«إدلب» معركةُ كسرِ الأحادية الأميركية!

يونيو 12, 2019

د. وفيق إبراهيم

ليس غريباً على الإطلاق أن يدعم الأميركيون سيطرة الارهاب المتنوع في شمال سورية برعاية تركية عسكرية مباشرة. ألم يفعلوا الأمر نفسه في غربي سورية بدعمهم كل أنواع الارهاب الذي كان يطوقُ العاصمة دمشق برعاية المخابراتين الاسرائيلية الأردنية وبتمويل خليجي في مرحلة 2012 2018؟ فأين العجب اذاً؟

وبدلاً من الاسرائيليين والاردنيين، يلعب الأتراك دوراً خطيراً جداً في شمالي سورية وعفرين والشمال الغربي وبعض أرياف حماة وحلب، فلماذا لا يستثمرُ الأميركيون فيهم فيطيلون أمد الازمة السورية معيقين اي حل سياسي او عسكري لها باللعب على طموحات تركية تحلمُ بإعادة الزمن قروناً عدة الى الوراء.

هناك معوقٌ وحيد يتعلق بجملة تناقضات بين المشروعين الأميركي والتركي في المنطقة العربية. تجسدت بإسقاط الاخوان المسلمين الذين هم حلفاء تركيا في مصر وتونس وتقليص دورهم في ليبيا واليمن والسودان وجزيرة العرب، ولبنان، مع محاولة أميركية لتدبير انقلاب عسكري تركي على الرئيس اردوغان نجا منها بتنبيه روسي وتحرّك حزب العدالة والتنمية التركي وتأثيره على ألوية عسكرية موالية.

وبما أن الفريقين براجماتيان، فلماذا لا يعودون الى التعاون في الميدان السوري نتيجة لضغط اساسي يتعرضان له وهو إنهاء الدور التركي السوري بعد تحرير إدلب، والبدء بدفع الأحادية الأميركية خارج سورية والعراق بعد تحرير إدلب ايضاً؟

لذلك فإن المصيبة المحدقة بالطرفين تعيد لمّ شملهما. وتُقربُ بين أهدافهما.

للإشارة هنا، فإن الاتراك استغلوا الصراع الروسي الأميركي في سورية لبناء علاقات عميقة مع الطرف الروسي بزعم تنظيم ميادين القتال العسكرية للوصول الى مرحلة الحل السياسي.

لقد أجاد التركي أداء هذا الدور الى جانب «تربيته» لتنظيمات ارهابية من النصرة والاخوان والقاعدة وافرازاتها والألوية الباكستانية من الإيغور الصينيين الى جانب آلاف المتطرفين في تنظيمات أخرى، وردوا من آسيا الوسطى واوروبا الشرقية والخليج ومصر وشمال أفريقيا، كل هؤلاء تمكّن الأتراك من ربطهم بغرفة أركان عسكرية «موك» تركية تديرهم حسب اتجاهات انقرة السياسية، إنما هل يمكن نسيان آلاف الجنود الأتراك الذين ينتشرون ايضاً في الشمال السوري ومباشرة؟

هناك اذاً احتلال تركي مباشر لأكثر من عشرين ألف كيلومتر مربع من الأراضي السورية تضمّ أرياف حلب وحماة وادلب وعفرين وشريط يمتدّ على طول حدود سورية وبعمق وازن يصل الى 20 كيلومتراً إنما ما الذي استجدّ وحشر أردوغان في زاوية ضيقة؟

منح الروس تركيا فرصاً هامة في مؤتمر «استانا» و«مذكرة سوتشي» لتنفيذ ما وعدوا به من إنهاء جبهة النصرة في ادلب. لكنهم نكثوا بتعهداتهم مراهنين على انفجار أكبر في علاقات الأميركيين بالروس، فتزدادُ حاجة الطرفين للخدمات التركية!..

أدّت هذه المراوغة الى اصرار الدولة السورية على بدء تحرير ارياف حماه وحلب وادلب في خطة محكمة وعاجلة مدعومة من الحلفاء، لأن الروس تبيّنوا ان المماطلات التركية ليست إلا نتاج مغريات قدمها الأميركيون لأنقرة حول ضرورة استمرار دورهم في أراضي سورية. وهذا بالتوازي مع تحريض أميركي غربي خليجي اسرائيلي للارهاب بضرورة التحرك مرسلين دعماً عسكرياً تزامن مع دعم تركي بالآليات وكل أنواع الأسلحة لتنفيذ اوامر بتشديد القصف على المواقع الروسية، ففهمت موسكو الرسالة الأميركية والتركية لكن الترك لم يفهموا إلا الجانب الظاهري منها وهو رغبة الأميركيين وحلفائهم بتمديد الأزمة السورية. وهذا يتطلب تأييداً لتركيا في سورية بما هي آخر جدار يمنع الدولة السورية من الانتقال الى شرقي الفرات، لذلك استغلّ اردوغان الهوس الغربي بإدلب، فاعتبره وسيلة لإعادة إحياء طموحاته، فهل هذه هي الأهداف الأميركية فقط؟

يريد الأميركيون من إيقاف تقدم الجيش السوري نحو إدلب ثلاث مسائل مترابطة:

أولاً إرجاء حل الازمة السورية حتى اشعار آخر، لأن واشنطن لا تملك معارضات سورية وازنة تستطيع استعمالها في مرحلة الحل السياسي.

