A Decalogue: The Ten Theses of American Empire-Building: A Dialogue

By Prof. James Petras

Global Research, August 11, 2018

 

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Introduction

Few, if any, believe what they hear and read from leaders and media publicists. Most people choose to ignore the cacophony of voices, vices and virtues.

This paper provides a set of theses which purports to lay-out the basis for a dialogue between and among those who choose to abstain from elections with the intent to engage them in political struggle.

Thesis 1

US empire builders of all colors and persuasion practice donkey tactics; waving the carrot and wielding the whip to move the target government on the chosen path.

In the same way, Washington offers dubious concessions and threatens reprisals, in order to move them into the imperial orbit.

Washington applied the tactic successfully in several recent encounters. In 2003 the US offered Libyan government of Muammar Gaddafi a peaceful accommodation in exchange for disarmament, abandonment of nationalist allies in the Middle East, Africa and Asia. In 2011, the US with its European allies applied the whip – bombed Libya, financed and armed retrograde tribal and terrorist forces, destroyed the infrastructure, murdered Gaddafi and uprooted millions of Africans and Libyans. . . who fled to Europe. Washington recruited mercenaries for their subsequent war against Syria in order to destroy the nationalist Bashar Assad regime.

Washington succeeded in destroying an adversary but did not establish a puppet regime in the midst of perpetual conflict.

The empire’s carrot weakened its adversary, but the stick failed to recolonize Libya ..Moreover its European allies are obligated to pay the multi-billion Euro cost of absorbing millions of uprooteded immigrants and the ensuing domestic political turmoil.

Thesis 2

Empire builders’ proposal to reconfigure the economy in order to regain imperial supremacy provokes domestic and overseas enemies. President Trump launched a global trade war, replaced political accommodation with economic sanctions against Russia and a domestic protectionist agenda and sharply reduced corporate taxes. He provoked a two-front conflict. Overseas, he provoked opposition from European allies and China, while facing perpetual harassment from domestic free market globalists and Russo-phobic political elites and ideologues.

Two front conflicts are rarely successful. Most successful imperialist conquer adversaries in turn – first one and then the other.

Thesis 3

Leftists frequently reverse course: they are radicals out of office and reactionaries in government, eventually falling between both chairs. We witness the phenomenal collapse of the German Social Democratic Party, the Greek Socialist Party (PASOK), (and its new version Syriza) and the Workers Party in Brazil. Each attracted mass support, won elections, formed alliances with bankers and the business elite – and in the face of their first crises, are abandoned by the populace and the elite.

Shrewd but discredited elites frequently recognize the opportunism of the Left, and in time of distress, have no problem in temporarily putting up with Left rhetoric and reforms as long as their economic interests are not jeopardized. The elite know that the Left signal left and turn right.

Thesis 4

Elections, even ones won by progressives or leftists, frequently become springboards for imperial backed coups. Over the past decade newly elected presidents, who are not aligned with Washington, face congressional and/or judicial impeachment on spurious charges. The elections provide a veneer of legitimacy which a straight-out military-coup lacks.

In Brazil, Paraguay and Venezuela, ‘legislatures’ under US tutelage attempted to ouster popular President. They succeeded in the former and failed in the latter.

When electoral machinery fails, the judicial system intervenes to impose restraints on progressives, based on tortuous and convoluted interpretation of the law. Opposition leftists in Argentina, Brazil and Ecuador have been hounded by ruling party elites.

Thesis 5

Even crazy leaders speak truth to power. There is no question that President Trump suffers a serious mental disorder, with midnight outbursts and nuclear threats against, any and all, ranging from philanthropic world class sports figures (LeBron James) to NATO respecting EU allies.

Yet in his lunacy, President Trump has denounced and exposed the repeated deceits and ongoing fabrications of the mass media. Never before has a President so forcefully identified the lies of the leading print and TV outlets. The NY Times, Washington Post, the Financial Times, NBC, CNN, ABC and CBS have been thoroughly discredited in the eyes of the larger public. They have lost legitimacy and trust. Where progressives have failed, a war monger, billionaire has accomplished, speaking a truth to serve many injustices.

Thesis 6

When a bark turns into a bite, Trump proves the homely truth that fear invites aggression. Trump has implemented or threatened severe sanctions against the EU, China, Iran, Russia, Venezuela, North Korea and any country that fails to submit to his dictates. At first, it was bombast and bluster which secured concessions.

Concessions were interpreted as weakness and invited greater threats. Disunity of opponents encouraged imperial tacticians to divide and conquer. But by attacking all adversaries simultaneously he undermines that tactic. Threats everywhere limits choices to dangerous options at home and abroad.

Thesis 7

The master meddlers, of all times, into the politics of sovereign states are the Anglo-American empire builders. But what is most revealing is the current ploy of accusing the victims of the crimes that are committed against them.

After the overthrow of the Soviet regime, the US and its European acolytes ‘meddled’ on a world-historic scale, pillaging over two trillion dollars of Soviet wealth and reducing Russian living standards by two thirds and life expectancy to under sixty years – below the level of Bangladesh.

With Russia’s revival under President Putin, Washington financed a large army of self-styled ‘non-governmental organizations’ (NGO) to organize electoral campaigns, recruited moguls in the mass media and directed ethnic uprisings. The Russians are retail meddlers compared to the wholesale multi-billion-dollar US operators.

Moreover, the Israeli’s have perfected meddling on a grand scale – they intervene successfully in Congress, the White House and the Pentagon. They set the Middle East agenda, budget and priorities, and secure the biggest military handouts on a per-capita basis in US history!

Apparently, some meddlers meddle by invitation and are paid to do it.

Thesis 8

Corruption is endemic in the US where it has legal status and where tens of millions of dollars change hands and buy Congress people, Presidents and judges.

In the US the buyers and brokers are called ‘lobbyists’ – everywhere else they are called fraudsters. Corruption (lobbying) grease the wheels of billion dollars military spending, technological subsidies, tax evading corporations and every facet of government – out in the open, all the time and place of the US regime.

Corruption as lobbying never evokes the least criticism from the mass media.

On the other hand, where corruption takes place under the table in Iran, China and Russia, the media denounce the political elite – even where in China over 2 million officials, high and the low are arrested and jailed.

When corruption is punished in China, the US media claim it is merely a ‘political purge’ even if it directly reduces elite conspicuous consumption.

In other words, imperial corruption defends democratic value; anti-corruption is a hallmark of authoritarian dictatorships.

Thesis 9

Bread and circuses are integral parts of empire building – especially in promoting urban street mobs to overthrow independent and elected governments.

Imperial financed mobs – provided the cover for CIA backed coups in Iran (1954), Ukraine (2014), Brazil (1964), Venezuela (2003, 2014 and 2017), Argentina (1956), Nicaragua (2018), Syria (2011) and Libya (2011) among other places and other times.

Masses for empire draw paid and voluntary street fighters who speak for democracy and serve the elite. The “mass cover” is especially effective in recruiting leftists who look to the street for opinion and ignore the suites which call the shots.

Thesis 10

The empire is like a three-legged stool it promotes genocide, to secure magnicide and to rule by homicide. Invasions kills millions, capture and kill rulers and then rule by homicide – police assassinating dissenting citizens.

The cases are readily available: Iraq and Libya come to mind. The US and its allies invaded, bombed and killed over a million Iraqis, captured and assassinated its leaders and installed a police state.

A similar pattern occurred in Libya: the US and EU bombed, killed and uprooted several million people, assassinated Ghadaffy and fomented a lawless terrorist war of clans, tribes and western puppets.

“Western values” reveal the inhumanity of empires built to murder “a la carte” – stripping the victim nations of their defenders, leaders and citizens.

Conclusion

The ten theses define the nature of 21st century imperialism – its continuities and novelties.

