Haaretz: Sayyed Nasrallah Not Wrong About Stretching “Israeli” Army to the Limit

Haaretz: Sayyed Nasrallah Not Wrong About Stretching “Israeli” Army to the Limit

By Staff, Haaretz

The high alert on the northern border has been in force for more than a month and a half. Under the flood of other news, it’s not the main thing on the mind of the “Israeli” public and media.

According to the “Israeli” news outlet Haaretz, Hezbollah has tried twice to avenge the martyrdom of a fighter martyred in July in an “Israeli” bombing attack at Damascus Airport.

The devastating explosion at the Beirut port on August 4 completely changed the agenda in Lebanon, the news outlet went on to say. But very quickly it became clear that it had no effect on the plans of Hezbollah leader His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, who is determined to kill an “Israeli” soldier before declaring a return to calm on the border.

Sayyed Nasrallah is trying to hold the rope at both ends, according to Haaretz. He denies the “Israeli” allegations about the foiling of attempted attacks, but is proud that the “Israeli” army is so tense waiting for Hezbollah’s response.

Haaretz added that the alert along the border has been long and nerve-racking, taking up the time of Military Intelligence as well, far beyond what “Israelis” might think. The “Israeli” army is continuing to call up reservist officers to reinforce command posts, to deploy relatively large forces in the entity’s north and to keep its distance from the fence. It doesn’t want to provide Hezbollah with a target for an operation.

The containment policy was decided at the very top, by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, War Minister Benny Gantz and army chief Aviv Kochavi, the news outlet explained.

For years, the “Israeli” entity has been waging a war between the wars in the north alleging that one of its goals is to prevent the transfer of advanced weapons from Syria to Hezbollah in Lebanon. If Sayyed Nasrallah establishes a new balance of threats, he can also influence moves attributed to the “Israeli” entity in Syria, according to the “Israeli” daily.

Based on the report by Haaretz, under Sayyed Nasrallah’s formula of deterrence, for every Lebanese death in an “Israeli” attack, even if it occurs in Syria, Hezbollah will mount a response. His Eminence’s temptation lies in stretching the equation to force the entity to think three times before every attack in Syria.

Furthermore, Netanyahu likes to boast about the close strategic and military cooperation with the Trump administration. Several times he has praised Trump for his decision in January to assassinate General Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force.

The United States is indeed pursuing an aggressive line against Tehran while gradually stepping up the sanctions pressure. But, like the “Israeli” entity, the Americans have to protect themselves against a possible response to the offensive moves they’ve made.

War of nerves: Israel begs Hezbollah to retaliate


Date: 6 September 2020

War of nerves: Israel begs Hezbollah to retaliate

Author: lecridespeuples

Nasrallah vows to kill an enemy soldier, Israel’s northern border is paralyzed and Zionist propaganda keeps shaping news reports.

By Sayed Hasan from Resistance News Unfiltered

By Sayed Hasan

As we explained in our article What happened —and didn’t happen— at the Israel-Lebanon border?, Israel has been on high alert at its northern border since its July 20 strike in Damascus that killed a Hezbollah fighter. Three similar experiences have proven, in 2014, 2015 and 2019, that a bloody retaliation is inevitable, and fear has paralyzed northern occupied Palestine for more than a month. But the excruciating pressure of waiting is so unbearable on the Israeli side —it has already claimed the life of a soldier when his vehicle overturned near the Lebanese border, probably due to panic— that after trying to neutralize Hezbollah’s response by a pitiful letter of apology and then by a ridiculous sham on July 27, claiming to have repelled an imaginary infiltration attempt, the Hebrew state has committed a third action even more stupid —and fraught with consequences— by replaying the scenario of the phantom attack and by carrying out defensive strikes (illuminating shells & smoke bombs) against southern Lebanon on the night of August 25 to 26.

Apart from forest fires which broke out near a Lebanese army position and a UNIFIL position, and very slight damage to an agricultural building and two houses, caused by smoke-producing phosphorus shells & illuminating shells, no loss is to be reported. All in all, it was a pretty harmless show, although very anxiety-provoking for civilians on both sides of the border, and it is certainly no accident that no casualties or serious damage are to be deplored: Israel fears Hezbollah more than anything, and rightly considers the Party of God (with Iran) as an existential threat. Far from constituting an act of force on Israel’s part, this defensive attack is an act caused by the considerable pressure weighing on its soldiers at the northern border, and is explained either by a hallucination caused by fear (Netanyahu himself was then near the northern border and announced it to the media, adding to the IDF’s nervousness), or by an insistent request meant to push Hezbollah to retaliate and thus end this unbearable tension. Israel’s nerves are visibly cracking.

However, once again, our mainstream (and even alternative) media were quick to pick up on the IDF statement that in response to (purely imaginary) gunfire (Hezbollah isn’t going to retaliate with light weaponry), Israel reportedly carried out strikes against Hezbollah positions. The docile peddling of this lie illustrates the West’s blind adherence to IDF fables, when even the Israeli press and public opinion constantly question them and trust Nasrallah more than their own leaders. Submission, ignorance, sensationalism and / or hidden hostility to the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon, presented as powerless in the face of attacks from an enemy who would only target the positions of the Party of God in self-defense (when in reality he is the aggressor and endangered civilian homes and positions of the Lebanese army and the UN), explain this familiar propaganda after every actual or supposed incident.

These mini-reports from Al-Manar (12 and 3), a Hezbollah TV channel which regularly translates the Hebrew media (unlike our media who do not even read the Israeli press in English, far more reliable than the Western news agencies despite heavy military censorship), explain in detail what happened, and show that there is a great deal of fear and frustration on the Israeli side: the IDF is extremely nervous, convinced that Hezbollah fighters are in ambush along the border and will seize the first opportunity to kill Israeli soldiers, and the settlers are anguished and revolted at the confused statements of the military and the restrictions placed on them.

Here are some eloquent quotes of these reports, all taken from Israeli analysts speaking on national TV channels:

We saw what happened in the Shebaa farms [on July 27], and we thought it was all behind us, but now we see what happened tonight, which is only the latest development. Perhaps Hezbollah will have the pleasure of forcing the IDF to remain on such a high level of alert along the border. Maybe they want to disrupt the life of Israelis in the region.

The Northern Command’s analysis is that Nasrallah will not give up on killing an Israeli soldier, and that he is determined to uphold the “eye for an eye, tooth for a tooth” equation against Israel. Since a Hezbollah fighter has been killed, he will kill an Israeli soldier in retaliation.

Ultimately, the military believes that Hezbollah has not settled its scores with Israel, and that it will carry out attacks against the Israeli military. That’s why the Northern Command has decided to stay on high alert, as Hezbollah’s attempts to strike soldiers will not stop.

Hezbollah cells are positioned along the border, and when a target presents itself they will open fire and kill an Israeli soldier in retaliation for the death of a Hezbollah fighter in Syria.

Hezbollah’s threats are therefore taken with the utmost seriousness in Israel, and whatever the complicit media may say, fear is clearly on the Israeli side, while the Lebanese Resistance relishes at the protracted torment of the occupier.

Hezbollah reacted laconically to this new incident, not even issuing a statement this time around. In a speech dedicated to the annual commemoration of the martyrdom of Imam Hussein on August 26, Nasrallah made a very brief comment about it, without dwelling on it:

I have to start with a very brief statement about what happened last night in the south on Lebanon’s border with occupied Palestine, all this Israeli commotion, the firing of flares and phosphorus grenades, as well as certain attacks. This is something important, sensitive and dangerous as far as we are concerned, but in a deliberate way I will not speak about it, I will not comment on it now, and I will leave this topic for later, at the auspicious time with the grace of God, soon and at the right time.

This sobriety is the complete opposite of an evasion: Nasrallah wishes to leave Israel on tenterhooks. As the grand master of psychological warfare he is, Nasrallah knows well that silence and expectation of retribution are worse than threats & inescapable retaliation that Israel ardently calls for in order to regain a semblance of serenity along its northern borders. Retaliation will indeed come, and it will certainly be deadly. It will avenge the death of the martyr Ali Kamal Mohsen killed in Damascus, as well as the violations of Lebanese sovereignty and the attacks against civilians during the Israeli strikes-for-show on July 27 and August 26, as promised by Hezbollah. Far from proving that Hezbollah would be hesitant and fearful, the fact that the response is slow to arrive adds long anxiety to the ultimate severity of the punishment: every Israeli soldier in the north constantly fears for his life, and will be relieved when this round is over, even at the cost of the death of one or more of his comrades —provided it is not him. Moreover, this expectation is also explained by the drastic security measures taken to avoid exposing the Israeli forces at the north (entire barracks abandoned, settlements evacuated, patrols and maneuvers canceled, soldiers forced to wear civilian clothes constantly, roads closed, etc.). It is certainly no coincidence that abandoned Israeli tanks were found by hikers in the Syrian Golan: it is probably a target offered to Hezbollah, as was already the case during the last confrontation of this type, unless the soldiers really deserted their posts.

Let us also remember that one year ago precisely, when two Hezbollah fighters were killed by Israel in Syria at the end of August 2019, Hezbollah’s retaliation happened 8 days later: on September 1, the Lebanese Resistance destroyed a moving Israeli military vehicle.

Netanyahu then claimed that there was not even a scratch on the Israeli side, and that the helicopter transport of a soldier covered in blood and carried on a stretcher was only a masquerade intended to deceive Hezbollah and avoid more strikes. A dubious claim which, even if true, would manifest incredible cowardice. It should be noted that at the same place and at the same time, an Israeli soldier was seriously injured by a childish game of stone-throwing (apparently more dangerous than two anti-tank missiles), at least according to the docile Israeli media submitted to strict military censorship. Let everyone draw their own conclusions about what really happened and who won this confrontation.

In any case, this experience may explain why Hezbollah’s response is yet to come. In order not to be fooled by a new Hollywood show, Hezbollah must wait for a target that is unmistakenly real, and such that no one can doubt that Israeli soldiers will have been killed by Hezbollah (and not by stones or other stupid and implausible games). Because Israel’s desperation is such that it goes as far as to bait Hezbollah with robots dressed as soldiers, and fakely protected by tanks and smoke bombs.

Moreover and above all, after putting all of northern Israel to a standstill for a whole week last year, Hezbollah now wants to make the fun last, and push Israel to the limit so that it humiliates itself more, and see how much longer the Zionist entity can remain on high alert before breaking down. Once again, the expectation of retribution is worse than the retribution itself, especially for first-class cowards like the IDF. Let us recall these two quotes reported in our previous article:

As a Koweiti put it on Twitter, “Hezbollah’s silence is sometimes more powerful and painful to the Zionist enemy than their missiles, because they live hours, days and weeks in a state of fear, terror and high nervousness. Silence is a destructive weapon of psychological warfare against the Israeli entity, both at the political and psychological levels.” Avigdor Lieberman, former Israeli Defense Minister, stated that “I am still worried because the North is paralyzed by the killing of one single Hezbollah member in Damascus. Unfortunately, Nasrallah proved that he does what he says, an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth.”

On July 27, the Israeli press questioned the reality of the alleged Hezbollah incursion, asking explicitly if it was not a new show intended for Hezbollah (cf. Jerusalem PostWas Mount Dov incident another Hollywood show for Hezbollah?). This time around, the Lebanese Resistance’s response must undoubtedly kill Israeli soldiers, and that is sure to happen. Nasrallah said this very clearly during his last speech on the 10th day of Muharram (August 30th), commemorating Imam Hussein’s martyrdom:

I have left the issue of the situation at the border between Lebanon and occupied Palestine for the end, and I will speak with great clarity, because it is necessary that things be very clear for everyone as to our stance.

Several weeks ago, during Israeli strikes near Damascus airport, martyrs fell, including our martyred brother combatant Hajj Ali Kamal Mohsen. We are firmly committed to the (deterrence) equation, and we have always enforced and upheld it. Our goal is not revenge. Our goal is to chastise the murderers, and uphold the balance of deterrence in order to protect (ourselves). This (is the equation) in effect since 2006.

Without our needing to make any statement (promising retaliation), after our mere statement reporting the martyrdom of our brother Ali Kamal Mohsein following an Israeli raid on Damascus airport, this single statement, without any additional word, was enough for Israel, which knows well (that our response was inevitable), (to go on maximum alert). And this is one of the successes of the Resistance. This Israel (which has always) behaved with arrogance, hybris and tyranny against entire regimes and entire armies, see how it behaves with the Resistance: it behaves in a very different way. This result was not achieved by declarations and speeches, but by our history, thanks to 38 years of sacrifice, jihad, endurance, achievements and victories on our side, and, on the Israeli side, (38 years old) of military and security setbacks, failures and defeats (against Hezbollah).

On its own initiative, as I said, Israel stood on a leg and a half (ready to flee) on the entire length of the border, from the sea to the Golan Heights. Not only on the Lebanese border, but also on the Syrian border with occupied Palestine. And they took all the (security) measures that you know: they evacuated their military positions —some positions are completely empty, and others still have personnel but the soldiers remain invisible—, they have completely canceled their patrols —sometimes a quick patrol can be carried out exceptionally when they feel that the Resistance is absent from a place—, and they have started sending us unmanned vehicles —because they have automatically piloted vehicles— in which they place dummies dressed in Israeli soldiers’ uniforms, as they did the last time, urging us to hit those vehicles; after that they are ready to bring in a helicopter, medical relief, put (these dummies) on stretchers and into the helicopter, thus making fun of us by having us believe that we got what we wanted, namely to kill one or two (Israeli) soldiers. Isn’t it? This is what they are doing. And yesterday you saw on the TV stations that they were sending us moving robots, putting a dummy in a soldier’s clothes on it, so that we would think it was a (real) soldier and hit that target. These measures have persisted for weeks.

Dummy dressed as an Israeli soldier and carried by a robot a few meters away from the Lebanese border, in order to lure Hezbollah, August 23rd

It is all part of the punishment. This army, which believes itself to be the most powerful in the region, when it faces the Resistance in Lebanon, yes, I can tell you that it stands on a leg and a half. And this along the entire length of the border. And fear is on the other side. They take action not only at the border, but behind the border, limiting movement to and within settlements, imposing (heavy) restrictions, etc. Training and maneuvers have been canceled until further notice. They brought in artillery and forces (to the north), and put their Iron Dome system on high alert. All this while waiting for (the inevitable retaliation of) the Resistance. Because they know that this Resistance is credible and serious.

And whatever is going on at the border, as we said in our statement, Israeli soldiers are afraid of their own shadow. If they have the impression that at any point on the border there is movement, they start to strike around their positions in the Shebaa farms, around their positions in al-Manara, near Mays-al- Jabal, Aït Aroun, etc., as well as in the western region. All of this expresses anguish, fear and terror on the Israeli side. Because why would they strike all these positions? If they have (accurate) information, if they have control over what’s going on, they need to be alert and have reliable information, (and not strike at random).

What I want to say clearly is that we consider everything that has happened since the martyrdom of our brother and so far to be part of the punishment. It is part of the punishment. It is our strong conviction. But I want to be even clearer, so that those in Lebanon who follow us understand us well, and so that Israel understands us. If we wanted to retaliate (merely) to boost the morale (of our troops and supporters), or for media hype (showing how tough we are), we would have done it from day one. I will be (more) precise. Quite frankly, we could have struck Israeli positions on the (occupied) Shebaa farms or anywhere along the border. Because as far as we are concerned, we no longer make any distinction. Formerly, we distinguished the Shebaa farms and the rest of the border, (limiting our operations to the Shebaa farms). Because the Shebaa farms are occupied Lebanese territory, and no one can deny our right to resist there. But after the (August 2019) Israeli attacks, we no longer differentiate between the Shebaa farms and the international border, (and we can retaliate wherever we want). We were done with that distinction since the last incident. Quite frankly, the Resistance fighters were quite capable of striking a military position with missiles, destroying its buildings & equipment, filming the attack and broadcasting the images in the media, shouting Allahu Akbar, and proclaiming that we had retaliated for the martyrdom of our brother. Of course, no soldiers would have been killed or injured (because Israel evacuated them or entrenched them in bunkers), and maybe even as they did for the Shebaa Farms show, they would have provided us with the ladder to get off our tree (and end this round while saving face); or, as they did for (our strike near the) Avivim (barracks on September 1, 2019), they would have brought in a helicopter, stretchers, false wounded soldiers, that’s all, and it would all be over. But that was not our goal at any time.

We do not run after media (hype), or after responses aimed at boosting morale, not at all. There is an equation we want to confirm. There is an equation we want to confirm. Today, I will be more clear than ever about this equation. Let Israel understand this: every time you kill one of our fighters, we will kill one of your soldiers. Period. This is the equation. If you kill one of us, we won’t (just) hit one of your positions, barracks, equipment, tanks, etc. Israel has all the money in the world. They would replace them easily. This is not what creates an equation of deterrence against Israel. Israel knows very well, even if this is the first time that I have expressed myself so clearly, through its observation of all our movements during the last weeks, that we are not seeking to destroy an (empty) vehicle: Israel has us offered vehicles (to strike), but we knew they were self-piloted, and we didn’t hit them. We could have hit them. Israel knows very well that we are not looking for (vain) military success to save face, it knows very well that we are looking to kill one of its soldiers. And he hid all his soldiers. He hid all his soldiers. They are holed up like rats. It is a point of strength of the Resistance (which has been manifesting itself) for weeks. This is not a point of weakness. It is not a failure. We act with precision, and want to hit a real target, not be baited by an illusory target or make (vain) media hype. The Resistance is serious in its desire to fulfill this mission (killing an Israeli soldier). Israel (ardently) hopes that we’ll strike anything, to end this (unsustainable) waiting, and to return to normal in northern occupied Palestine. But as far as we are concerned, we see things differently.

Even in what happened a few days ago (on August 26), when Israel fired phosphorus shells and flare shells, and unfortunately some shells hit houses, and targets of a farming association named Fruits & Vegetables Without Borders, thank God no one was injured or killed by all these strikes, and the damage was only material. We did not participate in any skirmishes (that day), we did not open fire (not even to retaliate). This is what the Israeli (enemy) would have wanted. He would have liked us to (shoot back) so that they’d be able to say that there were strikes or shots from each side, forest fires on each side, which would have settled things and reset the counters to zero. But we consider (that a futile skirmish) would have made the blood of our martyr vain, and weakened the equation of deterrence.

What Israel did a few days ago, and what it did a few weeks ago by touching, admittedly by mistake, a civilian home, all of this is duly noted, and Israel will pay the bill in full. As far as we are concerned, it is an absolute and irrevocable decision. It is only a matter of time, and depends only on the opportunities which will present themselves on the ground. And frankly, we’re in no rush. We are not eager to strike back today or tomorrow. And we do not consider it a sign of weakness if it takes time because no target that would allow us to achieve our goal is presented to us. Ultimately, you won’t be able to stay holed up in your holes forever. In a week or two, a month, two or three months, or more, you will have to go out. Time is not running out for us. No one is pressing us on the question of time. Eventually you’ll come out on the road, and we’ll hit you, thus confirming this equation. And any threats from Netanyahu, Gantz or Chief of Staff Kochavi and others will never stop us from achieving a goal shaped by thousands of martyrs.

