Is there any Russian-Iranian-Syrian dispute in Astana? خلاف روسي إيراني سوري في أستانة؟

Is there any Russian-Iranian-Syrian dispute in Astana?

Written by Nasser Kandil,

The Saudi and the Qatari media are waging a campaign since the end of Aleppo’s battles, Moscow’s Meetings which brought together the Ministers of Foreign Affairs and Defense in Russia, Iran, and Turkey, and the announcement of a truce and Astana process for dialogue, its center is the indication to Russian contradiction with Iran and the Syrian government, and the Russian Turkish rapprochement that disturbs Tehran and Damascus. The symbols of the Syrian factions that are involved with Turkey in the truce and Astana, in addition to the rest of writers and analysts who are affiliated to the axis of Riyadh and Ankara repeat the same speech. In the eve of Astana the voices are raised foreshadowing the aggravation of the dispute between Moscow and each of Damascus and Tehran, and the convergence of each of Moscow and Ankara in return.

If we imagine our position as observers in Tehran and we want to write a perfect scenario for Astana Talks it will be like that. First, the previous political attempts for the dialogue about Syria have been made under the US Russian auspices, and a dominant American preponderance, and because America is an opponent of Iran so the ideal choice is the proving of the success of the Syrian-Syrian dialogue under mono Russian auspices. This requires showing Russia as an honest acceptable mediator by all on one hand, and on the other hand it requires the acceptance of the opposite bank represented by Turkey of that mono role of the mediation of Russia without   demanding an active US partnership, as well as restricting the regional partnership with Turkey, preventing the demand of an active Saudi partnership. Because Washington and Riyadh are two direct rivals of Tehran, and because it was said a lot about the alliance of Ankara and Tehran, so it is useful to focus on the dispute with Ankara this time and retaliate upon Washington and Riyadh which have put veto once on the participation of Iran in Geneva Conference dedicated to Syria, towards excluding Saudi Arabia completely, so this restricts the regional sponsor of the opposition with Turkey and grants Washington which is necessary to attend the weakest level of the representation that does not affect the single Russian auspices.

From Tehran we will see that this scenario gets the interest of Damascus for similar reasons which make it the perfect scenario for Tehran, as in the agenda, it will be important for Tehran and Damascus to prevent making Astana an opportunity that is restricted with the political troublemaking under the slogan of the future of the presidency in Syria as many delegations of the opposition have done it before, as well as frustrating the attempt of Turkey and the armed groups to get a long truce waiting the crystallization of the new US position, without resolving the position toward Al Nusra front, and the recognition of considering the ceiling of the political dialogue the attempt to unify the efforts in the war on terrorism. This requires the fall of the slogan of overthrowing the regime and replacing the talk about a political solution for a transitional phase with the seek to have consensus on the frameworks of the national reconciliation from within the institutions of the constitutional state and under their presidency, in addition to the Turkish commitment of closing the borders, stopping the supply of Al Nusra front and the  participation of its siege, as well as ending the illegal presence of its troops in Syria through the withdrawal or through linking this presence with an agreement with the Syrian government that determines its tasks and its duration within the alliance with Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah within the context of the war on terrorism.

Russia will be grateful for this scenario, because it states what it has said repeatedly that it anticipated to it, and it makes it avoid  Turkey’s making use of the relationship with it to raise its negotiating price with Washington as happened repeatedly, moreover it will enlist the groups which are still within the gray area between Al Nusra and the opposition in front of critical moment, thus the position toward Al Nusra will be a condition to ensure cease-fire instead of applying ceasing-fire which Al Nusra will benefit from it as happened before.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

يناير 23, 2017

خلاف روسي إيراني سوري في أستانة؟

ناصر قنديل

– يخوض الإعلام السعودي والقطري حملة منذ نهاية معارك حلب واجتماعات موسكو التي جمعت وزراء الخارجية والدفاع في روسيا وإيران وتركيا والإعلان عن الهدنة وعملية أستانة للحوار، محورها الإشارة لتناقض روسي مع إيران والحكومة السورية وعن تقارب روسي تركي مزعج لطهران ودمشق، ويتوالى رموز الفصائل السورية المنخرطة مع تركيا في الهدنة وأستانة وسائر الكتاب والمحللين المحسوبين على محور الرياض أنقرة على ترداد ذات الكلام، وعشية انعقاد أستانة ترتفع الأصوات مبشرة بتفاقم الخلاف بين موسكو وكل من دمشق وطهران وتقارب موسكو وأنقرة بالمقابل.

– إذا تخيّلنا موقعنا كمراقبين في طهران وأردنا رسم سيناريو مثالي لمحادثات أستانة فسيكون على الشكل التالي، أولاً إن المحاولات السياسية السابقة للحوار حول سورية تمّت برعاية ثنائية أميركية روسية وبأرجحية أميركية طاغية، ولأن أميركا هي خصم إيران، فالخيار المثالي هو إثبات نجاح حوار سوري سوري برعاية روسية أحادية. وهذا يستدعي تظهير روسيا وسيطاً نزيهاً ومقبولاً من الجميع من جهة، وما يستدعيه من قبول الضفة الموازية التي تمثلها تركيا بهذا الدور الأحادي للوساطة لروسيا من دون المطالبة بشراكة أميركية فاعلة، وحصر الشراكة الإقليمية بتركيا وقطع الطريق على المطالبة بشراكة سعودية فاعلة. ولأن واشنطن والرياض خصمان مباشران لطهران، ولأن أنقرة قيل الكثير عن حلفها مع طهران، فمن المفيد التركيز على الخلاف مع أنقرة هذه المرة، وردّ الصاع صاعين لواشنطن والرياض اللتين وضعتا فيتو ذات مرة على مشاركة إيران في مؤتمر جنيف الخاص بسورية، وصولاً لاستبعاد تام للسعودية يحصر الراعي الإقليمي للمعارضة بتركيا، ويمنح واشنطن التي لا غنى عن وجودها أضعف مستوى للتمثيل لا يمسّ أحادية الرعاية الروسية.

