Have the Zionists Forgotten their Defeat in Joroud Arsal? The Joroud Victory In ’Israel’s’ Eyes: No One Can Stop Hezbollah

By Hussein Mortada

Have the Zionists forgotten their defeat in Joroud Arsal? The answer to this question is certainly not. Their wager in favor of the terrorists was so great that one of the most prominent “Israeli” military analysts wrote for the Haaretz newspaper in the summer of 2013 that

“Israel” no longer needs to fight in Lebanon. Hezbollah has drowned in the Syrian conflict and will not survive it.”

Everything was pointing to the inevitability of a major battle in the Joroud with a very important dimension. It was a disappointment for the Zionists. It was also the battle of the second victory in Joroud Arsal and Qalamoun.

It did not start in July 2017. It started with the beginning of the war against Syria in 2011. The plans of the countries leading the aggression and supporting the militants depended on the principle of seizing full control over the border areas. They would then use these areas as a springboard to invade resistance-held territory using terrorist ground forces with NATO-“Israeli”-Gulf support and planning.

Moving the battle into the home front to preoccupy the resistance and the Lebanese army was the beginning. The objective was to take control of and strike the resistance’s environment. Therefore, the battle of liberating Joroud is more significant than the July 2006 victory because it was an “Israeli” battle with an “Israeli” objective and “Israeli” tools even though the La Ilaha Illa Allah [No God except Allah] flag was raised. The resistance achieved more victories, including the Qusair victory, Talkalakh at the northern border, Syria’s Qalamoun, Joroug Arsal, Ras Baalbek and al-Qaa. The most dangerous objective of the terrorists and their backers was invading the central Bekaa up until the border with Lebanon’s Shebaa Farms. Of course, these areas along with occupied Palestine would have all been under the control of the terrorists and the countries backing them. Meanwhile, they would have secured a maritime access from Tripoli in Lebanon.

In short, this is the battle of the border. This is what the resistance thwarted in cooperation with the Syrian army. Meanwhile, the Lebanese army played an important role at the end of the battle.

According to what was planned, these terrorist groups were supposed to start with plan (B), which is besieging the resistance, paralyzing its movements and striking it in its environment. Here, we recall that part of this plan had been put in motion through the use of car bombs as well as identifying certain parties in Lebanon that conform to these plans and ideas. Here several obvious questions must be asked:

What if the Syrian army and the resistance had decided not to take action early on in order to thwart this project?

• What if these groups were left alone along the border areas to blow up whatever they wanted and kill and kidnap whomever they wanted?

Based on this plan, which is even related to the nature of the battle with the Zionists, it was necessary to work on its failure and destruction, albeit in stages. Due to the nature of the battle that is also associated with some Syrian regions, the resistance adopted the policy of capturing and then dividing the regions and stages. Thus, the battle of Qusair coincided with Syria’s Qusair. The battle of Talkalakh at the northern border was associated with the Syrian Zara area, which was an important corridor used by militants to move between Lebanon and the Syrian depth. The battles went from Qalamaoun, to Yabroud, to al-Zabadani to the Joroud in order to besiege these groups in these areas.

All the preparations were completed to clear Lebanese areas of any terrorist – after these groups carried out several bombings and killed a number of Lebanese army soldiers. As in every victory, the Golden Triangle, the army, the people and the resistance, was present.

The resistance launched the Joroud operation to eliminate the last hope these groups had to move the battle inside Lebanon. It was a delicate and sensitive operation where politics overlapped with the military, geography and strategy. Therefore, the second liberation’s dimensions are equally important to the first victory over the Zionists in 2000.

The resistance and the Lebanese army, on the one hand, and the Syrian army and the resistance, on the other, caught the terrorists in Joroud in a pincer. Hence, full victory was achieved and the lands were returned to their owners. Security and stability prevailed across the whole of Lebanon despite its complex geography. Thus, Lebanon was on a date with a great victory.

Have the Zionists Forgotten their Defeat in Joroud Arsal?

Al-Ahed Website

Beirut – The shock was evident on the face of “Israel’s” former war minister, Avigdor Lieberman. After days of censoring media and military institutions when it came to Hezbollah’s 2007 military campaign to liberate Lebanon’s eastern Joroud, the man was unable to admit the impact of the defeat. Hezbollah had liberated the Joroud from the terror of “Israel’s” agents, the Nusra Front and Daesh.