Until an Israeli soldier is killed, terror will continue to reign in northern occupied Palestine, both among Israeli soldiers and settlers: Lebanese homes having been hit, strikes against civilians are likely. As happened last summer, Hezbollah’s deadly response will not lead to an escalation, because Israel is eager to end it, ready to conclude a truce at any cost. But whatever the case, Israel’s spokespersons, intellectually & morally colonized, will continue to unmask themselves through their lies, which perpetuate a myth of invincibility and impunity that the Israelis themselves no longer believe in since 2000 & 2006, but which remains significant in the East and the West, as the belief in Jewish supremacy and Arab backwardness are widespread.

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“Any amount counts, because a little money here and there, it’s like drops of water that can become rivers, seas or oceans…” Hassan Nasrallah

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عندما تسبق الاساطيل المساعدات وحرب المرافئ والطرق…!

محمد صادق الحسيني

لا معنى ولا مكان للصدفة في السنن الكونية وكلّ شيء بقدر وبيروت ليست استثناء…!

انفجار هائل في ميناء بيروت، يدمّر الميناء بشكل كامل ويدمّر عشرات آلاف المنازل في الأحياء المجاوره، بتاريخ ٤/٨/٢٠٢٠، تبعه بتاريخ ٩/٨/٢٠٢٠ اجتماع دولي عن طريق الفيدو كونفرنس، بين جهات دولية لبحث إمكانيات مساعدة لبنان بعد الكارثه، قيل إنّ المشاركين فيه أبدوا استعدادهم، للرئيس الفرنسي، بمساعدة لبنان بثلاثمائة مليون دولار. لكن القطع الحربية الفرنسية، التي كانت موجودة في شرق البحر المتوسط، قد وصلت المياه الإقليمية اللبنانية قبل وصول ايّ مساعدات، سواء من فرنسا او من غيرها من الدول.

كان هذا التحرك العسكري الفرنسي، المنسق مع الأسطول السادس الأميركي، عبارة عن أداة التمهيد لزيارة الرئيس الفرنسي ماكرون للبنان، بتاريخ ١٣/٨/٢٠٢٠، ما يعني انّ الحملة الديبلوماسية الفرنسية كانت ولا تزال تتمتع بغطاء حربي من أسطولين في شرق المتوسط، الأسطول السادس الأميركي والأسطول الفرنسي، الأمر الذي يوضح بجلاء انّ وراء الأكمة ما وراءها.

وهذا ما اتضح، من خلال مسار زيارة ماكرون الأولى للبنان، وما تبعها من تصريحات لبنانية داخلية، حول مقولة الحياد، ثم التصريح الذي أدلى به البابا فرنسيس، قبل أيام، وفي تناغم مع تصريحات لبنانية داخلية أطلقتها بعض الجهات المعروفة الارتباطات، والذي جاء فيه (تصريح البابا) انّ لبنان يمرّ بفترة صعبة ولا يجب التخلي عنه.

وبالعودة الى كارثة الانفجار نفسها، فإننا وبغضّ النظر عن تفاصيل أسباب الانفجار ومسبّباته، وهل كان عرضياً أو مدبّراً، وما إذا كان نتج عن ضربة خارجية او من خلال عمل تخريبي، عن طريق عملاء على الأرض، فإننا مقتنعون تماماً بأنّ هذا الانفجار كان عملاً مدبّراً، منذ لحظة شراء نيترات الأمونيوم، من فرع شركة أسترالية في ميناء جبل علي بدبي، وحتى وصولها الى ميناء بيروت وتخزينها هناك طوال هذه السنين، بانتظار لحظة الحاجة الى تفجيرها، كان عملاً مخططاً بدقة وتقف وراءه أجهزة استخبارات دولية، كانت تتابع كلّ ما يجري في لبنان، من النواحي الاقتصادية والسياسية والعسكرية والأمنية، ولديها ما يكفي من مواد التفجير اللازمة لقلب الأوضاع رأساً على عقب، سواء في لبنان أو في المنطقة أو حتى على صعيد أوسع وأبعد.

من هنا فإننا نعتقد بقوة انّ هدف من دبّر عملية التفجير، والذي يُفترض انه بات معروفاً للكثيرين، قد شمل في أهدافه أكثر من مجال أهمّها:

1

ـ الأهداف التكتيكية، المحدودة جغرافياً، والمتعلقة بتفجير الأوضاع اللبنانية الداخلية، في وجه حلف المقاومة ودرّة تاجه في لبنان، حزب الله، خلطاً للأوراق وتمهيداً لشنّ حملة عاتية ضدّه، تؤدّي الى شنّ أو طلب شنّ عدوان أميركي «إسرائيلي» على لبنان وحزب الله، تمهيداً لنزع سلاحه، تماماً كما حصل مع الجيش السوري سنة ٢٠٠٥، اثر اغتيال رفيق الحريري، الذي كان مخططاً بدقه، وربما من قبل نفس الجهة التي نفذت تفجير ميناء بيروت أوائل آب من هذا العام.

2

ـ قطع الطريق على ايّ تعاون اقتصادي، او من ايّ نوع آخر، بين إيران ولبنان، خاصة بعد المقترحات التي تقدّم بها سماحة الامين العام لحزب الله السيد حسن نصر الله، والتي تضمّنت القيام بتنفيذ العديد من المشروعات الاقتصادية الاستراتيجية، من قبل شركات إيرانية، ودون تكليف الخزينة اللبنانية أية أعباء مالية، حيث كان يُفترض أن تنفذ بواسطة معادلة: البناء ثم التشغيل، من قبل الشركة المنفذة، لاسترجاع استثماراتها، ومن ثم تسليم المشروع للدولة اللبنانية.

3

ـ توجيه ضربة استراتيجية لمشروع الصين العملاق، طريق واحد وحزام واحد، وذلك من خلال تدمير ميناء بيروت بالكامل، وإفشال كلّ المحاولات الصينية للدخول الى السوق اللبناني، سواء في القطاع البحري من بناء وتوسيع موانئ او من خلال نشاطات الشحن البحري وتطويره. وكذلك الأمر بالنسبة الى النقل البري، الشوارع الدولية وسكك الحديد، او النقل الجوي، عبر تطوير المطارات الموجودة وإنشاء أخرى جديدة. إضافة الى قطاع الكهرباء وقطاعات صناعية أخرى في لبنان، مما يأخذ لبنان باتجاه الاندماج او التكامل الاقتصادي مع محيطه العربي، الأمر الذي يفتح آفاقاً عابرة للقارات لهذا الاقتصاد الصغير والمثقل بالديون، ونقله من هذا الوضع المنهار الى وضع مزدهر مستديم النمو، وتمتدّ حدود نشاطه من سواحل المتوسط غرباً وحتى سواحل الصين وروسيا الشرقية على المحيط الهادئ شرقاً.

ولكن الرياح لم تأتِ كما اشتهت سفن المخططين لهذا العمل الإجرامي، الذي يرتقي الى مستوى قصف المدن اليابانية بالقنابل الذرية، وقتل مئات الآلاف من سكانها المدنيين الأبرياء، ذلك القصف الأميركي الذي تمّ تنفيذه بتاريخ ٦ /٨ ١٩٤٥ و ٩ /٨ /١٩٤٥، ما يجعل تقارب تاريخ تفجير ميناء بيروت مع تاريخ القصف النووي الأميركي للمدن اليابانية يثير الكثير من التساؤلات لدى كلّ من لديه منطق سياسي يعتمد على تحليل المعادلات الرياضية وليس على كيل التهم السياسية للآخرين دون ايّ حجج او دليل.

نقول انّ الرياح لم تأتِ كما اشتهت سفن المخططين لهذا العمل الإجرامي لأنهم كانوا ينامون على أوهام انّ جريمة تفجير ميناء بيروت ستحقق لهم أهدافهم كلها بضربةٍ واحدة، بضربةٍ قاضية تنهي الخطر الوجودي، على دويلة الاحتلال الإسرائيلي، وتفرغ انتصارات محور المقاومة، على مدى السنوات الأخيرة الماضية، من محتواها، وتكرّس «إسرائيل» قوةً إقليميةً، تواصل دورها التدميري، الذي يمنع ايّ تعاون او تكامل اقتصادي عربي، او عربي موحد مع تكتلات اقتصادية إقليمية أو دولية موحدة.

فها هي جمهورية الصين الشعبية، وكما نشر الكاتب الأميركي، إيتش آي ساتون، في مجلة «فوربس» الأميركيه، بتاريخ ٣/٩/٢٠٢٠، نقلاً عن تقرير لوزارة الحرب الأميركية جاء فيه انّ سلاح البحرية الصينية قد زوّد طرادات ومدمّرات بصواريخ باليستيه، تستخدم في ضرب أهداف جوية وأهداف بحرية بنفس الكفاءة والفعالية. وهي صواريخ صواريخ مضادة للسفن. ويحمل كلّ طراد او مدمّرة ١١٢ من هذه الصواريخ، بالإضافة الى انّ جميع هذه القطع البحرية قد تمّ تزويدها بقاذفات صواريخ عمودية، مما يجعل كلّ قطعه قادرة على إطلاق ٣٢ صاروخاً دفعة واحدة.

وهذا يعني انّ سلاح البحرية الصيني، حسب المجلة الأميركية، قد أصبح أول سلاح بحرية في العالم يتسلح بهذا الطراز الثقيل من الصواريخ، ونعني هنا صواريخ دونغ فينغ ٢٦ ومداه اربعة آلاف كيلومتر، وصاروخ دونغ فينغ ومداه الف وسبعمائة كيلومتر.

وبالتالي فانّ الصين الشعبية قد أصبحت دولة قادرة، ليس فقط على حماية مصالحها الاقتصادية في العالم، بل على وضع حدّ لعربدة الأساطيل الأميركية في بحار العالم، خاصة في المحيط الهادئ وبحار الصين واليابان والفلبين والبحر الأصفر.

4

ـ أما إذا أضفنا قوة سلاح البحرية الروسيه الى تلك الصينيه،. فاذا ما دقق المرء في قدرات القطع البحرية الروسية، وأخذ الطراد «موسكو» كمثال وألقى نظرة على تسليحه فانّ بإمكان المرء ان يصل بسرعة الى استنتاج انّ هذه الجوهرة الروسية لا يوجد لها مثيل في العالم، خاصة بعد خضوع هذا الطراد لعمليات تحديث وإعادة تجهيز واسعة النطاق، استمرّت من سنة ٢٠١٨ حتى قبل أيام معدودة، حيث انطلق لممارسة أعماله القتالية من جديد. علماً انّ هذا الطراد الأسطورة كان، قبل الخضوع لعمليات التحديث، قد زار كلاً من: البرتغال وكوبا ونيكاراغوا وفنزويلا.

ولا داعي بطبيعة الحال، للتوسع أكثر، في تعداد القطع البحرية، التابعه للأساطيل البحرية الروسية، في بحر الشمال والمحيط المتجمّد الشمالي، والبحر المتوسط والبحر الأسود والمحيط الهادئ، ويكفي ذكر الطراد الصاروخي النووي «بطرس الاكبر»، وهو أكبر سفينة غير نووية في العالم، لنرى التأثيرات الهائلة، لتكامل القدرات البحرية الروسية مع تلك الصينية، واضعين في عين الاعتبار احتمال نجاح الجهود الروسية، في إنهاء الخلاف الحدودي الصيني الهندي، خاصة بعد نجاح وزير الدفاع الروسي في عقد اجتماع بين وزير الدفاع الصيني ووزير الدفاع الهندي، على هامش مؤتمر شانغهاي في موسكو، وما قد ينتج عنه مع تطبيع العلاقات بين البلدين، وافتكاك الهند من بين أنياب الوحش الأميركي، وضمّ قدراتها الى قدرات الصين وروسيا وإيران، التي تسعى إلى اقامة نظام تعاون دولي شامل يحلّ محلّ نظام الهيمنة الأميركي الأحادي.

5 ـ أما إذا انتقلنا الى إيران وقدراتها الدفاعية والهجومية فلا بدّ من التذكير بالموضوع الذي نشره الكاتب الأميركي، ميخائيل پيلار ، في مجلة «ذي ناشيونال انتريست» بتاريخ ٧/١٢/٢٠١٩، حول قيام إيران بتحديث كافة مدمّراتها وطراداتها، وتزويدها بأجهزة رادار قادرة على كشف الأجسام المعادية، وعلى إخفاء القطع البحرية الإيرانية عن أعين الرادارات المعادية، وتزويدها جميعاً بصوامع إطلاق صواريخ عمودية لتصبح بذلك قادرة على إطلاق رشقات صاروخية، تتكوّن كلّ رشقة من ٣٢ صاروخاً، الأمر الذي يجعل القدرة النارية، لسلاح البحرية الايراني، عالية جداً.

وهذا يعني انّ الأساطيل الإيرانية قد أصبحت قادرة على الدفاع عن مصالح إيران الحيوية، ليس فقط في محيط إيران، ولكن في مناطق بعيدة أيضاً. وما قيام إيران بإرسال ناقلات النفط الإيرانية، محمّلة بالنفط، الى فنزويلا بحماية من بحريتها، إلا دليل ساطع على التعاظم الهائل الذي شهده هذا الصنف من صنوف الأسلحة الإيرانية.

من هنا، ومن منطلقات الأدلة المادية الملموسة، فإنّ هذا الهجوم الديبلوماسي العسكري الفرنسي، المترافق بغطاء عسكري وديبلوماسي أميركي، كانت ذروته تصريحات وزير الخارجية الأميركي، مايك بومبيو، التي أعلن فيها عن تنسيق أميركي فرنسي وثيق، في ما يتعلق بالتحرك الخاص بلبنان، قبل أيام. إنما هي تحركات يقودها نفس المايسترو، الذي أوعز لهذه المجموعة من العازفين، بالهجوم على لبنان، بدءاً بتفجير الميناء مروراً بتحريك الأساطيل البحرية، وصولاً الى رحلات ماكرون المكوكية الى لبنان. وهي حزمة تحركات تهدف، حسب الذين خططوا لتفجير الوضع اللبناني، في وجه حلف المقاومة وكلاً من روسيا والصين، إلى حماية لبنان من السيطرة الكاملة لحزب الله عليه حسب زعمهم، خاصة أنّ عملاء واشنطن و«إسرائيل «في لبنان لم يتمكّنوا من تنفيذ مهام التخريب التي أوكلت لهم أميركياً. وهو ما دفع المبعوث الأميركي الى لبنان، ديفيد شينكر، الى توبيخهم بشكل علني تقريباً، خلال اجتماعه بهم في آخر زيارة له لبيروت.

اي انّ مخطط خلط الأوراق، الذي بدأ بتفجير الميناء، قد فشل أيضاً، وانّ ديبلوماسية المستعمر الفرنسي وسيده الأميركي في لبنان لن تغيّر في الواقع شيئاً. اذ انّ لبنان ليس بحاجة الى طائرات عسكرية فرنسية ينبعث منها دخان ملوّن وانما هو بحاجة الى استثمارات ملوّنة عملاقة، صينية روسية إيرانية. وبالنظر الى عجز ماكرون وسيده في واشنطن عن القيام بتنفيذ مثل هذه الاستثمارات المنتجة كما يؤكد محللون اقتصاديون مطلعون، فانّ ضجيج محركات طائرة الرئاسة الفرنسية، بعد إصلاحها إثر الحادث الذي تعرّضت له في مطار بيروت كما يزعمون، نقول انّ هذا الضجيج لوحده سوف لن يسفر عن أكثر من الدخان الأسود الذي تنفثه في أجواء لبنان، مسبّباً مزيداً من التلوّث وحجب الرؤية.

لبنان ليس بحاجة الى دروس لا في الأخلاق ولا في السياسة ولا في الاقتصاد النيوليبرالي ولا هو بحاجة لمصمّم أزياء اقتصادية، قادم من باريس، لإعادة تصميم النظام الرأسمالي اللبناني، بما يتماشى مع شروط المحافظين الجدد، وما يعنيه ذلك من إعادة إنتاج للنظام اللبناني الذي أهلك البلاد والعباد، وبشكل يجعل نتائج هذا التحرك مخيّبة لآمال الطبقات المحدودة الدخل، على المدى القصير، وسحقها نهائياً على المدى المتوسط والطويل، وذلك من خلال بيع لأصول الدولة اللبنانية، ايّ الخصخصة، وتعميق الفقر والعوز لدى قطاعات واسعة من الشعب اللبناني وتكريس نظام الاقتصاد الريعي، الذي ساد لبنان على مدى الثلاثين عاماً الماضية، ولكن بثوب جديد من تصميم مصمّم الأزياء الاقتصادية، خريج جامعة روتشيلد للتدمير المالي والاقتصادي، الرئيس الفرنسي ماكرون.

لبنان بحاجة الى رجال «تنكش» الأرض ولا تسرقها. لبنان بحاجة الى تطبيق خطة اقتصادية مقاومة كتلك التي اقترحها سماحة السيد حسن نصر الله. لبنان بحاجة الى تطبيق خطة اقتصاد مقاوم ومنتج، كالاقتصاد الإيراني والاقتصاد الكوبي، وليس لاقتصاد من هُلام وفقاعات تظهر وتندثر دون ان يشعر بها المواطن. ايّ الاقتصاد المرابي، اقتصاد أسواق البورصة وما ينتج عنها من أرباح خيالية لا يراها المواطن ولا تعود عليه إلا بالضرر والمصائب.

لن يصلح الإطار الباريسي ما هو حاصل من فساد وتدمير في لبنان، وعلى كلّ الصعد، وإنما الرجال الرجال القادرون على إنقاذ هذا البلد العظيم من كبوته، تماماً كما أنقذوه من الخطر التكفيري الإرهابي قبل سنوات وكما حرّروه من الاحتلال الصهيوني سنة ٢٠٠٠ وحموا هذا التحرير سنة ٢٠٠٦.

نحن بحاجة لهم ولأمثالهم وليس لمصمّم الأزياء ايف سان لوران…!

وهم الذين سيكملون المشوار وينقذون البلد بكلّ تأكيد.

هم يمنحون الآخرين الآن فترة سماح بانتظار ان يتبيّن الخيط الأبيض من الخيط الأسود.

والصبر مفتاح الفرج.

بعدنا طيّبين قولوا الله…

The hypothetical compromise: The end of 10 years of war in West Asia

Source

September 5, 2020 – 23:12

On my way back from the south to Beirut two months ago, Elea crossroad in Saida was closed. As I took the long [S] turn to be able to reach Beirut road again, I came across the Lebanese Army.

I stopped the car next to one of the officers and asked him: “What is going on? They are not more than 20 young men and women! How could they? Why don’t you send them back home? The officer said: “It is better to let them steam off!” He added: “It is the Turkish intelligence! They are sending millions of American dollars to start eruption and chaos in Lebanon.”

The Lebanese Army confirmed the information a while after the incident. On the 4th of July, Lebanese Interior Minister Mohammad Fahmi announced that four citizens, including two Syrians, were arrested as they were trying to smuggle $4 million. He said that the money was meant to finance “violent street movements”.

He added that instructions were given via WhatsApp to promote violence against the government.

The Turkish role in the Arab countries has been escalating since the war on Syria in 2011. It is not a secret anymore that tens of thousands of terrorist fighters entered Syria through Turkey and were protected by Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s regime. Unfortunately, the Arab region is not only facing a new Ottoman dream but also a new wave of colonialism led by the Americans and their puppets.  

In his speech on the 10th of Muharram, Ashura, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah several times repeated that Syria has won the war. Nasrallah’s description of Syria’s situation is shared with several observers, who perceive that Syria awaits the international political solution. Nonetheless, whether it is going to be a compromise, or it is going to coincide with Syrian political demands, we need to wait and see.