The mass media systematically write and speak lies to power: their message is to disarm their adversaries and to arouse their patrons to continue to plunder the world.

*

Prof. James Petras is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization.

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Syria in the Last 24 Hours: Army Continues to Advance in Sweida Badiyah

The army advances more in Badyiah of Sweida

9 August، 2018
Sweida, SANA

Units of the Syrian Arab Army and the back-up forces on Thursday advanced more in Sweida eastern countryside, expanding their control in the depth of al-Badyiah after inflicting heavy losses upon Daesh terrorists.

SANA reporter said that units of the army established control over new areas on the direction of al-Karaa, tloul al-Safa reaching Dahrat Rashid and Ber al-Sout.

The reporter added that the army units are hunting down remnants of Daesh Takfiri terrorists and combing the roads and valleys in the liberated regions with 35 km depth in the semi-desert.

Army Cuts Off ISIL’s Supply Lines from US-Run Al-Tanf to Sweida

TEHRAN (FNA)- The Syrian army forces managed to advance more in the Southern province of Sweida on Wednesday, cutting off ISIL’s supply lines from the US-run al-Tanf base in Southern Homs to Sweida.

Sweida

The army forces managed to impose control over Tal Zarin and al-Mari’eiyeh region, deploying at the strategic al-Safa hills.

Field sources, meantime, reported that the army has managed to capture a part of al-Safa hills.

They further said that the army has advanced almost 20 km in the depth of Syria’s Badiyeh, prevailing over ISIL’s positions.

Also in the past 24 hours, the Syrian Air Force bombed heavily a main command post of the ISIL in Badiyeh (desert) of Sweida, killing over 70 terrorists, local sources reported.

The warplanes targeted and destroyed a main command post of the ISIL in Sheikh Hassan Qabr region East of Khirbet al-Ambashi in the depth of Badiyeh, killing over 70 terrorists and destroying several vehicles and a large volume of arms and ammunition.

In the meantime, the army’s artillery and missile units pounded ISIL’s movements and positions in Eastern and Northeastern Sweida, inflicting major losses on the militants.

Also, the army units drove terrorists out of a large region between Tal Abu Qanem and Raqilah.

Also on Wednesday, the Syrian government forces continued their operation in Eastern Badiyeh (desert) of Sweida and managed to drive ISIL terrorists out of more regions.

The army forces, backed up by artillery and missile units, advanced against ISIL in Rami Shabaki Sharihi region in Eastern Sweida, seizing control over al-Tamthouneh, Haviyeh al-Abed, Wadi al-Lahaf, Arz al-Zabiriyat, Rosoum al-Manatir, Wadi al-Sham and Ra’as al-Jamrah in Eastern, Northeastern and Southeastern Sweida.

Other units of the army engaged in fierce clashes with ISIL in al-Hossan and Arz al-Kara’a regions, repelling terrorists’ attacks.

ISIL suffered heavy casualties in the failed attacks and retreated from the battle field to evade more casualties.

Lattakia

The Syrian Army on Wednesday repelled a second heavy offensive of the terrorists in Northeastern Lattakia in 24 hours after inflicting major losses on them.

The army soldiers, backed up by artillery and missile units, engaged in fierce clashes with Tahrir al-Sham Hay’at (the Levant Liberation Board or the Al-Nusra Front) and Jabal al-Islam terrorists in the village of al-Hayat North of al-Rabi’eh region, and managed to fend off their attacks.

The terrorists suffered heavy casualties and their military hardware sustained major damage in the failed attack.

The remaining pockets of the terrorists further retreated from the battlefield.

Hama

The Syrian Army’s artillery and missile units opened heavy fire at terrorists’ movements in Northern Hama and Southern Idlib on Wednesday, destroying their positions and cutting off their supply lines.

Tahrir al-Sham Hay’at terrorists’ positions in the villages and towns of Lahaya, al-Latamina, Kafr Zita and al-Zakat in Northern Hama came under heavy fire of the artillery and missile units.

Several supply lines of the militants were destroyed in the attack.

In the meantime, the army destroyed several positions used by terrorists to monitor the army’s movements and to launch sniper attacks on the government forces in the Northern Hama.

Homs

The Syrian Army forces carried out mop-up operations in Northern Homs, discovering a large depot of arms and ammunition piled up by the terrorists in the region, a field source said on Wednesday, adding that a part of the weapons were made either in Israel or some western states.

The army men conducted a mop-up operation in Houleh region in Northern Homs, discovering a large depot of terrorists’ arms and ammunition, the sources said, adding that PKC machineguns, sniper rifles made by the western states as well as Israeli grenades were among the seized weapons and munitions.

Damascus

Syria’s authorities are preparing a camp in Hirjilla in the Damascus suburb for displaced residents from the Idlib province, which is still controlled by the militants, the camp’s head, Abdurrahman Habib, told reporters.

“The camp is being repaired to receive refugees from Idlib. The camp can host 5,000 people, but it had to receive up to 20,000 people, so it needs renovation,” Habib said, TASS reported.

He added that the camp is currently empty. “It was established in 2014 to support refugees from neighboring regions. We received here people from Deir Ezzur, Dara’a and other provinces. In 2015, refugees from Eastern Ghouta lived there, but now they returned home, because the province had been liberated from terrorists,” the head noted.

Habib said that Russia is actively supporting the camp. “The Russian side took part in the camp’s life through regular deliveries of humanitarian supplies, mattresses, warm blankets and other necessities,” he explained.

Idlib

Terrorist groups have widened their arrest operations against pro-peace activists in different regions in the Northwestern province of Idlib as a growing number of people and militants are demanding peace with the Syrian Army.

Tahrir al-Sham Hay’at declared curfew in the villages and towns of al-Tamanna, Um Jalal, Khowein, Tahtaya, al-Sarj, al-Tah, al-Haditi, Halba, al-Rafa, Abu Hoba, Kafr Basin, Baboulin, Sahyan, al-Deir al-Sharqi, al-Sarman and Jajanaz in Southeastern Idlib.

Local sources said that Tahrir al-Sham’s move to declare curfew is aimed at paving the grounds for conducting arrest operations in the region to detain those people who intend to join the peace agreement with the army.

In the meantime, militants of the National Liberation Front, another main terrorist coalition, are breaking into people’s houses East of the town of Ma’arat al-Nu’aman in Southern Idlib, arresting those who had tried to join the peace plan in the region.

A fresh wave of fear has covered the terrorist front as the army is preparing to launch a large-scale operation in Idlib and a main part of the militant front has intensified efforts to join the reconciliation plan.

Aleppo

The Turkish troops and Ankara-backed militants are building military positions in gardens and farm in Afrin region in tandem with the occupying forces’ recent moves against people in the region, local sources reported on Wednesday.

The sources said that the Turkey-backed militants have cut off olive trees in farms and are leveling ground by bulldozers in Homam and other regions.

The sources further said that the terrorists intend to create large areas in the region to set up military training camps and new bases.

Other sources said that Jeish al-Islam terrorists that once left their position in Eastern Ghouta for Northwestern Syria have built military bases in Afrin.

Terrorists in Afrin continue looting people’s assets, blackmailing and kidnapping civilians.

Also on Wednesday, one of the notorious commanders of a Turkey-backed militant group was found dead in Afrin region in Northwestern Aleppo amid growing insecurity in occupied regions in Northern Syria, local sources reported on Wednesday.

The sources said that the body of Omar al-Kadro, a commander of the 51st Brigade affiliated to the Free Army, was found in the town of Jandaris in Southwestern Afrin.

The sources went on to say that militants of the Turkey-led Euphrates Shield were kept on alert five days ago after al-Kadro was kidnapped by unknown assailants from the main base of the Euphrates Shield forces in the town of al-Bab in Northeastern Aleppo.

