The Axis of Asymmetry takes on the ‘rules-based order’

FEB 23, 2024

Photo Credit: The Cradle

World War III is here, playing out asymmetrically in military, financial, and institutional battlefields, and the fight is an existential one. The western Hegemon, in truth, is at war against international law, and only ‘kinetic military action’ can bring it to heel.

Pepe Escobar

The Axis of Asymmetry is in full swing. These are the state and non-state actors employing asymmetrical moves on the global chessboard to sideline the US-led western rules-based order. And its vanguard is the Yemeni resistance movement Ansarallah. 

Ansarallah is absolutely relentless. They have downeda $30 million MQ-9 Reaper drone with just a $10k indigenous missile.

They are the first in the Global South ever to use anti-ship ballistic missiles against Israel-bound and/or -protecting commercial and US Navy ships. 

For all practical purposes, Ansarallah is at war with no less than the US Navy.

Ansarallah has captured one of the US Navy’s ultra-sophisticated autonomous underwater vehicles (AUV), the $1.3 million Remus 600, a torpedo-shaped underwater drone able to carry a massive payload of sensors. 

Next stop: reverse engineering in Iran? The Global South eagerly awaits, ready to pay in currencies bypassing the US dollar. 

All of the above – a maritime 21st-century remix of the Ho Chi Minh trail during the Vietnam War – spells out that the Hegemon may not even qualify as a paper tiger, but rather as a paper leech.

Lula tells it as the Global South sees it 

Into the Big Picture – linked to the relentless ongoing genocide perpetrated by Israel in Gaza – steps a true leader of the Global South, Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. 

Lula spoke in the name of Brazil, Latin America, Africa, BRICS 10, and the overwhelming majority of the Global South when he cut to the chase and defined the Gaza tragedy for what it is: a genocide. No wonder the Zionist tentacles across the Global North – plus its Global South vassals – went bonkers. 

The genocidals in Tel Aviv declared Lula as persona non grata in Israel. Yet Lula did not assassinate 29,000+ Palestinians – the overwhelming majority of whom were women and children.

History will be unforgiving: it’s the genocidals that will eventually be judged as personae non grata to all of humanity.

What Lula said represented BRICS 10 in action: this was obviously cleared before with Moscow, Beijing, Tehran, and, of course, the African Union. Lula spoke in Addis Ababa, and Ethiopia is now a BRICS 10 member.

The Brazilian president was extremely smart in timing his Gaza fact-check to be on the table during the G20 meeting of Foreign Ministers in Rio. Way beyond BRICS 10, what’s happening in Gaza is a consensus among the non-Western G20 partners – who are actually a majority. No one, though, should expect any serious follow-up inside a divided G20. The heart of the matter remains in the facts on the ground. 

Yemen’s fight for “our people” in Gaza is a matter of humanistic, moral, and religious solidarity – these are foundational tenets of the rising eastern “civilizational” powers, both domestically and in international affairs. This convergence of principles has now created a direct link – extrapolating to the moral and spiritual spheres – between the Axis of Resistance in West Asia and the Slavic Axis of Resistance in Donbass. 

Extreme attention should be paid to the timescale. The Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) forces and Russia have spent two hard-fought years in Novorossiya just to arrive at the stage where it becomes clear – based on the battlefield and cumulative facts on the ground – that “negotiations” mean only the terms of Kiev’s surrender.

In contrast, the job of the Axis of Resistance in West Asia has not even started. It’s fair to argue that its strength and full sovereign involvement have not been deployed yet (think Hezbollah and Iran). 

Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah, with his proverbial subtlety, has hinted there’s, in fact, nothing to negotiate on Palestine. And if there would be a return to any borders, these would be the 1948 borders. The Axis of Resistance understands that the whole Zionist Project is unlawful and immoral. But the question remains how to throw it, in practice, into the dustbin of History?

Possible – avowedly optimistic – scenarios ahead would include Hezbollah taking possession of the Galilee as a step toward the eventual retaking of the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. Yet the fact remains that even a united Palestine does not have the military capability to reconquer stolen Palestinian lands. 

So the questions posed by the overwhelming majority of the Global South that stands with Lula may be: Who else, apart from Ansarallah, Hezbollah, Hashd al-Shaabi, will join the Axis of Asymmetry in the fight for Palestine? Who would be willing to come to the Holy Land and die? (After all, in Donbass, it’s only Russians and Russophones who are dying for historically Russian lands)

And that brings us to the way towards the endgame: only a West Asian Special Military Operation (SMO), to the bitter end, will settle the Palestinian tragedy. A translation of what happens across the Slavic Axis of Resistance: “Those who refuse to negotiate with Lavrov, deal with Shoigu.”

The menu, the table, and the guests

That out-of-his-depth closet neocon, Secretary of State Tony Blinken, let the cat out of the bag when he actually defined his much cherished “rules-based international order”: “If you’re not on the table, you are on the menu.”

Following his own hegemonic logic, it’s clear that Russia and the US/NATO are on the table while Ukraine is on the menu. What about the Red Sea? The Houthis defending Palestine against US–UK–Israel are clearly on the table, while Western vassals supporting Israel in a maritime way are clearly on the menu. 

And that’s the problem: the Hegemon – or, in Chinese scholarly terminology, “the crusaders” – have lost the power to place the name cards on the table. The main reason for this authority collapse is the build-up of serious international meetings sponsored by the Russia–China strategic partnership during the past two years since the start of the SMO. It’s all about sequential planning, with long-term targets clearly outlined. 

Only civilizational states can do that – not plutocratic neoliberal casinos.   

Negotiating with the Hegemon is impossible because the Hegemon itself prevents negotiations (see the serial blocking of ceasefire resolutions at the UN). Additionally, the Hegemon excels in instrumentalizing its client elites across the Global South via threats or kompromat: see the hysterical reaction of Brazilian mainstream media to Lula’s verdict on Gaza. 

What Russia is showing the Global South, two years after the start of the SMO, is that the only path to teach a lesson to the Hegemon has to be kinetic, or “military-technical.”

