “الشهداء القادة”.

وتحدثت الصحيفة نفسها عن حالة الإحباط واليأس التي تتسيّد الأجواء العامة في “إسرائيل”، حيث لخّصت ما تمرّ به “إسرائيل” بأنها “أيام فظيعة، قد تقود الحلم الصهيوني إلى شرخٍ غير مسبوق، وربما حتى نهايته”.

ولفتن إلى أنه “رغم أهازيج الفرح (في إشارة إلى خطاب السيّد نصر الله الأخير)، وأصوات الانفجارات التي تُسمع من حولنا (في غزة والضفة)، فإن الفريق الحكومي لا يتوقّف للحظة. قانون يتبع قانوناً، جنوناً تلو جنون، الجمهور يعربد، يحطّم كل شيء، يحرق المدينة بسكانها”.

وخلصت “معاريف” إلى أنّ “ملايين الإسرائيليين يشعرون أنها نهاية العالم”، وأنها “لا تذكر كآبة مرّت على إسرائيل كتلك التي تمرّ بها اليوم”.

من جهته، تطرق رئيس الشاباك السابق، عامي أيالون، إلى الاحتجاجات ضد الثورة القضائية التي تدفعها الحكومة قائلاً:”جميعنا يجب أن نكون قلقين، الطاقة بمستويات لم أذكر مثلها بالفعل، ولذلك كل هذه الطاقة، عندما يصل أشخاص إلى هذا الواقع الذي ليس لديهم فيه أي طريقة أخرى لوقف ما يبدو بنظرهم كدمار لكل الأمور التي عاشوا من أجلها، أعتقد أننا يجب أن نخشى من الأشخاص الذين سيترجمون هذا إلى عنف”.

“القناة 12” المُعضلة الإسرائيلية في الهجوم على المنشآت النووية الإيرانية

من جهتها، عرضت “القناة 12” الإسرائيلية تقريراً موسَّعاً، ومقابلات مع ضباط إسرائيليين سابقين، حول المعضلة الإسرائيلية في مواجهة تحدي الملف النووي الإيراني.

وذكرت القناة: “لن يتفاجأوا في إسرائيل من التقرير والمعلومات التي تتحدث عن أنّ إيران نجحت في تخصيب اليورانيوم، بكميات صغيرة لمستوى 84%، وهذا معروف هنا منذ زمن”.  

وأضافت: “يبدو أنّهم الآن وصلوا إلى الخط الأحمر الأخير، القدرة على التخصيب لمستوى 90% يكفي لانتاج مواد تكفي لقنبلة نووية”، معتبرةً أنّ “هذه هي المعضلة الإسرائيلية”.

وتسائلت القناة عن قدرات وامكانيات “إسرائيل” مقابل هذه الخطوة الإيرانية، وقالت: “ماذا يمكن أن ننجز حقاً”؟ـ لتقعب بالقول: “سيكون لمهاجمة المنشآت النووية الإيرانية ثمناً لا بأس فيه، لكن ثمن تجنُّب الهجوم قد يكون أعلى بكثير”. 

كذلك نقلت “القناة 12” عن رئيس شعبة الاستخبارات سابقاً، اللواء احتياط تامير هايمن، قوله إنّ “الهجوم على إيران لا يشبه ما اعتدنا عليه في السابق، أي لا يوجد هنا مفاعل واحد كما كان في سوريا، أو العراق، وإذا دمرناه نكون قد دمرنا المشروع النووي”، وفق تعبيره.

وأضاف هايمن: “هذه معركة ولأنها كذلك، يوجد فيها إمكانية فرصة أن تتوسَّع إلى معركة إقليمية”، مشدداً: “المطلوب هو أن نزيد الجاهزية بشكل يكون فيه التهديد العسكري الموثوق أكثر واقعية، وإلى جانب ذلك، إيجاد القدرة للحل الدبلوماسي بواسطة اتفاق آخر”.

وختم قوله: “الاتفاق لا زال السبيل الأكثر أمناً واستقراراً لتأجيل النووي الإيراني”.

Chaos in Lebanon to extend to US protégé, ‘Israel’: Sayyed Nasrallah

Feb 16, 2023

Source: Al Mayadeen Net

By Al Mayadeen English 

Hezbollah chief Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah underlines that the chaos the West is planning for Lebanon would engulf the whole region in flames, especially the Israeli occupation.

Hezbollah Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah speaking during a celebration commemorating the commanders of resistance on February 16, 2023

The Resistance’s accomplishments were only realized due to the blood of the commanders and the martyrs in all resistance factions, the Lebanese Army, the Palestinian resistance factions, and the Syrian Arab Army, Hezbollah Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said on Thursday during a speech commemorating the commanders of the resistance.

“Commemorating the martyred commanders each year is an expression of our loyalty and appreciation for them, their struggle, and their sacrifices, as well as the venerable [Sayyed Abbas Al-Moussawi’s wife] Umm Yasser,” Sayyed Nasrallah said.

He also lauded the Resistance commanders, underlining how they adhered to Resistance despite all the difficulties and betrayals they faced.

“Commemorating them aims to remind of them and reintroduce them once again because many of those from the new generation might not know what happened 30 or 40 years ago,” he said. “Much can be inspired by their stories in the face of the current circumstances and challenges.”

Conserving Resistance vital

The Resistance’s accomplishments are everyone’s responsibility, and this is an ongoing battle, the most important issue in which is conserving those.

“There is an ongoing battle in the face of the US media, political, and economic tools, at the forefront of which is the dollar rate [in Lebanon],” Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said.

“What helps the Americans in their plans is there being corruption and administrative issues in their target country,” the Lebanese resistance leader said, underlining the need for “initiatives and plans against the planned chaos, hegemony, and brainwashing against our people.”

Additionally, the Hezbollah chief stressed that “if Lebanon is pushed into chaos, then the world must brace for chaos all over the region, most notably within your protege, Israel.”

“As we were prepared for war in defense of our gas just as we are prepared to point our guns at your protege, Israel,” he added.

Regarding the extraction of gas from the Mediterranean, the Resistance leader highlighted that the Resistance would never “allow the postponing of the extraction of oil from Lebanese waters,” warning against any postponement of the sort and telling Americans to stay away from the issue.

Sayyed Nasrallah mourns earthquake victims

The Hezbollah chief took the opportunity during his speech to offer his condolences to the people and governments of Syria and Turkey in the wake of the earthquake that struck both nations last week. 

What happened is a “great humanitarian catastrophe, and it is a test of the humanity of every person, party, organization, and country.”

“The Biden administration failed the humanity test in Syria, unmasking its brutality and criminality, as it left the people to die in the first few days of the earthquake through its sanctions on Syria,” Sayyed Nasrallah said.

“The discrimination and double standard on various levels when dealing with the repercussions of the earthquake in Turkey and Syria,” he added. “The West using double standards when it came to dealing with the devastating earthquake in both countries is a resounding human failure.”

Furthermore, Sayyed Nasrallah called on everyone to help Syria and Turkey return life to normal, saying the current situation was “the most difficult challenge.”

According to the resistance leader, the official steps taken by Lebanon toward Syria were “excellent”, and he noted that all the talks about Hezbollah pressuring Beirut were “nonsense”. “Lebanon is required to continue making efforts toward Syria for it to be part of the joint effort to lift the blockade imposed on it […] Lebanon is one of the main beneficiaries of sanctions being lifted off of Syria.”

Lebanon needs emergency plans

“Lebanon is up against a new challenge now, which is earthquakes taking place, according to the predictions of experts,” he said. “The government – even if it is a caretaker one – must take initiative and make emergency plans in anticipation of an earthquake.”

Lebanon, despite its modest capabilities, Sayyed Nasrallah underlined, “Can make comprehensive emergency plans for an earthquake, and one of the few first steps that must be considered by the state is the renovation of damaged buildings.”

Presidency issue must be resolved

The agreement with the Free Patriotic Movement is in critical condition, the Hezbollah chief said, hoping that the accord is preserved for the sake of national interest.

“There is nothing new regarding the Lebanese presidential issue,” he revealed. “This merit is internal, and no one can impose a president on the country. It is necessary [for the state] to continue looking for ways to solve the issue of the presidency.”

What’s currently taking place in Lebanon, Sayyed Nasrallah said, mainly the unreined dollar rate that is on the rise, is due to US pressures and the monitoring of funds being drawn from banks.

“There need to be efforts aimed at bolstering the Lebanese economy and looking for alternative markets, such as China and Russia,” he underscored. “We cannot wait to satisfy the Americans for our crisis to be solved, and there are no limits to the US demands in any direct negotiations.”

Occupation government pushing toward major clashes

Regarding the domestic situation in the Israeli occupation, Sayyed Nasrallah stressed that the “foolish enemy government is pushing toward two major clashes.”

“The first clash is an internal Israeli conflict, while the other is a confrontation with Palestine,” he clarified. “The confrontation with Palestine might extend to include the rest of the region.”

“The internal situation in Israel is unprecedented, especially in light of certain Israeli parties talking about internal war,” he added. “The President of the occupation himself admitted to fearing an imminent internal explosion and the occupation collapsing.”

“We highly revere the Palestinian people, especially the young generation in Al-Quds, the West Bank, and the Gaza Strip,” he continued. “The region is before real Palestinian resistance and a real Palestinian intifada, and they are both embraced by the Palestinian people.”

West aiming to undermine Iran

There was no coverage in Western media and certain Arab media of the mass rallies that took place in Iran on the anniversary of the Islamic revolution, in which millions took to the streets, Sayyed Nasrallah highlighted.

“The Western world ignored the million-strong rally in Iran at a time when it focused on some riots to incite against Iran.”

Iranians took to the streets of more than 1400 Iranian cities to commemorate the 44th anniversary of the victory of the Islamic revolution in Iran.

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Iran Must Not Fall

February 11, 2023

Source

By Davor Slobodanvich Vuycachich

Nasser Kan’ani, Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman, last month justifiably declared that the Western hybrid war, which has been continuously waged against Iran in military, economic, political and psychological campaigns, has suffered a complete failure. Precisely because of this, the USA is now rapidly preparing the military aggression of the unnatural coalition of Israel and regional Arab countries against Iran, which, along with Russia and China, is undoubtedly the biggest American enemy. The task of this military conglomerate would be to deal deadly blows to Iran that would lead to its disintegration and the establishment of a puppet regime on the remains of the country. There is no doubt that the USA could participate in the planned aggression. The recently held, largest in history, joint US-Israeli military exercises “Juniper Oak 23.2” clearly hint at such a possibility, although it is not impossible that the US’s European allies could also participate in this massive operation. Military analysts from the West estimate that a military intervention against Iran, a kind of repetition of what we have already seen in Iraq, Libya, and Syria, could begin this summer, but this publicly stated assessment is probably just an attempt at deliberate deception. There is evidence that the attack on Iran could happen much earlier.