It is practical to understand the complications in West Asia. The region has been on a hot tin roof since the burst of the Arab eruptions in 2011.  The Americans titled the eruptions as “the Arab Spring” are now recognized as the “Arab Drought.” 

The area has been going through an endless chain of wars with terrorism and occupation forces, which exhausted it and awaiting compromises. Complicated and interrelated files, such as the war on Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, Egypt, and Libya, need to be solved. However, there are two factors that delay the solution. The first is Turkey, which seems to have its own agenda. And the second is the so-called Deal of the Century. 

Today, the struggle has been fueled among the allies, who started the war on Libya, Syria, and Yemen. According to several resources, the powers that have led the wars are now accelerating the steps towards proper solutions. And each one of them is trying to save face and withdraw with minimum losses. 

Ten exhausting years have passed on West Asia (the Middle East). It witnessed the discovery of gas fields in the Eastern part of the Mediterranean Sea. Countries and their major companies are rushing to ensure shares in the new gas fields’ investments. Amongst them is Turkey, which is demanding a place in the eastern Mediterranean shores.

Accordingly, through the “Muslim Brotherhood” parties, Turkey has found a way to be part of the struggle in West Asia. It seems that Turkish President Erdogan is trying to undo the Ottoman’s defeat in the First World War. He is leading to constant wars against Arab countries. For most of the Arabs in the region, these wars are manipulating the Islamic world and leading to the destruction of their countries. It distorts the attention from the true enemy, which is “Israel,” and leads to the rise of Islamic “radicalism” and terrorism. 

Turkey has accelerated the struggle with Arab countries in Libya. Add to that, the current military exercises by Greece and Turkey over the rights of natural gas fields and the legal rights in the marine economic zones. The exercises have escalated EU awareness towards Turkish intentions. Subsequently, it led to further tension with the EU. 

The main force behind the current events in West Asia was the U.S. plan to create what they call” the New Middle East”. The plan was supposed to be applied by force in 2003, starting with the war on Iraq, but it failed. Combined regional forces resisted Iraq’s division, and the resistance was able to force the final withdrawal of the Americans in 2011. Ironically, in the same year, the Arab eruptions started in different Arab countries. 
Nonetheless, ten years of a brutal war on Syria revealed the following aims:

1-     The war mainly aimed to secure the safety of Israel. The Americans set in mind that controlling Syrian territories will eventually lead to controlling the flow of arms to Hezbollah.

2-     Controlling the gas and petrol pipes running through Syria to Turkey and Europe. By doing so, Iran, Russia, and eventually China fuel trade will be monitored and controlled.

3-     Changing the Arab regimes to pro-Turkish or Islamic Brotherhood’s governments and Saudi controlled ones to control the Arab decision in the Arab League and eventually dissolve it.

4-     Making way for the (Persian) Arab Gulf countries to sign peace treaties with Israel, this has already started with Abraham Accord.

5-     Giving Israel full control over gas and oil production and distribution through the Mediterranean Sea to Europe.

Not all of the goals set were achieved! The power of Turkey was controlled in Tunisia, Egypt, Sudan, and Libya. Furthermore, Europe now considers Turkey as a greater danger to the peace and security of West Asia, Northern Africa, and Greece. In addition, Europe was flooded by waves of migrants that crossed to the continent through Turkey, whom it used as a pressure card to manipulate Europe for greater benefits.

This has provoked different European countries that saw their interests were threatened, not only by Turkey but also by the United States. The latter has taken the world into economic chaos after the election of Donald Trump, who canceled all trade agreements and the nuclear agreement with Iran. Trump prohibited European trade with Iran and China and issued sanctions that disabled Europe.

Therefore, Iran’s successive diplomatic and legal victories at the UN Security Council in August were the first step towards a solution and a serious step towards peace in the region. They represent the first political triumph of the axis of resistance. The sequence of events is directing now towards another series of steps that should be perceived soon.

Soon the Syrian forces and its allies are heading towards implementing the Astana Accord by force. As soon as the Syrian Army is in control of Jesser al-Shogor and the Zawiah Mountain again, it will take control of the Syrian territories from Latakia to the Syrian-Iraqi borders, east of the Euphrates included.

Once the Syrian accomplishment is reached in Jesser al- Shogor, the Americans are not only leaving Iraq but Syria as well. In addition, the Iranians are leading now negotiations with Western powers through the German mediator concerning the nuclear agreements. However, an informed person revealed that the talks are including terms to end the American presence in Syria. This means that all foreign forces, including Turkish ones, are leaving, through force or voluntarily.

However, the Turks are negotiating with the Russians the possibility of keeping a couple of cities, but the Syrians refused it.

After the big blast in Beirut’s harbor on the 4th of August, the Turkish foreign minister offered to rebuild the harbor when he visited Beirut. This must-have provoked the French again. Erdogan’s new attempts to be involved in Lebanese affairs has raised doubts over his intentions for the European Union [EU], especially France. Paris tries not to allow Turkey to approach Beirut’s harbor. This would leave Turkey as the biggest loser in the region again. 

The upheaval Turkey created with Greece is leading it again to a conflict with Europe. Although Germany is leading to serious negotiations with all sides of the dispute, it seems that there are not any foreseen solutions in the near future. Europeans now identify Erdogan as the supporter of radical militant groups fighting in different Arab countries. These actions are of great concern to Europe. Rumor has it; Turkey now needs to be controlled. Western powers are planning to divide it again into two states, Western Turkey and Islamic Turkey. Of course, that is left for time to tell.

The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer.

RELATED NEWS

Sayyed Nasrallah, Haniyeh Stress Stability of Axis of Resistance

Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah Ismail Haniyeh
Photo released by Hezbollah Media Relations Office shows Sayyed Nasrallah and Haniyeh wearing protective masks amid the outbreak of coronavirus (Sunday, September 6, 2020).

Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah received Head of Hamas politburo Ismail Haniyeh, with the two leaders stressed stability of Axis of Resistance.

Sayyed Nasrallah, Haniyeh stress stability of axis of resistance -  en.hawzahnews.com

In a statement released early Sunday, Hezbollah’s Media Relations Office announced that Sayyed Nasrallah received Haniyeh, his deputy Saleh Al-Arouri and the accompanying delegation.

Sayyed Nasrallah and Haniyeh discussed political and military developments in Palestine, Lebanon and the region, as well as “the dangers to the Palestinian cause, especially the so-called deal of the century and normalization attempts by Arab regimes with the Zionist entity and the nation’s responsibility in this regard,” the statement said.

During the meeting, the two leaders “stressed stability of the Axis of Resistance in confronting all forms of pressures and threats.”

They also stressed the firm relation that between Hezbollah and Hamas “which is based on faith, brotherhood, Jihad, patience and same destiny.”

The statement did not mention the time of the meeting. Haniyeh has been in Beirut this week for meetings with Palestinian Resistance factions in Lebanon.

Source: Hezbollah Media Relations

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September 04, 2020

by Mansoureh Tajik for the Saker Blog

The scale and complexity of plots against masses of ordinary people, select prominent individuals, and nations have grown so vast that existing words and expressions fail to adequately define and explain them. The word “conspiracy” is bandied about quite a lot, to the point that it feels inadequate, to frame some major and critical events by distinctly different groups of people with diverse backgrounds. Some, for instance, use the term to genuinely warn about intricate and multi-layered schemes that would ultimately result in severe harms to individuals and/or collective masses. Others use it disparagingly to delegitimize discordant statements and expressions that are nonetheless rooted in very legitimate concerns. There are also some who invent stories at an industrial and massive scale in order to deliberately drown signals of truly malevolent plots in deafening noises of colorful parodies.

It is not the aim of this essay to review and evaluate the roster of major nominees to which the term conspiracy has been applied. Nor is it about the people who invoke the term under given pretexts. Rather, I intend to use the standard definition of the word “conspiracy” in this essay to get us closer to disentangling and defining something analogous, a similar process. It is a process that is far more systematically applied, organically managed, and exceedingly convoluted. It is a method that is also much more sinister and one for which we will hopefully have a clearly defined description by the end of the essay but will not have any precise term that could neatly bundle all components together to offer us lexical conveniences.

Others have put much greater efforts into subjects far less serious. Douglas Adams and John Lloyd, for instance, spent good bit of their precious time writing a book of humor, “The Meaning of Liff,” in which they collected “hundreds of common experiences, feelings, situations and even objects which we all know and recognize, but for which no words exist” and joined them in a linguistic matrimony with hundreds of spare words that “spend their time doing nothing but loafing about in signposts pointing at places.” Their mission, as they figured, was “to get these words down off the signposts and into the mouths of babes and sucklings and so on, where they can start earning their keep in everyday conversation and make a more positive contribution to society.”[1]

The world may very well be littered with free-loading words which do not earn their keeps. I do not wish to assume a responsibility as a word sheriff. However, there are indeed some very seriously detrimental mechanisms and organic plots that are concocted by a few to wreak havoc with the existence and meaningful quality of life of many. Such mechanisms and plots, I think, are in dire need of being correctly explained in details and subsequently named. It is not because I consider naming as “an evolutionary necessity fundamental to our ability to distinguish predator from prey” as C. Chang would state,[2] but because naming is the most basic first step in recognizing and dealing with complex problems we are facing today that require much deeper awareness of our own potential roles in them than we are willing to admit.

Onward. Let us first begin with a standard definition of conspiracy. Online Cambridge dictionary defines conspiracy as “a secret agreement made between two or more people or groups to do something bad or illegal that will harm someone else.” The same entry expands the concept and defines a related phrase “Conspiracy of Silence” as “a general agreement to keep silent about a subject for the purpose of keeping it secret.”[3]

Fair enough. But what if there is a secret or a not-so-secret agreement made between two or more people to enlist and coordinate the activities of diverse groups of people and individuals who would each carry out, in disparate cells and compartments, isolated yet inter-linked tasks the sum total of which executes a plan that has as its main goal very serious harms to others or even to the enlisted participants themselves? What would be an appropriate and befitting term for this phenomenon? Furthermore, what if components of that vicious plan are also built upon identified and existing vulnerabilities and routine shortcomings of persons, places, and infrastructures in a given society? What would be the one word that could converge all those pieces and meanings into one distinct and logical bundle of letters?

In this article, I will discuss three specific real life examples of our contemporary societies to help detangle and shed light on individual segments of the above paragraph-long definition for which we do not have any, but would like to have, suitable words.

Example from Iran: Plans to Assassinate Iranian Nuclear Scientists

In a span of less than two years (2009-2011), six prominent Iranian scientists in nuclear physics were assassinated under multiple coordinated planning and executions courtesy of the intelligence agencies of the US, Israel, and the UK, and with immense intelligence help from an “independent” body, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Martyr Mustafa Ahmadi Roshan, Martyr Masood Alimuhammadi, Martyr Reza Ghashghaifard, Martyr Darius Rezainejad, and Martyr Majid Shahriyari were all killed. Freidoon Abbasi Davani and his wife, who was in the car with him at the time of explosion, were critically injured but survived the assassination.

The role of the countries and international bodies named above has been discussed at length by many writers and thinkers in the Western press and media. I do not wish to review their assertions or belabor any of their points here. I am going to briefly point to the role some individuals inside Iran played in these plots since that is actually one of the key points of our topic here.

In Iran, about 53 people were arrested and questioned in connection with those assassinations. The trials for 40 of the accused began in May, 2013.[4] Details about the investigations and the trials were never made public so that the general public could have a full and exact picture of what happened. In cases related to security, intelligence, and counter-intelligence issues, I do not believe there should be a full and detailed disclosure of any sort any way. However, bits and pieces of information from true and false confession interviews that made it through, although not satisfactory, revealed niches that were quite sobering and startling both to the general public and to some of the accused individuals themselves.

Excluding two to three people among the arrested who had direct roles in the killings, most others who had participated in performing apparently innocuous, but still unlawful, tasks did not know they were actually taking part in plans that would ultimately result in killing their own nuclear scientists and damaging their own social wellbeing. Some individuals, for example, had agreed to receive compensation in exchange for keeping a log of the frequency and exact times of targeted individuals’ whereabouts, schedules, their comings and goings for any reason to and from their offices. Apparently they had no knowledge or did not think such information could and would be used in any significantly harmful way. Their task was unlawful, unethical, and against the policy of the places in which they worked.

In addition, security breaches and infiltration by shady characters into the investigations within the Ministry of Information, among other vulnerabilities, led to the slithering away of some key culprits. Had it not been for a serendipitous detection by the intelligence arm of the Revolutionary Guard and an early intervention by the office of the Supreme Leader in the interrogation process, perhaps more damaging events and more killings would have occurred. Several of the people arrested were later freed and compensated a total amount of 4 billion Toman in 2013 for psychological, economic, and reputation damages, according to a statement made by the current Information Minister, Seyyed Mahmoud Alawi, during a closed-session in Majlis last September.[5]

Examining and reviewing the information from multitude of formal and informal sources over the last several years, I was not able to conclude that majority of those who had been arrested and investigated were innocent because most of them had done, albeit unknowingly, one to several unlawful and unethical deeds the sum total of which helped execute successful plans (plotted and coordinated by outsiders) to kill five Iranian nuclear scientists, to seriously injure one, and to cause severe security damages in other areas. I think and I hope that most of them, had they not acted out of carelessness, mindlessness, greed, or whatever other reason, they might not have become pons in a web of deception. God Knows. I, therefore, included this example here not for its importance with from legal, judicial, or intelligence aspects but as it relates to overall structures, components, and inter-linkages of the plots and the role the “insiders” blindly played in the process.

“It is not like you are imagining that the conspiracies against this country are due to delusions and hallucinations. No. This is a fact. Things are being conspired from all directions. It is possible that someone from inside the country moves in the same direction as these plots without knowing at all. To realize this, too, requires sagacity and perceptivity. Some do not possess this perceptivity. We have had experiences with some of them. They don’t know to whose tune they are dancing. But this does not change the facts. Whether they perceive or they do not perceive; whether they know or they do not know. These conspired plots exist. Nevertheless, this country, this system not only does it not crumble or weaken but its scientific institutions, its progressive societies—consisting of this youth who is you— is visibly more forward-looking and advanced today than ten years ago. What does this mean? It means legitimacy and truthfulness. It means authenticity. It means having roots and being original.[6] –Ayatullah Khamenei

Example from Lebanon: Planned “Accidents” in Beirut Port

In the major explosion at Beirut Port on August 4th nearly 200 people died and more than 6,500 people were seriously injured. A few are still missing. Damages to the infrastructure, the economy, and socio-physical fabric of day-to-day living of the ordinary people were enormous. The society as a whole was critically shaken. On Sunday, Sayyed Hasan Nasrullah, as parts of his speech delivered by on the occasion of Ashura, spoke about the incident and emphasized that:

“We ask the Lebanese Military to release the results from a series of technical investigations they have conducted in relation to the explosion disaster in Beirut Port. It is clear that releasing of the results and revealing the outcome of the investigation regarding that event will dismantle all sorts of allegations [against Hizbullah]. Therefore, it is necessary for the outcome of investigation to be announced to the public.”

“Once again, we also insist on a judicial investigation of the Beirut explosion disaster through the judiciary system itself and we believe the judicial bodies must, without considerations and calculations and with seriousness and decisiveness, proceed with its various dimensions and punish the guilty agents.”[7]

This disastrous occurrence would have made for an apt case example for this essay had the results of the investigation been made public already. It was brought about by multi-layer longitudinal plan built upon identified vulnerabilities and routine shortcomings of persons, places, and infrastructures in Lebanon. For the purpose of this essay though, no formal public announcement to which one could refer has been made. Therefore, I would defer dissecting it as an example .

Example from the US: Planned Dismantling of the Police

Articles, films, and other media items abound about the state and the role of the US Police, both as causes and as effects, in the current riots in the United States. It feels more like watching re-runs, or remaking, or sequels to some particularly violent shows every 10 to 20 years. Each new series is getting more violent, more graphic, and more spectacular than the previous ones.

Those interested in sensational aspects of these events, they could just follow the mainstream media presentations and/or some “independent” news blogs and media outlets. There are garden varieties befitting of most tastes. Those interested in a more analytical and academic aspects of the events, Perspective on Policing, published by the National Institute of Justice and US Department of Justice reports feature interesting articles. “The Evolving Strategy of Policing” by Kelling & Moore,[8] “Evolving Strategy of Policing: Case Studies of Strategic Change”[9] by Kelling & Wycoff, and “The Evolving Strategy of Police: A Minority View”[10] by Williams & Murphy are dated but informative, still relevant, and interesting examples.

For the purpose of this essay though, and to elucidate additional segments of the paragraph-long definition for which we have no words, I will briefly examine dimensions of these events that are not sufficiently discussed either in the sensational news or in the academic and analytical articles named above.

Getting help from the familiar health field, I would like to draw a (simplified) parallel between the structure and function of the police in a society and those of the immune system in a human body. Although the role our immune system plays in fighting invading foreign bodies is often highlighted, its most significant and critical role revolves around identifying, isolating, and destroying and/or repairing, and disposing of body’s own rogue and abnormal cells, cells that acquired genetic aberrations during division, toxic accumulations in tissues, organs, joints, and so on. Majority of these functions happen when we are sleeping at night (granted we have not eaten up to our throat before going to bed), or when the body is in a fasting state (which for many, it has become “almost never”. Losing one’s appetite when ill is a healing mechanism.

In cases of autoimmune disorders like allergies, lupus, Grave’s, Hashimoto, Rheumatoid Arthritis, etc., however, the immune system loses the ability to adequately distinguish the healthy and normal cells from the unhealthy and abnormal cells. This dysfunction manifests itself in different ways. For instance, the immune system cells begin to indiscriminately attack various cells in different organs and places in the body, including the healthy cells. They could also become jittery and over-react and make mess of things. [Just an important side note: the immune system is quite capable of gaining back its ability to distinguish and act properly.]

So, let us suppose similar things happen with the policing system in a society. That is, let us consider that the police system in a society loses the ability to distinguish between the good, the bad, and the ugly. Or that it over-reacts due to having been chronically badly trained, or chronically over stimulated, or chronically under nourished, or many other reasons that weaken this system. An abstract from more than thirty years ago (1988):

“Some people consider police services as inappropriate for privatization, arguing that such services are public goods that only government can practically provide. The work of E. S. Savas and others, however, has persuasively demonstrated that many government services are not public goods or, at least, not pure public goods. Police services, in fact, have been successfully financed, through user fees, and delivered, via contracting, by the private sector. Moreover, there are some surprising examples of fully privatized police services, both financed and delivered privately. The major barriers to police privatization include tradition and attitudes, concern about control and accountability, union opposition, legal restrictions, and the difficulty of encouraging all beneficiaries to finance these services voluntarily, or privately. All of these barriers can be surmounted under certain circumstances. There are even signs that the privatization of police services, especially some milder forms of privatization, is gradually taking place.”[11]

So in fact, in a very systematic and step-by step manner all the above-mentioned chronic factors have occurred in a sustained and deliberate ways for decades. But why would anyone, in his rightful, truthful, and just mind, want to deliberately weaken the immune systems of persons or the police systems of societies?

I cannot think of even one good reason for these to come from a rightful, truthful, and just mind. I can think of many reasons for these to ooze out of an otherwise mind. When the immunity of a human body or the police system of a society is dismantled, then their functions could be, for example, outsourced to pharmaceutical profiteers and private security firms. Replacing immunity and security apparatuses are profitable to a few at the expense of many.