The problem is no nation-state can compare to nuclear/hypersonic/military superpower Russia, in which 7.5 percent of the government’s budget is dedicated to military production. Russia is and will remain on a permanent war footing until Hegemon’s elites come to their senses – and that may never happen.

Meanwhile, West Asia’s Axis of Resistance is watching and learning, day after day. It’s always crucial to keep in mind that for all the resistance movements across the Global South – and that also includes, for instance, West Africans against French neo-colonialism – the geopolitical fault lines could not be starker.

It’s a matter of the collective West versus Islam; the collective West versus Russia; and sooner rather than later, a substantial part of the West, even reluctantly, versus China.

The fact is we are already immersed in a World War that is both existential and civilizational. As we stand at the crossroads, there is a bifurcation: either escalation towards overt “kinetic military action,” or a multiplication of Hybrid Wars across several latitudes. 

So it’s up to the Axis of Asymmetry, cool, calm, and collected, to forge the underground corridors, passages, and trails capable of undermining and subverting the US-led, unipolar, rules-based international order. 

The views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of The Cradle.

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LATEST POSTS

African Union suspends Niger, rejects African and intl. intervention

August 22, 2023

Source: Agencies

African heads of state attend the 35th Ordinary Session of the African Union (AU) Assembly in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, Saturday, Feb. 5, 2022. (AP)

By Al Mayadeen English

African Union announced in a statement that Niger has been suspended from all of its operations but also warned against any intervention in Niger following a military stand-by announcement from the West African bloc ECOWAS.

The African Union (AU) announced in a statement on Tuesday that Niger has been suspended from all of its operations, repeating calls for the coup leaders to release elected President Mohamed Bazoum and go back to their barracks.

Earlier, the West African bloc ECOWAS decided to activate a standby force in preparation for a potential military intervention. In turn, the AU Peace and Security Council noted this decision and requested that the AU Commission evaluate the potential economic, social, and security repercussions of deploying such a force.

Moreover, the AU warned, with strong language, against any intervention in Niger by African counterparts or foreign countries, reaffirming that the AU called on its member states and the international community to refrain from undertaking decisions that could legitimize the junta in Niger.

ECOWAS calls Niger’s three-year transition plan “a joke”

The bloc of West African nations (ECOWAS) rejected, on Monday, a decision by Niger’s coup leaders to launch a three-year transition back to democracy.

ECOWAS Commissioner for Politics and Security Abdel-Fatau Musah described the proposal of a three-year transition as “a joke” and said the bloc would “never accept it”.

“We want constitutional order to be restored as soon as possible,” he said on Monday. “Military action is not off the table,” he warned.

The statements come amid a political climate rife with tensions as the bloc is mulling a military intervention. 

Read more: Niger junta, ECOWAS talks yield little: Source

The new military ruler General Abdourahamane Tiani had said that he would hold off a return to civilian rule within three years after army officers toppled President Mohamed Bazoum last month.

The announcement was issued after a delegation from ECOWAS left Niger after failing to reach an agreement with the junta on reinstating ousted President Mohammad Bazoum.

Read more: 300+ trucks with humanitarian aid arrive in Niger from Burkina Faso

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Niger puts an end to uranium and gold export to France

31 Jul 2023

Source: Agencies

This image from video shows the scene of a gold mine collapse in the Maradi region village of Dan Issa, Niger, near the border with Nigeria Sunday Nov. 7, 2021. (AP)

By Al Mayadeen English

Niger coup leader General Abdourahamane Tchiani, despite being EU’s largest supplier of uranium, halts uranium and gold export to France.

With immediate effect, the Republic of Niger under the leadership of General Abdourahamane Tchiani, and supported by the people of the Republic, announced the suspension of the export of uranium and gold to France on Sunday.

In parallel to the decision, protestors were surrounding the French Embassy in Niger calling for the end of French colonial practices repeating the slogan “Down with France!” and reaffirming their support to the coup leader, Tchiani.

Wazobia Reporters, a Nigerien news website, reported on protestor proclaiming “We have uranium, diamonds, gold, oil, and we live like slaves? We don’t need the French to keep us safe.”

Simultaneously the Nigerien coup leader has faced condemnations and threats from African governments that maintain ties with the European linked institutions such as the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and the EU as well as the African Union. In that regard, Tchiani said, “We want to once more remind ECOWAS or any other adventurer of our firm determination to defend our homeland.”

Read more: AU asks military in Niger to ‘return to their barracks’ within 15 days

It is also worth noting that Niger, according to the World Nuclear Association (WNA), is the world’s seventh-biggest producer of uranium. The WNA also confirms that Niger, in 2022, produced 2020 tU which would be considered just over 4% of world uranium output.

Currently, uranium production in Niger occurs mostly through a French majority-owned company called Orano which owns 63.4% of Société des Mines de l’Aïr (SOMAÏR). The remaining 36.66% of this is owned by Niger’s Société du Patrimoine des Mines du Niger, known as Sopamin.

In 2021, the European Union utilities purchased 2905 tU of Niger-produced uranium making Niger the leading uranium supplier vis-a-vis the EU.

Earlier, on July 28, Orano released a statement arguing that “the situation remains unstable” in Niger following the overthrowing of French ally and President of Niger Muhammed Bazoum. The company then added that it has “set up a crisis unit to prioritize the safety of its employees” and underscored that “this event to have any immediate impact on its activities in Niger or on the value of its assets.”

The coup in Niger follows a pattern of coups across the African continent such as Burkina Faso and Mali.

Read more: Niger junta accuse France of wanting to ‘intervene militarily’

African Union Suspends ‘Israeli’ Regime’s Observer Status

Feb 20, 2023

By Staff, Agencies

The African Union [AU] said the ‘Israeli’ regime’s observer status at the 55-nation bloc has been suspended and the regime was not invited to the union’s recent summit from which its delegation was kicked out.

Chairperson of the African Union Commission, Moussa Faki Mahamat, made the remarks on Sunday, a day after a Zionist delegation was forced out of the opening ceremony of the AU summit in the Ethiopian capital city of Addis Ababa.

Faki had granted the Zionist occupation regime the status in 2021, sparking an outcry across the pan-African bloc and vehement protests from key members, in Algeria and South Africa.