The drone attacks on the Iranian city of Isfahan for which Israel is certainly responsible, either directly or through the use of Kurdish terrorists as its proxy military forces, was undoubtedly a deliberate provocation meant to force Iran into hasty and disproportionate retaliation. Such a reaction, no matter how justified it may be in fact, would be used by the US and Israel to portray Iran as an aggressor in front of the “international community”. The reporting of some Israeli media such as “The Times of Israel” in which they announced, or rather, wished for “Iranian retaliatory” attacks on Israeli civilian targets, clearly testifies to sinister intentions of Israel. Тhere is clearly an Israeli plan to provoke Iran as soon as possible. What we might soon expect are Israeli false flag operations that would be blamed on Iran. It is more likely that the territories of the Arab vassals of the US and Israel would be attacked, rather than Israel itself. In this way, Israel would also ensure the igniting of anti-Iranian hysteria among its Arab allies and at the same time ensure the earliest possible start of aggression against Iran, which is obviously very important to Israel. Namely, Iran should officially join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization in April, which will bring it great international support. Israel is therefore in a hurry to start aggression before this happens because it mistakenly believes that in that case, it could avoid the wrath of Moscow and Beijing. Another reason for Israel’s haste is that in a little more than a month, Iran should receive at least 24 Su-35 multi-role fighters from Russia, for which it already has well-trained Iranian pilots. Finally, the US and Israel know that time will work against them if they allow the intensive military cooperation between Iran and Russia to continue and deepen, and the big question is how much concrete intelligence they have about its details. Therefore, the aggression against Iran could begin immediately before or exactly on the Iranian New Year in Farsi known as Nowruz, which this year is celebrated on March 20. This is also the date that was mentioned in connection with the delivery of Russian jet fighters.

Israel has been talking for a long time about the necessity for the US to provide it with full support because of the alleged threat that Iran represents to the region, but it will rather be that the US stands behind this entire project, because none of America’s vassals has the ability to conduct foreign policy independently. Admittedly, Israel is probably the most independent of all American allies, but it is still obliged to coordinate all its major decisions with Washington. As for threats to the region, Israel is a state that was created and is maintained on the basis of a policy of ethnic cleansing and genocide and is the only regional power from the Middle East region that has undisguised imperialist ambitions and territorial claims towards its neighbors. The UN Human Rights Commission condemned Israel for violating almost all 149 articles of the Fourth Geneva Convention and this is the best illustration of Israel’s aggressive policy. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, as an exponent of such a policy, rushed to visit Paris recently, where he asked France for support for the planned aggression against Iran. After Netanyahu’s visit, Radio France reported that Israel really wants to attack Iran as soon as possible and has already identified around 3,000 possible targets. Nevertheless, Israel is afraid of an independent showdown with Iran and is trying to provide itself with as much concrete military support as possible. As for the American Arab satellites, in the planned attack on Iran, Israel will probably be able to count on the support of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Yemen, Sudan and Morocco. Azerbaijan is certainly being pressured to join the coalition, but the leadership in Baku probably sees how dangerous it could be if Russia were to get directly involved in the conflict on Iran’s side, which is more than possible.

Prior to Netanyahu’s visit to the Champs Elysées, the UK Government at the beginning of this year аlready called for the immediate creation of a Grand Military Coalition against Iran. The official pretext under which this shameless campaign against Iran is conducted is, first of all, its nuclear program. However, in these accusations against Iran, it is deliberately forgotten that two Iranian Ayatollahs, Khomeini and Khamenei, have publicly spoken out against the development of a nuclear arsenal in Iran. In September 2014, Mohsen Rafighdoost, minister of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps during the eight-year defensive war against Iraq, in an interview he gave to Gareth Porter, a journalist specializing in US national security policy, testified that he personally asked Khomeini to start developing nuclear and chemical weapons on two occasions, but was refused both times. The reason for Khomeini’s refusal was his claim that Islam forbids weapons of mass destruction. Ayatollah Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, issued a fatwa in the mid-1990s against the acquisition and development of nuclear weapons, which was officially disclosed only in August 2005 in Vienna, at a meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Israel, on the other hand, possesses nuclear and certainly, chemical and biological weapons and unlike Iran, represents a real threat. As for nuclear weapons, Israel has Jericho II (YA-3) missiles with a range of 1,7700 km and Jericho III (YA-4) with a range of up to 11,500 km. Israel can also use its F-15 and F-16 fighters for tactical and strategic nuclear strikes. Even the US Congress Office of Technology Assessment estimated that Israel possessed undeclared offensive chemical and biological weapons. With such an arsenal, Israel could be considered a global threat, and Russia and China are certainly very aware of that.

Unlike Netanyahu and Israel’s political elite, Israeli military intelligence experts publicly state that they do not consider Iran a real threat to Israel. These weeks, mass protests against Netanyahu’s regime have been taking place across Israel, and the Israeli opposition has openly called his ultra-right government a far greater threat to Israel than Iran. Finally, we must also mention the assessment of Israel’s prestigious Institute for National Security Studies, according to which the greatest security threat to Israel is the deterioration of relations with the USA. Are internal political pressures, the struggle for power, and Netanyahu’s desire to please his American allies, in that case, the main reasons why the prime minister of Israel recklessly rushes into a very risky military conflict with Iran? Namely, the aggression against Iran could easily merge with the conflict in Ukraine and turn into a total world war. As the Chairman of the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation, Vyacheslav Volodin, recently reminded, the entire foreign policy of the USA and its vassals is based solely on lies. Just as the pretext for the US-British invasion of Iraq was false accusations, the planned aggression against Iran has nothing to do with Iran’s nonexistent weapons of mass destruction.

There are other accusations against Iran, but they are equally meaningless and just an excuse for planned aggression. Iran does not interfere in the internal affairs of other countries in the region and is not a breeding ground and financier of terrorism. Admittedly, Iran as a country very often and with full rights condemns the persecution of Shias in the region, but no more than it condemns the persecution of Palestinians, for example, who are overwhelmingly Sunnis. Similarly, Iran condemned Azerbaijan’s aggressive policy towards Armenia, despite the fact that both Iran and Azerbaijan are predominantly Shia states while Armenia is an Oriental Orthodox Christian country. Iran simply leads a responsible and principled foreign policy. The frequent accusations of Iran’s alleged “sectarian” fanaticism are equally meaningless to genuine connoisseurs of the situation in the region. The USA, Israel, the UK, and other European former colonial powers, are the ones who are trying to spread hatred and fratricide among Muslims by financing and arming extremists in the region. Another strategy is to buy favors from existing regimes or, if that fails, to bring puppet regimes to power. It is a skill that Americans have brought to the level of art and perfection, and no other world power is more experienced and successful in this business than them. One of the strategies of the US and the collective West is to divide as much as possible the different schools and branches of Islam that they maliciously call “sects”, in order to then easily rule all the Muslim nations and their natural resources. Contrary to the attempts of the Western conglomerate to spread discord and hatred among Muslims, Ayatollah Khamenei in his speech on October 24, 2021 was very clear about Iran’s views on the necessity of unity, stating that “Islamic Unity is definitely a Koranic obligation”. Iran more than sincerely wants harmony among Muslims, which is not surprising at all, because it is one of its most vital security interests, as it is also the vital interest of all other Muslim nations in the region.

Iran has the second-largest natural gas reserves and the fourth-largest oil reserves in the world. Of course, as we all know very well, it is precisely in this fact that the real causes of the aggressive intentions of the USA, Israel, the UK, the EU and their Arab vassals, in relation to Iran, are hidden. However, on the other hand, for Iran, its natural wealth facilitates inclusion in the Eurasian economic space and leads to the intensification of all other Eurasian integrations. On the one hand, the export of Iranian energy products to Eurasian space really benefits China and not Russia, but on the other hand, Moscow and Tehran are rapidly developing an ever closer military and security cooperation. The frequent visits of Russian officials to Tehran, for example, Russian Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev, are a good indicator of that process. There are many geopolitical moments that have brought Iran and Russia closer together. First of all, these are the two nations on which the West has imposed the most sanctions in the history of mankind. Second, and more importantly, both countries are in a deep and long-term political conflict with the US and its vassals. Finally, the Western conglomerate has been waging an intense hybrid and proxy war against both nations for a long time. The Russian-Iranian strategic alliance exists and has been developing for a long time, but it was only Russia’s military conflict with the de facto Nazi regime from Kiev that forced Moscow to recognize its reliable strategic ally in Iran. Admittedly, Iranian President Ebrahim Raeisi once said that the trade and economic relations between the two countries are not satisfactory, but obviously, there is a desire of both countries to improve them and that is starting to happen. As for China, Iran signed a somewhat secretive 25-year deal with its powerful Eurasian partner on March 27, 2021, but its concrete results are still not visible. It is true that China has a strong economic interest in cooperating with the Arab states of the Middle East region, some of which have very bad relations with Iran. However, Western analysts make a big mistake by focusing on the economic aspect of the cooperation of Eurasian nations. It is American hegemony and imperialism that forces Iran, Russia, China and other Eurasian powers to put economic interests on the back burner and give priority to issues related to the development of strategic security alliances.

Iran has formidable military potential that should not be underestimated. No matter how zealous the US and Israeli intelligence services are, Iran is a regional power that could give Israel and its allies extremely unexpected and very unpleasant and painful blows in places where they are least expected. Iran would not passively suffer the blows but would seek the opportunity to immediately transfer the conflict to the aggressor’s territory and this is something Iranian generals can surely achieve. Another very important moment is that Russia and China simply must not allow an Israeli-American coalition attack on Iran to happen in the first place because the risks are too great to ignore, and it is likely that after certain intelligence, the two superpowers will strongly, timely and jointly react to protect their vital interests in the region. Iran’s downfall is simply out of the question for Russia and China because it would imply a deep penetration of the US into the belly of Eurasia, which would result in a dramatic weakening and possible disintegration of the two superpowers. The question remains: what specific steps will the two Eurasian giants take to protect their common ally from aggression? The freedom-loving Iran, a multiple world champion in the fight against American hegemony, simply must not fall!