They further said that heavy infighting erupted between the 51th Brigade and Sultan Morad Firqa in Akhtarin region after the attackers kidnapped al-Kadro.

Infighting and assassination of militant groups’ commanders in Northwestern Syria has started a fresh wave panic covering the terrorist front.

Raqqa

A mass grave with over 110 bodies of the Syrian Army men killed in ISIL’s attack on Raqqa city in 2014 was discovered on Wednesday.

The army soldiers discovered a mass grave of at least 110 comrades killed by ISIL terrorists in Raqqa city four years ago.

Some half a dozen mass graves have so far been found in Raqqa, while local sources say that there are still more mass grave of victims killed by ISIL or in the US airstrikes in the city.

Several Civilians Killed in US Airstrikes in Deir Ezzur

TEHRAN (FNA)- Several civilians were killed in the US fighter jets’ attacks on Eastern Deir Ezzur.

Local sources in Eastern Deir Ezzur reported on Wednesday that the US warplanes attacked the town of al-Souseh, killing 3 civilians and wounding a number of others.

They added that some of the wounded people are in critical conditions.

In a relevant development on Tuesday, the US-led coalition fighter jets pounded residential areas in the same town, killing and wounding tens of civilians, including children, local sources said.

The sources said that the warplanes bombed residential areas heavily in the town of al-Souseh, killing a child and wounding more women and children.

In July, the US fighter jets intensified their attacks on several regions in Southeastern Deir Ezzur, destroying infrastructures and residential areas.

The number of casualties was unknown due to the heavy bombardment.

Early reports said all members of at least two families were killed in the air attacks on al-Souseh.

The warplanes have been bombing villages, townships and towns in Deir Ezzur under the pretext of war on ISIL.

Terrorists Concerned about Growing Wave of Pro-Peace Activities in Northwestern Syria

TEHRAN (FNA)- Terrorist groups have widened their arrest operations against pro-peace activists in different regions in the Northwestern province of Idlib as a growing number of people and militants are demanding peace with the Syrian Army.

Tahrir al-Sham Hay’at (the Levant Liberation Board or the Al-Nusra Front) declared curfew in the villages and towns of al-Tamanna, Um Jalal, Khowein, Tahtaya, al-Sarj, al-Tah, al-Haditi, Halba, al-Rafa, Abu Hoba, Kafr Basin, Baboulin, Sahyan, al-Deir al-Sharqi, al-Sarman and Jajanaz in Southeastern Idlib.

Local sources said that Tahrir al-Sham’s move to declare curfew is aimed at paving the grounds for conducting arrest operations in the region to detain those people who intend to join the peace agreement with the army.

In the meantime, militants of the National Liberation Front, another main terrorist coalition, are breaking into people’s houses East of the town of Ma’arat al-Nu’aman in Southern Idlib, arresting those who had tried to join the peace plan in the region.

A fresh wave of fear has covered the terrorist front as the army is preparing to launch a large-scale operation in Idlib and a main part of the militant front has intensified efforts to join the reconciliation plan.

Local sources reported on Monday that terrorists of the National Liberation Front captured over fifty pro-peace activists accusing them of links to Damascus government.

The sources further said that the National Liberation Front has dispatched a large number of gunmen to Western and Eastern Hama and kept them on alert as their comrades in Idlib are concerned over the endorsement of a peace plan in their regions.

The Front, meantime, set up more checkpoints in al-Ghaab Plain and Shahshabou in Western Hama.

Turkey has recently ordered a number of terrorist groups to merge and form the National Liberation Front in Northern Syria.

لا تقلقوا على إيران

 

أغسطس 7, 2018

ناصر قنديل

– تدخل اليوم العقوبات الأميركية المشدّدة على إيران حيّز التنفيذ، وهي تطال حظر حصول إيران على الدولار الأميركي وتداوله والسعي لمنعها من امتلاك الذهب والمعادن الثمينة، وتحت هذا العنوان معاقبة كل الشركات والمصارف والأشخاص والحكومات التي تشترك في أنشطة تعرقل تطبيق هذا الحظر. والترجمة التطبيقية للعقوبات تعني محاصرة إيران في الأسواق العالمية لمنعها من بيع صادراتها، وخصوصاً النفطية، لإطلاق حملة تهافت على الدولار بين الإيرانيين وصولاً لانهيار العملة الإيرانية وقدرتها الشرائية، واندلاع اضطرابات اجتماعية يمكن الدفع لتصعيدها بتحضيرات لوجستية وسياسية وإعلامية، ما تراهن واشنطن على جعله البيئة التي تدفع لتراجع إيران عن تمسكها بشروطها للتفاهم حول ملفها النووي ودورها الإقليمي، وإلا تنامي الاضطرابات ودخول إيران مرحلة من الفوضى السياسية والأمنية توفر الفرص للانقضاض على نظامها السياسي والأمني ومرجعياته الدينية، وتهيئة بدائل من داخل النظام وخارجه ترتضي بالشروط الأميركية.

– الخطة الأميركية تستدعي للفوز في جولة المواجهة التي تُطلقها بثلاثة شروط غير متوافرة:

الأول أن تنجح واشنطن في خلق مناخ دولي مؤاتٍ لمحاصرة إيران في السوق النفطية، بصورة تطال أغلب صادراتها، وبالمقارنة مع مراحل العقوبات السابقة تبدو إيران في وضع أفضل مما كانت عليه، قبل التفاهم على ملفها النووي. فروسيا والصين اللتان شاركتا في إقرار وتطبيق العقوبات التي أقرها سابقاً مجلس الأمن الدولي على إيران، تقفان الآن بعد التفاهم وبعد إلغاء العقوبات الأممية إلى جانب إيران وتسعيان للمساهمة في تزويدها بفرص جدية في السوق النفطية من خارج منظومة العقوبات الأميركية، وأوروبا التي كانت المسرح الرئيس للعقوبات ضد إيران، تبدو مصرّة على تطمين إيران بصدد مستورداتها النفطية، رغم عدم قدرتها على مواجهة العقوبات في مجال الاستثمار في إيران، وبالتوازي يبدو الشريكان الرئيسيان لإيران في سوق النفط والغاز، وهما الجاران التركي والباكستاني، غير آبهين بالعقوبات، تلبية لمصالح حيوية للاقتصاد الذي لا يملك موارد للطاقة في البلدين، والحاجة لتدفق سلس وبسعر جيد توفره إيران بقوة عامل الجغرافيا، والعقوبات التي تربك إيران في سوق النفط والغاز، وبالتالي تحصيل الموارد بالعملات الصعبة، تبدو بحال أفضل مما كانت يوم كانت العقوبات قبل وصولها للتفاهم على ملفها النووي، كما تبدو فرص التخلّي عن الدولار الأميركي لصالح سلة تسعير التومان الإيراني تقوم على رباعي اليورو واليوان الصيني والروبل الروسي والذهب.