والدليل أن كل شخصيات المعارضة التي كانت تحتل شاشات التلفزة العالمية والخارجية اختفت بعد انهيار الإرهاب في غربي سورية ولم يبق إلا الاخوان المسلمون الغافون في حضن التركي وجبهة النصرة الارهابية وتنظيمات القاعدة.

أما الأميركيون في شرقي الفرات فهم قوة احتلال مباشر يتسترون بالأكراد في «قوات سورية الديموقراطية» «قسد» كواجهة لاستمرار دورهم المتراجع الى حد بعيد.

ثانياً: تفجير العلاقات الروسية التركية، يعرف الأميركيون أن المماطلة التركية في الانسحاب من ادلب تدفع نحو انهيار التقدم في العلاقات المتطورة بين انقرة وموسكو.

لذلك منحوا انقرة مهلة شهرين إضافيين لإلغاء صفقة صواريخ أس أس 400 الروسية مع طموح أميركي كبير بتعطيل خط الغاز الروسي التركي نحو اوروبا وإيقاف السخاء الروسي بالسماح لنحو خمسة ملايين سائح بارتياد ربوع تركيا وإنفاق مدخراتهم بما يؤدي الى دعم الاقتصاد التركي المعاقب من الأميركيين.

ثالثاً: وهو الأكثر أهمية ويتعلق ببحث أميركي عميق عن وسائل وموانع تحدُّ من التراجع الأميركي في الشرق الأوسط.

وهذا يتطلّب وقف الصعود الروسي ومنعه من الوصول الى شرقي الفرات والحدود مع العراق.

لذلك يريد الأميركيون إشغال الروس في شمالي سورية ومناطق اخرى، ومنعهم من العودة الى فضاءات سوفياتية سابقة في العراق واليمن وليبيا والسودان بما يكشف الربط الأميركي بين الدفاع عن أحاديتهم العالمية وبين معركة ادلب.

وما محاصرة إيران ومحاولات إسقاطها بالعقوبات الاقتصادية إلا وسيلة لمنع تشظي الأحادية الأميركية على قاعدة انبثاق تعددية في إنتاج القرار الدولي تكبح الجنون الأميركي.

هذا ما يريده الأميركيون، أما السوريون فعقدوا العزم على تحرير إدلب وكامل المناطق المحتلة بتعاون روسي ايراني يريد معالجة الجنون الأميركي بالجراحة العسكرية في ميادين سورية المنتصرة.

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Fires devour wheat and barley farms in Hasaka, Deir Ezzor, locals point an accusing finger at Qasad, Daesh remnants

ST

Created on Monday, 10 June 2019 19:19

Hasaka, Deir Ezzor – Wildfire has roared through vast areas in Hasaka and Deir Ezzor provinces as it has consumed wheat and barley crops, inflicting heavy losses upon farmers who had worked in their farms for several months to guarantee their livelihood.

The high temperature has not been the only reason behind the eruption of fires as many locals point an accusing finger at Qasad Militia and the remnants of Daesh (ISIS) terrorists as they hold them responsible for the eruption of fire in different areas across the two provinces.

About two weeks ago, when the harvest season of wheat and barley crops started in Hasaka province, fires started to devour all the farms in their path as tens of fires have grown to about 70 thousand dunums and they have devoured about 18 thousand tons of wheat and barley taking into consideration that the cultivated area in the province in general reached up to 910 thousand hectares.

The phenomenon of fire eruption is considered the first of its type in Hasaka as the high temperature is not something new in the province, according to Assistant Director of Hasaka Agricultural Department Rajab al-Salameh.

Al-Salameh affirmed to SANA reporter that such phenomenon hasn’t took place in the previous seasons with regard to the spread of fires and the affected areas as fires used to be limited and the reasons behind them have been clear over the past years.

Daham al-Sultan, a farmer from Hasaka, talked about the suffering of farmers as most of them haven’t harvested their crops yet, adding that the fires are out of control as they can’t be extinguished by the locals through primitive ways in light of the hurdles created by some parties which control the area.

Al-Sultan went on saying “Fires grew to an area of 2500 dunums which had been planted with rainfed barley and wheat in Rajm Farhan village in Hasaka eastern countryside  and it devoured our farms.”

He indicated that fires had been controlled in the rest of areas by the locals who used their agricultural tractors and private water tanks as the required ways for extinguishing fires such as fire engines and others are not available in the areas were fire erupted.

On June 1st, farmers started to harvest and market wheat crops for the current year as the season seemed to be promising, yet fires which has raged through vast areas made them live in a state of anxiety despite of all the taken measures by the state for controlling these fires.

Local sources in Hasaka province pointed an accusing finger at members of Qasad militia for committing arson within their policy which aims at exerting pressure on the locals and preventing them from handing their crops to the governmental centers.

The situation of Hasaka farmers is not very different from those in Deir Ezzor province, particularly in the areas which are controlled by Qasad militia where fires were set to vast fields intentionally as the locals directly accuse Qasad militia and Daesh sleeper cells of committing arson there.