القطار الروسي المدرّع والمظلة النووية الروسية فوق إيران

 الخميس 2 شباط 2023

محمد صادق الحسيني

يتجه التحالف الروسي الإيراني في المواجهة المشتركة ضدّ “الغرب الجماعي” الى مراحل متقدمة جداً في الصراع.
وفي هذا السياق، كان من اللافت جداً التحوّل النوعي في مسرح العمليات المشتعلة في أوكرانيا، المترافقة مع تصريحات رئيس الديبلوماسية الروسية اللافتة أيضاً…

فقد تناقلت وكالات الأنباء المختلفة، يوم 31/1/2023، إعلان القوات المسلحة الروسية عن نقل/ إرسال/ قطار عسكري مدرّع الى منطقة الدونباس، ايّ الى منطقة العملية العسكرية الروسية الخاصة في هذا الإقليم.

فما هو هذا القطار وما هي أهميته؟

قبل الدخول في الإضاءة على ماهية هذا القطار لا بدّ من التنويه او الإشارة الى تاريخ هذه القطارات، وطبيعة المهمات التي تقوم بها، عندما يصدر لها التكليف بذلك، من قبل هيئة الأركان العامة الروسية (السوڤياتية سابقاً).

ومن بين أهمّ عناصر التعرّف على هذه القطارات هي العناصر التالية:

أولاً: هي قطارات عسكرية مدرّعة/ مصفحة/ بطريقة تحميها من كلّ أنواع القذائف المضادة للدروع، بما في ذلك مدافع المدفعية الثقيلة.
وهي بالإضافة الى ذلك تدخل في عداد الأسلحة الاستراتيجية، وهو ما سنتطرّق إليه في النقاط التالية.

ثانياً: تقود قطارات كهذه قاطرتان عملاقتان، ذات محركات قوية جداً، ويتألف القطار الواحد من عشرات العربات المدرّعة، الأمر (عدد العربات) الذي تحدّده طبيعة المهمة التي يقوم بها هذا القطار او ذاك.
وهي مهمات متعددة، تبدأ بالاستطلاع العسكري بالنيران، مروراً بتطويق قوات العدو في قواطع معينة من قواطع الجبهة، وصولاً الى حمل أسلحة ذات طبيعة استراتيجية، قد تكون تقليدية وقد تكون نووية.

ثالثاً: هنا تكمن أهمية هذه القطارات، التي أعلنت القوات المسلحة الروسية عن إدخالها الخدمة، في منطقة الدونباس.
إذ انّ هذه القطارات، وعلى عكس ما تنشره وسائل الإعلام الأجنبية والعربية، غير المتخصصة، حول طبيعة مهمات هذه القطارات، والتي تختصرها هذه الوسائل بكون هذه القطارات عبارة عن ورشة إصلاح متنقلة، لإصلاح السكك الحديدية التي تتعرّض لأضرار، نتيجة لعمليات القصف المدفعي/ الصاروخي المعادي.

رابعاً: إلا انّ المهمة المذكورة أعلاه قد تكون مهمة جانبية جداً، لمثل هذه القطارات، التي استخدمتها الجيوش السوفياتية، خلال الحرب العالمية الثانية، لاقتحام خطوط الدفاع الألمانية وإقامة رؤوس جسور للقوات المدرّعة والمشاة الميكانيكية السوفياتية، خلف خطوط الجيوش الألمانية.

خامساً: كما أنّ القوات المسلحة السوڤياتية قد واصلت استخدام هذه القطارات، وأدخلت عليها العديد من التعديلات والتقنيات العسكرية المتقدّمة جداً، الامر الذي جعلها تتحوّل الى مكوّن رئيسي من مكوّنات الردع النووي السوڤياتي والروسي لاحقاً.

سادساً: لكن كيف تحوّلت هذه القطارات من وسيلة نقل الى سلاح ردع استراتيجي لدى الاتحاد السوفياتي ومن ثم الدولة الروسية الاتحادية، الوريث القانوني للاتحاد السوفياتي؟
الجواب على هذا السؤال يكمن في انّ الجيوش السوڤياتية قد سلحت هذه القطارات بفئة الصواريخ الاستراتيجية النووية، من طراز في التسمية السوڤياتية/ حسب تسمية حلف شمال الاطلسي.

سابعاً: نختصر مواصفات هذا الصاروخ بما يلي:
ـ دخل الخدمة سنة 1987.
ـ يبلغ وزنه القتالي (عندما يكون مجهّزاً لتنفيذ عمليات قتالية ومحمّلاً بالرؤوس النووية) مائة واربعة أطنان.
ـ يبلغ مدى هذا الصاروخ أحد عشر ألف كيلومتر.
ـ يحمل هذا الصاروخ عشرة رؤوس حربية،
وهي رؤوس حربية قادرة على ضرب عشرة أهداف مختلفة.
ـ تبلغ القوة التدميرية لكلّ واحد من هذه الصواريخ النووية اربعمائة كيلو طن، علماً انّ كلّ كيلو طن يساوي ألف طن من المواد المتفجرة التقليدية، ايّ انّ القوة التدميرية لهذا الصاروخ تبلغ اربعمائة ألف طن من المواد المتفجرة.

ثامناً: تمتلك القوات المسلحة الروسية، في ترسانتها الاستراتيجية الحالية، ستة وثلاثين صاروخاً من هذا الطراز، وهي محمولةً على قطارات مدرعة ودائمة الحركة، على سكك الحديد الروسية، المنتشرة على مساحة الدولة الروسية، البالغة أكثر من سبعة عشر مليون كيلومتر مربع، ما يجعل اكتشاف مثل هذه القواعد الصاروخية الدائمة الحركة من سابع المستحيلات.

تاسعاً: كما يجب ان يتمّ تقييم هذه الخطوة العسكرية الروسية، بإرسال هذه القطارات المدرّعة الى مناطق الدونباس في هذا الوقت بالذات، في ضوء تصريحات وزير الخارجية الروسية، حول إيران ايضاً، والتي قال فيها انّ روسيا تنظر بقلق الى الوضع حول إيران والتصريحات الغربية، التي توحي بانّ الغرب يتجه الى إلغاء الاتفاق النووي مع إيران .

لا شك بأنّ إرسال هذه القطارات الى الدونباس في هذه اللحظة التاريخية من الصراع والحرب يحمل رسالة ردع روسي استراتيجي، تجاه الغرب الجماعي، واذا أضفنا الى هذه الرسالة كلام الوزير لاڤروف، والمتعلق بإيران، فانّ معاني وأبعاد إرسال هذه القطارات تأخذ حيّزاً كبيراً جداً، لا بل توسيعاً للمظلة النووية الروسية لتشمل إيران، التي يواصل الساسة الأميركيون والأوروبيون باطلاق التهديدات ضدها.

وفي ذلك معانٍ استراتيجية عظمى، تأخذ الصراع بين محور مقاومة الهيمنة الاميركية ومحور الغرب الجماعي العدواني، الى آفاق جديدة، تقول فيها روسيا إنها جاهزة للمضيّ قدُماً في عمليتها العسكرية الخاصة في أوكرانيا، بهدف تحقيق أهدافها المحلية المعلنة من قبل روسيا، إضافة الى جاهزية روسيا للوصول الى المستوى الاستراتيجي في هذا الصراع، مع الغرب الجماعي، وحتى إنهاء أحلام قدماء المستعمرين الغربيين، الحالمة بالحفاظ على هيمنتهم على مقدرات العالم .

بعدنا طيبين قولوا الله…

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فلسطين تفرض إيقاعها على ملفات المنطقة

الإثنين 30 كانون الثاني 2023

لم تكن عملية الشهيد البطل خيري علقم مجرد عملية بطولية تضاف إلى سجل عمليات المقاومة الفلسطينية، بقدر ما هي إعلان مرحلة جديدة يقول فيها الفلسطينيون إنهم قادرون على التعامل منفردين مع نتائج وصول اليمين المتطرف إلى الحكم في كيان الاحتلال، وإن التطبيع الذي قامت به حكومات عربية مع الكيان لم يقدم ولم يؤخر في موازين المواجهة مع الكيان، وإن سقوط خيار التفاوض والتسويات لم يدفع الفلسطينيين الى اليأس بل الى المقاومة، وإن المقاومين الأفراد الذين لا ينتمون إلى أي تنظيم فلسطيني يشكلون عماد العمل المقاوم، وهم لا يحتاجون مالاً ولا سلاحاً ولا شكلاً تنظيمياً ولا قيادة.

المسار الفلسطيني الجديد يمتلك أدوات استمراره وتطوّره في ذاته، وهو قادر على النمو والتصاعد في ظل الحصار والاحتلال، بل إن الحصار والتصعيد والقتل أسباب نموه وتصاعده، وبالتوازي لا يبدو أن الكيان قادر على الاستدارة او على التوقف او التراجع، ولذلك تبدو المواجهة الى تصاعد قد يبلغ في مدى أسابيع مرحلة الغليان، خصوصاً مع قدوم شهر رمضان وتقاطعه مع أعياد يحييها المتطرفون الدينيون في الكيان في المسجد الأقصى، الذي ترتفع رمزيته المقدسة مع ليالي رمضان، ما يجعل المواجهات الدموية نتيجة حتمية مقبلة.

ملفات المنطقة الساخنة تقع بين شعوبها وحكوماتها من جهة والإدارة الأميركية من جهة مقابلة، سواء التفاوض على الملف النووي الإيراني أو الصراع في سورية ومعها وعليها، او الاستحقاق الرئاسي في لبنان، أو مستقبل الاحتلال الأميركي في العراق وسورية، او مستقبل الحرب في اليمن، وواشنطن سوف تقيس مواقفها من كل هذه الملفات وفقاً لمقاربة قوامها، أي الخيارات يعرّض أمن كيان الاحتلال لمزيد من الخطر، وأي الخيارات يوفر للكيان حماية أفضل، لذلك قد ترد الحروب الكبرى والتسويات الكبرى من هذا الباب بعدما كانت مستبعدة حتى الأمس القريب.

التعليق السياسي

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Q&A with North South University students

December 20, 2022

Andrei Raevsky

I was recently contacted by my friend Cynthia McKinney who told me that my article about what a Russian defeat would mean for the West was used as part of the course she teaches at North South University of Dhaka in Bangladesh.  I have to admit that I was very touched by the idea that students in faraway Dhaka were reading my article, and I offered to answer any follow-up questions the students might have.  So I recorded a hour long video in which I answered the follow-up questions from the students.  I just want to add here that since I did not have a clear idea of how much these students had already knew, and since I tried to keep the video about one hour long, I had to, at times, simplify some issues (as some of these questions would deserve a semester-long class).  Please don’t hold this against me.

I decided to repost this video on the blog (with Cynthia’s agreement) in the hope that at least some parts of this Q&A might be of interest to you.