– الشرط الثاني للفوز الأميركي بحاصل الخطة التي تترك في مراحلها الأولى تبدلاً في مزاج السوق لصالح الارتباك والفوضى في التسعير، والتهافت على الدولار، هو أن تكون في إيران قوة سياسية جدية وازنة وجاهزة لتلقف العقوبات وآثارها وتوظيفها في الدعوة للانقلاب على النهج المناوئ لواشنطن، سواء بقبول تنازلات في الملف النووي، أو في تغيير السياسات الإقليمية وخصوصاً في الموقف من «إسرائيل» والسعودية، وقوى المقاومة، والحركة الأميركية الجديدة تجري في مناخات مختلفة عن المحاولة السابقة عام 2008 عندما كانت المواجهة حول الملف النووي الإيراني والسياسات الإقليمية لإيران، تجري بظل مواجهة بين التيار المحافظ ممثلاً بالرئيس أحمدي نجاد، مع تيار إصلاحي وازن وشعبي يتزعمه قادة مثل حسين موسوي ومهدي كروبي والرئيس محمد خاتمي، وكان التشدد بوجه السياسة الأميركية من جانب التيار المحافظ يقابل بدعوات المرونة من جانب التيار الإصلاحي، بينما المواجهة تجري اليوم والتيار الإصلاحي موجود في السلطة، وهو مَنْ يتبنى السياسات الداعية لمواجهة واشنطن ومخططاتها، ويسعى لتوحيد المجتمع السياسي للنظام الجمهوري الإسلامي وراء الرئيس حسن روحاني، عبر العلاقة القوية بالمرشد الإمام علي خامنئي والحرس الثوري وقياداته من جهة، والإفراج عن قادة التيار الإصلاحي المعتقلين أو الموضوعين في الإقامة الجبرية من جهة مقابلة، على قاعدة اعتبار المرحلة، مرحلة مواجهة وطنية، ورغم التوترات التي يقودها بعض المحافظين بوجه روحاني في محاولة لتدفيعه ثمن خياره التفاوضي، فإن الصراعات تجري على الحاضر والمستقبل لا على الماضي، ولا يبدو أن ثمة خلافات بين المحافظين والإصلاحيين تجاه ما يجب فعله، رغم الجدل الدائر حول ما تمّ فعله، على المستوى التفاوضي والأحلام التي تم بثها حول عائدات هذا التفاوض، وما ترتب عليها من نتائج اقتصادية خربت الكثير من فرص صمود الاقتصاد، وورطت الاقتصاد الإيراني بإنفاق كبير في الاستثمار مجالات ترتبط بالانفتاح على الغرب، يهدّدها الإفلاس مع تراجع هذه الفرص الانفتاحية والاستهلاكية.

– الشرط الثالث يتصل بالوضع الإقليمي، وما يحتاجه الاشتغال على تحريك الداخل الإيراني من منصات مجاورة قادرة ومؤهلة للتوغل في الداخل الإيراني وتحريك خيوطه. وبالنظر لمحيط إيران الجيوسياسي، يمكن إرباك إيران بالاستثمار على الديمغرافيا الكردية في الغرب، أو المناطق التي يسكنها البلوش في الشرق، أو العرب في الجنوب، من جهة، وامتلاك جار واحد على الأقل مستعدّ لكسر الجرّة مع إيران وتقديم جغرافيته لمنح المعارضين الذين ترغب واشنطن باستجلابهم والزجّ بهم إلى الداخل الإيراني. ومراقبة هذه العناوين، تقول إن إيران تحصّنت استباقاً في الملف الكردي بالتعاون مع تركيا في مرحلة إجهاض انفصال كردستان العراق، التي كانت واحدة من المنصات المزدوجة المحتملة نحو الأكراد الإيرانيين ونحو الداخل الجغرافي لإيران عموماً، كما تبدو السعودية ودول الخليج المستنزفة في حرب اليمن، والمدركة حجم ما تستطيعه إيران من تأثير في وضعها الأمني والاقتصادي، أضعف مما كانت قبل عشرة أعوام. وفي الشرق ها هي باكستان تتحوّل من مشروع نقمة على إيران إلى نعمة لها بعد التغيير السياسي الذي حملته الانتخابات، وما يقطع طريق الاستثمار على الإتنيات البلوشية والكردية والعربية يقطع الطريق على جار يستخدم كمنصة للتوغل في الداخل الإيراني.

– بالمقابل تقول تجربة ما قبل عشر سنوات إن واشنطن التي كانت لا تزال تحلم بترتيب أوراقها بعد الفشل في حروب العراق وأفغانستان ولبنان، وكان على رأسها متطرّف بالأصالة هو الرئيس جورج بوش، ومعه فريق عقائدي متماسك هم المحافظون الجدد، اضطرت للبحث عن مخارج تحت الطاولة لعدم بلوغ نقطة اللاعودة في المواجهة، عندما بدا أن إيران ستخطو الخطوة الصعبة نحو إغلاق مضيق هرمز، وتعطيل حركة الملاحة النفطية في العالم. فكانت نافذة دبي ليتنفس الاقتصاد الإيراني بقبول أميركي، والسعي للبحث في كيفية تفادي تأثير إغلاق مضيق هرمز على الملاحة النفطية في جولة مقبلة مع إيران، وها هي عشر سنوات تمر، ومشاريع واشنطن في الحرب على سورية التي هدفت فيما هدفت لربط الخليج بأوروبا عبر شبكة أنابيب تعبر سورية ودون المرور بمضيق هرمز، تنتهي بالفشل وينتصر هرمز كممر إجباري لسوق النفط والغاز في العالم تُمسك به إيران، التي قد تكون أقل دول الجوار حاجة له كممر للنفط والغاز وهي تستعمل أنابيب الضخ للغاز نحو تركيا، ومثلها عبر باكستان لضخّ النفط إلى باكستان والصين، فيما تبدو مع حرب اليمن فرص تهديد الملاحة النفطية أكبر من الماضي بكثير، ويبدو أن كل تهديد لهرمز لا يمنح سوى روسيا فرص التحول إلى مصدر وحيد آمن للنفط والغاز في العالم مع ارتفاع في الأسعار ستسبّبه أزمة هرمز، ويضخ تريليونات الدولارات في الخزينة الروسية، ليصير البحث عن نافذة تنفّس لإيران مهمة أميركية، وتبدو تركيا النافذة المرجّحة هذه المرة، بدلاً من دبي، بعدما أعلن الرئيس التركي أنه أبلغ الرئيس الأميركي عزم حكومته مواصلة شراء الغاز الإيراني رغم نظام العقوبات.

– ستشهد إيران إضطرابات وفوضى وضغط أسعار في سوق صرف العملات، وستبدو الكثير من الأنباء المتناقلة عبر الصحافة الغربية إيذاناً بقرب سقوط إيران، لكن الوقائع تقول إن كل هذا سيكون على السطح، بينما في العمق فإن إيران أقوى مما كانت، وستخرج من هذه المحنة أقوى مما كانت، ولسان حالها يقول: لا تقلقوا على إيران فقد عرفت أياماً عصيبة مقلقة أكثر، وتخطيتها. وهي ستتخطى هذه الأزمة وتفرض معادلاتها من جديد، في ملفها النووي والملفات الإقليمية. فالعالم الذي تغيرت معادلته بقوة صمود إيران، لا يحتمل تراجعاً إيرانياً، وسيضع كل الذين يقفون على ضفة جني المكاسب من تراجع القبضة الأميركية مستفيدين من صمود إيران ثقلهم كي لا تتغير الموازين، ومَنْ جلب جيوشه إلى سورية ليمنع انتصار المشروع الأميركي دفاعاً عن مستقبل بلاده ومكانتها وأمنها القومي، كما هو حال روسيا، فلن يبخل بفعل ما يلزم لمنع إضعاف إيران. وهو يعلم المترتبات جيداً، وخير مثال ما جرى في مفاوضات هلسنكي حول دور إيران في سورية، والرفض الروسي المطلق للعروض الأميركية الإسرائيلية المغرية لمقايضتها بالموافقة على جعل الخسارة الإيرانية من سورية ثمناً لنصر روسيا.

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What If Everything We’ve Been Told Is A Lie?

What If Everything We’ve Been Told Is A Lie?