As a result, last year’s AU summit suspended a debate on whether to withdraw the accreditation of the Zionist regime and established a committee of heads of state to address the issue.

“That means that the [observer] status [of ‘Israel’] is suspended until such time as this committee can deliberate…and so we did not invite ‘Israeli’ officials to our summit,” Faki said, adding that an investigation was being conducted.

The Zionist regime has shown a fiery reaction to the Saturday incident that has gone viral across social media showing security guards approaching the ‘Israeli’ delegates and escorting them out after several minutes of argument.

The regime accused what it called a “small number of extremist states like Algeria and South Africa” of being behind the move.

South Africa, however, has roundly rejected the claim, saying Tel Aviv’s application for observer status at the AU has not been decided upon by the bloc.

“Until the AU takes a decision on whether to grant ‘Israel’ observer status,” it cannot have the regime “sitting and observing,” Clayson Monyela, head of public diplomacy in South Africa’s Department of International Relations and Cooperation, told Reuters.

“So, it’s not about South Africa or Algeria, it’s an issue of principle,” he added.

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Israeli Delegation Expelled from African Union Conference Hall in Addis Ababa: Video

 February 18, 2023

Members of the Israeli delegation were expelled from the African Union Conference Hall in the Ethiopian capital of Addis Ababa.

Well-informed sources indicated that the Zionist delegation used fake cards to enter the hall stealthily, adding that security personnel, accordingly, expelled them.

The incident occurred during the opening ceremony when the security personnel of the conference approached the members of the Israeli delegation and asked them to leave the hall.

It is worth noting that the African Union’s commission had cancelled the invitation sent to the Israeli enemy to attend as an observer upon pressures exerted by Algeria and South Africa.

Source: Al-Manar English Website

Why don’t the African cosmos support the West in its sanctions war against Russia?

July 06, 2022

Source

By José Francisco Lumango

The answer may not be simple. But the memory of European colonisation in Africa, and its harmful effects, are still visible despite the independence of its states, may be a reasonable way of understanding it. An African adage teaches that “One should never forget the lessons learned in times of pain”, which seems to be the source of inspiration for the African cosmos – the set of entities that formally and materially hold the power relations in Africa – not to forget the tragic consequences of European colonisation, to protect their independence and not repeat the errors of the past. Without being simplistic or too complex, the answer to the question in question may have several reasons:

1. Historical memory of colonisation and the struggle for national liberation: Russia, heir to the Former USSR, supported ideologically, politically, economically, and militarily the national liberation struggles of several African countries, which after the achievement of independence, followed the communist model as the basis of their political, social and economic construction. Even though they later adopted Western capitalism, the mentality of the African cosmos is still of Soviet influence, because it was there that most of them did their military and political training and received economic support to finance the liberation wars to put an end to Western colonisation, with direct and indirect help from Cuba as an intermediary in some cases. The cold war between the USA and NATO against the USSR led to civil wars in African countries to conquer the spaces of influence. After the fall of the Berlin wall and the resurgence of Russia, Westerners looked at the situation as an absolute victory. Despite this, the African cosmos has not forgotten colonisation, the interference of Western countries in their internal affairs, and the rigged processes of massive indebtedness of their economies as a way of controlling their strategic natural resources.

2. Recent memory of wars at the beginning of the 21st century: Beyond colonial issues, the African cosmos has been following since 2001 the behaviour of the West (US, NATO, and EU) in the wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, sweetened by the Arab Springs, attempted coups in Turkey, Kazakhstan, Pakistan, Tunisia, Egypt, etc., without forgetting the massacre in Rwanda and the war in Somalia and Yemen. These wars and coups have destroyed thousands of human lives, social infrastructure, jobs, etc. It was a catastrophe for the entire continent and nearby territories like South East Asia. The existing wars in Somalia, Yemen, Nigeria, Mali, Mozambique, DRC, Ethiopia, etc, allow the African cosmos, even those with strong ties to the West like Morocco, for example, not to act frontally against Russia, a fact verified in the recent votes of the UN General Assembly and the Human Rights Council which suspended it. The expulsion of French forces by the military junta in Mali and their replacement by the Russians through the Wagner group, like the construction of a port for the Russian Nave Arms on the Sudanese Red Sea coast, could be a revealing symptom.

3. The damaging memory of Western unipolarity and the chance for a global multipolar alternative power: For Alfredo Jalife-Rahme, the Ukrainian war is a civil war within Slavic civilisation, through several wars within it: economic-financial, propaganda-media, cultural, biological, radiological, and military war. It is a hybrid war that has ended with globalisation, as confirmed by Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock. For Alfredo Jalife-Rahme, it is not a question of total deglobalisation, but of economic-financial, cybernetic-digital, energy, and commercial deglobalisation. The West was no longer interested in economic-financial globalisation because they lost the battle against China, and cybernetic-digital globalisation (software, etc.) was won by the Indians. This bipolarity also involves the division of the UN Security Council into two blocs: the first composed of the US, UK, France (G7/NATO), and the second of Russia and China (Shanghai Group and BRICS). This situation led to an operational dysfunction of the WTO and led to the resignation of its previous Director General, Roberto Azevedo. In this sense, Jalife-Rahme quotes Philipe Stephens’ article “The world is marching back from globalisation”, where he states that “The US does not see a vital national interest in maintaining an order that transfers power to rivals”. Thus, according to Alfredo Jalife-Rahme, “Everything that is not globalised becomes balkanised”. Thus, the end of globalisation, especially the economic-financial one, as dictated by Larry Fink, will inevitably entail its balkanisation, through two regional blocs, i.e. de-globalisation and bipolar trans-meta-regionalisation, on one side the G7/NATO and EU, and on the other side the BRICS/Shanghai Group and Eurasian Union.