Kind regards

Andrei

Iran Warns the ‘Israeli’ Regime Citing its History in the Region

November 28, 2022

By Staff, Agencies

Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Nasser Kanaani advised neighboring countries to revisit their ties with the Zionist entity, not ruling out attacks against the ‘Israeli’ regime given its history in the region.

Referring to the recent anti-Iranian resolution issued at the UN Human Rights Council, Kanaani said the Islamic Republic will never cooperate with a such fact-finding mission on alleged human rights issues.

“Within the framework of its national responsibilities, the Islamic Republic [of Iran] has formed a national committee with the presence of experts, lawyers, and official and unofficial representatives, in the sense that it believes in its inherent and national responsibility,” the spokesperson stated, adding that the country is carrying out duties and comprehensive investigation in this regard.

“Therefore, the hasty use of human rights mechanisms and political approaches are rejected and will not contribute to the concept of human rights.”

The spokesman appeared on Monday with a chemical mask in his weekly press conference in reference to Germany’s support in the war imposed on Iran by Iraq during Saddam Hussein’s regime [1980-1988] and the provision of chemical weapons by the German government to the Saddam regime.

Saddam Hussein’s regime had no obstacles in using weapons and chemical bombs against the Iranians during the war, Kanaani said, adding that the western governments, including the German government, gave the chemical substances to the Iraqi Baath regime, and many crimes were committed against the people of Iran and Iraq with these weapons and equipment.

“The United Nations has clarified Germany’s role in arming Iraq with chemical substances, Germany has received 139 warnings from the United Nations regarding the sale of biological and chemical weapons,” Kanaani noted.

“The results of UN reports show that Germany has played an important role in this field, and DER Spiegel magazine has also written about this, and we have always witnessed violations of human rights and women’s rights in Germany,” he went on to say.

Meanwhile, in response to a question about the attack on an ‘Israeli’-owned oil tanker, which the Zionists accused Iran of, the spokesman rejected these accusations and said that false accusations against Iran are the goal of the Zionist regime and its other allies and if Iran does something, it is brave enough to take responsibility for it.

On the level of the Kurdistan region, Kanaani said it is part of the territory of Iraq and the Iraqi government is responsible for the security of the border lines shared by the two countries of Iran and Iraq: “We heard the news that the Iraqi government has decided to deploy its official forces on the borders of Iraqi Kurdistan. We hope that this deployment will take place. If the Iraqi government needs technical assistance in this regard, we are ready to help the Iraqi government.”

Regarding the nuclear deal, Kanaani said “The European governments that are part of the deal proved that they want to behave upon the US policies,” adding that “The Americans’ proposal implies that they don’t want to continue the negotiations, but at the same time they keep sending Iran messages.”

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«أوبك +» هل تقصم ظهر العلاقات الأميركية ـ السعودية

الثلاثاء 18 أكتوبر 2022 

بتول قصير

يبدو أنّ خيبات الولايات المتحدة الأميركية تتوالى. فقد أثار قرار الدول المصدرة للبترول “أوبك” والدول المنتجة للنفط المتحالفة معها “أوبك بلس” خفض إنتاج النفط بمقدار مليوني برميل يومياً، حالة من الهستيريا والغضب في واشنطن، لما له من تداعيات سلبية على الولايات المتحدة وحلفائها. فعلى خلفية القرار عبّر الرئيس جو بايدن أنه “أصيب بخيبة أمل” ووصف القرار بـ “قصير النظر”، واتهم دول المنظمة النفطية بالانحياز إلى روسيا.

شكل قرار خفض الإنتاج حالة إرباك بالنسبة لإدارة الرئيس بايدن، فالتوقيت الحرج لهذا القرار يأتي قبل شهر تقريباً من موعد إجراء انتخابات التجديد النصفي للكونغرس. وثمة خطر في أنّ هذا الخفض الذي سيدخل سريان المفعول في الأول من تشرين الثاني/ نوفمبر من شأنه أن يتسبّب في ارتفاع أسعار البنزين والغاز، ما يعني انّ واشنطن أمام كارثة سياسية كاملة الأركان على إدارة الرئيس الديمقراطي بايدن، خاصة أنّ خصومه الجمهوريين سيستغلون الفرصة الثمينة هذه للإطاحة بمصداقيته أمام الناخبين الأميركيين خلال عملية الاقتراع، كإثبات على السياسة الفاشلة التي تمتع بها عهده.

وعلى خلفية هذا القرار تعالت الأصوات في الكونغرس الأميركي التي تدعو لإعادة النظر في العلاقة مع الرياض، وتأطير العلاقة مع الأخيرة التي اعتبرت الإدارة الأميركية خطوتها بأنها بمثابة انحياز للمملكة في صراعات دولية وأنه قرار بُني على دوافع سياسية ضدّ الولايات المتحدة الأميركية. واللافت انّ ارتفاع وتيرة التوتر بين البلدين ترافق مع طرح النائب الأميركي الديمقراطي توم مالينوفسكي مشروع قانون في مجلس النواب يطالب إدارة الرئيس بايدن بسحب أنظمة الدفاع ضدّ الصواريخ و3000 جندي، وهم قوام القوات الأميركية من السعودية والإمارات. وقال مالينوفسكي في بيان صادر عنه: “لقد حان الوقت لكي تستأنف الولايات المتحدة دورها كدولة عظمى في علاقتها بزبائنها في الخليج”.

وعليه فإنّ حفلة الجنون الأميركية عقب قرار “أوبك بلس”، يفسّرها انشغال واشنطن وحلفائها في السعي الدؤوب لضمان أمنهم الطاقي نظراً لأهمية مصادر الطاقة العالمية. خاصة بعد أزمة أوكرانيا وإغلاق روسيا لصنابير الطاقة والغاز عن أوروبا.

وكخطوات عاجلة أمر الرئيس الأميركي وزارة الطاقة بالإفراج عن 10 ملايين برميل من الاحتياطي البترولي الاستراتيجي الأميركي في الأسواق مع دخول خفض الإنتاج حيّز التنفيذ في الأول من تشرين الثاني/ نوفمبر، والاستمرار في اللجوء إلى احتياطي البترول الاستراتيجي كلما اقتضت الحاجة. كما باشر بايدن بمشاورات مع الكونغرس للبحث في آليات إضافية لتقليص تحكم أوبك في أسعار الطاقة وتقليص اعتماد الولايات المتحدة على المصادر الأجنبية للوقود الأحفوري وتسريع ضخ الاستثمارات في الطاقة النظيفة.

من منظورٍ آخر، يبدو أنّ واشنطن تسبّبت بطريقة أو بأخرى بدفع “أوبك بلس” لخفض الإنتاج، عندما قرّرت مؤخراً رفع أسعار الفائدة والدولار، في وقت يستورد العالم النفط بالعملة الأميركية، ورفع قيمته يؤثر على الدول المستوردة للنفط، ما تسبّب بقلة الطلب عليه، ما أدّى لخلق فائض نفطي لدول “أوبك بلس”. واشنطن المذهولة من القرار حمّلت الرياض مسؤولية تداعياته، معتبرة أنّ دوافعه سياسية وانحياز لروسيا وسيشكل دعماً لها لا يُستهان به.

بدورها السعودية رفضت الاتهامات الأميركية التي لا تستند إلى الحقائق، وعلقت بأنّ القرار اتخذ بالإجماع من كافة دول المجموعة، وهو قرار اقتصادي بحت. وما زاد الطين بلة، أنّ قراراً مدعوماً من السعودية بأن تتوقف مجموعة “أوبك بلس” عن استخدام بيانات وكالة الطاقة الدولية، وهي الهيئة الغربية لمراقبة قطاع الطاقة، ما يعكس المخاوف من التأثير الأميركي على البيانات.

وأخيراً، يبدو انّ زيارة بايدن للسعودية في تموز/ يوليو لم تفعل شيئاً يُذكر لتغيير تصميم محمد بن سلمان على رسم سياسة خارجية مستقلة عن النفوذ الأميركي، خاصة أنّ الزيارة أغضبت ولي العهد، الذي كان منزعجاً من أنّ بايدن تحدث علناً عن تعليقاته الخاصة مع العائلة المالكة بشأن وفاة الصحافي جمال خاشقجي. وهذا لا يعني انّ البيت الأبيض سيتجه لاتخاذ قرارات عقابية واضحة تجاه الرياض، فهو وعلى الرغم من العلاقات بين كلّ من المملكة والولايات المتحدة شهدت مداً وجزراً على مدى عقود خلت وحتى الفترة الحالية، إلا انّ الدولتين تتمتعان بشراكة استراتيجية، مدعومة بمصالح مشتركة. فالبلدان يشتركان في رؤية متوافقة تجاه العديد من القضايا الدولية والإقليمية، من مسألة الملف النووي الإيراني، والتحالف الرباعي ضدّ اليمن، وغيرها من الملفات الإقليمية والدولية.

وعليه فإنّ ما يجمع واشنطن والرياض أكبر بكثير مما يمكن أن يزعزع علاقة البلدين الشاملة في كافة المستويات. بيد أنَّ هذه العلاقات تعرّضت وتتعرّض في أوقات كثيرة لمثل هذه الهزات، إلا أنَّه من المستبعد أن تذهب ردود الأفعال إلى مستويات بعيدة، خصوصاً أنّ قرار «أوبك بلس» لم يكن سعودياً بحتاً.
‎

Israeli media: Hezbollah ‘show of force’ brought Lebanon achievements

September 1, 2022 

By Al Mayadeen English 

Source: Israeli

An Israeli expert on Arab affairs says “Israel” must take the initiative and not allow Hezbollah to change the rules of the game.

Karish oil rig

The Israeli expert on Arab affairs, Yoni Ben Menachem, commented on the developments in the file of demarcating the maritime borders between Lebanon and the Israeli occupation.

On Twitter, Ben Menachem said Hezbollah’s show of force against “Israel” secures major achievements for Lebanon in the ongoing negotiations on the maritime borders.

He underlined that this step is a dangerous precedent, stressing that “Israel” must take the initiative and not allow Hezbollah to change the rules of the game.

A few days ago, Israeli media reported that an agreement with Lebanon is very close after “Israel” accepted that the Qana field be completely controlled by Lebanon, in exchange for the entire Karish field.

However, Lebanese Deputy Speaker Elias Bou Saab slammed all the latest negative and positive reports about the course of negotiations, whether by Israeli or international media, as “mere speculations that are not based on any information or official stances.”

In the same context, Israeli media said that the Americans are very concerned about the possibility of the situation deteriorating between “Israel” and Hezbollah.

According to the media, it seemed that US President Joe Biden was not interfering in the border demarcation matter, but on Wednesday the White House entered with full force on the issue of the agreement with Lebanon.