– من طهران أيضاً سنرى أن هذا السيناريو يُعجب دمشق جداً لأسباب مشابهة للأسباب التي تجعله السيناريو النموذجي لطهران، وكذلك في جدول الأعمال، سيكون مهماً لطهران ودمشق قطع الطريق على جعل أستانة فرصة محصورة بالمشاغبة السياسية، تحت شعار مستقبل الرئاسة في سورية، كما درجت وفود المعارضة من قبل، ومنع محاولة تركيا والجماعات المسلحة الحصول على هدنة مديدة، بانتظار تبلور الوضع الأميركي الجديد، من دون حسم الموقف من جبهة النصرة والتسليم باعتبار سقف الحوار السياسي البحث عن توحيد الجهود في الحرب على الإرهاب، وما يستدعيه ذلك من سقوط لشعار إسقاط النظام واستبدال الحديث عن حل سياسي لمرحلة انتقالية بالسعي للتوافق على أطر للمصالحة الوطنية من ضمن مؤسسات الدولة السورية وفي ظل رئاستها، وما يوجبه من التزام تركي بإقفال الحدود وقطع الإمداد عن جبهة النصرة والتشارك في محاصرتها، وإنهاء الوجود غير الشرعي لقواتها في سورية عبر الانسحاب أو عبر ربط هذا الوجود باتفاق مع الحكومة السورية يحدد مهماته ومدته ضمن التحالف مع روسيا وإيران وحزب الله، في إطار الحرب على الإرهاب.

– ستكون روسيا ممتنة لهذا السيناريو، فهو ينطق بما قالت دائماً أنها تتطلع إليه، ويجنبها استعمال تركيا العلاقة معها، لرفع سعرها التفاوضي مع واشنطن كما حدث مراراً، وسيضع الجماعات التي لا تزال ضمن منطقة رمادية بين النصرة والمعارضة أمام لحظة فاصلة، فيصير الموقف من النصرة شرطاً لتثبيت وقف النار بدلاً من وقف للنار تستفيد منه النصرة، كما حدث سابقاً.

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Why Did the Al-Jazeera Expose Fail?

January 14, 2017  /  Gilad Atzmon

By Gilad Atzmon

“The Lobby”, the Al-Jazeerah expose of the Israeli Embassy and the Jewish Lobby infiltration into British politics is a landmark in journalism. It seems that Qatari TV outsmarted Israeli intelligence in the UK and beyond.

In the program, an undercover journalist named ‘Robin’ managed to infiltrate into the corridors of the Jewish lobby in Britain, secured the trust of a senior Israeli intelligence officer and, most importantly, managed to reveal the depths of Israeli interference in British politics.

We learned how Israel and its lobby plot against Britain and the Brits. In the program, Shai Masot, an Israeli official was caught on camera conspiring to “bring down” a British minister.

We learned how our own treacherous MPs shamelessly serve a foreign power and foreign interests. In Episode 3 we witness British politicians and Israeli lobbyists such as MP Joan Ryan  caught on camera smearing a Labour voter as an ‘anti-Semite’, and practically conspiring against her own party. Ms Ryan does it all for the Jewish state, a state with a horrid record on human rights and war crimes.  I wonder what is it that motivates MP Ryan? Is it  greed, or is it just power seeking?

The Brits should certainly ask themselves how come it is left to a Qatari TV network  to reveal the shocking news about their democracy being taken over by a foreign Lobby. Should this not be the concern  for the BBC or the Guardian? And even after the Al-Jazeera expose, the British media remained silent and the question must be asked: would it have stayed as silent had Shai Masot been a Russian? Would it have stayed as silent if MP Joan Ryan was exposed as an Iranian lobbyist?

But Al-Jazeera fell into an all-too-common trap. Troubled by its own findings, it tried to soften them with the usual politically correct fluff.  Instead of concentrating on the British aspect of this saga and allowing the Brits to speak for themselves, Al-Jazeera allowed an Israeli – academic Ilan Pappe to speak for us. Similarly, Jackie Walker, certainly a victim of the Israeli campaign was also asked, “as a Jew” (as well as a Black person), to spell out for us her own identitarian philosophy. All other commentators on the Israeli espionage operation came from recognised Palestinian solidarity perspectives. Despite the fact that the dirty dealings of the Israeli Embassy and the treason of members of the Israeli lobby groups in Britain is a clear offence against British sovereignty and the British people, only one Brit, journalist Peter Oborne, addressed the offence from a clear British perspective.

This is wrong. “The Lobby” exposed, above all, a gross interference with British sovereignty, a crude intrusion into the British democratic process and government.  Al-Jazeera failed because it turned this British national tragedy into an internal Jewish dispute.