The de-globalisation said by Larry Fink is “neoliberal de-globalisation”, which occurs through the gradual paralysis of global supply chains, which are founded on the reduction of operating costs through outsourcing (relocation of companies) and downsizing (lowering labour costs to increase shareholder profits and value companies in capital markets), according to Alfredo Jalife-Rahme. The African cosmos believes that if Russia, even with nuclear weapons, a continental country with Eurasian tradition, which supplies almost 40% of energy resources and other strategic raw materials to the West, is treated this way, what will become of African countries, which are visibly weaker in military terms? The destruction of Libya for trying to sell oil in Euro and rejecting the USD may be indisputable proof.

The meddling of the West in Africa, beyond colonisation, needs no introduction. The wars and coups d’état in Guinea, Mali, Burkina Faso, Sudan, the Central African Republic, the civil war in Angola and other conflicts are facts that remain in the collective memory of the African cosmos. If the colonial memory was tragic, the expressive and aggressive interference of the West in the African cosmos is breaking any remaining trust, for historical reasons (over 400 years of colonisation), by unfair competition in the exploitation of natural resources, the massive interference in internal affairs by the IMF in the financing of road and housing infrastructures, etc., and the attempt to incorporate western values aggressively through sanctions and blackmail, even if these values do not correspond to the African historical-epistemic and gnosiological cosmogony.

4. China and Russia as a financial and military alternative for the existential survival of African countries in a multipolar world in the medium and long term: The African cosmos observes with concern and caution everything that Western leaders do against Russia as a result of the technical-military operation in Ukraine, regardless of the causes, which by common sense is perceived since 2014. The reason for this concern lies in the fact that whenever the West finds itself in crisis or politically, geostrategically, and economically cornered, it uses internal or external wars as a way out, a can be seen in the Roman wars, the colonisation of Africa, Asia, and Latin America, the Napoleonic wars, the First and Second World Wars. Faced with the circumstances, the African cosmos shows resistance towards sanctions against Russia, abstaining from votes at the UN, in official pronouncements, that is, maintaining certain strategic neutrality, despite the gigantic Western pressure, forcing them to choose a side as if they were still vassals or colonised. It is not that the African cosmos agrees in its entirety with Russia’s technical-military operation in Ukraine, insofar as, there is a history of invasions in Africa carried out by Westerners, Arabs, Persians, and Ottomans. The main concern is the need for an economic-financial and military alternative to the West for its own existential survival, and to protect itself from possible aggressive interference in the long term, when strategic reserves of Western raw materials reach their limit. The way the West behaved during the Covid19 Pandemic in the context of vaccine distribution policies, by buying in advance almost 80% of all vaccines in production in the world, leaving poor countries without vaccines even to buy for a certain period, and changing their position only when they realised that, the non-global distribution of the vaccines prolonged the pandemic, led to the creation of the COVAX system by the WHO, after harsh criticism from Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General of the WHO, stating that, “The growing gap between the number of vaccines offered in rich countries and those administered through COVAX is becoming “more grotesque by the day”. And how could it be otherwise, the gesture of Russia and China in the swift distribution of vaccines and protective medical supplies was taken into account by the African cosmos at the time of decision making. As is well known, China’s economic and Russia’s military presence in Africa is seen as an alternative guarantee to what the West is offering. Since 2002, while the West was distracted with its eternal wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Arab Spring, Syria, Libya, etc., China entered Africa in silence, massively funding road infrastructure projects etc., without interference in internal affairs, through the adoption of the “Win-Win” strategy.

Russia, on the other hand, has become the main military alternative, accounting for 49% of total arms exports to Africa by 2020, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) database, to avoid internal conflicts and protect itself from external interference. Paul Stronski confirms that “The rulers of many African countries look to Moscow from Soviet-era links, and Moscow takes advantage of this and manages to maintain its influence. In the case of Algeria [and Angola], this is done by writing off old debts. Sometimes Russia also makes generous promises, assuring that it will build workshops or facilities for manufacturing or maintenance.

The African cosmos serenely realises that a defeat of Russia in Ukraine will lead the world to a more aggressive, self-centred and militarised Western unipolarisation and the weaker countries will have no alternative for survival and existential resistance. The fear of perishing and becoming a colonial space again seems to be more important to the strategists of the African cosmos than Western values about democracy, neoliberalism, capitalism, etc. For the African cosmos, its course and future depend on the economic-financial cover of China and the military cover of Russia, so that there is a certain balance in its relations with the West.

And it considers the situation of Russia and Ukraine as an internal issue between brothers of the same homeland linked historically, culturally, linguistically, and religiously. But it does not mean that it wants a radical change in its strategic relations with the West. It is only a preventive measure of existential survival.

The way the West treats Ukrainian refugees compared to what has been done with African refugees arriving via the Mediterranean and from the Canary Islands via the Atlantic has not been forgotten, as have the Punic wars between Rome and Carthage and the destruction of Libya. These historical events may justify the fear of the African cosmos in resisting in the face of Western pressure to give up its strategic relations with Russia and China.

This neutrality and strategic ambiguity serve to prevent a geostrategic and existential risk for sovereign and independent countries in the medium and long term. And, according to an African adage “When two elephants fight, it is the grass that suffers”. Thus, the African cosmos realises that it is grass in this war of titans, and Ukraine only as a geostrategic, geopolitical, geoeconomic, and geofinancial singularity of the hegemonic power struggle between Eurasia and the West. So that may have been the reason they refrained from the sanctions war against Russia, for the lessons learned from their tragic experiences, old and recent, of their relations with the West.

The African cosmos does everything it can to avoid being the grass in the conflict at hand, promoted by the West since 2014, through the coup d’état against Viktor Yanukovich, and the failure to implement the Minsk I and II agreements. Soon, it seems that the African cosmos uses the proverbial philosophy of its ancestors to avoid entering into another’s war, even though it is already feeling the side effects of the increase in the prices of wheat, fertilizers, oil, gas, etc., and the risk of probable retaliations, for disobedience of political guidelines, by the West.

The claim by Macky Sall, President of Senegal and Chairperson-in-Office of the African Union on his recent visit to Russia, in demanding the West remove sanctions affecting Africa’s food security is, without doubt, a clear and unequivocal demonstration of this position. ”

South Africa’s ‘Direct Action’ Threat against Israel Raises Expectations

February 20, 2022

South African Minister of International Relations Mrs. Naledi Pandor (Photo: TWAS, via Wikimedia Commons)

By Iqbal Jassat

South Africa’s ANC-Led government has renewed its pledge of solidarity with Palestine by adding the new phrase “direct action”.