From the heart of Tel Aviv, Lieberman called on the units of the military headquarters to prepare for various scenarios, warning that “the next conflict with Lebanon will also include Syria.”

Amid a flurry of confusion, the chief of the “Israeli” military and security establishment spoke about the unity of the fronts and directed threats at both Lebanon and Syria.

“If we talk about the Lebanese front, there is no such front anymore. There will be one front that includes Syria and Lebanon together: Hezbollah, the Assad regime and all those collaborating with the Assad regime,” he said.

All the analysis aside, Lebanon heard the message clearly. The cohesion between the Lebanese army and the resistance deprived the concerned parties in “Israel” of their sleep.

“The Lebanese army has become an integral part of Hezbollah’s strength and is under its leadership. The Lebanese army has lost its independence and has become an integral part of Hezbollah’s strength,” Lieberman stressed.

Going with the saying, ‘thanks to the recognition of the enemy’, Hezbollah succeeded in creating another cause for concern along the “Israeli” front.

The enemy’s observers were surprised by the speed with which the victory was achieved. According to Maariv, “the battles of the eastern Joroud in Lebanon are sending a clear message to three heads: “Israel”, the United States and Saudi Arabia. The message implied that the group is very capable of defending itself against all threats. Its combat skills are growing with time.”

For its part, the “Israeli” website Nzivnet published a special report explaining the exact course of the battles.

“Hezbollah is engaged in fierce battles in Joruod Arsal including artillery shelling and even close quarter combat. Hezbollah can be seen working as a trained army that operates heavy machinery such as armored personnel carriers, artillery, mortars shells and others. Meanwhile, the Radwan force – the force assigned to occupy the Galilee in the next war with “Israel” – carries out complex commando operation such as taking control of isolated places and caves,” the site reported.

“Hezbollah does not appear to be a guerrilla organization that “Israel” knew in the 90s and the beginning of the third millennium,” Nzivnet added.

The website underscores fears about “the flags of Hezbollah and Lebanon fluttering together atop a hill in the Wadi al-Khail region. This is the image of Hezbollah’s victory over terrorism. It is not in Aleppo or in Daraa. It is in Arsal, at home. Hezbollah has come back to fight at home. It is sending us signals too. And no one can stop it.”

“Israeli” worries spilled over from the battlefield into the political front. According to Haaretz, “Hezbollah took responsibility for the negotiations as if it were the Lebanese government. The party succeeded in securing the approval of the Lebanese army to adhere to the agreement it reached to deport fighters of the Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham.”

“This move by Hezbollah may not have any far-reaching strategic consequences from a military perspective, unlike the removal of al-Qaeda from the Lebanese border. But the organization will know how to capitalize on it when the time comes to discuss security in areas neighboring Lebanon,” Haaretz added.

Perhaps the entity’s fear is embodied in a few words said by the head of the “Israeli” military surveillance apparatus, Herzl Halevi, as he addressed the Joroud battles.

“Hezbollah is a stone’s throw away from the “Israeli” border.”

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Iran’s battle strategy in Syria and its impact

By News Desk

 –

2019-07-09

BEIRUT, LEBANON (5:30 A.M.) – At the start of 2013, the Syrian War was looking unfavorable for the Syrian Arab Army (SAA), as a militant offensive in Aleppo cutoff the city from all government supply lines and the strategic East Ghouta region had all but fallen to Jaysh Al-Islam and the Free Syrian Army (FSA).

Making matters worse, the government had lost most of Syria’s northern border with Turkey and their western border with Lebanon. This would later prove to be a major issue for the military as foreign militants were pouring into the country from these regions.

Enter Hezbollah and Iran

The Spring of 2013 would prove to be an important period in the Syrian War. Both Hezbollah and Iran would enter the conflict on the side of the government and help the Syrian military regain the initiative in Homs, Aleppo, and Damascus.

Hezbollah’s deployment to Syria helped the government regain the Lebanese border by capturing the strategic crossing at Al-Qusayr, followed by Tal Kalakh and the majority of the Qalamoun Mountains.

The Lebanese group also provided reinforcements to several areas across the country in order to help stabilize these fronts.