What if everything we’ve been told about 9/11 is a lie? What if it wasn’t 19 Muslim terrorist hijackers that flew those planes into the Twin Towers and Pentagon? What if the Muslims had nothing whatsoever to do with the attacks on 9/11? What if everything we’ve been told about the reasons we invaded two sovereign nations (Afghanistan and Iraq) is a lie? What if the 17-year-old, never-ending “War on Terror” in the Middle East is a lie? What if our young soldiers, sailors, airmen and Marines who have given their lives in America’s “War on Terror” died for a lie? What if G.W. Bush, Barack Obama and Donald Trump have been nothing but controlled toadies for an international global conspiracy that hatched the attacks of 9/11 as nothing more than a means to institute a perpetual “War on Terror” for purposes that have nothing to do with America’s national security? Would the American people want to know? Would the truth even matter to them?

The sad reality is that the vast majority of Americans who would read the above paragraph would totally dismiss every question I raised as being unrealistic and impossible—or even nutty. Why is that? Have they studied and researched the questions? No. Have they given any serious thought to the questions? No. They have simply swallowed the government/mainstream media version of these events hook, line and sinker.

It is totally amazing to me that the same people who say they don’t believe the mainstream media (MSM) and government (Deep State) versions of current events—which is why they voted for and love Donald Trump—have absolutely no reservations about accepting the official story that the 9/11 attacks were the work of jihadist Muslims and that America’s “War on Terror” is completely legitimate. These “always Trumpers” are dead set in their minds that America is at war with Islam; that Trump’s bombings of Syria were because President Assad is an evil, maniacal monster who gassed his own people; and that Trump’s expansion of the war in Afghanistan is totally in the interests of America’s national security.

BUT WHAT IF ALL OF IT IS A BIG, FAT LIE?

What if the Muslims had NOTHING to do with 9/11?

What if Bashar al-Assad did NOT gas his own people?

What if America’s “War on Terror” is a completely false, manufactured, made-up deception?

What if America’s military forces are mostly fighting for foreign agendas and NOT for America’s national security or even our national interests?

What if America’s war in Afghanistan is a fraud?

What if the entire “War on Terror” is a fraud?

The Trump robots have bought into America’s “War on Terror” as much as Obama’s robots and Bush’s robots did. Bush was elected twice, largely on the basis of America’s “War on Terror.” Obama campaigned against the “War on Terror” and then expanded it during his two terms in office. Trump campaigned against the “War on Terror” and then immediately expanded it beyond what Obama had done. In fact, Trump is on a pace to expand the “War on Terror” beyond the combined military aggressions of both Bush and Obama.

But who cares? Who even notices?

America is engaged in a global “War on Terror.” Just ask G.W. Bush, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, FOX News, The Washington Post, the New York Times and the vast majority of America’s pastors and preachers. They all tell us the same thing seven days a week, twenty-four hours a day. Liberals scream against Trump, and conservatives scream against Maxine Waters; but both sides come together to support America’s never-ending “War on Terror.”

But what if it’s ALL a lie? What if Obama and Trump, the right and the left, the MSM and the conservative media are all reading from the same script? What if they are all (wittingly or unwittingly) in cahoots in perpetuating the biggest scam in world history? And why is almost everyone afraid to even broach the question?

Left or right, liberal or conservative, Democrat or Republican, secular or Christian, no one dares to question the official story about the 9/11 attacks or the “War on Terror.” And those who do question it are themselves attacked unmercifully by the right and the left, conservatives and liberals, Christians and secularists, Sean Hannity and Chris Matthews. Why is that? Why is it that FOX News and CNN, Donald Trump and Barack Obama, Chuck Schumer and Ted Cruz equally promote the same cockamamie story about 9/11 and the “War on Terror?”

Why? Why? Why?

Tell me again how Donald Trump is so different from Barack Obama. Tell me again how Ted Cruz is so different from Chuck Schumer. They all continue to perpetuate the lies about 9/11. They all continue to escalate America’s never-ending “War on Terror.” They are all puppets of a global conspiracy to advance the agenda of war profiteers and nation builders. The left-right, conservative-liberal, Trump-Obama paradigm is one big giant SCAM. At the end of the day, the “War on Terror” goes on, bombs keep falling on people in the Middle East who had absolutely NOTHING to do with 9/11 and the money keeps flowing into the coffers of the international bankers and war merchants.

All of the above is why I am enthusiastically promoting Christopher Bollyn’s new blockbuster book The War on Terror.

Of course, Bollyn is one of the world’s foremost researchers and investigators into the attacks on 9/11. He has written extensively on the subject. But unlike most other 9/11 investigators, Bollyn continued to trace the tracks of the attacks on 9/11. And those tracks led him to discover that the 9/11 attacks were NOT “the event” but that they were merely the trigger for “the event.” “What was the event?” you ask. America’s perpetual “War on Terror.”

As a result, Mr. Bollyn published his findings that the attacks on 9/11 were NOT perpetrated by Muslim extremists but by a very elaborate and well financed international conspiracy that had been in the planning for several decades. Bollyn’s research names names, places and dates and exposes the truth behind not just 9/11 (many have done that) but behind America’s “War on Terror” that resulted from the attacks on 9/11.

IT’S TIME FOR THE TRUTH TO COME OUT!

And Christopher Bollyn’s investigative research brings out the truth like nothing I’ve read to date. His research connects the dots and destroys the myths.

Mr. Bollyn’s research is published in a book entitled (full title): The War On Terror: The Plot To Rule The Middle East. I mean it when I say that if enough people read this book, it could change the course of history and save our republic.

This is written on the book’s back cover:

The government and media have misled us about 9/11 in order to compel public opinion to support the War on Terror.

Why have we gone along with it? Do we accept endless war as normal? Are we numb to the suffering caused by our military interventions?

No. We have simply been propagandized into submission. We have been deceived into thinking that the War on Terror is a good thing, a valiant struggle against terrorists who intend to attack us as we were on 9/11.

Behind the War on Terror is a strategic plan crafted decades in advance to redraw the map of the Middle East. 9/11 was a false-flag operation blamed on Muslims in order to start the military operations for that strategic plan. Recognizing the origin of the plan is crucial to understanding the deception that has changed our world.

Folks, 9/11 was a deception. The “War on Terror” is a deception. The phony left-right paradigm is a deception. FOX News is as much a deception as CNN. The “always Trump” group is as much a deception as the “never Trump” group. America has been in the throes of a great deception since September 11, 2001. And this deception is being perpetrated by Republicans and Democrats and conservatives and liberals alike.

I do not know Christopher Bollyn. I’ve never met him. But I thank God he had the intellectual honesty and moral courage to write this book. I urge readers to get this explosive new book. If you don’t read any other book this year, read Mr. Bollyn’s investigative masterpiece The War On Terror: The Plot To Rule The Middle East.

Again, I am enthusiastically recommending this book to my readers, and I make no apologies for doing so. The truth contained in this research MUST get out, and I am determined to do all I can to help make that possible.

Order Christopher Bollyn’s blockbuster book The War On Terror: The Plot To Rule The Middle East here:

The War On Terror: The Plot To Rule The Middle East

I am confident that after you read this book, you will want to buy copies for your friends and relatives. The book is under 200 pages long and is not difficult reading. However, the facts and details Bollyn covers are profound and powerful. I have read the book three times so far and I’m not finished.

Frankly, Bollyn’s book made so many things make sense for me. His book dovetails and tracks with much of my research on other topics. Truly, his book helped me get a much fuller understanding of the “big picture.”

What if everything we’ve been told about 9/11 and the “War on Terror” is a lie? Well, Bollyn’s book proves that indeed it is.

Again, here is where to find Christopher Bollyn’s phenomenal new book The War On Terror: The Plot To Rule The Middle East:

The War On Terror: The Plot To Rule The Middle East

General Suleimani Lauds President Rouhani’s ‘Timely’ Remarks against US, ‘Israel’

 July 4, 2018

Commander of Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps’ (IRGC) elite Quds force, Major General Qassem Suleimani

Commander of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) Quds Force Major General Qassem Suleimani expressed his gratitude to Iranian President Hassan Rouhani for his recent remarks about the US’s threats to cut Iran’s oil exports and his comments against the Tel Aviv regime.