The fresh commitment by Minister of International Relations Mrs. Naledi Pandor has been welcomed by the country’s solidarity movements backing Palestine’s freedom struggle.

Though Pandor did not elaborate on the type of “direct action” being envisaged, she pitched her forthright comments by referring to recent human rights reports on Israel which she described as “well-documented apartheid practices of Israel”.

Pandor made her remarks in Parliament during the State of the Nation (SONA) debate.

Her unequivocal condemnation of apartheid Israel following a controversy generated by President Cyril Ramaphosa’s recent acceptance of “credence” by Israel’s new envoy to Pretoria, may be construed as an attempt to clear the air.

It also follows a stinging rebuke by the African Union chair Moussa Faki Mahamat who is seeking to justify his unilateral acceptance of Israel’s observer status, criticized countries for opposing it yet retained diplomatic relations with Israel.

Though Mahamat didn’t name any country, it was clear that he referred specifically to South Africa. Pandor has not only been vocal in expressing South Africa’s opposition to it, she has been leading efforts to revoke Israel’s observer status.

Her arguments supported by Algeria and a number of AU member states, revolve around the AU charter which rejects colonialism, racism and illegal occupation. By specifically singling-out Mahamat as the person responsible for granting Israel observer status, the stage was set for acrimony between the two.

“We have vehemently, as South African, opposed the granting of [African Union] observer status to Israel by the chair of the African Union Commission. Our objection stems from our own constitution and its values and the African Union charter that rejects colonialism, racism, and illegal occupation of the land of others,” she stated.

Despite her moves to revoke Mahamat’s decision, the AU suspended a debate on it and instead formed a committee to study the issue. Effectively by kicking the can down the road, the tension and division within the AU will continue to simmer.

Though South Africa since the end of apartheid and the dawn of democracy has been seen as a heavyweight in continental affairs, Mahamat saw fit to point out the paradox of diplomatic ties on the one hand and opposition to observer status, thus making a case of double standards.

Does it follow then that Pandor’s parliament address which talked of “direct action” was also to overcome accusations of duel standards? This can be gleaned from her remarks that diplomatic relations with Israel cannot be used by anyone as a reason for bringing Israel into the African Union.

“Our governing party resolutions directed us to downgrade our embassy in Israel. We withdrew our ambassador [from Israel] as part of this process of downgrading, and we are considering further measures to indicate our significant dismay at the continued apartheid practices of Israel against the long-suffering people of Palestine.”

So while the spat with the AU remains unresolved, what is clear is that guns have been drawn. The shoot-out is on hold until the committee appointed to probe Mahamat’s decision meets sometime in the future.

In the meantime, while Pandor’s threat of “direct action” is the subject of speculation, it is expected that just as South Africa awaits it being translated into substantial departure from current diplomatic relations, so too will Palestinians.

After all, the recent compelling findings by Amnesty International on Israel Apartheid, make it equally obligatory for countries to abide by international conventions on the crime of apartheid. Direct action?

– Iqbal Jassat is an Executive Member of the South Africa-based Media Review Network. He contributed this article to The Palestine Chronicle. Visit: www.mediareviewnet.com

أفريقيا تلفظ إسرائيل

انتكاسة «مؤّقتة» لجهود العضوية: أفريقيا تلفظ إسرائيل… إلى حين؟

الثلاثاء 8 شباط 2022

يُلاحظ أنّ علاقات إسرائيل ممتدّة في شرق أفريقيا وغربها مع اختراق في شمالها (أ ف ب )

محمد عبد الكريم أحمد 

بعد جهود مضنية لتحقيق مكسب قبولها عضواً في الاتّحاد الأفريقي، تلقّت إسرائيل صفعة غير هيّنة على هذا الصعيد، بعد قرار الاتحاد تعليق قرار رئيس مفوضيته إقرار تلك العضوية، وإحالة الأمر إلى لجنة مختصّة ستكون نيجيريا والجزائر، اللتان عارضتا علناً القرار المذكور، متصدّرتَين عضويّتها. وعلى رغم ما يعنيه ذلك التطوّر من انتكاسة لجهود إسرائيل الساعية إلى مأسسة حضورها وتعميقه في هذه القارّة، إلّا أن تل أبيب لن تَعدم الأمل على ما يبدو؛ إذ ستسلك سبل ترغيب عديدة في سبيل استمالة الدول الرافضة عضويّتها، مستفيدةً من حضور فقي، الذي تعهّد بالمضيّ قُدُماً في عملية إدخال تل أبيب إلى الندوة الأفريقية

علّق الاتحاد الأفريقي (6 شباط) النقاش (أو التصويت) المٌتوقَّع حول سحْب قبول عضوية إسرائيل مراقِباً في المنظّمة الإقليمية، والذي كان بادر به موسى فقي، رئيس مفوضية الاتحاد، في 22 تموز 2021، وذلك تفادياً لتصويتٍ هدّد بانقسامٍ غير مسبوق داخل المنظّمة المكوَّنة من 55 دولة، وفي مناسبة قمّتها العشرين، منذ تأسيسها خلَفاً لـ”منظّمة الوحدة الأفريقية” (2002). وأكد ديبلوماسيون مطّلعون أن طلب إسرائيل “قد عُلّق حالياً، وستتكوّن بدلاً من ذلك لجنة لدراسة المسألة”، على أن تُقدِّم نتائجها للقمّة المرتقَبة العام المقبل. وتتكوّن اللجنة من ستّة أعضاء أبرزهم نيجيريا والجزائر اللتان عارضتا علناً قرار فقي، إضافة إلى رواندا وجمهورية الكونغو الديموقراطية، بينما اقترحت جنوب أفريقيا ضمّ نيجيريا، وطلبت الكاميرون (من أبرز الداعين إلى قبول عضوية إسرائيل) إشراكها أيضاً.