Abu Mohammad, one of the locals of Sour City in Deir Ezzor northern countryside, says that fires which have been set to many areas in the province have devoured hundreds of hectares planted with wheat and barley crops.

Abu Mohammad accused Qasad militia directly of setting fires to wide areas as it was choosing the farms of the families which reject to deal or obey its orders and it set fires to them to punish those families.

Locals believe that Qasad militia seeks through setting fires to the agricultural farms to prevent farmers from benefiting from them because they reject to sell their crops to the militia and to force them to join their ranks as it would be the only way for guaranteeing their livelihood.

Elderly Abu Mukhlef, a farmer from al-Hussan village in Deir Ezzor northwestern countryside, indicated that most of the fires have been intentionally set to the farms by the remnants of Daesh terrorists and their sleeper cells to inflict the biggest possible damage on farmers and the locals who have rejected to join their ranks.

 

Explaining Russia’s Position on Idlib

June 04, 2019

by Ollie Richardson for The Saker Blog

Explaining Russia’s Position on Idlib

Over the past five years my work in the information space has been consciously aimed at explaining why the Russian military does and doesn’t do certain things, whether it be in relation to Ukraine, Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Venezuela, etc, and why demanding that Putin bombs everything in sight is exactly what the CIA wants so-called “pro-Russians” to say. Yet I haven’t exhausted (maybe I never will exhaust it?) this topic because it is so vast and, ultimately, complex. And it is because of this seemingly insurmountable complexity that questions like “Why doesn’t Russia liberate all of Ukraine”“Why doesn’t Russia save Donetsk and Lugansk in the same way it saved Crimea?”“Why doesn’t Russia boot America out of Syria?”, etc are asked on social media.

But one statement that I haven’t really addressed (until now) is “Why doesn’t Russia liberate all of Idlib in one fell swoop?”. Many “geniuses” like to say that Putin is in bed with the “Ottoman butcher” Erdogan and has thus “betrayed Syria”, similar to how shaking hands with Netanyahu means that Putin is a Zionist and has “betrayed Syria”, or even that a visit of the Saudi King to Moscow means that Putin has the blood of Yemen on his hands.

So, those “pro-Russian” readers who fear that they may be one step ahead of the Kremlin and can see an iceberg on the horizon needn’t worry – another Putin-esque zugswang is in progress!

When Russia sent its aviation to Hmeymim airbase in Syria in 2015 the primary mission was simple: remove Turkey – the main belligerent – from the game. Ankara benefited from ISIS’ theft of Syrian oil and controlled many jihadist groups on the ground (Ahrar al-Sham being the main one). Then in November 2015 the CIA (via the PM at the time Ahmet Davutoğlu) decided to float a test balloon and see how Russia would react to a carefully designed scenario. A Turkish F-16 shot down a Russian Su-24. It didn’t matter if the Turkish jet was in Syrian airspace or not, as Moscow knew exactly what had happened, and all the other players knew that Moscow knew. The actual murder of one of the ejecting Russian pilots was carried out by a proxy (a Grey Wolf), and not by a Turkish soldier. But in any case, this test miserably failed, because Russia did not react in a way that would contravene international law (the immediate response happened hours after the shootdown – Russian “advisors” and Syrian troops went to Latakia with MLRS and wiped out the “terrorists who were responsible”, who just happened to be Turkmen). Since military operations generally take place within the framework of economic conflicts (securing assets), the manner in which Russia responded to Turkey in the format état-à-état was the equivalent of what the lunatic Zhirinovsky suggested to do, just without the war crimes.

The sanctions on Turkey (aimed at the CIA-Gulen bloc in reality) negated what Ankara was gaining from stealing Syrian oil, and so the Syrian theater became a zero-sum game for Erdogan. In May 2016 Davutoğlu was removed from the picture. Erdogan was forced to take part in the Astana Agreement and start the process of throwing his proxies in Syria under the bus (or onto green buses!) within the framework of what was given the reputation-saving name of “de-escalation zones”.

This was Moscow’s way of countering the game orchestrated by John Kerry, where a pocket in Eastern Syria would magically open (ISIS would go on an offensive) at a time when al-Nusra was on the ropes in Western Syria. This tactic hoped to tire out the Syrian Army and Russian “advisors” and maximise their casualties. Whilst never admitted in public by Moscow (naturally), “de-escalation zones” actually meant “we will liberate Aleppo and thus recapture all of the ‘useful’ (where most people live, in the West) part of Syria, after which the pace of the theater will have been slowed down enough to start work on eliminating the other players”.

After Aleppo was liberated (the Turkish-controlled groups magically withdrew), Russia continued, via the “de-escalation zones”, to whittle down the large list of terrorist groups into two categories: terrorists no longer supported by Turkey (loyal to al-Nusra leader Jolani) and tame terrorists still supported by Turkey. The former category would be shipped to Idlib via green buses, and the latter category would be used to keep the trecherous Kurds and the CIA-Mossad “Rojava” plan at bay.

In parallel to this, the Astana group managed to smash the Gulf bloc into fragments, liquidating their pet terrorist proxies in Syria and forcing them one by one to normalise relations with Assad, since the dollar is becoming a suitcase without a handle.