For obvious reasons, Al Jazeera chose not to delve into the deep, cultural meaning of the Israeli operation. Israel is, above all, the Jewish state and, as I have mentioned many times before, plotting against other people’s regimes is deeply embedded in Judaic teaching and Jewish culture. It is in practice the message of The Book of Esther, which teach the Jews how toconspire against their rulers and, by proxy, to win over their enemies.  You can read The Book Of Esther for yourselves (it’s pretty short and very entertaining): http://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/jsource/Bible/Esther.html

Shai Masot was no junior embassy employee as claimed. He was a senior intelligence officer operating from the safety and immunity of its embassy on behalf of the Jewish state. He was working alongside Israeli Ambassador Mark Regev and the two are seen together in the film, sitting side by side, addressing various Jewish lobby groups. Shai Masot has been recalled and, I understand, is currently seeking other employment. Mark Regev should now be expelled and the matter must be investigated by MI5.

Five Years ago, Nasser Kandil Reading the Future

ناصر قنديل في مقابلة ممتعة جدا على قناة الدنيا عام 2011 – كانها تبث اليوم

 

«الميادين» قناة الحق والحقيقة… تتفوّق وتتألّق

ديسمبر 17, 2016

ناصر قنديل
– مع الإعلامي غسان بن جدو عرف اللبنانيون وكلّ من ساند خيار المقاومة ضدّ احتلال جنوبه عام 2000 صعود نجم قناة «الجزيرة»، التي كانت تنافسها قناة أبو ظبي آنذاك بقوة حضور الإعلامي رفيق نصرالله في مواكبة المقاومة وخياراتها ومعاركها وانتصاراتها، عبر جهود وأداء بن جدو ونصرالله، فتح القطريون والإماراتيون قنوات اتصالاتهم مع المقاومة والحكم في لبنان يحصدون ما زرعه إعلاميون أخلصوا لخيار المقاومة، وأملوا أن يفهم القيّمون على القنوات التي يعملون لها حجم الناتج الإيجابي لما فعلوه بلا مقابل، وحجم المردود المتوقع إنْ أحسنوا التصرف، ولم يكن غسان بن جدو ولا كان رفيق نصرالله مجرد مراسلين أو مديرين لمكتبين يخصان القناتين.

– في حرب تموز العام 2006 كانت قناة أبو ظبي بقرار رعاتها تغادر الخيار الذي استثمر عليه مدير مكتبها رفيق نصرالله وتذهب لخيار وصف المقاومين بالمغامرين، فكانت مغادرة نصرالله للقناة، لكن حسابات رعاة «الجزيرة» كانت مختلفة فكان لغسان بن جدو ما أراد، قناة تحقق حلمه بمواكبة أهمّ حروب الشرق الأوسط، تنتهي بانتصار المقاومة حيث هُزمت كلّ جيوش العرب، ولم يخسر القطريون عندما أزدانت شوارع الضاحية الجنوبية بشعارات شكراً قطر، وقطفت الدوحة دوراً سياسياً في الوساطة لحلّ سياسي للأزمة اللبنانية حمل اسمها بقوة ما فعله بن جدو ورفاقه في حرب تموز، وصارت كلمة الرئيس نبيه بري معادلة في السياسة عنوانها «أول الغيث قطر».

– مع اندفاع مشروع الفوضى الهادفة لتغيير الجغرافيا السياسية العربية بالاستثمار على غضب الناس، وتحييد الجيوش تمهيداً لضربها، وتصعيد مشروع الإخوان المسلمين، من تونس إلى مصر وليبيا واليمن وصولاً إلى سورية كانت قطر تنتقل إلى الصف الأول في قوى الحرب على خيار المقاومة، مستثمرة عطفاً وثقة نالتهما بقوة نفوذ قناة «الجزيرة»، المستقوية بدورها بحب الناس وثقتها بمصداقيتها التي صنع أغلبها في مناخ حروب المقاومة، حيث كان غسان بن جدو ورفاقه، فغادر بن جدو قناته، ليعلن البراءة مما تفعل ويقول لمن أحبوا المقاومة ومنحوا ثقتهم للقناة معه، أنّ زمن الوصل انتهى، ولهم أن يحكموا بأنفسهم ويحدّدوا خياراتهم.

– خلال خمس سنوات نجح غسان بن جدو في بناء ميادينه الجديدة عبر قناة «الميادين»، وخاض مغامرة الجمع الدقيق بين الإخلاص للحقيقة والوفاء للحق، فناله بعض سهام أهل الحق عندما كان البحث عن الحقيقة يستدعي عدم التعتيم على موقف الخصم وحضوره، وتناولته ألسنة السوء بادّعاء الدفاع عن الحقيقة عندما أشهر سلاح الحق وانحاز إلى صفه بلا لبس أو اشتباه،
وجاء تحرير حلب عام 2016 ليقول الناس، ما اشبه اليوم بالأمس عندما تذكّروا مشهد غسان بن جدو في جنوب لبنان، وبين النصرين في حلب وجنوب لبنان كثير من عناصر الشبه، وقد وجد بن جدو من يجلس في الميادين على المقعد الذي شغله في «الجزيرة»، فأبدع كمال خلف متابعاً ومحققاً ومحاوراً، مستعيداً صورة بن جدو قبل ستة عشر عاماً، وتألقت ديما ناصيف بثقافتها وتدفقها وحضورها في الميادين، وبرزت موهبة رضا الباشا المراسل الميداني الواعد، ولكن بقيت بصمة بن جدو ترتقي بـ«الميادين».