الاستجابة الإسرائيلية: خيبة أمل لمدّة عام

حظي قبول إسرائيل مراقِباً في الاتحاد الأفريقي قبل نحو سبعة أشهر، بترحيب إسرائيلي كبير، فيما أحدث صدمة في الأوساط العربية والأفريقية في ضوء اتّخاذ القرار بشكل مباغِت تماماً، على رغم ملاحظة التمدُّد الإسرائيلي في أفريقيا طوال السنوات الأخيرة. وأجمع خبراء إسرائيليون، آنذاك، على إيلاء الدولة العبرية أهمية كبيرة لعضويّتها في الاتحاد، بدافعٍ من تحصيل “الاعتراف الرسمي” (بعد تحقيق أهداف استراتيجية على الأرض في غير ملفّ)، واستعادة وضعها الذي حُرمت منه بضغوط ليبية في العام 2002. ورأت الخارجية الإسرائيلية، في بيان يوم القرار، أن “قبول إسرائيل مراقباً مصلحة واضحة للجميع؛ (إذ) سيسهّل زيادة التعاون بين إسرائيل والدول الأفريقية”، “بما يتّسق مع التغييرات في الشرق الأوسط”.

قد تتمكّن تل أبيب من استمالة عدد من الدول الأفريقية المُوقِّعة على بيان رفض العضوية لتغيير موقفها


لكن من الواضح أن إسرائيل لم تسعَ إلى مجرّد تحصيل مكسب شكلي، بقدر سعْيها إلى مأسسة نفوذها في القارة، وتوسيع اختراقاتها لتصبح أكثر مباشرة وعلانية وقدرة على الانخراط في ديناميات العمل الجماعي الأفريقي. وتدلّل على ذلك مبادرةُ الدولة العبرية، عبر رئيس الوزراء نفتالي بينيت ووزير الخارجية يائير لابيد (الذي وصف منتصف كانون الثاني الفائت غياب إسرائيل عن الاتحاد الأفريقي بـ”الانحراف التاريخي”)، منذ نهاية كانون الثاني، إلى مضاعَفة جهودها لضمان عدم فقدانها وضْعها الجديد، ومواجهة الجهود المضادّة التي قادتها جنوب أفريقيا والجزائر لإبطال القرار. وعلى سبيل المثال، فقد اشتغل لابيد، عبر محادثات مع الرئيس السنغالي ماكي سال (رئيس الاتحاد الأفريقي في دورته الحالية خلَفاً للكونغولي فيليكيس تشيسيكيدي الذي صاغ علاقات متينة بين إسرائيل وبلاده، ولمّح فقي في بيان مهمّ إلى دوره الرئيس في مسألة قبول عضوية تل أبيب)، ثمّ رئيسَي توغو وبوروندي، لضمان حصول بلاده على غالبية الثلثين في التصويت الذي كان مرتقباً وقتها.

استجابة مفوضية الاتحاد الأفريقي

استبق فقي، قمّة رؤساء دول الاتحاد، بدفاعه المستغرَب عمّا أصبح يوصف بـ”قراره المثير للجدل”، محاجِجاً بأن خطوته تلك يمكن أن تكون أداة في “خدمة السلام”، داعياً إلى “نقاش هادئ”، وقائلاً إن “التزام الاتحاد تجاه سعي فلسطين للاستقلال يظلّ ثابتاً ولا يمكن إلّا أن يزداد قوة”. في المقابل، وعد الرئيس النيجيري، محمد بخاري، نظيره الفلسطيني المشارِك في قمة أديس أبابا، بأن نيجيريا “ستواصل دعم السلام والتقدُّم، في الوقت الذي تحافظ فيه على مبادئ العدالة”. وعلى إثر صدور قرار التعليق، ردّ رئيس المفوضية ببيان مُطوَّل (صدر بالفرنسية والإنكليزية فقط )، استهلّه بتذكير الدول الأعضاء بانتخابه قبل نحو عام رئيساً للمفوضية لمدّة أربعة أعوام، ثمّ تأكيد “احترامه للمبادئ الأساسية للاتحاد وقانونه التأسيسي والمصالح الوطنية لدوله”، مُدافِعاً بأنه “كممثّل قانوني للاتحاد، فإن تحرُّكه يلتزم بمقرّرات هذا القانون”. وذهب إلى تحليل البنود المُحدِّدة لصلاحياته، مبرّراً بها قبوله عضوية إسرائيل منتصف العام الماضي، مُذكِّراً بأنه “شخصياً عارض لسنوات كثيرة اعتراف بلاده بدولة إسرائيل”.

كذلك، قدّم فقي عرضاً “دعائياً” للوجود الإسرائيلي في القارّة الأفريقية، و”اتفاقات التعاون المشترك” في مجالات كثيرة، نافياً عنه تهمة تسبُّبه بانقسام أفريقيا، بتعداده الدول الـ44 التي تقيم علاقات ديبلوماسية مع إسرائيل (في تجاهُل مستهجَن للفرق بين حسابات العلاقات الثنائية، وبين عضوية إسرائيل في الاتحاد، وما تعنيه من تدخُّلها في كثير من الملفّات الأفريقية الجماعية). وإذ وصف قراره بأنه “لم يكن ينمّ عن أيّ توجّه شخصي”، فقد عدّه متناغماً مع خيار الاتحاد و”المجتمع الدولي” بأكمله، لا سيما الأمم المتحدة، والمتمثّل في الاعتراف بـ”حلّ الدولتين” ودعمه، قبل أن يشيد بجهود الرئيس الفلسطيني، محمود عباس، وجهود مصر “التي اعترفت بإسرائيل وتبادلت السفراء معها قبل وقت بعيد”. واستطرد متسائلاً: “هل نحن أقلّ ثقة في منظّمتنا إلى درجة أنه لا يمكننا تخيُّل إمكان لعبها دوراً، وإن كان صغيراً، في حلّ صراع يهمّنا سياسياً وشعورياً؟”، مستغرِباً، بنبرة لا تخلو من التضليل، إنكار الدول الأعضاء “قدرة الاتحاد على تحدي إسرائيل ودفعها لاحترام الحقوق الأساسية للشعب الفلسطيني ووقف أعمال العنف ضدّه والاعتراف صراحة بحقوقه، بما فيها حقه في إنشاء دولة وطنية عاصمتها القدس الشرقية، كما أكدْت لمندوب إسرائيل وقت تقديم أوراق اعتماده؟”.