Read more: US ‘highly prioritizes’ Israeli-Lebanese maritime border dispute

Sayyed Nasrallah: ‘Israel’s’ threats regarding demarcation deal are worthless

It is noteworthy that Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah warned that “If Lebanon does not obtain the rights demanded by the Lebanese state, we are heading toward an escalation whether or not the nuclear agreement is signed.”

Sayyed Nasrallah stressed that “the focus in Lebanon must be on Karish and the Lebanese [maritime] border, as well as the US mediator that is still wasting time amid a time constraint.”

On August 9, the Lebanese leader warned that any attempt to plunder any of Lebanon’s wealth will be thwarted, indicating that the party is waiting for the Israeli enemy’s response to Lebanon’s demands regarding border demarcation.

He also noted that it is necessary to prepare for all possibilities, adding that Hezbollah is serious about this file to the utmost.

Sayyed Nasrallah addressed the Israeli occupation by saying that Lebanon and its people will no longer accept the looting of their wealth.

The Lebanese leader affirmed that the Resistance is stronger than ever, warning the Israeli occupation against committing any mistake in Lebanon.

On the 40th anniversary of the establishment of Hezbollah, Secretary-General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah stressed that the Israeli threats are to no avail, adding that Hezbollah’s decision and approach are clear and “we are waiting for the coming days to act accordingly.”

Hezbollah’s messages to the Israeli occupation

It is noteworthy that on July 31, the military media unit of the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon published a video that displayed the coordinates of the Israeli occupation’s gas rigs off the coasts of occupied Palestine in a clear message to “Tel Aviv”.

The video displayed footage of the drillships and the floating production units alongside information pertaining to the specifics of their geolocation, giving their coordinates and information regarding the origin and details of the ships at sea based on the flags they bear. Moreover, the video displayed the exact distance of each ship from Lebanese shores.

The video was entitled: “[You are] in our crosshair… stalling is not beneficial.”

Similarly, Hezbollah sent out three UAVs on a recon mission over the Karish gas field before they were shot down by the Israeli occupation forces, stressing that “the mission was completed and the message was delivered.”

Bad blood shrouds ‘Israel’ as top officials fight over Iran deal

27 Aug 2022

Source: Agencies

By Al Mayadeen English 

The Israeli Mossad chief’s remarks on a looming nuclear agreement, which he called a “strategic disaster”, were not coordinated with the Israeli PM and were contradictory to official talking points.

Israeli Mossad chief David Barnea meets with Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid

In yet another feature of mounting internal divisions in “Israel”, Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid was taken aback by Mossad chief David Barnea‘s harsh warnings about an emerging Iran nuclear deal between Iran and world powers, as per Israeli media.

Barnea called the nuclear deal, as quoted by reporters, “a strategic disaster” for “Israel”, stressing that the United States “is rushing into an accord that is ultimately based on lies.”

The message was considered harsher and more critical of the US position than previous statements from “Tel Aviv”.

In further detail, Israeli Channel 12 news said that Lapid had met with Barnea between the Mossad chief’s briefing to reporters and the publication of the remarks, which took Lapid by surprise.

Barnea briefed reporters at 11 am, on the condition that his remarks not be published until 8 pm. During that time gap, Barnea and Lapid had a pre-scheduled meeting, which was announced by the Prime Minister’s office.

Lapid was aware of Barnea’s media briefing, but they had not coordinated the comments, and Barnea’s statements differed from talking points circulated by the Prime Minister’s office several days ago and from the message Lapid has been attempting to convey, as per Israeli Channel 12.

Lapid called the Mossad chief shortly after Barnea’s comments were published, telling him he had gone off script in how he criticized the US and asked him for clarification. Whether Barnea was reprimanded or not remains unclear.

Trying to downplay Barnea’s anti-US comments, Israeli media claimed there was an intentional inaccuracy in reporting Barnea’s words to make it seem that he had directly criticized the Biden administration’s handling of the Iran issue, when he had not done so, as per Israeli claims.

Israeli Channel 12 reported that the Mossed has told Lapid that a new Iran deal will most likely be inked in the coming days or weeks. 

In response, the channel reported, the Israeli army and Mossad are planning a series of attacks against Iran, including a strike on its nuclear program, which Iran has been confirming its peacefulness for a long time now.

The US has recently responded to Iran’s comments on the EU draft agreement to restore the nuclear deal on Wednesday.

It is worth noting that the divide over the Iran nuclear deal runs roughly between Israeli officials, becoming more salient as the US pushes for the deal’s revival.

This dispute has a direct impact today on escalating internal divisions which threaten the occupation’s national security. 

Read more: Israeli government on the verge of collapse; Bennett, Lapid struggle

A US-Israeli divorce

Amir Bohbot, a military affairs commentator for the Israeli Wallah website, has lately said that “Israel will not sit in the audience amid the developments in the negotiations between Iran and the United States over the nuclear deal.”

Bohbot added that a conflict might soon begin between the United States and “Israel” over the issue, maintaining that even if they try to keep it behind the scenes, it will appear to the public.

According to Bohbot, “The Iranians are cleverly leading the Americans by the nose,” which does not make the United States militarily reliable, he added.

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Putin heads to Tehran for talks with Iranian and Turkish leaders

19 Jul, 2022

The trilateral talks will focus on Syria but other key issues will also be addressed in the Iranian capital, the Kremlin has said

FILE PHOTO: Russia’s President Vladimir Putin leaving his plane. © Sputnik / Ramil Sitdikov

Russian President Vladimir Putin is scheduled to arrive in Tehran on Tuesday for talks with his Iranian counterpart Ebrahim Raisi and Turkish leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

It will be his second foreign trip since the launch of Russia’s military operation in Ukraine on February 24. In late June, he visited Turkmenistan and Tajikistan to meet the countries’ leaders and attend the sixth Caspian Summit, in which Iran also took part.

The trilateral negotiations in the Iranian capital will be held as part of the so-called Astana Peace Process, which was launched by Moscow, Tehran and Ankara in 2017 with the aim of achieving a peaceful settlement to the conflict in Syria.

According to the Kremlin, the three heads of state will discuss steps to fully eradicate the hotbed of international terrorism in the country, the facilitation of the inter-Syrian peace process and solutions to humanitarian issues, including post-conflict reconstruction.

READ MORE: Putin speaks about Ukraine during first foreign trip since February

Putin, Raisi and Erdogan will issue a joint statement after the negotiations, Russian presidential aide Yury Ushakov said on Monday, adding that its draft had already been prepared.

Bilateral talks between the leaders will also take place, while Putin is also expected to meet with Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

During those meetings, the Russian president and his interlocutors will discuss the situation around the stalled talks on restoring the Iranian nuclear deal.

Trade will also be on the agenda, with Moscow and Tehran preparing a new major cooperation deal, Ushakov said.

“Iran is an important partner of Russia. Our relations are friendly, have a centuries-old history, and are developing very effectively in many areas. Both sides have plans to take bilateral cooperation to a new level – the level of strategic partnership,” he pointed out.

Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov, who earlier gave an interview to the Iranian media, said trade between Russia and Iran had surpassed $4 billion in 2021, and grew by 31% in the first four months of this year.

With Russia and Iran being among the most sanctioned nations in the world, Peskov expressed confidence that the two countries would be able to build relations that will allow them to minimize the effect of international restrictions on their economies.

READ MORE: Dmitri Trenin: How a smart Middle East strategy can help Russia play a significant role in shaping the new world order

When it comes to Ukraine, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian made it clear that Tehran would not provide assistance to any of the sides of the conflict as it believes that the conflict “has to be stopped.” By saying so, the minister refuted the US claims that his country was planning to provide Russia with hundreds of drones, including combat drones.

At the same time, Raisi has said on multiple occasions that Tehran stands ready to contribute to a diplomatic resolution of the Ukrainian conflict.

Putin’s bilateral meeting with Erdogan is expected to touch on the issue of Ukrainian grain exports from the Black Sea ports, according to Ushakov. Turkey, which declares itself a neutral country when it comes to the situation in Ukraine, has been engaged in various issue-resolving initiatives. It recently hosted multilateral consultations on the grain issue, with the participation of Russia, Ukraine and the United Nations.

Food security was also one of the main subjects of the phone conversation between Putin and Erdogan last week. The Turkish leader said at the time that “it was time for the United Nations to take action for the plan regarding the formation of secure corridors via the Black Sea.”

In March, Istanbul hosted a crucial round of peace negotiations between Kiev and Moscow.

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ماذا يريد جو بايدن من الشرق الأوسط؟

تموز 15 2022

حسن لافي 

يتمثّل الهدف الأميركي للزيارة في إعادة صياغة خارطة موازين القوى لدول المحور الأميركي في المنطقة.

يمكن قراءة زيارة الرئيس الأميركي جو بايدن للشرق الأوسط من خلال عدة مستويات تمثل بكليتها الأهداف الرئيسية لتلك الزيارة. على المستوى الاستراتيجي، تأتي زيارته في خضم صراع الولايات المتحدة الأميركية الشرس والمعلن مع كلٍّ من الصين وروسيا على معركة تشكيل المنظومة الدولية وصياغتها بعد انتهاء عصر القطب الأميركي الواحد الذي شارف على الانتهاء.

تسعى أميركا لقطع الطريق أمام الصين وروسيا، للحؤول دون نسجهما علاقات مع حلفاء أميركا في الشرق الأوسط.

لذلك، تسعى الولايات المتحدة الأميركية لاستعادة سيطرتها على موارد الطاقة في الشرق الأوسط بعدما أجبرتها الحرب الأوكرانية الروسية على البحث عن مصادر تمويل للطاقة لحلفائها الأوروبيين، ما أعاد للنفط الخليجي وغاز البحر المتوسط أهميته، إضافة إلى العمل على زيادة إنتاج النفط الخليجي مع خفض أسعاره، من أجل خلق استقرار في سوق الطاقة، حتى لا يتأثر الاقتصاد الأميركي الذي يعاني حالة غير مسبوقة من التضخم المالي.

على المستوى الجيو-استراتيجي، تسعى أميركا لقطع الطريق أمام الصين، ومن ثم روسيا، للحؤول دون نسجهما علاقات مع حلفاء أميركا في الشرق الأوسط، وخصوصاً دول الخليج، الذين شعروا بالخوف من تراجع اهتمام أميركا في الشرق الأوسط بعد انسحابها من العراق وأفغانستان وذهابها للتفاوض مع الإيرانيين على اتفاق نووي جديد، ما أنتج حالة من الانفتاح على كلٍّ من الصين وروسيا، ولو على سبيل تحسين شروط تحالفهم مع الأميركيين، وليس تغيير اتجاهاتهم التحالفية، ناهيك بأن تداعيات الأزمة الأوكرانية باتت تهدد الهيمنة الأميركية على المنظومة الدولية كدولة عظمى.