– خلال خمس سنوات، وبعيداً عن كلّ الكلام الفاقد للمعنى عن كيف وبأيّ مال وبدعم من أيّ جهة، نجح غسان بن جدو في «الميادين» بهزيمة الإعلام المموّل بمليارات الدولارات، برهانه على معادلة الجمع بين الحق والحقيقة، فقال لزملائه في إعلام الحق الذي تجسده المقاومة، بالحق وحده لا يحيا الإعلام، وظيفة الإعلام هي البحث عن الحقيقة ولهذا البحث جاذبية يحتاجها أهل الحق، ويقول للذين حشدوا مالهم ومعداتهم تحت عنوان البحث عن الحقيقة وهم يناصبون الحق العداء ويدسّون السمّ في عسل الحقيقة، لقد جاءكم من يكشف لعبتكم، ويقول لكم بدون الحق حقيقتكم بلا روح، والناس أذكى من أن تبتلع طعمكم، وحقيقتنا الحية بأقلّ المقدرات والإمكانات تملك ما لا تملكون، المصداقية.

– بالمصداقية نجح بن جدو ونجحت «الميادين» وفازت المقاومة وحلفاؤها بآلة جبارة في الحرب الإعلامية التي ثبت أنّ أداء أهل محور المقاومة فيها رغم كثرة ووفرة القنوات الناطقة باسمهم، لا زال دون المستوى المطلوب بكثير، فملأت «الميادين» فراغاً في جبهة حرب دون أن يكلفها أحد أو تنتظر من أحد جزاء أو شكورا.

– تستحق «الميادين» تحية النصر في حلب كما كلّ صنّاع النصر الذي كانت جزءاً لا يتجزأ منه، ولصنّاعه و«الميادين» منهم تُرفع القبعة تحية تقدير.

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UN Press Conference on Syria

From the video description:

Full Press Conference at the United Nations. Against propaganda and regime change, for peace and national sovereignty. 9 December 2016, the Permanent Mission of the Syrian Arab Republic to the United Nations. Speakers: Dr. Bahman Azad, Member of the Coordinating Committee for the Hands Off Syria and Organization Secretary of US Peace Council, and Eva Bartlett, Independent Canadian Journalist.

The press conference comes just as the Obama administration waived prohibitions on the delivery of weapons to militant factions in Syria and as Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter has announced the deployment of 200 additional US special forces to Syria, ostensibly for duty in Raqqa. (H/T Uprooted Palestinians )

The additional deployment will up the number of US troops in Syria to around 500.

An interesting analysis published at 21st Century Wire takes the view that Obama’s lifting of the prohibitions on arms deliveries to Syria will mean “unlimited arms” for terrorists operating there, including possibly anti-aircraft weaponry. Add that to the additional troops being deployed, who no doubt will provide training on the new weapons systems, and the stage could be set for a protracted war that could go on for years–that is if it doesn’t escalate into a broader conflict between the major super powers.

This Is An Urgent Appeal To Aid Walaa al Ghussein

My name is M. Dennis Paul, PhD.  My friends and I have started this fundraiser for a brilliant young woman living in war torn Gaza (Palestine) who has been accepted as the first student from Gaza to enter Grad School at CUNY (City University of NY).  I ask that you read the following appeal and visit the links we have provided to learn more about this exceptional human being.

Getting out of Gaza is no easy proposition. Returning is often more difficult.  There are numerous legal and political hoops to jump through to make  either journey possible. Last year, we were successful in making it possible for the sister of this student to attend Portland State University where she is now making family, and all of us, very proud.  Our current student has prior history of attending Universities in the US and is acquainted with the hurdles.  We are confident she will make this journey. (SEE UPDATES)

We believe that once you read about the achievements accomplished so far, and under such brutal conditions as exists in the Gaza strip, by this special individual (and the others on whose behalf we work) you will understand the efforts made to help them further their education and life endeavours.

The funds we seek will satisfy both the conditions set by the State Department and the University. Any amount above these requirements will be maintained as a reserve for unforeseen expenses that may incur and then addition to the safety reserve for the student.

Time is of the essence as our student has been accepted to CUNY Spring semester and must quickly secure her place at the University. We will update as needed to stress the true deadlines she must meet.

As long time supporters of rights and freedom for Palestinians and having many friends and acquaintances there, we understand the severity of their living conditions, the depth of daily struggle to survive, and the drive toward betterment and success which fosters the hopes and dreams they carry within. Education is vitally important for these students and is something they do not take for granted.

We greatly appreciate however much you can contribute to help us make it possible for this next student to meet her goals.

Please go on to read the Pensive Quill article which explains more.  Follow the links to learn more about the desires and accomplishments of this brilliant young spirit..

THEPENSIVEQUILL
Censor Offender
ANTHONY MCINTYRE

Help Walaa Al-Ghussein
Saturday, October 29, 2016

(Stanley Cohen makes a funding appeal on behalf of Walaa Al-Ghussein, a resident of Gaza who is currently seeking to further her education in the US. Walaa Al-Ghussein has been actively involved in exposing Israeli terror against Palestinians.) 