While Hezbollah’s entry into the Syrian conflict is often viewed as the first time foreign fighters had entered the war, this is indeed false. Militants from several countries across the world had already entered Syria and began fighting alongside the rebel forces.

Several of these foreign fighters would later join jihadist groups like Jabhat Al-Nusra and the Islamic State (ISIS/ISIL/IS/Daesh).

However, unlike Hezbollah, Iran would play a pivotal role behind the scenes in 2013, offering their military advisers to help Damascus concoct a new battle plan.

The plan would focus on a four-corners strategy that would see the Syrian military maintain a presence in four corners of the country, giving the government an area of influence despite the absence of supply routes.

Four Corners Strategy

From 2013 to 2017, the Syrian government maintained a presence in several parts of the country. Since it was difficult to maintain control over the vast desert and mountainous regions, the strategy was to focus on the major cities and spreading out the militants so that the army could regain critical areas around the capital city.

It may appear a bit unorthodox, but the strategy ultimately helped the Syrian military maintain a presence in eastern Syria, where the U.S. and its allies attempted to expand across during the war with ISIS.

For example, the Syrian military kept a presence in the Al-Hasakah Governorate, despite the fact they were surrounded by the Kurdish-led People’s Protection Units (YPG)

While the Syrian military and the YPG were not fighting each other and their presence in Al-Hasakah was only threatened by ISIS, the army’s decision to stay inside Deir Ezzor city after losing their supply lines from Homs raised a few questions at the time.

Thousands of Syrian troops were besieged in Deir Ezzor and ordered to continue fighting ISIS from 2015 to 2017 when the siege was finally lifted. Prior to the arrival of the Russian Armed Forces in September of 2015, the Deir Ezzor front was under daily attacks by the Islamic State, leaving many to fear for the lives of the people and troops inside the city.

Had the army made the decision to retreat from Deir Ezzor city, ISIS could have sent their forces to other fronts and expanded their presence inside of Syria. Furthermore, it allowed the Syrian Army to maintain control of the city once the U.S.-led Coalition began expanding south of Al-Hasakah.

Finally, the entry of the Russian Armed Forces would play a decisive role in the conflict, as the Syrian Arab Army was able to finally launch multiple offensives to regain most of the country.

Present Day

Iran still desires a complete military victory in Syria, but with the continued Israeli attacks on their positions in the country and U.S. economic pressure through sanctions, the Islamic Republic has been forced to take a more defensive role in the region.

This defensive role has allowed Russia to champion the recent Syrian military operations, while they concentrate on other matters, including the proxy war in the eastern part of the country.

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دمشق حرّة حرّة

مايو 22, 2018

ناصر قنديل

– خلال سبع سنوات مضت كان كلّ ما يجري خارج دمشق في كفة وما يجري في دمشق وحولها وعلى الطرقات التي تربطها بمدن سورية ومحافظاتها في كفة أخرى. فمحافظتا دمشق وريف دمشق تشكلان معاً قلب سورية الجغرافي والسياسي والاقتصادي والسكاني والعسكري، ويكاد يكون لكلّ ما جرى خارج هذا القلب وظيفة الاستنزاف لتشتيت قدرات الدولة السورية وجيشها وأجهزة أمنها وحلفائها، كي يتمّ الحفاظ على البنى القادرة على الإرباك في دمشق وريفها. ففي دمشق وما حولها من ريف ومن أطراف حمص إلى أطراف درعا إلى الحدود اللبنانية والعراقية والأردنية والفلسطينية، تتشكّل هذه البقعة التي يتقرّر منها مستقبل سورية.

– منذ تحرير الغوطة بدا أنّ ساعة تحرير الجيوب المحيطة بدمشق أو المنغرزة في قلبها قد دقّت، وأنّ العبث بعناوين مثل مخيم اليرموك، والتقرّب من مقامات دينية كمقام السيدة زينب، لتزخيم ألاعيب الفتن، قد انتهى زمانه، وأنّ الجيش العربي السوري بات قادراً وجاهزاً، ولديه القرار الحاسم لإنهاء هذه اللعبة التي أريدَ لها أن تقتل ما يمكن من السوريين وأن تستنزف ما تستطيع من مقدراتهم وأعصابهم وأرواحهم ودمائهم وأرزاقهم، وأن تشيع حالة الحرب في كلّ أحيائهم، وأن تسقط فكرة الدولة وقدرتها في عاصمتها وفي عيون أهلها، فلا يتبقى منها سوى هيكل عظمي بلا روح، مهما كان هذا الهيكل قوياً.