The question of the S-400 is more complex and isn’t just about defending Turkish skies. It symbolises more a commitment to play by the rules of the newly emerging world order (based on self-defence and international law) and to no longer indulge in the casino known as “Responsibility to Protect” (or in simpler terms – multipolarity vs unipolarity). Similarly, Turkish Stream is another example of Moscow thrusting a lance through the rotting corpse of NATO. In general, Turkey is geographically positioned almost in the center of the battle of superpowers. For Ankara, bearing in mind that the US tried to stage a coup there in 2016 and had a hand in the assasination of Andrey Karlov, the Russian ambassador to Turkey, it is more profitable to look East than it is to look West, and this was why Turkey wasn’t in a hurry to join the EU, since it saw the geopolitical storm brewing on the horizon and wasn’t prepared to kiss the ass of the IMF anymore.

So, returning back to the Syrian timeline, whilst al-Nusra was being herded into Idlib, and since Trump cut aid to US-backed terrorists, Turkey was able to monopolise the “Free Syrian Army” aesthetics (abandoned by the US) and occupy areas of Northern Syria whilst making it look like they are “Syrian rebels” and not Turkish proxies, all for the purpose of preventing the Kurds from travelling any more Westward than they already have. And here is where the array of interests becomes interesting:

  • Russia and Iran have basic diplomatic relations with the YPG/SDF (they are Syrian citizens after all) and want them to abandon the US/Tel Aviv/Riyadh;
  • The Syrian State wants the YPG/SDF to return to the bosom of the state and hand over the territories they occupy back to the Syrian Army;
  • Turkey wants the YPG/SDF removed from the picture/disbanded entirely, but has developed ties with Russia and Iran;
  • The YPG/SDF will not negotiate with Turkey unless it can hide behind America’s skirt;
  • Formally, Syria views Turkey as an aggressor, although behind the curtain Damascus has a pragmatic consensus with Moscow, which gave Turkey the green light to enter Syria in order to quell Rojava, and which is trying to stabilise the region and include all regional players in the Eurasian bloc;

Yes, it’s complicated. But here is a simple fact that helps the layperson to understand the situation: America has nuclear weapons. This is why Russia cannot stop the US from occupying Northeast Syria (which was plan B, plan A being a replica of Gaddafi’s removal, which failed after Russia cemented the Minsk Agreements in Ukraine). It can squash its proxies that are West of the Euphrates, yes, but it cannot touch US (non-proxy) assets, in the same way that Washington cannot touch Russian (non-proxy) assets. Or rather – they can directly touch each other’s assets, but any “victory” will be completely pyrrhic. From Russia’s perspective, the aim is to make friends with everyone, since the fewer enemies one has, the better.

While the core of the Turkish proxies is busy caging in (so-called “outposts”) al-Nusra militants in Idlib governorate, repelling the Kurds, and occasionally killing US soldiers, a kind of negotiation game between Turkey and Russia is ongoing:

  • Turkey needs a terroristified Idlib as leverage against all players but is happy to hand the governorate over to Assad piece by piece in exchange for pieces of the S-400/Turk Stream/general Eurasian bloc project;
  • Russia occasionally bombs Idlib in order to exercise its superior leverage over Turkey (the media presents this as “there were talks, but Russia continues to bomb Idlib”), the interim “ceasefire deals” are simply checkpoints in these grand negotiations;
  • Turkey turns a blind eye to al-Nusra’s oil operations (which feed their occupation of the governorate);
  • As an act of “hybrid war”, Russia and friends assist in the process of assassinating the commanders of al-Nusra in Idlib, since the less leverage Turkey has, the quicker the Idlib circus can end;
  • The West broadcasts propaganda about hospitals being bombed simply to cover up the fact that they have been arming and funding Al Qaeda for decades.

The “x-factor” in this conundrum is Trump’s “pull-out”. If US troops pull out of Northeast Syria completely, it would be in Russia’s interests if Turkey filled the void and proverbially herded the Kurds back towards Assad. For America, the sooner this war ends the quicker US troops can return home, but Trump won’t exit without getting something in return. However, there is a big problem – Zionism. Tel Aviv tries to keep America in Syria. Netanyahu didn’t spend all that time begging Uncle Sam to invade Iraq just for him to leave when the going got tough. Moreover, Iraq is already falling into the hands of Iran, and sooner or later the S-400 will be sat in Mesopotamia. Not to mention the fact that Russia is entrenching itself in Lebanon. Did I mention that Trump’s (purposeful?) decisions (and failed “deals of the century”) are strengthening the Palestinian resistance (example)? So what in all honesty does Israel hope to do?