وبالتالي، رجعت أميركا إلى سياسة الأحلاف التي انتهجتها في ستينيات القرن الماضي، واستمرت طوال فترة الحرب الباردة. لذلك، تعيد ترميم علاقتها مع حلفائها، وخصوصاً السعودية، تحت شعار “المصالح الأميركية فوق المبادئ الإنسانية”.

يتمثّل الهدف الأميركي للزيارة على مستوى إقليم الشرق الأوسط بإعادة صياغة خارطة موازين القوى لدول المحور الأميركي في المنطقة، لتكون “إسرائيل” هي مركز الثقل الأساس الذي يثق الأميركي بأنه قادر على تنفيذ متطلبات مصلحته بأقل الأثمان، وبإخلاص كبير، لكون ذلك يتطابق مع مصلحتها كدولة وظيفية احتلالية يرتبط وجودها بالرعاية الأميركية؛ قائدة المشروع الغربي في العالم.

والأهم أنّ الدول الأخرى الحليفة للولايات المتحدة الأميركية، سواء العربية أو الإسلامية، لا تثق أميركا بها وبقدرتها على أداء ذلك الدور، ناهيك بالإشكاليات الداخلية التي يعانيها قادة تلك الدول على المستوى الداخلي.

لذلك، كل ما يحدث في المنطقة من إنشاء تحالفات عسكرية واقتصادية وسياسية تحت الرعاية الأميركية هدفه ضمان أمن “إسرائيل” والحفاظ على قوتها كدولة مركزية في الشرق الأوسط، ما دفع الولايات المتحدة الأميركية مجدداً إلى إعادة اكتشاف أهمية وجود “إسرائيل” ككيان استعماري متقدّم في خدمة مشروعها كدولة عظمى في العالم، في ظل منافسة كلٍّ من الصين وروسيا، وفي منطقة لم تنتهِ مصالحها الاقتصادية فيها بعد.

ينبع خطورة إطلاق بايدن – لابيد “إعلان القدس” من كونه وثيقة أعادت الولايات المتحدة الأميركية مجدداً فيها تأكيداتها والتزاماتها السابقة على مدار أكثر من 70 عاماً تجاه “إسرائيل والشعب اليهودي” في ورقة واحدة لا تتضمن الجديد، ولكنها بمنزلة تأكيد من جو بايدن، الرئيس الديمقراطي، على “صفقة القرن” التي طرحها الرئيس السابق دونالد ترامب الجمهوري، ما يعيد التزام الحزبين الأميركيين تجاه “إسرائيل”، بعدما عصفت الكثير من الرياح السيئة بالعلاقة بينهم منذ عهد الرئيس الأميركي السابق باراك أوباما، وليس انتهاء بأزمة رفض التيار اليساري في الحزب الديمقراطي الأميركي التصويت على تضمين الموازنة العامة في الكونغرس بند تمويل إعادة مخزون صواريخ القبة الحديدية الإسرائيلية.

من الواضح أن “إسرائيل”، للأسف الشديد، استطاعت أن تستفيد جيداً من التطورات والتغيرات في الساحة الدولية، والتي هددت الهيمنة الأميركية، في إعادة تسويق نفسها بحلة جديدة للمشروع الغربي الاستعماري، ولكن هذه المرة كـ”دولة اليهود”، وبدعم دول التطبيع العربي غير المسبوق وغير المتوقع، حتى من الأميركيين أنفسهم، بل أدت “إسرائيل” دور الوسيط بين دول الخليج، وخصوصاً السعودية، وإدارة جو بايدن، وبالتالي برهنت للأميركيين قدرتها على قيادة حلف الناتو الصهيو-تطبيعي الجديد.

أوضحت الزيارة أنَّ بايدن لم يغير موقفه تجاه إيران، فما زال يفرق بين المشروع النووي الإيراني من جهة، والمشروع العسكري لمحور المقاومة بقيادة إيران من جهة أخرى. 

في المشروع النووي، أكد بايدن التزامه الحل الدبلوماسي من خلال اتفاق جديد مع إيران. وبالنسبة إلى التهديد العسكري، منح بايدن “إسرائيل” الكثير من الأدوات العسكرية والسياسية والاقتصادية لمواجهته، مثل منظومة الاعتراض بالليزر الجديدة ومنظومة الدفاع الجوي الإقليمي المشترك، لكن تبقى رؤية بايدن متعارضة مع الموقف الإسرائيلي الذي يرى في التهديد الإيراني رزمة واحدة متكاملة.

لذلك، تضغط “إسرائيل” تجاه وضع الحل العسكري تجاه المشروع النووي الإيراني على طاولة خيارات إدارة بايدن، رغم التزام الأخير عدم السماح لإيران بالحصول على القنبلة النووية. وفي هذا السياق، تحاول “إسرائيل” انتهاج سياسة التدرج الاستراتيجي في سبيل تغيير موقف إدارة بايدن من دون الوصول إلى صدام معه، رغم أن الوقت لا يسعفها كثيراً بحسب تقديراتها الاستخبارية.

أظهرت أجندة الزيارة أنَّ القضية الفلسطينية بالنسبة إلى جو بايدن مجرد هوامش، ويكفي إبداء قناعته الشخصية بحل الدولتين، لكن من دون أي خطوة حقيقية تجاه هذا الحل، بل إنّ الذريعة الأميركية حاضرة بعدم وجود حكومة مستقرة في “إسرائيل”.

ويخشى بايدن أن يستغلّ بنيامين نتنياهو أي ضغط أميركي على حكومة يائير لابيد قبل الانتخابات للعودة إلى الحكم، الأمر الذي سيجعل تأجيل تنفيذ أي خطوة أميركية لمصلحة الفلسطينيين إلى ما بعد الانتخابات الإسرائيلية وتأليف حكومة مستقرة في “إسرائيل” أمراً مبرراً لدى السلطة الفلسطينية.

إن الآراء المذكورة في هذه المقالة لا تعبّر بالضرورة عن رأي الميادين وإنما تعبّر عن رأي صاحبها حصراً

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• واشنطن والرياض تؤكّدان على أهمية منع إيران من الحصول على سلاح نووي
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Biden and Lapid Declaration: Iran, Hezbollah Main Concern

July 15, 2022

By Staff, Agencies

The Zionist entity’s Prime Minister Yair Lapid and US President Joe Biden on Thursday unveiled the so-called “Al-Quds [Jerusalem] Declaration on the US-Israel Strategic Partnership”.

The declaration reaffirms “the unbreakable bonds” between Tel Aviv and Washington, which are “based on a bedrock of shared values, shared interests, and true friendship.”

It underscores the United States’ “steadfast commitment to preserve and strengthen ‘Israel’s’ capability to deter its enemies and to defend itself by itself against any threat or combination of threats,” and reiterates that “these commitments are bipartisan and sacrosanct,” which are also “vitally important to the national security of the United States.”

Addressing Iran, the declaration stresses that “integral to this pledge is the [US] commitment never to allow Iran to acquire a nuclear weapon, and that it is prepared to use all elements of its national power to ensure that outcome.”

Washington also reiterated its pledge to work with “Israel” “and other partners to confront Iran’s ‘aggression and destabilizing activities, whether advanced directly or through proxies and terrorist organizations such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad’.”

Raisi: Any Mistake by US, Allies to Be Met with Iran’s Harsh Response

July 15, 2022

By Staff, Agencies

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi confirmed that his country cannot condone insecurity and crisis in the region, warning that any mistake by the enemies will be met with a harsh response from the Islamic Republic that will make them rue their acts.

Raisi made the remarks in a Thursday visit to the western Iranian province of Kermanshah, referring to the hostile and destabilizing activities of the United States and its allies in the region.

“In the gathering of the resistant people of Kermanshah, I say that any mistake by the Americans and their allies in the region and the world will be met with a harsh and regrettable response,” he said.

He further stated: “Today, Islamic Iran is stronger than ever”, adding that the United States on the contrary is weaker than ever. 

The Iranian president also said, “The great nation of Iran does not accept any kind of insecurity and crisis in the region, and the Muslim nations of the region hate the humiliating relations of their governments with America, which has led to the looting of their country’s wealth.”

His remarks came a day after US President Joe Biden opened his first visit to the region since taking office by telling Israeli leaders of his determination to confront Iran’s nuclear energy program, saying he’d be willing to use force as a “last resort”.

President Raisi touched on Iran’s military power and authority, calling it a security factor in the region and stressing that the Islamic Republic will not accept any insecurity or crisis in the region.

“The Zionist regime should not have a covetous eye on the Middle East and West Asia, and it can never have normal relations in the region,” he said.

In parallel, Raisi added that the Islamic Republic does not see the interference of the US and its allies in the region as anything other than creating a crisis, “because these countries are constantly transiting insecurity and terrorism into the region”.

أوروبا دخلت الحرب على التوقيت الأميركيّ فهل تخرج أميركا منها على التوقيت الأوروبيّ؟

 الإثنين 27 حزيران 2022

ناصر قنديل

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لم يكن التصعيد الأميركي الأوروبي بوجه إيران وصولاً الى تعليق المفاوضات في فيينا بشروط تعجيزية، واعتماد إجراءات عدائية عبر الوكالة الدولية للطاقة الذرية، معزولاً عن النظرة الأميركية الأوروبية لمفهوم الحرب الواحدة ضد روسيا والصين وإيران، بعد فشل محاولات الفصل بين الملفات، واحتواء أو إغراء أو ترهيب أي من اطراف المثلث الآسيوي الصاعد وصولاً الى تفكيك الحلف الثلاثي الذي يهدد الهيمنة الغربية. ومثل خط الصعود كان خط النزول، فالمبادرة الأوروبية المنسقة أميركياً نحو استئناف المسار التفاوضي بأفكار إيجابية مع إيران، هي تعبير شامل عن الخلاصات التي رسمتها موازين القوى، سواء في جبهة المواجهة مع روسيا أو مع الصين أو مع إيران.