Walaa Al-Ghussein is a treasure; one of those rare shooting stars that lights up the sky when all else seems dark and hopeless. Although truly one of a kind, she is not alone. There are hundreds of thousands of other national and international treasures that call Gaza home. Young women and men of determination and drive who against impossible odds have survived … survived to dream, to study, to grow, to look to a brighter future … one where they are no longer merely a political statistic played out in a decades old perverse, often deadly, game of power orchestrated by Israel with the acquiescence of much of the world.

Recently, after a great deal of struggle and sacrifice, Walaa obtained her undergraduate degree at university in Gaza. Previously she had attended a summer long academic program in the United States where she excelled. Most important, as a participant at the Edward R. Murrow College of Communication at Washington State University, she discovered the freedom of academic pursuit… one where classmates were not killed, where electricity existed (not a rare privilege) to study by, where podiums did not stand empty because faculty had been disappeared or were detained at a border crossing closed for the fall, or the winter … or permanently; where textbooks were not censored by Israel or recycled year after year from necessity because of a punishing embargo intended to break the spirit and will of millions as little more than a brazen criminal act of collective punishment.

Not satisfied with studies alone, Walaa has played an active and vibrant role in the life of her community especially among other young women who look to her as very much a role model of self-determination and independence. In that capacity, among other efforts, she organized and oversaw a series of training programs for youth in Gaza and the West Bank which focused on women’s empowerment and leadership. She presented a working paper on Young Women’s Leadership and its challenges at a conference held at the Women’s Affairs center in Gaza. She has mentored many young women trying to balance the tension between community and personal aspirations.

She has worked as a journalist and photographer whose articles and photographs have appeared in such prestigious publications as Al Jazeera and Mondoweiss. She has contributed to a number of powerful documentaries on Gaza and, herself, been the subject of a number of reports on life under Israeli attacks and the permanent siege of the coastal enclave of some two million people.

Walaa helped organize, and chaired, an international conference in Gaza which was one of 10 cities chosen worldwide as part of the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting in Davos which focused on development skills for young entrepreneurs. In 2012 she was a member of the Palestinian Youth Delegation at a conference, “Evolution for Palestine”, held in Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia … and was the social media coordinator for the Conference. As part of her undergraduate studies, she worked as a teaching intern at both the Latin Patriarchate and Rosary Sister’s Schools in Gaza with 3rd and 10th graders.

Walaa was inspired by her time at Washington State University. Like no other place or experience, it was there that she discovered the world of academics, for her, a ticket to freedom … a boundless, exciting journey with the pursuit of graduate school a gateway to a future where she could not only realize great personal growth but share her passage and accomplishments back home with the many other young women and men of Gaza who look to her with a deep sense of pride and hope.

Recently, Walaa became the first student from Gaza to be accepted by the prestigious Graduate School of Middle East Studies at City College in New York. For her, CUNY… with its diverse population, world class faculty and location in the heart of the most vibrant City in the world has truly become a dream come true. She is scheduled to begin her studies this coming spring semester, which is not that far off. To enroll, Walaa must first obtain a student visa from the US State Department… a not quick procedure which ultimately is dependent upon sponsorship by a US citizen (who has just signed on) and a healthy level of financial security in her own bank account.

I write now to ask our extended family in Ireland, who better than most, have long known the pain of oppression and occupation, to help make Walaa’s dream a reality by contributing to a fund which we’ve set up under the supervision of a highly respected accounting firm in the United States.

For those interested in contributing by check, all it takes is an endorsement to Leonard Vona, CPA , with a reference to the academic fund for Walaa Al-Ghussein. For those who prefer a wire transfer from your bank account to the one overseeing this effort, under US law it’s a bit more complicated. Donors must first send an email to Mr. Vona identifying themselves and setting forth a very brief personal background. This will be followed up by information from Mr. Vona on how to complete the transfer.

==> Contributions, of course, can be made through this GOFUNDME Campaign

For a closer look at the thoughts and words of Walaa, I’m enclosing a link to her application statement to CUNY as well as a number of other links which reflect some of her work.

Many thanks.

Stanley Cohen.

Application Statement

Gaza’s female fixers

Walaa Ghussein

Articles by Walaa Ghussein   

Walaa Ghussein on the power (and vulnerability) of Palestinian journalists

Leonard W. Vona CPA CFE
2967 US Route 9 Suite 403
Valatie, NY 12184
Office: 518-784-2250
Fax: 518-784-2251
Mobile: 518-339-6748
lvona@leonardvona.com

ANTHONY MCINTYRE
Former IRA volunteer and ex-prisoner, spent 18 years in Long Kesh, 4 years on the blanket andno-wash/no work protests which led to thehunger strikes of the 80s. Completed PhD at Queens upon release from prison. Left the Republican Movement at the endorsement of the Good Friday Agreement, and went on to become a journalist. Co-founder of The Blanket, an online magazine that critically analyzed the Irish peace process.

UPDATES
#1 November 19, 2016

We are happy to announce that Walaa has safely made her way out of Gaza after several months of effort. We are, however, woefully shy of meeting the $15k needed to insure her place at CUNY.

Walaa will be the 1st Gaza student accepted in the prestigious Graduate School of Middle East Studies at CUNY. This is a great accomplishment for her, personally, and for Gaza.