Well, since everything that happened in the Middle East since 2001 (and arguably even earlier) is mainly in Israel’s interests, especially the Syrian war, it’s not a surprise that 8 years of full-scale local proxy warfare has reduced to… Israel taking aerial pot shots at a limited slice of Syrian territory. I have already explained why Russia doesn’t react to these airstrikes in the way that social media guerrillas would like, and all that has happened since is Netanyahu’s election victory. I would only add that bombing Syria became even riskier for Tel Aviv, since the SAA air defence units gain more experience with each new raid. Moscow managed to make a nice gesture to Israel, recovering from Syria the remains of an Israeli soldier missing since the 1982 war in Lebanon, but it wasn’t done for the purpose of stopping the airstrikes. It was simply a typical Russian diplomatic move based on the concept of “violence doesn’t beget violence”. Deflecting Israel’s airstrikes is the job of the Syrian air defences. The Israeli media presents this as “Russia has friendly relations with Israel and knows that Jerusalem considers Iran its leading existential threat, so does not block Israeli strikes at Iranian targets and those of its proxies, but on one condition: Stay out of Russia’s way and give ample warning so there won’t be a repeat of incidents like the one in which Syria shot down a Russian spy plane, possibly because of confusing signals by Israel”. However, in reality Russia wants Syria to become an independent adult, capable of defending itself without requiring Russia’s help, and it is only in this way that Syria will be able to successfully integrate itself into the Eurasian bloc. Of course, logically speaking, if Israel just left Syria alone and minded its own business, then Iranian forces wouldn’t even be in Syria. But I think that most know by now that Israel wanted (and maybe still wants) to carve Syria into 3 pieces along sectarian lines.

Another layer of the Israel problem is the fact that America is standing behind it (and thus the diplomatic support of many banana republics) and an illegal nuclear program, so it’s leverage when compared to Syria’s is superior, hence why the airstrikes happen in the first place. The incident with the downing of the Russian surveillance plane didn’t really change much, because Moscow knows that apartheid Israel is the main troublemaker in the Middle East (and even more so in Ukraine – those who truly understand Ukrainian history will understand why I say this), and the Syrian war coming to an end (whilst strengthening Israel’s neighbours in parallel) is in itself a blow to Tel Aviv.

What is very common to see now is countries seemingly sat on two chairs – the West and Eurasia. For example: Serbia, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia show signs of looking both West and East. What is going on in reality is many tugs of war between superpowers, and the stronger Russia’s military and China’s economy become, the more it tips the scales in their favour, and the more “multipolar” the world becomes. It’s not that the US’ influence in a “converted” country disappears (the creation of NGOs is not illegal, and liberalism as an ideology cannot be physically destroyed), but more that the influence becomes less as the country adjusts to the new global economic reality. Although if Trump is indeed playing 4D chess with the “deep state” and is deliberately de-globalising the planet, then this shrinking of influence may be more fluid and less volatile than it seems.

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In summary: Turkey – the driving force behind the Anglo-Israeli proxies in Syria – was forced to abandon its plans in Syria after NATO’s Su-24 shootdown gambit failed; Ankara and Moscow now mutually exchange a piece of Idlib for a piece of S-400; the Syrian war is now at the “exit negotiations” stage, but Israel doesn’t want to be left alone with a stronger Syrian Army, Hezbollah, and Palestinian resistance at its border; Russia isn’t in a hurry to liberate Idlib, since an alternative plan is to let the jihadists kill each other like spiders in a jar, thus the lives of SAA soldiers are not put in danger unnecessarily.

PS I am well aware that Turkey creates local councilsmilitary adminstrations, and civilian infrastructure in North Syria, and I am not an advocate of such behavior but I don’t pretend to be more qualified than the Kremlin when it comes to solving such problems. I doubt that the Kurds would have behaved any different had they succeeded to create “rojava” in the summer of 2016. As for America, just look at what it has done to Raqqa and Mosul. Out of these options, I would prefer a temporary Turkish occupation, knowing that in the near future the situation would improve.

الجيش السوري يجابه عشر قوى في تحرير إدلب!

مايو 24, 2019

د. وفيق إبراهيم

تقتفي القوى المعادية لتحرير محافظة إدلب حركة الجيش السوري في أنحاء بلاده منذ ثماني سنوات وتواصل إطلاق اتهامات بأنه يقتل المدنيين، لكن هناك ملاحظة أساسية، فهذه القوى لم تجتمع في ايّ تقدّم للجيش السوري بمثل هذه الشراسة التي هي عليها اليوم وبالوتيرة العالية نفسها بالرفض والتهديد كانت في المراحل السابقة تترك لجزء منها إدارة المعركة والتهديد، وتمنح القسم الباقي وجهاً معتدلاً كافياً خلفها لمرحلة اللزوم.

يبدو أنّ لمعركة إدلب خصوصية عالية المستوى في الصراعات السورية الداخلية والإقليمية والدولية، تدفع كلّ هذه القوى الى الانغماس العلني بشكل لا تختلف فيه عن المنظمات الإرهابية التي تحتل ادلب وأرياف حماه وحلب.

مَن هي هذه القوى؟

تركيا هي المتورّطة الاولى في محافظة ادلب والشمال وأرياف حلب وحماة وفي آخر موقف لها أرسلت تعزيزات عسكرية تركية مباشرة ودعم عسكري بالأسلحة الثقيلة من دبابات وصواريخ لهيئة تحرير الشام النصرة والقاعدة وجيش العزة ومنظمة حراس الدين واللواء التركستاني وكتائب الاخوان المسلمين ولديها غرفة أركان لإدارة المعركة قالت كل وسائل الاعلام انها بمحاذاة حدودها مع سورية.

أما المتورط الثاني فهم الأميركيون الذين أطلقوا تهديدين متتابعين ضد اي هجوم لتحرير ادلب، مرة في 2018 حذر فيه رئيسهم دونالد ترامب من الهجوم على المحافظة لعدم قتل المدنيين رابطاً بين هجوم فوري لبلاده وأي استعمال للكيماوي.