In a letter to Rouhani on Wednesday, Major General Suleimani described as “a source of pride” the president’s comment that if Iran’s oil is not allowed to be exported, then there will be no guarantee that other countries in the region would be able to export theirs.

The commander also praised Rouhani’s “valuable” remarks on the Islamic Republic’s stance toward the Zionist regime of ‘Israel’.

“This is the same Dr. Rouhani that we knew and still know, and the one who should be. You made our dear Leader, the great nation of the Islamic Iran, and the world’s Muslims proud by making such wise, valuable and strong statements,” he added.

Major General Suleimani further described Rouhani’s remarks as “timely, wise, and correct”, and said he is ready to help implement any policy that serves the Islamic Republic’s interests.

On Tuesday, the Iranian president appeared to threaten to cut oil shipments from neighboring countries if Washington presses ahead with its goal of forcing all countries to stop buying Iranian oil.

“The Americans have claimed they want to completely stop Iran’s oil exports. They don’t understand the meaning of this statement, because it is nonsense that Iran’s oil is not (allowed to be) exported, while the region’s oil is exported,” the president’s official website quoted him as saying.

When asked at a news conference in the Swiss capital of Bern later on Tuesday whether those comments constituted a threat to interfere with the shipping of neighboring countries, Rouhani said, “Assuming that Iran could become the only oil producer unable to export its oil is a wrong assumption … The United States will never be able to cut Iran’s oil revenues.”

In his Tuesday speech in Bern, Rouhani also reacted to his Swiss counterpart’s remarks on the recognition of the Zionist regime and underlined that Iran views the Israeli regime as illegitimate and condemns its aggressive policies in the region.

Source: Tasnim News Agency

Imam Khamenei: The Revolution Is Lasting & Promising, US Desperately Seeks To Divide Iranians

30-06-2018 | 13:46

Leader of the Islamic Revolution His Eminence Imam Sayyed Ali Khamenei attended the graduation ceremony of new cadets of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps [IRGC] at Imam Hussein University in Tehran.
 
Sayyed Ali Khamenei

In a speech he addressed at the celebration, Imam Khamenei stressed that:
“As a result of patience and piety, the hostile enemies, despite all their prepared cunning, won’t be able to do a thing.”

He further advised all the nation, in particular officials and managers of the Islamic society that “patience means keeping to aims and continuing involvement and active presence; it means considering far future goals.”

The Imam told the attendees that:
“Because you are resisting today, future generations will reach the climax of success; they will reach the climax, but dignity and resistance are yours.”

“The revolution is lasting and promising in case of patience and piety,” the Imam stressed.

“If patience and piety are practiced by our dear youth, government officials and all the people, the enemy will by no means be able to damage you.”

Commenting on the US economic pressure on Iran, the Imam considered that they are in a bid to sow discord among the nation and the government, but such efforts will be futile.

“The enemy’s plan is to create gaps and separations between the establishment and the people, and this design reflects their stupidity because they do not know that the Islamic Republic is nothing but the Iranian nation and these two cannot be separated,” the Imam said Saturday.

“The purpose of the current economic pressures is to make people fed up, but with divine power, we will increase our bond with the people day by day, and by preserving our coherence, we will strengthen the faithful, proactive and proactive youth,” Imam Khamenei said.
Source: News Agencies, Edited by website team
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THE SAKER: “IS PUTIN REALLY READY TO ‘DITCH’ IRAN?”

07.06.2018

The Saker: "Is Putin really ready to 'ditch' Iran?"

Written by The Saker; Originally appeared at The Unz Review

The topic of Russian actions in Syria still continues to fascinate and create a great deal of polemics.  This makes senses – the issue is exceedingly important on many levels, including pragmatic and moral ones, and today I want to stick strictly to the pragmatic level and set aside, just for a while, moral/ethical/spiritual considerations.  Furthermore, I will also pretend, for argument’s sake, that the Kremlin is acting in unison, that there are no Atlantic Integrationists in the Russian government, no 5th column in the Kremlin and that there is no Zionist lobby exerting a great deal of influence in Russia.  I will deal with these issues in the future as there is no doubt in my mind that time and events will prove how unfounded and politically-motivated these denials are in reality. But for the purpose of this analysis, we can pretend that all is well in the Kremlin and assume that Russia is fully sovereign and freely protecting her national interests.

So what do we know about what is going on in Syria?

I submit that it is obvious that Russia and Israel have made some kind of deal.  That there is an understanding of some kind is admitted by both sides, but there is also clearly more happening here which is not spelled out in full.  The Israelis, as always, are bragging about their total victory and posting articles like this one: “In Syria, Putin and Netanyahu Were on the Same Side All Along” with the subheading reading “Putin is ready to ditch Iran to keep Israel happy and save Assad’s victory“.  Really?

The chaotic world of contradictory declarations and statements

Let’s look at that thesis from a purely logical point of view.  First, what were the Israeli goals initially?  As I have explained it elsewhere, initially the Israelis had the following goals:

  1. Bring down a strong secular Arab state along with its political structure, armed forces, and security services.
  2. Create total chaos and horror in Syria justifying the creation of a “security zone” by Israel not only in the Golan but further north.
  3. Trigger a civil war in Lebanon by unleashing the Takfiri crazies against Hezbollah.
  4. Let the Takfiris and Hezbollah bleed each other to death, then create a “security zone”, but this time in Lebanon.
  5. Prevent the creation of a Shia axis Iran-Iraq-Syria-Lebanon.
  6. Break up Syria along ethnic and religious lines.
  7. Create a Kurdistan which could then be used against Turkey, Syria, Iraq, and Iran.
  8. Make it possible for Israel to become the uncontested power broker in the Middle-East and force the KSA, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait and all others to have to go to Israel for any gas or oil pipeline project.
  9. Gradually isolate, threaten, subvert and eventually attack Iran with a wide regional coalition of forces.
  10. Eliminate all centers of Shia power in the Middle-East.

Now let’s stop right here and ask a very simple question: if Putin and Netanyahu were on the same side all along, what should Putin have done to aid the Israelis?  I submit that the obvious and indisputable answer is: absolutely nothing.  By the time the Russian initiated their (very limited but also very effective) intervention in Syria those plans were well under way towards full realization!

The undeniable truth is that Putin foiled the initial Israel plan for Syria.

In fact, Hezbollah and Iran had already intervened in Syria and were desperately “plugging holes” in a collapsing Syrian front.  So, if anything, Putin has to be the one to be credited for forcing the Israelis to give up on their “plan A” and go to plan “B” which I described here and which can be summarized as follows:

Step one, use your propaganda machine and infiltrated agents to re-start the myth about an Iranian military nuclear program. (…)  If Trump says that the JCPOA is a terrible deal, then this is so. Hey, we are living in the “post-Skripal” and “post-Douma” era – if some Anglo (or Jewish) leaders say “highly likely” then it behooves everybody to show instant “solidarity” lest they are accused of “anti-Semitism” or “fringe conspiracy theories” (you know the drill). So step one is the re-ignition ex nihilo of the Iranian military nuclear program canard.  Step two is to declare that Israel is “existentially threatened” and (…) and let the dumb Americans fight the Iranians.

As I have explained it in great detail here, Russia does not have any moral obligation to protect anybody anywhere, not in the Middle-East and most definitely not Syria and/or Iran.  I have also explained in great detail here why Putin also has a lot of pragmatic internal reasons for not getting Russia involved in a major war in the Middle-East.