We are so thankful to all our donors. We know that finances, for some, are tight in this season. Every gift, whether $1 or $1000, is celebrated by us as it makes the dreams of this shining star ever closer to reality. Please tell all your friends and family about this campaign, about Walaa, and ask them to help us help her.

#2 December 1, 2016
We are happy to announce that Walaa’s student visa has been approved. One more hurdle behind her now. There are still many more ahead and we are still woefully short of our $15K goal. Several donors have come back and donated additional amounts and we simply cannot thank them enough. But we need your donations and time is running out. If only half of our combined Twitter & Facebook followers donated just $3, our campaign could end tomorrow. Please consider a donation of any amount and make it now.
#3 December 10, 2016
We have less than 22 days to solidify all the steps necessary to insure that Walaa is safely established at CUNY. Of course, this means we need funds. At this point, we are only a little over the 1/3 mark for meeting our goal. We know the holidays can cut into giving but we are urging all our followers and friends ,,, and their followers and friends … to reach down deep and find that extra $1-3-5-10 (or what ever might be available) to donate now. Any and every amount counts. With less than 22 days, we are in desperation mode. Walaa’s visa has been approved and a sponsor found. Housing must still be secured and ready for her arrival. Other expenses require attention.. some immediate. We need some serious angels to pull all of this together. Please help us make this happen for Walaa.

Trump is a new phase in the global politics ترامب ونهاية زمن المقاربة التقليدية!

نوفمبر 18, 2016

Written by Nasser Kandil,

It is not discussible the status occupied by America in the policy-making in the world, or the size of the importance of our region in the global policy and the size of its influence by the US policies, as it is ridiculous to suggest the arrival of the US President who is a friend and a supporter of the issues of our nations and who wants the good for our countries, in the status occupied by Israel in making the US policy, in addition to the agreed positions of the competitors on the US presidency, as long as our countries are holding the banner of the national independence and have wealth and the features that make them under the colonist aspirations for any foreign ruler. As it is ridiculous that those who feel sad regarding the loss of Hillary Clinton and have linked their calls for the steadfastness of the armed groups in Syria and the prolonging of the war in Yemen with the bet on her arrival to the White House, moreover they preach and talk about the racism of Donald Trump who is winner in the race to the White House, recalling his supportive speeches to Israel.

Every sane person in our countries know that the change in the future of our issues is made by our not by the bets on who will move to the White House, because all of them are equal in their hostility to our freedom and our cause of Palestine. But this must not hold up our minds about reading the phenomena and monitoring the changes and getting the meanings. These conditions are needed by the one who search for the effectiveness of his wars and resistance to know who the enemy is and what are his strategies, plans, and backgrounds, and to measure the impact of his resistance and steadfastness on making something remarkable in changing the policies of the decision-center in the war. Whether did he succeed in sending a message of despair and fatigue to his people, elites, and the decision-makers? Thus the checking of the US elections and their results is similar to the reading in the language of the reality TV of Baker- Hamilton report after the US failure in the wars of Iraq and Afghanistan or Winograd report after the Israeli failure in crushing the resistance in the war of July in 2006 in Lebanon.

The US presidential elections have occurred as their previous ones on the rhythm of major changes in the world. The arrival of Bill Clinton to presidency in 1992 was the start of the war industry in Europe to inherit the disintegration of the Soviet Union, and the war of Yugoslavia was to accelerate the birth of the European Union as a political economic way to attract the countries of the Eastern Europe which emerged from under Russia’s cloak.

The arrival of George W Bush was the Republic completion of the eastern wars after the winning of the harsh and the soft wars of Europe including the colored revolutions which besieged the exhausted Russia. The two wars of Afghanistan and Iraq have occurred as a translation of the new phase of the imperial war which the President was suitable for it, while Barack Obama has recognized the US failure of the harsh wars of the East and the bet on the Soft war through having an understanding with Iran and another with Russia to seize the chance by taking Syria out of the political geography of the Russian Iranian center without getting involved in a war, and through thrusting with the bloody promises and the hopes for the Ottoman memory, as well as awakening the Muslim Brotherhood tribalism through the tense employment of the combination between the popular anger and the giant media machine Al Jazeera and Al Arabiya which were prepared and supplied for such a day, they got bought credibility over the years to reach the day on which it was raised the slogan “the people make their revolution”, “the people want to overthrow the regime”, in order to make the Muslim Brotherhood rule in Egypt and Tunisia waiting for Syria, in addition to the money that was spent in vain in the intelligence, and plots accompanied with Facebook and Twitter. Furthermore the brutal ruthless investment of Al Qaeda organization with all its meanings for the killing and dissemination of death, division, fragmentation, and the wars of strive till the people scream, the resistance gets exhausted, the regimes are overthrown and thus the white flag is raised.

As an outcome of the two mandates of Barack Obama the soft wars failed due to the steadfastness of Syria, its people against the strives, its army against the terrorism and the war, and its President against the intimidation and the temptations. With the process of the Syrian steadfastness the resistance forces have been awakened along with the support of Iran and Russia to prevent the poisoned change of the political geography under the mantle of “the people make their revolution”,  as well as the negotiations were overlapped with the battles, all the tricks of politics have been tested but the most important question between the two camps of war in the region

Was America defeated?, the defeat is no longer the annihilation of the army or the surrender of the emperor as in the World War II, but the change of  the choices and the resort of the people to the ballot boxes in the arena of the war decision-making to announce their fatigue, their desperation and their intention to get more attention of their livelihood and their boring from attractive promises, and being asked for more patience because the war is almost ending with a victory that will bring revenues on the rulers, allies, and the people.