– يربط كثيرون التصعيد الأميركي والإسرائيلي والسعودي بحسابات ومعادلات إقليمية، وكثيرون يحاولون القول إنّ القضية هي قضية الوجود الإيراني ودور حزب الله، ومستقبل التسويات في سورية. وهذا كله فيه جانب من الحقيقة، لكن الحقيقة الأهمّ هو أنّ التأثير على قدرة الجيش السوري وقراره وتماسك جبهة حلفائه لتأخير وتعطيل قرار إعلان دمشق وريفها مناطق خالية بالكامل من الإرهاب، يبقى الهدف الأهمّ، ووحده يفسّر معنى أنّ كلّ الاستهداف الذي طال مواقع الجيش السوري وحلفائه قد تركز في هذه البقعة من الجغرافيا السورية، منذ حرب الغوطة، فالعدوان الذي قادته واشنطن ومثله الاعتداءات الإسرائيلية كانت جزءاً عضوياً من الحرب التي تخوضها جماعات تتلاقى على العداء لمشروع الدولة السورية، تضمّ داعش والنصرة وجيش الإسلام وبقايا الجماعات الأخرى المسماة بالمعارضة المسلحة، والمرتبطة عضوياً بقرار أميركي سعودي إسرائيلي.

– لا ينفصل الإنجاز التاريخي عما سبقه ومهّد له بالتأكيد، لكن نكهة الإعلان عن الإنجاز تبقى مميّزة، فبمثل ما كان معلوماً أنّ هذه اللحظة قادمة مع تهاوي قلاع الإرهاب في القلمون الشرقي بعد الغوطة، كان للإعلان بالإنجاز قيمة منفصلة رغم التوقّع، ولذلك كما منح نصر الغوطة لهذا الإنجاز نكهته، يمنح هذا الإنجاز هو الآخر لإعلان قمة الرئيسين الروسي فلاديمير بوتين والسوري بشار الأسد نكهة أخرى، فيصير الحديث عن فرصة متاحة لدعوة مَن يريد الالتحاق بعملية سياسية بات معلوماً أنّ سقفها حكومة موحّدة في ظلّ الرئيس الأسد تضع دستوراً جديداً وتمهّد للانتخابات، حديثاً واقعياً، كما يصير السؤال عن مستقبل القوات الأجنبية التي تدّعي ربط مصيرها بالتسوية السياسية، سؤالاً مشروعاً.

– اليوم بمثل ما يستطيع السوريون الهتاف بصوت عالٍ، دمشق عادت حرّة، يستطيعون الاستعداد لمرحلة جديدة تقودها دولتهم في السياسة كما في الميدان، والعنوان، سورية موحّدة بجيش واحد هو الجيش العربي السوري ورئيس واحد هو الرئيس بشار الأسد، ولا مكان لاحتلال ولا لانفصال، مهما كانت عوامل التمويه والتورية، زمن يبدأ وزمن ينتهي، وقد وجب أخذ العلم.

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Syrian War Report – April 20, 2018: Operations In Southern Damascus, Eastern Qalamoun

 

On April 19, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and its allies supported by warplanes of the Syrian Air Force launched a military operation against ISIS in the Yarmouk refugee camp and the al-Hajar al-Aswad district in southern Damascus. The SAA also involved artillery guns and rocket launchers to support the attack.

The development came after negotiations on a possible withdrawal of ISIS members from the area to the eastern Homs desert had collapsed. However, according to local sources, the ISIS members in Yarmouk still have chances to accept a withdrawal agreement.

On the same day, militants in the main Eastern Qalamoun pocket surrendered to the SAA and accepted an agreement under which they will be able to withdraw to the militant held parts of Aleppo and Idlib provinces or to settle their legal status. Militants already began handing over their heavy weapons, including a few battle tanks. The evacuation process is set to be started on April 20.