I wonder, in the case of the police, do all those who are demanding to dismantle police departments in their local communities, or anywhere else for that matter, know that they, in their own isolated corners, are performing inter-linked tasks the sum total of which executes a plan, agreed upon decades ago by a crooked few, ta plan that has as its main goal very serious harms to the masses of ordinary people, including the enlisted participants themselves? In a society that its most vulnerable is not protected, no one is protected.

To UnConclude: Would it not be nice to have just one word that says all that?

*<em> “MISSING WORD”</em>noun

a secret or a not-so-secret agreement made between two or more people to enlist and coordinate activities of diverse groups of people and individuals who would each carry out, in disparate cells and compartments, isolated yet inter-linked tasks the sum total of which executes a plan that has as its main goal very serious harms to others or to the enlisted participants themselves.

a secret or a not-so-secret agreement made between two or more people about a plan the components of which are built upon identified vulnerabilities and routine shortcomings of persons, places, and infrastructures in a given society and to the detriment of that society and its members:

  • He was not aware that he was part of a <em> “MISSING WORD”</em> to dismantle the police.
  • Their ignorance and mindless participation helped the enemies of their nation to further their <em> “MISSING WORD”</em> to kill the scientists.

References

[1] Adams D & Lloyd J (1983). “The Meaning of Liff.” Published by Pan Books Ltd. Faber & Faber Limited, London, England. ISBN 0330281216.

[2] Chang CR & Bassman R (2019). “Psychiatric Diagnosis and the Power of Names.” Journal of Humanistic Psychology, doi:10.1177/0022167819852786.

[3] Cambridge Dictionary, “Meaning of Conspiracy in English” Accessed online at: https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/conspiracy

[4] Tasnim News (2013). “From the trials of the accused in the terror of nuclear scientists to the accusations towards the candidates in the election.” TasnimNews, Khordad 6, 1392 @ 17:34. News Code: 64764.

[5] Tasnim News (2019). “Four Billion was paid to those accused in nuclear scientists’ assassinations after a not-guilty verdict.” TasnimNews, Shahrivar 12, 1398 @ 20:24. News Code: 2089952.

[6] An excerpt from Ayatullah Khameni speech to during a visit by the scientific and academic elites on Aban, 6, 1388 [Oct. 28, 2009]. Available online at: https://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-content?id=8292

[7] Hussain Abadian R (2020). “Karbala was the scene of the battle of Truth against Falsehood; Today, the US is the epitome of falsehood.” Mehr News Agency, Shahrivar 8, 1399 @ 13:06. News Code: 5011311

[8] Kelling GL & Moore ML (1988). “The Evolving Strategy of Policing.” Perspective on Policing, A publication of the National Institute of Justice, U.S. Department of Justice, and the Program in Criminal Justice Policy and Management, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. No. 4, November 1988, Pages 1-15.

[9] Kelling GL & Wycoff MA (2002). “Evolving Strategy of Policing: Case Studies of Strategic Change.” US DOJ Report on a Federally-funded grant, Award Number: 95-IJ-CX-0059. Doc. No. 198029, December 2002.

[10] Williams H & Murphy PV (1990). “The Evolving Strategy of Police: A Minority View.” Perspective on Policing, A publication of the National Institute of Justice, U.S. Department of Justice, and the Program in Criminal Justice Policy and Management, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University. No. 13, January 1990, Pages 1-15.

[11] Fixler PE & Poole Jr. RW (1988). “Can Police Services Be Privatized?” The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, Vol. 498; The Private Security Industry: Issues and Trends (July 1988), Pages 108-118, Sage Publications, Inc., DOI: 10.2307/1045386

Between Malek, Shiha, Al-Rahi, and Macron? بين مالك وشيحا والراعي وماكرون؟

By Nasser Kandil

The Patriarch Bishara al-Rahi’s statement that Hizbullah accused him of agency and treachery is most regrettable. Everyone assures that any attempt to learn Hizbullah’s response to the Patriarch’s call for neutrality was met with “No comment.” In her refrain from declaring her opposing perspective to the Patriarch’s stance, Al Mukawama aimed at preventing an interpretation of its position through lenses of sectarian defensiveness, giving lurkers the opportunity of fanning flames, resulting in exchanges of volleys of accusations of agency and treachery.

The invitation is open for the Patriarch to rise above allegations of treachery against him from a Party and a Mukawama, which have a full awareness and appreciation of sensitivities in Lebanon, and who prioritize a diligence about not taking positions, in order to ensure communication respectful of honorifics, including the Bkirki Honorific, and to preserve national unity.

To say that an understanding exists between the Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri and

Al-Sayyed Hassan Nasrullah, to refrain from comments on the Patriarch’s call for neutrality, personally or through their respective party platforms, would not be revealing a secret. In addition, they have both expressed their displeasure towards individual voices and religious, political, and publicity sites which went against their chosen direction.

In view of such diligence and approbation, they would have rightfully expected from Bkirki a reciprocal approach through an invitation for a discussion of her position with all the Lebanese entities, in an effort to promote agreement and harmony, before her declaration. What is occurring today instead, is that the Patriarch’s call transformed into a mudslinging campaign against Al Mukawama and her arms, unjustly relegating to her the responsibilities for and the dire consequences of the multitude of crises Lebanon has been facing.

This declaration provided an opportunity for its exploitation by those lying in wait, through a discourse insinuating that the injurious and demonizing campaign targeting Al Mukawama has gained a solid base through Bkirki’s leadership. The duo’s silence was the utmost they could offer amidst all that, as an expression of care and respect, awaiting reciprocity from the Bkirki Seat, to provide the opportunity for communication about disagreements behind closed doors.

The Patriarch’s call and his speech on the occasion of Lebanon’s Centennial is being presented as a reading about Lebanon’s future and a project for a new contract benefitting from past experiences and present dangers. He refers to a fear that what is meant by a new contract is an invitation to trilateral power sharing, i.e. power sharing on an almost equal basis between Christians, Shias, and Sunnis, rather than current power sharing divided equally between Muslims and Christians in Lebanon. Such expressed fear sounds strange in view of  Speaker Berri’s refusal decades ago of a trilateral power sharing proposal, and Hizbullah’s refusal of  more generous sectarian power-sharing offers as a trade-off for its power which constitutes a major security threat to the Israeli Occupation.

Both parties confirmed and continue to confirm their insistence on the preservation of the position and role of Christians in Lebanon and the region as a fundamental constituency in the Orient, independent of the actual number of Christians in it.  They have repeatedly emphasized the necessity of reassuring this constituent and ensuring all elements of stability for its continued existence. Their belief is that the Orient’s Christians confer an added value to the Orient, and the loss or weakening of this constituent will rob the Orient of its distinctive characteristics.

These two parties who are implied in the “trilateral” accusation have been clear in attaching to every call for the end of sectarianism, another call for a positive Christian partnership which is reassuring to them, on one hand, and provides existential reassurances for Christians, on the other. A discussion is needed among the Lebanese about a new contract on the basic principles held by the duo encapsulated in progress towards a democratic state, unfettered by the federalism of sectarian protectorates, and ensuring guarantees against the transformation of democracy into a tool in the hands of a sectarian majority, shaking the equilibrium between sects or posing an existential threat to them.

The passage of one hundred years on the establishment of the political Lebanon, in the shade of which we stand today, makes it worthwhile to go back to the writings of two great Lebanese Christian thinkers who have had a strong influence on the conceptualization of Lebanon as an entity, and of Lebanese nationalism, and with whom every Christian political speaker affiliates or aligns his or her position with what had been attributed to them. The reference, of course, is to Charles Malek and Michel Chiha, who have drawn the picture for the Lebanese entity and the principles for its political and economic growth, and unequivocally warned of what they considered to be an imminent threat to its being, namely the earth shaking event of the creation of the Occupation State in 1948.

Both Malek and Chiha were terrified for the fate of the Lebanese entity, and called for the Lebanese to be vigilant about a future in an environment of increasing difficulties. They agreed, each from his own perspective, about the dangers associated with that cataclysmic event which made Lebanon a constant target for Zionist expansion, and at risk of structural damage to the culture of coexistence on which it is based. They agreed that this event created nurturing climates for religious prejudices and extremism, which in turn were expected to launch eras of threat to peace between the Lebanese, and geographic locations posing such threats, in the form of consecutive waves.

They stated that the Jewish State, which they described as racist and reliant on the potency of money and power, will constitute an existential threat to a Lebanon weak and helpless by comparison.  They believed that the newly formed entity will pump waves of Palestinian refugees, and as their hopes of return to their homeland became increasingly out of reach, would place at risk the sectarian equilibrium in Lebanon.

Charles Malek, from his position in the United Nations, sent a report in 1949 to Lebanon’s President and Prime Minister in which he went further, pointing out the approach of a Jewish epoch to the area, that Palestine was the mirror for conditions in the Middle East, that the scant influence of the Arabs will result in an increasing “Jewish” influence, and warned against betting on international positions because the West, headed by the Americans, will side with the “Jews.” He stated: “ In every principal conflict between Israeli and Arab interests, America will support  Israeli interests.  I warn strongly against falling blindly into the trap of seductive American construction projects before their full scrutiny and the scrutiny of Jewish connections to them.”  He proposed a countermeasure based on the building up of Arab armies, an Arab renaissance, and a liberation movement led by Lebanon and Syria. He wagered on a role supportive to the Palestinian cause, and aid to Lebanon and the area in the face of the “Jewish” threat, by the Worldwide Catholic Church, led by the Christian Church in the Orient, with Lebanon being its more important base.

Both Malek and Chiha believed, in the first place, that the triad of threats, expansionist, structural, and economic, posed by the Occupation, along with the Palestinian refugee issue, should form an axis for Lebanese policies internally, at the Arab level, and internationally.  Secondly, they pointed to the losing bet on the effectiveness of international interventions without possession of a considerable interest potential and adequate power to enable participation in the big equations, implying that begging for protection from a position of weakness will inevitably result in disappointment. Thirdly, they bet on the leading role of the Church in escalating and reinforcing power resources internally, and moving outward from that position of political, economic, and military strength, to rouse the Worldwide Church, in the hopes of creating a balance protective of Lebanon.  Can anyone say today that the threats no longer exist, or that the effectiveness of the Arab position has increased, or that the laws governing the movement in international relations have changed?

Al Mukawama, capable and competent, liberated and deterred, and became a source of anxiety for the Occupation in regard to its security and existence.  She became one of the manifestations of what Chiha and Malek asked of the Lebanese.  Sage and prudent,

Al Mukawama is the missing link which Bkirki should feel happy to meet halfway, for a complementarity in roles, translated into what should be done for Lebanon’s protection, with differentiation and variation lending strength to positions rather than being problematic. What has come forth instead from Bkirki’s positions only weakens power sources, aborts opportunities for complementarity between politics and power, and whets the appetite of those in wait for the possibility of weakening or isolating Al Mukawama. It fails to attempt seeking guarantees for Lebanon and the Lebanese using the pacification of Al Mukawama as leverage.

The neutrality initiative, even in its “active” form, fails to tell how it will solve the refugee issue in a time of Arab abandonment; how it will protect Lebanon’s economic role in the era of “normalization;” how it will protect Lebanon from the threat of aggression in the times of disintegration of Arab armies; and who will benefit from the weakening of Al Mukawama and from targeting her morale and reputation except lurking Takfeeri Extremism, lying in wait for Lebanon, the Orient, Christians, along with all the other constituents in the area?

Renewal of the Greater Lebanon starts with a dialogue between the Lebanese to form  understandings which address points of defect and invest in power sources.  Bkirki is the first invitee to openness towards Al Mukawama and investment in her sources of power, after Bkirki has clearly seen France coming to acknowledge Al Mukawama as a reality unsusceptible to marginalization or weakening. In making such acknowledgement, France was speaking for herself and on behalf of her allies, whom Bkirki considers as friends and fears Lebanon’s loss of their support.

The French movement confirms that the attention of those friends to Lebanon and lending their aid has come only as a result of the Al Mukawama raising their anxiety about “Israel’s” security and existence. Any reassurance to decrease such anxiety embedded in the  calls for neutrality will only mean that such attention will shift, and any helping hand will be withdrawn and washed from anything related to Lebanon. Perhaps this is the most prominent conclusion Chiha and Malek came to 70 years ago.

بين مالك وشيحا والراعي وماكرون؟

ناصر قنديل

ثوابت يجب عدم نسيانها وأوهام ممنوع السماح بمرورها وتغلغلها في نفوس الناس وعقولهم في النظر للحركة الفرنسيّة التي يقودها الرئيس امانويل ماكرون، حيث يتمّ تمرير كل شيء تحت ضغط الكارثة التي يعيشها اللبنانيون، أولها التوهّم أن فرنسا أم حنون جاءت لتساعد وتسهم في رفع المعاناة عن كاهل اللبنانيين، وثانيها أن إدراك أن السياسة باعتبارها لغة مصالح لا يعني الرفض المطلق لسياسات الآخرين ومصالحهم إذا لم تتعارض مع سياساتنا ومصالحنا، وثالثها أن ما لا يتعارض مع سياساتنا ومصالحنا ويؤسس لنقاط تقاطع لا تجوز إدارته بتساهل واسترخاء لأن المصالح تتراكم وتتغيّر والأطماع لا يردعها إلا حضور الحذر واستحضار القدرة وتحصين القوة. والمشهد اللبناني المقزّز في درجة التهافت أمام الرئيس الفرنسي، وتغيّر المواقف وتبدل الثوابت وتقديم أوراق الاعتماد، أظهر خصال انحطاط ليست حكراً على ما يحلو للبعض وصفه بطبقة سياسية فاسدة، فقد نخر سوس التهافت والانحطاط، صفوف الذين سمّوا أنفسهم ثواراً، والذين قدّموا أنفسهم بدائل، والنخب والكتاب والفنانين، ومن له مصلحة ومن ليس له مصلحة، إلا قلة رفيعة الشأن كبيرة النفس شامخة الأنف، لا عارضت علناً وقدمت الولاء سراً، ولا قاطعت، ولا سوّقت، ولا تهافتت، حالها كحال فيروز التي بقيت تشبه أرز لبنان يحتاجها ماكرون ولا تحتاجه، وتقاطع المصالح يعني لها النديّة، وليس الذل والاسترهان، ولا الزحف والبكاء، والبكاء السياسي والإعلامي، ليس بكاء وجع الناس المفهوم، وبقيت هذه القلة تحفظ سرّ المقام والدور والمسؤوليّة، فشارك بعضها بجدية ومسؤولية واحترام وندية، ولكنه لم يمنع نفسه من متعة التفرج على “الزحفطة” السياسية والإعلامية والاقتصادية و”الثورية” و”المدنية” وغير المدنية”، ولم يكن بعضها موجوداً فتابع عن بُعد وهو يجمع السخرية والألم من درجة هبوط وانحطاط مشهد، هو بالنهاية مشهد وطن لا يفرح محبّوه برؤيته على هذه الحال.

توضح زيارة امانويل ماكرون للعراق وتصريحات وزير الخارجية الأميركية مايك بومبيو، أن الحركة الفرنسيّة محميّة أميركياً، ولا تحظى فقط بالتغطية، بل هي جزء من سياسة أميركية بالوكالة، حيث تحتفظ واشنطن بالخطاب الدعائي ضد إيران والمقاومة، وتتولى فرنسا تبريد جبهات المشرق الملتهبة، بينما تتفرّغ واشنطن لتزخيم حفلات التطبيع العربي “الإسرائيلي” في الخليج، فماكرون المتحمّس لمرفأ بيروت بدا متحمساً لمشروع مترو بغداد، بينما كان الأردن والعراق ومصر يبشرون بمشروع “الشام الجديد” الذي يلاقي نتائج التطبيع الإماراتيّ الإسرائيليّ، بربط العراق عبر الأردن الذي يقيم معاهدة سلام مع كيان الاحتلال، بمرفأ حيفا، أسوة بالإمارات، في زمن خروج مرفأ بيروت من الخدمة، ولا يُخفى أن المشروع الذي قام أصلاً وفقاً لدراسة للبنك الدولي على ضم سورية ولبنان وفلسطين على المشروع قد اعتبر تركيا جزءاً منه، وقد أسقطت سورية ولبنان وفلسطين، واستبعدت تركيا حكماً، وفي زمن التغوّل التركي ورعاية أنقرة للإرهاب وتطبيعها مع الكيان لا اسف على الاستبعاد، وبمثل ما رحبت بالشام الجديد واشنطن وتل أبيب، هرول الرئيس الفرنسي مرحباً باستبعاد تركيا، على قاعدة تناغم مصري فرنسي سيظهر أكثر وأكثر، من ليبيا إلى لبنان، وصولاً للعراق، بحيث تقوم فرنسا بالإمساك بلبنان عن السقوط و”خربطة الحسابات” بانتظار، تبلور المشروع الذي يريد ضم سورية ولبنان معاً في فترة لاحقة، بعد إضعاف قدرتهما التفاوضيّة وعزلهما عن العراق، والمقصود بالقدرة التفاوضيّة حكماً قوى المقاومة وتهديدها لأمن الكيان، وهذا هو معنى التذكير الأميركي بأن المشكلة هي في حزب الله وصواريخه الدقيقة، كما يؤكد بومبيو.

لا مشكلة لدى قوى المقاومة بالمرحلة الانتقالية التي يتمّ خلالها انتشال لبنان من قعر السقوط، ليس حباً ولا منّة ولا مكرمة من أحد، بل خشية انفجار كبير يحول التهديد الإفتراضي للكيان إلى تهديد واقعي، ويأتي بالصين على سكة حديد بغداد دمشق بيروت، هي السكة التي يريدها ماكرون لفرنسا، لكن بعد التفاوض، بحيث تحفظ حدود سايكس بيكو، لكن يتغيّر مضمون التفويض بنقل الوكالة في حوض المتوسط إلى فرنسا، التي منعت من العراق والأردن قبل قرن، لحساب بريطانيا، المتفرّجة اليوم إلى حين. وهذا يكفي للقول إنه بعد فشل الرهان “الإسرائيلي” على نظرية معركة بين حربين كادت تفجّر حرباً، جاءت فرنسا بمشروع تسوية بين حربين، عساها تجعل الحرب الثانية اقتصادية، هدفها إبعاد الصين عن المتوسط، وإبعاد صواريخ المقاومة الدقيقة عن رقبة الإسرائيليين، والمقاومة المدركة للتحديات والاستحقاقات، تعرف ما بين أيديها كما تتقن ذكاء التوقيت.

لا شام جديد بدون الشام الأصلي والقديم، حقيقة يجب أن ينتبه لها ماكرون قبل أن يرتكب الأخطاء القاتلة، فلا ينسى أن التذاكي لا يحل المشكلات الأصلية، وأن روسيا لا تكتفي بالكلمات طويلاً، وأن بريطانيا لا تطيل النوم بعد الظهر.

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DUMMY SOLDIERS AND ABANDONED BATTLE TANKS: ISRAEL PREPARES FOR WAR WITH HEZBOLLAH

SouthFront

Dummy Soldiers And Abandoned Battle Tanks: Israel Prepares For War With  Hezbollah
Video

Hikers in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights found at least 5 armed and unguarded Merkava Mk. IV battle tanks.