من الواضح أن إسرائيل لم تسعَ إلى مجرّد تحصيل مكسب شكلي بقدر سعْيها إلى مأسسة نفوذها في القارة


يتّضح من بيان فقي، الذي عزّز في حقيقة الأمر أدلّة قفْزه فوق السبل المتّبعة لاتّخاذ قرارات مماثلة كما في حالات دول مثل تركيا وكوريا الشمالية وغيرهما، أنه ثمّة جنوح إلى تبنّي الموقف الإسرائيلي وتبريره، وربّما العمل – في بقيّة العام المقبل قبل تقديم اللجنة المقرِّرة توصياتها – على حلحلة مواقف بعض الدول الرافضة، بالتنسيق مع تل أبيب وعدد من “دول الواجهة” الأفريقية، والتي تسعى للاستفادة من الدور الإسرائيلي في ملفّاتها الملحة (كما في حالة تدخُّل القوات الرواندية المدَّربة والمجهَّزة إسرائيلياً في جهود الاتحاد الأفريقي لمواجهة الإرهاب شمال موزمبيق).     

ماذا بعد؟

بقراءة خريطة علاقات إسرائيل الأفريقية، يلاحَظ أنها ممتدّة في شرق أفريقيا وغربها، مع اختراق في شمال القارة. ويصاحب هذا الحضورَ تنسيقٌ أمني واستخباراتي وصل في الشهور الأخيرة إلى مستويات غير مسبوقة في ملفّات الأزمة الإثيوبية، والترتيبات الأمنية في جنوب البحر الأحمر (بخاصة بعد تدريبات عسكرية مع الإمارات والبحرين بتنسيق أميركي نهاية عام 2021)، و”مواجهة الإرهاب” في شمال موزمبيق وغرب أوغندا، والتحوّلات السياسية في عدد من دول غرب أفريقيا، والصلات المتنامية مع السودان (الذي لم يوقّع على بيان تعليق قرار فقي)، فضلاً عن توقعُّات بدور إسرائيلي بالغ الخطورة في الأزمة الليبية في العام الجاري، لعدّة اعتبارات أبرزها العلاقات العميقة مع نظام أبو ظبي (الذي تتطابق خريطة نفوذه في القارة الأفريقية مع خريطة نظيره الإسرائيلي بشكل واضح).

في المقابل، فإن الحضور الإسرائيلي في منطقة أفريقيا الجنوبية، التي قادت دولها خطوة تعليق القرار إلى جانب الجزائر، يظلّ في حدوده الدنيا، بالنظر إلى هيمنة جنوب أفريقيا الاقتصادية والسياسية التقليدية في الإقليم، واعتبارات قدرات جوهانسبورغ في الصناعات المتقدِّمة ومن بينها الصناعات العسكرية؛ مما يرفع من حدّة حساسيتها تجاه أيّ اختراقات إسرائيلية “في دائرة تأثيرها التقليدية”، مع ملاحظة تراجُع صادراتها إلى إسرائيل في الأعوام العشرة الأخيرة من قرابة بليون دولار (2012)، إلى نحو 200 مليون دولار فقط في عام 2020، أغلبها معادن ثمينة، وتراجُع صادرات الدولة العبرية إليها في الفترة نفسها من نحو 400 مليون دولار (2012) إلى نحو 175 مليون دولار (2020)، مثّلت الآلات والمعدّات المتطوّرة ما قيمته 29 مليون دولار منها.

تبْقى مسألة قبول عضوية إسرائيل من عدمه مفتوحة على احتمالات شتّى، من بينها تمكُّن تل أبيب من استمالة عدد من الدول الأفريقية المُوقِّعة على بيان رفض العضوية لتغيير موقفها، عبر تقديم دعم عسكري وأمني ملموس لها في الشهور المقبلة، فضلاً عن توظيف صلاتها بقوى دولية وإقليمية بارزة في الشأن الأفريقي، لتحقيق هذا الهدف. كما أن استمرار فقي رئيساً للمفوضية، يعني استمرار توظيفه جهوده وسياساته لصالح الغاية نفسها، والتي بات يعتبرها “شأناً شخصياً”، وفق ما أكده بيانه الأخير، الذي لم يُجِب على تساؤلات رئيسة تتعلّق بحيثيات اتّخاذ القرار بشكل مباغت، وفي ذروة موجة التطبيع بين إسرائيل وبعض الدول العربية، وعشيّة الاحتفال بذكرى “ثورة يوليو”، أُمّ الثورات الأفريقية، والتي حالت تاريخياً دون تحقيق الكيان العبري الكثير من تطلّعاته في القارّة.

Algeria Battling “Israel” in Africa

10 Nov 2021

Source: Al Mayadeen Net

Hussam AbdelKareem

Due to the strong Algerian opposition, “Israel”‘s accession is almost impossible.

Argelia lucha contra "Israel" en África | Al Mayadeen Español

On October 16th, 2021, the Executive Council of the African Union announced the postponement of its decision on approving or rejecting the “observer status” of “Israel” in the Union to the next African summit scheduled for February 2022. This decision is in fact the culmination of a great effort made by Algeria politically and diplomatically over the course of three months among the African countries to oppose and confront the sudden decision taken by the Chairperson of the African Union Commission, Moussa Faki, to accept the application of “Israel” to join the African Union as an observer member, and the subsequent presentation by the Israeli ambassador to Ethiopia (the headquarters country) of his credentials to the Union on the 22nd of June 2021.

From the first day of the decision of Moussa Faki, a French-educated former Chadian prime minister, Algeria went into something like a state of emergency, and a decision was taken at the highest levels to launch a comprehensive diplomatic campaign and to use all of Algeria’s weight and political capabilities to confront Faki’s personal decision. The Algerian Foreign Ministry announced its total rejection of “Israel’s” admission to the ranks of the African Union and said that the Chairperson of the Commission had not consulted the member states in this regard.