With the liberation of Eastern Qalamoun and southern Damascus, the SAA will be able to free a large force for further operations against militants across the country. One of the key problem areas is southern Syria where, according to Russian military and diplomatic sources, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (formerly Jabhat al-Nusra) and its allies are preparing to launch a large advance in order to capture the city of Daraa.

According to the Russian Defense Ministry’s TV channel Zvezda, militants are actively receiving support via corridors established in the militant-held areas on the Syrian-Israeli and Syrian-Jordanian borders. The estimated strength of the militants’ force is 12,000 members with hundreds units of military equipment, tens artillery pieces and rocket launchers.

Meanwhile, US State Department accused Damascus and Moscow of preventing the OPCW mission from investigating the site of the alleged chemical attack in Douma.

In turn, Russian Foreign Ministry said that Syrian troops have found “containers with chlorine” from Germany and “smoke grenades” produced in the UK city of Salisbury in the liberated areas of Eastern Ghouta. The region where the alleged chemical attack took place in the town of Douma on April 7.

Syria has handed over to Russia two cruise missiles unexploded after the recent US-led strike on the country, the Russian state-run news agency TASS reported citing a source in the Syrian Defense Ministry. According to the report, the missiles were sent to Russia in good condition by plane on April 18.

The Russian Defense Ministry has not commented on this report yet.

On April 14, the US, the UK and France carried out a massive missile strike on Syrian targets. According to the Pentagon, all 105 launched missiles hit their targets. In turn, the Russian Defense Ministry says that 71 missile had been intercepted.

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EASTERN QALAMUN MILITANTS SURRENDER THEIR AREAS TO SYRIAN ARMY, PREPARE TO WITHDRAW TO NORTHERN SYRIA

South Front

Click to see the full-size image

On April 19, US-backed Free Syrian Army (SAA) groups in the Eastern Qalamun region surrendered and accepted the evacuation deal that had been proposed by the Damascus government and Russia during a previous negotiation round, the Hezbollah media wing in Syria reported.

The source said that FSA fighters will be allowed to withdraw towards the the militant-held parts of the provinces of Aleppo and Idlib  under the evacuation deal. The evacuation process is set to begin on April 20.

Syrian pro-government and opposition sources reported that FSA fighters had begun handing over their heavy weapons, including several battle tanks, to the SAA. Some FSA fighters even surrendered to avoid being sent to northern Syria, according to the sources.

Click to see a full-size image

Click to see a full-size image

A day earlier, the SAA and its allies launched a large-scale military operation against the FSA in the eastern Qalamun region. The quick collapse of the FSA’s defense suggests that most fighters had refused to fight the SAA, although they had been well-armed.

According to local observers, the Eastern Qalamun region is among the most strategic areas in central Syria as it overlooks the Damascus-Homs highway, the US-led coalition base in al-Tanaf and three key airbases of the Syrian Arab Air Force (SyAAF). The high mountains of Eastern Qalamun also used to host early warning radars of the Syrian Arab Air Defense Forces (SyAADF). This makes the liberation of this area an importnat step in improving the security situation in the country.

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Freed Hezbollah PoW Ahmad Maatouk gets hero’s welcome as he returns to his village, Western Seer

 

Hezbollah soldier gets hero’s welcome as he returns to southern Lebanon

By Leith Fadel

14/09/2017

BEIRUT, LEBANON (10:25 A.M.) – The freed Hezbollah soldier, Ahmad Ma’touq, arrived in southern Lebanon today after several weeks in the Islamic State’s (ISIL) captivity.

Ma’touq was greeted by a large crowd in his hometown this morning, as he made the arduous journey from central Syria to the Nabitiyeh Governorate of southern Lebanon.

The Hezbollah soldier was captured by the Islamic State several weeks ago while he was aiding the Syrian Arab Army during their Palmyra offensive.