The doors of the battle tanks were open with equipment and munitions left completely unguarded inside. The incident took place amid the growing tensions between Hezbollah and the Israeli Defense Forces in both the Golan Heights area and along the Israeli-Lebanese contact line.

During the past weeks, the Israeli military was actively deploying troops and equipment to reinforce their positions in these areas. It is highly likely that the abandoned battle tanks were a part of these reinforcements. So, if Israeli sources do not know how to explain this failure, they can easily blame Hezbollah.

Indeed, Israel is already taking steps to do this. On August 29, the Lebanese group’s Central Media released a video of the incident that took place about a week ago. The video showed a dummy soldier moving amid a cloud of thick smoke on the Israeli-Lebanese separation line. Two Merkava IV battle tanks of the IDF were guarding the “robot soldier.” The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) often use such “dummy targets” in an attempt to trick Hezbollah in times of tensions.

On August 26, IDF aircraft carried out several airstrikes on what it called “observation posts” of Hezbollah near the contact line in southern Lebanon. The IDF said the strikes were a response to a security incident, in which shots were fired at an Israeli force operating near the town of al-Manar. The incident, which took place at 22:40 on August 25, resulted in no casualties, according to the IDF’s statement.

“The IDF considers the Lebanese government responsible for what happens from its territory,” Lt. Col. Avichay Adraee, a spokesman for the IDF, said, adding: “We view the incident with extreme seriousness, like every attempt to violate the sovereignty of the State of Israel, and our forces will remain in a state of great readiness to preserve the sovereignty of Israel and the security of the population as needed.”

Thus, the IDF reinforced its threats to carry out strikes on Lebanon in response to any attack or provocation from this direction. Apparently, the IDF sees the possible strikes on “dummy soldiers” intentionally put in danger areas on the contact line with Lebanon as one of such attacks. Lebanese sources claim that the IDF is intentionally seeking a pretext for military actions against Lebanon.

Meanwhile, Secretary-General of Hezbollah Hassan Nasrallah vowed that Hezbollah will kill an Israeli soldier every time the Israeli military kills one of his group’s fighters. The Lebanese leader made the new threat in a televised speech commemorating the 10th of Muharram, a holy Islamic day highly admired by Shiites, on August 30. The Hezbollah-Israeli tensions seem to be ready to explode with an open military confrontation at any moment.

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The process for naming Mostafa Adib as PM carries great weight: Lebanese analyst

By Mohamamd mazhari

September 1, 2020 – 23:58

TEHRAN – Faysal Abdelsater, a Lebanese analyst, is of the opinion that the steps for naming Mostafa Adib as a man who will head the Lebanese government carries an important message as “it has the endorsement of considerable majority in the Lebanese parliament.”

On August 31, the Future Movement, Hezbollah, Amal Movement, and the Free Patriotic Movement, as well as Progressive Socialist Party in Lebanon, all agreed to name Mustafa Adib as the next prime minister of Lebanon, succeeding Hassan Diab. 

Adib, the former Lebanese ambassador to Germany, holds a doctorate in political science, and he worked as director of the office of former Lebanese Prime Minister Najib Mikati.

Adib, who was tasked on Monday to form a new government, is an unknown figure among the Lebanese, facing an almost impossible task of bringing about political change and making urgent reforms to save the country from an unprecedented crisis.

Abdelsater tells the Tehran Times that even though the prime-minister designate enjoys a strong support by the political factions in the parliament, “we are not going through a structural or fundamental change in Lebanese politics.” 

This is the text of the interview:

Q: What are the latest developments regarding the naming of a new prime minister in Lebanon?

A: Of course, the Lebanese were able to conduct binding parliamentary consultations that were held in Baabda Palace ( the official residence of the president of Lebanon), and the legislators from rival blocs proposed the name of the person they wanted to head the upcoming Lebanese government in order to send it to President Michel Aoun. 

Therefore, the prime minister-designate, Ambassador Dr. Mustafa Adib, won ninety votes out of 128 votes in the Parliament, while just a few voices went to the former Lebanese ambassador to the United Nations, Nawaf Salam, who was named by the Lebanese Forces bloc headed by Samir Geagea. 

In any case, this result carry important implications as it has the endorsement of a considerable majority in the Lebanese Parliament. According to the prime minister-designate, what is important now is that things should be translated into action and not remain just as promises.

The Lebanese are eager to get out of the problems that they are facing at all levels, especially in the economic and financial ones.

Q: Do you see a strong consensus between Lebanon’s main political currents on naming the next head of government?

A: Of course, this consensus would not have been possible, and the result would not have emerged today if there were not proactive consultations and initiatives undertaken by French President Emmanuel Macron. 

According to some reports, Macron established a series of contacts, perhaps with certain countries in the European Union and even Iran. So, this designation did not come out of anywhere but rather was the result of France’s open consultations and collaborations with the Lebanese parties.

Q: Don’t you think that the next government will be like the Hassan Diab government, who resigned after the Beirut blast on August 4?

A: No. The situation seems different because the former Prime Minister Hassan Diab did not enjoy Sunni support for his government, as Lebanese Sunni leaders such as Saad Hariri and the rest of the other figures who have the popular weight in the Sunni community did not support Hassan Diab. 

Therefore, the matter is different here because the size of the consensus that Ambassador Dr. Mustafa Adib could gain must be translated into the cooperation and support of all parties. They should not be satisfied with naming the prime minister without addressing his chances of forming the government as soon as possible. The government must be consistent and able to provide the required solutions to contain the harsh conditions the Lebanese people are experiencing.

Q: Could you talk more about the French role in naming Mustafa Adib?

A: According to my information, France had a pivotal role in naming Adib, and it was the one who chose this name and recommended it to the Lebanese parties to be studied in Parliament. This is the joint cooperation that took place as a result of the French initiative after President Macron’s visit to Lebanon following the August 4 explosion in Beirut port.

Q: Is it acceptable for another country to get involved in naming the prime minister of Lebanon?

A: Unfortunately, our experiences have shown that small countries like Lebanon are forming their governments, and choosing their prime ministers are subject to well-known foreign interference. Throughout the Syrian presence in Lebanon, Syria had the final say. Before that, Egypt had a role in this regard, then Saudi Arabia began to intervene in Lebanon, and also Iran is a key player in the Lebanese political scene. 

Altogether, the issue is not about who moves and takes the initiative, and perhaps this matter is not acceptable to some countries, but people have become accustomed to it in Lebanon. I do not think that it makes a problem as long as the issue remains in a Lebanese framework.

Q: What are the repercussions and implications of the Beirut blast for Lebanon’s political future?

A:The Beirut port explosion on August 4 may have been a disaster that no one expected in Lebanon, and until now, investigations have not produced anything about this issue.

The constant propaganda by some Lebanese and Arab media outlets still wants to convey this idea that this explosion would not have happened if there were no missiles and weapons of Hezbollah inside the port, and this is what the Secretary-General of Hezbollah, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, has repeatedly denied. But, some mercenaries in the media insist on such lies.

Of course, the great disaster that occurred in Beirut port requires concerted efforts at all levels to restore the confidence and vitality of the country, and this also needs international and regional support from all countries that want to stand by Lebanon.

 So far, we have only seen food aid and some medical aid, but this is not enough to change the catastrophic reality in Lebanon. What is required is transparent international support at financial level and reconstruction in the affected areas. 

The most important demands are to stop the U.S. sanctions that have been harmful to many sectors inside Lebanon. This process affects the nature of economic trends at the political level in Lebanon; therefore, this is completely unacceptable.

Q: Do you expect fundamental changes in Lebanon’s political structure?

A: I do not think that this is the time when we talk about such a matter, especially since the people have been greatly affected by the Coronavirus pandemic, and there are great disputes that prevented forming a consensus of visions in Lebanon, but there are still attempts to have some reforms if they are suggested through the framework of the constitution. Disseminating slogans and making speeches may not be helpful at this time.

 Therefore, we are not going through a structural or fundamental change in Lebanese politics. Rather, we are facing a different scene and perhaps certain changes, but there will be no essential change in the foreseeable future.

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“Israelis” Await Hezbollah’s Response in the North

“Israelis” Await Hezbollah’s Response in the North

Translated by Staff

Tal Lev-Ram, a correspondent for “Israel’s” Maariv newspaper, is forecasting a tense and heated phase for the “Israeli” military along the norther frontier in the near future. The outlook comes despite the “relative calm” on the ground and civilian life carrying on as normal.

The reporter examined recent statements by Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah regarding the open account with the enemy – the party will continue to collect from the “Israeli” army. He said that this did not surprise the “Israeli” security establishment.

Lev-Ram pointed out that the assessment confirms that Sayyed Nasrallah’s objective is a limited operation aimed at killing an “Israeli” soldier in response to the killing of a Hezbollah member in an attack attributed to “Israel” in Syria about a month ago.

He added that there are those in the occupation army who don’t believe that the high level of tension that may last for a long time warrants imposing restrictions on civilian routines in the north, whether on the settlers living in the region or on visitors to the occupied Galilee and Golan.

According to the reporter, the assessment of the occupation army “indicates that Hezbollah will continue its attempts to carry out an operation along the border, as it tried the last two times using precise tools and snipers so that the operation does not get out of control.” 

“Nevertheless, the army takes into account the possibility of an anti-armor missile being launched by Hezbollah at its forces, and that is why its officials on the ground strictly prevent and limit entry to threatened areas in Lebanon and avoid committing tactical mistakes in the area where Hezbollah continues to search for a target.”

In light of the tense situation in the region and Hezbollah’s assertion that it will continue attempting to carry out an operation against “Israeli” forces, the state of high alert may  spill over into the Jewish holiday season, which starts on September 18 and continues until the end of the month and includes the Jewish New Year and the Day of Atonement.

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In Their Eyes: Sayyed Nasrallah, The Serious, Determined and Intelligent Enemy

In Their Eyes: Sayyed Nasrallah, The Serious, Determined and Intelligent Enemy
Click here for Full Speech

Hebrew Media, Translated By Staff

The ‘Israeli’ media system was very keen to comment on Hezbollah Secretary General His Eminence Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s speech on the tenth of Muharram.

As the ‘Israeli’ occupation entity has been alarmed and on alert since a month ago, Sayyed Nasrallah masters the skills of the psychological warfare that is damaging the Zionists more than any other military action.

To begin with, Mandy Orzel of the ‘Israeli’ Radio of the South said: Nasrallah is an intelligent person. He saw the massive destruction caused by the Beirut port explosion and heard “Israel’s” threats to destroy the infrastructure in Lebanon, but he wasn’t afraid. He said a little while back: “We will kill one of your soldiers.” This proves that he believes that “Israel” will not respond violently and will not cross the line for the sake of one soldier – this is very sad.

For its part, ‘Israeli’ Channel 13 stressed that the Zionist entity takes Nasrallah’s words very seriously. Hezbollah from now on will work to turn the northern border into an active front line, it added.

Or Heller, the channel’s military correspondent also said that Nasrallah’s statements match the assessment of General Amir Baram, the head of the Northern Command, which notes that Hezbollah will not give up on a retaliatory attack and is looking to kill an “Israeli” soldier on the border fence.

Relatively, “Israel Hayom” newspaper cited “Israeli” Reserve Brigadier general, Shimon Shapira, the former military secretary of “Israeli” PM Benjamin Netanyahu as saying: “I estimate that Nasrallah is determined to maintain the “balance equation” against “Israel” despite the absence of response till now.”

Hezbollah is determined to continue trying to attack “Israeli” military targets near the border, Shapira added.

In the same context, “Israel’s” Kan channel’s Roi Sharon wrote regarding Sayyed Nasrallah’s threat: “The “Israeli” army will remain on high alert for a long period of time.”

Nasrallah insisted on his equation “one for one” and would not accept anything less, and this is contrary to what they believed in “Israel” from the beginning, Sharon added.

“Nasrallah is not looking for a ladder to get off the tree, he wants to kill a soldier, so tension will remain high in the north in the near future as well.”

Meanwhile, Roi Kais, Kan’s commentator on Arab affairs underscored that Hezbollah is drawing a new equation today on the borders in light of the “Israeli” fear of a new operation.

As for ‘Israeli’ Channel 12, the “Israeli” army will remain ready in the north whenever the situation requires so, because there is no intention that Hezbollah is to retreat.

The channel’s military commentator, Ronnie Daniel said Nasrallah wants revenge and a point on the line.

I am not a big fan of the dummies and robots that are placed on the borders. This seems to me childish and inappropriate, he said mocking the latest embarrassing ‘Israeli’ practices along the Lebanese-Palestinian border.

إعلام إسرائيلي: كلام السيد حسن “ليس تهديدات فارغة”

الميادين نت

المصدر: وسائل إعلام إسرائيلية 30 اب 22:39

وسائل إعلام إسرائيلية: الجهوزية على طول الحدود الشمالية ستستمر وسترافقنا فترة طويلة

وسائل إعلام إسرائيلية تحذر من أن الحزب من الآن وصاعداً سيعل على تحويل الحدود الشمالية إلى خط مواجهة فاعل، وتشدد على أن السيد حسن يرسم معادلة جديدة في الحدود الشمالية “واحد مقابل واحد”.

قالت “القناة 13” الإسرائيلية إن “إسرائيل” تتعامل مع كلام الأمين العام لحزب الله السيد حسن نصر الله بمنتهى الجدية، “فهي ليست تهديدات فارغة”.

وأشارت إلى أن حزب الله من الآن وصاعداً “سيعمل على تحويل الحدود الشمالية إلى خط مواجهة فاعل”، موضحة أنه بعد الانفجار في بيروت، كان هناك شعور في “إسرائيل”، وربما “أمل” أن “توجه النار نحو حزب الله ويفرض عليه هذا الانفجار الفظيع “.

وأضافت القناة الإسرائيلية، “لكن ما حدث هو العكس، بعد تبدد دخان الانفجار تبين أن حزب الله هو القوة العسكرية والسياسية الأهم في لبنان”، مشددة على أن السيد نصر الله “وفياً للمعادلات”، وينوي العمل ضد جنود الجيش الإسرائيلي، و”جباية الثمن الذي هو ملتزم به”.

وكشفت أنه لذلك فإن الجيش الإسرائيلي يدرك أن “الجهوزية على طول الحدود الشمالية ستستمر وسترافقنا فترة طويلة”، منوهة إلى أن “الحدود الشمالية ستتغير، وحزب الله يريد أن يعيدها أن تكون خط مواجهة فاعل وهذا ما سيرافقنا من الآن وصاعداً”. 

وتطرقت “القناة 13” الإسرائيلية إلى أن السيد نصر الله يواصل إبقاء “إسرائيل” بحالة استنفار، وقالت إن “مَن اعتقد أن الانفجار في لبنان والوضع الصعب فيه سيؤثر على قرارات نصر الله”، فقد جاء هذا “الخطاب الهجومي” بمناسبة يوم عاشوراء، وفيه “تعهد واضح” بالانتقام من” إسرائيل على قتل عنصر من حزب الله في الشهر الماضي بسوريا”.

وأوضحت أن “الجهوزية والحذر الذي ينتهجه الجيش في الشمال ستستمر في الأسابيع القادمة، لأن الإدراك في إسرائيل هو أن حزب الله ما زال معني باستهداف جنود، رغم الوضع الاقتصادي الصعب في لبنان ورغم الكورونا”.   

من جهتها، قالت قناة “كان” إن السيد نصر الله، يزيل من جدول الأعمال اليومي إمكانية تراجع حزب الله عن نيته “الانتقام”، مشيرة إلى أن “السيد ملتزم بالمعادلة التي تقول قتل جندي إسرائيلي مقابل عنصر حزب الله الذي استشهد في سوريا”.

وأشارت إلى أن السيد نصر الله مصر على معادلة “واحد مقابل واحد”، ولن يقبل بأقل من ذلك، منوهة إلى أن هذا خلافاً لما اعتقدوا في “إسرائيل” ببداية الطريق، وهو “لا يبحث عن سلم للنزول عن الشجرة، هو يريد قتل جندي”.

وأوضحت القناة الإسرائيلية، أنه لذلك، فإن “التوتر سيبقى عالياً في الشمال في المستقبل القريب أيضاً”، لافتة إلى أنه “من ناحية المؤسسة الأمنية، يوجد 3 أهداف في الاستراتيجية الخاصة بالساحة الشمالية: منع التمركز الإيراني في سوريا ومنع تمركز حزب الله في الجولان، ومنع حزب الله من التسلح بصواريخ دقيقة”.

وأضافت “لكن بشأن التمركز الإيراني في سوريا منذ شهر ونصف، لا يوجد تقارير أن إسرائيل تهاجم في سوريا، غير مؤكد أن هذا يدلل على شيء، لكن هذه حقيقة يجب الانتباه إليها”.

بدورها، “القناة 12 الإسرائيلية” أكدت أن الجيش الإسرائيلي “سيبقى على جهوزية في الشمال كلما تطلب الأمر ذلك لأنه لا يوجد نية لدى حزب الله للتراجع”.

وفي وقت سابق اليوم، قال السيد نصر الله إنه “على الصهيوني أن يفهم أنه عندما يقتل أحد مجاهدينا سنقتل أحد جنوده”، مؤكداً أنّ الهدف من الرد على الاحتلال هو “تثبيت معادلة بأن الرد على قتل أحد مجاهدينا بقتل جندي إسرائيلي في المقابل”.

وعرضت الميادين يوم أمس مشاهد للإعلام الحربي تظهر تعمد جيش الاحتلال الإسرائيلي تقديم هدف آلي عند الحدود مع لبنان لاستدراج المقاومة إلى فخ وهمي، في خطوة أتت فيما يتواصل التأهب الإسرائيلي منذ أكثر من شهر تحسباً لرد المقاومة على اغتيال الشهيد علي كامل محسن في الغارة الإسرائيلية على سوريا.

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Hezbollah vs Israel 2006: Who has upper hand 14 years on?

Hezbollah vs Israel 2006: Who has upper hand 14 years on?

Original links:
Part 1: http://middleeastobserver.net/hezbollah-vs-israel-2006-who-has-upper-hand-14-years-on-pt-1/
Part 2: http://middleeastobserver.net/hezbollah-vs-israel-2006-who-has-upper-hand-14-years-on-pt-2/

Description:

Senior Lebanese political analyst Nasser Qandil explores what has changed between Hezbollah and Israel over the last 14 years since the ‘July War’ or ‘The Second Lebanon War’ in 2006.

After tracing the major changes and transformations in the military balance of power between the two sides over the last 14 years, Qandil then explores the current challenges facing Hezbollah inside Lebanon, particularly regarding the deepening economic and political crises in the country.

Note: we have added our own sub-headings in the below transcript to make for easier reading

Source: Al Mayadeen News

Date:  July 12, 2020

(Important Note: Please help us keep producing independent translations for you by contributing as little as $1/month here: https://www.patreon.com/MiddleEastObserver?fan_landing=true)

Transcript:

Hezbollah 14 years on from the July War

Nasser Qandil:

Actually, regarding (Hezbollah’s) achievement of liberation (in the year 2000) free from any conditions or negotiations, any analyst can figure out that after the year 2000, the region was involved in a race between the Resistance and (Israeli) Army of occupation in which both (sides) tried to reinforce the reality that they wanted to reflect on May 24, 2000 (i.e. just before the liberation).