Finally, as I have explained here, the Israelis are clearly baiting Iran by striking Iranian (or, more accurately, Iranian-linked or Iranian-supported) targets in Syria. They hope that Iran’s patience will come to an end and that the Iranians will retaliate with enough firepower to justify not only an attack on (relatively low value) Iranian-linked targets in Syria but on Iran proper, thus leading to a guaranteed Iranian retaliation on Israel and The Big Prize: a massive US attack on Iran.

Now let’s look at Russian actions once again.  If Putin was “on the same side with Netanyahu all along”, he would be helping the Israelis do what they are doing, that is baiting the Iranians, right?  But what did Putin really do?

It all began with a statement by Foreign Minister Lavrov who declared that all foreign forces must leave Syria. It is my understanding that no direct quote exists from Lavrov’s initial statement, only interpreted paraphrases.  Lavrov also made some clarifying comments later, like this one. But let’s not get bogged down in trying to decide which was an off-the-cuff comment and which one was “official”, but let us begin by noticing this: even before Lavrov’s comment on “all foreign forces” the same Lavrov also said that “all US forces must leave Syria after the defeat of the terrorist forces“.  May I also remind everybody here that Israel has been illegally occupying the Syrian Golan for years and that the IDF exactly fits into the definition of “foreign force in Syria”? It gets better, according to the Syrians and, frankly according to common sense and international law, the Syrians say that all foreign forces must leave Syria except those legally requested to stay by the Syrian government.  So when the Russians say that all foreign forces including Iranians (assuming Lavrov really said that) must leave Syria they have absolutely no legal or other authority to impose that, short of a UNSC Resolution endorsing that demand.  Considering that the Israelis and the USA don’t give a damn about international law or the UNSC, we might even see a day when such a resolution is passed, enforced on the Iranians only, and ignored by the Israelis.  The trick here is that in reality there are rather few Iranian “forces” in Syria. There are many more “advisors” (which would not be considered a “force”) and many more pro-Iranian forces which are not really “Iranian” at all.  There is also Hezbollah, but Hezbollah is not going anywhere, and they are Lebanese, not Iranian anyway.  No doubt the Israelis would claim that Hezbollah is an “Iranian force” but that is basically nonsense.  And just to add to the confusion, the Russians are now being cute and saying: “of course, the withdrawal of all non-Syrian forces must be carried out on a mutual basis, this should be a two-way street“. I suggest that we can stop listing all the possible paraphrases and interpretations and agree that the Russians have created a holy (or unholy) mess with their statements. In fact, I would even submit that, what appears to be a holy (or unholy) mess, is a very deliberate and crafty ambiguity.

According to numerous Russian sources, all this rhetoric is about the southern part of Syria and the line of contact (it ain’t a border legally speaking) between Syria and Israel. The deals seem to be this: the pro-Iranian forces and Hezbollah get out of the south, and in exchange, the Israelis let the Syrians, backed by Russian airpower and “advisors” regain control of southern Syria but without any attempts to push the Israelis out of the Golan which they illegally occupy. Needless to say, the Syrians are also insisting that as part of the deal, the US forces in southern Syria must pack and leave.  But, frankly, unless the US plans to have tiny (and useless) US enclaves inside Syrian controlled territory I don’t see the point of them staying.  Not only that, but the Jordanians seem to be part of this deal too.  And here is the best part: there is some pretty good evidence that Hezbollah and Iran also are part of the deal.  And, guess what?  So are the Turks.

This sure looks like some kind of major regional deal has been hammered out by the Russians. And if that is really the case, then that would also explain the tense denials in Israel and Iran, followed by more confirmations (also here)  And, just to make things even more confused, we now have Stoltenberg (of all people!) saying that NATO would not assist Israel in case of an Iranian attack which, considering that the NATO Secretary General has no power, that NATO is about 80%+ made up of the USA and that the US now has permanent a “tripwire” force inside Israel and could claim to be under attack, is utter nonsense, but still amusing to note as “adding to the chaos”.

And then there is the apparent Syrian plan to kick out the US from northern Syria which, predictably, Uncle Sam don’t like too much.  So the two sides are talking again.

If all this looks to you like evidence for the thesis that “Putin and Netanyahu were on the same side all along”, then I wonder what it would take to convince you otherwise because to me this looks like one of three things:

  1. some kind of major regional deal has been made or
  2. some kind of major regional deal is in the process of being hammered out or
  3. some kind of major regional deal has been made but nobody trusts anybody else and everybody wants to make that deal better for itself

and, of course, everybody wants to save face by either denying it all or declaring victory, especially the AngloZionists.

So let’s ask the key question: is there any evidence at all that Putin and/or Assad is/are “ditching Iran”?

Away from the realm of declarations and statements and back to the world

Let’s begin with a simple question:  What does Iran want above all else?

I submit that the overwhelming number one priority of Iran is to avoid a massive US attack on Iran. 

Conversely, triggering such an attack on Iran is the number one objective of the Israelis.  They are rather open about that too.  They latest idea is to create a “military coalition against Iran” while trying to please NATO by joining anti-Russian exercises in Europe.

Not because of a non-existing Iranian nuclear program threatening Israel, but because Iran offers a most successful, and therefore dangerously competing, alternative civilizational model to both the AngloZionist Empire and the Saudi-Wahabi version of Islam.  Furthermore, unlike (alas!) Russia, Iran dares to openly commit the “crime of crimes”, that is, to publicly denounce Israel as a genocidal, racist state whose policies are an affront to all of civilized mankind.  Finally, Iran (again unlike Russia, alas!) is a truly sovereign state which has successfully dealt with its 5th columnists and which is not in the iron claws of IMF/WB/WTO/etc types (I wrote about that last week so I won’t repeat it here).

I also submit that Iran also has as a top priority to support all the oppressed people of the Middle-East.  Resisting oppression and injustice is a Quranic imperative and I believe that in its Iranian interpretation this also extends to non-Shia Sunnis and even Christians and Jews, but since I know that this will trigger all sorts of angry accusations of being naive (or even a Shia propagandist) I will concede that helping the oppressed Shia in the region is probably more important to the Iranian leaders than helping all the other oppressed. In secular terms, this means that Iran will try to protect and assist the Shia in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon and I see absolutely nothing wrong with that at all. In fact, considering the amazing mercy shown by Hezbollah to the SLA in southern Lebanon in 2000, and the fact that currently, the Syrian security forces are acting with utmost restraint in the parts of Syria which have accepted the Russian deal (this even has some Russian analysts outright worried) I think that Iranian-backed forces liberating Syria from Daesh are the best thing which anybody could hope for.

Furthermore, the truth is that for all its other faults, the Ba’athist regime in Syria was tolerant of minorities and that Hezbollah has always been protective of absolutely all the Lebanese people regardless of confession or ethnicity (others might disagree with me, but having studied Hezbollah and Iran for several decades now I come to the conclusion that they, unlike most other political actors, are actually truthful when they state their intentions).

So who is the biggest threat to the Shia and, I would argue, to all the people of the Middle-East?  The Takfiris of Daesh of course.

And what do all the variants of the possible “big regional deal” have in common?  The elimination of Daesh & Co. from Syria.

So how is that against the Iranian interests?!

It isn’t, of course.

The truth is that I see absolutely no evidence at all for “Putin and Netanyahu working together all along”.  What I do see is that some kind of deal is being worked out between numerous parties in which everybody is probably trying hard to cheat everybody else, Realpolitik at its worst and most cynical – yes.  But hardly a betrayal of Iran by Russia.

What everybody seems to be doing is what blacksmith Vakula did in Gogol’s Christmas Story “The Night Before Christmas“: to trick the devil. In Russia, the devil is known as “лукавый” which does not just mean “evil” but also sly/wily/deceitful/wickedly clever. To try to trick the devil is a very, very dangerous and difficult task and I also find it morally very questionable. But in keeping up with our modern value-neutral “realistic” Zeitgeist, we can also debunk the “Putin betrays Iran” on purely cynical and “pragmatic” reasons with no need to appeal to any higher values at all.