We concern about the US elections according to a criterion other than being reassured for the arrival of a friend of the Arabs to presidency who does not want to move the US embassy to Jerusalem in the occupied Palestine, even if he supplies Israel with all the means of death, killing, and devastation and extends the Gulf oil to its ports.

It is certain for every sane that every US President is a friend of Israel responsible for its protection and committed to its military superiority. Our approach of the US presidential elections is exactly in depth from the same Saudi Turkish interest but reversely. What was the concern of Riyadh and Ankara was not the arrival of Hillary Clinton to presidency because she will grant Saudi Arabia and Turkey a status of America, but the political moment which associated with the behavior of the administration of Obama since signing the understanding on the Iranian nuclear file towards signing the Russian US understanding with Russia. Because the arrival of Hillary Clinton to presidency was a hope to continue the war and to deny the defeat and her failure is a devotion of the failure and the defeat. The result is determined by the American voter whom the measurement of his choices, the nature and the degree of the authorization which he will give to the governor of the White House concern us, as a result of the steadfastness of our armies, resistance, the leadership of our resistance and the resisting axis, with a fundamental difference between us and Saudi Arabia, because it funded Clinton’s campaign and linked the fate of its policies with the outcomes of the US presidential elections, while it was not our cause anymore to adopt and to defend the arrival of Trump, the black racist heart, the reliable ally of Israel. We were and still concerned about observing and analyzing the course of the presidential conflict as an expression of our respect to the sacrifices of our martyrs to protect their principles, by making effort to see the outcome of what their blood have made by paving the way to the victory, so did the Americans say in the ballot boxes let’s go to war or we are tired, we want a president who cares about the US interior?

The US elections are as the British referendum on the withdrawal from the European Union an expression of the disintegration of the war machines, the tiredness of the people of the West, their tendency to the regression to the internal issues and raising the slogan “the great nation is better than the major country” even if the change was expressed through the crudeness that resembles Trump’s speech.

America which is more American and less global is as Britain which is more British and less global is suitable more for us as they are two signs of the outcome of our wars, resistance, the steadfastness of our nation, people, army and resistance, as when Russia becomes more global but less Russian, it is a sign of the reflection of the steadfastness and stability in sending a message that there is something that is worth the bet.

Because it is America, the people will get used to the new world with America without brutality, the world will be changed a lot with new America, that is interested in what is going inside it more than making wars. Thus it would be the right of the people who sacrificed to celebrate the greatness of their accomplishment.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

ترامب ونهاية زمن المقاربة التقليدية!

نوفمبر 14, 2016

ناصر قنديل
– يرغب العاملون في السياسة والصحافة بامتلاك تقييم مختصر بكلمة جيد أو سيئ لكل فريق مقابل، سواء كان شخصاً أو حزباً أو حكماً لدولة، فيجمع حاصل المواقف ويضعها في جدول حساب أرباح وخسائر، ويصل لنتيجة قوامها سهل على التعامل، جيد أم سيئ، وهكذا كان دائماً يتم البدء بتقييم كل عهد أميركي جديد. تبدأ التقييمات بالجيد في الوسط العربي، بنيات الرئيس الجديد تحريك العملية السياسية للصراع العربي «الإسرائيلي»، وتذكيره بحل الدولتين ورفضه الاستيطان، والنخب العربية كما الحكام العرب لا يحبون الاستنتاج أن أميركا لن تقدم على ما يزعج «إسرائيل» ولو قالت ما يرضي العرب، ومع الأيام تظهر السياسات الأميركية والخطط الأميركية المبرمجة والتي رصدت لها الإمكانات، في غير ساحة فلسطين، فيبدأ التبدل التدريجي إلى التحفظ، وينتهي بالحكم السلبي بانتظار الإدارة الجديدة.

– منذ نهاية الحرب الباردة وتفكك الاتحاد السوفياتي، لم يبق للأميركيين خصم يبررون به توازنات تحكم سياساتهم وعداوات تجبرهم تحالفات بعض العرب مع السوفييت على سلوكها، ويجبرهم الصراع العالمي على التمسك بـ»إسرائيل» وعدوانها، فصار التوقع العربي بقرب السعي الأميركي لحل القضية الفلسطينية، وكسب عواطف الشارعين العربي والإسلامي، ببضع تنازلات شكلية من «إسرائيل» تضمن لها أمنها وازدهار اقتصادها، وتعاون العرب معها في العداء لإيران، لكن ذلك لم يحدث رغم وجاهة حدوثه، لأن أميركا لا تضغط على «إسرائيل» ببساطة، لكن حدث أن أميركا في نهاية عهد جورج بوش الأب كانت أولويتها تحرير الكويت، وليس حل القضية الفلسطينية. وفي عهد بيل كلينتون كانت الأولوية مواصلة حصار العراق، رغم كل ما بذل من حملات علاقات عامة تحت عنوان التفاوض العربي «الإسرائيلي» لم ينتج إلا اتفاقات منفردة تريح «إسرائيل» ولا تحلّ القضية، من أوسلو إلى وادي عربة. وفي عهد جورج بوش الإبن كانت الأولوية إسقاط العراق واحتلاله. وفي عهد أوباما الأولوية إسقاط سورية. وفي كل العهود استمعوا أيها العرب لما تحبون سماعه حول فلسطين، لكنكم لن تروا أفعالاً إلا لصالح «إسرائيل»، ولو في غير ساحة فلسطين، فحروب «إسرائيل» الفعلية تدور خارج فلسطين.