Israel wanted to say that it has positioned itself on the borders with the purpose of protecting the interior (of Israel); that the era of (the war of) attrition has ended; and that it is moving into a stage where it is able to direct (its) deterrent capacity at will. In contrast, the Resistance wanted to say that Israel has humiliatingly and forcefully withdrawn (from Lebanon); and that this withdrawal is not only the beginning of a countdown of the (Israeli) entity’s capacity to hold onto (occupied) land, but also (its capacity) to go to any (new) war again as well.

Israel’s withdrawal from Gaza in 2005 and the Al Aqsa Uprising (“Al Aqsa Intifada”) certified what the Resistance was saying. (Israel’s) 2006 war on Lebanon was the contest that had to settle the previous contests and the (side) who wins this round, cements what it has said. Israel has worked on a plan, theory, mechanisms and appraisals, that is, it didn’t go haphazardly to war (in 2006). In short, Israel counted on “air warfare” theory and put it into practice the (2006) war. However, the Resistance was aware of that, so it opted to strengthen its power on land, in order to cancel out the theory of air warfare, and to bring the enemy to the land to fight, engage in (battles) of attrition, and (ultimately) defeat it.

The Resistance was the victor. This was the outcome (of the war), because when we talk about ‘victory’ we are not referring to the historic and final defeat. Rather, we are just discussing this war (in 2006) in which the Resistance achieved victory and Israel was defeated again. As in the Lebanon war of the year 2000, or (more accurately) as reflected by the liberation in the (year) 2000, Israel lost its first pillar, that is, its ability to occupy (Lebanon) and remain in it. It also lost its second pillar in the 2006 war, which is its ability to wage war and achieve the goals (that it sets) as it wills.

After the 2006 war, the issue (between both sides) persisted. They entered a totally new and different race. The entity of the (Israeli) occupation is fighting to restore its honor and rehabilitate its image, whereas the Resistance is fighting the battle of becoming a regional power able to make the deterrence weapon (itself as) the policymaker. Since the year 2006, America put its weight behind (Israel’s goals) since Israel is not able to survive any longer without American protection and support. America went to Iraq after realizing that Israel superiority is (gradually) being eroded, and that it is important to rehabilitate its power and control through the American military presence to compensate for the deficiency in Israel’s ability that came about after Lebanon’s liberation in the year 2000 and the Al Aqsa intifada.

Host:

We all remember Condoleezza Rice and the ‘New Middle East Project’.

Nasser Qandil:

Exactly, and this was at the heart of the 2006 war. However, before this (war), America went to Iraq in order to redress the imbalance occurred after Lebanon’s liberation in 2000 and the Al Aqsa intifada, but they failed. The “July War” (2006) came as a second rehabilitation supported by American pressure, calculations and backing. It was a new failure that was added to the accumulated record of failures.

The only available alternative (choice) then was going to a great war, i.e. to topple Syria. This was like Armageddon. Nevertheless, other different battles, the Yemen war and the battle over the future of Iraq, occurred alongside the war (in Syria). They were no less important than the (war in Syria). Today, 14 years after the July War (in 2006), we can talk about facts and not about general trends only. The resistance (movements) transformed from being a resistance force into an Axis of Resistance. This becomes a fact; it is not just words. Today, when his eminence Sayyed (Hassan Nasrallah) speaks and says “I will kill you” – we’ll discuss this later – this (statement) reflects the (powerful reality) of the Axis of Resistance, from Beirut, to Palestine, to Iraq, to Yemen, to Iran and to Syria. This is the first major transformation that occurred between the years 2006 to 2020 during the heat of the several wars that raged over the map of the region.

The second (major transformation during these years): the ‘missile belt’ is now able to strike – from any point (within the Axis of Resistance) – any target in occupied Palestine (i.e. Israel). This means that as the resistance in Palestine is able to target all (areas of Israel) north of Gaza, the resistance in south Lebanon can target the entire (area of Israel) south (of Lebanon); the resistance from Iraq is even able to reach the (Mediterranean) sea; the resistance in Yemen can cover the whole territory of Palestine; and that’s besides (the missiles capabilities of) Syria and Iran.

The Host:

The entire Israeli intelligence efforts have lately been centered on the missile capabilities of the resistance.

Nasser Qandil:

This ‘(missile) belt’ has been completed; it is not a subject of discussion anymore.

The third (major) development is the entrance of the drones (UAVs).  The use of this weapon is not restricted to the Lebanese front line. Israel has evidence that confirms that. How many times were drones sent by the resistance from Lebanon? How many times were the Israelis lost because they failed to track the drones sent from Gaza? (Further evidence lies in) the drones in Yemen, and the achievement of the Aramco attack (in Saudi Arabia) that the godfather of the Dimona (Israeli nuclear program) and Thomas Friedman wrote about it an important article in the New York Times. The article states that what happened in Aramco (can be) repeated on all American military bases in the Middle East, and can be repeated (in a strike) on Dimona. Moreover, one of the Israeli generals quoted by Thomas Friedman during a telephone conversation says that it seems that we must now relinquish the status of being the number one technicians in the Middle East, (and cede that status) to Hezbollah and its allies, and (we ought to) call upon our people to carry hand rifles  in any coming wars in which drones are used.  Henceforth, the third factor is the drones.

The fourth (major) new factor is the precision-guided missiles which formed the center of the struggle during the last two or three years of the Syrian war. The Israeli (air) raids which initially aimed at stopping the supply of weapons to the resistance (from Syria to Lebanon) turned into a specific goal (during these years) which became ‘preventing the resistance from the possibility of transforming their missiles into precision-guided ones’. Today, the Israelis speak about precision-guided missile factories and this signifies that they have surrendered to this fact.

The last issue we are ignorant of was revealed by the video published (recently) by (Hezbollah’s) military media which says “Mission accomplished”. Certainly, it is not referring to the precision-guided missiles because his eminence Sayyed (Hassan Nasrallah) has already announced clearly and publicly that ‘yes, we have enough precision-guided missiles to hit any vital Israeli military installation in occupied Palestine’.  But we still don’t know what is meant by “Mission accomplished”. This will stay one of the resistance’s surprises in the coming wars.

Israel 14 years on from the July War

Nasser Qandil:

What have Israel and America achieved in return? Their situation now is similar to that in the July War (2006); they go to war today on one foot only. It was the air force in (the) July (War) that they relied upon, and it is the financial sanctions (that they rely upon) today. Did the Resistance succeed in breaking this foot?  I say “Yes, and we will expand on this discussion later.

Host:

We will continue discussing why the resistance succeeded…

Nasser Qandil:

In the first section we talked about the progress achieved by the resistance (Hezbollah) from 2006 to 2020. Israel also worked (on building its power) during these 14 years. Let u see what it did.

Host: …and of course (Israel) was given a green light by the US.

Nasser Qandil:

First of all, Israel focused on the home front. Its main aim was not to draw up a plan to seize the initiative, but to face the fallout of the July War. The resistance (Hezbollah) has risen higher and higher in its level of readiness, its networking capabilities (i.e. greater integration of the Resistance Axis across the region), and its ability to wage war. Meanwhile, what did the (Israeli) entity do?

(First), the Iron Dome that (Israel) was preparing (in order to intercept) Katyusha missiles is now threatened by precision-guided missiles and drones. (The Israelis) went back to saying that they will shoot down missiles with hunting rifles!

(Second), the (Israeli) home front has further collapsed, and now in the time of Corona, it is even worse.

Third, political fragmentation, which is one of the repercussions of the July War. Since the July War, the (Israeli) entity has been mired in its inability to reestablish a historical (political) bloc capable of leading the entity politically. This fragmentation reached its peak with three (consecutive) repeats of the election.

The last point that (Israel) has discovered (over the last 14 years) is that there is no solution to is broken spirit, because we are not only talking about equipment, armies, weapons and logistical plans, we are talking about human beings, about their mental condition. The resistance (Hezbollah) is now becoming more and more confident that it can bring down the (Israeli) entity. When his eminence Sayyed (Nasrallah) comes out and says in one of his recent appearances that there is a real possibility that the (Israeli) entity will collapse without war, and that this generation is going to witness the liberation of Jerusalem…On the other hand, we find the (Israeli) entity in a state of frustration. No matter how many (Israeli) generals say “We will win. Victory is ours in the coming war. We are waiting for the right opportunity to wage war”…what are you (Israelis) waiting for? You and the Americans said: “Time is not in our favor. Yesterday’s war is better than a war today, and a war today is better than a war tomorrow.”

Host:

Who is going to achieve Israel’s goals today? Who is the principal agent? The US? Because, as you said in one of your articles, Sayyed Nasrallah’s recent speech on 7/7/2020, presents the most vivid example of the (resistance’s) ability to defeat the Israeli occupation and American hegemony. But how is he (Nasrallah) able today to combine this (military) resistance with economic resistance?

The third pillar of the Resistance: economic reconstruction

Nasser Qandil:

What I want to get to is that in one of his appearances, his eminence Sayyed Nasrallah cut to the chase and said: “The resistance (Hezbollah) has already overtaken Israel. Israel is still standing thanks to US protection.” In 1996, the Resistance discovered – and this was the secret behind the liberation in the year 2000 – that the Israelis remained (in Lebanon) because they were under the illusion that the border buffer zone (that Israel established within Lebanese territory) protects the (Israeli) entity from the missiles of the resistance. So if (Israel) realizes that the border (buffer zone) is pointless and that the entity will be targeted no matter what, it will withdraw. And this is what happened (in the year 2000).

Today, his eminence Sayyed (Nasrallah) tells us that the resistance is certain that the (Israeli) entity continues to survive only because of the American presence (in the region), and that the decisive battle with the entity is a battle to expel the Americans from the region.

Whoever analyses the (American) sanctions and the logic behind them will discover that they are not aimed at escalating the situation such that it provokes a full-scale confrontation. This is nothing but propaganda. In fact, these sanctions have direct political goals. I mean, (Lebanese) parties affiliated to the US (in Lebanon) are proposing (very high demands such as) the disarmament (of Hezbollah) and the implementation of Resolution 1559 because this is the American approach. Just as they (Americans) did in 1983 with (Lebanese) President Amine Gemayel when they told him that they were (about to attack) Syria at the same time in which they were engaged in negotiations with (Syria). Two months later, McFarlane) the special US envoy to the Middle East) was asked: “why did you back out (of the attack)? You would have put (Gemayel) in big trouble.” McFarlane answered: “if we told (Gemayel) that we were (negotiating) with Damascus, he would have beat us to it. We trick our allies to make them think that we are escalating for the sake of imposing stronger terms in the negotiations.”

What do Americans want from the Caesar Act? Why are the Americans putting pressure on Lebanon, blocking access to US dollars in the (Lebanese) market, preventing the transfer of dollars to the country, and closing lines of credit – via the Central Bank of Lebanon’s accounts -for the purchase of fuel? What do they want? The Americans are not hiding (their intentions). They told us what they want. James Jeffrey (US Special Representative for Syria Engagement) told us. Why the Caesar Act? He said in the live appearance he made in which he spoke about the Act. He said ‘we wish to go back to (the balance of power) that existed before 2011. What does he mean by “before 2011”? He means the time when “we (Americans) will acknowledge the victory of President Assad. We were not present (in Syria before 2011), but Hezbollah and Iran were not there either. We leave (Syria), but (Hezbollah and Iran must) leave too.”

So he (Jeffrey) wants to ensure the security of the (Israeli) occupying entity in southern Syria by hinting at sanctions against Russia as the main target of the Caesar Act. Syria will be hit by sanctions anyway and Iran is drowning in a sea of sanctions. Therefore, these sanctions are actually against Russia. The Caesar Act was introduced originally at the beginning of 2016 in order to reach a compromise with Russia in relation to the battle in Aleppo. However, (the Caesar Act) now aims at reaching an agreement with Russia over the terms of the withdrawal of US forces from Syria and is not aimed at (prolonging) their stay.

Second, regarding Lebanon, David Schenker (US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs) publicly appeared on TV and said that Hezbollah is involved in ‘corruption, smuggling, money laundering, causing devastation, and that it is the cause of the crisis (in Lebanon)’ etc. Give it to me directly (Schenker), what do you want? He (Schenker) told us directly that “you are suffering greatly (due to the economic crisis). You have promising gas reserves in the (Mediterranean) sea, but they are in a region that is the subject of a dispute with Israel. We (the US) presented you with a plan, so accept it! So the US wants an exit strategy that provides the (Israeli) occupying entity with a security belt on the Syrian and the Lebanese fronts, and (the US seeks to achieve this) by exerting “maximum pressure on the resistance”.

———

Nasser Qandil:

This is the third pillar of the power of the Resistance. The first pillar is military capability. The second pillar is the political front, meaning the Axis of Resistance. The third pillar is economic reconstruction. Without a resistance economy, the resistance cannot speak of an ability to maintain a level of cohesion within its support base and environment. What I want to say here is that the measures and steps taken by the resistance are not new. It is not true that the resistance, being under pressure at the moment, is now discovering or searching (for solutions). This was in fact its original program. Its original program was and is ‘Openness to the East’, that (Lebanon) have multiple sources (for economic, financial, and political relations). Its original program is aimed at breaking the borders (created by) Sykes-Picot between the countries of the region to form a single (economic) market. Its original program is aimed at relying on industry, agriculture and the national currency for exchange with neighboring countries and where possible. This is the original plan of the resistance. But this plan is now being put into action. It is not a negotiating weapon to lure Americans into easing conditions. If the Americans want to cooperate they are welcome, but if they don’t we will proceed (with this plan). Either way, this plan is not subject to review. Industry and agriculture are objective needs (of Lebanon).

In terms of industry and agriculture, Lebanon … Lebanon, by the way – in the year 1960, the Iraqi market was running 60% of the Port of Beirut and 30% of Lebanese industrial production. Today, Lebanon, which used to export milk, cheese, juice, clothing and shoes to the Gulf, imports 200 million dollars worth of milk and cheese only! Thus, the revival of the agricultural and manufacturing sectors, which were destroyed by the rentier economy, was and is the original plan. We are not talking about a knee-jerk reaction.

Host:

Has the goal (behind the sanctions) become counter-productive? Because the Lebanese internal consensus over the economic resistance that Sayyed Nasrallah called for was remarkable. I want you to comment briefly because we exceeded the time allocated for this file. The Patriarch (Bechara Boutros) al-Rahi said today: “The Lebanese people today do not want any majority (group in Lebanon) to tamper with the constitution and to keep them away from (Lebanon’s) brothers and friends.” This is noteworthy as well Mr. Nasser, is it not?

Nasser Qandil:

The truth is, the speech of his Beatitude (al- Rahi), at certain points, was vague and unclear. It seemed like he was targeting the resistance by talking about neutrality and keeping Lebanon out of conflicts. However, today there may be another direction. I think the Lebanese people know that when we talk about buying oil products in Lebanese pounds… if you don’t want to buy them from Iran, then buy them from Saudi Arabia. Aren’t you friends with Saudi Arabia and the UAE? Let these countries sell us oil products in Lebanese pounds. Half of the demand for dollars in the Lebanese market is because of oil imports. We are depleting the reserves of the Central Bank of Lebanon. They will last us for five years instead of ten if we keep using them for oil imports.

His eminence Sayyed Nasrallah announced that Iran is ready to help, and since oil imports are consuming half of the budget, the resistance is proposing to remove half of the pressure on the US dollar, meaning (that the exchange rate) would return to 3000 or 4000 (Lebanese pounds per dollar) if we buy these oil products in Lebanese pounds. We are not bound to (importing) from Iran exclusively. Bring any offer from any other country.

Host:

True…for the Americans, the (economic) war was aimed at Hezbollah. However, the entirety of Lebanon is suffering the consequences of this war.

Nasser Qandil:

Here, I want to say something so we can put things in the right perspective. When the uprising began in October (2019), Pompeo and his team went beyond warnings. (Jeffery) Feltman (Former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs) said before the American Congress: “Do not overestimate the influence of this uprising. Let’s not allow Lebanon to become prey for China and Russia.” He said frankly that China wants Lebanon to be a base for its 5G (technology) in the Middle East.

The Americans are backtracking from this (maximum economic pressure) approach not only because of economic (considerations). Do not be mistaken. This is because a highly powerful security message was delivered to the Americans about what the resistance might do if the situation (in Lebanon) deteriorated further.

—————-

Nasser Qandil:

When someone with the great prominence, status, and figure of Sayyed Nasrallah comes out and says: “I will kill you, I will kill you, I will kill you” … These words were written down (on paper). He did not say them out of anger during his speech. He was establishing a (new) equation. He said: “You are making me choose me between hunger or death. My answer is: I will kill you, I will kill you, I will kill you.” Mediators received questions asking them “what is going on? (what does Nasrallah mean here by ‘I will kill you’)” Then they got the answer. The answer might be – I do not know the answer, only the resistance knows it – but it might be in the form of strong military strike that the US and Israel would never expect. Is it the announcement of the zero hour for the expulsion of US forces from Iraq and Syria? Maybe. Is it a precision guided missile attack on the Dimona (nuclear reactor in Israel), for example? Maybe. Is it a (codeword) for opening up the (military) front in the south of Lebanon, and the Golan Heights front (from Syria) under the title of liberating the Shebaa Farms and the Golan Heights in one go? Maybe. This is the level and size (of the warning that Nasrallah directed).

The resistance will not stand idly by while its people suffer (from the deteriorating economic crisis). It will fight hunger by establishing the foundations of economic reconstruction because this is its project. This (economic reconstruction) has nothing to do with merely fighting (US) sanctions. (The resistance) found an opportunity to launch this project. Other (Lebanese parties) did not accept these proposals (before). Now it is the chance (to put them forward).

Do we want to change Lebanon’s identity by (economically) cooperating with China and giving rise eastern totalitarianism and who knows what, as some (in Lebanon) claimed? No. But does it make sense that the NATO (member) Turkey dares to go to Russia and buy S400 (missile systems), while we (Lebanese) don’t dare to buy Kalashnikov bullets that former Prime Minister Saad Hariri pledged to buy but did not dare to allocate funds for? We have 10 billion dollars’ worth of offers from China to build power plants, factories and tunnels under BOT (Build–operate–transfer) contracts, but we don’t have the courage to accept these offers because we are afraid that the US might be upset with us!

Host: Saudi Arabia itself is now negotiating with China over avenues of cooperation…

Nasser Qandil:

Everyone is turning to China. (Check) the Boston Harbor now, all the equipment for loading, operating, and unloading are Chinese!

Host: This all goes back to the American-Israeli concerns, Mr. Nasser.

Nasser Qandil:

This is the economic vision of the resistance. The (military) dimension (of this whole picture) is something else. The (military) dimension is the following: when they raise the bar of the financial threat, we raise the bar of the military-security threat.

Sayyed Nasrallah to Zionists: ‘One Israeli Soldier for Every Hezbollah Fighter’

August 30, 2020

Sara Taha Moughnieh

Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah delivered a speech on the 10th of Muharram in which he tackled local and regional developments as he expressed that “this year the 10th day of Muharram comes with greater sadness because of the absence of crowds expressing their love and loyalty in fields due to the virus”.