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Deir Al Zour: A victory as the size of Aleppo’s victory and more دير الزور: انتصار بحجم حلب وأكبر

Deir Al Zour: A victory as the size of Aleppo’s victory and more

سبتمبر 11, 2017

Written by Nasser Kandil,

During a year the victories are rolling in favor of the Syrian army and its allies till the size of what was liberated during a year was nearly one third of the Syrian geography, more than fifty thousand square kilometers which means five times the size of Lebanon, but the crucial step in paving the way for these rolling victories was undoubtedly the liberation of the eastern of Aleppo. This step has ended the western bet on overthrowing the Syrian country, its president, and army and opened the door for the retreat of the war alliance and the beginning of its disintegration, furthermore, each of its pillars took a position of new ceiling in preparation to reach the recognition of the return of the Syrian country, its president, and its army whether through a statement or a suggestion. From that time, the battle of overthrowing the project of the continuation of chaos and its management started as an alternative of the project of overthrowing and domination. In the course of this war which was waged by Syria and its allies the American red line fell at the Syrian-Iraqi borders and the project of paving the way for the getting of ISIS out of Raqqa to the Syrian Badia fell.

Deir Al Zour was an attracting area, because from it the area of the north-east of Euphrates falls as a US operations area and from it the project of establishing an independent announced or an implicit Kurdish entity falls. These two points are not less important and may be they are more than the liberation of Aleppo strategically, as long as Aleppo is in the south-west of Euphrates, which means outside the range of the military operations which Washington restricts them with its forces and allies and outside the range of aspiration which the Kurdish leaderships deluded that they might be the borders of their own entity. The liberation of Aleppo despite its value and victory, it is a painful injury to the Americans but this can be bore with the positioning on the north-east of Euphrates under full US administration and the Kurdish secession. The arrival of the Syrian army to Deir Al Zour alone opens the door of challenge for these two projects.

The US bet was on the size of the troubles and difficulties that will accompany the achievement of this goal against the Syrian army, in addition to the presence of ISIS in Palmyra and Badia, along with a distance of hundred kilometers, and an area of thousands square kilometers, furthermore, ISIS forms a bleeding expanding wound in each of the countryside of Hama and Homs. The expectations were that the Syrian army and its allies will take at least three years to reach Deir Al Zour and lift the siege on its forces and connect with them, during this time the Americans and the Kurds will be able to eliminate ISIS in Raqqa, Deir Al Zour, and Hasaka, thus the negotiation on the federalism will be a reality, a federalism through which the Americans will be enjoyed with a cover of a Kurdish local government which they will manage. The American talk was that the year 2020 will be a date for the political solution in Syria.

The achievement of the Syrian army during ten months is closer to a military miracle, the collapse of ISIS in front of the advanced forces towards Deir Al Zour will rule what is after it, especially because the Syrian army is having control on the course of the northern Euphrates from the countryside of Raqqa to the countryside of Deir Al Zour, it will connect with the advanced forces in the south of the course towards Deir Al Zour, so maybe the battle of liberating Raqqa which was difficult for two months will be the battle of the Syrian army and the allies, especially if the Syrian army and the allies decide to resolve the two cities in Mayadeen and Boukamal before going to Raqqa. Thus the Americans have to recognize that the project of the north-east of Euphrates has fallen, and the Kurdish leadership has to hasten to reserve its seat in Geneva dialogues to participate in a political solution, which its ceiling is a unified government under the leadership of the Syrian President, new consensus constitution, and parliamentary and presidential elections.

Some people say that the stopped convoy at the outskirts of Deir Al Zour after it was deported from Qalamoun will remain there for a long time then it will surrender, since it achieved the goal by creating media exaggeration that preoccupied the Americans and their allies from following-up the crowds and the preparations for the battle of resolving Deir Al Zour by the Syrian army and Hezbollah the partner of blood and victories, the Iranian open support, and the unlimited Syrian air presence.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

 

دير الزور: انتصار بحجم حلب وأكبر

ناصر قنديل

سبتمبر 5, 2017

– خلال عام والانتصارات المتدحرجة لحساب الجيش السوري وحلفائه بلا منازع، حتى بلغ حجم ما تحرّر خلال عام قرابة ثلث المساحة السورية وزاد عن خمسين ألف كليومتر مربع، أيّ خمسة أضعاف مساحة لبنان، لكن المفصل الحاسم في فتح الباب لهذه الانتصارات المتدحرجة كان بلا شك تحرير شرق حلب، الذي أنهى الرهان الغربي على إسقاط الدولة السورية ورئيسها وجيشها، وفتح الباب لتراجع حلف الحرب وبدء تفكّكه، وتموضع كلّ من أركانه عند سقف جديد، تمهيداً لبلوغهم جميعاً سقف التسليم بعودة الدولة السورية ورئيسها وجيشها، تصريحاً أو تلميحاً. وبدأت منذ ذلك الوقت معركة إسقاط مشروع إدامة الفوضى وإدارتها كبديل لمشروع الإسقاط والسيطرة. وفي قلب هذه الحرب التي خاضتها سورية وحلفاؤها سقط الخط الأحمر الأميركي عند الحدود السورية العراقية، وسقط مشروع فتح الباب لتدحرج داعش من الرقة صوب البادية السورية.