– مع العهد الأميركي الجديد يحدث تغييران جذريان، فالعرب، نخباً وحكاماً، في العموم لم تعد أولويتهم فلسطين، رغم الكذب الكثير. الأولوية عند أكثر من النصف هي الأولوية «الإسرائيلية» ذاتها، إسقاط سورية. والنصف الثاني المرابط على خط العداء لـ»إسرائيل» ومقاومتها، لم يكن من المراهنين على تغير أميركي بوجه «إسرائيل» كي ينتظر، ولا يشك لحظة في أن الأولوية «الإسرائيلية» هي إسقاط سورية، لتكون أولويته صمودها وانتصارها. وعلى الضفتين العربيتين لن يجد الرئيس الأميركي المؤيد لـ»إسرائيل» والمتعاطف معها، حاجة لكيفية التعامل مع المزاج السياسي العربي، فهو ليس مضطراً للتحدث عن كل ما لا يحب، وبمستطاعه أن يعبر عن دواخله بحرية، لأن نصف العرب ينتظرون منه أن يختم الكلام بقرار التدخل في سورية فيغفرون له كل ما قاله عن «إسرائيل»، وإن لم يفعل قالوا إنه سيئ وتذكروا ما قاله في مديح «إسرائيل» كذريعة لتفسير حكمهم عليه بالسوء. والنصف الثاني يريد ألا يتوقع كلاماً مزعجاً لـ»إسرائيل»، من أي رئيس أميركي إلا للضحك على العرب والتلاعب بعقولهم، ويراقب مفعول الحرب التي يخوضها في سورية بوجه «إسرائيل» وأميركا، وهل أدت مفعولها بإجبار الأميركي على الاعتراف بالفشل؟

– مثلما أصاب التغيير المعسكر العربي في تلقي الخطاب الأميركي مع كل عهد جديد، تغير العهد الأميركي نفسه. فنحن لسنا أمام منهج فكري سياسي حاكم للخطاب المتماسك، فالخطاب المتطرف التصعيدي على السود والمسلمين، والداعم لـ «إسرائيل»، تتمته الطبيعية مزيد من التوغل في الحروب، والتصعيد ضد روسيا، لكننا هنا أمام انفصام في الخطاب إلى نصفين، نصف جمهوري ينتمي للفاشية البيضاء في زمن الحرب الأهلية الأميركية حتى ما بعد الحرب العالمية الثانية حتى حرب فيتتنام، ونصف ديمقراطي عاقل ينتمي لمرحلة ما بعد حرب فيتنام، حتى يكاد الرئيس الجديد يشبه نسختين ملصقتين من رئيسين، متناقضَي السيرة والمسيرة، هما دوايت إيزنهاور رجل النصر في الحرب العالمية الثانية، وريتشارد نيكسون رجل الهزيمة في فيتنام. إيزنهاور النسخة المنقحة لجورج واشنطن في النظرة البيضاء العنصرية للداخل الأميركي، والنسخة المتعجرفة في الانخراط التشاركي مع ند هو جوزف ستالين الرافع لشارة النصر السوفياتية في الحرب العالمية الثانية، ونيكسون المنخرط من موقع المهزوم مع السوفيات والصين، بعد حرب فيتنام، والممانع للاندماج الوطني تحت شعار التدرج، ليصير دونالد ترامب الممانع ضد الطبيعة والتوازنات الاجتماعية في الداخل، والمنكفئ تحت شعار التشارك من موقع الند في الخارج.

– الأرجح أن تغيب فلسطين عن خطاب ترامب إلا في مناسبات تأكيد التمسك بـ»إسرائيل» قوية. والأرجح أن يحضر ترامب المستفز لمشاعر العرب والمسلمين كل يوم في مقارباته لعناوين داخلية أميركية بخطاب عنصري، لكن الأرجح أن يتصرف ترامب كمهزوم في الشرق يبحث عن شعار مشرف للخروج بماء وجه وجده بالحرب على داعش، كسبب للاستدارة من حرب فاشلة ضد سورية، وعنوان لتعاون مع روسيا دون انكسار. لعلنا نتعلم ما كان دائماً صحيحاً، أن لا رئيس أميركياً سيئ ولا رئيس أميركياً جيد. فالسياسة الأميركية معادية بالطبيعة، والمهم مراقبة أفعالها وأنيابها وساحات فعلها، ولسنا مضطرين أبداً أن نصدر حكم السيئ والجيد. فالأميركيون عليهم فعل ذلك، ما يعنينا أن نحدد ما إذا كنا لا نزال في قلب الحرب الضارية أم أن حربنا بدأت تحقق غاياتها، تماماً هذا ما قاله زعيم الثورة الفيتنامية هوشي منه غداة مفاوضات باريس وإعلان بدء الانسحاب الأميركي من بلاده.

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