After offering his condolences to the prophet household and all the believers in the world, his eminence remembered two stances that we learn from Imam Hussein (as). The first is that “when rightness gets portrayed as wrong, people must take the initiative to reveal the rightness even if it was through martyrdom”. The second is that ” when oppressors and tyrants put you in front of two choices either war or humiliation, the answer is definitely “Humiliation… how remote!”.”“In the conflict today, the region is divided into two camps, right and wrong. Occupation, confiscating rights and terrorism are in one camp, and the rights of the Palestinian, Syrian, and Lebanese people are in the other camp…

Today, on the 10th of Muharram, we as Hezbollah reassure that we will never acknowledge this occupying entity even if the whole world did. Right is what these people and the regimes that represent them portray and wrong is what the US regime bluntly portrays from stealth to domination and oppression,” Sayyed Nasrallah stated.“The US policies in Palestine, the war on Yemen which is US led, while Saudi and Emirates are only tools and funders, the siege on Syria and occupying some of its lands, backing oppressive regimes, dominating Iraq and stealing its wealth, as well as the ongoing aggression against Iran since the victory of the Islamic revolution,” he added, assuring that “we have triumphed in the last years in Lebanon and Palestine and we will triumph in Yemen. We triumphed against ISIL in Syria and Iraq, and Iran triumphed in the war with its firmness and steadfastness.”“The future of this conflict in Palestine and the region is victory, just as this axis faced a global war and triumphed in the past,”

Sayyed Nasrallah stressed.On the Emirati peace with Israel, Hezbollah SG condemned the Emirati stance, referring to the Israeli superior attitude even in such a situation.“When the Emirates claimed that their peace plan with Israel will result in halting the joining of Palestinian lands to Israel, Netanyahu instantly held a conference and assured that joining lands is still in his agenda, and when the Emirates claimed that they will be receiving F35 from Israel after the peace plan, Netanyahu held a conference and tweeted denying that and assuring the Israeli military superiority in the region and its lack of trust in anyone in the region.”

“This is how they deal with anyone who crawls to them. Peace in return for humiliation. What the Emirates did was a free favor for Trump and Netanyahu in their worst political states.

On the local level, Sayyed Nasrallah hoped that the parliamentary factions will successfully choose a candidate for leading the government Monday in order to rebuild the economic situation and implement reformations.He further wondered about all those international and regional calls for responding to people’s demands saying: “We’ve always hoped for a government that expresses people’s needs. But how will these needs be known? Through public referendum? Public surveys? We are ready for discussing that with each other in order to cut the road on anyone who tries to impose his demands and claim that they are public demands.”

“We don’t claim that we represent all the Lebanese people, but we represent a percentage… as for Macron’s call for a new political era and his criticism for the sectarian system in Lebanon… we are open to any dialogue as long as all the Lebanon factions accept that,” Sayyed Nasrallah added.

On the port explosion, Sayyed Nasrallah called for a righteous investigation in the port explosion and called for announcing about the Army’s initial investigation results to put an end to all the lies and rumors. He further called for punishing the TV stations that took advantage of people’s emotional situation after the explosion and started lashing and stating lies, saying these must be held accountable by the official and judicial parts as well as people.

Sayyed Nasrallah reassured the resistance’s firm alignment with Amal Movement and its leadership and its support to the Supreme Islamic Shiite council and Imam Moussa Al-Sadr’s family in their responsibility to follow up his case.“Some unfortunate incidents that take place between young men in some towns are denounced and must be confronted with awareness, but with the strong relation between the two leaderships, we are able to pass these events successfully,” his eminence said.

Concerning the developments on the southern Lebanese borders, his eminence pointed out that “after Hezbollah member was martyred in the Israeli attack on Syria, Israel instantly knew that there will be retaliation based on the equations we drew with our power, not our speeches. This is how respect is attained.”Sayyed Nasrallah stated that the Israelis have evacuated all their locations on the Lebanese borders and have been in state of alert for the last period waiting for Hezbollah to wage any retaliatory attack and get over with it.“But today, I tell the Israeli that if you kill one of our fighters, we will kill one of your soldiers. We don’t care to retaliate by hitting machines or locations or causing material damage. All this financial damage can be replaced due to the large amounts of money you have,” Sayyed Nasrallah stated.

In conclusion, his eminence called for further awareness, responsibility, and commitment to the measures taking in order to limit the spread of Corona Virus and be able to commemorate Ashura next year hopefully.

Source: Al-Manar English Website

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Sayyed Nasrallah: One “I Have Only Seen Beauty” Frustrates the Goal Millions of Dollars Were Put to Achieve

 August 29, 2020

Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah
Click the Picture for video

Al-Manar Website Editor

Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah assured on the eve of Ashura that our tools of confrontation in the battle we are facing today are our honesty, religious, political and moral commitment and wise presence in media.

His eminence assured that the battle we are facing today is unprecedented since the last 50 years.

“Due to the big role that media plays today, they follow a strategy in which they wage huge attacks through different media outlets all at once. This is because the administration of this wide campaign in one, so you see the same news on different media outlets and newspapers. The battle today is one of the most critical ones after they have failed on the security, military and political levels.”

“For example if an accident occurs in some place like Lebanon, Iran, or Iraq, statements are released, then they suddenly spread more and more, and if you trace the source of these statements you will find the 80% of them are from Saudi Arabia or Emirates or other countries. So these sentences are not from the people of the country in which the accident took place, this is rather an electronic army that is trying to impose a public opinion on the people of this country. Today journalists themselves assure that they are being offered money or monthly payments in return for writing articles against Hezbollah.

“It is our duty to confront by developing our media capacities and presence, and as Imam Khameni said, each of us should be an officer or a soldier in this soft war. We must hold on to our honesty, clean hands, virtuousness, our moral, religious, and political commitment, and our loyalty, etc… This frustrates all the attacks. When our environment reveals itself as a firmly coherent and strong one, this frustrates them.”

“Many social media and media outlets were cut from funds for a period of time because they failed to achieve the goal of prompting our environment against us. Now because there is a new battle, funds are being distributed once again. So the coherence of this environment is our weapon. For example when they try to take advantage of our martyrs’ families, just one stance like “I have only seen beauty” is capable of frustrating the goal that hundreds of millions of dollars were paid for media to achieve.”

“After all lying has an end, just like the events after the port explosion. Some claimed it was a missile storehouse related to Hezbollah, but eventually the truth was revealed after investigations by the Army, FBI and international intelligence.”

“I call for boycotting such media outlets, checking the credibility of all the news and avoiding the spread of rumors whether they are true or false. There is also no need to show any interest in any report that does not help. This is just a waste of time. It is better if you help yourself by following programs of benefit for you like documentaries…”

In conclusion his eminence assured that “neither killing nor threatening us will let us surrender… Moreover, we were offered huge amounts of money in order to abandon our cause but we haven’t and wouldn’t accept. We are not position or money seekers. We are the ones who offer money just as we offered blood.”

Source: Al-Manar

Zionists Got Talent? Resistance Spots ‘Weak Performance’ Along Lebanese Border

Zionists Got Talent? Resistance Spots ‘Weak Performance’ Along Lebanese Border

By Staff

The ‘Israeli’ military owes whoever came up with this ‘genius’ thought a prize!

Hezbollah’s military media spotted the latest worth-mocking achievement the ‘Israeli’ occupation military has scored along the occupied Palestinian border with Lebanon.

It seems that the nightmare stalking the ‘Israeli’ establishment’s existence started looping into a continuous show. The anticipated Hezbollah retaliation to the ‘Israeli’ assassination of one of its fighters in Syria is more of which turning into a Hezbollahmania.

Added to its one year-old using of mannequins inside an ‘Israeli’ military vehicle to pretend that its soldiers are watching along the South Lebanon border, the enemy fixed a soldier-like robot in an exposed attempt to allure the resistance to a military action, that perhaps it wanted to try if it serves as the much awaited anytime possible offensive.

Poor Zionists! Maybe their fear has turned into a sickness. Sometime they imagine ghosts and start a war with their own personnel, and they think that the resistance is shallow enough to mistake a goal to another.

The satirical performance the ‘Israeli’ military presented -entre nous- will make the viewer laugh out loud. It is recommended to replay it time and again.

‘Israel’s’ sickness, pretending that it is undefeatable, had pushed it so far to commit embarrassing and unfixable actions. It, however, has been viewed in all levels as an icon of defeat and failure. It actually doesn’t even master performing in a sketch it already authored, or at the best case, wanted.

The question now is what would come next? Would the Zionists’ talent improve or they will -most probably- lose the final show?

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فيما أكد الأمين العام لحزب الله السيد حسن نصر الله أنّ «الثوران الإسرائيلي»، ليل أول من أمس وإلقاء القذائف الفوسفورية وبعض الإعتداءات «هو أمر مهمّ وحسّاس لدينا»، موضحاً أنه «عامد» لن يعلّق عليه الآن وسيترك الحديث عنه إلى الوقت المناسب وفي السياق الطبيعي والآتي، أعلن الجيش اللبناني حصيلة العدوان الهمجي الغادر على القرى والبلدات المستهدفة.

وأوضح الجيش في بيان، أنّ مروحيات العدو استهدفت «مراكز تابعة لجمعية «أخضر بلا حدود» البيئية داخل الأراضي اللبنانية، وذلك عبر إطلاق 3 صواريخ في خراج بلدة راميا، و8 صواريخ في خراج بلدة عيتا الشعب، بالإضافة إلى صاروخين أطلقا من داخل موقع تل الراهب على خراج البلدة نفسها».

أضاف «كما استهدفت المروحيات مركزاً للجمعية نفسها في محمية عيترون ما أدى إلى اندلاع حريق داخلها. وسبق ذلك في الليلة نفسها، اعتداءات من قبل العدو «الإسرائيلي» عبر إطلاق 117 قذيفة مضيئة، وحوالى 100 قذيفة قسم منها متفجّر والآخر فوسفوري في خراج بلدات: ميس الجبل وحولا ومارون الراس وعيترون داخل الأراضي اللبنانية».

وقد تسبّبت القنابل باندلاع حرائق في الأحراج، ووقوع أضرار مادية في أحد المنازل وفي حظيرة ماعز عائدة إلى أحد المواطنين ونفوق عدد من رؤوس الماعز. كما سُمع دوي عشرات الإنفجارات داخل مزراع شبعا المحتلة.

من جهته، أشار الناطق الرسمي باسم «يونيفيل» أندريا تيننتي،البيا في بيان إلى أنه عند حوالى الساعة الحادية عشرة من مساء أول من أمس «رصدت يونيفيل إطلاق عدد من القنابل المضيئة من عدة مواقع للجيش الإسرائيلي على طول الخط الأزرق مقابل عيترون وعيتا الشعب وميس الجبل وحولا وكفركلا وكفرشوبا في جنوب لبنان. كما رصدت رادارات يونيفيل قذائف هاون وقذائف مدفعية، معظمها دخانية، بالإضافة إلى أنشطة كثيفة للطائرات من دون طيّار فوق هذه المناطق».

أضاف «وقامت يونيفيل على الفور بتحريك قنوات الإرتباط والتنسيق التي تضطلع بها وعزّزت قواتها على طول الخط الأزرق. وفي اتصالات لاحقة، أبلغ الجيش الإسرائيلي يونيفيل أن نيران أسلحة خفيفة أطلقت من لبنان تجاه دورية تابعة للجيش الإسرائيلي في محيط منطقة المنارة. ولا يزال رئيس بعثة يونيفيل وقائدها العام اللواء ستيفانو ديل كول على اتصال بالأطراف، يحثهم على ضبط النفس ويطلب من جميع الأطراف تجنّب أي عمل استفزازي من شأنه أن يزيد من تصعيد التوترات ويعرض وقف الأعمال العدائية للخطر».

ونقل عن ديل كول، قوله «في البداية، من المهم للغاية بالنسبة لنا أن نتقصّى كل الحقائق والظروف المحيطة بالتطورات الخطيرة التي حدثت الليلة (قبل) الماضية على طول الخط الأزرق. لقد فتحت تحقيقاً عاجلاً وأدعو الطرفين إلى التعاون الكامل مع اليونيفيل للمساعدة في تحديد الحقائق».

وأثارت الإعتداءات «الإسرائيلية» موجة استنكار لبنانية، ورأى عضو كتلة التنمية والتحرير النائب الدكتور قاسم هاشم في تصريح أن ما جرى « كشف حال الإرباك الذي يعيشه العدو الإسرائيلي، ويترك تداعياته زعزعةً للاستقرار من خلال الاعتداءات التي يكررها العدو الإسرائيلي بين الحين والآخر». وأكد أن «أي اعتداء وكيفما كان يعتبر اعتداءً سافراً وانتهاكاً للسيادة الوطنية تحتّم التعاطي معها وفق الحفاظ على السيادة الوطنية والاستقرار الوطني»، وطالب الحكومة بمتابعة إعتداء أول من أمس «ووضع المجتمع الدولي امام مسؤولياته لوضع حد للعدوانية «الإسرائيلية» التي لم تنصع يوماً للقرارات والتوجهات الدولية إنما لمعادلة الرعب والردع التي صنعتها المقاومة ووضعت حداً للأطماع والعدوانية الإسرائيلية».

واستنكر رئيس المجلس الإسلامي الشيعي الأعلى الشيخ عبد الأمير قبلان، في بيان الاعتداءات «الإسرائيلية» على القرى الحدودية الجنوبية، معتبراً أنها «عدوان موصوف يثير الذعر في صفوف المواطنين ويشكل انتهاكاً فاضحاً للمواثيق والقوانين الدولية ويتزامن مع الخروق شبه اليومية للسيادة الوطنية، نضعه برسم الأمم المتحدة وقوات يونيفيل المطالبة بلجم العدوان الإسرائيلي المتكرّر الذي يهدّد أمن المنطقة وترتد تبعاته على الكيان الغاصب».

ورأى «أن هذه الاعتداءات تكشف عن حال الإرباك والذعر التي يعيشها الكيان الصهيوني بفعل معادلة الردع التي حققتها المقاومة في الدفاع عن لبنان، وعلى اللبنانيين أن يتمسكوا بوحدتهم الوطنية المرتكزة على تلاحم جيشهم ومقاومتهم لحفظ لبنان واستقراره، بوصفها قوة لبنان الأساسية».

بدوره، رأى «تجمّع العلماء المسلمين»، في بيان، «أن التبرير الذي قدمه العدو الصهيوني لإنتهاكاته هو تبرير واه ولا يمكن أن يقبل، وهو يجافي كل منطق، فأين هي الأماكن التي أطلق النار عليها؟. والحقيقة أنها مجرد ذريعة لممارسة الاعتداءات اليومية على أهلنا في الجنوب الصامد».

وأعلن «أن الحساب مع العدو الصهيوني أصبح كبيراً سيأتي في الوقت الذي تقرره قيادة المقاومة وبعد اختيار الأهداف المناسبة»، معتبراً «أن القرار الصادر عن المجلس الأعلى للدفاع بإدانة الإعتداء الصهيوني وتكليفه لوزير الخارجية رفع شكوى لمجلس الأمن الدولي هو أدنى المطلوب، لأننا كنا نتوقع منه إصدار أمر لقيادة الجيش بالتعامل مع أحداث مشابهة في المستقبل بالرد المباشر عليها وإسكات مصادر النيران، فلا يجوز أن تبقى مناطقنا مستباحة بهذا الشكل، فالذي يشجع العدو الصهيوني على الاستمرار فيها هو عدم الرد عليها من قبل الجيش اللبناني بالأسلوب المناسب».

وانتقد «الذين يدعون للحياد»، معتبراً أنها «دعوة في سياق تنفيذ أجندات خارجية للضغط على المقاومة لصالح المحور الصهيوأميركي».

وندّدت جبهة «العمل الإسلامي» بالاعتداء الصهيوني الهمجي السافر، محملةً «هذا العدو الغادر اللئيم مسؤولية وعواقب هذا العدوان وما نتج عنه». وأشارت إلى أن العدو الصهيوني أسقط باعتداءاته أول من أمس «بشكل فعلي وعملي وشفاف «.

NO CHANGES IN THE UNIFIL MANDATE AND THE ATTEMPT TO DESTROY THE LEBANESE STATE HAS FAILED

Posted on  by Elijah J Magnier

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai

The US had threatened to withdraw its annual financial support of $135 million (27% of the $500 million annual costs) for the 10,000 UNIFIL men deployed in Lebanon unless its mandate was strengthened. The US, at the request of Israel, asked to see the UNIFIL forces disarm Hezbollah and evacuate arms depots in the south of Lebanon. But above all, the US wanted UNIFIL troops to evaluate and inform Israel of the deployment and the accurate location of Hezbollah’s highly trained and experienced Special Operation Forces, called the “Ridwan”, spread along the borders facing the Israeli army. However, this US-Israeli wishful thinking has not been gratified. A series of disappointing events has thwarted Israel-US objectives: the Special Tribunal verdict on the assassination of the former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri was considered unsatisfactory by a number of pro-US Lebanese at the time when a (failed) coup d’état was being prepared against the government, the parliament and President Michel Aoun. So what will be the fate of UNIFIL in Lebanon?

The assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri in 2005 was followed by a Lebanese domestic uprising against the “Axis of Resistance” and paved the way for the second Israeli war of July 2006, which failed to achieve its objectives. In fact, in 2006, Israel was supported by several Gulf countries led by Saudi Arabia and also by Lebanese political leaders acting as US-proxies, with the aim of fulfilling Israel’s wish to disarm Hezbollah. However, the assassination of Hariri did result in the exit of Syrian forces from Lebanon.

The failure to disarm Hezbollah was followed by another attempt to weaken the organisation when Israel assassinated Hajj Imad Mughnniyah in February 2008. Mughnniyah was Hezbollah’s military commander and the deputy leader of the Jihadi Military Council headed by Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah – Secretary General of “Hezbollah”. However, these assassination tactics did not achieve the hoped for result, and they remind us that attacks against leaders of jihadist organisations can never be an effective way to defeat ideologically motivated groups, especially a highly driven one such as Hezbollah.

Hezbollah Downs Israeli Drone in South Lebanon

المقاومة الاسلامية أسقطت طائرة صهيونية مسيرة اخترقت الأجواء اللبنانية
المقاومة الاسلامية أسقطت طائرة صهيونية مسيرة اخترقت الأجواء اللبنانية

August 23, 2020

Hezbollah announced on Saturday it has downed an Israeli drone in the southern town of Ayta Al-Shaab.

In a statement issued late Saturday, Hezbollah Media Relations Office announced that the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon has downed an Israeli drone over the border town of Ayta Al-Shaab.

“The drone is now in the hands of Islamic Resistance fighters,” the statement added.

Israeli occupation army confirmed a drone was downed in south Lebanon, but added there “was no concern of information being leaked.”

An Israeli drone was downed as it was in a ‘routine activity’ earlier during the day at the border with Lebanon, occupation army spokesman said in a statement.

Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah said last year in September that every Israeli drone which will violate the Lebanese airspace is a target for the Resistance, following an attack by Israeli drones laden with explosive materials on a media office belonging to the Lebanese party.

Source: Al-Manar English Website

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هل يفعل السيّد حسن نصر الله ما عجز عنه عبد الناصر؟

حزب الله أدرك أنّ التفكك العربي الكبير الذي أرادته أميركا يجب أن يُرد عليه بالعودة إلى فكرة

صادق النابلسي 

المصدر: الميادين نت

بعد تحرير الجنوب اللبناني، وانتصار تموز/يوليو 2006، ودخول حزب الله إلى سوريا في العام 2013، وجد الحزب نفسه أمام سؤال حان وقته.