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يتباهى الرئيس الأميركي بأنه أسقط 30 سنة من الاستثمار الروسي على العلاقات المميزة مع أوروبا، وأثبت مناعة التحالف الأميركي الأوروبي، ودرجة تماسك حلف الناتو، لكنه لا يستطيع أن يتجاهل أن هذا الإنجاز الذي تجلى بنجاح أميركا في جر أوروبا وراءها وبتوقيتها لدخول الحرب الأوكرانية في مواجهة روسيا، يبقى مؤقتاً طالما أن الحفاظ على هذا التماسك الأميركي الأوروبي يستدعي ضبط إيقاع الخطوات الأميركية على حجم قدرة أوروبا على السير، وطالما أن الاستثمار الروسي على العلاقة مع أوروبا لم يكن حملة علاقات عامة، بل انطلاقاً من حقائق تفرضها الجغرافيا الاقتصادية وفي طليعتها حقيقة أن روسيا القريبة هي أفضل مورد للغاز والنفط لأوروبا، من زاوية المصلحة الأوروبية، وأن النجاح الأميركي أوروبياً مشروط بأحد أمرين: الأول هو الفوز برهان إسقاط روسيا بالضربة المالية القاضية عبر العقوبات، التي صمّمت لدفع الاقتصاد والنظام المالي في روسيا للانهيار، ما يضمن نهاية سريعة للحرب التي لا يمكن الرهان على الجانب العسكري الصرف للفوز بها، وعند الانهيار المالي الروسي يتحقق الخضوع الروسي للشروط الأميركية الأوروبية، كما كانت تقول الخطة المفترضة. والثاني هو النجاح بتأمين بدائل كافية وبأسعار معقولة توفر الطاقة لأوروبا، وجدول زمني مناسب مع تزامن الخروج من مصادر الطاقة الروسية، وعندها تتحضّر أوروبا للتأقلم مع حرب طويلة تستطيع تحمل تداعياتها.

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فشل الرهانان الأميركيان، رغم سلاسة الانصياع الأوروبي، واقتربت ساعة الحقيقة، فقد شرعت روسيا بوقف ضخ الغاز، والمخزونات الأوروبية لا تكفي للحد الأدنى من حاجات ومتطلبات الشتاء المقبل، وقد امتلأت الغابات الأوروبية بالعائلات تحول أشجارها الى حطب، واستبدلت في البيوت تجهيزات التدفئة على الغاز بتلك القديمة على الحطب، وعاد الفحم الحجري رغم نسب التلوث المرتفعة التي يتسبّب بها للدخول على الكثير من أوجه الاستخدام الصناعي، والحديث على أعلى المستويات عن تناوب المصانع الكبرى على يومين للعمل في الأسبوع وإقفال صناعات لا تحتاج الأسواق الداخلية منتوجاتها المخصصة للتصدير ويمكن الاستغناء عنها، وبلغ ارتفاع الأسعار نسباً متصاعدة، تتراوح بين 50% و100%، وهي مرشحة للتزايد، ومعها الاضطرابات الاجتماعية والسياسيّة المقبلة، وأول المؤشرات جاءت من الانتخابات الفرنسية.

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بالتوازي كشفت كل الاتصالات والمحاولات التجارية والسياسية لتأمين الغاز من مصادر أخرى أن سقف المتاح لا يغطي أكثر من 30% من حجم الغاز الروسي لأوروبا، 10% من أميركا بضعف السعر الرائج، و10% من قطر والجزائر، لكن بعد العام 2024، و10% من غاز شرق المتوسط، ودونه تعقيدات سياسية وأمنية، كحال الغاز المفروض استخراجه وضخه من بحر عكا والمرتبط بمستقبل ترسيم الحدود البحرية مع لبنان، وأمن الاستجرار عبر المتوسط، وكلها بأكلاف عالية والحاجة لاستثمارات ضخمة، وانتظار لشهور او سنوات، بينما لم يعد موضع نقاش أي رهان على تهاوي الاقتصاد الروسي او انهيار النظام المالي للنقد الروسي، فسعر صرف الروبل الذي استعاد مكانته بعد اهتزاز لم يدم لأكثر من ثلاثة ايام، يحقق ارباحاً تتخطى الـ 50% بالقياس لسعره قبل الحرب، عاكساً نهضة اقتصادية داخلية ونمواً متزايداً في قطاعات جديدة وفرتها عملية تشغيل البنى التحتية لمنشآت الشركات الغربية التي غادرت الأسواق الروسية بفعل العقوبات.

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ساعة الحقيقة الأميركية هي الاختيار بين المضي قدماً في خيار المواجهة دون أوروبا، التي بدأت علامات الإعياء والإنهاك تظهر عليها، وبدأت الانقسامات تهدد وحدتها، وصارت فرضية انسحاب تدريجيّ لدولها من خيار المواجهة مطروحة على الطاولة. وهذا يعني فقدان زخم المواجهة، في لحظة تعاني هذه المواجهة أصلاً من العجز عن تحقيق تقدم، سواء في المسار العسكري، أو في المسار الاقتصادي، والانفصال الأميركي عن أوروبا يعني منح روسيا ربحاً استراتيجياً بتلقف هذه التشققات الأوروبية والتعامل معها، وتخلي الأميركي عما تباهى به من الحفاظ على تماسك أميركا وأوروبا معا، أو القبول باعتبار الحفاظ على الوحدة مع أوروبا يبقى الأمر الأهم في أولويات المرحلة المقبلة، وهذا يعني أنه كما دخلت أوروبا الحرب على التوقيت الأميركي، فقد آن أوان أن تبدأ أميركا بالاستعداد للخروج منها على التوقيت الأوروبي.

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الاستجابة الأميركية للدعوة الأوروبية للعودة الى مسار التفاوض لإنقاذ الاتفاق النووي مع إيران، وقبول تقديم ما يوصف بالتنازلات المؤلمة لتحقيق هذا الهدف، هي تعبير عن مسار سيتكرر على الجبهة الأوكرانية بحديث مواز عن تنازلات مؤلمة على الغرب وأوكرانيا تقديمها، تحت شعار دفع خطر المجاعة عن البشرية، وقد بدأ الترويج لهذا الشعار تمهيداً لنقلات دراماتيكية في مسار الحرب الأوكرانية، والحملة البريطانية التحذيرية من إذلال أوكرانيا ليست إلا استباق لهذا المسار المقبل.

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• عودة التفاوض حول الملف النوويّ… بمبادرة أوروبيّة أميركيّة لاستباق بلوغ إيران العتبة النوويّة / بغداد تستضيف اجتماع وزيرَيْ خارجية إيران والسعوديّة… وحلف بايدن الدفاعيّ يتضعضع / رويترز: هوكشتاين التقى المفاوضين «الإسرائيليّين» حول ترسيم الحدود مع لبنان والأجواء إيجابيّة /
• اجتماعات عسكرية إسرائيلية ـــ عربية برعاية أميركية في شرم الشيخ
• موجة توقيفات في العرقوب وبيروت بشبهة التعامل مع العدوّ
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Sergey Lavrov’s Presser at a joint news conference with Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran Hossein Amir-Abdollahian

June 24, 2022

Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s statement and answers to media questions at a joint news conference following talks with Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, Tehran, June 23, 2022

Ladies and gentlemen.

I would like to thank my colleague, Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran, for the hospitality extended to me and my delegation from the first minutes of my stay on Iranian soil.

Yesterday’s detailed conversation with President of the Islamic Republic of Iran Sayyid Ebrahim Raisi and today’s long talks have confirmed both countries’ focus on deepening cooperation in all areas in accordance with the agreements reached by our leaders. I am referring to Ebrahim Raisi’s visit to Russia in January 2022 and his subsequent telephone conversations with President Vladimir Putin. The last call took place on June 8.

The presidents are unanimous that relations between Russia and Iran have reached the highest point in their history. At the same time, there is significant untapped potential for further advancement in our partnership. To this end, work is now underway on a new and comprehensive “big interstate treaty,” initiated by the President of Iran. Some time ago, Russia submitted its proposals and additions to the Iranian initiative to Tehran. Today we agreed that experts should coordinate this important document as soon as possible because it will determine the prospects for our strategic cooperation for the next two decades.

Particular attention during the talks was paid to trade and economic issues, investment, and the need to expand bilateral relations in a situation where the United States and its “satellites” are using illegal sanctions to hinder our countries’ progressive development and the interaction between Russia and Iran, as well as with other countries that reject diktat and refuse to follow Washington’s orders. Despite this discriminatory policy, trade between Russia and Iran showed a record growth of over 80 percent in 2021, exceeding $4 billion for the first time. This trend continued into 2022. We will do everything we can to support it.

A Russian delegation led by Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak visited Tehran at the end of May to promote economic cooperation. The delegation included representatives from the relevant ministries and agencies, the heads of Russian regions that cooperate with Iran, and business representatives. They met with their Iranian counterparts to discuss purely practical issues of expanding cooperation, outlining action plans for such areas as energy, transport, agriculture, finance, banking, and customs. At this point, these ambitious goals are being considered at the level of relevant experts.

We highlighted success in implementing our flagship projects, including  the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant (the second and third units being under construction), the Sirik Thermal Power Plant that is being built with the state loans issued by the Russian Federation and a project to upgrade a railway section.

Just last week, a panel discussion dedicated to the Russian-Iranian business dialogue took place as part of the St Petersburg International Economic Forum. A meeting of the intergovernmental commission on trade and economic cooperation will be held soon. As we agreed today, the foreign ministries of Russia and Iran will continue to provide political and diplomatic support to all joint economic undertakings every step of the way.

In this context, Russia has been facilitating the Iran-EAEU negotiating process that started out in 2021 to develop a free trade agreement. The working group in question will meet in Isfahan in early July.

We talked about fortifying the contractual and legal framework. Hossain Amir-Abdollahian mentioned an agreement on international cybersecurity and an agreement on creating cultural centres in our countries.

We also mentioned the importance of moving forward with drafting an agreement on cooperation in geological exploration and oil and gas production, as well as with ratifying the existing agreement on scientific and technical cooperation between our countries.

We discussed international issues in depth. We stand together in rejecting the concept of the rules-based order that is pushed forward by the United States and its satellites. This concept is designed for use as a substitute for international law and the UN Charter’s basic principles, primarily the principle of sovereign equality of states. Everything that the United States and its allies are doing in the international arena flat-out undermines this fundamental UN principle. Iran and Russia condemn the untenable practice of unilateral illegal sanctions that are imposed contrary to the UN Charter and need to be opposed by all independent members of the international community.

To this end, the Group of Friends in Defence of the Charter of the United Nations was established which, among others, includes Iran and Russia and has more than 20 members. I’m sure the group will expand.

On behalf of the Russian Federation, we welcome the official process for Iran joining the SCO as a full member which was launched in 2021. A memorandum will be signed at a SCO summit to be held in Samarkand in September that will clearly lay out the legal scope and timeframe for this process. It should not take long.