لكنه اليوم يبدو أكثر عنفاً فيستند الى اتهام أطلقته جبهة النصرة الارهابية زعمت فيه أن الجيش السوري استهدف بالكيماوي قرية في شمال اللاذقية من دون اي اصابات في صفوف الإرهابيين.

فعمم الأميركيون الاتهام زاعمين انهم بدأوا تحقيقاً هو الذي سيحدد شكل تصرفهم والطريف أن القرية المعنية لا تزال تحت سيطرة الإرهاب فكيف يرسل الاميركيون فريقاً للتحقيق؟ ألا يدل هذا الأمر على مدى التنسيق بين الطرفين؟ ويفضح اسباب التحذير الاميركي العنيف من اي هجوم على ادلب؟

لجهة الطرفين الرابع والخامس فهما من اللوازم القانونية لهيمنة الاميركيين وهي الامم المتحدة التي حذرت من قتل المدنيين ودعت الى وقف لإطلاق النار.

وفعلت مثلها جامعة الدول العربية بدعوتها لوقف إطلاق النار واستنكرت الهجوم الصاروخي على مكة ففهم المتابعون ان ابو الغيظ يظنّ أن ادلب في جوار مكة.

وهذا حال الأوروبيين في بريطانيا وفرنسا اصحاب الموقعين السادس والسابع فهؤلاء يتبعون المعلم الأميركي في سورية لعلهم يقعون على بئر غاز او نفط وصفقات إعادة إعمار واقتصاد.

فيحضرون مواقفهم مكتوبة مسبقاً ويتلونها بالتوافق مع المصالح الاميركية واحلامهم بالعودة الى المسرح الدولي.

على مستوى السعودية فلا تنفك تصرخ لحماية المدنيين في ادلب، وهي المتهمة بالقتل والسفك منذ تأسيسها، والإعدام عندها بقطع الرأس بالسيف أصبح فولوكلوراً سعودياً عادياً شبيهاً برقصة «العرضة» ومسابقة «أجمل بعير».

وآل سعود الذين يعادون السياسة التركية في العالم العربي بحدة كبيرة، يجدون أنفسهم في ادلب على مقربة منهم، ليس حباً بهم بل لذعرهم من امكانية انتصار الدولة السورية وانتهاء الحرب على اراضيها، فينتهي عندها الدور العربي السعودي بشكل كامل لذلك يواصل السعوديون تمويل الإرهاب تحت مسمى دعم العشائر والكرد في شرقي الفرات ومحافظة ادلب.

لجهة الإمارات فهي جزء اساسي من الدور الاميركي في الشرق العربي، فلا تفعل الا بالانسجام معه لتنفيذ كل مقتضياته، خصوصاً دعم المنظمات الارهابية في سورية والعراق وليبيا والسودان والجزائر.

هذه القوى التسع تدعم الارهاب الذي يجسد الموقع العاشر منتشراً في مساحات كبيرة بين ارياف حماه وحلب وشمالي اللاذقية وادلب، بعديد يصل الى ثلاثين ألف ارهابي ينتمون الى عشرات الجنسيات الصينية والروسية والغربية والعربية والأوروبية والسورية.

وهذه معلومات موثقة تؤكدها المرجعيات الأمنية والإعلامية الدولية.

بالعودة الى الاسباب التي تدفع الى اتفاق هذه القوى على رفض تحرير ادلب يجد الاميركيون ان تحرير سورية لمحافظتها في إدلب لا يعني إلا نقل الصراع معها الى شرقي الفرات وبداية انقراض نفوذها هناك الى جانب تراجع منظمة قسد الكردية وانفراط عقدها، الأمر الذي يدفعهم الى التمسك بإدلب فيمنعون ايضاً الحل السياسي للازمة السورية لأنهم لا يريدون عملياً الا مراوحة هذه الازمة لاطول مدة ممكنة، وهذا لا يكون إلا بإبقاء الارهاب في ادلب.

الترك من جهتهم يربطون بين دورهم السوري ومحافظتهم على احتلال ادلب لأن تحريرها يدفع حججهم للبقاء في شمال سورية ويمنع اي دور لهم في الدولة السورية، كما انهم يخشون من انفلات الدور الكردي في سورية الى تركيا نفسها.

هذا ما يجعل من الطرفين الأميركي والتركي متناقضين في شرقي سورية والعراق وليبيا واليمن، ولا يتفقان إلا في ادلب لأنهما يسندان بعضهما بعضاً في وجه الدولة السورية والصعود الروسي وحزب الله وإيران المتحالفين بعمق مع الدولة السورية.

لجهة الإرهاب فالقاعدة والاخوان يتشبثان بإدلب فهي آخر مواقع لهم اي آخر نفوذهم الاجتماعي والسياسي والارهابي واندحارهم من ادلب هو شبه نهاية ما تبقى من دولة عثمانية او خلافة وامارة مؤمنين.

إسرائيل بدورها تصرُ على استمرار الازمة السورية لأنها تمنع بذلك اعادة تأسيس دولة سورية بوسعها منع تمرير صفقة القرن.