في السادس عشر من شباط/فبراير 1985، تلا الرئيس الحالي للمجلس السياسي لحزب الله، السيد إبراهيم أمين السيد، الرسالة المفتوحة التي وجهها حزب الله إلى المستضعفين في لبنان والعالم. بدا ما قاله آنذاك بياناً حماسياً، غريباً، بل ممعناً في غرابته، من مجموعة جديدة وافدة إلى مسرح الأحداث في لبنان، يحار مراقبوها في نسبتها إلى المجال الذي تنتمي إليه، والأهداف الكبيرة التي تطمح إلى تحقيقها.

التطلّعات العابرة للحدود التي تضمَّنتها الرسالة أقل ما كان يمكن أن يردّ عليها بعضهم في حينها، بأن يستخدم عبارة الزعيم السوفياتي جوزيف ستالين حين حذّروه من قوة الفاتيكان، فتساءل ساخراً: “كم دبابة عند بابا الفاتيكان؟”، أو بحسب نصّ آخر: “كم فرقة عسكرية يملكها البابا في الفاتيكان؟”.

مجموعة صغيرة حديثة العهد بالسياسة والقتال تدّعي لنفسها قوة خارقة، فتقول: “أما قدرتنا العسكرية، فلا يتخيّلَنَّ أحد حجمها، إذ ليس لدينا جهاز عسكري منفصل عن بقية أطراف جسمنا، بل إنّ كلاً منّا جندي مقاتل حين يدعو داعي الجهاد إنّنا متوجهون لمحاربة المنكر من جذوره، وأوّل جذور المنكر أميركا”.

أتصوّر مثلاً أن يقارن أحدهم بعد أن قرأ الرسالة بين الأحزاب القومية واليسارية التي كانت تحمل أحلام جماهيرها بالوحدة والتضامن والتكامل وتلاحم الجبهات، لدحر مشاريع الهيمنة الاستعمارية والانقضاض على “إسرائيل” وتدميرها واستعادة فلسطين من مغتصبيها، ولكنها مُنيت بعد مدة من انطلاقتها بفشل في أهدافها، وإحباطات في مشاعرها، ونكسات في نتائج أعمالها، وبين جماعة لا أرضية سياسية وعسكرية لها، تريد أن تختبر من جديد بـ”سوريالية ثورية” حجم الألم والأحلام الموجعة التي يُخلّفها طريق المحاولة والخطأ! لا بأس، يقول هذا البعض، فلتجرّب حظها من الخيبة والمرارة، ففي الإنسان دوماً شيء ما يقوده نحو حتفه وتلاشيه!

لكن لم تمرّ إلا سنوات قليلة حتى بدأ المراقبون يستكشفون شيئاً جديداً تماماً. رواية مختلفة تقول إنّه ليس بالضرورة أن يعيد التاريخ نفسه بطريقة حلزونية، فما رُصد بعد سنوات قلائل من تحولات وإنجازات وانتصارات، اتضح أنّها لم تكن استجابات عاطفية غاضبة متسرّعة على هوان قديم وعجز مقيم، بسبب ما حلّ من خراب داخل العالمين العربيّ والإسلاميّ، بل هي مبنيّة على رؤية علمية، وخطوات عملية، وعوامل تاريخية ودينية وجيوسياسية، ودوافع كافية لضمان اجتياز الصراع بنجاح. 

القضية لم تكن تتطلّب البتة عند “المؤسسيين الأوائل” تستراً على طرح ربما يؤدي إلى استنتاجات وتفسيرات خاطئة ومشوّهة، أو تستدعي مقاومة الفكرة المغرية القائلة إننا” أمة ترتبط مع المسلمين في أنحاء العالم كافة برباط عقائدي وسياسي متين هو الإسلام”، وبضرورة الدعوة” إلى إقامة جبهة عالمية للمستضعفين، لمواجهة مؤامرات قوى الاستكبار في العالم”، أو “أننا نطمح أن يكون لبنان جزءاً لا يتجزأ من الخارطة السياسية المعادية لأميركا والاستكبار العالمي وللصهيونية العالمية”، لجهة إفراطها وخروجها عن قوانين الاجتماع والسياسة اللبنانية.

لم يكن ذلك كله مدعاة للتحفظ، بل على العكس، جاء التأكيد في الرسالة على أهميته وقيمته الحقيقية، ولو كان العقل السياسي يضيق به، أو كان يطمح إلى ما يفوق إمكانيات الحزب آنذاك، لأنّ المبدأ العقائدي الذي كان يدفع في هذا السبيل، ويُملي هذه الاعتبارات، ويُذكي هذا الشعور، ويستجلب هذه الإرادة، كان أقوى من التصورات السيادية والدستورية السائدة، وأكبر من الوقائع والمعايير التي تحكم سلوك الدول وتوازناتها.

كل المؤمنين بالنهج الأصيل والعاملين في مداره كانوا مشغولين بالتأكيد أنّ أمةً جديدةً يجب أن تُولد من رحم التناقضات والصراعات المفتوحة على أكثر من ميدان. لم يشعروا بأنهم في مأزق أو تيه صحراوي لا يدري أحد منهم إلى ماذا يُفضي، بل كانوا على يقين من سلامة الطريق وتحقيق الأهداف.

 وإذا كانت بعض الحركات العابرة للحدود الدينية والجغرافية والعرقية في المنطقة العربية قد وصلت إلى طريق مسدود في نضالاتها، ولم تستطع تجاوز هزيمتها، بسبب طبيعة التكوين الفكري والسلوك السياسي الذي حوّلها إلى كتل جامدة معطلة، فإنّ التنظيم الجديد قد صمّم فكرته تصميماً ذهنياً صارماً، وحددّ لانطلاقته بداية واعية واعدة، وخلق تشكيلاً منفتحاً على الجهاد المحلي الحديث والإرث التاريخي القديم، بنحو يعيد هيكلة البنية الرمزية والإيديولوجية باستحضار ماضي الثائرين وإعادة دمجه بالحاضر، ثم إنّ هناك إدراكاً للثمن الفادح الذي يجب دفعه، لا أنّ القضية مجرد تكهن أو رغبة “صوتية” لا تنفع في الحقيقة أكثر من استدراج أقدام “المتكهّنين” إلى هاوية الوهم. 

كما أنّ التنبؤ بالنصر استشراف علميّ محفوف بالمخاطر، لا ينفصل لحظة واحدة عن الارتباط بالواقع الحي الذي يفرز الإنجازات والإخفاقات على السواء. ولأنّ صورة العدو أكثر تعقيداً من كونه مجرد مجنون يتغذى على القتل، فإنّ النصر ليس خبراً يُذاع، وإنما هو نضال محموم، ومقاومة ضارية واستراتيجية طويلة تتطلَّب قدرة عالية على تحمل الألم والصعاب، وإرادة فولاذية لمواصلة العمل، واعتماداً على الذات في النطاق الجغرافي المحلي، واستبعاداً كلياً لدور المنظمات الدولية التي تقف في معظم الأحيان إلى جانب الظالمين والغزاة، بدلاً من مساعدتها المستضعفين؛ أصحاب الحقوق المشروعة.

وكما يقول الشاعر عبد الرحمن الشرقاوي: “إنّ القضية ملكنا… هي عارنا أو فخرنا”، فالانهزام أو الانتصار تعبير واقعي متعلق بطبيعة المعركة وظروفها، ولكن المهم في الأمر أن لا ينضوي المقاومون تحت أيّ مظلة غير موثوقة، ولا ينساقوا وراء منهج غير إسلامي. أما الاعتماد على الذات، فلا يعني التردد عن قبول مساعدة قوى الأمة المختلفة، بل المطلوب أن تتحرك كل الطاقات في التعامل مع الأزمات والتحديات في إطار الوحدة أو “الجسد الذي إذا اشتكى منه عضو، تداعت له سائر الأعضاء بالسهر والحمى”.

لذلك، يؤكد المقطع التالي العلائقية والوشائجية المطلوبة بين الأطراف وقلب الأمة: “إننا أبناء أمة حزب الله في لبنان… إننا نعتبر أنفسنا جزءاً من أمة الإسلام في العالم، والتي تواجه أعتى هجمة استكبارية من الغرب والشرق على السواء”.

هذا التعاضد بين فئة في لبنان وفئة أو فئات في بلدان أخرى أشبه بصيغة قانونية لازمة بين طرفين أو أكثر، تقتضي كل أشكال التعاون المتاحة، ما يجعل النسق الديني المتشكل عن هذا التوليف “المقدس” يلبي الوظيفة الإيديولوجية والسياسية للحزب الذي يسعى إلى هدم أركان الأعداء في البقعة التي يتحرك فيها. 

إنّ هذا الاتصال المقصود بالأمة يهدف الحزب الجديد من ورائه إلى التمايز عن مغالطات نخب حزبية وعلمائية على امتداد المنطقة، كانت تنشر الاستسلام والقدرية، وعوّضت المقاومة بالتواكل والغيب، فكان ضرورياً تطهير الإسلام مما علق به من تشويهات، واستدعاؤه مجدداً ليكون المرجع النظري والحركي الذي يُلهم المسلمين اللبنانيين طريقة النهوض، وبناء العلاقات، ومواجهة التحديات بكل تشعباتها.

ولكنَّ مشكلة هذا الاتصال، في رأي البعض، أنّه يهزّ التكوين الوطني للحزب، ويشكّك في درجة التزامه بالقضايا اللبنانية التي يُفترض أن يُدافع عنها تحت سقف سيادة الدولة، لكنّه من خلال تفضيله إطار الأمة على إطار الوطن، وتوهينه البعد الداخلي في مقابل تعظيمه البعد الخارجي، يبلغ الرجحان مستوى يجعل الحزب يفقد خصائصه ومشروعيته المحلية، بيد أنّ حزب الله بانخراطه في محاربة الاحتلال الإسرائيلي ومشاريع الهيمنة الغربية على لبنان، يعيد إنتاج الأجوبة الحاسمة حول مَن صنع الهزائم، ومَن صنع العار، ومَن جلب التخلف والهوان لهذا الوطن.

هنا يأتي النص الديني الإسلامي، لا كدليل نظري فحسب، وإنما كسياق واقعي اجتماعي، وكممارسة سياسية وجهادية ملموسة، فحضور الدين علامة على الوعي الجماعي، باعتباره وسيلة لتغيير مقاصد الناس وتوجهاتهم، وأيضاً باعتباره هدفاً لتعديل مبادئ الحكم وموازين القوى، فالنص الديني بقدر ما يسمح بالكشف عن هوية فرد أو مجتمع، فإنه يؤسّس لنهج مختلف وأوضاع جديدة.

وحين يعلن الحزب عن الإسلام كمرجعية للحياة، فإنّه يموقع ذاته داخل النسق العام للأمة في عمقه وامتداداته، فلا يعترف بأي حدود ومسافات جغرافية تعترض طريق الأخوة الدينية! الإسلام هنا لا يحضر كطقوس يكتنفها مبدأ حرية ممارسة المعتقد الإيماني فحسب، بل كإطار شمولي أممي لا تنفلت منه قضية من قضايا الإنسان، في وقت يأتي تحرك الحزب في المجال السياسي أو العسكري ليخلق تميّزه وفرادته، في مقابل السكونيين من النخب والحركات الدينية التي تبحث عن الهروب خارجاً، وبعيداً من الواقع، لئلا تصطدم بقسوته ومتطلبات الحضور الحي فيه.

لذلك، لم يكن ممكناً للحزب أن يتطور خارج عملية الصراع مع أعداء الأمة، فالحزب الذي تنظم الشريعة الإسلامية كل وجوده ومساراته في هذه الحياة، يشعر بأن هيمنة القوى الاستعمارية وتدخّلها في شؤون المسلمين يشكل انتهاكاً صارخاً لا يمكن القبول به.

هذه النقطة بالذات ستمنح الحزب إمكانية كبيرة لقيادة الجمهور وتحريكه نحو مديات الأمة الواسعة ومداراتها الرحبة. على هذا الأساس، تستوي فكرة الجهاد كمصدر للشرعية، وتحضر المقاومة بوصفها سياقاً تحررياً على المستوى الوطني، وعلى مستوى الأمة أيضاً.

ولهذا تأتي العبارة التالية: “إننا أبناء أمة حزب الله التي نصر الله طليعتها في إيران، وأسّست من جديد نواة دولة الإسلام المركزية في العالم… لسنا حزباً تنظيمياً مغلقاً، ولسنا إطاراً سياسياً ضيقاً”، لتؤكد الارتباط المطلوب والحركة الحارة المتوقعة، انطلاقاً من مستويين ديني وسياسي؛ الأول استجابة لأمل (وعد إلهي) بالاستخلاف والتمكين، والآخر استجابة لموقف عملي يقتضي تحمل التكاليف والمسؤوليات والسعي لبناء التجربة الجديدة.

صحيح أنّ دوافع النشوة والفوران بعد انتصار الثورة الإسلامية في إيران مسؤولة عن تحرّك الأحاسيس الدينية بطريقة عفوية وتلقائية، لكن لم يكن ذلك خارج رؤية استراتيجية وعقلانية في بناء السياسات والبرامج. هنا تأتي النظرية، أي الأفكار التي تشكل أساس الإيديولوجيا التي على الحزب أن يعمل بها في ما يتعلَّق بأمور الحرب والسلم، لتستقر ضمن قالب “نظرية ولاية الفقيه”، التي أبرزها الإمام الخميني كإرث مخزني قديم، ولتكون البوصلة التي احتاجها حزب الله لترسم له التوجهات والقواعد العامة، ولتخلق لجمهوره الاهتمام المطلوب بقضايا الإسلام والصراع في المنطقة والعالم.

لكن ظهور هذه النظرية كتعبير موضوعي عن المقومات التي لا بدَّ من توفرها لتهيئ للحزب مكاناً بين الحركات الثورية، وتمنحه هويته الخاصة، كان مشروطاً بالظرف التاريخي، وهو ظرف الثورة الإسلامية، وانتشار شراراتها في أرجاء المنطقة، وتفاعل حركات المقاومة والتحرر المناهضة للمشاريع الأميركية والإسرائيلية مع تطلعاتها، وتحفّز مثقفين وعلماء دين وكتاب ونشطاء سياسيين على طرح ما لم يكونوا في السابق يجسرون على الاقتراب منه، وكذلك التحولات المحلية في لبنان العالق بين الهيمنة اليمينية الطائفية والاحتلال الإسرائيلي لقسم من الجنوب اللبناني، ووجود الفدائيين الفلسطينيين الذين أغنوا الأرض بالبندقيات والشعارات الثورية الحماسية.

ضمن إطار هذه المجموعة من الأحداث بذاك السياق الطولي، بنى حزب الله مفاهيمه التأسيسية حول الجهاد المحلي والأممي، والتي لم تنحصر بالمناسبة في الوعي المكتسب من طرف نظرية ولاية الفقيه والثورة الإيرانية، بل في عمقها الممتد إلى باطن البنية الاجتماعية اللبنانية، بعناصرها التاريخية المُستلهمة من الاحتكاك بتجارب نضالات ثورية في مناطق مختلفة من العالم، ولكن عبقريته التي طورها لاحقاً أمينه العام الحالي السيد حسن نصر الله، تكمن في أنّه استطاع أن يحمل بقوة فكرة جاء أوانها، وأن يصعد بتيار استيقن أنّ حركته نحو الآماد الواسعة بدأت. 

بعد تحرير الجنوب اللبناني، وانتصار تموز/يوليو 2006، ودخول حزب الله إلى سوريا في العام 2013، وجد الحزب نفسه أمام سؤال حان وقته: كيف يمكن تشبيك الجبهات لتحقيق الهدف المقدس، وهو إزالة “إسرائيل” من الوجود؟

لقد فشل تيار القومية العربية في توظيف الإمكانيات البشرية والمادية واستثمارها وإدارتها لإنزال هزيمة بالعدو، وفشلت الأحزاب اليسارية العربية في بناء مناخ عام يتيح اتخاذ قرارات تتطلَّبها ظروف الصراع، فلم تستطع تلك القوى التي لها ارتباطات واسعة خارج المنطقة العربية تشكيل بيئة دولية للصراع، وتوجيه الحركة السياسية أو العسكرية العربية في إطار خطة عامة جدّية تستهدف إنهاك الكيان الإسرائيلي وإرباكه.

المراوغات والاستعراضات، وأنصاف الضربات، وتصادم الأولويات، وتضارب التصورات، لم تؤدِ إلا إلى تحويل الصراع من صراع عربي – إسرائيلي إلى صراع عربي – عربي. تحوّلت الحرب مع “إسرائيل” إلى شبه حرب، والتسوية معها إلى استراتيجية انجرّت إليها الأنظمة على نحو متتالٍ. 

حزب الله، في المقابل، أدرك أنّ “التفكك العربي الكبير” الذي أرادته أميركا عبر “الربيع العربي” يجب أن يُرد عليه بالعودة إلى فكرة “أمة حزب الله” العابرة لدول سايكس – بيكو المقطعة لأوصال الوحدة السياسية والدينية. قد يكون ذلك شيئاً مثيراً في لحظة مختلطة بالتحولات ودماء الشهداء ونداء القدس الغلّاب الذي ينفذ كالأذان إلى أعماق الحالمين بالنصر الأكبر.

 أفراد الحزب الذين قطعوا خطوة في هذا الطريق مع الدخول إلى سوريا، وتهشّم الحدود بين أكثر من دولة من دول المنطقة، أضفوا على الموقعية الجديدة لحزبهم مسحة دينية ومسحة تاريخية. مقطع من الرسالة يقول: “إننا نعلن بصراحة ووضوح أننا أمة لا تخاف إلا الله، ولا ترتضي الظلم والعدوان والمهانة، وأنّ أميركا وحلفاءها من دول حلف شمال الأطلسي والكيان الصهيوني… مارسوا ويمارسون العدوان علينا، ويعملون على إذلالنا باستمرار. لذا، فإننا في حالة تأهب مستمر ومتصاعد”.

المطلوب، إذاً، بناء وحشد قوى الأمة التي بدأت طلائعها تتبلور في اليمن “أنصار الله”، والعراق” الحشد الشعبي”، وفلسطين “فصائل المقاومة المختلفة”، لتغلب على هذه العطالة التاريخية. أمة حزب الله تحتاج إذاً إلى القدرات الكبرى والمشاعر العظيمة، وإلى موقف جماهيري يستهدف التقدم بالوعي والإلهام، وذلك بالخروج من الالتزام الجغرافي المزعج، لجهة عبئه الداخلي المعاكس لحركة الساعة السريعة المستمرة! 

اليوم، ليس لهذه القوى سبب يؤطرها ويحدّها في بقعة جغرافية واحدة وفي مهام محلية محددة. الأحداث الكبرى في المنطقة حوّلت الدول إلى حدود وسكان ومتوسط دخل وميزان مدفوعات، والأنظمة إلى بروتوكولات واحتفالات وميديا، فيما حزب الله يدرك ضرورة أن تتحول هذه القوى المقاومة إلى فكرة وتيار وحركة تاريخية، وينبغي أن لا يدعها أحد مكتوفة اليدين في الحروب المقبلة إذا ما هدد وجود الأمة خطر، أو دفعها طموح محموم إلى خوض حربها المقدسة نحو فلسطين!

هل حانت اللحظة فعلاً؟ وهل لدى حزب الله الشجاعة الكافية ليقود جماهير الأمة لتوحيد التراب العربي، مدشناً مرحلة جديدة من تاريخ حركات المقاومة في المنطقة والعالم؟ وهل يفعل السيد حسن نصر الله ما لم يقدر عليه جمال عبد الناصر؟

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