Algeria began to move and succeeded in persuading six Arab African countries (not including Morocco and Sudan, who are involved in a process of normalization), namely Tunisia, Egypt, Mauritania, Djibouti, Libya, and the Comoros Islands to announce their opposition to Faki’s decision in a statement on August 3rd. Moussa Faki quickly felt that he is being targeted by the pressures of Algerian diplomacy, represented by Minister Ramtan Lamamra, so he issued an official statement on August 6th in which he responded to Algeria and affirmed that his decision to accept “Israel” as an observer member is indeed within his authorities.

The Algerian campaign against “Israel” in Africa did not stop (South Africa, who had reservations about Moussa Faki’s decision from the first day, cooperated with it), and succeeded in persuading Sudan to join the countries opposing Faki’s decision in a statement issued by the Sudanese Foreign Ministry on October 15th. And in the next day, Algeria succeeded in leading a group of 24 African countries who also announced their objection to Faki, which prompted the Executive Council to finally decide to postpone the decision on accepting the membership of “Israel” until the next summit. This is an important diplomatic victory for Algeria because it actually means, almost certainly, the failure of the project of “Israel”‘s accession, as approving it in the African summit; due to the strong Algerian opposition, “Israel”‘s accession is almost impossible.

This Algerian activity and efficiency are due, in part, to its desire to compensate for the years of relative inaction that characterized the Algerian diplomacy during the rule of the ailing former president, Abdelaziz Bouteflika, which allowed “Israel” to penetrate into African circles that it did not reach before. Benjamin Netanyahu intensified contacts with West African and sub-Saharan countries in 2016 and hosted an agricultural conference in “Israel” in which 15 countries participated. He also made several visits to the region and was feeling so triumphant to the extent that he publically said, during his visit to Liberia “Israel is returning strongly to Africa!”. “Israel” succeeded in establishing diplomatic relations with a record number of African countries (46 countries out of 55 members of the African Union).

Historically speaking, the late Gamal Abdel Nasser took charge, in the fifties and sixties of the last century, of combating the Israeli penetration into the African continent. And he took advantage of Egypt’s weight at the time and its relations with the national liberation movements in the continent to besiege the Israeli presence and keep it within minimum limits (most notably with the apartheid racist regime in South Africa). In the aftermath of the October 1973 war, “Israel” was having diplomatic relations with only four African countries. But Sadat’s coup in Egypt and the Camp David Accords opened the African doors to “Israel” once again. The banner of combating Israeli expansion in Africa then passed to Colonel Gaddafi in Libya, who paid great attention to the countries of the continent and built a network of close relations with them and provided them with financial support and contributed to a large extent in keeping most African countries, especially its western and sub-Saharan countries, out of Israeli influence until he was killed in 2011.

The growing Moroccan-Israeli relations are one of the reasons for this Algerian activity at the African level. Algeria no longer considers “Israel” as a Pan-Arab danger, but has become a direct threat to it on its borders. When “Israel” and Morocco crowned decades of their unofficial relations by announcing the establishment of full diplomatic relations in December 2020, Algerian President Abdelmajid Tabboun said, “We notice a kind of rush towards normalization. We will not participate in it or bless it. The Palestinian Cause is sacred to us here in Algeria, and it is the mother of all causes”. His Prime Minister Abdelaziz Jerad followed with a strong statement in which he said that “Algeria is being targeted” and that there is a foreign will for Zionism to reach Algeria’s borders.

That is, Algeria’s leadership has come to consider “Israel’s” relations and activities in neighboring Morocco as a direct security and strategic threat, which has caused great tension in the Algerian view of the Moroccan ruling regime. The Algerian newspaper “Al-Shorouk” published an article titled “For these reasons, the Zionist entity targets Algeria.” And what made matters worse was the intelligence information that “Israel” had helped Morocco establish a military base near the Algerian border. Things crossed its red lines when Algeria felt that “Israel”, through Morocco, was trying to interfere with the internal Algerian affairs. And recently, Algerian television announced that the separatist “MAK” movement has ties to “Israel” and Morocco and that those involved in it were in contact with Israeli parties under the cover of “civil society organizations.” In the end, Algeria decided to cut diplomatic relations with Morocco last August.

“Israel”, in turn, responded to Algeria, accusing it of being part of an axis that includes Iran. Its foreign minister, Meir Lapid, from Casablanca, expressed concerns “about Algeria’s role in the region, its rapprochement with Iran, and the campaign it led against Israel’s admission as an observer member of the African Union”.

Today we are witnessing a great Algerian rise to combat and thwart the Zionist expansion in Africa. This is not surprising for a country with a glorious history of revolution and resistance to colonialism, who, since the days of its great revolution sixty years ago, has been associated with Palestine, its revolution, and its cause, and considered it the twin of its soul and struggle, and is still in the same position.

The opinions mentioned in this article do not necessarily reflect the opinion of Al mayadeen, but rather express the opinion of its writer exclusively.

Algerian President: Palestinian Cause Remains Sacred (VIDEO)

September 24, 2020

Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune. (Photo: File)

The right of the Palestinian people to have a state with Jerusalem as its capital is not subject to bargain, the Algerian president said on Wednesday, Anadolu reports.

Abdelmadjid Tebboune’s remarks came at a speech he delivered at the 75th UN General Assembly via video link.

“The Palestinian cause remains a sacred cause for Algeria and its people,” Tebboune said.

He went on to express firm support for the Palestinian people and their “inalienable” right to establish their independent, sovereign state with Jerusalem as its capital.

On Sept. 15, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain signed US-brokered normalization agreements with Israel at the White House; ignoring the Palestinian rejection. Yet, Riyadh has not declared its rejection or support for these agreements.

Tebboune also stressed in his speech the need to accelerate a comprehensive UN reform to improve its performance and to ensure fair representation of the African continent in the Security Council in line with the Sirte Declaration.

The African Union summit held in Sirte, Libya, in 2005 came out with the Sirte Declaration calling for a comprehensive UN reform and ensuring representation of the continent in the Security Council with two permanent and five non-permanent seats.

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