اما بالنسبة لجامعة الدول العربية والأمم المتحدة والاوروبيين فهؤلاء أبواق اميركية تدوي عند الحاجة الاميركية اليها.

بالمقابل تسأل الدولة السورية كيف يمكن لهذا التحالف الدولي أن يطلب منها عقد وقف إطلاق للنار مع النصرة الإرهابية وان تصر المخابرات التركية على دعم الإرهاب وتمثيله في اجتماعات وقف إطلاق النار.

ان إنهاء الدور التركي في سورية يبدأ من بوابة تحرير ادلب كما يقول السوريون تماماً، كما ان انهاء الدور الأميركي في المنطقة يصل الى مبتغاه مع فرار الجيش الاميركي ومعه «قسد» الكردية من شرقي الفرات.

وهذا ما يعمل عليه الجيش السوري تدريجياً بسلسلة تحالفات مع حزب الله وايران وروسيا لتنفيذ التحرير على انقاض الارهاب وداعميه الداخليين والاقليميين والدوليين.

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Syria in Past 24 Hour: US-Backed SDF’s Military Bases Torched in Popular Uprising in Hasaka

Thu May 23, 2019 2:31
Syria in Past 24 Hour: US-Backed SDF's Military Bases Torched in Popular Uprising in Hasaka
TEHRAN (FNA)- The people of Hasaka set on fire the military bases of the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces in a Hasaka region as tensions and differences rose between people and SDF in areas under their control.

Hasaka

The angry residents of Hasaka torched the security centers of SDF across the city, the Arabic-language al-Watan newspaper reported.

The newspaper noted that people’s fury in Hasaka’s Khashman district came after SDF killed a young man who had resisted forced recruitment of soldiers by the SDF.

Al-Watan pointed to the wide differences between Hasaka people and SDF militants in Khashman region, and said the SDF has dispatched reinforcement and military equipment to the region.

Meantime, battlefield sources in Hasaka reported that Asayesh and Military Police militants affiliated to the SDF launched massive attacks on the towns of Nas Tal, Daraja, Un al-Rous and other towns in Tal Barak region, and said that the Kurdish militants have arrested tens of civilians, including teachers, for forced recruitment.

Damascus, Dara’a

The Syrian Army seized a large amount of weapons and military equipment, including Turkish and US-made arms and ammunition, in areas and military bases formerly held by the terrorists Damascus and Dara’a provinces.

The Syrian Army’s engineering units during their clean-up operations in the towns of Damascus and Dara’a province discovered several arms depots and former hideouts of the terrorists which contained large amounts of weapons and military equipment.

Meantime, a Syrian Army’s military source announced that the Syrian Army units found different kinds of machineguns, combat rifles, RPGs, mortar and shoulder-mounted rockets which were made in the US and Turkey.

Hama

The Syrian Army backed by the Russian Air Force thwarted consecutive attacks by terrorists on their military positions in Northern Hama, inflicting heavy losses on the militants and killing at least 80 of them.

The Syrian Army engaged in fierce clashes with Tahrir al-Sham al-Hay’at, Jeish al-Izzah and Turkistani Party terrorist groups who had launched massive rocket attacks on army’s military positions and exploded bomb-laden vehicles along al-Hobait-Kafr Naboudeh axis in Northern Hama.

Meantime, other Syrian Army clashed with other terrorist groups who had attacked the Syrian Army’s military positions in Tal Hawash, al-Hamirat and al-Hawiz regions.

The Arabic-language website of the Russian Sputnik News Agency quoted a military source as saying that the Russian and Syrian fighter jets pounded the contact lines of the terrorists in Khan Sheikhoun, al-Hobait, al-Qasabiyeh and Abedin in Northern Hama and Southern Idlib concurrent with several-hour-long clashes between the Syrian Army and militants.

It noted that the terrorists sustained a heavy defeat in all their failed attacks which were the heaviest of their kind in recent months, and said that at least 80 terrorists were killed and tens of others were injured as well as destroying at least 12 military vehicles and bomb-laden military vehicles.

Meantime, Tahrir al-Sham terrorists deployed in Western Aleppo launched rocket attacks on Aleppo City’s residential areas, injuring several civilians, including children.

The terrorists’ attacks on Aleppo City’s residential areas took place with the aim of supporting the terrorists in Northern Hama.

Idlib, Aleppo

Terrorists in Syria are planning chemical attacks in the Idlib de-escalation zone, as well as in the west of the Aleppo province, the head of the Russian center for Syrian reconciliation said on Tuesday.

“The militants plan to stage such provocations in the village of Jarjanaz, as well as in the town of Saraqib, where a group of children and adults — refugees from the Southern provinces of Syria — have already been gathered. Similar preparations are underway in the West of Aleppo province”, Maj. Gen. Viktor Kupchishin stated at a daily briefing, RIA Novosti reported.

Kupchishin added that terrorists operating in the Idlib de-escalation zone possess a significant amount of poisonous substances with which they fill munitions to use in staged provocations aimed at accusing the Syrian Army of “chemical attacks” against the civilian population.

Also on Wednesday, the Kurdish fighters conducted two military operations on Ankara-backed militants in occupied Afrin region in Northwestern Aleppo, killing and injuring 14 of them, media sources said.