– كانت دير الزور هي الحلقة التي تتجه نحوها الأنظار، فمنها تسقط منطقة شمال شرق الفرات بصفتها منطقة عمليات أميركية وفيها يسقط مشروع إقامة كيان كردي مستقل معلن أو مضمر وهما حلقتان لا تقلان أهمية، بل ربّما تزيدان عن تحرير حلب بالمعنى الاستراتيجي، فما دامت حلب غرب جنوب الفرات أيّ خارج مناطق العمليات التي تحصرها واشنطن بقواتها وحلفائها وخارج نطاق التطلّع الذي توهّمت القيادات الكردية أنها حدود كيانها الخاص، يبقى تحرير حلب رغم ما فيه من قيمة وانتصار، إصابة مؤلمة للأميركيين، لكن يمكن استيعابها مع التموضع على مشروع عنوانه شمال شرق الفرات بالإدارة الأميركية الكاملة والعنوان الكردي الانفصالي، وبلوغ الجيش السوري لدير الزور وحده يفتح باب التحدي لهذين المشروعين.

– كان الرهان الأميركي على حجم متاعب ومصاعب تحقيق هذا الهدف على الجيش السوري، فدونه وجود داعش في تدمر والبادية ومئات الكيلومترات مسافة وآلاف الكيلومترات المربّعة مساحة، وداعش في ريفي حماة وحمص يشكل جيباً نازفاً متمادياً. وكانت التوقعات أنه حتى يتمكّن الجيش السوري وحلفاؤه من بلوغ دير الزور وفك الحصار عن قواته فيها والتواصل معها سيحتاج الأمر لثلاث سنوات على الأقلّ، يكون خلالها الأميركيون والأكراد قد تمكّنوا من إنهاء داعش في الرقة ودير الزور والحسكة وصار التفاوض على الفدرالية أمراً واقعاً. فدرالية يتمتع الأميركيون خلالها بغطاء حكومة محلية كردية هم يديرونها، ولذلك كان الحديث الأميركي عن العام 2020 علنياً كموعد للحلّ السياسي في سورية.

– ما أنجزه الجيش السوري خلال عشرة شهور أقرب للمعجزة العسكرية، وتهاوي داعش أمام القوات المتقدّمة نحو دير الزور سيحكم ما بعدها، خصوصاً أنّ الجيش السوري يُمسك بمجرى الفرات الشمالي من ريف الرقة نحو ريف دير الزور، وسيتواصل مع القوات المتقدّمة جنوب مجرى النهر نحو دير الزور، وربما تصير معركة تحرير الرقة التي تمرّ باستعصاء واضح منذ شهرين، معركة الجيش السوري والحلفاء، خصوصاً إذا ما قرّر الجيش السوري والحلفاء حسم مدينتي الميادين والبوكمال قبل الارتداد نحو الرقة، فعندها سيكون على الأميركيين الإقرار بأنّ مشروع شمال شرق الفرات قد سقط وسيكون على القيادة الكردية الإسراع لحجز بطاقتها إلى حوارات جنيف للمشاركة في حلّ سياسي سقفه حكومة موحّدة في ظلّ الرئيس السوري ودستور توافقي جديد وانتخابات برلمانية ورئاسية تليه.

– يقول البعض إنّ القافلة المتوقفة لداعش على تخوم دير الزور بعد ترحيلها من القلمون، قد تبقى هناك لزمن طويل فتستسلم بعدها، وقد حققت الغرض بخلق بالونات إعلامية شغلت الأميركيين وحلفاءهم عن متابعة الحشود والاستعدادات لمعركة حسم دير الزور من جانب الجيش السوري وشريك الدم والانتصارات حزب الله بدعم إيراني مفتوح وحضور جوي روسي بلا حدود.

 

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