For those who have not seen it yet, I highly recommend this (English subtitled) video of Ruslan Ostashko discussing what Israel can, or cannot, offer Russia and Putin:

Ostashko is absolutely right.  The truth is that Israel, unlike Iran, has very little to offer Putin or Russia.  This does not mean that Israel does not have influence over the Kremlin, it most definitely does, but that influence is all “stick”, no “carrot” (which is one of the conceptual flaws in the position of those who deny the existence of a Zionist 5th column in Russia – they are denying the existence of the “stick” while producing no “carrot” thus making Russian policies appear both contradictory and unexplainable: hence a need for all sorts of mental contortions to try to explain them).

But Israel’s “stick”, while undeniably big, is dwarfed by Iran’s “carrot”: not only immense resources and billions of Dollars/Rubles/Rials/Euros to be made in energy and weapons and also many sectors of the economy. There is also the fact that Iran is truly the number one regional power in the entire Middle-East: maybe not big enough to impose its will on all others, but definitely big enough to bring down any major plan or policy it does not approve of. Furthermore, now that the international sanctions against Iran have been officially lifted (the USA’s reneging on its signature notwithstanding), Iran can join and become an influential member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (along with, possibly, other Middle-Eastern countries). All this makes the Iranian “carrot” very attractive to Russia. There is also a conceptual Iranian “stick”: if Israel gets its way and Iran is massively and viciously attacked by the AngloZionist Empire, and either chaos or a severe crisis result, what would be the impact on Russia and her allies? And, while I don’t think for a second that this is possible, let’s say the Empire puts a pro-AngloZionist regime in power in Tehran and overthrows the Islamic Republic – what would that do to the Russian national security? It would be an absolute nightmare, wouldn’t it?

Look at the relationship between Russia and Turkey before the coup attempt against Erdogan. Surely that relationship was much worse than the relationship currently enjoyed between the Islamic Republic and Russia, right? And yet, when the US attempted to topple Erdogan, what did Russia do? Russia gave Erdogan her fullest support and even, according to some rumors, physical protection during a few key hours.  If Russia sided with Erdogan against the Empire, why would Russia not side with the Islamic Republic, even if we consider only arguments of Russian self-interest?

For an excellent Iranian analysis of the Russia-Iran alliance, check out this article by Aram Mirzaei.

Conclusion

The simple truth is that regardless of declarations and political statements, China, Russia, Iran, Syria and Hezbollah are all dependent on each other and cannot afford to truly betray anybody lest the Empire take them out one by one. To use Franklin’s expression – they all must hang (i.e. stand) together or most assuredly they will all “hang separately”? That does not mean that they all love each other, or always share the same goals? They might also play against each other to some degree, and even try to get some sweet deal “on the side” with the AngloZionists (remember, Assad used to torture for the CIA!), but the facts on the ground and the correlation of forces in the Middle-East will limit the scope of such “mini-betrayals”, at least for the foreseeable future.

True, there is the Saudi factor to take into account.  Unlike the Israelis, the Saudis are offering a lot of “carrot”.  But the Saudis are way too arrogant, they are already messing with Russian interests not only in Syria, but also in Qatar, and their brand of Islam is truly a mortal danger for Russia. Right now the Atlantic Integrationists and Eurasian Sovereignists have achieved somewhat of an equilibrium in the Kramlin. The former is trying to split the EU from the USA and make lots of money, while the latter are left in charge of national security issues, especially towards the South, but this equilibrium is inherently unstable and would be immediately threatened by any meaningful AngloZionist attack. So yes, there is a Zionist Lobby in Russia and yes, it does act as a 5th column, but not, most emphatically no, it is not strong enough to completely disregard the financial interests of the Russian business elites or, even less so, fundamental Russian national security interests.  That is the one of biggest difference between the USA and Russia: Russia, while only partially sovereign, is far from being an Israeli protectorate or colony.  And as long as Russia retains her even partial sovereignty she will not “ditch” Iran, regardless of Israeli whining and threats.

My personal evaluation is that Putin is playing a very complex and potentially dangerous game. He is trying to trick not one, but many “devils”, all at the same time.  Furthermore, if the US Americans have been недоговороспособны (“not agreement capable”) already since Obama, Trump and his Neocon masters have made that even worse.  As for the Israelis, they would make Satan himself look honest and are ideologically incapable of honesty (or even decency).  Frankly, I don’t trust Erdogan one bit and I don’t think that the Russians will ever trust him either.  Call me naive, but I think that Assad has been changed by this war and even if he did, indeed, collaborate with the CIA in the past, I think that he will be a pretty good ally for Russia in the future.  As for Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Hassan Nasrallah, I see them both as men of honor who will uphold any alliance they formally enter into (informal understandings and temporary mutual interests are a different deal).  I also see them as brilliant and wise geostrategists: they fully realize that Iran and Hezbollah *need* Russia to survive.  So Putin’s policy, while dangerous, is not doomed to failure at all: he is trying to save Syria from the AngloZionsts while avoiding a regional war.  Time is on his side as Trump’s erratic (and that is putting it mildly) policies (or, really, lack thereof) are inflicting tremendous damage on the Empire on a daily basis (see Dmitri Orlov’s excellent analysis here).

I honestly don’t know if Putin’s dangerous strategy will work or not.  I don’t think anybody else does either (except ignorant cheerleaders, of course).  But I do know that even if the sight of Bibi Netanyahu in Moscow with a Saint George ribbon was nauseating to my conscience, this absolutely does not indicate that Netanyahu and Putin are working together or that Russia is “ditching Iran”.  As always, the Israelis feel almighty and brazenly display their arrogance.  Let them.  Just remember the inevitable outcome from that kind of Zionist hubris in the past and wait for the inevitable “oy vey!“.

Finally, there is the single most important fact: the AngloZionist Empire and Russia remain at war, and have been so for at least four years or more.  That war is still about 80% informational, 15% economic and 5% kinetic, but it this is a very real war nonetheless, and it is escalating.  As long as Russia will retain even partial sovereignty and as long as she will offer an alternative civilizational model, even an imperfect one, she will remain an existential threat to the Empire and the Empire will remain an existential threat for the entire Russian civilizational realm.  While hugely important to Israel, the entire Iranian issue is just a sideshow to the transnational leaders of the Empire who see Russia and China as the real main competitors, especially when joined in a symbiotic relationship as they are today.  Hence the crises in the Ukraine and on the Korean Peninsula, hence the constants warnings of a possible full-scale nuclear war (see Eric Zuesse latest article here or Paul Craig Roberts numerous article on his website; also check out Dan Glazebrook’s excellent analysis of Trump’s attempt to repeat the “Rambouillet ruse” in Korea here).  Even if Putin succeeds in moving the EU closer to Russia and away from a (clearly insane) USA, and even if he succeeds in preventing the AngloZionists from directly attacking Iran, this will only further convince the AngloZionist leaders of the Empire that he, Putin, and Russia, are the ultimate evil which must be eliminated.  Those who hope for some kind of modus vivendi between the Empire and Russia are kidding themselves, because the very nature of the Empiremakes this impossible.  Besides, as Orlov correctly pointed it out – the Empire’s hegemony is collapsing, fast.  The Empire’s propaganda machine denies and obfuscates this, and those who believe it don’t see it – but the leaders of the Empire all understand this, hence the escalation on all fronts we have seen since the Neocons re-took power in the White House.  If the Neocons continue on their current course, and I don’t see any indication whatsoever that they are reconsidering it, then the question is only when/where this will lead to a full-scale war first.  Your guess is as good as mine.

 

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