We are convinced that Tehran will make a significant contribution to strengthening the SCO as one of the key centres of the emerging multipolar order.

We discussed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action designed to settle matters related to the Iranian nuclear programme. In conjunction with other nations that signed this plan, we have been striving for a long time now to correct the mistake made by the United States. Washington withdrew from this deal and from the corresponding UN Security Council resolution, once again trampling upon its commitments under international law. We will push for the JCPOA to be restored in its original configuration, the way it was approved in 2015 by a UN Security Council resolution, without exceptions or additions, to make sure that the illegal sanctions on Iran that are inconsistent with the JCPOA are lifted. We hope Washington will make a rational choice, although we cannot fully rely on that.

We spoke about our cooperation on a Syrian settlement, primarily in the Astana format that includes Russia, Iran and Turkey. We highly rated the regular session in this format which took place in the capital of Kazakhstan in early June of this year. We agreed to continue coordinating our efforts to achieve the implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 2254, resolve humanitarian problems in Syria and encourage the international community to start practical work on restoring the infrastructure, preparing for the return of refugees and in general, ensuring the country’s return to normal life.

Iran and the Russian Federation are doing much in this area, helping to implement relevant projects on the ground in the Syrian Arab Republic. Unfortunately, the majority of the Western members of the international community are doing everything to delay fulfilment of the requirements of this resolution and impede the efforts of international organisations to this end, primarily the relevant UN agencies. This politicised course of action prevents the settlement of problems in Syria and, zooming out, in the Middle East and North Africa.

Russia and Iran have a common position on the need to resume direct talks between the Palestinians and the Israelis with a view to implementing all decisions of the international community, including the creation of the State of Palestine and the OIC-approved Arab Peace Initiative. We will uphold this position in the UN and closely cooperate with the OIC and the Arab League.

We talked about the developments in the South Caucasus, Afghanistan and Yemen. Russia and Iran have many opportunities to use their influence and contacts with a view to achieving a durable settlement and normalisation.

We reaffirmed our commitment to facilitate stabilisation in the Persian Gulf. As you know, Russia has introduced and continues promoting a concept for collective security in this important part of the world. We are willing to help promote dialogue between the Arab countries and the Islamic Republic of Iran.

We are members of the Caspian Five. Next week, the Caspian states will meet for a summit in Ashgabat. We coordinated our preparations for this important event.

Talking yesterday with President of Iran Ebrahim Raisi and today with Foreign Minister of Iran Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, we described in detail the current developments in and around Ukraine. We thanked our Iranian friends for their entirely correct understanding of the events. Above all, they realise that during the past decade our US-led Western colleagues have been trying to turn Ukraine into a bridgehead for threatening and “deterring” Russia, in part, by developing Ukraine’s territory militarily. We repeatedly sought to engage with the West on this matter. All our concerns have been ignored. President Vladimir Putin and other high-ranking officials explained many times that Russia simply did not have another choice but to ensure the interests of Donbass and its Russian residents in the face of a threat from the increasingly aggressive neo-Nazi regime that took power in Kiev after the anti-Constitutional coup d’etat. The Kiev authorities and those who put them in power and continue supporting officially refuted all our attempts to achieve the implementation of the Minsk agreements that were approved by the UN Security Council.

We are convinced that an overwhelming majority of the world’s countries understand the current situation. The Americans are trying to impose a “rules-based order” on all others. This concept is designed to subordinate the security of all countries to the interests of the Western world and ensure the total, “eternal” domination of Washington and its allies. Understandably, this concept goes against the entire historical process and the objective trend towards forming a multipolar world order under which countries, with their independence and self-worth intact, will uphold their interests in conformity with the principles of the UN Charter. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation are among these countries.

Question: Given the constructive role played by the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Russian Federation in the negotiations, they have managed to reach a sustainable agreement on the JCPOA. We see the current sabotage by the United States through the imposition of new sanctions and anti-Iranian resolutions. They are slowing down the process. What is your assessment of Washington’s destructive policy of slowing down the JCPOA negotiating process?

Sergey Lavrov: Not only on the JCPOA, but on virtually every issue on the international agenda, the United States is totally inconsistent, driven by short-term considerations, glancing back at the problems in the United States itself and how they can try to distract voters from them.

What the United States is doing in the negotiations to resume the JCPOA is an example of such actions, where the focus is on creating a “picture” designed to reaffirm the unquestioned leadership role of the United States on every issue on the international agenda. Such attempts to put a falsely understood reputation ahead of the merits of the issue are highly risky.

About a year ago, the United States tried to blame us for the fact that an agreement to fully resume the JCPOA was delayed. That was, to put it mildly, untrue. Everybody understands this very well. A year ago, the Russian Federation, like all the other parties to the agreement, reiterated its readiness to resume it in full. Since then, the United States has been single-handedly stalling the agreement. We have once again confirmed to our Iranian friends that we will support in every way possible their position on the need to resume the JCPOA in full, without any exceptions or unacceptable “add-ons”. This includes lifting all illegitimate sanctions.

Question (retranslated from Pashto): How close is Russia’s position on the Syrian crisis to that of Iran? Does the warning to Israel about an attack on Damascus International Airport mean that the positions of Iran and Russia are close on this issue?

Sergey Lavrov: We have repeatedly emphasised the need for all countries to strictly fulfil UN Security Council Resolution 2254 that relies on the basic principle of recognising the territorial integrity of the SAR and the need to respect Syria’s sovereignty.

During regular contacts with our Israeli colleagues, we constantly draw their attention to the need to stop violating this resolution and the air space of Syria, not to mention striking at its territory.

To our great regret, the latest incident is serious. It was a strike on a civilian airport, which put it out of service for several weeks and made it impossible to deliver humanitarian cargoes by air.

We sent a relevant note to Israel, emphasising the need for all countries to abide by Resolution 2254. We will continue upholding this position in our contacts with Israel and other countries that are involved in the Syrian settlement process in different ways.

You asked my colleague several questions, including one about the food crisis. I would like to emphasise again that there is no connection whatsoever between the special military operation in Ukraine and the food crisis. This is admitted even by US Government members and representatives of the international organisations dealing with food security. The crisis and the conditions for it were created several years ago. It didn’t start today or yesterday, but a couple of years ago when the Western countries embarked on imprudent, ill-considered, populist fiscal policies. President Vladimir Putin spoke about it in detail. I will not describe them at this point. I would merely stress that the efforts undertaken now by Turkey and the UN Secretary-General would have succeeded long ago if Ukraine and its Western patrons demined Black Sea ports. This issue is clear to any specialist. The attempts to establish an international coalition for these procedures are obviously aimed at interfering in the affairs of the Black Sea region under UN aegis. This is perfectly clear to us. There is no need for any complicated procedures. It is simply necessary to allow the ships locked by the Ukrainians in the mined ports of the Black Sea to leave. The main thing is to clear these ports of mines or provide clear passageways for them.

As for international waters, the Russian Federation guarantees the safe travel of these ships to the Strait of Bosporus. We have an understanding with the Republic of Turkey in this respect.

I will say again that the attempts to make a “worldwide tragedy” out of the amount of grain that remains in Ukraine are not above board. Everyone knows that this grain amounts to less than one percent of the global production of wheat and other grains.

Now it is important to compel the Ukrainians to let out the foreign ships that are being held hostage there. There is no need to turn this problem into a diversion to conceal the mistakes and failures of the West in its international policy on the food and fertiliser markets.

Question (retranslated from Farsi): A fortnight ago you mentioned a new political package from the US side. A week ago, Mr Zadeh said that “the train has not yet gone off the rails” and you said that in the future there was a possibility that negotiations could be resumed. Has anything changed recently?

Sergey Lavrov: If I understood the translation correctly, cooperation between Russia and Iran in the energy sector has a rich history and good prospects.

As far as bilateral cooperation is concerned, we have always found solutions to the problems that have arisen in this area because of the illegal actions of the United States and its satellites, who are trying to hinder the development of the Islamic Republic of Iran’s energy sector. At the present stage, they are trying to do the same with regard to oil and gas production and transportation in the Russian Federation. Our bilateral plans under consideration today are starting to take concrete form; they are beginning to be implemented. They are aimed at making sure that they do not depend in any way on the unlawful unilateral intervention of anybody else.

I can assure you: there is a reliable plan to work in this way. Together with Iran, we have traditionally worked together in the context of international efforts to stabilise the oil and gas market. There is a complete agreement within the OPEC+ group on the need to safeguard Iran’s interests in its future activities. We will be guided by this.

Question: Israel and the United States have announced a new regional air defence alliance in the Middle East to protect Israel and neighbours from Iranian rockets. How will this affect the Iran nuclear deal? Will Moscow and Tehran intensify military cooperation in this regard?

Sergey Lavrov: We are following statements made by our American colleagues, who are openly declaring their intention to try and forge a bloc between several Arab countries and Israel and target this new group against the Islamic Republic of Iran. I believe too much has already been said about the inconsistency of American foreign policy. I don’t want to repeat myself. But this idea is obviously at odds with their intention to normalise the situation in the region and resume full implementation of the JCPOA, through the efforts of the United States, if they are sincerely interested in this.

We prefer less contradictory arrangements, as compared to those the Americans are now promoting in various regions. Take their idea of ​​the Indo-Pacific. It runs counter to every universal format that has developed over the years around ASEAN in the Asia-Pacific region. Those formats included the US, Russia, China, Australia, India, Japan and Korea. It was a process whereby all interests, primarily those of the regional players and their partners, were brought to a common denominator. Instead, having disrupted all the bodies created under the auspices of ASEAN, the Americans are promoting conflict-generating, divisive formats, without hiding that their policy is aimed at restraining China and isolating Russia.

The same logic is evident in the initiative to create an air and missile defence system in the Middle East. This is the logic of division and confrontation. We prefer unifying logic. The underlying principle of our initiative to build a collective security system in the Persian Gulf region is unification. The system we propose should provide a framework for the Arab countries to establish a dialogue with the Islamic Republic of Iran, work out joint measures of confidence and transparency, and take other steps to ensure stabilisation. Our idea is to involve the permanent members of the UN Security Council, the EU, the Arab League, the UN and the OIC to facilitate these processes. This is an example of how we consistently propose resolving any problems through combining efforts and finding a balance of interests.

The example we are now discussing, which involves the US initiative in the Middle East, is not a case of finding a balance of interests; it is a case of planting confrontation, and an attempt to create dividing lines that will be there forever. Needless to say, this is a dead-end position. In any case, in the end, everyone will come to understand the need to return to the underlying principles of the United Nations, such as resolving problems through cooperation, and not through the creation of hostile and aggressive blocs.