The Kurdish-language Hawar News reported that the Afrin Liberation Forces launched fresh military operations against the Turkish Army and its allied militants in Afrin, hitting a military position of al-Jbahat al-Shamia in the village of Shara which resulted in the death of eight Ankara-backed militants and injury of three others.

The Kurdish fighters also pounded a center of Ahrar al-Sharqiyeh in the town of Bastouleh in Shirava region, killing and injuring three others.

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Syrian War Report – May 17, 2019: Syrian Army Eliminated 45 Militants In Recent Clashes

South Front

The Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and its allies in northwestern Hama eliminated at least 45 militants during the past few days, according to pro-government sources.

Lt. Col. Mohammed Mahmoud Al-Shamali of Jaysh al-Nasir, Captain Ahmed Ismail and Mohamad Najar of the Idlib Free Army and Mohammed Abdul Karim and Muayad al-Jasser of Jaysh al-Izza were among the eliminated militants.

Both Jaysh al-Nasir and the Idlib Free Army are a part of the Turkish-backed coalition of militant groups, the National Front for Liberation (NFL), while Jaysh al-Izza is known to be a key ally of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (formerly the Syrian branch of al-Qaeda) in this part of Syria.

The SAA is currently developing its advance in the area of Sheikh Sultan.

In own turn, militants targeted a truck armed with a 23mm gun, a battle tank, an ammo truck and a pick-up truck belonging to the SAA around al-Huwayz with anti-tank guided missiles.

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham also claimed via its media wing that its members had shelled a “Russian operations room” in northwestern Hama with Grad rockets and artillery rounds. Pro-government source didn’t report any such incident. However, local sources said that several rockets landed in the village of al-Jarniyah injuring at least two children.

In the Homs desert, pro-government forces responded with a local security operation to the May 15 ISIS attack on SAA positions near the town of al-Sawwanah. According to the ISIS news agency Amaq, 21 SAA soldiers were killed in the incident, but this number was not confirmed by visual evidence.

A suicide vehicle-borne improvised explosive device exploded near a security center of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in the town of Manbij in the afternoon of May 16. A SDF security officer was killed and ten civilians were injured in the attack, most likely staged by ISIS.

 

 

MILITARY SITUATION IN SYRIA ON MAY 18, 2019 (MAP UPDATE)

The Syrian Arab Air Defense Forces intercepted several unidentified aerial objects over Damascus;

  • 42 ISIS members were detained and large quantities of weapons, including more than 40 sniper rifles, were captured as a result of the SDF operation in southeastern Deir Ezzor, the group claimed;
  • Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham militants are preparing a chemical provocation in the town of Saraqib, the Russian military warned;
  • The Damascus government and Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) swapped dozens of prisoners near al-Eis on May 17. HTS released nine captives including two women and a child. Damascus released twenty-seven prisoners from its jails;
  • The al-Qaeda-affiliated Turkistan Islamic Party (TIP) released a new propaganda video showcasing its heavy improvised rocket-assisted munition;
  • Clashes are ongoing in northwestern Hama and northern Lattakia

Military Situation In Syria On May 18, 2019 (Map Update)

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SYRIAN WAR REPORT – MAY 16, 2019: MILITANTS LOSE MORE TERRITORY AFTER FAILED COUNTER-ATTACK

South Front

Clashes between the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham-led coalition of militant groups continue in northwestern Hama and northern Lattakia.

4 SAA soldiers were killed and 7 others  were injured in a failed attack on Hayat Tahrir al-Sham positions near the town of Kabani, according to pro-militant sources. Militants captured bodies of 2 killed SAA soldiers and decapitated them.

After this, the SAA’s 4th Division delivered a series of strikes on militant positions near Kabani with Golan-1000 heavy rocket launcher 500mm improvised rocket-assisted munitions.

Last week, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham repelled a similar SAA attack in the same area. Than, a source in the 4th Division told SouthFront that the SAA was determined to continue its offensive actions in the area.

In northwestern Hama, the SAA and the Tiger Forces imposed control of the villages of al-Huwayz and Huriya and the nearby agricultural strip. Militants employed at least 2 battle tanks and 5 other armoured vehicles in attempts to repel the ongoing SAA advance. However, they failed. Most of the equipment were eliminated.

The main clashes are now ongoing in the area of al-Huwayz. The scale of the SAA operation remains limited, but it continues to make gains almost on a daily basis.

ISIS announced that it had carried out an attack on SAA positions near the Khounayfis phosphate mine in the province of Homs. The situation in the area remains unclear.

On May 15, the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and its security forces, commonly known as Asayish, launched a large-scale security operation in southeastern Deir Ezzor.

The operation targeted the remaining ISIS cells in the Middle Euphrates River Valley, especially in the town of al-Shheell, which witnessed a wave of protests against US-backed forces in the last few weeks.

According to the SDF, 20 ISIS terrorists and a large quantity of armament were captured in two tunnels in the village of al-Shheell. The Kurdish Hawar News Agency (ANHA) reported that four of the arrested terrorists were participating in al-Shheell protests.

Last week, the SDF and the US-led coalition killed six civilians during a failed security operation in Shheell. The incident provoked a new wave of anti-SDF protests in the town, which was met with a violent response from Asayish.

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